SemiAnalysis Founder Dylan Patel on New AI Regulations, Chinese AI & xAI's Surge to Hyperscale

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  • Опубликовано: 7 фев 2025

Комментарии • 75

  • @augmentos
    @augmentos 17 дней назад +42

    Prolly wanna redo this again tmr haha

  • @pondeify
    @pondeify 17 дней назад +10

    great show - presenter is excellent at letting the guest speak and asking thoughtful questions where needed.

    • @RedpointAI
      @RedpointAI  17 дней назад +1

      thank you!

    • @RedpointAI
      @RedpointAI  17 дней назад +1

      Please consider sharing with others that might get value from the show - we're always looking to increase our reach :)

    • @carkawalakhatulistiwa
      @carkawalakhatulistiwa 14 дней назад

      ​@@RedpointAIThis age is like milk.😂. In just 3 months China caught up to o1. R1 Equal Ability and more Cheaper

  • @sockharvester
    @sockharvester 18 дней назад +18

    thank you based deepseek

  • @DakeJan
    @DakeJan 18 дней назад +40

    i had to check my playback speed setting

    • @wan2lmao
      @wan2lmao 14 дней назад

      Sniffle sniffle

  • @mobu-o1g
    @mobu-o1g 17 дней назад +11

    Dylan is the best 👑👑👑😄

  • @Moped_Mike
    @Moped_Mike 15 дней назад +7

    I saw this dude on another podcast with Asiannometry, great stuff

    • @8xster8
      @8xster8 14 дней назад +2

      He was Omega cracked

  • @dedenjama7173
    @dedenjama7173 11 часов назад

    Great Host, Wonderful guest.. informed trailblazer..Buy Nvidia..Buy Bloom Energy

  • @annaczgli2983
    @annaczgli2983 17 дней назад +25

    This aged like milk 😂
    R1 wiped the floor with these predictions

    • @default2826
      @default2826 16 дней назад +11

      He already mentioned R1 in this video, in what part of the video did he say something false about R1?

    • @cyberft
      @cyberft 14 дней назад

      @@default2826thank you. Nothing wrong said here.

    • @aspenlog7484
      @aspenlog7484 14 дней назад +1

      they may raise north of 100 billion by the end of 2027. ... They just got given 500 billion lol

  • @pratikmadrecha
    @pratikmadrecha 8 дней назад

    Great conversation. Please convert this into a podcast playlist on RUclips. Makes it possible to listen on RUclips Music. Thanks a ton!!

  • @t.w.7065
    @t.w.7065 15 дней назад +1

    US apparently has more resource and funds; what is concerning that a number of Chinese companies (with very well trained engineers) figured that they can train frontier model with a small fraction of GPUs and money, needed for OpenAI, meta, google, etc. In a way, it is super encouraging that Chinese companies showed that little guys can compete with giants. Also, it could mean that we did not understand AI that well, we may be able to train AI models on our mobile phones in the future. Finally, maybe "talent > money/GPUs" to make be successful in AI race? If that is the case, here in US, we probably need to brew or import talents like crazy right now ...

  • @siqbots
    @siqbots 13 дней назад +2

    what does he mean when he says RAG is overhyped but Retrieval is underhyped? what papers is he talking about?

  • @MoMo-gg1ip
    @MoMo-gg1ip 12 дней назад

    Wow! The Great Oracle of ai!

  • @aaronabuusama
    @aaronabuusama 17 дней назад +23

    46:00 R1 already caught up to o1 and o3 isnt even out yet tho

    • @cyberft
      @cyberft 14 дней назад

      Ok, but o3 is supposedly exponentially better than o1, and o4 is already in training.

    • @aaronabuusama
      @aaronabuusama 14 дней назад +1

      @ from strawberry to o1 was about 16 months o1 to r1 was about 3 months. By a team that mainly works on investing and they spent less money training it than the salary of an OpenAI executive

    • @cyberft
      @cyberft 14 дней назад +1

      @ o1 is still more powerful than r1, and o3 is days to weeks away. That’s likely a lie about this being a side project for those guys. They are also doing open source so they are able to build directly on top of the research of other teams. Based on the number of folks on the paper that is a 10m dollar team in annual cost, the number of gpus used was something like $500m in gpus and $50m in power cost. Now if their government is subsidizing all of that and it only cost the team $5m, that isn’t the true cost of what it cost to build and train that model.

    • @huhsaywhat
      @huhsaywhat 14 дней назад

      @@cyberft It's not going to be as much of a leap. o1 was different because it moved towards inference-time training. o3 will most likely do inference-time better by generating higher quality and quantity of synthetic data.

    • @JumpDiffusion
      @JumpDiffusion 14 дней назад +3

      R1 didn't catch up neither with o1-pro nor with o3. But nice try.

  • @Aesthetic_Champ
    @Aesthetic_Champ 10 дней назад

    wondering about the cool retrieval papers that came out lately he mentions, any idea what those might be?

  • @odiseezall
    @odiseezall 18 дней назад +47

    lol R1, new world

    • @thingexplainer
      @thingexplainer 18 дней назад +3

      The USSR was first to get a man into space... The AI race has only just started

    • @ugwuanyicollins6136
      @ugwuanyicollins6136 18 дней назад +1

      ​​@@thingexplainer China isn't USSR
      E.g. USSR collapsed while China ×50
      Bruh USA's top ai researchers are from China. What are on about.

