Why California's BIG EARTHQUAKE Hasn't Hit Yet

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  • Опубликовано: 25 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 931

  • @cjyoung7372
    @cjyoung7372 2 месяца назад +1174

    It's stuck in L.A traffic

    • @cameron00148
      @cameron00148 2 месяца назад +40

      You WRONG for that! 😂😂😂😂😂😂🤣🤣😭
      but you ain't wrong....🤧😴

    • @TonyMagana-u9m
      @TonyMagana-u9m 2 месяца назад +6

      @@cjyoung7372 🤣🤣🤣

    • @denver0102
      @denver0102 2 месяца назад +17

      Best comment! 🏆

    • @kimwarner1681
      @kimwarner1681 2 месяца назад +5

      Hahahaha 😂

    • @mmlsharp0587
      @mmlsharp0587 2 месяца назад +6

      Malibu traffic

  • @DeniseDDS
    @DeniseDDS 2 месяца назад +429

    Strangely, you did not mention that LA has had 15 earthquakes in the 4.0 range so far this year. Three of them have woken me up in the last 2 weeks.
    This is the highest number of quakes we have had in recorded history in this period of time.

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад +36

      You must sleep a lot

    • @cassandrarose2108
      @cassandrarose2108 2 месяца назад +24

      @squibbelsmcjohnson not what she said AT ALL

    • @suegundisalvus1152
      @suegundisalvus1152 2 месяца назад +24

      It really has been extra active the last couple of weeks. At least where I am in SoCal.

    • @Andre-Nader
      @Andre-Nader 2 месяца назад +17

      ChatGPT hasn't been updated for 2024 so his script is delayed.

    • @mr.watermelon4094
      @mr.watermelon4094 2 месяца назад

      @@Andre-Nader omm bru 😭 ts felt like uh powerpoint presentation osrs nmms 🤣

  • @sagetmaster4
    @sagetmaster4 2 месяца назад +1162

    Eventually this video will age poorly

    • @JamesBraun-o5t
      @JamesBraun-o5t 2 месяца назад +94

      @@sagetmaster4 Yeah, I’m expecting it to hit before I finish this video.

    • @sunshineimperials1600
      @sunshineimperials1600 2 месяца назад +26

      And knowing how this year has been, this video will age like milk probably sooner than later.

    • @christianvalentin5344
      @christianvalentin5344 2 месяца назад +10

      @@sunshineimperials1600 with all the stuff going on in 2020 I’m a tad surprised the Big One didn’t hit SoCal then.

    • @Cuz.im.batman
      @Cuz.im.batman 2 месяца назад +1

      @@JamesBraun-o5t I just paused the video and went to check the news.... just incase the big one came

    • @Creekwoods3
      @Creekwoods3 2 месяца назад +3

      I live in san diego I’m dead

  • @Argelius1
    @Argelius1 2 месяца назад +394

    "Soon" or "overdue" in geologic time is much different than human time.

    • @MASTEROFEVIL
      @MASTEROFEVIL 2 месяца назад +5

      @@Argelius1 So how long do we have until it comes?

    • @saiyanofsteel
      @saiyanofsteel 2 месяца назад +32

      @@MASTEROFEVIL A few years, a few decades. Even a century or more is possible.

    • @t.kersten7695
      @t.kersten7695 2 месяца назад +14

      even a chance of 99% is depending on the time scale. this could happen in the next decade but it could also happen in one million years from now.

    • @steveberkson3873
      @steveberkson3873 2 месяца назад +2

      @@Argelius1 We were waiting for ‘the big one’ when I was kid LA/SD ‘50s-60s ..there was some rumbles,we were ‘familiar’ with smaller ‘rumbles’ ..could happen tomorrow or next century ..

    • @melodyszadkowski5256
      @melodyszadkowski5256 2 месяца назад +5

      @@Argelius1 Exactly. Humans struggle to comprehend so many things that take place over time periods longer than "years." Geologic time isn't measured in months or years.

  • @Oatmeal_66
    @Oatmeal_66 2 месяца назад +487

    There's no real good answer to this except there just hasn't been one yet.

    • @JuanEnriqueFloresJr
      @JuanEnriqueFloresJr 2 месяца назад +7

      Yep

    • @illegal_space_alien
      @illegal_space_alien 2 месяца назад +12

      Except Geoff now jinxed it, and it will be very soon.

    • @melodyszadkowski5256
      @melodyszadkowski5256 2 месяца назад +17

      I suppose my concern is about people who believe "it will never happen. I've lived here X number of years and..." Like the folks in New York who mocked the weather forecast before Sandy, only to cry and say "I never thought it would be this bad!" Or folks around New Orleans who snickered about a major hurricane hitting their city with "They always turn away at the last minute." Until Katrina didn't. Being prepared when you have time to work with is not "living in fear." It's being ahead of the game. I remember our family tradition growing up in Florida. First day of summer vacation the whole family went hurricane shopping. We got our stock of food and water for three days together, got fuel for the Coleman stove, plywood for the usual purposes, etc. The times we got hit and didn't evacuate (which we did on occasion) we sat in the front yard beforehand and watched everyone frantically running to Home Depot and grocery stores and panicking because all the batteries and water were sold out. If there was no storm, we had a big cookout the first of November and built a new doghouse for our dogs out of the plywood. Nothing was wasted. Nobody panicked because we "didn't think it would actually happen to us." Wonder who would be scoffing about bolting that heavy bookcase to the wall after it fell over on their kids if "it" did happen. You know what they say about hindsight...

    • @Tirra227
      @Tirra227 2 месяца назад

      😂😂😂

    • @Tirra227
      @Tirra227 2 месяца назад

      ​@ille😂😂😂😂gal_space_alien

  • @Curt_Randall
    @Curt_Randall 2 месяца назад +209

    Even if it happens 100 years from now, that is still just around the corner, geologically speaking.

    • @Tirra227
      @Tirra227 2 месяца назад +2

      😮

    • @SolaricSage116
      @SolaricSage116 Месяц назад +2

      @@Curt_Randall Even if it is 500 years, it's still around the corner.

