But it's a bribe to the voter through inducement. We need to amend the election laws (PRA) to stop all freebies, otherwise countries economy will be distroyed.@@markvelber8664
RSS no longer needed by BJP is not a theory. It was publicly stated by Nadda. There have also been many BJP people who said Nadda is clueless for several years now.
Actually this is the correct stance by bjp. This is related to upcoming demographic distribution in next 10 years. Although Hindu population is 70%, the tfr is negative so we Hindus will rapidly shrink. Many old people will die in next 10 yrs. Meanwhile muslim population has many young voters by next election and thereafter. Hence bjp will alienate and recalibrate their perceived image. More and more you will find such things coming from bjp in coming years
@@ashwinipingle8832 before one gets to the long term, the short term needs to be dealt with. Modi has already sidelined the more militant Hindu orgs. This allows the Muslims to rule the streets. It would have worked if Police across India came down on them heavily but that is obviously not the case. Even in UP the police are a rowdy lot, and continue to misuse power.
1 trillion usd economy for UP is now up in smoke …no investor will money in UP when it know the Gunda Raj can come anytime. This loss of confidence will be terrible for UP economy going forward and formalization of economy
Yes agreed. All opposition leaders should be put in jail before all elections. If possible they should be barred from running. BJP will win hands down.
People already voted against tyranny to bring back electoral autocracy to democracy. If Modi does not learn lessons, he should at least read history--every tyrant has the same ending!
@@saumyapandey7890 bro isse kuch nahi hoga log aajkal poltics samjhte hai uss twitter vale videos, galli aur gaddar bolne se bjp ko bahut nuksaan ho rha hai
Complacency, poor performance of MP's, Poor candidate selection,internal power struggle between state and central leadership,over confidence on Modi's charisma and Finally Muslim, Yadav Dalit consolidation.... No need to scratch our head hard... It's the culmination of all these factors that led to loss
If Yogiji's last name was Yadav, BJP would have won with a landslide. This is a fact. 18% is Yadav in UP and BJP can't afford to have it block vote for SP. BJP needs to consider finding a strong Yadav candidate for CM in UP. Yogiji is a strong leader but the caste game is stronger.
Dhruv Rathi supports Abraham party and Silent on. 1) Sonia Gandhi National Herald case 2) 2G Scam by Congres 3) Reduction of Terrorism in Kasmir not only in % , but several times down. 4) Familism(परिवारवाद) in each state, 5) Exodas of 5 lakh kasmiri pandit 6) Exodas of 1 lakh Bhutani Hindu 7) Each and every huge terrorist attack in UPA rule. 8) Support religion conversion but hate Hindu protection 9) Bengal violence.
Because Judgement will come after 20 years ; Appeal after appeal , adjournments etc ; Need proof that particular person had issued it with date , time etc ; India would have seen four more such elections ; Issue is politics has no responsibility;
@@AB-yp7nc BJP won 240 because of Modi. The losses in UP are likely infighting in state BJP, but who can say. All we have is correlation not causation.
Might not 50% but a large share,its true ,its a very serious concern, lot of people say, that go unnoticed, Voter list ,These things are responsibility of State government employees, BLO,Tehsildar,BDO etc , & government employees majority of them are unhappy with BJP, due to strict routine & less chances for corruption, Nobody can prove it,but it could be a conspiracy needs to be looked into by IB (home ministry).@@AB-yp7nc
@@AB-yp7ncMight not be 50% , but there is something about this, I've been observing lot of people from UP are saying & commenting about this ,even before elections started ,so it's right...its a very serious concern needs to be looked by home affairs, Coz voter list,related issues are dealt by State government employees BDO,Tehsildar,BLO ...majority of government employees are angry with BJP due to Stricter routine & less chances of corruption, so u never know, it's could be a serious conspiracy by opposition .
We all know in Mahabharat war Karna got killed by several factors like Lord Parasuram's curse, Nagaastra being prevented by Kunti from second time use, his Kavacha
(contd.) Kavacha being got gifted away to Indra in disguise as a Brahmin, Krishna advising Arjuna not to give time to Karna for extricating the chariot wheel stuck in mud slush, Krishna disguised as Brahmin siphoning off Karna's punya earned by his acts of charity to ensure that it would not be available for saving him . Thus various factors contributed to Karna being killed in Mahabharat war . Similar insurmountable obstacles are being placed in Modiji's path of governance by the Opposition. Modi is surviving the onslaughts . 8-6-24
Dhruv Rathi supports Abraham party and Silent on. 1) Sonia Gandhi National Herald case 2) 2G Scam by Congres 3) Reduction of Terrorism in Kasmir not only in % , but several times down. 4) Familism(परिवारवाद) in each state, 5) Exodas of 5 lakh kasmiri pandit 6) Exodas of 1 lakh Bhutani Hindu 7) Each and every huge terrorist attack in UPA rule. 8) Support religion conversion but hate Hindu protection 9) Bengal violence.
Dhruv Rathi supports Abraham party and Silent on. 1) Sonia Gandhi National Herald case 2) 2G Scam by Congres 3) Reduction of Terrorism in Kasmir not only in % , but several times down. 4) Familism(परिवारवाद) in each state, 5) Exodas of 5 lakh kasmiri pandit 6) Exodas of 1 lakh Bhutani Hindu 7) Each and every huge terrorist attack in UPA rule. 8) Support religion conversion but hate Hindu protection 9) Bengal violence.
