isn't it the opposite ? Overperformance of the stockmarket was due to the monetary expansion, as it's just a better leverage than other assets. Imo the shiller PE ratio is high BECAUSE of high expected monetary expansion. Yes in case of tightening conditions, that would be even more disastrous for bitcoin than for other assets, but is it realistic to think that governments will stop printing money and have reasonable fiscal policies ?
This person i think is actually right. Something very very bad would have to happen for 20k to be BTC bull case, something very bad. everyone thought we were going to have a global recession back in 2022 and btc rallied from 16k to 73k. everyone was expecting the worse when btc had the covid crash and btc when from like 4k to 69k , and now many people are talking about another global recession we will see what happens.
@bitcoinstrategy Is a #BTC death cross happening? If it does, we may retest the support zone between $48,969 and $52,985. Whats your opinion on that gerad ?
This cannot happen. In the worst case recession comes and they print so much liquidity that it will propagate through economy in a year and pump everything just in time for a regular right-translated cycle.
@BitcoinStrategy you are right, but the problem is you are too stubborn to reallocate and take advantage of this crash. And please don't tell me you have a 20% allocation for a Covid24 event.
Kadri bei ya BTC inapozidi kuwa kubwa ndivyo inavyozidi kupoteza mvuto kwa investors wapya, hivyo ni lazima litakuja tokea anguko kubwa la bei ili kurudisha mvuto wa kiuwekezaji kwenye BTC, na anguko hilo litatokea katika kipindi cha 2030/2031
IMO. Only if we get a Black Swan event. Examples - Stock Mkt collapse , War in Europe any major crypto collapse like Luna. All are possible but unlikely.
typically the market crashes when rates are cut. the fed doesnt cut rates just for the sake of cutting rates. it means a bad economic event is happening. it could be a short term crash, depending on the shape of retail pocket the months after the rate cut
Pay Attention !! Time to Upgrade The difference between professional RUclipsr and basic RUclipsr have a line of Thumbnail only !!! I'll do thumbnails but that's not really important but the important is it increases the CTR of your videos, I work with many youtubers and i know what a youtube channel needs..❤
@@BitcoinStrategy Yes, I watched the video. Everything is about probabilities. Your data and the probability of a $20K BTC in the current bull market is highly unlikely. Everyone wants to be the next Michael Burry, but the data shows that the last 10 years have been up for stocks and BTC. At some point in the future, markets will crash, but betting on that crash will cause you to miss out on the majority of the gains. You preach Buffet and diversification, but forget one of Buffets famous quotes. "Diversification is protection against ignorance..." Gold and bonds do NOT outpace inflation.
@@BitcoinStrategy if the Black Swan events are not directly related to crypto itself (i.e. another FTX) I see that as bullish for Bitcoin, as in a good buying opportunity.
Die Betrachtungsweise ist EINZIGARTIG auf RUclips! 👍 Auch die Selbstreflektion ist "gut"... Die einzige Frage für mich bleibt: KÖNNTE es bei einem "Aktiencrash", einem "Crash des Dollar", einer weltweiten Rezession usw. so sein das BTC einen ZUFLUSS sehen könnte 🤔🤔😚
Hiyo ni lazima itokee kwa sababu kadri Bitcoin inavyozidi kuwa na bei kubwa, mvuto wa kiuwekezaji unapungua, mtu hawezi kurisk pesa yake kulenga faida mara mbili wakati kuna uwezekano wa kupata hasara mara 10000 ya hela yake. In 2030/2031 there will be a massive bear market you never witnesses
Kadri bei ya BTC inapozidi kuwa kubwa ndivyo inavyozidi kupoteza mvuto kwa investors wapya, hivyo ni lazima litakuja tokea anguko kubwa la bei ili kurudisha mvuto wa kiuwekezaji kwenye BTC, na anguko hilo litatokea katika kipindi cha 2030/2031
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Man, this is an interesting perspective, from the super long term. Like it!
Appreciate it!
Thanks for making these videos man! Its really insightful!
You killed it bro
Thanks 👍🏻
isn't it the opposite ? Overperformance of the stockmarket was due to the monetary expansion, as it's just a better leverage than other assets. Imo the shiller PE ratio is high BECAUSE of high expected monetary expansion.
Yes in case of tightening conditions, that would be even more disastrous for bitcoin than for other assets, but is it realistic to think that governments will stop printing money and have reasonable fiscal policies ?
$20K??? Don’t you mean $200K?? And yes BTC will top out between $200K - $500K
Both is possible
Moon boy
@@BitcoinStrategyoh screw off make up your mind mr 120 day
@vijayphoenix96none of these RUclipsrs will be here in a year you freak
This person i think is actually right. Something very very bad would have to happen for 20k to be BTC bull case, something very bad. everyone thought we were going to have a global recession back in 2022 and btc rallied from 16k to 73k. everyone was expecting the worse when btc had the covid crash and btc when from like 4k to 69k , and now many people are talking about another global recession we will see what happens.
Good video G ignore these dumb haters with no capital
@bitcoinstrategy
Is a #BTC death cross happening? If it does, we may retest the support zone between $48,969 and $52,985. Whats your opinion on that gerad ?
Love history 😊
You are shorting the market that's why you making videos like that love u❤❤
I share my views and act according to my views. Bitcoins price won't move because of my videos
yea never trust both bears shorter youtubers and bull long youtubers. Both will be wrong at some point including this channel
I hope so
Gerhard, why no Kaspa videos?
I made several videos on Kaspa on this channel
stay poor lol
Kaspa is BTC in 2014.