    • @SolunaStarlight
      @SolunaStarlight 29 дней назад +1

      Exactly what I was thinking. I feel like you can't even really say "why hasn't 'the big one' happened yet" until at least 2050 or something.

  • @brenchtoast6730
    @brenchtoast6730 2 месяца назад +92

    I remember in a geography of CA class I took in 2010 that the "big one" could happen at any time on a geologic time scale. Meaning, it can happen any time in the next few hundreds of thousands, if not millions of years.

    • @roseappelhoff9282
      @roseappelhoff9282 Месяц назад +4

      🤣😂🙏🍀🌠 after rereading your comment Mr. Toast.

    • @erzsebetnilsson580
      @erzsebetnilsson580 День назад

      or more likely never as all those vulcanic placess are now more or less death after the big earthquake was in california ....
      SO IT HAD BEEN already and NOT GOING TO

  • @rogaineablar5608
    @rogaineablar5608 2 месяца назад +188

    Cascadia scares me WAY more than San Andreas. FEMA director said everything west of I-5 will be toast.

    • @Novastar.SaberCombat
      @Novastar.SaberCombat 2 месяца назад +5

      LOL, "Casscadia" is the name of one of the villains in my series (book one). 💪😎✌️

    • @TYZyi5ss
      @TYZyi5ss 2 месяца назад +5

      But that's near Seattle and Vancouver, right? Will that impact California as well?

    • @edgarruben5754
      @edgarruben5754 2 месяца назад +7

      @@rogaineablar5608 agreed. We also have the Garlock fault here in LA to worry about

    • @mikiilee4277
      @mikiilee4277 2 месяца назад +19

      The cascadia big one would cause the San andreas to trigger

    • @mikochops
      @mikochops 2 месяца назад +4

      @@rogaineablar5608 true, but san andreas is so close to densely populated areas, causing much more damage and deaths

  • @Sacto1654
    @Sacto1654 2 месяца назад +59

    What really worries me is that the Los Angeles Basin has a bunch of earthquake faults that are much shallower to ground level than the San Andreas Fault. These shallower faults means even a Magnitude 7.5 quake could cause a huge amount of destruction and casualties on their own.

  • @jimmydee1130
    @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад +130

    Human Time vs. Geologic Time. The southern San Andreas can have intervals of 100 years to 400 years between events. Your Grandchildren may miss the next one. Besides - the splinter faults closer to populated areas likely pose a bigger danger

    • @Tirra227
      @Tirra227 2 месяца назад

      😮😮😮

    • @ohmy-7370
      @ohmy-7370 2 месяца назад +4

      exactly. the Newport-inglewood fault could disrupt all 6 major highways on the west side. we also have a major off shore strike-strip fault that runs from santa monica to the mexican boarder that isn’t widely understood, but they know it can produce upwards of a 7.9.

    • @myweirdsecondchannelwithap9070
      @myweirdsecondchannelwithap9070 Месяц назад +2

      Not to mention, human activity may delay the quake beyond the geological precedent.

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 Месяц назад

      @@myweirdsecondchannelwithap9070 Human activity? Goodness gracious what are you talking about? Are you daft?

  • @rad4924
    @rad4924 2 месяца назад +44

    Here in New Zealand, we're also waiting the "The Big One" to send our capital city of Wellington back underwater.
    In 2011 a big one hit... and destroyed Christchurch, a city previously thought of reasonably safe.
    This would be the equivalent of expecting a big quake to hit Los Angeles, only to have Las Vegas get destroyed instead.

    • @SLChandlerP
      @SLChandlerP 2 месяца назад +4

      @@rad4924 I was scrolling the comments looking for a kiwi to comment about how 'we are waiting for "Our The Big One." to hit Wellington.' while shaking my head no why do you have to question where is it.
      Completely agree with what you said about Christchurch they thought they were safe and then got hit by three big quakes in span of 18 months and 1000s of aftershocks for years after.
      Everyone thought the South Island was safe from big quakes, since most active fault lines were in the North Island.

    • @denelson83
      @denelson83 2 месяца назад +4

      You mean Portland, right? It's not the LA area geologists are really worried about, but Cascadia.

  • @snoozeflu
    @snoozeflu 4 дня назад +7

    I'm 50. When I was in elementary school, there were urban legends of "the big one" where California was going to break off and fall into the ocean, just like at the beginning of this video. We used to do "earthquake drills" to prepare for it. So I can say with confidence that this talk of "the big one" has been going on for at least 40 years.

    • @kirkdunn1379
      @kirkdunn1379 День назад

      since I been in high school in 80s there has been talk, Northridge was big not like the one they talked about

  • @petuniasevan
    @petuniasevan 2 месяца назад +83

    I grew up in Southern California and experienced the February 1971 Sylmar (San Fernando) earthquake at age 7. It hit right at 6:00 AM PST, and was of magnitude 6.6.
    I lived about 33 miles from the epicenter so it wasn't bad where I was. It was severe enough to kill 65 people in the San Fernando Valley area, most of them in the Olive View and VA hospitals.
    We were VERY lucky that it happened at 6 AM and not an hour or two later, when the freeways would have been clogged with cars. Overpasses collapsed at the junction of the 5 and 210 freeways.
    It would have been hundreds dead, if not more.

    • @paulbrungardt9823
      @paulbrungardt9823 2 месяца назад +11

      I was there too ---Inglewood-- there are no atheists during a major earthquake -- people all start praying to God.

    • @Novastar.SaberCombat
      @Novastar.SaberCombat 2 месяца назад +4

      The Loma Prieta one was far worse. That one hit HARD where I was. I won't go into it, but that was a lllooonnng DAY. 😂🤣😂

    • @raymondsiewert2720
      @raymondsiewert2720 2 месяца назад +6

      I was 13, and lived 9 miles from the epicenter of the 71' Sylmar quake. And l have been through every other major earthquake in Southern California including the Northridge, Whittier, Landers, Big Bear etc. All of them within 30 miles of the epicenters !. The Big One, will make all of those seem like a tremor. It will be the most traumatic experience any individual will go through in their lifetime. Even soldiers that have been to war !.

