Why an Iran-Israel war now looks (relatively) unlikely
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- Опубликовано: 19 апр 2024
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In the early hours of Friday morning, Israel apparently struck Iran. While it appears that no damage has been done, in this video, we examine if this strike finally puts an end rising tensions between Israel and Iran, and what could happen next.
Will An Iran-Israel War Break Out?: • Will An Iran-Israel Wa...
Iran Strikes Israel: What Next?: • Iran Strikes Israel: W...
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It's crazy how much theater both sides are going through to not go to war. In a more sane world they could just, you know, not attack each other at all.
This is the sane world. It goes by the same logic of if you're raising a child and act like a total push over regardless of rules you try to set, then there's a much higher chance the child will grow up entitled and expecting the same treatment from everyone else. It's easy to say what you're saying from a fake safe bubble but u're not living in a sane world. Although, reality is starting to knock on all our doorsteps so who knows how long that'll last.
Religion has a part to play with it.
it's also a way for both countries to display their drones/missiles systems.. whether it's for offence or defense. How else are they going to demo? Unfortunately for civilians it only creates stress and anxiety... and in some cases their lives. Pretty stupid
but there is a war, its simply handled via proxies in Syria and Lebanon.
On what do you base this claim? What do you know about the region, and the consequences of attacking, not attacking, or sending a statement with a very limited attack?
5:35 You misspoke calling it a Israeli consulate instead of a Iranian consulate.
Who'd knew WW3 was going to go with Iranian army posting memes mocking Israel.
Me
WWI started with assassination of Franz Ferdinan
WWII started with Hitler invading Poland
WWIII starts with memes.
@@ajohndaeal-asad6731 wouldnt want the end of the world any other way
War...war never changes. Nobody knew who posted the first meme, but in the end nothing was left standing.
Humans being human.
damn this was uploaded the second I searched TLDR for a video in Iran and Isreal lol
Syria is fine, Iraq experienced true democracy and all their people are free without government to respond, and arabian desert sands can't speak.
Do your own research 😂
@@garfield1245 That's exactly what he's doing. Or do you expect him to book a flight to Tel Aviv and interview their defense staff about their plans?
@@mathskafunda4383tldr on this situation isn’t really helping yourself on learning what’s going on.
@sowishful would you suggest something else?
Bagdad, the city that is the father of all bags
actually it is just the western pronounciation in arabic it is written with the special ghayn letter
👜🎒👝💼
BagBag
🎒👨
Your take on the city is intriguing and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter
They fixed the cactus, folks. The cactus is OK.
At this point I swear it's a metaphor for the news. The more worrying the news, the closer to the edge it gets
@@user-ml1rv1jk3wexplain the metaphor?
@@jamesgabor9284 The more worrying the news, the closer to the edge it gets
**cheering and whistling**
@@user-ml1rv1jk3w the doomsday cactus 😅
"In the early hours of Friday morning, something happened"
No. Nothing ever happens.
Nah.
Take a drink every time he says 'Hawkish' :P
FARDEd 😂
It’s a good ol British term
The target was apparently the air defense system protecting the nuclear sites near Isfahan with diversionary drone strikes. Whatever weapon was used destroyed the radar of S300 AA position.
The purpose was to show the Iranian regime that the nuclear sites will be targeted in case of a major escalation
The attack was also equal and proportionate in damage. Without regard of missile defense systems and "aspirations," Iran's attack damaged one airbase; Israel's attack did likewise. If violence is also a language, Netanyahu is fluent and nuanced. It would be more difficult to communicate that diplomatically.
@@epinephrinsr71from reports I saw, the Israeli attack was very light in terms of what was sent, unlike the Iranian one, and the missiles that did hit the Iranian defense system were not detected by it.
In that way Israel signaled Iran that they can both bypass their air defenced, and that they can do a lot of damage, and target critical sites.
@@galgrunfeld9954 not to mention, they likely also infiltrated the country’s intelligence service
Can everyone just stop killing each other?
Tell that to Hamas terrorists
Unfortunately we don't work like that. For better or for worse.