Great video. If we get a recession, the top is in for this cycle and I become a bag-holder. I hope the cycle peaks in 2025.
Same
This cannot happen. In the worst case recession comes and they print so much liquidity that it will propagate through economy in a year and pump everything just in time for a regular right-translated cycle.
@@Mikanoshi agree. Unless there are other plans. CBDC.
why would these etf's be created and bought up in large quantities right before foreseen likely events like this?
Nobody can forsee the market. It's just a possible outcome - which I think few people ever consider
@@BitcoinStrategy ok
Many huge buys from 61-68 leading up to that event so that's what I'm going off but watching the news intently lol
Exactly, you have to beware of btc and stocks and buy bonds according to him. See you in a few months
You have tonown all. If you don't have anything that keeps its value during a crash, you won't be able to buy the bottom
@BitcoinStrategy you are right, but the problem is you are too stubborn to reallocate and take advantage of this crash. And please don't tell me you have a 20% allocation for a Covid24 event.
Why no icp videos? Why do you never focus on the actual technology behind the blockchain?
Why do you never make videos on these topics? Enlighten us...
The price performance of ICP tells you all you need to know
Kadri bei ya BTC inapozidi kuwa kubwa ndivyo inavyozidi kupoteza mvuto kwa investors wapya, hivyo ni lazima litakuja tokea anguko kubwa la bei ili kurudisha mvuto wa kiuwekezaji kwenye BTC, na anguko hilo litatokea katika kipindi cha 2030/2031
Great video. You are needed in the crypto space
I appreciate that!
@@BitcoinStrategyyeah we appreciate you a lot 15% of the time
BTC is the least bad asset.
Bro will Bitcoin hit 30,000$?
unlikely .....
IMO. Only if we get a Black Swan event. Examples - Stock Mkt collapse , War in Europe any major crypto collapse like Luna. All are possible but unlikely.
They’re about to cut rates & print more. Actually they’ve already started printing, but they’ll ramp that up!!
Yes - they did that during the GFC as well
@@BitcoinStrategywhat does GFC mean?
typically the market crashes when rates are cut. the fed doesnt cut rates just for the sake of cutting rates. it means a bad economic event is happening. it could be a short term crash, depending on the shape of retail pocket the months after the rate cut
@@maxlindner8718 Global Financial Crisis - a big banking crisis that Bitcoin was born out of
Pay Attention !! Time to Upgrade
The difference between professional RUclipsr and basic RUclipsr have a line of Thumbnail only !!!
I'll do thumbnails but that's not really important but the important is it increases the CTR of your videos, I work with many youtubers and i know what a youtube channel needs..❤
Unfortunate, I thought you would be above click bait titles.
Have you watched the video? There is a good argument for 20k in case of a financial crisis- something we haven't yet seen during Bitcoin's lifetime
@@BitcoinStrategy Yes, I watched the video. Everything is about probabilities. Your data and the probability of a $20K BTC in the current bull market is highly unlikely. Everyone wants to be the next Michael Burry, but the data shows that the last 10 years have been up for stocks and BTC. At some point in the future, markets will crash, but betting on that crash will cause you to miss out on the majority of the gains. You preach Buffet and diversification, but forget one of Buffets famous quotes. "Diversification is protection against ignorance..." Gold and bonds do NOT outpace inflation.
that is what nonsense sounds like ladies and gentlemen
Imagine MSTR
Consequences …
I dint know where their liquidation threshold is - but Michael Saylor would definitely not sleep well
He will probably do what the government do with the federal reserve. Borrow more money😂
@@BitcoinStrategy would be a disaster that’s for sure …
@@PriestXBT :) if he can..
👌
Why do you hate money?
because he is a bad trader and instead he has prob more money from fud views...
I love money - thats why I do everything to protect it
Lets see who hate money and love the capital destruction 😂
Even last bear market $20k was a lucky place to buy... we probably won't see below $25k~$30k next bear without more Black Swan events.
Yes - that's the point of the video. The real black swans never happened during the existence of Bitcoin's lifetime
@@BitcoinStrategy if the Black Swan events are not directly related to crypto itself (i.e. another FTX) I see that as bullish for Bitcoin, as in a good buying opportunity.
Die Betrachtungsweise ist EINZIGARTIG auf RUclips! 👍 Auch die Selbstreflektion ist "gut"...
Die einzige Frage für mich bleibt: KÖNNTE es bei einem "Aktiencrash", einem "Crash des Dollar", einer weltweiten Rezession usw. so sein das BTC einen ZUFLUSS sehen könnte 🤔🤔😚
Eine sehr GUTE Frage 🤔
Hiyo ni lazima itokee kwa sababu kadri Bitcoin inavyozidi kuwa na bei kubwa, mvuto wa kiuwekezaji unapungua, mtu hawezi kurisk pesa yake kulenga faida mara mbili wakati kuna uwezekano wa kupata hasara mara 10000 ya hela yake. In 2030/2031 there will be a massive bear market you never witnesses
Easy to to do what Buffett has done, when you have inside info like he gets
How do you know he has insider information?
Never bet on one horse.
Exactly 💯
All that matters is usage/transactions per day. HODL.
Transactions per day didn't grow for over 4 years
Wrong! BTC to $3k - its over.
Where does the 3k come from? That seems quite far stretched IMHO
Kadri bei ya BTC inapozidi kuwa kubwa ndivyo inavyozidi kupoteza mvuto kwa investors wapya, hivyo ni lazima litakuja tokea anguko kubwa la bei ili kurudisha mvuto wa kiuwekezaji kwenye BTC, na anguko hilo litatokea katika kipindi cha 2030/2031