    • @ericbolstad3619
      @ericbolstad3619 2 месяца назад +4

      @@Novastar.SaberCombat I lived in Sand Canyon just over the hill from Sylmar when the 71-quake hit, I was a mile from the epicenter, and it was my very first earthquake experience!

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад +1

      @@raymondsiewert2720 You must have moved a lot.

  • @PoeCompany
    @PoeCompany 2 месяца назад +45

    10:28 if you want to skip to the question

    • @paulbrungardt9823
      @paulbrungardt9823 2 месяца назад +3

      Thank you -- I was going to leave page because I didn't need a semester course on geography.

    • @MilIMeta
      @MilIMeta 2 месяца назад +5

      Fr this video could've been 2 mins long If he wouldn't repeat himself over and over

    • @Electrobuzz17
      @Electrobuzz17 2 месяца назад +1

      Wish i had seen this earlier. Wasted 10 mins by getting global geology lessons and some world history 😢😢

    • @pearly872
      @pearly872 19 дней назад

      @@MilIMeta Correct, they like to re-enforce their Media-Hype position to instill fear and confusion amongst the public. They will create fear to sell their "service".

  • @scottclapson
    @scottclapson 2 месяца назад +76

    Watching from Los Angeles we have had a bunch of smaller 4-5 point quakes recently too. A little more than what feels normal at least to someone who’s lived here for decades. That could be part of it as the smaller quakes could be releasing some of that potential energy. Malibu, South Pasadena and other areas have been hit with quakes that size recently and felt them all in the downtown area very strongly.

    • @riah9549
      @riah9549 2 месяца назад +9

      @@scottclapson exactly. we’ve been getting a lot of earthquakes lately, and even though they’re just rumbles it makes me wonder if the big one is coming soon

    • @Calizen
      @Calizen 2 месяца назад +15

      @@riah9549it’s probably the opposite, the smaller earthquakes mean there’s tension being released *so* that the big one doesn’t happen

    • @sagetmaster4
      @sagetmaster4 2 месяца назад +12

      ​@@Calizen it could mean either

    • @pamalahalpert4063
      @pamalahalpert4063 2 месяца назад +3

      @@scottclapson just last week there was two earthquakes like 15 minutes apart in the IE

    • @SheilaPatterson
      @SheilaPatterson 2 месяца назад +4

      @@sagetmaster4 lol sounds like my plants. Yellow leaves? Might be under-watering, or it might be over-watering. Who knows! 😅

  • @TheGhostGuitars
    @TheGhostGuitars 2 месяца назад +17

    I think the West Coast oughter more worry about the Cascadia than the San Andreas. Cascadia will be the more disastrous that'd make the worst the San Andreas can do look minor in comparison.

  • @david.e.miller
    @david.e.miller 2 месяца назад +14

    I was in the Primm Valley Casino (on the Nevada-California border) when the Hector Mine earthquake struck on October 16, 1999. The giant chandeliers swayed back and forth, the floor rumbled, and dust fell from a trembling ceiling. Some people fled the casino, but no damage resulted from the magnitude 7.1 quake. Since that time, I've felt a few gentle rollers here in Las Vegas. But they didn't originate from the fault lines located right here in the city.

  • @lezmkasd
    @lezmkasd 2 дня назад +1

    When I was in middle school, my mom and friend had heard through social media that a scientist predicted the 'big one' was going to hit that week. I was too scared and stayed up each night until I couldn't keep my eyes open. That was more than 10 years ago. Now I'm like if it hits, it hits.

    • @cdjthg9516
      @cdjthg9516 Час назад

      @@lezmkasd had an experience just like this was a kid in 6th grade and heard that on a specific day it would hit. I packed waters in my backpack and waited outside my house for it

  • @debmanrique6466
    @debmanrique6466 2 месяца назад +18

    I remember my father talking about it in the 70's!

  • @Dronkey64
    @Dronkey64 Месяц назад +4

    I think I just felt it at 3ish am 😢😢 my heart is still pounding! Hope everyone is safe.

  • @laurabaumgras-pearce5699
    @laurabaumgras-pearce5699 2 месяца назад +10

    I live in Michigan and like 10 ish years ago we actually had a tiny earthquake and I felt it! I was sitting in my kitchen and felt my house wobble slightly, at first I thought maybe the washing machine was unbalanced. I'm so glad we don't have big serious earthquakes here!

    • @RowdyJr
      @RowdyJr 2 месяца назад +2

      As somebody from Mississippi, I am glad that we don't got earthquakes too! 😂👌 Hurricanes are our own catastrophic events that is even more scarier. Same way with tornados but tornados happen out of nowhere randomly just like earthquakes.

  • @damianalvarado1320
    @damianalvarado1320 5 дней назад +2

    I was 14 yo living in Northridge during the Northridge earthquake. Many people had to camp in public parks because we lost our homes. Crazy times.

  • @null0byte
    @null0byte Месяц назад +3

    Wild to call the back-to-back 1811/1812 New Madrid quakes “less intense.” There’s a reason the USGS has labeled that region one of the most dangerous earthquake regions in the US. (It’s a failed continental rift that remains geologically active and tends to create massive quakes every few hundred years or so and has building codes that are woefully inadequate in a region that is severely economically depressed.) The other regions being Alaska, Cascadia, and the whole of the California coastal zone.

  • @reddixiecrat
    @reddixiecrat 2 месяца назад +95

    This video was disappointing. Talks very little about San Andreas for the first 10 minutes. Never says why they expect there to be a big one, never shows if any criteria has been met, and never shows any clues to whether or not it’s getting close.

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад +12

      Agreed. And all the focus on the Salton Sea!!!! The Salton is very very shallow - avg 26 feet. It's not like removing the "weight" of it will matter much. That valley was completely dry from 1500 to 1907, don't forget.

    • @kevinnorth1224
      @kevinnorth1224 2 месяца назад +6

      I agree also. 15 minutes of backstory only to say we don’t know. Clickbait. This author is “pushing” videos on Instagram so I’m going to block that user.

    • @eraymonds
      @eraymonds 2 месяца назад +1

      @jimmydee1130 cool info - are you a geologist or someone who "does their own research?"