हर सुविधा देकर मुसलमानों से 1%वोट भी न ले पाए और पिछले दो साल से जिस समाज को लगातार अपमानित कर रहे थे उसने अपमान करने वाले व्यक्तियों कझ ही चुन-चुनकर सबक सिखाया है।
Terribly irresponsible and Horrible loss and heavy price for over confidence !!!! Finally Lord Shri Ram saved the nation by reinstalling Modiji and protecting the Nation from 36 Hyenas with a stern warning to BJP not to be complacent hereafter despite brands / good work ; Seems , Lord Shri Ram helped through his other forms such as Puri jagannath , Thirupathi Balaji and his consort Sitamata from Bihar ;
Good scientific analysis. BJP needs help on the ground and on IT platform. You can’t wait for BJP to do everything. It is patriotic people who have to help the government. They are doing their best.
@@shikhasharma6064thats not how r judiciary work...if BJP forces him out ...opposition is ready to call BJP as dictator...our own people go against it...
BJP and other NDA parties MUST go to the courts for such rubbish promise/s by these anti India parties. BJP has to be pro-active on ground with Karya Kartas and they need to be serious with whom they give tickets. Important is BJP needs to be more communicative with public -- that's their biggest problem. Communication. If people can be convinced with Congress/ SP and BSP why not with BJP?
Very well explained. Everyone was flummoxed by the loss of Yogiji & Smriti Irani, among others. Now we know. I guess the top brass of the BJP has realised this too by now. Nadda must be removed. Mr. Shivraj Singh Chauhan must be made Party President to invigorate the ground level workers & local leaders with enthusiasm. It is unwise of the cadre to be lazy & complacent, riding piggyback on Mr. Modi & Yogiji's popularity to win elections. Winning a seat is fine. They need to work among the people to be able to retain the seat. The BJP's IT cell & it's Publicity/marketing cell needs to thoroughly revamped, overhauled, updated. Even school & college students would have done a better job. Nadda must be held responsible not only for selection of wrong candidates, for not doing due diligence, for not being able to grasp ground realities, but also for making the very indiscreet & arrogant statement regarding the RSS. Considering his seniority & present position in the party, he should have realised the impact such a statement would make, especially in the middle of general elections. 😊
@@Divine_wave23 Actually Lord Shri Ram warned BJP to be cautious and Alert against Corrupt mega alliance ; He helped BJP through his other formats such as Puri Jagannath and Thirupathi Balaji ; That’s the advantage with Hinduism , Multiple gods to choose , secular allowing atheists also ; Other Religions , only one god and if not faithful , they go to hell !!!!
Everything is said and done, assembly elections are coming up in Maharashtra Hariyana,Jhatkhand. What is going to happen there? BJP will have to succeed .
Informative video. The explanation is plausible. It is likely that most people who voted for the guarantee cards, expected and wanted BJP to win. They voted to get the cards as they thought it would be inconsequential.
He is absolutely on top of fact . Question is how BJP or NDA addresses this ? When will honourable SC puts a STOP this , when will CEC ban such party to contest for 10 years ? Ground reality is more than 40 to 50% of voters can’t understand higher language that BJP leadership gives and what ever set and done , this section people needs benefits distributed by the policy / freebies etc and nurture them by local party leaders . This is exactly what is the fact in India
There were many fake videos WhatsApp going around in UP, Bengal, Rajasthan that had the fear of being destroyed for all the Dalits, OBC, ST. This played on their minds & lost all their votes
@@AO-xd2ml But BJP is always running after muslim vote. Special treatment for Pasmanda muslims, Minority affairs ministry, non abolition of Waqf Act ect
@@SHRAVNITHA1 That is to negate some % of block vote. BJP's mistake was that it did not bring up the Palestine issue. Congress is a Western controlled party. BJP is the party that made partnership with Iran. That would have made an impact, especially within the Shia vote in UP. If this had been exposed properly by the BJP, they would have won more seats. This election showed lack of sophistication and strategy by BJP. Shabby performance this time. But getting a strongman BJP Yadav CM will take some pressure off of future elections. Yadav 18% is too much to confront every time. It needs to be converted to BJP's base vote.
True bjp should give more n more benefit to bjp ruled states only Dont put effort in TN kerala WB etc. just concentrate hindi heartland more. Still BJP can get maximum drom UP in future Obviously 2029 Yogi Adithyanath is the PM candidate frim Bjp lead Nda for sure. So 77/80 wrote on the wall to bjp and every other state clean sweep like 2019
Congress has invented that fake videos and promise can win election. UP was their laboratory this time. Having tasted succes,they will repeat it all over India in next election. Western agencies has helped congress. Western interference in Indian election should be stopped with iron hand , otherwise it will be the end of Indian democracy.
I was a BJP karyakartha without pay from Karnataka for 3 levels ( parliament, vidhana sabha & corporation)election. End of the election day BJP will discard its karyakarths like toilet paper. Top brass in bjp thinks they are invincible. Still I vote for bjp. But still have hard feelings about the past experience
I think they already have good SC rep in Cabinet. The problem is OBCs vs Yadavs and Dalits vs jatav. I think the CM itself is OBC. the points mae by shantnu ji are the probable reasons and BJP will get more than 300 seats in 2027 Assembly elections.
@@priyadarshandeenadayalan8135 Current CM is GC. Yogiji is not coming from a dominant caste and that's a problem in caste centric state. Shantnu said nothing about Yadav or Jatav vote. BSP's Jatav vote actually saved BJP from complete annihilation. Fundamentally, BJP should have a dominant caste CM which is Yadav and have some type of partnership with BSP.
Because godi media was concentrating on pseudo relegious leader’s gimmicks and photoshoot in various temples-and of course his costumes and uncouth speeches.
On previous day of election Dk shivakumar was there in Ameti, night duty distribution of kata kat guarantee cards +570rs.The same was dine in Karnataka during assembly election.
