IMPACTS of Earth Tipping Points on Societal Breakdown, Radicalization, Polarization, Anomie, Wars…
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- Опубликовано: 25 апр 2024
- In recent videos I have discussed the major Earth System Tipping Points that we are fast approaching.
Here, I chat about how these nonlinear climate changes are likely to impact society. In fact climate change is already having profound impacts to human societies and is decreasing our resilience and even agency to respond.
Already, we are seeing increased societal breakdowns, social unrest, more conflicts, radicalization and polarization, and overall dysfunction and “anomie”. Anomie is an old sociological term for individuals losing interest and touch and connection with their communities.
For example, people living in high-rise buildings often don’t care about or even know anybody in their buildings, even next door neighbours.
As climate change accelerates rapidly, we are losing our window to respond in any meaningful way.
I discuss various case studies of interactions and connections between climate, physical changes, societal impacts, and effects for:
- AMOC collapse
- coral reef collapse
- Lake Chad drying up
- Amazon Rainforest Collapse
- Arab Spring
Basically, we are all connected. Nothing happens in a vacuum. Cascading domino like effects are all around us.
Please donates to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. 
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In recent videos I have discussed the major Earth System Tipping Points that we are fast approaching.
Here, I chat about how these nonlinear climate changes are likely to impact society. In fact climate change is already having profound impacts to human societies and is decreasing our resilience and even agency to respond.
Already, we are seeing increased societal breakdowns, social unrest, more conflicts, radicalization and polarization, and overall dysfunction and “anomie”. Anomie is an old sociological term for individuals losing interest and touch and connection with their communities.
For example, people living in high-rise buildings often don’t care about or even know anybody in their buildings, even next door neighbours.
As climate change accelerates rapidly, we are losing our window to respond in any meaningful way.
I discuss various case studies of interactions and connections between climate, physical changes, societal impacts, and effects for:
- AMOC collapse
- coral reef collapse
- Lake Chad drying up
- Amazon Rainforest Collapse
- Arab Spring
Basically, we are all connected. Nothing happens in a vacuum. Cascading domino like effects are all around us.
Please donates to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Paul you sure have shifted in your perspective the last few years compared to when I first ran across your RUclips channel about 8 years ago. You seem more philosophical and also resigned to the fact that there's no way out of this for humans and other earthlings. So many of us appreciate everything you've done for all of us. Your RUclips videos should be getting MILLIONS of views. Thanks for fighting the good fight everyday and keeping us informed! 😊 🙏❤️
@@J.M.-nb4gwWord❤. There are many brave youtubers who are trying to spread climate information and discussion, but at the same time there are denialist channels trying the opposite. If we fail in this because of the info-war, it is so utterly ridiculous reason. False information channels should be banned or labeled "false".
This culture is biosphere blind. When I look at all the record ecological events, I realize these events are not the canaries in the coal mine. The canaries died a long time ago.
Yup that's the real sad part.
literally, bird poulations worldwide have been in severe decline all my life, i am over 60 now & the number of birds since i was a child is about 25% of what there were.
Great thumbnail and topic Paul. This is something we aren't hearing enough about and I believe it is already well underway.
Crazy times ahead
The age of great suffering is upon us.
Excellent presentation on the importance of the information. It’s indeed frightening but useful. I’m going to make ten copies of this and throw it at my smug family who relish poking fun at me because of climate change. I live in southern Florida and if the AMOC becomes dismantled any steering current that could veer hurricanes away will no longer exist. I’ve already sold my house and live in a condo and I can pack up and get out if I need to! Good job Paul!!
Its been incredibly wet in the UK since last September. Fields are completely waterlogged. Winter barley wasn't planted, the fields are too wet for farm machinery, fatality rate in lambs in massive, nothing is being planted to harvest.
I'm sorry to see this; it's got to be frightening. I wonder why we hear nothing of these weather disasters in the US MSM or Corporate news. Not on RUclips, either. Stay safe.
