Thanks again for the update. I think it is very hard to estimate the influx of magma in the area. The ground movements seem somewhat chaotic in this cycle, with points going up and other points going down in an unexpected fashion. It feels like there have been some changes underground. But in general the trend is up, so probably a next eruption is coming.
Another excellent video update on the ongoing volcanic activity on Reykjanes Peninsula. I’m due in Iceland in 4 weeks time so could the eruption start just before I’m due to visit. Would love to see it as I fly into Iceland from the U.K.
Thank you for this update…. This series of eruptions is surely keeping you on your toes…. Even the experts can’t tell what’s happening. Exciting to watch but also very sad for Grindavik I don’t think the town will be saved if this keeps happening looking at the flows from 800 years ago they were huge thank you again
Oh my favorite voice to listen too. You would lull me to sleep. Haha!! I watched your las upade and this one and as always sir keep it simple and doesn't go on a long video about everything under the sun. As I was always reminded, to live for today, yesterday is in the past and you can't change what was. Ah yes and tomorrow will take care of itself. I must add you sir and Just Icelandic arethe only two I listen to and watch your videos. Have an awesome day and a big hug 🤗 😄
Thankyou for another great update with amazing footage. I guess the eruptions are like snowflakes in the way of each one being different to little or great extent. I hope people & infrastructure are safe , Best wishes from London
great video......I'm thinking that it will take more magma in the storage chamber before the eruption based on earlier data....so maybe around 22-24 million cubic meters in the Svartsengi system to trigger the next eruption....then again, this system is unpredictable at times....I agree, the eruptions are getting more intense....I learn a lot watching your videos.
Thank you for the latest update. I have been studying the earthquake situation in the Northern offshore region and speculated that the plate boundaries are more active than usual at the moment, however I am far from knowledgeable and rely on the expert opinion such as your good self. I love your calm and collected reportage, a clear and concise analysis is much needed amongst the overly hammed up videos that are circulating. Best wishes from London.
Magma flowed to fill crevices as the plates separated; particularly to SW. That bodes for unaltered magma flow and acceleration would suggest the voids being filled permit more inflation under power plant and that repeated flexure could mean an eruption there if not further SW of last events in Grindavik or offshore. Time will vindicate or undermine my posit.
Thanks so much once again for the authoritative and fact-based update, sans hyperbole. One would almost wonder why, once the eruption started, it didn't just continue unstopped as the magma continues to be supplied from the mantle. And of course, GAIA operates on her own timetable - one that is on a much longer time-scale than that which we humans usually consider significant if not critically important! So, the eruption will occur when it occurs, and hopefully the human infrastructure like the community of Grindavik will be spared. And wow, who'd have ever thought that there were such beautiful beaches in the world that weren't already covered with people! 😉
Yeah, exactly. Imagine, if we were analysing this event thousands of years from now, we'd probably think this was all just one, long eruption. Hahaha, there are a lot of hidden beaches in Iceland 😁
There's about 14.5 million cubic meters accumulated according to calculations based on current trend (0.42cm daily or 4.6m3/s while IMO data suggests between 4 and 6m3/s) it needs few days to reach previous uplift level and at most 2 weeks to reach 20 million cubic meters, so eruption can be expected late July early August
Thank you. We haven’t heard too much on another possible eruption. Will stability of the ground be keeping another one from happening even though the readings are giving similar to an earlier eruption?
Iceland has really been going through so much change in this area..I am wanting to know since this particular area was quiet for so long is it possible these curent eruptions might be there for the long haul, and not just a brief outbreak? Thanks for the report and any thoughts you have on my question. Stay safe out there, workers, residents, and emergency services personnel 🇺🇲 ❤ 🇮🇸
Back in 2021, we entered this eruptive period which will last 200-300 years based on the peninsula's geologic history but these eruptive episodes happen every 800 years. We've had 8 eruptions so far but it's unlikely that the eruptive cadence will remain this high throughout the entire event, maybe an eruption every 4 years on average, and activity will shift to other systems.
@Hliarmenn Thank you very much for your time, effort, and skills.. I have always loved Iceland to me it is a must-see destination it is absolutely stunning. I started watching regularly in 2010 when Eyjafjallajökull volcano halted air travel. I knew someone trying to fly back to the US but couldn't. Then Fagradalsfj erupting on March 19, 2021 with its awesome display and here I am still watching, now the Sundhnúkur eruptions!!