    • @ugwuanyicollins6136
      @ugwuanyicollins6136 18 дней назад +1

      ​@@thingexplainerAnd also bad analogy.
      USA v. USSR space race =
      USA v. PRC hyper Sonic jet arms race.
      'cause china beat USA to a hypersonic jet

    • @ugwuanyicollins6136
      @ugwuanyicollins6136 18 дней назад

      ​@@thingexplainer USA'S top AI researchers are of Chinese origin.

    • @ashleigh3021
      @ashleigh3021 17 дней назад +3

      How is it any different than Huawei or someone else releasing an iPhone knockoff? Chinese just innovate on cost, not technology

  • @CLS1507
    @CLS1507 13 дней назад +5

    It really makes me relax from seeing just the huge amount of indians (Elite Human Capitals 😄) involved in the american AI industry. The chinese century is certainly upon us 🇨🇳🙏

  • @zxwxz
    @zxwxz 16 дней назад +1

    Currently, AI has not yet reached the level of Agents, so profit margins are very limited. However, once AI evolves into AGI-level Agents, the situation will change dramatically. For example, using O1 to write code can boost my work efficiency by over 100 times. I can create complete projects based solely on conceptual frameworks, although I still need to iterate to fix bugs. This is something previous models like GPT-4 couldn't achieve; they could only assist with coding.
    Agents, however, are on a completely different level. You no longer need to manually copy and paste; all corrections are done automatically. The key is that Agents can work 24/7 without getting tired. As long as the quality is slightly higher than the current standard, human programmers will definitely be at risk of losing their jobs.
    From my work experience, many small experiments or verification programs are difficult to implement because they're time-consuming and only boost efficiency by about 10%. But with AI, these concerns will no longer be an issue. Note that this phenomenon won't just affect programmers-it will impact all industries.

  • @Lucien-lu1vw
    @Lucien-lu1vw 14 дней назад

    Wow Dylan Patel is on point, following that many things and having such deep insights is remarkable, interviewer is also good.

  • @digzrow8745
    @digzrow8745 13 дней назад +4

    total "like" word count: 1,316

  • @DicksonPau-0906
    @DicksonPau-0906 17 дней назад +3

    Dylan was correct! OpenAI raised $500 billion in early 2025!

  • @Interstellar00.00
    @Interstellar00.00 17 дней назад

    🌍forever live 🌍forever live

  • @gamingwithnk6973
    @gamingwithnk6973 14 дней назад +1

    40:00 aged like milk😂😂, they got 500B

  • @NistenTahiraj
    @NistenTahiraj 17 дней назад +10

    this is already outdated lol

  • @carkawalakhatulistiwa
    @carkawalakhatulistiwa 14 дней назад +4

    This age is like milk.😂. In just 3 months China caught up to o1. R1 Equal Ability and more Cheaper

    • @mariokotlar303
      @mariokotlar303 12 дней назад

      It's close but it's not equal, check out how poorly it did on simplebench.

  • @afterglow5285
    @afterglow5285 11 дней назад

    Dylan Patel is the Vivek Ramaswamy of tech.

  • @ScoobieDoo-zy1rh
    @ScoobieDoo-zy1rh 10 дней назад

    DeepSeek, sorry I’m late to the party

  • @BeTheFeatureNotTheBug
    @BeTheFeatureNotTheBug 13 дней назад

    matrix intro ,,, sneaky ;)

  • @vademilyasov229
    @vademilyasov229 10 дней назад

    Like, like, like... like how come this pal is considering himself a whatever EXPERT? 😮

  • @ArunRamakrishnan
    @ArunRamakrishnan 5 дней назад

    This fella has no clue how most things in AI engineering work and seems to work with inherent bias against Chinese engineering. Strange given he publishes good stuff in semics.

  • @JD-yz4kr
    @JD-yz4kr 12 дней назад +2

    This is a racist rant if ever I seen one. Dylan Patel saying oh look Chinese companies claiming they are "Singaporean" now just because they moved to Singapore. They are Singaporean because they were incorporated in Singapore, with International funding. With that reasoning, people can say that Dylan Patel is "claiming" to be American just because he was assembled in the US, but with Indian-origin genetic materials, but hey, he should still be considered as Indian.

  • @TheVigi99
    @TheVigi99 16 дней назад +5

    dylan being wrong on pretty much a lot :D

    • @Unclesam404
      @Unclesam404 14 дней назад +1

      He’s busy shilling nvda all day and all
      Night. I am waiting for his mi300x part2 for inference. When ? Next year ?

  • @qilinwang5889
    @qilinwang5889 8 дней назад

    Wtf is this a tanned Kyle Kulinski?

  • @beyondthecodeeditor4894
    @beyondthecodeeditor4894 14 дней назад +4

    this aged like rotten milk

  • @gfhbkln1639
    @gfhbkln1639 17 дней назад +5

    India tech bro will say anything to defend their US motherland and their super idol Elon Musk 😂😂

  • @billytanner1868
    @billytanner1868 9 дней назад

    ;-) experts and toilet papers