It’s not the first year such weather occurred.. it’s not statistically significant in my experience..
@@ivanhunter3907Oh, that settles it. I was skeptical until I realized that who am I to question some random internet person's "experience?"
Also this has affected the building and construction industry as well as the farming. Cattle unable to be pastured and as you said about crops. The knock on effect is job losses, land not being suitable for growing, pasture and this leads to food shortages. And the economy and social collapse.
Anomie? Chris Hedges talks about this. 2018: "America, the fairwell tour".
I first heard of Emile Durkheim and the concept of anomie through Chris Hedges via some of his Media Sanctuary talks
Chris Hedges is like a modern day prophet spitting truths.
Recently, I reread Gwynne Dyer's ‘Climate Wars’ from 2008. It is scarier today because his predictions are proving accurate. The book changed my perspective on Brexit, Trump’s wall, water wars, inadequate geoengineering solutions, and “don’t tell the children”-deniers.
Truly scary.
My definition of Anomie - not giving a crap about yourself, your neighbours, your community, or anything else… Anomie has its own Wikipedia page…
Something like this Paul?
"The danger of the past was that men became slaves. The danger of the future is that men may become robots. True enough, robots do not rebel. But given man's nature, robots cannot live and remain sane, they become ''Golems',' they will destroy their world and themselves because they cannot stand any longer the boredom of a meaningless life."
Erich Fromm
That's a wonderful word (anomie?) and I really appreciate your explanation. I'm fairly intelligent (just a 64 year old nurse) and pretty sure I've heard of that word before but never heard it used or explained to me like that. You are awesome 😊
@@spookyaction8917wow that's a pretty powerful statement, I've never seen or heard it before. Thanks for sharing 🙏
People who no longer know how (or why) to return a neighborly greeting… and then perhaps go online and complain about lack of meaning and social isolation to ease their loneliness…
Anomie or no anomie, we are definitely not taking collective collection at all, Anomie of course is not a real thing as such. It's merely the musings of a certain French sociologist. But the point is still well taken....
Anomie - is the default. Or are we paying attention to our brothers and sisters on the planet? So far, we have eagerly tried to enslave anyone who could not defend themselves.
The 'erosion of society' is, *of course,* a process that runs parallel to climate change and species extinction.
This erosion cannot be stopped in isolation - we perform better on the whole thing - or we go mad with the speed of the exponential function.
I liked the cool artsy thumbnail.
Appreciate your work as always Paul! Thank you for showing us this document and talking about it. Your insight is immensly valuable🙏
Yes, Paul keeps us in reality. I check in on a regular basis, just to stay grounded in truth. (Gosh, Paul's office looks great.) 💫
The University of AZ has "paused" its climate sustainability initiatives due to a budget crisis brought on by upper admin speculative recklessness... even as its science research continues. A little microcosm preview of what you are talking about.
I will be printing this document and showing it to friends and family, very interesting stuff :)
Thank you Paul
Thank You very much for this video 🙏🪷 But sadness is the feeling, that I have. Nothing really changes towards make things better. I really have no words, just sadness. 😢 ...
Thanks Paul. This is so important to understand!
Important work. It’s vital to understand that the socioeconomic and political breakdowns are usually in coherence and responding to climate and resource depletion due to excessive extraction and overshoot. It’s like a chemistry problem, really. Once populations rise and societies become complex, they have all sorts of advancements (and inequity/oppression as well) that eventually lead to excessive consumption, extraction and overshoot which inevitably collapses and release larger societies into smaller communities (not a pretty process) which then gather over time and repeat the pattern and cycle again. Fascinating stuff!
I think that when we examine the results of the social chaos that will follow climate catastrophe we need to apply the Pareto Principle to the possible and/or likely results. As we leave 8 billion data points in our rearview window we might postulate that 80% of the world population will die out in a fairly short brutal time.
