Tesla has been severely underestimated, it doesn’t matter what the final price will be in 2030, what we all unanimously agree on is that this is a once in a generation wealth making opportunity
@@CommandoMaster many of my friends do to , they have some on permanent hold then they allocate weekly funds to trade. I think it’s great if one can focus 👍🏻
Hey guys I’m not a Biden fan but this was a blessing in disguise imo. Think about it! We were able to buy and collect Tesla stock at the lowest prices possible.
Be good to clarify your math on the 1100% a year, taking the total growth and dividing it by the amount of years does not give you the yearly returns due to compounding. The CAGR of TSLA since listing is approximately 57% PA, still a great return. Thanks for your videos and all the best for 2025!
I’m 23, living with my parents, and making $50-$60k a year. I started investing in 2021 and loaded up on TSLA (115 shares at $217) NVDA (150 shares at $22) and PLTR (294 shares at $30). My parents are letting me live with them until I’m 24. I didn’t want to move out until my portfolio hit $100k. My portfolio hit $100k two weeks ago, and my new goal is $200k, before moving out when I turn 24 in September. TSLA to the moon! I love Pejjy!
24? They should let you stay as long as you want. I mean if they’re not financially hurting and doing well what’s it to them that you stay until you’re 30? On your own you’re going to take a big hit on your investment and portfolio. It will go down fast from rent to groceries and all the other things that the cost of living drains your bank account.
Thanks for the breakdown! A bit off-topic, but I wanted to ask: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). What's the best way to send them to Binance?
Jo goes into so much more detail a new world is knocking on the door and 98% are living their lives with no idea what is coming. Prepare now or be left behind .
Yes, cybercab for individuals. I suggested they limit it to 1 per person. Or there's a queue so that you can't hog them all. Perhaps limit it to current Tesla owners and do it because it was promised like roadster eventually has to realized. Cost of entry is payment in full, they pretty much covered it around 1:15:00 Here's the deal, they can tell manufacturing to "go wild!" They've never given that command before. "Cap'n has the word been given?"
FSD and Robotaxi service are not synonymous. A Robotaxi transportation service needs FSD, but FSD can exist without Robotaxis. The FSD software business is a high margin Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) type business that can be sold to customers, can be licensed to other auto manufacturers, and can have high margin consulting services to assist legacy automakers to implement the hardware and software to be able to incorporate FSD on their vehicles. The Robotaxi service is a Transportation-as-a-Service (TaaS) business that needs FSD, but is an entirely different business than the FSD software business.
A quick summary and then an important question for the next video: 2030 price target is 26X or 183X with 26X being buy and hold and 183X being a mix of some risky or leveraged trade such as options and maybe options and margin and it is that that I would like to have a hypothetical conversation about is going in deep on the difference between the 26X strategy and the 183X strategy.
The real blockage to robot adoption will be unions. UAW or IG Metall will never allow bots in the factories. Countries that allow bots will have unemployment but also a manufacturing industry (and therefore taxes). Countries that don't will just have unemployment.
How I calculated is I divided the total returns since IPO and that's the number I got as an average which is insane. I'm not sure if that's the even the right way to calculate it but it sounds right. Total returns since IPO: 36,000% Years since IPO: 24 36,000%/24 years = 1,500% average ROI I think that's right, right? lol
@@Pejjy Ipo was in 2010 so it's more like 15 years. Which would give 2400% which is of course wrong. Don't forget compound interest has interest on interest. 🤔
I'm interested to know Jo's leveraged plays. I was in June 2026 330 strike calls and did very well, but am out right now. Also I'm in TSLL and way up on those too. Will eventually move to TLSA shares.
The part of the bot plan that I dont understand is what happens to all the workers that get displaced from jobs. And then they dont have enough money to buy the goods that the bots are making.
