16 years since Kiev was first enticed with the prospect of NATO membership. But what did they actually get? A few f-16? 30 Abrams? A wrecked power grid, the loss of 20% of their territory (so far), and hundreds of thousands dead, wounded, or missing. The 45 million strong Ukraine that received those lofty promises so long ago is now a shattered and battered husk with perhaps 25 million citizens left. Zelensky pays 17$ per month to disabled soldiers. Now, about 3 million of them are in Ukraine.
NOW ON LIFE SUPPORT, PLEASE HELP and Report war crimes: Cease and desist all malicious use of AI, death threats24/7 harassment and physical abuse: global supremacists, terrorists, communists. I am not your property. My house was broken into, I was given chemicals 3 years ago that caused brain damage and my children and pets were also given chemicals that re-engineered our systems - this was without consent and is an international attack. Please report at the highest level of government and security
The day Ukraine entered Russia they lost all chances of negotiating leverage, because they sent thousands of their best soldiers into a theatre where Russia can have the space and breadth to wage a war from a distance, killing Ukraine's elite soldiers without even having a firefight. Furthermore, not only have they created a situation where actual military aid is being diverted directly to Russian soil, all of the East has been exposed to a larger overbearing force - Resulting in 6 or so critical situations on the front. Ukraine doesn't have ANY negotiating leverage or power when they are on the back foot and their manpower is being depleted constantly. Russia know the ONLY obstacle in this war is the Ukrainian man in front of them, nothing else. Once that's gone or depleted... The war is won. Ukraine can keep flooding the internet with colossal Russian losses blah blah blah.. But what It can't hide is the day there isn't men to pull up from reserve. It may be a year or two away, but it will happen and in that instant, Ukraine will fall into chaos.
Imagine being in a manpower and equipment disadvantage in an attritional war and opening a new front (thus elongating the frontline even more) and failing to capture anything significant and failing to destabilize your opponent or breaking their morale or causing panic. And you do this with your last reserves and active units pulled from the hottest fronts.
Nobody in history ever expected to conquer Ukraine in 3 days, even at the time when it didn't include Crimea. It's just a made up propaganda story to prolong the war and block any negotiations (like the ones in Istanbul) which Russians wanted to have from the beginning. It's like the ghost of Kiev or " I don't need a ride, I need ammo". Just propaganda fabrications.
One month after they released this video things look pretty grim for Ukraine ! No advances in Kurks… history does not repeat itself but it sure rhymes ! Another Kurks battle that seems to be recorded as a win for the Russians !
There is no bigger waste of time than all of the babble about negotiations. Russia NEVER keeps its word on anything. We need to give Ukraine what it needs to kick them out of their country once and for all. Even if that includes "boots on the ground" which it shouldn't. The west, especially the US (my country) is an embarrassment. Future historians are going to look at us as a bunch of nut jobs
Russia never keeps its word on anything, or the US doesn't? Just look at broken promises about no NATO expansion, pulling out of nuclear treaties, Minsk agreements that were designed just to arm Ukraine and bring about this war... And also the recent example of pulling out of nuclear deal with Iran.
US (your country) is fakedenocracy. BlackRock empire. The total death toll of people killed by American troops in all major wars and conflicts since World War II is estimated to be over 12 million. This includes direct war violence in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, and Pakistan, as well as casualties and fatalities in other conflicts.
@@tornado-s-2012too numerous to list. 4000+ violations of the Minsk Agreements (per OSCE). The Budapest memorandum. Numerous arms treaties. UN Charter and on and on. Name one agreement Russia honored.
Who is this Andrea Kendall-Taylor who complains about 'history nerds'? War is all about history and history informs tactics and strategy. If you don't know anything, then keep quiet.
The Washington Post showed the severity of the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with a video from a cemetery in Kharkov "It looks like there are twice as many graves of killed soldiers as there were exactly a year ago," writes a Polish journalist who provided the video to the publication
After copying and pasting so many Kursk village names into google maps, zooming in, zooming out, getting whiplash from their sudden darting in all directions, I now understand why the Russians can never let the Ukrainians do maneuver warfare - we, the armchair generals ,cant even keep up, let alone the Russian chain of command......
Ukrainian troops suffer significant losses in equipment in the battles near Kursk - Forbes ▪The situation is especially critical for armored vehicles: tracked and wheeled infantry fighting vehicles are being disabled almost twice as fast as usual. As the Ukrainian Armed Forces advance, their equipment becomes an easy target for Russian drones, artillery, and ambushes. ▪In the coming days, the losses of armored vehicles may increase significantly if the situation remains the same. The fighting in the Kursk region continues to pose serious challenges to the Ukrainian troops, creating additional difficulties in maintaining their combat capability.