"social chaos that will follow climate catastrophe" - it is the other way round. Social chaos occurs before...
Humans **anticipate** their future. That happens in our brains - that is where the nightmare begins.
Any relation to Danny?
can you apply the Pareto Principle to the Two-Headed depleted uranium babies?
The Pentagon are studying these scenarios very seriously.
From Vice October 24, 2019: “According to a new U.S. Army report, Americans could face a horrifically grim future from climate change involving blackouts, disease, thirst, starvation and war. The study found that the US military itself might also collapse. This could all happen over the next two decades, the report notes.... The report was commissioned by General Mark Milley...
@@nsbd90nowI have often thought we should convert the military into a global climate crisis response team.
@@monkeyfist.348 EarthForce reached stage of mockup recruitment posters in like 2013 but fizzled it seems
military intelligence
Suicide rates are climbing just about everywhere.
Sadly that's going to go up-and-up in the coming years. The saddest part is the increase among young people. But honestly, who can blame them?
I feel for them. I hope parents will help their children deal with these emotions. Can they?
Sadly the train lines near my home have never been so busy, and I don't mean with commuters. One was a school-age child. It's getting to be nearly every week at least one.
strange how the corporate media is not covering the drought and famine currently across Africa - Zambia, Zimbabwe, Ethiopia, West Africa, Sahel, etc. oops. Sure heat and drought in India is getting mentioned - and southeast Asia - so that's something.
All the news that's fit to carbon footprint.
I often think of the national mobilization that occurred in America during WWII. In very short order the entire population was re-configured and focused on the "war effort". Focused leadership from Capitol Hill to Nowhere Nebraska joined forces to combat an existential crisis. It was a communal effort that was orchestrated by our national leaders. Compare that historical phenomena to today's GLOBAL existential crisis! I cannot understand the foot-dragging, denialism and lackadaisical indifference of our contemporary "leaders"!
We arent communists.. we have soveirgn rights that allow us to be free froma tyrannical govt. Climate policies destroy the economy. People will lose their luxurious lifestyles theyre accustomed to. They will fight you the whole time.
Nothing is being done because nothing can be done.
Ever heard of Citizens United, not to mention gerrymandering. We aren’t running the government, the billion and trillionares are.
@@jimsigrist5506Exactly.
Hello.
I'm Paul Beckwith.
CLASSIC!
Your best presentation. Gaza. We are or about to become Palestinians. Failure of food supply.
Very good, but it makes the mistake of assuming radicalization would be always bad. Radicalization is good actually when engineered in the moral direction
Thanks MrBeckwith, ..really like the Thumbnail
Who'd have thought, the greatest problem society will face as climate falls apart is none other than anime.
Talk about CUMBE VIEJO, tsunami possibilities.
That thumbnail!
Ru Mundy: 'Love in the Time of Coral Reefs'
thank you, Paul, for suggesting listening to her painful, beautiful song.
Excellent vid Paul.
We've started the ball rolling in this oncoming crisis and we are not summoning the strength or organisation or cooperation or political will to halt its momentum.
We now need to urgently investigate and discuss adaptive processes and actions that we'll need to survive this period ahead ie. get ahead of the eight-ball to plan not to be overwhelmed, and thus be incapable or otherwise handicapped. If only that we survive in reduced capacity, it is better than not surviving at all.
Remember. Nothing is being done because nothing can be done. Show me a solution of scale on an abrupt and urgent timeline and convince me otherwise??
Is Nihilism a part of Anomie or visa versa?
Nihilism is a philosophical school of thought - Anomie is a behavior.
I understand the parallels you see - but the two basically don't have anything in common.
Well, that was fun.
More bad news. Keep telling it like it is, Paul!
Wheeee! Now that I've come to some acceptance I find it all... exciting!
