I’m wondering if there’s any way to evaluate the chances of an individual stock to deliver better results than S&P500. And how do we evaluate a stock’s potential growth?
Despite Celsius Holdings' ($CELH) impressive 50% YTD surge, driven by expanding distribution and innovative product lines, sustainability concerns linger due to intensifying competition in the crowded fitness drink market and valuation multiples nearing 40x forward earnings.
According to the financial advisor I hired regulatory risks surrounding sugar content and labeling requirements could trim up to 10% off Celsius Holdings' ($CELH) annual sales, but the company's strategic shift towards low-calorie and natural ingredients may mitigate this impact, limiting potential losses to 5%.
I've owned Tmdx and Se for the last 6 mo. Se made me nervous for most of my holding , but it's coming around. I started drinking Celsius when it first hit the market by me , but I don't invest in the co.
MELI is one of my top holdings, and I recently opened a small position in CELH, which I'll add to on weakness. I used to own SE, but eventually came to the conclusion that long-term demographic trends and the impacts of deglobalization, in Latin America, are vastly more favorable than in Asia.
I’d be curious to hear your thoughts on Graham’s valuation method and Peter Lynch’s valuation method. Graham suggests that you need to multiply the PE ratio by the Price to Book ratio. A quant investor whose name I can’t recall now also says that you need to pay attention to Beta (3 years) but I’m not sure what it means.
When you say you didn't care about valuation because valuation wasn't important 2010-2022, was that something you managed to identify at the time and invest accordingly? Or is that something that you now notice in hindsight was a factor in your strong outperformance?
I'm suprised by Meli still being on the list! I was loading the boat at $1400-$1650... only 11% implied growth rate for 10 years?!? Wow. I like those chances.
Great video! Surprised that TMDX’s expected 13% CAGR would win as the cheapest. Thought MELI or several others would exceed that bar. Is the market that overvalued that 13% is the best return of the stocks that you’re following.
FOUR still looks undervalued although many seem to have understood that as its racing up. Not sure about DUOL being undervalued, but certainly a worthy bet. Personally wouldn't touch CELH until they can prove early meaningful traction overseas.
@@PEZ42704 No, they have digital banks and payments business in Malaysia and Indonesia. And unlike SEA's 3 businesses, for Grab the bank/payments and the food delivery/taxi business are synergetic, making it a superapp.
Because Airbnb was on your list and is now cheaper/lower stock price and it didnt feature on this list, does that mean your thesis has changed?
What do you make of TMDX glass door ratings of 3.2? Growing pains?
Transmedics dropped to $125 since then, time to jump in
Didn't use you a different evaluation method for #1 vs. the other 4?
Love both the formats for these videos.
Where did air bnb go
Duolingo has just stellar management. And I think the competitive advantages are underestimated
Please include tickers on your slides. Its make life easier
Love the list although I own 4 of them so maybe biased. I've been in $TMDX and $CELH since March of 2020 and holding tight on both.
So valuations do matter! Interesting! I've never paid attention to valuations, I just buy great companies. But after watching this I will from now on
I’m wondering if there’s any way to evaluate the chances of an individual stock to deliver better results than S&P500. And how do we evaluate a stock’s potential growth?
Great format, outstanding video. Thanks mate!
Despite Celsius Holdings' ($CELH) impressive 50% YTD surge, driven by expanding distribution and innovative product lines, sustainability concerns linger due to intensifying competition in the crowded fitness drink market and valuation multiples nearing 40x forward earnings.
Celsius' innovative products, expanding distribution, and strong marketing drive growth. $CELH has 30% upside!
Competition from Red Bull, Monster, and Rockstar will erode Celsius' market share. Valuation multiples are stretched.
What about regulatory risks? Increased scrutiny on sugar content and labeling requirements could impact sales.
According to the financial advisor I hired regulatory risks surrounding sugar content and labeling requirements could trim up to 10% off Celsius Holdings' ($CELH) annual sales, but the company's strategic shift towards low-calorie and natural ingredients may mitigate this impact, limiting potential losses to 5%.
I've been considering hiring a financial advisor, can you share more information about yours or tips on how I can find an advisor?
I've owned Tmdx and Se for the last 6 mo. Se made me nervous for most of my holding , but it's coming around. I started drinking Celsius when it first hit the market by me , but I don't invest in the co.
MELI is one of my top holdings, and I recently opened a small position in CELH, which I'll add to on weakness. I used to own SE, but eventually came to the conclusion that long-term demographic trends and the impacts of deglobalization, in Latin America, are vastly more favorable than in Asia.
I’d be curious to hear your thoughts on Graham’s valuation method and Peter Lynch’s valuation method. Graham suggests that you need to multiply the PE ratio by the Price to Book ratio. A quant investor whose name I can’t recall now also says that you need to pay attention to Beta (3 years) but I’m not sure what it means.
They are not really cheap, except for Celcius and maybe SEA
When you say you didn't care about valuation because valuation wasn't important 2010-2022, was that something you managed to identify at the time and invest accordingly? Or is that something that you now notice in hindsight was a factor in your strong outperformance?
I'm suprised by Meli still being on the list! I was loading the boat at $1400-$1650... only 11% implied growth rate for 10 years?!? Wow. I like those chances.
I will buy Meli if goes back down to those prices! No way over 2k a pop I buy it now though.
@brettk9316 I will continue to dollar cost average in, though, not at the amounts I was recently. MELI is a monster.
Thanks Brian.
How come MELI is "Cheap"?
Actually is almost in ATH
TMDX has too much debt for me.
Great video thanks
TMDX is currently down 40% from when this video was posted. Extra cheap now!
Great video! Surprised that TMDX’s expected 13% CAGR would win as the cheapest. Thought MELI or several others would exceed that bar. Is the market that overvalued that 13% is the best return of the stocks that you’re following.
I think he is just talking about 5 stocks and not ranking them in between
FOUR still looks undervalued although many seem to have understood that as its racing up. Not sure about DUOL being undervalued, but certainly a worthy bet. Personally wouldn't touch CELH until they can prove early meaningful traction overseas.
I don't know if you like consumer stocks (although you own Celsius), but I think LULU is at a good price at the moment.
Lulu short
Lulu is a fad clothing company with too high of prices for todays money! I would no way put money in Lulu at this moment
@@SeanNMathis85 you do you
TMDX has taken a massive dump in the past month. Perhaps a buying opportunity? the various ratios still look very good. Hmm....
GRAB may be better than SEA
Isn't Grab more of a one-trick pony?
@@PEZ42704 No, they have digital banks and payments business in Malaysia and Indonesia. And unlike SEA's 3 businesses, for Grab the bank/payments and the food delivery/taxi business are synergetic, making it a superapp.
@@PEZ42704 like uber was? If so, let be it)
They've branched out quite a bit in recent years. You can do many different things on their app.
SE CELH DUOL MELI TMDX
What happened to Brian Feroldi? Does he still make videos for this channel? Just curious.
The video before this was from Brian Feroldi
what about bwm porsche volvo ?
The definition of cheap 🤣🤣🤣