Much more in a hurry than I thought, but looking at Mount Etna, Stromboli and Camp Flegrei nature seems to be keen on getting some work done. Soon I don't know which one to look at. I need a multiple view video wall 🙂.
My opinion is nothing more than a guess. However, it seems like very little is known about how the "plumbing" for this volcano actually works. That hockey stick curve on the graph makes me think that maybe the lava flow actually was starting to be blocked up and then, perhaps by rising pressure or other reasons, it broke loose. It doesn't bode well for the power plant, though. That is unfortunate.
Yeah, I've also thought that perhaps something was blocking the influx which then, somehow, stopped doing so. It could also have to do with the state of the ground above the chamber which effects the uplift rates and hence the simulation numbers. So, maybe the influx has Benn stable this whole time but something caused uplift to slow down for a couple of months. Will be interesting to see what our experts find our
I don't think inflow has decreased. With the volume of the magma chamber and eruptions increasing, I'm still thinking that the crust above the magma chamber is taking longer to respond to the increasing pressure in the magma chamber. Meaning after each eruption the uplift appears to be slowing down, giving false data readings that it is slowing down. I don't think the simulations were wrong since they were based on current slow uplift data at the time, but as more magma built up in the magma chamber and pressure increased, the crust caught up and uplift started to increase. As said before, this slow uplift at first may be because the crust has been stretched and cracked a lot since October 25 last year.
@@Hliarmenn That's what I'm thinking. I'm thinking that, and Val Troll said this is is possible, that because of all the stretching and cracking from the uplift, earthquake swarms, eruptions, and land drops after each eruption, that the uplift might take longer to be picked up by GPS stations after each eruption. To prove or disprove this, research needs to be done on this. I'm not an expert, but if an expert like Val Troll says it's possible, then shouldn't someone with the expertise look into it? Maybe drill into the rock and get samples from the area if possible?
thks for your update. do you have an idea that the constant refilling implies an open pipe to the magma source and that it is getting more open for greater eruptions,,,,thks b
Wow if t happens before August that is amazing. And here they thought it was over and some people said it may be months like Sept or Oct before it erupts again and boy does it look like they were wrong. it's getting to be more like we can time it at regular intervals almost.
if the uplift in Svartsengi system is expanding, do we know just (Where) that magma is coming from? The Deeper Magma chamber or the Lesser one above it or the Magma Sill? Do you have an idea of (Where) the next eruption will exit the system? If the plate boundary offshore is showing seismic activity, I'm thinking of a lateral expansion down into the island ?? If seismic activity follows the plate path south?? Just a few questions, as I was watching tonight.
We don't know much detail about the Svartsengi system and how it's underground structure looks líka and behaves. We're almost certain though that there's a small magma chamber at 4-6km depths that magma feeds into and then, from there, intrudes to the West along a path of least resistance and erupts onto the surface. We think there's another magma chamber below 10km but we know very little about it. Some speculate that it's connected to all the systems on the peninsula. The seismic activity up north does not have any effects on systems further south like Svartsengi, atleast not that we know of.
I've tried to activate it but it requires me to write all the captions myself and I unfortunately don't have time for that. I'll try to figure out if I can somehow do it automatically 😁
Seeing those off shore EQs to the southwest, of the peninsula again. That's usually a tell-tale sign of something coming soon.
Let's be on our toes then
Thanks again for the update. I think it is very hard to estimate the influx of magma in the area. The ground movements seem somewhat chaotic in this cycle, with points going up and other points going down in an unexpected fashion. It feels like there have been some changes underground. But in general the trend is up, so probably a next eruption is coming.
I'll be following along with you Gylfi! Thanks!❤
Another excellent video update on the ongoing volcanic activity on Reykjanes Peninsula. I’m due in Iceland in 4 weeks time so could the eruption start just before I’m due to visit. Would love to see it as I fly into Iceland from the U.K.
Thank you for this update…. This series of eruptions is surely keeping you on your toes…. Even the experts can’t tell what’s happening. Exciting to watch but also very sad for Grindavik I don’t think the town will be saved if this keeps happening looking at the flows from 800 years ago they were huge thank you again
Oh my favorite voice to listen too. You would lull me to sleep. Haha!! I watched your las upade and this one and as always sir keep it simple and doesn't go on a long video about everything under the sun. As I was always reminded, to live for today, yesterday is in the past and you can't change what was. Ah yes and tomorrow will take care of itself. I must add you sir and Just Icelandic arethe only two I listen to and watch your videos. Have an awesome day and a big hug 🤗 😄
Ayyyy, thank you so much for this nice comment, means a lot 😁
Glad you like the videos!