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад +3

      @@eraymonds We know the Salton Sink has gone through periods when it was "full" and "bone dry" over the last several thousand years, depending on in-flow from the Colorado., just as there was no singular "Ice Age" but a serious of them over the past million+ years, I suggest reading more.

    • @t.kersten7695
      @t.kersten7695 2 месяца назад

      @@kevinnorth1224 he is probably just advertizing his content on different platforms to get more interested viewers. just like companies tend to advertize in different medias and places too

  • @burkestorti4586
    @burkestorti4586 2 месяца назад +10

    Yea, my grand father (age 16), his siblings & parents, survived the "BIG ONE". they were living in San Francisco in 1906.

    • @andsoitbegins464
      @andsoitbegins464 28 дней назад +1

      @@burkestorti4586 Wow! That really WAS the "big one"!

  • @elizabethwarman9028
    @elizabethwarman9028 Месяц назад +3

    Years ago in Las Vegas, someone asked me which would I rather go through earthquake or Hurricane. I said earthquake, been in a Cat 3 Hurricane on the Big Island in 1974. I will take an earthquake any day.

  • @EarthquakeSim
    @EarthquakeSim 2 месяца назад +15

    Can’t wait to watch this video! I’m happy you’re covering this topic :)

  • @Composedblackness
    @Composedblackness Месяц назад +1

    I think one element of this that you should touch which would probably require a whole video is the impact of blind thrust faults and the fact that there’s a huge blind thrust fault under downtown LA. Love your content

  • @WalterWhiteFootballSharing
    @WalterWhiteFootballSharing 2 месяца назад +21

    I remember the Tool song begging for the end of LA, "one great big festering neon distraction, I have a suggestion to keep you all occupied, Learn to Swim Learn to Swim Learn to swim."

    • @Statsy10
      @Statsy10 2 месяца назад +1

      "Learn to swim, see you down in Arizona Bay!"

    • @gosnooky
      @gosnooky 2 месяца назад

      "H"

  • @discoverglobeliving
    @discoverglobeliving 2 месяца назад +11

    I remember visiting California in 2019 during the Ridgecrest earthquakes-felt a small tremor but nothing like the 'Big One' everyone talks about. It's surprising how it hasn't happened yet, despite all the predictions!

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад +5

      Because you were likely well over 100 miles way.

    • @surfernorm6360
      @surfernorm6360 2 месяца назад +1

      there are no real pridictions just news hype as long as california has regular earrth quakes to relive stress on the san andreas things will be ok the coastal plate is moving north and will always do that . the worst thing is to not have small earthquakes which will make the big one worse.

  • @raymondsiewert2720
    @raymondsiewert2720 2 месяца назад +10

    Never mentioned the "Landers/Big Bear " twin quakes ! 7.3 and 6.6 3 hours apart. One dozen aftershocks above 5.5 over the next 2 years. Then 6 years later in the same region, the 29 palms 7.0 . There was really something going on in that region of Southern California at that time. It tore a crack in the earths crust 56 miles long with up to 12 feet displacement.

  • @garylagstrom3864
    @garylagstrom3864 Месяц назад +3

    I live in Santa Monica California (Los Angeles County) used to live in San Francisco. My house is new and built to current earthquake codes for California and the office I work in has been retrofitted to current California earthquake codes. I have a storm shelter with a month’s worth of food and supplies in the case of an actual earthquake emergency.
    I forgot to add the biggest earthquake I was in: Loma Prieta in San Francisco October 17th 1989. I was at the A’s-Giants World Series game! 15 seconds of pure adrenaline and fear! I’m glad I wasn’t on the Bay Bridge and especially not on the Cypress Expressway!

  • @shandonmeadows8620
    @shandonmeadows8620 2 месяца назад +4

    There is one forgotten detail about the new Madrid earthquake fault line here in Missouri-You forgot to mention that when the 1812 earthquake happened and when the Missouri river reversed flow going north word for a few, that all of the soils and surrounding banks around the Mississippi from St. Louis down to Memphis Tennessee, all had soil liquification happening such a severe case that even diaries and historical context from that earthquake can be found to show just how violent it really was.

  • @paulthomson2466
    @paulthomson2466 28 дней назад +2

    The 1906 San Fransisco earthquake is when the entire city committed Insurance fraud, nobody had "Earthquake Insurance" but a lot of folks had "Fire Insurance" so the city burned for 3 days

    • @rayrayrun
      @rayrayrun День назад

      @paulthomson2466 interesting I would like to know how well our firefighter infrastructure back then

    • @paulthomson2466
      @paulthomson2466 День назад

      @@rayrayrun Not very good, they used horse back then. Plus Some of the fires were started when San Francisco Fire Department firefighters, untrained in the use of dynamite, attempted to demolish buildings to create firebreaks. The dynamited buildings often caught fire. The city's fire chief, Dennis T. Sullivan, who would have been responsible for coordinating firefighting efforts, had died from injuries sustained in the initial quake. In total, the fires burned for four days and nights.
      Most of the destruction in the city was attributed to the fires, since widespread practice by insurers was to indemnify San Francisco properties from fire but not from earthquake damage. Some property owners deliberately set fire to damaged properties to claim them on their insurance. Captain Leonard D. Wildman of the U.S. Army Signal Corps reported that he "was stopped by a fireman who told me that people in that neighborhood were firing their houses...they were told that they would not get their insurance on buildings damaged by the earthquake unless they were damaged by fire" Source: Wikipedia

  • @timothygray6656
    @timothygray6656 4 дня назад +4

    Does removal of oil from the ground help cause earthquakes?

    • @dickball2638
      @dickball2638 4 дня назад

      I think you are referring to "fracking", which is a way to collect "natural gas".

    • @BelwonsenorSimpkriss
      @BelwonsenorSimpkriss 3 дня назад

      Fracking causes earthquakes, The largest fracking quake occurred in Coalinga, California--a 6.5--in 1983.

  • @LyleFrancisDelp
    @LyleFrancisDelp 2 месяца назад +20

    In 2011, The Washington D.C. area experienced a minor quake. I live in Maryland and we felt it. It wasn't that bad, but it did cause some cracking damage to the Washington Monument and some other stone buildings in the area. I also heard some say the foundation of their houses were cracked.