I’m so greatful I’ve been buying over the last few years and managed to get 150 shares which have gone up over 100 percent I’ve even been buying both my kids in there tax free stock saver Tesla shares which can’t touch them untill there 18 they only have ten each but I’m guessing in 18years ten shares will be enough to give them a helping hand plus I’m always adding each month
Amazing chat guys. I am from Norway, and most of the people here hate Elon and think hes stupid and has just been lucky his whole life 😂Its unreal, how do people have so little common sense and logic, while at the same time seeming smart otherwise? People go into attack mode if you say something positive about Musk, and even worse, Trump. I guess we should be thankful, since it is free money for us that use our brains to see the real world.
LOL thumbed up! Great show! (Edit) you see long ago it was known that Elon picked China and Germany on purpose. So now he has a chance to "fix all of Europe" through Germany like Jo says. He also visits India, Mexico... Indonesia... etc. Peijy needs to break open the savings bank! 🙂 to increase his capital.
Even with an outrageous p/e of 200, you would need $55/share earnings for your $10970. Earnings this year are $2.50, so you would need earnings to 22x in six years, which is a CAGR of 68%.
The Total Addressable Market for Autonomy is Trillions of miles/year @ $1/mile PE = 30, $30T MCap The TAM is 100Million bots/year @ $20k/year = 2 with 12 zeros, PE = 30 = $60T MCap Even if Tesla gets only 10% of this market the MCap would be $10T
I see ppl throwing these numbers around but the money has to come from somewhere?? Can anyone explain this to me? To get to 10K per stock you would need a market cap of approx 25 Trillion. Add the 10 most valuable companies in the world together and you get approx 21 trillion, including Tesla. I find it hard to believe that in 5 years one company will be valued more than at the current market cap of Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Facebook (Meta), Berkshire Hathaway. I am a massive Tesla bull and hold stock but this just seems like a pipe dream, as much as I would love for it to come true. Please help me to understand. Thanks
Me laughing in my $4k used car. Ain't no way Robotax cheaper in the long run. But yes, for those folks financing $50K new cars every year that is destroying your family's P&L.
I’m not arguing with you Pete but you’re $4000 used car still has a running cost and the running cost is still more than using cyber taxis because you still have to pay for gas tires insurance oil changes, etc. But do the math yourself. Heck; just my cost of insurance is more expensive than me using a Robo taxi every day to work.
Hard to find good cheap used cars tho. They usually have problems that have to be fixed from the previous owner who neglected it. Works good for me since I do my own car repairs. Not everybody is in that position.
Great guest, we'll all be rich unless the AI's turn on us and appropriate our shares to build a Dyson sphere, or the luddites get the pitch forks out, lets hope this revolutionary transition can dodge the black swans
I'm not going to say it's a bad thing to make money but the general take on how the public has to think about capital in order to make it through the next decade misses many marks. Most of the population either doesn't have the means to invest or the knowledge for how to do it properly. There is a responsibility to take care of others with lesser means by those of us who have greater means as we transition to a world in which jobs are greatly diminished. This whole high fiving thing as billionaires get richer, as the divide grows bigger between the haves and have nots, and more power is given to the ultra wealthy does not sit well with me. Others should be equally concerned by this. This is coming from a long term tesla stock owner who believes in the company but sees trends that are disturbing. UBI has to be a thing and those of us who have the means need to support this.
Pejjy math... taking the total % gain since IPO and dividing it by number years to get a per year % of 1100 or whatever, is VERY VERY wrong to say, because if you went back in time and applied that growth rate cumulatively the stock would be worth more $ today than there are atoms in the Universe.
@@Pejjy An initial investment of $10,000 at the IPO would have allowed the purchase of approximately 588 shares. After accounting for stock splits-a 5-for-1 split in 2020 and a 3-for-1 split in 2022-this holding would have increased to 8,820 shares. With the current share price around $462.28, this investment would now be valued at approximately $4,078,869.60, representing a total return of about 40,689% over approximately 14.5 years. To calculate the average annualized return, we use the formula for compound annual growth rate (CAGR): CAGR = [(Ending Value / Beginning Value) ^ (1 / Number of Years)] - 1 Plugging in the values: CAGR = [($4,078,869.60 / $10,000) ^ (1 / 14.5)] - 1 CAGR ≈ 0.742, or 74.2% Therefore, Tesla's stock has achieved an average annualized return of approximately 74.2% since its IPO.
