Thx Carol. RMB interest rate is very low and unlikely to increase due as i needs to stimulate investment and consumption. If just look for currency appreciation, then can buy any other currency. For example, Nww Zealand dollar may appreciate and the interest rate is still quite high. US Fed adjusts interet rate according to inflation targeting, so if inflation goes down, it will also cut its rate, so it is a rule based mechanism. Of course, one cannot rule out the possibility then Fed may be under pressure imposed by the president, but unless US can find a way to solve the interest cost of debt, otherwise it cannot maintain high interest rate forever.
China cannot do QE like the US for the moment, and the main reason for low consumption is not because people dont have money, as the saving rate is very high, so even the govt gives money to people, they will still save it in the bank. The most important point is for people to have confidence in the future.
莊教授, 謝謝分享, 內容十分豐富和有趣。每個歷史時段, 某個國家強盛的背後, 都是因為她成功把握著當時的機遇和獨有的長處, 好好發展下去, 沒有犯太大錯誤之下, 成就某國家的盛世, 而每一次的盛世其實又很難再一次複製, 這可算是國運嗎？ 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
Thx Jacky
本來是看股市分析，才發現莊教授也有分享自己看法，之後再引申原來有這麽多優質分享，多謝莊教授
Welcome Teng, my videos are on general economy, and personal development. Stock market is just part of it.
請教莊教授，很多聽眾都想問，這兩年都做定期，可是美元將回落一些，預計下年會否還有三厘定期做？若果沒有，選擇買入人民幣做定期，會否是個好的選擇？大家都知道，美元走強人民幣便走弱，現在美元可能走弱，是否可準備買入人民幣等收息及升值？另外有評論員講過，在中美鬥爭中，美國就是利用高利息，使其他經濟體，經濟走弱，有沒有機會美國長年高利息？謝謝你。
Thx Carol. RMB interest rate is very low and unlikely to increase due as i needs to stimulate investment and consumption. If just look for currency appreciation, then can buy any other currency. For example, Nww Zealand dollar may appreciate and the interest rate is still quite high. US Fed adjusts interet rate according to inflation targeting, so if inflation goes down, it will also cut its rate, so it is a rule based mechanism. Of course, one cannot rule out the possibility then Fed may be under pressure imposed by the president, but unless US can find a way to solve the interest cost of debt, otherwise it cannot maintain high interest rate forever.
@@profterencechongtheeconomi8391感謝, 莊教授
@@coralpacific1942 人民幣利率不可能升至三厘，現在有兩厘已不我錯
應該加強農業產品生產能力， 增強穩定副食品供給市場， 單是每年輸入的大豆量已經驚人 ，稳民生是重中之重。
政治變化多端， 忘記什麼彎道超車， 腳踏實地， 捱過了又是另一個新世界的開始。 不願意回顧過去的歷史就無謂多說了。
農業現代化最大的問題是要土地改革，把小農地合拼成大農場，才可以大量使用機器，美國農場是使是用飞機的。除了土改困難，使用機器後多出來的幾亿農民如何處理？美國農民只有人口百分之一，但已可給全球提供食物。
謝謝莊教授分享. 中國gdp消費占比37%, 美國占比為70%, 日本也有55%, 中國太低了, 為何不發錢讓人民消費呢?
China cannot do QE like the US for the moment, and the main reason for low consumption is not because people dont have money, as the saving rate is very high, so even the govt gives money to people, they will still save it in the bank. The most important point is for people to have confidence in the future.
@@profterencechongtheeconomi8391 QE是貨幣政策, 發錢是財政政策. 中國經濟面臨通縮, 貨幣政策可能到了盡頭, 也就是凱因斯說的liquidity trap. 至少應該把錢發給低收入戶, 這群體一定會把錢花掉而不是存起來. 這樣至少可以刺激部分消費.
因為中國政府只花36%在人民身上，東南亞國家都有70%+，所以人窮😂