This is a great discussion. If we look at the response of society to stress in the past quarter century during the 9/11 terrorist attack and the growing awareness of climate change, I am discouraged at the lack of positive societal discussion and government implementation of positive mitigative policies. While I agree with the premise that we should try to predict the stresses of future tipping points on social structure, I am puzzled as to how we can implement positive responses in the light of past failures. I would be interested in any discussion of this observation.
Paul, do you know of any studies that link AMOC and jet streams? I live in St. Louis, an interesting transitional location ecologically, geologically, and meteorologically. Could severe change/shut down of the AMOC change the location of the jet stream, I wonder? And where might it move to?
The old rulers are losing their power
The world is turned upside down
And it spins all the way around
To the other side...
What is the publication or paper you are going over? Wnere can it be found?
I'm wondering the same
The physical tipping points are leveraged on a crux that amplifies societal tipping scenarios. With cascading events and societal consequences the positive feedbacks, ie. the reinforcing resultant outcomes, will threaten to overcome and breakdown our societal and civilisation norms and processes.
This is the real danger that we face in a systemic view of the symbiotic relationships between the hydrosphere, the cryosphere, the lithosphere, and the biosphere, of which humans are but one critical component that is both the enabler and the victim of these cascading scenarios.
Anomie is already thoroughly underway and has been in the works for decades without a direct correlation to climate change. Climate change may hasten a tipping point, yes, but the current causes are other than loss of resources etc. It's a very complex dynamic that has its roots it the societal drivers of climate change, to be sure.
Climate change has also been active during that time. They're linked, that doesn't mean they're identical
This makes planning particularly difficult. For example, where is the 800 page study showing how AI can actually help,not just hand waving?
Hi Paul. Durkheim's research into suicide was seminal. His key finding was the loss of social 'inclusion' or connectivity as you say - in new urban poor/deprived communities populated by those seeking work who came from small rural locations, which were tough for many reasons but had inclusive cultures going back centuries/millenia. So it is not the high rise building per se - it's the deprivations imposed on most people living there, according to Durkheim. Late stage capitalism/modern-life of course imposes all sorts of other restrictions on our natural instincts to live communally. Sudden societal breakdown won't lead to a sudden resurgence of these in the absence of enough to go around of course. IF communities started now in advance of worst impacts perhaps harms could be reduced. Instead of course we are pedal to the metal in the other apocalyptic direction. We desperately need the climate science community/the IPCC to communicate more honestly and 'live' on how bad things are and threaten to worsen so soon. We need them - not you obvs - to stop minimising. Please consider featuring this problem of minimisation. Your output is great but isn't getting through to enough to make a difference - not your fault of course. Bill McGuire/Eliot Jacobsen and others called this essay 'great' and the best people will read this month just fyi as motivation to look through! jacksondamian.substack.com/p/minimisation-is-the-new-denial
Did Durkheim write before or after the British committed genocide in India? "How British colonialism killed 100 million Indians in 40 years" Between 1880 to 1920, British colonial policies in India claimed more lives than all famines in the Soviet Union, Maoist China and North Korea combined. Wow same time that Durkheim was alive! I guess he missed something.
What is the document you explore?
What's the study link? I'm not seeing it in the description
The word impact and its history from the LLM view: The word "impact" has indeed evolved over time in its usage and meaning. Originally derived from the Latin word "impactus," which means "collision" or "striking against," the term has undergone semantic shifts and expanded its connotations over the centuries.
1. **Physical Force and Collision (Original Meaning)**: Initially, "impact" primarily referred to the physical force resulting from a collision or contact between objects. It described the direct effect or influence of one thing striking or hitting another.
2. **Metaphorical Extension to Influence**: Over time, "impact" began to be used metaphorically to describe the effect or influence of one thing on another, even when no physical collision was involved. This broader usage emerged to describe the profound effect or influence of actions, events, or phenomena on individuals, societies, or systems.