@@savithakl7577Nobody is untouchable, he must be under surveillance of IB, unlike CBI ,IB is more patriotic, in politics..one got to wait for "Absolute Right Time"
UP has always been a mess .So many issues which were deep rooted. Yogiji had been- trying his best eg-- canceling Madrussa( around 2000) which were just in paper. AND controlling Gunda Raj. Also- inviting great investors . .
@@AO-xd2ml Never! don't get disheartened by just one election, You are underestimating Hindutva ,hindutva footprints are growing in North east ,Odisha,Andhra, Telangana & Even kerala , Yogi adityanath name will consolidate large number of voters across india, Modiji & Amit shah even sudnt think about removing Yogi , it will be a disaster not only in UP but pan india, BJP needs keep promoting Yogi ji & K annamalai, no matter what
@@AO-xd2ml Jatav, & Yadav won't vote for BJP, forget about it ...Among SC, few castes do vote for bjp especially in western UP.& it's a fake narrative that SC ,ST don't vote for bjp..Odisha,Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, MP these states have large number of SC,ST population..see the results in lok sabha & assembly too.Have patience & belief .
Nice analysis while papering over the more inconvenient facts like Ayodhya candidate given ticket against Yogi's wishes. Not that he does not know these details much more than most people.
This is the most credible story explaining the reasons for loss of so many seats in UP. I could even summarize it to say that 1) where the BJP had a chance and thought the opposition was strong, they were not complacent, worked hard and got every voter to the booth - Bihar, Delhi, Odisha, MP, TG 2) where BJP was super strong and felt nothing could dislodge them, their workers were complacent and didn’t work hard - UP, Gujarat and RJ 3) BJP tried its best but the state was ruled by a very strong party - WB, KA, etc 4) States which BJP took seriously like KL, TN and AP though they had very little chance, they increased their vote share
Sir please get dis msg to shantanu sir... Congress is getting way ahead of BJP in propaganda warfare.. 400 rs per day on congress promise card was to remind people of 400 of BJP and false narrative of changing Constitution.. Power has become decentralized.. Big rallies have no value anymore.. See amethi and Rai Bareilly...
@@fukingshahafridi1251He is the man behind large victory for congress in Karnataka & Telengana assembly. DKS hired Expert in highlighting false narrative in news & social media.
Petition should be filed in supreme court challenging results of Uttar Pradesh elections which was in favour of India block through fake videos and freebies
I think the biggest issue was low voter turnout in places like UP and Maharashtra. The opinion polls before the election was pointing to landslide victory for BJP. That set in complacency among the BjP/NDA voters. They figured BJP is going to win anyway and did not take the trouble to vote. The non BJP voters did not have the complacency because they were losing and were motivated to vote. The other major reason is the freebies the opposition offered like the one lake rupees they were offering. BJP did not offer freebies but were running on development and visions for future. The people were lured by instant gratification and sacrificing future progress for themselves and their children.
Absolutely Right Sir BJP needs to on its toes all the time Arduous Efforts need to be made for the unification of Hindus community under one umbrella of Sanatan dharma 🙏
Not just minority it's include st, sc , obc . You know how TMC mamata is winning in west bengal. from 2023 assembly elections to now lok sabha election by giving 500 rs to every month. now 1000 rs to every woman above 18 age. it's very well working majority women are giving vote to you and muslim are also with you and you will get man vote also . So nobody can defeat you .
@@sirg3137 This revdi needs to be taken very seriously. Yet in AP YSR got washed out. It doesn't look like it continues to work indefinitely. After a while people feel entitled to it. She raised the allowance recently. How long can she continue to raise it?
@@mpnikhilwe Muslims have gulf money...halal certificate needed and all hindus have to and had converted to Islam working in slaughter house Allahuakbar
Dear sri Iyer sir. I heard UP sears are less, due to Yogi introduced Bill to restrict two children concept for family for Givt jobs and promotions. This resulted lesser seats for bjp. Please check
Now onwards dont spent money on crowd pulling to meetings , bjp should work on give money to local group leards to work and monitor these illegal things
Something dubious happened in UP and Varanasi. We can understand max 100000 votes goes to otherside but about 400000 votes? No way . Why suddenly Vadra wants to stand in Amethi ? He knows something or he himself involve in some dubious action in UP and they are doing this hind of SP so no body see Congress in the picture .This is a test they did. Muslims otherwise never vote fully.
But, guarantee card has that power, especially in economically poor areas. We have witnessed this in mass shifting votes in last Karnataka assembly elections, where ₹2000 pm offered. In UP, ₹8000 offered.
धर्म के नाम पर अवैज्ञानिक बातें करके १००० लोगों में से ९९९ लोगों को आप अपने पीछे खड़ा कर सकते हैं पर जो १ बच जाता है वही तो आपकी मूर्खता की प्रमाणिकता है॥ ❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️ धर्म और विज्ञान को एक दूसरे का विरोधी बनाकर धार्मिक और वैज्ञानिक दोनों ही प्रकार के लोग दिन में तारे देखते और दिखाते हैं॥ ❤❤❤❤❤ ❤❤ धर्म और आध्यात्म के लिए नैतिकता वैसे ही है जैसे मूंगफली का छिलका जैसे खेत में खड़ा वजूका (पुतला )
BJP should approach Election Commission and them to collect all the cards from holders and ask Ragul to pay them money. If they refused no of cards should be deducted in Congress votes from the concerned seat.