Q: After copying and pasting so many Kursk village names... A: Ukrainian speakers would have noticed that most of those names are Ukrainian, and some of them are over a thousand years old. Because this is a historically and ethnically Ukrainian region called Slobodskaja Ukraina, occupied by Muscovy since 1918.
MK comes off as hurt he wasn’t in the loop. He’s been on my l love Russia list since 2014. He’s been wrong on the war more than most. The political issue and Ukrainian morale (which hurt big from US delays and constraints) is far more important than empty cities in Donbass. The war needed a change of narrative, this helped. Ukrainians are not so far extended to get cut off here.
Mike Kofman is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military and Eurasian security issues. . . For someone who has been to the front line (so he says!) Mike Kofman doesn't seem to know very much. If this analysis a reflection of the negativity within the CNAS it should not be advising anyone! War cannot be won by giving your enemy advantages in manpower, technology (old weapons) poor supply and restrictive practices! Mind you we all know the Americans have no stomach for a fight on behalf of Europe. European nations need to grow backbone, support Ukraine 100% and look to reduce/stop Russian (and therefore China's) expansionist ambitions. Its NOT a NATO role yet, individual countries must commit much more of their resources to Ukraine if they are to get the job done with a long term result. As for the F16 are just another tool, tools are no good if they don't fit the hardware Kofman clearly has no idea how they can/will be used, a very poor analysis! Ukraine needs aircraft with ability to deter the glide bomb problem. . . that requires the right weapons, good supply and a winning policy/attitude and much closer to 100% support from democratic countries.
You are missing the follow+ on forces which were fresh. They are not done. Russians are trapped below the Seime and now comes word of operations in Briansk.
If Ukraine was going to lose the Eastern territory anyway, was withdrawing troops for the Kursk offensive such a big gamble? They've captured way more Russian soldiers there than they would have getting ground down in the East.
@@angelgarciagarcia7295 well that ain't go to play well on Russian social media. It will give them a better understanding of what they have been doing to Ukraine over 2 years
@@jameslawrence3666 Sure it will , it will even revive more Russian patriotism. It will even recall them what Ukraine have been doing the last 10 years in Donbass.
You are easily illusioned. Russia is so big they never cares about stopping you at their border. You will find it easy to come in but hard to escape. Napoleon and Hitler learned it the hard way.
Remember US citizens, Russia is losing, China is about to suffer financial collapse and Israel isn't committing genocide. 🙄Your tax dollar at work...for the board of Raytheon.
This offensive changed _everything_. He sounds extremely clueless. I know, this interview reflects day 4 of the offensive, but still, he is so clueless. Compared to what? To Ukraine Matters primarily. The offensive is genius. - Everyone, including the Russians, beforehand thought, "wont happen, impossible, they can't do this (because there is some US/German taboo". And then they did it. (Kofman _should_ have been able to voice this imo) - How did they hide all the vehicles and troops for the offensive? They did not. They (Budanow etc. ) convinced us all, that they are afraid the Russians might attack in Sumi. - They achieve the goal, that in a few month, the Russians will have to attack during bad weather season. - Putin trusts the military even less - Russia will have to man and fortify the whole border, like Ukraine - I am not even mentioning all the political implications in Russia (for which is okay and normal if he clueless) Look some Ukraine Matters, Silicon Curtain, Inside Russia, or Anders Puck Nielsen here on youtube, and you start to understand how clueless Mike Kofman is.
Well, this time he is not clueless. Yes, he acknowledged the operation was quite spectacular catching Russians off guard. However, he pointed on the fundamental strategic problem with this operation: - For this operation Ukrainians pulled some of their best troops in Donbass and used some of their reserves - and the problem is the Donbass is collapsing, Russians are advancing and close to capture several important towns - and Donbass is very important and very strategic. Losing Donbas basically means Ukraine losing the war - he basically pointed out the Ukrainians pulled out their best troops from Donbas where they were desperately needed (to stabilise the front and to stop the Russian advance there) - and they used them, spent them (the best troops and the best equipment) to attack and capture a strategically unimportant border region (which is why that border was guarded by conscripts, and also this is why such attack was unexpected) which was an easy victory but the real price to pay will be in Donbas (he even mentioned Ukrainians were forced to evacuate Pokrowsk). In all likelihood, they won the battle to lose the war.
@@MJGMJGMJGThis is the same Kofman who also claimed Ukraine couldnt possibly survive a Russian invasion, that arming Ukraine would be a terrible mistake, that Russia would win a quick victory due to overwhelming air superiority, that Ukraine was unfamiliar and unprepared for war (despite being at war for 8 years at that point), that defending Bakmuht was a mistake right before that defense led to the Wagner run, that Ukraine would break through in 2023, that Ukraine would be completely incapable of fighting Russian EW, that Himars would bring artillery parity to the war, and more. That Michael Kofman?