@@Pejjy $1 times 24 (2400%) for 15 years equals $5.04857282E+20 To put it in perspective, the entire world's GDP in recent years has been in the ballpark of 80-100 trillion dollars annually, which means this number is roughly 5 to 6 million times greater than one year's global economic output.
Yes, winner take most, and with the most enormous moat imaginable. To really compete, another company would have to sell millions of EVs equipped with cameras like Tesla cars, and without FSD, and that is close to impossible today as everyone is way behind Tesla, but once Tesla has FSD, how does another company sell enough EVs to get the required data? If they manage to get the data, now spend many billions on compute power to develop the FSD program, and THEN you have to make EVs as cost efficiently as Tesla that are as durable and energy efficient, and THEN you have to enter markets and convince customers to switch to your service from one they are super happy with. Realistically you are talking $40 billion dollars to try to take share of the robo taxi market from Tesla, and probably fail. Other companies will get the customers who get banned by Tesla for bad behavior, that will be their market share.
Lets assume what Jo is saying is correct, which is 40M Optimus. Lets say the half of them will be in US. So 20M. That means 20M people will be suddenly unemployed. Currently US workforce is about 172M. So the unemployment rate jumps to 11.6%. We will have other cascading effect to the economy which might lead to further worsening of unemployment rates to say, 15-20%. Thats definitely higher than the 2008 recession levels and almost in the Great Depression level territory. There will be a global impact to the economy. Nations will turn very hostile to these techs, as their vote banks would be very very hungry. Demand for manufacturing would rapidly decline and so will this use case. So I feel its in Tesla's benefit that they dont become the global villain and dig their own grave, simply by growing too fast. Elon's politics would definitely not help either. I feel Optimus tech could be like the Atom bomb. You know it exists and its capabilities. But if you apply it, you have the chance of destroying everything. A whole new world economics has to invented for all this to make sense. And 99.99999999% people dont have the mental capacity to imagine and design this future.
This guy is completely delusional. For Tesla to go from $400 now to 10k+, the market cap would have to go to 38 trillion. That's impossible by 2030. The max Tesla is going is a couple more trillion up (1.4 tril now to maybe 3 tril) and that's being optimistic.
Jo says Elon is talking over German politics. I, as a German, can assure you, that the AFD will not be in government for the next four years. And all other parties hate the AFD and hate Elon now. So I am not sure, if Tesla AI-Robots will be allowed in Germany and Europe within the next 4 years. I, as a Tesla shareholder, who believes Tesla will have the best tech, am convinced, that the growth of Tesla will be very much slowed down in Europe, because of Elons politics. And by the way: I don't think the AFD would be good for Tesla either, because that party is not like a republican party, they want to have total power for the government, which they run. No free speech, No democracy, no united Europe, no Euro...
You do know that Tesla will be delivering 500K+ vehicles just in Q4 of 2024 while that was the TOTAL deliveries of the full year 2022... (499K to be exact for the full year of 2022). By 2028, Tesla should be delivering 5 million+ annually. You are thinking linearly and not exponentially.
@Pejjy Tesla will be lucky to match last year's 1.81 million this year. That is not exponential growth. Toyota at it's zenith made 10 million vehicles. Just because Tesla can crank out more vehicles, doesn't mean they have buyers. I'm an all in bull, but when war breaks out with China, that will totally disrupt these projections.
![Felix "Unfair" | [Stray Kids : SKZ-PLAYER]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/Oswujxm2Ag0/mqdefault.jpg)
Tesla has been severely underestimated, it doesn’t matter what the final price will be in 2030, what we all unanimously agree on is that this is a once in a generation wealth making opportunity
Overvalued most of the time, but I like to trade it.
FACTS!