25:00 class action lawsuit in India. Great idea. Hopefully it provides justice by 2050. A party that won 7 seats their fake Guarantee card. How could they
This guy is blind he cant see anything else then yogis greatness I feel bjp will not be power from 2029 for atleast 6 decades like from 1947 Rahul has bcome mature now he is gaining popularity Pls awake people
My humble question is that if Central and state intelligence was oblivious to these happenings, somebody failed in their job and must be reprimanded even if it Shah and Nadda!!
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Why there hasn't been no action by EC on the Congress's guarantee card, if they have evidence?
Still the effort was made to buy Vote!
Still the issue is raised with EC
It’s a promise.. like a manifesto but not a manifesto. So if they are prosecuted then it’s a manifesto with schemes to ensure welfare transfer.
Does the guarantee cards say "only if we come to power"? Or does it say vote for us and claim your benefits? @@markvelber8664
But it's a bribe to the voter through inducement. We need to amend the election laws (PRA) to stop all freebies, otherwise countries economy will be distroyed.@@markvelber8664
RSS no longer needed by BJP is not a theory. It was publicly stated by Nadda. There have also been many BJP people who said Nadda is clueless for several years now.
Actually this is the correct stance by bjp. This is related to upcoming demographic distribution in next 10 years. Although Hindu population is 70%, the tfr is negative so we Hindus will rapidly shrink. Many old people will die in next 10 yrs. Meanwhile muslim population has many young voters by next election and thereafter. Hence bjp will alienate and recalibrate their perceived image. More and more you will find such things coming from bjp in coming years
@@nkjayaprakash4852 Everyone has their biases, and things they would rather not talk about. Shantanu is no fool.
@@ashwinipingle8832 before one gets to the long term, the short term needs to be dealt with. Modi has already sidelined the more militant Hindu orgs. This allows the Muslims to rule the streets. It would have worked if Police across India came down on them heavily but that is obviously not the case. Even in UP the police are a rowdy lot, and continue to misuse power.
@@sudeepchowdhuri6762 this is short term only. Long term India is poised to become morocco
If BJP and Hindhus are not woke up and vote united, British or Mughal rule is eminent.
1 trillion usd economy for UP is now up in smoke …no investor will money in UP when it know the Gunda Raj can come anytime. This loss of confidence will be terrible for UP economy going forward and formalization of economy
true
True
Well if it happens then people of UP deserve it. If they are not happy with Yogi , then they surely deserve SP
Very sad to note but may be true
People wants instant money.
this is developed by Basterd kejerwal freebies, soon Punjab will khaliastan
Excellent video. Thanks to pgurus for clearing my doubts on why BJP did badly in UP.
Modi has to push the decade old pending cases of opposition parties and get them punished . Reform judiciary
Yes!!!
This is very very important.
Yes agreed. All opposition leaders should be put in jail before all elections. If possible they should be barred from running. BJP will win hands down.
Sure I agree the cases should be opened but majority will be from BJP the party hoppers are huge criminals.
People already voted against tyranny to bring back electoral autocracy to democracy. If Modi does not learn lessons, he should at least read history--every tyrant has the same ending!
Now BJP SHOULD TELL EVERYONE GO TO CONGRESS OFFICE AND GET 8500 RUPEES FROM CONGRESS
1lakh rs
BJP IT cell is worthless
1 lac brother
@@saumyapandey7890 àà
@@saumyapandey7890 bro isse kuch nahi hoga log aajkal poltics samjhte hai uss twitter vale videos, galli aur gaddar bolne se bjp ko bahut nuksaan ho rha hai
Unless voting % is more than 70%, you can't negate the minority consolidation.
We Muslims come 100% to vote against bjp which is hindu party. Before bjp no hindu dared us Muslims.
it was 80% in Bengal...still....
@@uniani01 allahuakbar
66-67% ,, 642mn vote ,, 970 mn people in voter list ,,
@@allahuakbarquran742tere yaha pe baarish hai??
Complacency, poor performance of MP's, Poor candidate selection,internal power struggle between state and central leadership,over confidence on Modi's charisma and Finally Muslim, Yadav Dalit consolidation....
No need to scratch our head hard... It's the culmination of all these factors that led to loss
Obviously such a major debacle has to have multiple causes leading to it.But valuable lessons have been learnt-you can count on Modi for that!
If Yogiji's last name was Yadav, BJP would have won with a landslide. This is a fact. 18% is Yadav in UP and BJP can't afford to have it block vote for SP. BJP needs to consider finding a strong Yadav candidate for CM in UP. Yogiji is a strong leader but the caste game is stronger.
Dhruv Rathi supports Abraham party and Silent on.
1) Sonia Gandhi National Herald case
2) 2G Scam by Congres
3) Reduction of Terrorism in Kasmir not only in % , but several times down.
4) Familism(परिवारवाद) in each state,
5) Exodas of 5 lakh kasmiri pandit
6) Exodas of 1 lakh Bhutani Hindu
7) Each and every huge terrorist attack in UPA rule.
8) Support religion conversion but hate Hindu protection
9) Bengal violence.
Vaibhav Singh has a video assessing the causes. It's based in the real world
Why BJP carnot fund a PIL against Congress for the fàke forms promising 1 lakh rupees.
15 Lakhs in everyone’s account, employment, decreased prices promised by 56 inch.
Because Judgement will come after 20 years ; Appeal after appeal , adjournments etc ; Need proof that particular person had issued it with date , time etc ; India would have seen four more such elections ; Issue is politics has no responsibility;
Yes, This has to be fought in court. Evidence can be obtained on enquiry, who printed the cards, who ordered can be booked.
@@SJ-tm6iqwhy haven't u sued Modi yet?
Sir in UP more than 50% of BJP voters didn't find their name in voterlists,plz ask Modiji to investigate it
@@AB-yp7ncSame here in Bangalore, voter id cards should be linked to aadhar card.
