@@IneptCardCollector yeah but only like 10% of collectors actually play the game. probably even less than that. and you get soooo many energy cards from ETBs
hey i completely agree with your take at the end. i've talked to a lot of people and they disagree with us. to be honest, pokemon is just becoming more saturated with knowledgeable collectors. since we're in a market boom, people are seeing long-term results from the swsh chase alt arts and buying the sv chase cards at 'future value' ahead of time. it's not as cut-and-dry anymore where we all knew for every set you just wait 6-12 months and buy for cheap at the lows. everyone has caught on now. this happens with all markets that end up gaining high volume and demand. i think it's good for the hobby, specifically people who collect the actual cards instead of just sealed. if you're a new collector and you fomo and buy early and the card tanks (like it used to in swsh era) you would get burned. now it may be different trends like some of the graphs for cards you showed in your video. less predictable and actually less manipulative with so much volume.
THIS is the video I’ve personally been waiting for. Love to look at overall concepts and long term prospects. This lays out exactly what I’ve been thinking all along about S&S vs S&V. Both will probably do well very long term but we’re about to see a big negative regression on these latest sets. If you ask me, the Greninja is the most unpredictable one of the bunch. I could see a small dip and then a big buyout of them this coming Spring. Fun times were in
there will not be a big negative regression, a minor one maybe, what I think is that the market just caught up much earlier to the "true" values of the card before the sets are out of print, hence the compression/non-existence of the flop phase seen in SWSH, the rationale is that buyers tried to avoid future buyouts we have seen with SWSH and S&M cards
Id love for you to include other chase cards from other sets to compare, other than Sword & Shield , like S&M Latias & Latios GX from Team up , B&W Zard from Plasma Storm , etc Cheers! Always enjoy the info / content
I enjoy the data analysis. What consideration is given for the differences in macroeconomic environment (money supply, inflation, etc) between the SWSH era? Also, how about demand differences between SWSH and 2024?
Most of the cards from the scarlet and violet era just shot over that red line with the exception of the zard from paldean fates and mew. While compared to the sword and shield era where the alt arts dropped in price then it took time to go over that red line mark price. I think market is either being manipulated like crazy for scarlet and violet or we just got lots of new people investing in this pokemon and hopefully its the latter for me.
do we have the pokemon lifetime card production data going back by year further? That is really interesting data and easy enough to correlate to sets and, effectively, supply.
I bought a psa9 japanese mew for 100 bucks. Was the best price i could find. For me, its my favorite pokemon. So its alright but honestly kinda hurts seeing cards like this being so hard to get cause i love collecting. Something like this is a 1 time per year purchase.
Pffft...just collect what you want in the price you are comfortable to buy it. Who cares if it goes up or down in price? The important thing is, it's in your collection. Stop treating this like it's the stock market. Admittedly, it's fun when the card I own goes up in value. But it's only fun. I will not sell anyway, so whether it goes up or down, who cares? Treating this like it's a business decision are just in it to make money. My advise to them, get a real job.
Love the price charting breakdowns! Got a walmart membership today, to get early access to the $15 V Strikers Tin. Hoping for SWSH packs in them of any kind being I was able to snag 43 of them!
wow finally someone with some qualitative analysis, projecting evaluations based on predicted prints and pull rates though your chart segment is a bit unconvincing, as its just contrasting the estimated prices set by the pre-market lads (based on their calculations whatever) with the realised pull rates = supply and demand perhaps it could be informative to contrast the price charts with the estimated population of the card idk if you look into this but it would be interesting to hear your findings on card liquidity and supply, how many listings there always are of a product, or perhaps track the psa reg numbers and see if its investors or collectors contributing to the demand funny that one day people are gonna realise there are so many investors sitting on products that there'll be so much supply they won't be able to coordinate a price fixing also ngl chinese replicas are gonna get so good soon enough that everything but probs the limited low print cards in psa certifications will just plummet
Hey pikapika papa I’m a guy who makes good money at my job, but I have a lot of health issues that could stop me from working a 9-5 and I’m trying to slowly pivot into buying and selling tcg’s Pokemon primarily. Just looking for some advice to get started with singles.
I have a feeling that the Pikachu SIR price will dip as soon as Prismatic Evolutions releases. It's about $90 a box for Prismatic and the set hasn't even released yet.
Get rid of energy card in every pack and save a billion cards worth of trees
They're for players?
@@IneptCardCollector yeah but only like 10% of collectors actually play the game. probably even less than that. and you get soooo many energy cards from ETBs
Yeah get rid of uncommons and commons too 😂
I have actually attempted the numbers, would be around $722,000. That was about year ago
@@ArtyKangstaalol that part
Love how much of a data fiend you are, subscribed!
I appreciate that my friend! Welcome to the PikaPikaFam!
hey i completely agree with your take at the end. i've talked to a lot of people and they disagree with us. to be honest, pokemon is just becoming more saturated with knowledgeable collectors.
since we're in a market boom, people are seeing long-term results from the swsh chase alt arts and buying the sv chase cards at 'future value' ahead of time.
it's not as cut-and-dry anymore where we all knew for every set you just wait 6-12 months and buy for cheap at the lows. everyone has caught on now. this happens with all markets that end up gaining high volume and demand. i think it's good for the hobby, specifically people who collect the actual cards instead of just sealed. if you're a new collector and you fomo and buy early and the card tanks (like it used to in swsh era) you would get burned. now it may be different trends like some of the graphs for cards you showed in your video. less predictable and actually less manipulative with so much volume.
This was an awesome video, thanks so much for all of those comparisons! Super interesting to look at
Always amazing content man. Hard to find decent creators like you!