@@Pejjy wise word indeed
@@CommandoMaster many of my friends do to , they have some on permanent hold then they allocate weekly funds to trade.
I think it’s great if one can focus 👍🏻
This is ny preditions in the near future: 520 before new year, 700 in Q1, 600-800 volatility in Q2, 800-900 in Q3 and 900-1100 in Q4 2025
Nice, any specific reasons.
INSANE!
Than stock split? What split ratio do you think we will get?
1000+ by end of 2025 is reasonable. 10 to 1 split possibly between 1000 and 1400
Hope you're right
7125 shares. $219 basis. $1.5M bought 2020/2021. $3.3M today.
Hard to believe the stock could go to 10k? Even $2500-$3500 would be life changing. 10k is mind blowing.
Well, if tesla didnt split, you would already see those numbers.
You two have great chemistry! More videos please! I can listen to Jo for hours!
I'm looking forward to NOT having a car. I'll use robo taxi every day. If I want to go on a road trip, I'll rent a car with fsd.
Me too! Robotaxis will be change everything!
Me too. I feel I'm ready for that added safety as well... hope the kinks get worked out!
I hope so, I can't wait to not be a slave to a stupid car anymore!
Hey guys I’m not a Biden fan but this was a blessing in disguise imo. Think about it! We were able to buy and collect Tesla stock at the lowest prices possible.
FACTS! 2021 - 2024 was a window of opportunity to pick up $TSLA! LFG!
@ 10k LFG
Happy to see that you brought back Jo ! Love his detailed model. You should do a regular fireside chat with Jo 😊
Be good to clarify your math on the 1100% a year, taking the total growth and dividing it by the amount of years does not give you the yearly returns due to compounding. The CAGR of TSLA since listing is approximately 57% PA, still a great return. Thanks for your videos and all the best for 2025!
I didn't do the math myself, but I think you are about right at 57% - surprising he says 1,100% a year, every year since IPO, that's just rediculous.
¡Gracias!
Thanks man!
This is your second video I watch and they're so educational! Great addition to SMR, Herbert, Farzad and co. Legend.
What a nice Christmas gift. A delightful conversation to finish up a stellar 24’…..thank you Pejjy.
Really enjoyed this session with Jo! So much fun and so much value! Please make sure to bring Jo back Pejjy he is a super smart guy.
Great content
Thanks! LFG!
I’m 23, living with my parents, and making $50-$60k a year. I started investing in 2021 and loaded up on TSLA (115 shares at $217) NVDA (150 shares at $22) and PLTR (294 shares at $30). My parents are letting me live with them until I’m 24. I didn’t want to move out until my portfolio hit $100k. My portfolio hit $100k two weeks ago, and my new goal is $200k, before moving out when I turn 24 in September. TSLA to the moon! I love Pejjy!
Just stay for longer and rake advantage of this opportunity
@ no question, gonna hold for at least 5-10 years
24? They should let you stay as long as you want. I mean if they’re not financially hurting and doing well what’s it to them that you stay until you’re 30? On your own you’re going to take a big hit on your investment and portfolio. It will go down fast from rent to groceries and all the other things that the cost of living drains your bank account.
@ Yeah but i still got to be a man and become self sufficient. I didn’t go to college, and can use the growth and experience. There’s value there too.
You just happened to buy 3 of the best performing stocks on the market, as a first time investor. Cool bro.
I have been buying into Tesla weekly since 2020. I don't intend on stopping before 2030. There is no better opportunity than Tesla.
Wowww..awesome &.incredible discussion &.analysis ..blew me away :)))💕💕😆😆🙃🙃🎄🎄😎😎💕💕
I don’t understand how it could that high? Don’t they spilt after 14 or 1500?
obviously they are discussing pre split numbers
Thanks for the breakdown! A bit off-topic, but I wanted to ask: I have a SafePal wallet with USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (alarm fetch churn bridge exercise tape speak race clerk couch crater letter). What's the best way to send them to Binance?