@@AB-yp7nc BJP won 240 because of Modi. The losses in UP are likely infighting in state BJP, but who can say. All we have is correlation not causation.
Might not 50% but a large share,its true ,its a very serious concern, lot of people say, that go unnoticed, Voter list ,These things are responsibility of State government employees, BLO,Tehsildar,BDO etc , & government employees majority of them are unhappy with BJP, due to strict routine & less chances for corruption, Nobody can prove it,but it could be a conspiracy needs to be looked into by IB (home ministry).@@AB-yp7nc
@@AB-yp7nche said Up not entire country .
@@AB-yp7ncMight not be 50% , but there is something about this, I've been observing lot of people from UP are saying & commenting about this ,even before elections started ,so it's right...its a very serious concern needs to be looked by home affairs, Coz voter list,related issues are dealt by State government employees BDO,Tehsildar,BLO ...majority of government employees are angry with BJP due to Stricter routine & less chances of corruption, so u never know, it's could be a serious conspiracy by opposition .
Why can't CM of telangana booked for fake video
Booked, but let's see if anything really happens
We all know in Mahabharat war Karna got killed by several factors like Lord Parasuram's curse, Nagaastra being prevented by Kunti from second time use, his Kavacha
(contd.) Kavacha being got gifted away to Indra in disguise as a Brahmin, Krishna advising Arjuna not to give time to Karna for extricating the chariot wheel stuck in mud slush, Krishna disguised as Brahmin siphoning off Karna's punya earned by his acts of charity to ensure that it would not be available for saving him . Thus various factors contributed to Karna being killed in Mahabharat war . Similar insurmountable obstacles are being placed in Modiji's path of governance by the Opposition. Modi is surviving the onslaughts . 8-6-24
Dhruv Rathi supports Abraham party and Silent on.
1) Sonia Gandhi National Herald case
2) 2G Scam by Congres
3) Reduction of Terrorism in Kasmir not only in % , but several times down.
4) Familism(परिवारवाद) in each state,
5) Exodas of 5 lakh kasmiri pandit
6) Exodas of 1 lakh Bhutani Hindu
7) Each and every huge terrorist attack in UPA rule.
8) Support religion conversion but hate Hindu protection
9) Bengal violence.
@@shamyaprasav612brahmin? Dude caste system is removed in india .now anyone can choose any profession and Modi has nothing to with mahabharat
Time to revamp ECI. Their website is absolutely crap.
Are u m,,ad !!! U don't know method to watch ch ECI results site!!
Andh bhakts crying
Dhruv Rathi supports Abraham party and Silent on.
1) Sonia Gandhi National Herald case
2) 2G Scam by Congres
3) Reduction of Terrorism in Kasmir not only in % , but several times down.
4) Familism(परिवारवाद) in each state,
5) Exodas of 5 lakh kasmiri pandit
6) Exodas of 1 lakh Bhutani Hindu
7) Each and every huge terrorist attack in UPA rule.
8) Support religion conversion but hate Hindu protection
9) Bengal violence.
There is miscalculation of UP , and Maharashtra.
At last I got a clear answer from a man on the spot to the question which was nagging me. Shantanu is quite articulate and precise to the point.
Poorly educated, self centered and cast divided society can not be expected to use their wisdom. They deserve the govt provided by SP.
Even educated people are involved in caste politics
Yes sadly it also impacts the centre and you and me who are not in UP
This is well said, if we take UP out, BJP has done well everywhere they did well in 2019
हर सुविधा देकर मुसलमानों से 1%वोट भी न ले पाए और पिछले दो साल से जिस समाज को लगातार अपमानित कर रहे थे उसने अपमान करने वाले व्यक्तियों कझ ही चुन-चुनकर सबक सिखाया है।
Even well educated Hindus did not support Modi and Bjp. Sad but true.
All said and done bjp took UP for granted
Terribly irresponsible and Horrible loss and heavy price for over confidence !!!! Finally Lord Shri Ram saved the nation by reinstalling Modiji and protecting the Nation from 36 Hyenas with a stern warning to BJP not to be complacent hereafter despite brands / good work ; Seems , Lord Shri Ram helped through his other forms such as Puri jagannath , Thirupathi Balaji and his consort Sitamata from Bihar ;
How they have given ticket to Kripashankar Singh in Jaunpur (U. P.) Who had launched 'a book called 26/11 RSS ki sajish.
The CM who had made This false video of HM Amethshah should be put behind bars immediately.
Good scientific analysis. BJP needs help on the ground and on IT platform. You can’t wait for BJP to do everything. It is patriotic people who have to help the government. They are doing their best.
In a nutshell, truth's voice remained feeble, whil lies reverberated and swayed the gullible masses.
Hearing to ShanthanuJi for the first time. He gave good insight to BJP's debacle in UP Loksabha elections. Love to watch more of Shanthanu sir
Why don't you people think of punitive action. How Revant reddy can fake the video of the Home Minister? What action is taken on him?
Remove his govt, Indira Gandhi would have. BJP is weak in taking tough decisions
@@shikhasharma6064thats not how r judiciary work...if BJP forces him out ...opposition is ready to call BJP as dictator...our own people go against it...
What is done is done. .. lesson learnt. Big time
BJP and other NDA parties MUST go to the courts for such rubbish promise/s by these anti India parties. BJP has to be pro-active on ground with Karya Kartas and they need to be serious with whom they give tickets. Important is BJP needs to be more communicative with public -- that's their biggest problem. Communication. If people can be convinced with Congress/ SP and BSP why not with BJP?
Very excellent ,informative telecast. Both r good news reporters.