3. **Emotional and Psychological Impact**: In modern usage, "impact" extends beyond the physical and tangible to encompass emotional, psychological, and societal effects. It describes how experiences, messages, or events affect people's feelings, attitudes, and behaviors.
4. **Economic and Social Impact**: Additionally, "impact" is frequently used in contexts related to economics, business, and social sciences to describe the consequences of policies, decisions, or developments on communities, industries, or populations. This includes aspects such as employment, income distribution, and social cohesion.
5. **Environmental and Climate Impact**: In recent decades, with growing awareness of environmental issues, "impact" has also become closely associated with ecological and climatological effects. It describes the consequences of human activities, natural phenomena, or climate change on ecosystems, biodiversity, and the Earth's systems.
Overall, the evolution of the word "impact" reflects the broadening of its meaning from a term primarily denoting physical force to one encompassing a wide range of effects, influences, and consequences across various domains of human experience and inquiry.
The relationship between the words "impinge" and "impact" lies in their shared roots and overlapping meanings, although they are not entirely synonymous. Here's how they relate:
1. **Etymology**: Both "impinge" and "impact" originate from Latin roots. "Impinge" comes from the Latin word "impingere," meaning "to strike against," while "impact" derives from the Latin word "impactus," which also means "to strike against" or "collision."
2. **Similarity in Meaning**: Both words involve the idea of one thing coming into contact with another, often resulting in a forceful or significant effect. They both imply a sense of influence, consequence, or result, though "impact" tends to be more broadly used and has a wider range of applications.
3. **Differences in Usage**: While there is overlap in their meanings, "impinge" typically emphasizes the act of encroaching upon or infringing upon something else, often implying a degree of intrusion or interference. It can be used in contexts where one thing imposes itself upon another, causing a notable effect or hindrance. On the other hand, "impact" is a more general term that describes the result or effect of a collision, encounter, or interaction, whether physical, metaphorical, or abstract.
In summary, while "impinge" and "impact" share similarities in their meanings and origins, "impinge" tends to emphasize the act of encroachment or intrusion, while "impact" focuses more on the resulting effect or consequence of such an interaction.
Large language models (LLM) you mean AI? if AI is so awesome how come it can read the weather but not solve global warming. hahaha. What a joke.
Refer to "American Anomie" by Chris Hedges
It’s so bad & gloomy it’s hard to believe… even when you know it’s true & scientifically based. The more you learn the more you go WTF
Hemp for victory!
I thought we were talking about societal breakdown, not the awed freezing because of amok
This brings to mind Guy McPherson and his talks about mass human extinction. I can see how today we're racing towards this scenario, but with our species I feel there's still a chance of evolution!
Faced with mass extinction some of the Homo Sapiens might come out stronger and smarter than the climate impacts and robots.
Wish I could be the proverbial fly on the wall to document this 😂
But if all we're left with are the billionaires hiding in their luxury bunkers I would rather we went extinct.🌎☠
@@juliebarks3195 if all we're left with really ARE billionaires hiding in their luxury bunkers, we will definitely go extinct.
GEE McFearSun is a conservation biology professor and you think he doesn't understand evolution? Professor Michael Soule, also a conservation biologist, pointed out that Large Mammals stopped evolving in the 1970s due to "loss of habitat." Humans are large animals. Most people these days - meaning 99% - are too anthropocentric since they do not study conservation biology - there's no money in conservation biology! On the contrary environmental activists are murdered.
I think you will find that there are few if any significant tipping points to worry about. Past warm periods which were much warmer than present were good times for people and life in general. The Earth did not appear to have suffered from tipping points then. Why should it now?
I assume we only got 15 good years left. Maybe less. But is this a normal human, to think negative about the future?
There are different tipping points climate, food, social etc.
The middle east conflict with the reduction in shipping through the Suez and the Panama canal is restricted because of drought. Also Islamic countries such as Indonesia and shipping points that pass through Islamic waterways could be restricted to certain ships
First!