Most of those analysts are not best interests serving retail investors, they serve the financial institutions for a living.
If this pans out Tesla will make us a comfy retirement. 🚀🚀
Exactly. I'm expecting upwards of $3K but I certainly wouldn't mind $10K+ 🤩
@@Pejjy I won't be complaining at that level either, haha.
Jo goes into so much more detail a new world is knocking on the door and 98% are living their lives with no idea what is coming.
Prepare now or be left behind .
I absolutely love the grab your popcorn, caption
Do you actually though? 👀
Jo is awesome.... he needs to be on more of the channels -- Herbert, Farzad, Dillon, etc.
LFGGGGG!!!!! / GO ALL IN 💰 💰 💰 / $5,000 by 2032 (conservative estimate) / MERRY CHRISTMAS 🎅 🎄
How about a realistic estimate?
LFG!!!
@peigy, I wonder what is bether 20000 invest on a participation on Robotaxi, if that is the business model OR 20000 more on tesla stock
If this happens then.... whoah
Whoah indeed...
There is a high probability that it will
@@casvanmarcel Then there is a high probability I won't be working for much longer 😅
@@sophie3588 👍👍😂😂
Would save a lot of money since insurance companies seem to gouge Tesla customers on the insurance rates
Yes, cybercab for individuals. I suggested they limit it to 1 per person. Or there's a queue so that you can't hog them all. Perhaps limit it to current Tesla owners and do it because it was promised like roadster eventually has to realized. Cost of entry is payment in full, they pretty much covered it around 1:15:00
Here's the deal, they can tell manufacturing to "go wild!" They've never given that command before. "Cap'n has the word been given?"
FSD and Robotaxi service are not synonymous. A Robotaxi transportation service needs FSD, but FSD can exist without Robotaxis. The FSD software business is a high margin Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) type business that can be sold to customers, can be licensed to other auto manufacturers, and can have high margin consulting services to assist legacy automakers to implement the hardware and software to be able to incorporate FSD on their vehicles.
The Robotaxi service is a Transportation-as-a-Service (TaaS) business that needs FSD, but is an entirely different business than the FSD software business.
Thank you community. I gave the gift to my family of a mortgage free life. 🎉
Superklasse!
LFG!
Excellent discussion! So true! Courageous.
Great video Pejjy! Thankyou so much! 👏👍
A quick summary and then an important question for the next video: 2030 price target is 26X or 183X with 26X being buy and hold and 183X being a mix of some risky or leveraged trade such as options and maybe options and margin and it is that that I would like to have a hypothetical conversation about is going in deep on the difference between the 26X strategy and the 183X strategy.
The real blockage to robot adoption will be unions.
UAW or IG Metall will never allow bots in the factories.
Countries that allow bots will have unemployment but also a manufacturing industry (and therefore taxes).
Countries that don't will just have unemployment.
Where does Jo originally come from? He sounds German
He totally reminds me of; Christoph waltz
Johann
Did you watch the video?
Very informative❤
Average of 1100% growth rate annually is incorrect, it's more like 37%. Jo is right.
How I calculated is I divided the total returns since IPO and that's the number I got as an average which is insane. I'm not sure if that's the even the right way to calculate it but it sounds right.
Total returns since IPO: 36,000%
Years since IPO: 24
36,000%/24 years = 1,500% average ROI
I think that's right, right? lol
Ipo was in 2010 so it's more like 15 years. Which would give 2400%
@@Pejjy Ipo was in 2010 so it's more like 15 years. Which would give 2400% which is of course wrong. Don't forget compound interest has interest on interest. 🤔
Holy f*ck LOL
YOU KNOW WHAT I MEAN NOW? 😂
@@Pejjy I think I know what you mean but I think it is poor math.
I'm interested to know Jo's leveraged plays. I was in June 2026 330 strike calls and did very well, but am out right now. Also I'm in TSLL and way up on those too. Will eventually move to TLSA shares.