Very well explained. Everyone was flummoxed by the loss of Yogiji & Smriti Irani, among others. Now we know. I guess the top brass of the BJP has realised this too by now. Nadda must be removed. Mr. Shivraj Singh Chauhan must be made Party President to invigorate the ground level workers & local leaders with enthusiasm. It is unwise of the cadre to be lazy & complacent, riding piggyback on Mr. Modi & Yogiji's popularity to win elections. Winning a seat is fine. They need to work among the people to be able to retain the seat.
The BJP's IT cell & it's Publicity/marketing cell needs to thoroughly revamped, overhauled, updated. Even school & college students would have done a better job.
Nadda must be held responsible not only for selection of wrong candidates, for not doing due diligence, for not being able to grasp ground realities, but also for making the very indiscreet & arrogant statement regarding the RSS. Considering his seniority & present position in the party, he should have realised the impact such a statement would make, especially in the middle of general elections. 😊
This is best post poll analysis of UP loss by Mr. Shantanu Gupta.
Not able to comprehend this loss in UP and biggest one Ayodhya 😭
Yadav are 18%. BJP needs a Yadav CM. Yogiji is a strong candidate, but caste game is stronger.
No worries ; Lord Shri Ram issued. a warning to BJP ; They will come back ;
@@maniaphobia4719ram defeated bjp in Ayodhya ❤
@@Divine_wave23 Actually Lord Shri Ram warned BJP to be cautious and Alert against Corrupt mega alliance ; He helped BJP through his other formats such as Puri Jagannath and Thirupathi Balaji ; That’s the advantage with Hinduism , Multiple gods to choose , secular allowing atheists also ; Other Religions , only one god and if not faithful , they go to hell !!!!
@@AO-xd2ml Deputy CM chal sakta hain.
General categary of UP was taken as granted by BJP.
They voted for Modi and Yogi but not for BJP.
Everything is said and done, assembly elections are coming up in Maharashtra Hariyana,Jhatkhand. What is going to happen there? BJP will have to succeed
.
Informative video. The explanation is plausible. It is likely that most people who voted for the guarantee cards, expected and wanted BJP to win. They voted to get the cards as they thought it would be inconsequential.
Take action against These fake videos
Remove BJP IT cell
In Arab country even muslims of bharata are addressed as Hindu.even all muslin countries
Yeah. They call them as "Al Hind Muskeen" means Converted. Same to Pakistani's and Bangladeshi's too.
@@satyam1529first of all hindu itself is given by Persians. India is a diverse country with soo many cultures
Very good analysis...I was wondered what happened to bjp in UP on 4th june ... Congress should give 1 lakh to each family 🤔🤔🤔
He is absolutely on top of fact . Question is how BJP or NDA addresses this ? When will honourable SC puts a STOP this , when will CEC ban such party to contest for 10 years ? Ground reality is more than 40 to 50% of voters can’t understand higher language that BJP leadership gives and what ever set and done , this section people needs benefits distributed by the policy / freebies etc and nurture them by local party leaders . This is exactly what is the fact in India
One of the best election result analysis till now. Very well articulated and point to point analysis. Well done 👍
Brilliant analysis. One of the most sensible so far
Very well thought analysis by Shantanu Gupta.
Mark Twain said " It is easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled". It is true for Congress card.
There were many fake videos WhatsApp going around in UP, Bengal, Rajasthan that had the fear of being destroyed for all the Dalits, OBC, ST. This played on their minds & lost all their votes
Discussion with Shanthanu Guptaji is very good.
First give priority to your own voters than to competitor’s voter
Disagree. Yadav is 18% of the vote. It's a block Sanatani vote that BJP cannot afford to give away to SP.
@@AO-xd2ml But BJP is always running after muslim vote. Special treatment for Pasmanda muslims, Minority affairs ministry, non abolition of Waqf Act ect
@@SHRAVNITHA1 That is to negate some % of block vote. BJP's mistake was that it did not bring up the Palestine issue. Congress is a Western controlled party. BJP is the party that made partnership with Iran. That would have made an impact, especially within the Shia vote in UP. If this had been exposed properly by the BJP, they would have won more seats. This election showed lack of sophistication and strategy by BJP. Shabby performance this time. But getting a strongman BJP Yadav CM will take some pressure off of future elections. Yadav 18% is too much to confront every time. It needs to be converted to BJP's base vote.
True bjp should give more n more benefit to bjp ruled states only
Dont put effort in TN kerala WB etc. just concentrate hindi heartland more. Still BJP can get maximum drom UP in future
Obviously 2029 Yogi Adithyanath is the PM candidate frim Bjp lead Nda for sure. So 77/80 wrote on the wall to bjp and every other state clean sweep like 2019
As usual Shantanu is superb and realistic with fact based matured assessment
Western interference was huge in this election. If this is not addressed, it can lead to a subtle neocolonization.
Congress has invented that fake videos and promise can win election. UP was their laboratory this time. Having tasted succes,they will repeat it all over India in next election. Western agencies has helped congress. Western interference in Indian election should be stopped with iron hand , otherwise it will be the end of Indian democracy.
Overconfidence
Will Somnath Bharati will shave his head on 9th June, 2024 as Modi will be taking oath as 3rd time PM as claimed by him.
Very credible & insightful analysis.❤
Rajputs did not vote for the BJP in West UP.
very matured and balanced views. Thank you very much, like your channel.👍👍👍👍👍👍🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹
BJP has 37-38% popular support. It is never 51%. So there is no surprise in BJP losing when opposition votes unitedly. BJP must learn its lesson now.