THIS is the video I’ve personally been waiting for. Love to look at overall concepts and long term prospects. This lays out exactly what I’ve been thinking all along about S&S vs S&V. Both will probably do well very long term but we’re about to see a big negative regression on these latest sets. If you ask me, the Greninja is the most unpredictable one of the bunch. I could see a small dip and then a big buyout of them this coming Spring. Fun times were in
there will not be a big negative regression, a minor one maybe, what I think is that the market just caught up much earlier to the "true" values of the card before the sets are out of print, hence the compression/non-existence of the flop phase seen in SWSH, the rationale is that buyers tried to avoid future buyouts we have seen with SWSH and S&M cards
Will never have an end! 📈💯
Damn the pull rates of s&v era are actually very forgiving compare to sw&sh era 😂
Id love for you to include other chase cards from other sets to compare, other than Sword & Shield , like S&M Latias & Latios GX from Team up , B&W Zard from Plasma Storm , etc
Cheers! Always enjoy the info / content
Great Info and Video
My favorite video in a long time. From anyone, not just you. Thanks man.
Wow, thanks!
Also plan to give all my cards to my kids one day , I made the mistake selling my collect before, never again.
I enjoy the data analysis. What consideration is given for the differences in macroeconomic environment (money supply, inflation, etc) between the SWSH era? Also, how about demand differences between SWSH and 2024?
Incredible work, Ryan! I will always support you!
Thanks so much!!
Keep bringing us the long data vids!
Also got my Brillant stars Charizard back at a psa 10 🔥🥶
Should I look into buying SIR/Alt Arts from pre-SWSH? Are there affordable ones still available to invest in?
First 😅. Big up for your work dude 👍👌
Thank you 🙌
Great video! Glad I found you
Love the channel! Happy Ripsgiving!!!!!!!!!!
it's also about what you hit, when you miss that specific card... in case of Twilight: Ogerponds (the reason why greninja got so expensive)
Most of the cards from the scarlet and violet era just shot over that red line with the exception of the zard from paldean fates and mew. While compared to the sword and shield era where the alt arts dropped in price then it took time to go over that red line mark price. I think market is either being manipulated like crazy for scarlet and violet or we just got lots of new people investing in this pokemon and hopefully its the latter for me.
More like this, awesome video.
do we have the pokemon lifetime card production data going back by year further? That is really interesting data and easy enough to correlate to sets and, effectively, supply.
Almost 10k views what a banger
Thanks! Kind of crazy to me!!
Appreciate your work 🙏 liked to help out
Much appreciated, thanks!
PikaPikaPapa❤
This is important content
I bought a psa9 japanese mew for 100 bucks. Was the best price i could find. For me, its my favorite pokemon. So its alright but honestly kinda hurts seeing cards like this being so hard to get cause i love collecting. Something like this is a 1 time per year purchase.
Mew was very affordable for a long time. Everyone crys when the price goes up.
@robertromero8094 I just started collecting dude.
Woah 8K subscribers already!!! Proud of you man, I was your second or third subscriber years ago, youve come a long way. Keep it goin!
Thanks so much my friend!! Have an EPIC one!
@@PikaPikaPapa you too!!!
You’re the data GOAT, thank you!!
After the summer buyouts of SWSH chase cards, ppl are getting in early instead of waiting, cos it has changed, similar to your reasoning
So glad I pulled my moon kitty and Rayquaza
Confused why this is the end of singles?
wow the tempo
Basically just wait 6 months after release to buy singles
Pffft...just collect what you want in the price you are comfortable to buy it. Who cares if it goes up or down in price? The important thing is, it's in your collection. Stop treating this like it's the stock market. Admittedly, it's fun when the card I own goes up in value. But it's only fun. I will not sell anyway, so whether it goes up or down, who cares? Treating this like it's a business decision are just in it to make money. My advise to them, get a real job.
Love the price charting breakdowns! Got a walmart membership today, to get early access to the $15 V Strikers Tin. Hoping for SWSH packs in them of any kind being I was able to snag 43 of them!
wow finally someone with some qualitative analysis, projecting evaluations based on predicted prints and pull rates
though your chart segment is a bit unconvincing, as its just contrasting the estimated prices set by the pre-market lads (based on their calculations whatever) with the realised pull rates = supply and demand
perhaps it could be informative to contrast the price charts with the estimated population of the card
idk if you look into this but it would be interesting to hear your findings on card liquidity and supply, how many listings there always are of a product, or perhaps track the psa reg numbers and see if its investors or collectors contributing to the demand
funny that one day people are gonna realise there are so many investors sitting on products that there'll be so much supply they won't be able to coordinate a price fixing
also ngl chinese replicas are gonna get so good soon enough that everything but probs the limited low print cards in psa certifications will just plummet
Win
Hey pikapika papa I’m a guy who makes good money at my job, but I have a lot of health issues that could stop me from working a 9-5 and I’m trying to slowly pivot into buying and selling tcg’s Pokemon primarily. Just looking for some advice to get started with singles.
Yes they are making more cards now ah dugh New collectors, New investors! More people in the game it levels out when it comes to the numbers.
I pulled my boy Greninja, then went back and bought from the same place, and pulled my boy Pika 🔥
🚂💨💨💨💨SEOoooooooo
I remember when I got my Umbreon you were still going off on how it is overpriced and it may go down. Completely wrong yet again.
I have a feeling that the Pikachu SIR price will dip as soon as Prismatic Evolutions releases. It's about $90 a box for Prismatic and the set hasn't even released yet.
You’re a rockstar