Thankyou for another great update with amazing footage. I guess the eruptions are like snowflakes in the way of each one being different to little or great extent. I hope people & infrastructure are safe , Best wishes from London
Thanks you once again for an easy to understand and informative video. Waiting and watching with interest.
Ayyy, thanks for tuning in, glad you liked it 😁
great video......I'm thinking that it will take more magma in the storage chamber before the eruption based on earlier data....so maybe around 22-24 million cubic meters in the Svartsengi system to trigger the next eruption....then again, this system is unpredictable at times....I agree, the eruptions are getting more intense....I learn a lot watching your videos.
Thank you for the latest update. I have been studying the earthquake situation in the Northern offshore region and speculated that the plate boundaries are more active than usual at the moment, however I am far from knowledgeable and rely on the expert opinion such as your good self. I love your calm and collected reportage, a clear and concise analysis is much needed amongst the overly hammed up videos that are circulating.
Best wishes from London.
Ayyy, glad you enjoyed the video, thanks you for tuning in 😁
that eq cluster in the north offshore the other week looked like a long span over the fault
That's a good point!
Most likely some fault actions.
It also looked like the swarm followed the 1/x curve when it came to decrease in intensity.
Oh boy uncertainty strikes again! TY for the update!
Oh yeah!
You're welcome, thanks for tuning in 😁
Thank you for the information.
Just waiting to see now.
😎😎😎👍👍👍
🌱🌏💚 Kia Ora. Helloooo Hlidarmenn. Have missed seeing you, very busy working. Your channel is the "go to" for concise & accurate information on the go!
Ayyyy, thank you so much Amelia, always great to see you tune in!
I speculate, therefore I am!
Magma flowed to fill crevices as the plates separated; particularly to SW. That bodes for unaltered magma flow and acceleration would suggest the voids being filled permit more inflation under power plant and that repeated flexure could mean an eruption there if not further SW of last events in Grindavik or offshore. Time will vindicate or undermine my posit.
Many thanks for the update, Hlidar!
You're welcome 😁
Thanks so much once again for the authoritative and fact-based update, sans hyperbole. One would almost wonder why, once the eruption started, it didn't just continue unstopped as the magma continues to be supplied from the mantle. And of course, GAIA operates on her own timetable - one that is on a much longer time-scale than that which we humans usually consider significant if not critically important! So, the eruption will occur when it occurs, and hopefully the human infrastructure like the community of Grindavik will be spared.
And wow, who'd have ever thought that there were such beautiful beaches in the world that weren't already covered with people! 😉
Yeah, exactly. Imagine, if we were analysing this event thousands of years from now, we'd probably think this was all just one, long eruption.
Hahaha, there are a lot of hidden beaches in Iceland 😁
Really interesting, excellent visuals
Thankyou your drone work is amazing Thankyou Christene in Australia
Ayyy, thanks for tuning in 😁
Thank You for the update.
You're welcome 😁
There's about 14.5 million cubic meters accumulated according to calculations based on current trend (0.42cm daily or 4.6m3/s while IMO data suggests between 4 and 6m3/s) it needs few days to reach previous uplift level and at most 2 weeks to reach 20 million cubic meters, so eruption can be expected late July early August
That sounds like a solid, educated guess and I agree with you!
Thank you. We haven’t heard too much on another possible eruption. Will stability of the ground be keeping another one from happening even though the readings are giving similar to an earlier eruption?
Iceland has really been going through so much change in this area..I am wanting to know since this particular area was quiet for so long is it possible these curent eruptions might be there for the long haul, and not just a brief outbreak? Thanks for the report and any thoughts you have on my question.
Stay safe out there, workers, residents, and emergency services personnel
🇺🇲 ❤ 🇮🇸
Back in 2021, we entered this eruptive period which will last 200-300 years based on the peninsula's geologic history but these eruptive episodes happen every 800 years.
We've had 8 eruptions so far but it's unlikely that the eruptive cadence will remain this high throughout the entire event, maybe an eruption every 4 years on average, and activity will shift to other systems.