The part of the bot plan that I dont understand is what happens to all the workers that get displaced from jobs. And then they dont have enough money to buy the goods that the bots are making.
Find another job or UBI
My prediction for TSLA in 2035 is $50,000 per share and that is ultra conservative
My bear prediction is $55,000 in 2035 so it must be close to that if we are in agreement.
I’m so greatful I’ve been buying over the last few years and managed to get 150 shares which have gone up over 100 percent I’ve even been buying both my kids in there tax free stock saver Tesla shares which can’t touch them untill there 18 they only have ten each but I’m guessing in 18years ten shares will be enough to give them a helping hand plus I’m always adding each month
How can we get a copy of your Tesla model?
It’s right there on the screen
Wow! Go Jo. Finally a YT Tesla bull who says Elon isn't all powerful, all magical, all knowing...
Alpha doesn’t mean leverage. Alpha is orthogonal to market returns
Amazing chat guys. I am from Norway, and most of the people here hate Elon and think hes stupid and has just been lucky his whole life 😂Its unreal, how do people have so little common sense and logic, while at the same time seeming smart otherwise? People go into attack mode if you say something positive about Musk, and even worse, Trump. I guess we should be thankful, since it is free money for us that use our brains to see the real world.
That is crazy for sure. You don’t get lucky doing what Elon is doing. He’s a genius and a great guy I think.
Nobody is buying something at IPO, so the 1100% increase per year is just complete nonsense.
LOL thumbed up! Great show!
(Edit) you see long ago it was known that Elon picked China and Germany on purpose. So now he has a chance to "fix all of Europe" through Germany like Jo says. He also visits India, Mexico... Indonesia... etc. Peijy needs to break open the savings bank! 🙂 to increase his capital.
My guys!
LET'S GO!
Even with an outrageous p/e of 200, you would need $55/share earnings for your $10970. Earnings this year are $2.50, so you would need earnings to 22x in six years, which is a CAGR of 68%.
Don't forget optimus sales
This doesn't take dilution
10970 it is never going to split ?
like an indiana jones character...
What is the prediction if something happens to Elon?
Trump too. Both of them are key man risks. But with Trump it will present a good buying opportunity at the cost of short to intermediate term pain.
definitly not 1100% anual growth rate, check your numbers mate
They need to model McDonald's with fsd. And for tesla add burgers to the valuation. Why not?
Trading 2x leverage on a volatile stock like TSLA is asking to be marginal called for retail investors.
There is an agenda in holding a stock & driving the share price up. Get your brother to buy. I’m not saying you’re wrong.
buying bread with tesla shares, that's genius -universal basic 'c'
The Total Addressable Market for Autonomy is Trillions of miles/year @ $1/mile PE = 30, $30T MCap
The TAM is 100Million bots/year @ $20k/year = 2 with 12 zeros, PE = 30 = $60T MCap
Even if Tesla gets only 10% of this market the MCap would be $10T
Could Tesla really go to 10k seriously???
Divide it by 4 to be realistic
I see ppl throwing these numbers around but the money has to come from somewhere?? Can anyone explain this to me? To get to 10K per stock you would need a market cap of approx 25 Trillion. Add the 10 most valuable companies in the world together and you get approx 21 trillion, including Tesla. I find it hard to believe that in 5 years one company will be valued more than at the current market cap of Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Facebook (Meta), Berkshire Hathaway. I am a massive Tesla bull and hold stock but this just seems like a pipe dream, as much as I would love for it to come true. Please help me to understand. Thanks
Me laughing in my $4k used car. Ain't no way Robotax cheaper in the long run. But yes, for those folks financing $50K new cars every year that is destroying your family's P&L.
I’m not arguing with you Pete but you’re $4000 used car still has a running cost and the running cost is still more than using cyber taxis because you still have to pay for gas tires insurance oil changes, etc. But do the math yourself. Heck; just my cost of insurance is more expensive than me using a Robo taxi every day to work.
Hard to find good cheap used cars tho. They usually have problems that have to be fixed from the previous owner who neglected it. Works good for me since I do my own car repairs. Not everybody is in that position.