@@2639theboss Did he? Some of his predictions can still come true. Actually, some of these predictions came true, some are in progress, and some came quite close: 1. Ukraine that existed before did not survive (loss of Donbas and Crimea, apparently about 7 million people left Ukraine after 2014 and many have been internally displaced, swaths of the country have been destroyed. And Russians are still making a steady progress. Today Ukraine is still functioning only because of the western funding and support). 2. Arming Ukraine by the west was indeed a terrible mistake because: - the armed and funded by the West Ukraine was not willing to negotiate any peaceful solution or compromise - which led to the war (first to the Russo-Ukrainian war within Ukraine 2014, then to the Russian invasion 2022) and it is prolonging this proxy war - which ultimately Ukraine even with the western support is unable to win (unless the west would directly got involved on a massive scale) - all of that was not in the Ukraine's true interest. Moreover, it was a terrible strategic mistake because the West overreached and provoked an unwinnable conflict. This and other things led to many unforeseen consequences (failure and backfiring of various sanctions, reorientation of Russia towards the East, increase of the Russian trade with China, India and other non-western countries, emergence of the Russian-Chinese-Iranian etc close cooperation and de facto alliance, raise of BRICs, de-dollarisation, weakening of the West, and the polarisation of the West vs the Rest (so called Global South), combined with Europe relying on the US and the US becoming increasingly interested in its own domestic and political issues, building by many of the Global South countries a financial and economic system independent from the West. Mind you, the West represents something like 10-25% of the global population. - all of that may still culminate in a worldwide WW3 type of scenario in which Russia would get a direct support from China, Iran and other countries; while Hungary, Türkiye and Slovakia would likely leave NATO; the US would not be able to fight on three fronts (Israel, Taiwan and Ukraine, not including numerous military bases which would have to be evacuated because otherwise they would be destroyed e.g. from Iraq), Red Sea and Persian Gulf would be cut off and there would be a massive worldwide crisis, Europe would be destroyed, aircrafts would be sunk, and the West would lack the necessary resources and manufacturing capabilities to sustain such a large scale conflict, nuclear ash and what not.
@@MJGMJGMJG Ah okay youre just hopelessly misinformed or a Russian shill. Just say that next time. Itll spare me the effort. Lets address the low-hanging fruit: If your predictions are mutually exclusive to other predictions youve made, youre just trying throwing stuff at the wall. Thats not an analyst. Ukraine without the occupied territories is still Ukraine. Is Germany no longer Germany because its lost Alsace-Lorraine 100 years ago too? Is the PRC not the PRC because Taiwan exists? The Western sanctions have backfired...but Russia has double digit inflation and 18 percent interest rates? The sovereign wealth fund in Russia has been halved? The Moscow exchange is trading in Yuan now? Thats backfiring? And of course the massively successful BRICS. So successful in fact, that the two biggest parties literally have border skirmishes on a monthly basis, Putin cant travel to most of the nations in it, and the nations involved refuse to trade in a common currency. Im not going to waste more of my time with you. Taking BRICS seriously is basically the best way to tell everyone you arent informed on global economics.
This operation in Kursk severely underestimates the desperation of the Russian position. 2024 is as good as it will ever be, and they have achieved none of their strategic goals. Every year from now on Russia will be in more dire straits. They are living off Soviet reserves, reserves that are dwindling fast. Meanwhile Ukraine is getting stronger, and European production is getting in gears.
militarywatchmagazine - Footage released on August 17 has shown the destruction of three surface to air missile batteries from a U.S.-supplied MIM-104 Patriot air defence system in the Lyubimovka settlement in Ukraine’s Dnipropetrovsk region. The Ukrainian-operated systems were destroyed by a single 9K720 ballistic missile from a Russian Iskander-M system, with the missile carrying a cluster warhead scattering small bomblets across a wide area to neutralise all three spaced out batteries. The loss is the latest of several filmed in recent weeks for Ukraine’s very limited arsenal of Patriot systems. Destruction of Patriot batteries was just one of multiple major successes gained by Iskander-M systems in July, with multiple other particularly notable targets destroyed that month.
getting stronger? That is why Ze closed the borders? Olena Malok, a medical worker in Azov, complains that “80% of our stormtroopers are sick and elderly. HIV, tuberculosis, no one cares. They just throw them on buses and send them straight to the front.”
Getting stronger? Really? 16 years of empty promises from NATO and the West. But what did they actually get? A wrecked power grid, the loss of 20% of their territory (so far), and hundreds of thousands dead, wounded, or missing. The 45 million strong Ukraine that received those lofty promises so long ago is now a shattered and battered husk with perhaps 25 million citizens left. From NATO, they receive too many words and far too few shells, vehicles, and air defense interceptors.