    • @andrewgates8158
      @andrewgates8158 2 месяца назад +1

      How bad was the monument cracking?

    • @cyndimontanaro2902
      @cyndimontanaro2902 2 месяца назад

      I lived in Northern Virginia then and remember it! As a native Californian, I was so freaked out to feel a significant shake on the opposite coast and I remember seeing the cracks in the Washington Monument. A quake doesn't have to be very large to cause problems in that area!

    • @jayandjlps
      @jayandjlps 2 месяца назад

      That was a 5.8, that's pretty moderate. Almost a 6.0 isn't minor at all

    • @animetwilight75
      @animetwilight75 2 месяца назад +1

      @@LyleFrancisDelp i felt it all the way in philly! it was my first earthquake, was 12 years old at the time and i remember running out the bathroom and watching our lamps and dressers shake and everyone running outside to comprehend what just happened. now i live in socal

  • @ETHAN_YANG_Main
    @ETHAN_YANG_Main 2 месяца назад +14

    At least the highest the San Andreas can produce is 8.3. I think people should be more focus on Cascadia (The really Big One) rather than just California because that can produce tsunamis unlike San Andreas.

  • @albeit1
    @albeit1 2 месяца назад +5

    Trying to predict when the next earthquake will strike is like trying to predict in what order all the regular customers will arrive at a coffee shop.

  • @quaoar213
    @quaoar213 2 месяца назад +12

    The BIG ONES occur on subduction zones. SoCal is nowhere near a subduction zone. The type of shaking for minutes just dont happen nearly as often and if a large quake occurs, it lasts for seconds, not minutes

    • @Tirra227
      @Tirra227 2 месяца назад

      😮

    • @BelwonsenorSimpkriss
      @BelwonsenorSimpkriss 3 дня назад

      Actually, there are two plates off the North California coast that are subducting which have created at least two known volcanos: Mount Lassen and Mount Shasta.

    • @quaoar213
      @quaoar213 2 дня назад

      @BelwonsenorSimpkriss NoCal ...yes... not SoCal ....though there is a lesser known super volcano which forms the mono lake area. Im convinced if the moon did form from Earth colliding with another smaller planet, the ring of fire is the scab.

    • @BelwonsenorSimpkriss
      @BelwonsenorSimpkriss 2 дня назад

      @@quaoar213 Interesting idea. That or maybe the impact was a little to the east over Micronesia which may have been an intact continent before the event.

    • @quaoar213
      @quaoar213 8 минут назад

      @BelwonsenorSimpkriss There is a legend of Land or continent in the pacific .

  • @vsznry
    @vsznry 2 месяца назад +16

    The whole Pacific Coast is waiting... Us for "The Big One" down here & Them for "Cascadia" up there.
    12:13 I think Practical Engineering could model & test this lol.

    • @sueerickson9988
      @sueerickson9988 2 месяца назад +2

      Where the San Andreas stops, the Cascadia begins at Cape Mendocino. A strike slip to a subduction zone. Are to two related? I think so.

    • @WastedDad
      @WastedDad 2 месяца назад +1

      I would love to see that video

  • @robynkolozsvari
    @robynkolozsvari 2 месяца назад +7

    it's funny, but to me "The Big One" refers primarily to the Cascadia Subduction Zone quake by default (i'm sure that's entirely unrelated to my living in Oregon lol)

    • @Toxic-po6yb
      @Toxic-po6yb 2 месяца назад

      I think you’re right, the real big one is the cascadia fault

  • @grahamrankin4725
    @grahamrankin4725 2 месяца назад +4

    The Big One is also expected here in Oregon with Portland expected to get worse of it.

    • @edgarruben5754
      @edgarruben5754 2 месяца назад

      Cascadia

    • @Toxic-po6yb
      @Toxic-po6yb 2 месяца назад

      @@grahamrankin4725 that’s the cascadia fault, much much worse

  • @petepeterson8420
    @petepeterson8420 Месяц назад +1

    Well, you stated that the weight of the Salton Sea could affect seismic activity in the area.
    The Salton Sea is about 300 sq miles while the San Francisco Bay is about 1600 sq miles.
    Twice a day SF Bay experiences tidal flow into and out of the bay, directly over the San Andeeas Fault.
    That's a massive weight of water yet no one discusses how that movement directly from one side to the other side
    of that fault is affecting seismic activity in that area.

  • @Aviationguy-b7r
    @Aviationguy-b7r 2 месяца назад +10

    The reason is bc caseoh is still learning how to jump and eventually he will

    • @ienjoywatchingyousleep9431
      @ienjoywatchingyousleep9431 2 месяца назад +2

      I love seeing these random Caseoh jokes 🤣

    • @Xmarkthings
      @Xmarkthings Месяц назад +2

      YES😂 why dont the people realize this? its so OBVIOUS my bookie Case is behind all this

    • @kazuma8486
      @kazuma8486 Месяц назад

      once hes CAPABLE of jumping

  • @TUCSONTITO73
    @TUCSONTITO73 2 месяца назад +4

    WHAT DISTURBS ME IS WHO IN THEIR RIGHT MIND WILL WANT TO WAIT FOR IT TO HIT LIKE YOU MENTIONED IN THE BEGINNING OF THE VIDEO , YOU SAID IT YOURSELF THAT THERE WOULD BE MAYHEM & CARNAGE NOBODY WILL EVER WANT TO GO THROUGH THAT 🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔

  • @mybackhurts7020
    @mybackhurts7020 2 месяца назад +4

    I used to say I was waiting for my beach front property in the desert😂

  • @SuzanneYoung-l3h
    @SuzanneYoung-l3h 2 месяца назад +4

    What about the 7.3 that hit the Yucca Valley area in 92? It was a series of faults that fractured north of the San Andreas. My house had a crack that ran through from north to south across the street and beyond. There were foreshocks and many aftershocks. Could these series of quakes relieved some of the stress?

  • @09Silverbull
    @09Silverbull Месяц назад +3

    It’s not our fault, it’s San Andreas’ fault.