Though that's no reason to give up trying, hence diplomacy.
Hi, Nice work as always.
Just one small details:
Khomeini died in 1989.
Current leader name is Khamenei ( with A )
Both of them are the same piece of trash but yeh.
But you know, I am happy there is no war between Israel and Iran.
Slava 🇹🇼😊
TLDR be like:
Iran and Israel on war
Iran and Israel on peace?
Iran and Israel on war [very likely]
Iran and Israel on peace? [very likely]
Iran and Israel again on war [unlikely]
Iran and Israel again on peace? [unlikely]
Iran attack Israel
Israel attack Iran
Israel want's to join Iran? [very unlikely]
hawkish bellicose dovishness bro really pulled out the thesaurus for this one
😂😂😂
"Hawkish" and "dovish" aren't _that_ uncommon though.
...literally common foreign policy terms.
My guy, these are the most basic terms used in political analysis. Just because you haven't finished school yet, doesn't mean everyone has a barren mind like yourself.
bellicose aint that weird
Much less clickbait than before. Kudos!
0:39 Please put datestamps in all your videos. Beautiful content!
Thanks God you are back, i can watch and not skip this video.
Good video.
Isn't the 2nd blow in an exchange the only one that's "retaliation"? I don't think 3rd and subsequent blows have special names. They're just 'failures of proportionality' or something.
A retaliation for a retaliation makes the whole world retaliated as Mahatma Gandhi said
@casperes0912 I remember when Gandhi said "it's retaliating time" and retaliated all over the place
it's called an escalation
remember when Trump assassinated Soleymani when he was in Iraq?(Soleymani had gave intel to U.S. military about Al-qaida in 2000's and fought ISIS in Iraq) imagine what Israel or the U.S. would do if that happened to them, and then Israel attacks an embassy(consulate to be exact), I don't think they even wanted to retaliate, its that they had to, they said if UN condemned it they wouldn't even retaliate, that's pretty tame compared to how Israel handles things tbh
@@Shinbaal99no it’s not. Iran sent the biggest missile attack in a day in history
1:13 by using a map of only internally recognised Israeli territory for Israel, and a map where Golan Heights are occupied by Israel for Syria, you made it look like they don't share a border
“No damages have been done”
TLDR probably missed a handful of OSINT satellite images and US confirmation
just hopped on
Here we go again
error at 5:33 - should be Iranian consulate
Did the countries between Israel and Iran say anything about this attack crossing their airspace?
This is the question I have in my mind and been asking myself.,
All I have seen is people hatred against Iran😢😢
Syria and Iraq have no say about what happens in their airspaces because they have no power to defend it. Jordan? That's another question...
Jordan and Saudi Arabia actually shot down some of the Iranian missiles and drones flying over their airspace so they're not happy about it. But Israel makes theirs fly exclusively over Syria and Iraq because, as the last commenter said, it's not like their government actually have any power or even control their country anyway.
All those countries except Jordan are Iranian vassal state and guess which country among them shot down Iranian missiles
Jordan and Saudi Arabia actually shot down some of the Iranian missiles and drones who flew over them so they're presumably not happy about it. As for Iraq and Syria, well, they'd need to be actual united countries first before we could know what their whole country thinks about it.
personally i wouldnt think less of iran if they choose restraint.
all the war and conflict is getting too sickening already.
Israel used palne ballistic missile, the were developed as practice test for Arrow 2 and 3, and it seems someone has came up with idea about arming them and using against Iran.
Davcam coming strong in the beginning of the video.
Can governments plz stop edging the world?
Sure alot of channels who sound gleeful at the prospect of war.
They reported some American "news" and you could see they DEFINITELY don't favor the side of peace, they need to capitalize on the content. I just clicked on the video to watch 30 seconds and click off.