@Hliarmenn Thank you very much for your time, effort, and skills.. I have always loved Iceland to me it is a must-see destination it is absolutely stunning. I started watching regularly in 2010 when Eyjafjallajökull volcano halted air travel. I knew someone trying to fly back to the US but couldn't. Then Fagradalsfj erupting on March 19, 2021 with its awesome display and here I am still watching, now the Sundhnúkur eruptions!!
my best gues would be that during februari marche the magma chamber just got bigger, that would seem to slow down the inflow.
Much more in a hurry than I thought, but looking at Mount Etna, Stromboli and Camp Flegrei nature seems to be keen on getting some work done. Soon I don't know which one to look at. I need a multiple view video wall 🙂.
Yeah, definitely a lot going on in terms of volcanoes.
My opinion is nothing more than a guess. However, it seems like very little is known about how the "plumbing" for this volcano actually works. That hockey stick curve on the graph makes me think that maybe the lava flow actually was starting to be blocked up and then, perhaps by rising pressure or other reasons, it broke loose. It doesn't bode well for the power plant, though. That is unfortunate.
Yeah, I've also thought that perhaps something was blocking the influx which then, somehow, stopped doing so.
It could also have to do with the state of the ground above the chamber which effects the uplift rates and hence the simulation numbers. So, maybe the influx has Benn stable this whole time but something caused uplift to slow down for a couple of months.
Will be interesting to see what our experts find our
@@Hliarmenn That's true. I hadn't really thought that maybe the inflow has been spreading out or expanding downward instead of up.
I don't think inflow has decreased. With the volume of the magma chamber and eruptions increasing, I'm still thinking that the crust above the magma chamber is taking longer to respond to the increasing pressure in the magma chamber. Meaning after each eruption the uplift appears to be slowing down, giving false data readings that it is slowing down. I don't think the simulations were wrong since they were based on current slow uplift data at the time, but as more magma built up in the magma chamber and pressure increased, the crust caught up and uplift started to increase. As said before, this slow uplift at first may be because the crust has been stretched and cracked a lot since October 25 last year.
🌱🌏💚 Kia Ora Sigi. Gtsy! I've been away, work is very busy. Not much time for anything else! I hope you are doing well.
@@sixthsenseamelia4695 I'm doing well, busy with a new job over the last two months.
So, the influx has just been stable this whole time.
Crazy how complex this all is and it's clear that uplift doesn't always tell the full story.
@@sixthsenseamelia4695 I'm doing well. Have been busy with work as well.
Not sure what happened to my previous comment from a few minutes ago.
@@Hliarmenn That's what I'm thinking. I'm thinking that, and Val Troll said this is is possible, that because of all the stretching and cracking from the uplift, earthquake swarms, eruptions, and land drops after each eruption, that the uplift might take longer to be picked up by GPS stations after each eruption. To prove or disprove this, research needs to be done on this. I'm not an expert, but if an expert like Val Troll says it's possible, then shouldn't someone with the expertise look into it? Maybe drill into the rock and get samples from the area if possible?
I’d say, less than a week
thks for your update. do you have an idea that the constant refilling implies an open pipe to the magma source and that it is getting more open for greater eruptions,,,,thks b
Wow if t happens before August that is amazing. And here they thought it was over and some people said it may be months like Sept or Oct before it erupts again and boy does it look like they were wrong. it's getting to be more like we can time it at regular intervals almost.
maybe the computers were wishful thinking. im placing pins in possible places, sadly the blue lagoon is 1 prediction from me.
if the uplift in Svartsengi system is expanding, do we know just (Where) that magma is coming from? The Deeper Magma chamber or the Lesser one above it or the Magma Sill?
Do you have an idea of (Where) the next eruption will exit the system? If the plate boundary offshore is showing seismic activity, I'm thinking of a lateral expansion down into the island ??
If seismic activity follows the plate path south?? Just a few questions, as I was watching tonight.
We don't know much detail about the Svartsengi system and how it's underground structure looks líka and behaves.
We're almost certain though that there's a small magma chamber at 4-6km depths that magma feeds into and then, from there, intrudes to the West along a path of least resistance and erupts onto the surface.
We think there's another magma chamber below 10km but we know very little about it. Some speculate that it's connected to all the systems on the peninsula.
The seismic activity up north does not have any effects on systems further south like Svartsengi, atleast not that we know of.
we never really know what nature wants to do
That's damn right!
Please turn on your closed captioning. your accent is difficult for some of us. Thank you.
Headphones help
I've tried to activate it but it requires me to write all the captions myself and I unfortunately don't have time for that. I'll try to figure out if I can somehow do it automatically 😁