Sree Ji
Professor RV warned few months ago about this situation. Looks like it didn't got to right people at top
This explanation of silent vote shift from a community is not acceptable. No exit poll got wind of it. There is something more to it.
best explanation ever on election by Shantanu ji and my respect to Iyer ji
I was a BJP karyakartha without pay from Karnataka for 3 levels ( parliament, vidhana sabha & corporation)election. End of the election day BJP will discard its karyakarths like toilet paper.
Top brass in bjp thinks they are invincible. Still I vote for bjp. But still have hard feelings about the past experience
Complacency and overconfidence led to hubris and the downfall of BJP. Lessons to be learned.
Lacks of SC leadership in the BJP. Why not give Dy CM post?
You are right! SC and Yadav at the top are necessary. SC Jatav or Yadav CM candidate is needed.
I think they already have good SC rep in Cabinet. The problem is OBCs vs Yadavs and Dalits vs jatav. I think the CM itself is OBC. the points mae by shantnu ji are the probable reasons and BJP will get more than 300 seats in 2027 Assembly elections.
@@priyadarshandeenadayalan8135 Current CM is GC. Yogiji is not coming from a dominant caste and that's a problem in caste centric state. Shantnu said nothing about Yadav or Jatav vote. BSP's Jatav vote actually saved BJP from complete annihilation. Fundamentally, BJP should have a dominant caste CM which is Yadav and have some type of partnership with BSP.
@@AO-xd2mltrue . Yadavs should be encouraged in BJP .unfortunately in UP caste matters
SALUTATIONS TO BOTH OF YOU SIRS FOR THIS CRYSTAL CLEAR ANALYSIS ABOUT THE DEBACLE OF BJP'S ESPECIALLY UP 👌.
Iyerji, you are just amazing. Every time I hear you, I find you on higher platform! - Anil Rahal
Higher is the person, Iyer he is. Quote by Delhi R Rajagopalan
This was one of the best and most sensible analysis of the 2024 election results.
Why no news channels highlighted that Shivakumar & kharge were campaigning in raebareli before elections
Because godi media was concentrating on pseudo relegious leader’s gimmicks and photoshoot in various temples-and of course his costumes and uncouth speeches.
BJP losing very badly in upcoming October Assembly elections in Haryana! Congress can sweep big. Major Governance issues hurting sentiments badly.
Very fine explanation by Mr. Gupta sir,and arrangements made by Mr.Ayer sir amazing
On previous day of election Dk shivakumar was there in Ameti, night duty distribution of kata kat guarantee cards +570rs.The same was dine in Karnataka during assembly election.
Ec must sack such MPs
DKS is untouchable, CBI officer investigated him is now MLC in karnataka
@@savithakl7577Nobody is untouchable, he must be under surveillance of IB, unlike CBI ,IB is more patriotic, in politics..one got to wait for "Absolute Right Time"
Excellent video,many doubts cleared
SP is getting western help to rig EVMs. BJP needs to look into it or there won't be a next time.
You have rightly commented that this fake narrative which was built up by the opposition was not countered by BJP
UP has always been a mess .So many issues which were deep rooted. Yogiji had been- trying his best eg-- canceling Madrussa( around 2000) which were just in paper. AND controlling Gunda Raj. Also- inviting great investors . .
Only a mess when you lose, eh ? Lol
@@AB-yp7nc Don't worry ,UP will vote again , one can't fool.large number of people again & again .
BJP needs a Yadav or Jatav CM. Honest truth. Yogiji is a strong candidate but not stronger than the caste game.
@@AO-xd2ml Never! don't get disheartened by just one election, You are underestimating Hindutva ,hindutva footprints are growing in North east ,Odisha,Andhra, Telangana & Even kerala , Yogi adityanath name will consolidate large number of voters across india, Modiji & Amit shah even sudnt think about removing Yogi , it will be a disaster not only in UP but pan india, BJP needs keep promoting Yogi ji & K annamalai, no matter what
@@AO-xd2ml Jatav, & Yadav won't vote for BJP, forget about it ...Among SC, few castes do vote for bjp especially in western UP.& it's a fake narrative that SC ,ST don't vote for bjp..Odisha,Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, MP these states have large number of SC,ST population..see the results in lok sabha & assembly too.Have patience & belief .
Nice analysis while papering over the more inconvenient facts like Ayodhya candidate given ticket against Yogi's wishes. Not that he does not know these details much more than most people.
This is the most credible story explaining the reasons for loss of so many seats in UP. I could even summarize it to say that
1) where the BJP had a chance and thought the opposition was strong, they were not complacent, worked hard and got every voter to the booth - Bihar, Delhi, Odisha, MP, TG
2) where BJP was super strong and felt nothing could dislodge them, their workers were complacent and didn’t work hard - UP, Gujarat and RJ
3) BJP tried its best but the state was ruled by a very strong party - WB, KA, etc
4) States which BJP took seriously like KL, TN and AP though they had very little chance, they increased their vote share
Sir please get dis msg to shantanu sir... Congress is getting way ahead of BJP in propaganda warfare.. 400 rs per day on congress promise card was to remind people of 400 of BJP and false narrative of changing Constitution.. Power has become decentralized.. Big rallies have no value anymore.. See amethi and Rai Bareilly...
Very good analysis.
Hope BJP analyses in depth & takes corrective measures.
They cannot handled the Supreme Court
Respected Shantanu analysis everytime appreciable
लगता है प्रशांत किशोर के किसी चेले की सेवा up में ली गई।प्रशांत किशोर यदि भाजपा के साथ होते तो ये नोबत नही आती।
Sunil konnugollu Rajasthan,UP mai jyada Kam Kiya war room se
@@fukingshahafridi1251He is the man behind large victory for congress in Karnataka & Telengana assembly. DKS hired Expert in highlighting false narrative in news & social media.