Not true. Israel damaged Irans S300s. The attack was a show of force and capability as the drones were not launched from Israel but rather somewhere closer to Iran that shouldn’t be possible
You kind of forgot to mention that Israel destroyed multiple S300 AA radars and that the attack wasn't just shut down completely by destroying drones. Israel sent Iran a message saying they can do more damage than what they did with hundreds of missiles and drones, with just a few tiny drones, any time and any place they want.
the answer to what happen on attack on Iranian base: ruclips.net/user/shortsNfYxBG1xxPU
The video time is 9:11. Is TLDR telling us something?
*9:12
@@StarterOffical-Jousha-lf6ig it was literally 9:11 for me. Now it's changed.
Haha, imagine they changed it@@grimreaper999
Still 911
9:12
Why does this feel like a complete distraction?
quick who has more votes from the public? Raisi or Sunak?
Suspected, hmmm
At this point humanity is just a sitcom for aliens
When was this written ? Satalite photos suggest damage was done.
I think Israel didn't expect how being so openly aggressive is losing them support rapidly, they've become too comfortable being so hawkish, victory is defeating them, they've forgotten their power comes directly from the west
It's a bad leader clawing desperately onto power, he's already on the chopping block come next election unless I'm mistaken
Standing up to yourself as a Jew is unpopular
@@Ihatehandlesfashyyoutube what? jewish people are some of the most educated and successful people on the planet
being openly pro-war is not 'standing up for yourself'
Their only power comes from asserting their victimhood and appealing to past trauma - as an excuse to spread terror unto people who had nothing to do with it
@@Ihatehandlesfashyyoutube It's fine to defend oneself, it's not fine to kill thousands (at least) and endanger millions by claiming to try to root out a terrorist organisation oneself nurtured into power. And anti-zionism is only anti-semitic because its Jews doing the occupying and genocide. If Palestine were occupied by Christians or any other group resistance would be just as harsh and of course that resistance would boil over into hate (just look a the Muslim resistance to the Crusader States, which was equally justified as the resistance of today)
Israel destroyed the S-300 command centre, the ayatollah's name is "Khamenei" not Khomeini! and referencing to Holly Dagres's tweet? she's with the regime in Iran, I gave up after this one
5:35 Iranian consulate?
Your video title suggests anticipation of war rather than an appreciation of calm. Shouldn't the title reflect this: "It appears an Iran-Israel war is relatively calming down," instead of "Why an Iran-Israel war now seems (relatively) unlikely"?...😊
Cause he wishes the destruction of the middle east. And he has wet dreams about a jewish terror state over the whole region. That's how he also favors Israel in his news statement instead of being rational and calling it a aggressive terroristic act. How can someone be so blind? He also did that in the last video. He wrote that Iran escalated the situation like killing innocent people in an ambassy isn't a warcrime but retaliating and killing no one is.
Any intelligence analyst worth their work could have predicted this blasé outcome
00:05:34 Netanyahu blew up an Israeli consulate last month?????
**Iranian. that's an unfortunate error but they mentioned it at the beginning of the video
TLDR said unlikely. I'm immediately on my way to the local bookie to place a bet on a full-blown conflict.
As a iranian.
Because of these drone attacks between iran and isreal.
I have to use vpn for discord too because of new sanctions😢
Considering no shared border they might keep shooting missles and drones at each other. Untill Arabia has enough
Taking iran at its word is as foolish as taking Putins word as truth
Retaliates?? Or do you mean escalates??
6:27 and the Israel hostage Hamas kidnapped 😢
Man this guy knows nothing about how Israel operates
Also neither one have a military that could fight a war abroad. Both Iran and Israel designed their military to defend the homeland not fight in a prolonged war abroad. Basically they both have far more pressing domestic issues
1:07 ''Suspected'' ? You sure choose your words biasedly
When I heard the word suspected I was abit confused. But thanks for clearing that up and letting me know this dude is actually biased. Dunno how I didn't pick up on that myself.
News has to make all unconfirmed statements "suspected" or "alleged", or risk legal problems.
The two countries don't even share a border with one another compared to Ukraine and Russia.
That's great now can my stocks please go back up.
How would they even get to each other without invading other nations?