It doesn't count unless you spell it "frist". 😀
You're disrupting social cohesion.
I see many other videos AMOC collapse cause ice age or not???
I know praying is not to scientific but I been telling everyone about praying for our world and population that we can protect and keep this planet earth beautiful!
"keep this planet earth beautiful!" We should have seen the planet around 1700 - just to know what 'beautiful' really is.
Compared to that - we now have 'ugly'....
...and have to expect 'uninhabitable'
Christians should think about the role of 'Christianism' in relation to 'Climate Change'
Christian cultures (aka The West) caused 80% of all emissions so far - their nasty tend to slavery aside.
Sry - and don't take this personally - cuz it isn't.
Thoughts, prayers, but not enough action, or at least the inaction that would actually matter.
Same thing can happen when. Dah dah makes a real bad decision
How❤❤❤ about anomie in Haiti
I made it 14 minutes until I got angry. Scientists are just churning the same basic information over and over. It's getting hotter, it's getting drier, the ice caps are melting and on and on. It's starting to feel like the movie "Groundhog Day". I need to move on from this and enjoy life while I still can.
Go ahead. No one's stopping you.
That's right
You didn't 2x it? dang!!
Says the guy on RUclips every day.
Big time to late . Climate change is here flooding drought tornado are going to be f15 and f20 we need to be with family and stay safe bless 🙏 !!!
Lol on the bright side
Less aholes to deal with
Brillant observation. Have an award.
Fewer 🤦♀️
Cite your sources please
Hahaha you guys crack me up
I thought it was the end in the sixties yet I got the best waves the past four decades
Now it’s still pumping and @ 70 I still getting the wave of the day every time I go!
Wake up loosers🔥🙉🔥🙈🔥🙊🔥
- We live in the same climate as it was 5 million years ago and the cancer will go away -
I have an explanation regarding the cause of the climate change and global warming, it is the travel of the universe to the deep past since May 10, 2010.
Each day starting May 10, 2010 takes us 1000 years to the past of the universe.
Today April 27, 2024 the state of our universe is the same as it was 5 million and 101 thousand years ago.
On october 13, 2026 the state of our universe will be at the point 6 million years in the past.
On june 04, 2051 the state of our universe will be at the point 15 million years in the past.
On june 28, 2092 the state of our universe will be at the point 30 million years in the past.
On april 02, 2147 the state of our universe will be at the point 50 million years in the past.
The result is that the universe is heading back to the point where it started and today we live in the same climate as it was 5 million years ago.
Anyone who does not believe that the climate changed for the reason I mentioned should wait for cancer to disappear very soon because of this reverse movement, I will explain: the human body's immune system will be stimulated, activated and stronger as a result of this reverse process, which results in the disappearance of the cancer.
Mohamed BOUHAMIDA, teacher of mathematics and a researcher in number theory.
Why do you think any of this?
@@EmeraldView Do you have an explanation for climate change?
Why are user names beginning with “user” typically contrarian, denial, or misinformation pedaling? We humans have doubled the greenhouse gas co2 above its average level during the past million years, 180-280 ppm. Not to mention the even greater increase in methane. But sure, distract, dispute, delay, and disinform. That’s the cycle which has brought us here.
@@christinearmington The universe is on its deathbed and is on a travel to its past
Possible ozone depletion from exploding nuclear reactor explosions will allow solar radiation to fry the Earths remaining photosynthesizing food plants.
Interesting all the comments about "anomie." This concept was part of Introductory Sociology in first year University. We no longer use words which contain meaning because we no longer have lives which give us meaning.
Anomie is the opposite of 'bonhomie'
bon bons are the opposite of Snickers
Not to over simplify but I think what you’re explaining is we are doomed. Unless humanity does xyz the planet will heat up and crops will fail and we will migrate and cause war and the world will collapse upon us. Well we’re not going try to stop it so…
😀have a nice day