I don't know how I stumbled into this comment, and with whole honesty I would love to have whatever you are taking or drinking. This is beyond wishful thinking, English is my third language and I am looking for the right word, is it a delusion, something like that, or a bizzare comment?
No. The Russian leadership appears to be rational rational, strategic, logical, methodical, reasonable, acting well within their means, well prepared. On the other hand western leadership tends to be weak, ideological, greedy, detached from the reality and from the consequences of their actions because these tend to affect other countries (irresponsible), it's chaotic, strategically illogical, subservient to various lobbies, indifferent, delusional, ignorant, etc. And the Ukrainian leadership seems to be irrational, stubborn, inflexible, unable to compromise, temperamental, bellicose, ideological and nationalistic, vengeful, irresponsible, acting beyond their means and always counting on the west to bail them out, willing to bet everything and trying anything to get what they want (and they want the maximalist but impossible everything), addicted and seeking glory and publicity, unable to think in the long term, fighting for everything or nothing and getting desperate at that. And at this point completely dependent upon the support from the west.
It’s not a bargaining chip. It is a buffer. Why fight in Ukraine when you can fight I Russia. After the war the boarders will be redrawn and Kursk might become part of Ukraine and parts of Donbas part of Russia.
You are dreaming m8. USA/NATO has crossed a Russian redline by invading Russia proper. Ukraine will now cease to excist most likely and the West will just walk away. The USA always walks away when the price gets to high. This war ends on Russian terms or it goes nuclear by some serious stupid Western move.
Ukraine showed only 1 video of about 40 Russian border guards captured. Where are these over 100 coming from? Ukraine has stretched itself thin, and it will pay dearly.
Does this guy actually know what he is talking about and does he have any military experience or knowledge at all? I know he has academic credentials, and is able to cover events retrospectively, but as to predicting the future he is being very foolish and he would be the last man I would want organizing my country's defence.
Kursk in the last gasp of a defeated military. Ukraine doesn't have the numbers, the firepower and manpower, so the issue is clear, it make no sense to keep sending soldiers to their certain death. Just propaganda actions from Ukraine, ridiculous price to pay, and nothing to win. Anyway this war is since long lost.
How about Ukraine occupies buffer zones in Bryansk and Kursk and Belgorad? They can cut half the supply lines from Russia to Ukraine too. Putin’s successor will feel compelled to negotiate the return of its territory.
Russia is struggling to subdue a country a third of it's size it shares a border with, has lost roughly 50% of it's combat equipment and hundreds of thousands of troops. The US and NATO partners would eat Russia for lunch in a conventional conflict - especially now.
ON PAPER.... Mind you, but Ukraine in 2021 was listed under Mexico far as military goes, so like #36. Russia as #2. Probably as artillery platforms but T-50s (?) Tanks were being sent to the front. That's ridiculous for a world power to do. It's out of gear and waaay behind NATO and China. Its Black sea fleet is defeated by a nation with no Navy too.
One is glad they kept the Americans out of the loop. Jake Sullivan and other de-escalationists are terrifying.
16 years since Kiev was first enticed with the prospect of NATO membership. But what did they actually get? A few f-16? 30 Abrams? A wrecked power grid, the loss of 20% of their territory (so far), and hundreds of thousands dead, wounded, or missing. The 45 million strong Ukraine that received those lofty promises so long ago is now a shattered and battered husk with perhaps 25 million citizens left. Zelensky pays 17$ per month to disabled soldiers. Now, about 3 million of them are in Ukraine.
NOW ON LIFE SUPPORT, PLEASE HELP and Report war crimes: Cease and desist all malicious use of AI, death threats24/7 harassment and physical abuse: global supremacists, terrorists, communists. I am not your property. My house was broken into, I was given chemicals 3 years ago that caused brain damage and my children and pets were also given chemicals that re-engineered our systems - this was without consent and is an international attack. Please report at the highest level of government and security
The Battle of the Bulge and Dien Bien Phu combined.
How is the war going in kursk
The day Ukraine entered Russia they lost all chances of negotiating leverage, because they sent thousands of their best soldiers into a theatre where Russia can have the space and breadth to wage a war from a distance, killing Ukraine's elite soldiers without even having a firefight. Furthermore, not only have they created a situation where actual military aid is being diverted directly to Russian soil, all of the East has been exposed to a larger overbearing force - Resulting in 6 or so critical situations on the front.
Ukraine doesn't have ANY negotiating leverage or power when they are on the back foot and their manpower is being depleted constantly. Russia know the ONLY obstacle in this war is the Ukrainian man in front of them, nothing else. Once that's gone or depleted... The war is won.
Ukraine can keep flooding the internet with colossal Russian losses blah blah blah.. But what It can't hide is the day there isn't men to pull up from reserve. It may be a year or two away, but it will happen and in that instant, Ukraine will fall into chaos.