  • @Supershark83
    @Supershark83 2 месяца назад

    Great info and graphics, Geoff.
    One of my favorite subjects 👏👏👏👏

  • @joannloos17
    @joannloos17 2 месяца назад +10

    “Learn to swim”. Ænema by Tool. (I lived on the San Andreas and Hayward faults until I was 40. I now live on the Cascadia)

    • @ChrisNoonetheFirst
      @ChrisNoonetheFirst 2 месяца назад

      Ah yes, trading earthquakes for volcanos

    • @joannloos17
      @joannloos17 2 месяца назад

      @@ChrisNoonetheFirst we’ve got faults up here too. I remember when mt st Helens blew. I was I Seattle for folklife festival and had to drive down I-5 to Corvallis past the Tuttle River. I was in Oakland when the Loma Prieta Earthquake hit, about 5 miles from the collapsed Cypress Structure. I’m waiting for the Cascadia fault on the San Juan de Fuca plate to go. Even with the volcanos and earthquakes, I prefer the west coast. Tornadoes terrify me. I guess it’s what you grew up with….

  • @aaronkaplan3220
    @aaronkaplan3220 Месяц назад

    I live about 15 minutes from the San Andreas fault in San Bernardino, I can go drive to the 138 pull over to the side and just explore the fault line, the rocks are so incredible with insane formations

  • @rickazca774
    @rickazca774 2 месяца назад +7

    Been through 3 in L.A. 1971, 1987, and 1994. The '94 quake was over 7.0. It threw me out of my bed and destroyed my apartment. They called it 6.7 rumor had it so they insurance companies wouldn't have to make huge payouts. That one was big. Unlike rain, snow, tornados and hurricanes, they just cant predict earthquakes. They come out of nowhere.

  • @Aguanga_cowboy007
    @Aguanga_cowboy007 2 месяца назад +1

    1994 I was living in New Hall. The apartments my parents and I lived in were new (the top of Lyons Ave by camping world) and the week after we unpacked our last box, we got the red flag on our building.
    People in panic were fleeing the area probably not aware on how badly damaged Interstate 5 was (not to mention the 14 (?) Heading towards Palmdale).
    I think the humorous side of it all is the shock started to wear off when the sun started to come up (people realized hair wasn't brushed, no makeup, everyone in boxers and pajamas).

  • @stevebragg4256
    @stevebragg4256 2 месяца назад +6

    Superman stopped Lex Luthor's stolen missle from hitting the fault line years ago. No Marina Del Lex.

    • @williamwilkins3084
      @williamwilkins3084 2 месяца назад +1

      According to Mad magazine's parody of that movie, Superman never made it in time and it blew up California AND him.

    • @Novastar.SaberCombat
      @Novastar.SaberCombat 2 месяца назад

      Some real doot-dah-dooze here. Regular Bill Burr clones for certain.

  • @DavidJohnRedwood
    @DavidJohnRedwood 2 месяца назад +1

    I live in New Zealand, and we have several faults that could go anytime. The big one nearest me in Christchurch is the Alpine Fault. The Aust and NZ plates rub together and then "go off" approximately every 300 years and the last one was in 1717. There is going to be a huge amount of damage done when we get it. The timing and severity, like San A, can not be predicted, but especially if it's a 7 or 8 mag quake, it will not be pretty.

  • @JayL781
    @JayL781 2 месяца назад +4

    No one's in a hurry for the big one
    ....Easy.... Don't wake it..
    I do not want to be all shook up.
    I'm more concerned about the PG&e hikes or why eggs are so much?

  • @JeffL-d9o
    @JeffL-d9o 4 дня назад

    Highly praise the video presentation!

  • @Alphafonz
    @Alphafonz 2 месяца назад +3

    You can’t talk about earthquakes and not talk about Loma Prieta!

  • @LunaBella2006
    @LunaBella2006 10 дней назад

    They've been saying that for ages. I was 8 years old when I first heard it now I'm 48. I lived in LA as a child so I was scared.

  • @tuan_ha
    @tuan_ha 2 месяца назад +3

    Video starts at 10:24

  • @HomieJuanKenobi688
    @HomieJuanKenobi688 2 месяца назад +2

    On February 27, 2010, I experienced the 8.8 magnitude earthquake in Chile, and as a structural engineer, I can tell you that if a 7.5 or higher earthquake strikes Southern California, the consequences could be devastating. About a third of the buildings may collapse, potentially resulting in thousands of deaths. Another third could catch fire due to disrupted water supplies, power outages, and limited access for firefighters, leading to even more casualties. The remaining third may fall victim to fires caused by rioting. And if the earthquake triggers a tsunami, it could claim thousands more lives. Be prepared, as such an event could happen at any time.

  • @gawebm
    @gawebm 2 месяца назад +6

    All kinds of info that have nothing to do with the title. Stopped watching. Switched to "don't' recommend channel"

    • @Tirra227
      @Tirra227 2 месяца назад

      😮😢😮😢

  • @Your-Local-Animator
    @Your-Local-Animator 4 дня назад

    Hi, I live right on the fault line and I’ve felt more earthquakes than ever before lately. Ever since 2023 (the one in Hilary) earthquakes have just gotten stronger. I can hear my walls shake now and I hope that this quake doesn’t happen in a looooooooong time 😭

  • @amcname494
    @amcname494 2 месяца назад +4

    I think the New Madrid earthquake was maybe not the best example for eastern and Central U.S. earthquakes, which are as mentioned usually less frequent and less intense. The thing is the 1811-12 New Madrid earthquake was a monster of a quake, right up there with the 04 Sumatra and 11 Eastern Japan earthquakes. There was a quake on the Cape in 2011, it is over 4.0 on the Richter scale. Huge. Now that is a eastern U.S. quake.

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад

      New Madrid was nothing of the sort - nowhere near the intensity of a major subduction quake.

    • @AslanKyoya1776
      @AslanKyoya1776 2 месяца назад

      @@jimmydee1130 Maybe not on the richter scale, but the seismic waves from those types of faults are felt much further away. There are reports that church bells rang as far away as New York and Boston. Those types of faults are left over from when the ice melted away after the last ice age. California is on a continental type of fault line, which is deeper and generally causes bigger quakes, but the waves do not travel as far, thus why you cannot feel a major quake from SF in LA and vice versa.