So you don’t pay for fuel, registration, insurance, maintenance and replacement when the piece of 💩 dies?
Great guest, we'll all be rich unless the AI's turn on us and appropriate our shares to build a Dyson sphere, or the luddites get the pitch forks out, lets hope this revolutionary transition can dodge the black swans
$10000 in 2028 is omfg moment sheesh is not enough 😂🎉🎉🎉🎉
Oh no… so people who live to analyze stock and predict future from a crystal ball are SO dead wrong? Like .. 5X wrong? What are you smoking
2 hours?! Sheesh. No thanks.
Universal Basic Income is a terrible idea
Tesla stock is going to split no later than 2027 could be before.
What are you guys doing.
Holy Shit bro hahah
I'm not going to say it's a bad thing to make money but the general take on how the public has to think about capital in order to make it through the next decade misses many marks. Most of the population either doesn't have the means to invest or the knowledge for how to do it properly. There is a responsibility to take care of others with lesser means by those of us who have greater means as we transition to a world in which jobs are greatly diminished. This whole high fiving thing as billionaires get richer, as the divide grows bigger between the haves and have nots, and more power is given to the ultra wealthy does not sit well with me. Others should be equally concerned by this. This is coming from a long term tesla stock owner who believes in the company but sees trends that are disturbing. UBI has to be a thing and those of us who have the means need to support this.
Pejjy math... taking the total % gain since IPO and dividing it by number years to get a per year % of 1100 or whatever, is VERY VERY wrong to say, because if you went back in time and applied that growth rate cumulatively the stock would be worth more $ today than there are atoms in the Universe.
This is how I did it:
Total returns since IPO: 36,000%
Years since IPO: 15
36,000%/15 years = 2,400% average annual ROI
It's crazy...
@Pejjy that is not the correct math.
@@Pejjy An initial investment of $10,000 at the IPO would have allowed the purchase of approximately 588 shares. After accounting for stock splits-a 5-for-1 split in 2020 and a 3-for-1 split in 2022-this holding would have increased to 8,820 shares. With the current share price around $462.28, this investment would now be valued at approximately $4,078,869.60, representing a total return of about 40,689% over approximately 14.5 years.
To calculate the average annualized return, we use the formula for compound annual growth rate (CAGR):
CAGR = [(Ending Value / Beginning Value) ^ (1 / Number of Years)] - 1
Plugging in the values:
CAGR = [($4,078,869.60 / $10,000) ^ (1 / 14.5)] - 1
CAGR ≈ 0.742, or 74.2%
Therefore, Tesla's stock has achieved an average annualized return of approximately 74.2% since its IPO.
@@Pejjy $1 times 24 (2400%) for 15 years equals $5.04857282E+20
To put it in perspective, the entire world's GDP in recent years has been in the ballpark of 80-100 trillion dollars annually, which means this number is roughly 5 to 6 million times greater than one year's global economic output.
Soryy Pejjy, that is not correct math. Growth compounds, thats why we call it Cagr. Compounding at 1100% would be more than 10x every year…
Maybe 10k by 2040. It is aggressive. Hope im wrong
You guys are ridiculous. Tesla bros...🤑🤯
Sheesh. A bull interviewing another bull. Can’t get more biased than that. 😅
No politics please
If this happens, and as the days go by, I'm more optimistic that it will, my investment account will be very very happy. #earlyretirement 🤑
I wonder if Tesla will split at 1200-2000 area ? God a good 5-1 would be a wet dream lool
They will. Be sure of it 😎
Why would that be a wet dream?😂
bro. you didn’t show why and how tesla will reach $10,970 in 2030.
Here's the video that explains it: ruclips.net/video/y3Wkjjkkg30/видео.html
this price prediction is a sell signal to me almost...
okay, sell then lol
@Jay-eb7ik im on it soon. Every signal need a confirmation....you might be it.