As I said in a previous comment on another video, the supreme leader will not step aside he will die on the throne. I wonder if the alliance with Israel could be repaired? (They were allies before the revolution).
not until the Islamic Republic is toppled
The alliance was with the previous regime. There is nothing to repair. If the Iranian people will succeed in toppling their brutal regime, all the hostility will be gone in an instant, as this conflict isn't with the Iranian people, but with the regime.
@@ChilledfishStick I apologize I should have been more clear I should have meant if that theocracy is toppled, and whatever new government emerges in Iran, (a restoration of the monarchy, Democratic Republic, non-ideological Technocrats for a time).
@@michaelstone5298 I don't have polling data, but I've seen Iranian dissidents speak, and I've only seen support for Israel. I think that they see parallels between their situation at home, and the Islamist organizations around Israel. Especially since they're funded by Iran.
I'd imagine that they view some parallels with the situation in Lebanon as well.
If those are the people who will emerge from a hypothetical collapse of the Iranian regime, there would be nothing to mend.
@@ChilledfishStick yes I wonder if the US and Israel would Evan raise the issue of non proliferation at all? ☢️ Not that Iran as a Nation douse not have legitimate reasons for wanting nukes! 🇮🇳🇵🇰🇷🇺🇸🇦🇦🇪 Whatever sort of regime might appear when it many of the Arab governments fall.
Imagine going here for your news, and thinking that you actually know something about the subject.
It has already been reported that Iranian air defense systems around the Natanz nuclear facility have been completely ruined.
Source?
@@samrevlej9331 Why are you asking???? Antisemetic!!!!
@@TyroneLangamyuck, you zionist
@@samrevlej9331SUCH ANTISEMITISM
Who reported this exactly?
You accidentally said "Khomeini" but Khomeini was the previous supreme leader, and he died many years ago. Khamenei is the current leader.
Reminds me of hitler and himmler.
it was always unlikely tbh
They are clearly having a Bro-Down. "What, bra? What you gonna do, bro?"
1:12 « suspected » ?
why are you parroting the lie that an iranian consulate was blown up, when in reality it was the building next to it, which was used by it but wasn't officially part of it?
Somehow saying irans top spy master general was assassinated is too deep apparently.
Jesus, most people don’t even know Hamas. Hezbollah, Houthis, are all just Iran proxies and paid terrorist.
Amazing how, what the entire world considers exceedingly hawkish from Israel, is somehow STILL considered dovish in Israel.
Why the terrorist entity did such a limited response ?
WE don't know what are they planning with their supporter (the west).
Maybe this is an opportunity for you to rethink this "terrorist entity" tag that people have made you assign. Reality is not black and white, and people pushing you to think that way do it because they don't want you to think
As you wrote from Moscow.
How hard is it to find a person to lead Iran that doesn’t wear pajamas all day?
Who decides which news matters?
HAPPY BIRTHDAY KHOMENI
no point in starting a war
Iran has lost numerous top commanders, military officers, regular soldiers, and nuclear scientists, for no casualties inflicted on Israel. That is, Iran has not been able or willing to do harm inside Israel by attacks launched from its own soil. Israel on the other hand has with some regularity taken out dozens of Iranian targets over the years. Surely in the grand scheme this must count as an Israeli victory and an Iranian defeat.
LOL
Fuck around with funding proxy wars and attacks, founds out what happens in response.
5:40 not an Israeli consulate
New details posted by Israeli media and bloggers reveal that the strike hit an S300 air defense system near an Iranian nuclear site and was meant to show Iran that Israel can hit it's nuclear sites at will but chooses not to do so
I thought you guys were supposed to be left wing and be against Israel.
You can think anything you want about this conflict, but it's a fact that when Austria-Hungary still existed, none of this "Israel-Palestine-Iran" thing was going on
Just saying
Also, before Israhell colonised Palestine, there were literally no US enemies in ME!!!!
