WTCOC Group stage Round 5 // Croatia - Slovakia
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- Опубликовано: 14 май 2024
- The final week of the group stage of the World Team Carcassonne Online Championship is on its way. 36 teams and over 300 players are fighting for the prestigious championship title as well as for the opportunity to get to send one of their players to the 2024 individual world championships. Lets witness the ups and downs of a match between team Croatia and team Slovakia
Игры
I like group standings a lot. :-) Your math was right this time. Astounding! There’s definitely a lot going on … For those who don’t want to watch Nallerheim’s 30+ minutes of standings musings (from 1:04:00 onwards), here’s the gist: 3 wins likely won’t be good enough for playoffs for at least 1 team, but there’s one set of results where there are only 4 3rd place teams with 3 wins (UK, ROM, COL, PT, FIN, MEX would all need to win their games). As a German player I’m rooting for that scenario. ;-)
Group A: tiebreakers of top 3 are good enough to qualify for playoffs, even a 0:5 (0:10) in their last matches likely wouldn’t change that …
Group B: ROM could get 3rd place, but would be out anyway as there are already 2 3rds with 3 W and there’ll be at least 2 more (JPN vs. ESP, GER vs. BEL). UK could drop to 4th with 1:4 or 0:5 and GRE winning 5:0 or 4:1 - depending on games diff.
Group C: Top 3 are quite safe, but a 5:0 by CAT would make things interesting. ;) They even could get to 2nd place if Latvia would lose 0:5.
Group D: FRA is quite safe, considering they are heavy favorites against Peru, even a 2:3 (or 1:4) might be enough to secure 2nd place.
BEL and GER need to win at least 4:1 and hope for matches in other groups to go their way to get 4th best 3rd. (Most crucial UK winning against Italy and ARG winning ideally 3:2 +3 or +4 against MEX to pass both on games difference tiebreakers - definitely a long shot.)
Group E:
HK would need a commanding win against FIN to have a shot at 4th best 3rd. HK could *in theory* overtake both PT and TUT, if TUT would win 4:1 (8:6) against PT and HK 5:0 (10:0 against FIN). If PT would lose 1:4 or 0:5, they could drop to 4th. TUT would need a 4:1 or better to get to 2nd place. A 3:2 might not be enough to secure 3rd place if HK wins 4:1.
In reality PT just needs a 2:3 to secure 2nd place and HK should gun for a 5:0.
Group F: Winner of JPN vs. ESP will go to the playoffs. If MEX loses against ARG they might lose out on 4th best 3rd, if it’s 2:3 (4:8) or worse ARG will pass them. same goes for POL if they’d lose 1:4 or worse against LIT. A Polish 2:3 should be enough to secure a good enough 3rd place. But there’s an outside chance for ARG to win the group with a 5:0 (10:0) against MEX, ESP - JPN 3:2 (6:7) and POL - LIT 2:3 e. g.
I respect the dedication of writing all this out 😁
@@nallerheim Well, I needed to know whom to root for so we (GER) will still have a chance on Sunday. As it’s quite the convoluted situation I had to take some notes. Why not share them? … yeah, and while I’m at it anyway, expand them a teeny tiny bit. 😃
Will you stream Argentina vs México?
I have not decided yet which matches I will stream on Sunday but since you are suggesting, I could stream Argentina - México 😁
@@nallerheim thank you!
Hey, I have been watching out for your RUclips channel so I have gotten some "issue" solutions blueprints for you. May we make sure through a good conversation?
You can message me on BGA and Twitter. Both can be found by searching "Nallerheim"