@@hdmuzzillo great man, hope you had a nice profit when you finally sell. good luck
@Jay-eb7ik im sure ill if I sell here. Still a buy long term after correction. As I said still on the channel. Waiting for confirmation if reversal.
@@Jay-eb7ik Toldya, FOMO is as bad as FUD... I might re enter at 414-420 on monday. Long term im bullish but never hurt to scalp a correction. BRs.
Speak for yourself I believe in humanity helping each other because why would you want to live by yourself
1st !!
LFG!!!!!
Yes, winner take most, and with the most enormous moat imaginable. To really compete, another company would have to sell millions of EVs equipped with cameras like Tesla cars, and without FSD, and that is close to impossible today as everyone is way behind Tesla, but once Tesla has FSD, how does another company sell enough EVs to get the required data? If they manage to get the data, now spend many billions on compute power to develop the FSD program, and THEN you have to make EVs as cost efficiently as Tesla that are as durable and energy efficient, and THEN you have to enter markets and convince customers to switch to your service from one they are super happy with. Realistically you are talking $40 billion dollars to try to take share of the robo taxi market from Tesla, and probably fail.
Other companies will get the customers who get banned by Tesla for bad behavior, that will be their market share.
Nice Christmas tale
Lets assume what Jo is saying is correct, which is 40M Optimus. Lets say the half of them will be in US. So 20M. That means 20M people will be suddenly unemployed. Currently US workforce is about 172M. So the unemployment rate jumps to 11.6%. We will have other cascading effect to the economy which might lead to further worsening of unemployment rates to say, 15-20%. Thats definitely higher than the 2008 recession levels and almost in the Great Depression level territory. There will be a global impact to the economy. Nations will turn very hostile to these techs, as their vote banks would be very very hungry. Demand for manufacturing would rapidly decline and so will this use case. So I feel its in Tesla's benefit that they dont become the global villain and dig their own grave, simply by growing too fast. Elon's politics would definitely not help either.
I feel Optimus tech could be like the Atom bomb. You know it exists and its capabilities. But if you apply it, you have the chance of destroying everything. A whole new world economics has to invented for all this to make sense. And 99.99999999% people dont have the mental capacity to imagine and design this future.
🔮 Hogwash!
This guy is completely delusional. For Tesla to go from $400 now to 10k+, the market cap would have to go to 38 trillion. That's impossible by 2030. The max Tesla is going is a couple more trillion up (1.4 tril now to maybe 3 tril) and that's being optimistic.
Jo says Elon is talking over German politics. I, as a German, can assure you, that the AFD will not be in government for the next four years. And all other parties hate the AFD and hate Elon now. So I am not sure, if Tesla AI-Robots will be allowed in Germany and Europe within the next 4 years. I, as a Tesla shareholder, who believes Tesla will have the best tech, am convinced, that the growth of Tesla will be very much slowed down in Europe, because of Elons politics.
And by the way: I don't think the AFD would be good for Tesla either, because that party is not like a republican party, they want to have total power for the government, which they run. No free speech, No democracy, no united Europe, no Euro...
R
There are ONLY 7 million teslas on the road today. That's taken 15 years. These numbers of having 100 million teslas on road by 2035 is ludicrous.
You do know that Tesla will be delivering 500K+ vehicles just in Q4 of 2024 while that was the TOTAL deliveries of the full year 2022... (499K to be exact for the full year of 2022).
By 2028, Tesla should be delivering 5 million+ annually.
You are thinking linearly and not exponentially.
@Pejjy Tesla will be lucky to match last year's 1.81 million this year. That is not exponential growth. Toyota at it's zenith made 10 million vehicles. Just because Tesla can crank out more vehicles, doesn't mean they have buyers. I'm an all in bull, but when war breaks out with China, that will totally disrupt these projections.
@@PejjyYour talking about 2020! In 2022 they produced 1,31 million
cybercab is a different car, its 60% fewer parts, and its a different model.
Stop posting nonsense.
So much bs. Disgusting
Germany is just a bully state