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад +1

      @@AslanKyoya1776 We've all heard the church bell stories. The relatively un-faulted eastern US allows seismic waves to travel undisturbed and for longer distances. The MORE faulted West absorbs and deflects seismic energy.

  • @RyanandSharonWelch
    @RyanandSharonWelch 9 часов назад

    I go to your site when I need to find something out and I need to hear a clear concise understanding of something geographic especially this one about California. I was nine years old in the 1989 earthquake hit. There are lots of people in the north that wish the San Andreas Fault line would just break apart because there’s parts of Southern California that are dictating what happens to the rest of California and it can be very irritating.

  • @gregbarnett5299
    @gregbarnett5299 2 месяца назад +5

    Congratulations, I glad you finally learned how to pronounce New MAD-rid.

    • @Hippydaze35
      @Hippydaze35 2 месяца назад +1

      the shade is real, honey! Hehehehe😅

  • @BellaMirelli
    @BellaMirelli 11 дней назад

    In the northwest we have the same thing. Were supposed to have a devastating one thats supposed to hit between pretty much anytime and a few hundred years from now. And its becoming a huge conversation in Portland in relation to infrastructure these days.

  • @ShonnMorris
    @ShonnMorris 2 месяца назад +3

    The New Madrid earthquakes were very intense. In fact they were the strongest earthquakes ever recorded in the lower 49 states, stronger than any that have occurred on the San Andreas Fault so far.

    • @Zenflyn
      @Zenflyn 2 месяца назад

      were you there did you feel it? then no proof

    • @ShonnMorris
      @ShonnMorris 2 месяца назад

      @@Zenflyn This is a very low IQ reply. You know the information is out there right and you can verify it for yourself. It's almost as if me saying that hit you personally LOL

    • @warreneckels4945
      @warreneckels4945 2 месяца назад +1

      California saw s 7.9 in 1853 and the 1906 earthquake was a 7.8. New Madrid quakes were probably a rough tie.
      New Madrid was the most widely felt quake. A quake east of the Rockies sends shock waves that are not intercepted by other geological features...sort of like hitting a bell. California's faults keep the effects of a quake within a smaller area...sort of like striking a rockpile with a sledge hammer.
      A 7.4 would disable transport across the Ohio and Mississippi Rivers for months. Buildings built since 1812 (almost all of them) would collapse in placee like St. Louis, Memphis and Louisville. Chicago would see serious damage. Every building east of the Mississippi would need inspection because a mere 6.0 in Western Virginia was enough to compromise buildings in DC.

    • @S.K.R.E.Inc.
      @S.K.R.E.Inc. 2 месяца назад

      Dang, and now seeing the uprise in seismic activity east of the Rockies is starting to get worrisome. First tornadoes and hurricanes, now they gotta deal with what California deals with geologically as well? Also, wasn't the 7.9 in 1857? And the 1906 San Francisco quake was more likely in the 8.0-8.3 range

    • @ShonnMorris
      @ShonnMorris 2 месяца назад

      @@S.K.R.E.Inc. Originally, the 1906 was thought to be an 8.3 and the New Madrid around 8.7. Now the 1906 is usually put at around 7.9 and New Madrid estimated at around 8.1 or so. And yes, earthquakes occur in the Midwest and California does get tornadoes although EF-0 or EF-1s at the most.

  • @jamesdobrovnik
    @jamesdobrovnik 2 месяца назад

    Very good research young man.

  • @_Breakdown
    @_Breakdown 2 месяца назад +91

    Blame trump. Get it? It’s Trump’s “fault”.

    • @Ferventdisciple7
      @Ferventdisciple7 2 месяца назад +3

      Yes very interesting topic, I cannot wait!

    • @arielquelme
      @arielquelme 2 месяца назад +7

      🤣

    • @Tudomummeum
      @Tudomummeum 2 месяца назад

      You forget this is the Left Coast. The next quake will be Pelosal and Tsunami level will be Waters at the Maxine level 😶

    • @hurricaneheather1420
      @hurricaneheather1420 2 месяца назад +5

      @@_Breakdown 🤣🤣🤣🤣 that was hilarious 😂

    • @JoshRowe-f6k
      @JoshRowe-f6k 2 месяца назад

      @@_Breakdown This is brilliant!

  • @jimmyc7803
    @jimmyc7803 2 месяца назад

    as a casual student of the radical theory of plate tectonics in the 1960’s I found this fascinating. thanks.

  • @stuartaaron613
    @stuartaaron613 2 месяца назад +3

    The problem with California is that it is faulty.

  • @ExistingSmiles
    @ExistingSmiles Месяц назад

    We have had a few earthquakes this year, i live in southern California for reference- i don’t know how strong they were but since we always have a few a year they’re pretty normal, the worst one i can remember was when i was little, it was pretty big. the tree at our church fell over, our neighbor’s roof fell in, and it made horrible potholes and cracks in our streets

  • @Daniel-ii6kf
    @Daniel-ii6kf 2 месяца назад +3

    Just like how they said Miami would be underwater 60 years ago...

  • @TommyThomson777
    @TommyThomson777 2 месяца назад

    Your site is fantastic! So informative . I wish I could afford one of your cool beautiful maps.

  • @Bothomas-vm5hz
    @Bothomas-vm5hz Месяц назад

    I recently came across a 2004 mini series film called 10.5 its literally like 4 hours long, It was Hard to find this full series but some of the content is very good to watch and is well detailed in the story. Its not really a popular film but i found it very interesting

  • @3rdandlong
    @3rdandlong 2 месяца назад

    You also forgot to mention that over the past several months, Portland has had over a dozen shakers averaging 2.5. There was one back in 2001 that was a 4.6. And there was one along the coast that was felt in the Willamette Valley about 60 miles away around 88-89.