Petition should be filed in supreme court challenging results of Uttar Pradesh elections which was in favour of India block through fake videos and freebies
I think the biggest issue was low voter turnout in places like UP and Maharashtra. The opinion polls before the election was pointing to landslide victory for BJP. That set in complacency among the BjP/NDA voters. They figured BJP is going to win anyway and did not take the trouble to vote. The non BJP voters did not have the complacency because they were losing and were motivated to vote.
The other major reason is the freebies the opposition offered like the one lake rupees they were offering. BJP did not offer freebies but were running on development and visions for future. The people were lured by instant gratification and sacrificing future progress for themselves and their children.
Absolutely Right Sir
BJP needs to on its toes all the time
Arduous Efforts need to be made for the unification of Hindus community under one umbrella of Sanatan dharma 🙏
Now you know why BJP lost seats in UP? Because of the INDI Alliance's Takaa Tak false promise of Rs 8500 for Minority women
Not just minority it's include st, sc , obc . You know how TMC mamata is winning in west bengal. from 2023 assembly elections to now lok sabha election by giving 500 rs to every month. now 1000 rs to every woman above 18 age. it's very well working majority women are giving vote to you and muslim are also with you and you will get man vote also . So nobody can defeat you .
@@sirg3137 This revdi needs to be taken very seriously. Yet in AP YSR got washed out. It doesn't look like it continues to work indefinitely. After a while people feel entitled to it. She raised the allowance recently. How long can she continue to raise it?
@@mpnikhilwe Muslims have gulf money...halal certificate needed and all hindus have to and had converted to Islam working in slaughter house
Allahuakbar
@@mpnikhil it's happening before 2023 state election. they recently announced increase 500 rs to 1k rs just before loksabha election
@@AB-yp7nc 🤣🤣 in mp mama is already giving freebies. and Gujarat people don't like freebies. Simple opposition parties 🤡🤣🤣🤣
Thanks!
Dear sri Iyer sir. I heard UP sears are less, due to Yogi introduced Bill to restrict two children concept for family for Givt jobs and promotions. This resulted lesser seats for bjp. Please check
That has been proposed now after the election, no effect in during elections.
Now onwards dont spent money on crowd pulling to meetings , bjp should work on give money to local group leards to work and monitor these illegal things
Something dubious happened in UP and Varanasi. We can understand max 100000 votes goes to otherside but about 400000 votes? No way .
Why suddenly Vadra wants to stand in Amethi ? He knows something or he himself involve in some dubious action in UP and they are doing this hind of SP so no body see Congress in the picture .This is a test they did.
Muslims otherwise never vote fully.
But, guarantee card has that power, especially in economically poor areas. We have witnessed this in mass shifting votes in last Karnataka assembly elections, where ₹2000 pm offered. In UP, ₹8000 offered.
धर्म के नाम पर अवैज्ञानिक बातें करके १००० लोगों में से ९९९ लोगों को आप अपने पीछे खड़ा कर सकते हैं पर जो १ बच जाता है वही तो आपकी मूर्खता की प्रमाणिकता है॥
❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️
धर्म और विज्ञान को एक दूसरे का विरोधी बनाकर धार्मिक और वैज्ञानिक दोनों ही प्रकार के लोग दिन में तारे देखते और दिखाते हैं॥
❤❤❤❤❤
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धर्म और आध्यात्म के लिए नैतिकता वैसे ही है जैसे मूंगफली का छिलका जैसे खेत में खड़ा वजूका (पुतला )
I think EC didn't respond to the fake video complaint of BJP, or took it casually?
BJP should approach Election Commission and them to collect all the cards from holders and ask Ragul to pay them money. If they refused no of cards should be deducted in Congress votes from the concerned seat.
25:00 class action lawsuit in India. Great idea. Hopefully it provides justice by 2050. A party that won 7 seats their fake Guarantee card. How could they
BJP in UP has assumed that people will vote to for them as usual. Taken for granted
Excellent analysis sir. So many lessons for them
Iyera.. You never got any one who is a critic of Modi
This guy is blind he cant see anything else then yogis greatness
I feel bjp will not be power from 2029 for atleast 6 decades like from 1947
Rahul has bcome mature now he is gaining popularity
Pls awake people
That is not happening.
💯 out of 💯
@@rohitravi8750 ok brother. then tension kyu lay raha . Go and sleep well 😂😂. 2029 may to Rahul is coming na😂😂
Kavi dhruv rahti ki video may others party ko criticize karta huya dakha hay 😂😂😂😂
The ruling bjp should bring a law to ban such parties,give false promises to the people during elections.
My humble question is that if Central and state intelligence was oblivious to these happenings, somebody failed in their job and must be reprimanded even if it Shah and Nadda!!
exactly... don't know if IB and ED have best brains... or are they exhausted?
LOL 😂🤣
💯 percent simple Lost major VOTES because of over confidence by BJP and the POOR performance of the booth level cadres.
Upper cast arrogance were also a factor in eastern and central UP.
Sorry it was the other way round . Upper castes were sidelined hence they abstainedx
As if arrogance is only for upper caste hindus . 90% of moslems are pasmandas . They should have voted ….
No medicine for inferiority complex
Modi was taught a lesson by UP voters but have they learnt any ?
Good services indeed, please keep it up
Just abolish reservation Hindus will get united
Bjp should think about all the things and take action against the fake video strictly
Very informative . Hope BJP comes stronger in the future . We should never underestimate the rivals and we should become more smarter and alert
Loved the graph.🙏
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