Imagine being in a manpower and equipment disadvantage in an attritional war and opening a new front (thus elongating the frontline even more) and failing to capture anything significant and failing to destabilize your opponent or breaking their morale or causing panic. And you do this with your last reserves and active units pulled from the hottest fronts.
What would have been your advice to the Ukrainian military?
imagine you are a baseless ruzzian troll and you made a comment here that no one even gives any weight to. sad.
Imagine thinking you lead a major superpower and being unable to take back territory from a country you thought you would conquer in 3 days.
Nobody in history ever expected to conquer Ukraine in 3 days, even at the time when it didn't include Crimea. It's just a made up propaganda story to prolong the war and block any negotiations (like the ones in Istanbul) which Russians wanted to have from the beginning. It's like the ghost of Kiev or " I don't need a ride, I need ammo". Just propaganda fabrications.
@@peterdufault4477 Why bother to take it back, contain them and leave them there it only helps the Russian in Donbass.
Correction" Loose should read lose.
Great talk!
One month after they released this video things look pretty grim for Ukraine !
No advances in Kurks… history does not repeat itself but it sure rhymes !
Another Kurks battle that seems to be recorded as a win for the Russians !
There is no bigger waste of time than all of the babble about negotiations. Russia NEVER keeps its word on anything. We need to give Ukraine what it needs to kick them out of their country once and for all. Even if that includes "boots on the ground" which it shouldn't. The west, especially the US (my country) is an embarrassment. Future historians are going to look at us as a bunch of nut jobs
Russia never keeps its word on anything, or the US doesn't? Just look at broken promises about no NATO expansion, pulling out of nuclear treaties, Minsk agreements that were designed just to arm Ukraine and bring about this war... And also the recent example of pulling out of nuclear deal with Iran.
You sound like one of those nut jobs
"Russia NEVER keeps its word on anything." like what exactly? Minsk agreements? Istanbul negotiations?
US (your country) is fakedenocracy. BlackRock empire. The total death toll of people killed by American troops in all major wars and conflicts since World War II is estimated to be over 12 million. This includes direct war violence in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Yemen, and Pakistan, as well as casualties and fatalities in other conflicts.
@@tornado-s-2012too numerous to list. 4000+ violations of the Minsk Agreements (per OSCE). The Budapest memorandum. Numerous arms treaties. UN Charter and on and on. Name one agreement Russia honored.
What’s a guy gotta do to get the cohost to be quiet and to get the New York Times writer of the hosts opening statements to be removed?
I expected a second surprise from the Ukraineans. But it did not materialise.
Who is this Andrea Kendall-Taylor who complains about 'history nerds'? War is all about history and history informs tactics and strategy. If you don't know anything, then keep quiet.
The Washington Post showed the severity of the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with a video from a cemetery in Kharkov
"It looks like there are twice as many graves of killed soldiers as there were exactly a year ago," writes a Polish journalist who provided the video to the publication
700 sq km more south of the River Seym to add?.... that would be 3 times Russia's total gains for this year
After copying and pasting so many Kursk village names into google maps, zooming in, zooming out, getting whiplash from their sudden darting in all directions, I now understand why the Russians can never let the Ukrainians do maneuver warfare - we, the armchair generals ,cant even keep up, let alone the Russian chain of command......
When zooming out did you happen to notice the size of Russia.
DO the words "supply line" mean anything to you lol?
Ukrainian troops suffer significant losses in equipment in the battles near Kursk - Forbes
▪The situation is especially critical for armored vehicles: tracked and wheeled infantry fighting vehicles are being disabled almost twice as fast as usual. As the Ukrainian Armed Forces advance, their equipment becomes an easy target for Russian drones, artillery, and ambushes.
▪In the coming days, the losses of armored vehicles may increase significantly if the situation remains the same. The fighting in the Kursk region continues to pose serious challenges to the Ukrainian troops, creating additional difficulties in maintaining their combat capability.
Q: After copying and pasting so many Kursk village names...
A: Ukrainian speakers would have noticed that most of those names are Ukrainian, and some of them are over a thousand years old. Because this is a historically and ethnically Ukrainian region called Slobodskaja Ukraina, occupied by Muscovy since 1918.
MK comes off as hurt he wasn’t in the loop. He’s been on my l love Russia list since 2014. He’s been wrong on the war more than most. The political issue and Ukrainian morale (which hurt big from US delays and constraints) is far more important than empty cities in Donbass. The war needed a change of narrative, this helped. Ukrainians are not so far extended to get cut off here.
Mike Kofman is a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he focuses on the Russian military and Eurasian security issues. . . For someone who has been to the front line (so he says!) Mike Kofman doesn't seem to know very much. If this analysis a reflection of the negativity within the CNAS it should not be advising anyone!