  • @marcadiadd5681
    @marcadiadd5681 2 месяца назад +2

    11:47 to skip to an actual discussion of the question

  • @gilgarcia3008
    @gilgarcia3008 2 месяца назад +1

    Where I lived in Southern California the Northridge quake shook for nearly two minutes. I lived through that one, the Sierra Madre Quake, the Whittier Narrows Quake that was about ten miles from my house, and damaged many older buildings. The Narrows quake popped steel riveted beams at the ALCOA plant where I worked. I also experienced many more quakes from 4 to 5 magnitude. Also since I’ve been retired living in El Paso we’ve had two here.

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад

      It shook for about 15 seconds. Just SEEMED like two minutes.

    • @gilgarcia3008
      @gilgarcia3008 2 месяца назад

      @@jimmydee1130 no it kept shaking where I lived close to the LA river, and had my kids freaked out because it wouldn’t stop shaking. Believe me I know the difference between 15 seconds and a minute or more.

    • @jimmydee1130
      @jimmydee1130 2 месяца назад

      @@gilgarcia3008 I was wrong. And so were you. REALLY wrong. "Lasting approximately 8 seconds and achieving the largest peak ground acceleration of over 1.7 g, it was the largest earthquake in the area since 1971". From Wikipeda. Take it up with the USGS. And living near the River has nothing to do with it.

  • @elizabethwarman9028
    @elizabethwarman9028 Месяц назад +1

    The same thing happened before the January 1994 6.7 Earthquake. I firmly believe smaller quakes occur before a major quake.

  • @Killersanchez256
    @Killersanchez256 2 месяца назад

    Here in Kern County we felt a good amount of earthquake shocks around 5.4 a month or two ago. It wasn't so bad where I was, but some videos had peoples objects in homes tossed everywhere. Similar thing happened in Ridgecrest in 2019 as discussed in the video.

  • @ElicBehexan
    @ElicBehexan 2 месяца назад +1

    I live in Central Texas and I have never felt an earthquake. My mother lived for about a year in Sacramento. She said they would leave in the morning and return to find the pictures were tilted. She never felt any quakes. Until she went to China. On the way back from an Elderhostel visit to China, the group was overnight in Japan, close to the airport in Tokyo. Her roommate that day was from California. She called my mother in and told her to sit on the bed. That was when suddenly the whole room was shaking. She told me that if she never felt another earthquake it would be too soon.

  • @joycegonzalez4704
    @joycegonzalez4704 2 месяца назад +1

    Very Informative...Thanks

  • @vdcg2010
    @vdcg2010 День назад

    Born and raised here is SoCal and I’ve been hearing about the big one since I was a kid 54 years ago and the only reason for this incoming big one is that “We’re overdue for one” is all we hear. 🙄🙄🙄

  • @AgnotologyTV
    @AgnotologyTV 5 дней назад +1

    Just give it time. Everyone in California is unlucky to be in California.

  • @punker4Real
    @punker4Real 2 месяца назад +2

    1857 Fort Tejon earthquake Magnitude 7.9

  • @joebehrdenver
    @joebehrdenver 2 месяца назад +1

    From the local (CA) news, it sounds like the next "Big One" may well be on the Hayward Fault east of San Francisco.

    • @zzygyy
      @zzygyy 2 месяца назад

      36 years since the last big quake in SF. Who knows

  • @granddeer2974
    @granddeer2974 2 месяца назад +2

    Within one minute of a strong earthquake, someone will come to this video and say “well this aged poorly”

  • @lordraiden5398
    @lordraiden5398 9 дней назад

    I lived in Culver City during the January 1994 Northridge earthquake. I was not waiting around for the big one. I was gone by fall of 1995.

  • @leslymaguire8564
    @leslymaguire8564 2 месяца назад

    your audio is much improved. I like the speaking style.

  • @TheDrummer4yahweh
    @TheDrummer4yahweh 2 месяца назад

    The Dutchsinse Method of earthquake forecasting is the forefather of seismic forecasting that will be included with the weather forecasting portion of network news…

  • @mendynoma4272
    @mendynoma4272 2 месяца назад

    Nice presentation.

  • @geneotrexler8246
    @geneotrexler8246 2 месяца назад

    Good video 👍🏼

  • @davidcwitkin6729
    @davidcwitkin6729 Месяц назад

    Cali's Big One is on a Group Holiday, sharing an island getaway with the Cascadia Fault, New Madrid, Naples and Istanbul. When these ladies come home, though, it's gonna be a shattering experience all over.

  • @nitemare1004
    @nitemare1004 2 месяца назад

    i remember in spring of 2005 my brother's girlfriend's mother thought that there was going to be the BIG one that summer, so she packed up (just the moster) and left the state and moved to Georgia. 19 years later and nothing...

  • @bob_._.
    @bob_._. 2 часа назад

    Evidence suggests that whenever the whole length of Cascadia ruptures, San Andreas also experiences a "big one"

  • @MendoboysTV
    @MendoboysTV Месяц назад

    Shocked you didn’t talk about the Juan De Fuka juncture off the Humbolt County Coast in CA, within the last few years there’s been numerous 6+ magnitude earthquakes, I was caught in the 6.8 that hit last year & it was a crazy experience

    • @MendoboysTV
      @MendoboysTV Месяц назад

      The last two actually hit EXACTLY a year apart from each other, which was an interesting fact

  • @FreemanJS91
    @FreemanJS91 Месяц назад

    Regarding the Salton Sea, the area in the past was also the site of the larger Lake Cahuilla, which existed from the last ice age to the 16th century. Some say the weight of that giant lake and the water seeping into the fault may have made it more prone to large quakes in the past. If I recall correctly there are two large ruptures which respectively occurred in the 1100s and 1400s which made the fault break from today’s Salton Sea to the city of Parkfield. The ruptures would have had to have been between 8.1 and 8.3 on the moment magnitude scale.

  • @Nostrudoomus
    @Nostrudoomus Месяц назад +1

    So sad, there are soo many answers in history and people don’t know history! California’s earthquake history was created by the very large lakes that formed near Baja 100 years ago and longer. Those lakes grew very large whenever there was a wet winter, water is very heavy so that weight caused the large earthquake seen in California history.

  • @pauliedweasel
    @pauliedweasel 4 дня назад

    I experienced a ‘Big One’ this morning myself!