Peter pulling the good jokes today
This is just simply a fact, you cannot prove me wrong
Leave Iran’s F-14s alone. They’re the only ones still flying. 🛩️
The cactus has been moved back to a safer position. *I REPEAT! THE CACTUS IS SAFELY ON THE SHELF AND IS NO LONGER HALFWAY OFF OF IT! WE DID GOOD!* 🌵
On another note, this conflict finds new and innovative ways of getting more depressing.
2:15 A small minority is not the public
Iran is all bark and no bite
Said Cyber Dog?
Hi
Khamenei:Would you lose.
Netanyahu:Nah I'd win.
Netanyahu: Ahh yes my anti-Iran technique which I haven't used since heian era
nothing ever happens
Iran's attack was the retaliation though. This is Israel's counterattack/escalation to the initial retaliation
Israel’s attack was retaliation, Irans attack was escalation.
which was in response to the devastating october 7th terrorist attack that was launched by Iranian proxies. It's all relative. This is a war that has been going on for much longer than oct-7 2023, decades and decades.
So 10/07 just didn’t happen? Or the three prior wars Palestine started ?
Iran's attack was the escalation. The strike on Zahedi was a retaliation, for October 7th.
RUclips or OP removed all the comments lmao cringe af.
Its all a game
This reminds me of a school yard shoving match where everybody wants to look tough, but nobody wants to actually fight
No I think Netanyahu believed that he could get America to fight his war for him and when they refused he realized he has a snow ball chance in hell against Iran if he faught his war on his own.
I dont believe that because our nuclear forces were on the highest level of alert on thursday evening/friday am. And biden has basically said "we wont strike with you but if iran strikes back then we'll help". They were ready if Iran would have responded immediately as they said.
I think more likely they got in his ear about the chain reaction and unknowns of popping off WW3. Possibly out of fear too of Russia providing them unknown weapons.
Cope harder.
@@AL-lh2ht huh?
@@AL-lh2htCry more.
It was never likely
2:43 if the US would have been under attack of 500 drones and missiles, they would have removed the attacking country from the face of the earth
Telling us that stopping the attack is a win is so stupid
4:52 you don’t know Israel at all… Israel rarely take responsibility to attacks such as this
Israel want to fix its border ( especially from the Lebanon ) and Iranian leadership being extremely unpopular among its own people don't want want an escalation either in order to stay in power.
Both have done the face-saving. But Iranian direct attacks actually gave an opportunity to the Israel. Earlier the Israel was facing lots of international pressure. But after the direct attack narrative has been changed. Now Israel gonna focus more to fix its neighborhood rather than fighting with Iran. Its a win-win situation for Israel.
That dodgy US Israel deal is crazy There’s no telling how many people are going to die during that operation.
Who need to know now. Just know this. Israel never missed
Nothing is gonna happen for now..the Islamic Regime Army was begging not to escalate any further
Nah the zionists are scared of little children
Strike who?
Shouldn't Israel keep going after Iran if there is a chance the Islamic regime is weak and could be toppled ? It would cut their proxies off too
without their dad USA isra,el can do nothing.
@@rakibulhassan7325
1967 was definitely not "nothing".
Lmao let’s see how this video ages (04/20/2024)
In a world where genocide reigns,
Palestinians trapped, enduring pains,
Countless massacres stain history's page,
Governments silent, turning the stage.
We forget to raise our voices high,
Injustice thrives, while principles die.
Where is our democracy's cherished light?
Lost in the shadows of a silent fight.
Humanity's moral compass veers astray,
As leaders turn blind, ignoring the fray.
IDF's atrocities, a despicable toll,
Yet silence reigns, taking its toll.
In these dark times, let our outcry increase.
Let's reclaim our values, our humanity's guide,
And stand united, with justice as our pride.
"The absence of justice is the absence of peace,”- True M
6:29 yeah, i dont trust this.
Qatari newspaper, “unnamed Egyptian officials”
I'm just not going to world war 3 without the support of God over Dispensationalist Heresy my dude.
Just playing footsies. So cute
19 seconds ago and no comments
1:15 "Iran was escalating in order to eventually de-escalate" A.K.A. war is peace, freedom is slavery, ignorance is knowledge.