War cannot be won by giving your enemy advantages in manpower, technology (old weapons) poor supply and restrictive practices! Mind you we all know the Americans have no stomach for a fight on behalf of Europe. European nations need to grow backbone, support Ukraine 100% and look to reduce/stop Russian (and therefore China's) expansionist ambitions. Its NOT a NATO role yet, individual countries must commit much more of their resources to Ukraine if they are to get the job done with a long term result. As for the F16 are just another tool, tools are no good if they don't fit the hardware Kofman clearly has no idea how they can/will be used, a very poor analysis! Ukraine needs aircraft with ability to deter the glide bomb problem. . . that requires the right weapons, good supply and a winning policy/attitude and much closer to 100% support from democratic countries.
Russian bot? Or just a moron? Mike Kofman has been on the front line more times than you rant online
Been hearing Kofman since this war started and he doesn't know any more than the average man on the street, which is not very much.
You are missing the follow+ on forces which were fresh. They are not done. Russians are trapped below the Seime and now comes word of operations in Briansk.
The Kursk offensive probably diverts some capacity away from Russia's hunt for f-16s.
But it didn't.
How many Russian troops will now have to be deployed to defend their entire border? it's only fair, Ukraine have had to do it!
If Ukraine was going to lose the Eastern territory anyway, was withdrawing troops for the Kursk offensive such a big gamble? They've captured way more Russian soldiers there than they would have getting ground down in the East.
Because of the costs to capture the territory for the Russians
Russia complaining about Ukraine using American weapons, meanwhile Russia is using North Korean weapons.
any evidence?
@@tornado-s-2012 Easy. Google Bulsae4 and Ukraine. Then "north korean ballistic missile" and ukraine.
how exactly is Russia going to retake this territory??? the standard scorched earth policy?
Ukraine sent 10 000 troops. Not millions.
with time and attrition, like everywhere else
@@angelgarciagarcia7295 well that ain't go to play well on Russian social media. It will give them a better understanding of what they have been doing to Ukraine over 2 years
@@jameslawrence3666 Sure it will , it will even revive more Russian patriotism. It will even recall them what Ukraine have been doing the last 10 years in Donbass.
@@angelgarciagarcia7295 how many people died in 2020 or 2021? 2 years out of 10 years of bombing Donbass
Yikes. #Russia can't even defend its border now.
Let's see how much worse it can get! 😂
You are easily illusioned. Russia is so big they never cares about stopping you at their border. You will find it easy to come in but hard to escape. Napoleon and Hitler learned it the hard way.
Remember US citizens, Russia is losing, China is about to suffer financial collapse and Israel isn't committing genocide. 🙄Your tax dollar at work...for the board of Raytheon.
@@douglashobden #1 salesman for Raytheon, Rhinemetall, Dassault etc is Putin
This offensive changed _everything_. He sounds extremely clueless. I know, this interview reflects day 4 of the offensive, but still, he is so clueless. Compared to what? To Ukraine Matters primarily.
The offensive is genius.
- Everyone, including the Russians, beforehand thought, "wont happen, impossible, they can't do this (because there is some US/German taboo". And then they did it. (Kofman _should_ have been able to voice this imo)
- How did they hide all the vehicles and troops for the offensive? They did not. They (Budanow etc. ) convinced us all, that they are afraid the Russians might attack in Sumi.
- They achieve the goal, that in a few month, the Russians will have to attack during bad weather season.
- Putin trusts the military even less
- Russia will have to man and fortify the whole border, like Ukraine
- I am not even mentioning all the political implications in Russia (for which is okay and normal if he clueless)
Look some Ukraine Matters, Silicon Curtain, Inside Russia, or Anders Puck Nielsen here on youtube, and you start to understand how clueless Mike Kofman is.
Well, this time he is not clueless. Yes, he acknowledged the operation was quite spectacular catching Russians off guard.
However, he pointed on the fundamental strategic problem with this operation:
- For this operation Ukrainians pulled some of their best troops in Donbass and used some of their reserves
- and the problem is the Donbass is collapsing, Russians are advancing and close to capture several important towns
- and Donbass is very important and very strategic. Losing Donbas basically means Ukraine losing the war
- he basically pointed out the Ukrainians pulled out their best troops from Donbas where they were desperately needed (to stabilise the front and to stop the Russian advance there)
- and they used them, spent them (the best troops and the best equipment) to attack and capture a strategically unimportant border region (which is why that border was guarded by conscripts, and also this is why such attack was unexpected) which was an easy victory but the real price to pay will be in Donbas (he even mentioned Ukrainians were forced to evacuate Pokrowsk).
In all likelihood, they won the battle to lose the war.
Correct!!@@MJGMJGMJG
@@MJGMJGMJGThis is the same Kofman who also claimed Ukraine couldnt possibly survive a Russian invasion, that arming Ukraine would be a terrible mistake, that Russia would win a quick victory due to overwhelming air superiority, that Ukraine was unfamiliar and unprepared for war (despite being at war for 8 years at that point), that defending Bakmuht was a mistake right before that defense led to the Wagner run, that Ukraine would break through in 2023, that Ukraine would be completely incapable of fighting Russian EW, that Himars would bring artillery parity to the war, and more.
That Michael Kofman?
@@2639theboss Did he? Some of his predictions can still come true.
Actually, some of these predictions came true, some are in progress, and some came quite close:
1. Ukraine that existed before did not survive (loss of Donbas and Crimea, apparently about 7 million people left Ukraine after 2014 and many have been internally displaced, swaths of the country have been destroyed. And Russians are still making a steady progress. Today Ukraine is still functioning only because of the western funding and support).
2. Arming Ukraine by the west was indeed a terrible mistake because:
- the armed and funded by the West Ukraine was not willing to negotiate any peaceful solution or compromise
- which led to the war (first to the Russo-Ukrainian war within Ukraine 2014, then to the Russian invasion 2022) and it is prolonging this proxy war
- which ultimately Ukraine even with the western support is unable to win (unless the west would directly got involved on a massive scale)
- all of that was not in the Ukraine's true interest.
Moreover, it was a terrible strategic mistake because the West overreached and provoked an unwinnable conflict. This and other things led to many unforeseen consequences (failure and backfiring of various sanctions, reorientation of Russia towards the East, increase of the Russian trade with China, India and other non-western countries, emergence of the Russian-Chinese-Iranian etc close cooperation and de facto alliance, raise of BRICs, de-dollarisation, weakening of the West, and the polarisation of the West vs the Rest (so called Global South), combined with Europe relying on the US and the US becoming increasingly interested in its own domestic and political issues, building by many of the Global South countries a financial and economic system independent from the West.
Mind you, the West represents something like 10-25% of the global population.
- all of that may still culminate in a worldwide WW3 type of scenario
in which Russia would get a direct support from China, Iran and other countries; while Hungary, Türkiye and Slovakia would likely leave NATO; the US would not be able to fight on three fronts (Israel, Taiwan and Ukraine, not including numerous military bases which would have to be evacuated because otherwise they would be destroyed e.g. from Iraq), Red Sea and Persian Gulf would be cut off and there would be a massive worldwide crisis, Europe would be destroyed, aircrafts would be sunk, and the West would lack the necessary resources and manufacturing capabilities to sustain such a large scale conflict, nuclear ash and what not.
@@MJGMJGMJG Ah okay youre just hopelessly misinformed or a Russian shill. Just say that next time. Itll spare me the effort.
Lets address the low-hanging fruit: If your predictions are mutually exclusive to other predictions youve made, youre just trying throwing stuff at the wall. Thats not an analyst.
Ukraine without the occupied territories is still Ukraine. Is Germany no longer Germany because its lost Alsace-Lorraine 100 years ago too? Is the PRC not the PRC because Taiwan exists?
The Western sanctions have backfired...but Russia has double digit inflation and 18 percent interest rates? The sovereign wealth fund in Russia has been halved? The Moscow exchange is trading in Yuan now? Thats backfiring?
And of course the massively successful BRICS. So successful in fact, that the two biggest parties literally have border skirmishes on a monthly basis, Putin cant travel to most of the nations in it, and the nations involved refuse to trade in a common currency.
Im not going to waste more of my time with you. Taking BRICS seriously is basically the best way to tell everyone you arent informed on global economics.
This operation in Kursk severely underestimates the desperation of the Russian position. 2024 is as good as it will ever be, and they have achieved none of their strategic goals. Every year from now on Russia will be in more dire straits. They are living off Soviet reserves, reserves that are dwindling fast. Meanwhile Ukraine is getting stronger, and European production is getting in gears.
militarywatchmagazine - Footage released on August 17 has shown the destruction of three surface to air missile batteries from a U.S.-supplied MIM-104 Patriot air defence system in the Lyubimovka settlement in Ukraine’s Dnipropetrovsk region. The Ukrainian-operated systems were destroyed by a single 9K720 ballistic missile from a Russian Iskander-M system, with the missile carrying a cluster warhead scattering small bomblets across a wide area to neutralise all three spaced out batteries. The loss is the latest of several filmed in recent weeks for Ukraine’s very limited arsenal of Patriot systems. Destruction of Patriot batteries was just one of multiple major successes gained by Iskander-M systems in July, with multiple other particularly notable targets destroyed that month.
getting stronger? That is why Ze closed the borders? Olena Malok, a medical worker in Azov, complains that “80% of our stormtroopers are sick and elderly. HIV, tuberculosis, no one cares. They just throw them on buses and send them straight to the front.”
Getting stronger? Really? 16 years of empty promises from NATO and the West. But what did they actually get? A wrecked power grid, the loss of 20% of their territory (so far), and hundreds of thousands dead, wounded, or missing. The 45 million strong Ukraine that received those lofty promises so long ago is now a shattered and battered husk with perhaps 25 million citizens left. From NATO, they receive too many words and far too few shells, vehicles, and air defense interceptors.
I don't know how I stumbled into this comment, and with whole honesty I would love to have whatever you are taking or drinking. This is beyond wishful thinking, English is my third language and I am looking for the right word, is it a delusion, something like that, or a bizzare comment?
No. The Russian leadership appears to be rational rational, strategic, logical, methodical, reasonable, acting well within their means, well prepared.
On the other hand western leadership tends to be weak, ideological, greedy, detached from the reality and from the consequences of their actions because these tend to affect other countries (irresponsible), it's chaotic, strategically illogical, subservient to various lobbies, indifferent, delusional, ignorant, etc.
And the Ukrainian leadership seems to be irrational, stubborn, inflexible, unable to compromise, temperamental, bellicose, ideological and nationalistic, vengeful, irresponsible, acting beyond their means and always counting on the west to bail them out, willing to bet everything and trying anything to get what they want (and they want the maximalist but impossible everything), addicted and seeking glory and publicity, unable to think in the long term, fighting for everything or nothing and getting desperate at that. And at this point completely dependent upon the support from the west.
🤣🤣🤣
Neo con nightclub
So, it's failure. Again
It’s not a bargaining chip. It is a buffer. Why fight in Ukraine when you can fight I Russia.
After the war the boarders will be redrawn and Kursk might become part of Ukraine and parts of Donbas part of Russia.
This is so out of touch with the conflict realities
You are dreaming m8. USA/NATO has crossed a Russian redline by invading Russia proper. Ukraine will now cease to excist most likely and the West will just walk away. The USA always walks away when the price gets to high. This war ends on Russian terms or it goes nuclear by some serious stupid Western move.
Зачем Украине нужны самые бедные деревни РФ
Непонятно
Ukraine showed only 1 video of about 40 Russian border guards captured. Where are these over 100 coming from? Ukraine has stretched itself thin, and it will pay dearly.
I'm sure this post sounded better in its original Russian
@@shannonbilger5301 Clown
Most of Russian prisoners Ukraine holds are Russian civilians old farmers ect
Does this guy actually know what he is talking about and does he have any military experience or knowledge at all? I know he has academic credentials, and is able to cover events retrospectively, but as to predicting the future he is being very foolish and he would be the last man I would want organizing my country's defence.
Ну парень ващет изучал военку совка и РФ правда по старым методичкам
No video/images for a 51 minute RUclips video?
Kursk in the last gasp of a defeated military. Ukraine doesn't have the numbers, the firepower and manpower, so the issue is clear, it make no sense to keep sending soldiers to their certain death. Just propaganda actions from Ukraine, ridiculous price to pay, and nothing to win. Anyway this war is since long lost.
propaganda yes this comment is
Yes that's it. I sure hope you are a decision maker in the Russian military.
How about Ukraine occupies buffer zones in Bryansk and Kursk and Belgorad? They can cut half the supply lines from Russia to Ukraine too.
Putin’s successor will feel compelled to negotiate the return of its territory.
it is ruzzian soldier on the cover .. why not putin? 🤕
America will not go up against Russia in the Ukraine because it would loose.Russia is not Iraq.
More like they would resort to nuclear war since their conventional military would be swept aside like a bug.
How's the special military operation going? 🤣😛
😅 Man poland could take them, let alone the usa
What are you sniffing?
You lost as soon as you added an o too many in lose.
At 47:03 it was stated that Russia would lose if America got involved. The guy is delusional. Russia is the world's foremost military power.
Russia is struggling to subdue a country a third of it's size it shares a border with, has lost roughly 50% of it's combat equipment and hundreds of thousands of troops. The US and NATO partners would eat Russia for lunch in a conventional conflict - especially now.
What are you sniffing?
ON PAPER.... Mind you, but Ukraine in 2021 was listed under Mexico far as military goes, so like #36. Russia as #2.
Probably as artillery platforms but T-50s (?) Tanks were being sent to the front. That's ridiculous for a world power to do. It's out of gear and waaay behind NATO and China. Its Black sea fleet is defeated by a nation with no Navy too.
@@robertdlucas7418 You keep on repeating that content. Are you a budget bot? Do you get paid less than the others in your troll farm?
The truth hurts doesn't it?
Zelensky is going to Kursk tomorrow to surrender to Apti.