Nassim Nicholas Taleb - The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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  • Опубликовано: 27 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 81

  • @georgimmanuelnagel6603
    @georgimmanuelnagel6603 2 года назад +15

    This guy is just so marvelous. He is a remedy against the modern world.

  • @nazdalaan
    @nazdalaan 4 года назад +22

    I’m listening July 2020, and we’re exactly the situation he was talking about 7 years ago.

    • @elijahroman170
      @elijahroman170 3 года назад

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      @kaseelisha9155 3 года назад

      @Elijah Roman instablaster :)

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      @elijahroman170 3 года назад

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    • @elijahroman170
      @elijahroman170 3 года назад

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    • @kaseelisha9155
      @kaseelisha9155 3 года назад

      @Elijah Roman no problem :)

  • @hifzul-quran9101
    @hifzul-quran9101 Месяц назад +1

    During the big blackout, I was stuck in downtime Toronto, with no subways or trains to get me back to neighbouring Mississauga. When my dad finely brought me home by car, the elevators and lights were all out, so I had to use my hands and calculations to reach my floor (14th) through the lightless stairwell, then to count the doors to find my unit. Those were indeed low tech days!

  • @martijjjjn
    @martijjjjn 10 лет назад +14

    This man has such an interesting view on things. It's mind blowing what he tells in all his speeches and books.

  • @HardikBhakhar
    @HardikBhakhar 3 года назад +8

    Maestro seems well rested. I wish I read his books 10 years ago.🙏

    • @Senecamarcus
      @Senecamarcus 3 года назад +3

      True. I think the same. I wish I knew about him 10 years ago.

    • @mas1085
      @mas1085 Год назад

      @@Senecamarcus Same here

  • @GBHForumNetwork
    @GBHForumNetwork  12 лет назад +12

    The video is from May 2010.

  • @downtourth
    @downtourth 8 лет назад +18

    *_Fat Tony has a saying, "It's easier to scam people of billions then to scam them of thousands. It's a lot easier to fool the multitude than to fool a single person."_*

  • @elicitwildly
    @elicitwildly 11 лет назад +7

    Good lecture. He seemed so pompous at the beginning, but after the first few minutes, became much more charming. What's the deal with that?

  • @yoloswag6242
    @yoloswag6242 3 года назад +6

    2:40 the funny thing with Taleb is he always experiences issues with technology while explaining antifragility
    In stanford lecture he spilled water on macbook, now he is getting major mic feedback :D

  • @younesszaim3234
    @younesszaim3234 3 года назад +3

    "I can not hedge risk of epidemics" 45:43 - Hello Corona Virus, can you hear me ?

  • @billpalombi
    @billpalombi 4 года назад +4

    Starts at 1:25

  • @johnanderson2654
    @johnanderson2654 3 года назад

    I like the gaffer's tape on the microphone. It's an anti-fragile material.

  • @dalveerbansal1324
    @dalveerbansal1324 11 лет назад +2

    I agree he does ramble abit, still has some good ideas

  • @PeteThecurious100
    @PeteThecurious100 9 лет назад

    More complex equals more fragile ....interesting point but stands to reason.
    One ox + one wooden plough equals robust. hmm
    Risk: I choose the top line .....(but have a bolt hole for what is sure to come!)

  • @evankant5965
    @evankant5965 10 лет назад +1

    If Taleb does not want individuals to pay for the miscalculations of "too big to fall" business, why did Clinton scrap the distinction between investment and savings Banks in the first place?
    Secondly, why do households borrow, and why did credit proliferate in the 1980s?
    Doesn't it have to do with income distribution in the economy?

  • @steveretiredandcranky
    @steveretiredandcranky 5 лет назад +1

    It's absolutely amazing how often the "experts" are dead ass wrong.

  • @osmanguney7324
    @osmanguney7324 10 лет назад +1

    Great Speech!

  • @benjaminfonseka4951
    @benjaminfonseka4951 9 лет назад +1

    Black Swan = Breaking or end of a commonly accepted belief
    e.g. when the earth is flat - the sun rotates around the earth- type of beliefs are shattered.

  • @donaldc7954
    @donaldc7954 2 года назад

    Such an compelling talk ruined by the numpty who set up the audio. A real struggle to concentrate on what’s being said.

  • @shortcutDJ
    @shortcutDJ 5 лет назад +2

    I thought this man wrote the script of the Black Swan movie
    i'm such a dumbass

  • @doannhat808
    @doannhat808 5 месяцев назад

    34:00 That Syria comment was.. wow

  • @ethanoyamawang
    @ethanoyamawang 12 лет назад +3

    lol he said wtf wow he is my true mentor~!

  • @BG-bj1mf
    @BG-bj1mf 4 года назад +2

    I thought it was my tinnitus getting worst.

  • @mahadiknaikjakati
    @mahadiknaikjakati 12 лет назад +1

    great person,deep insight of market,must master his ideas to be successful
    dr satish

  • @tannorpilatzke2375
    @tannorpilatzke2375 12 лет назад +1

    Starts at @1:24

  • @MaghrebProductions
    @MaghrebProductions 3 года назад

    May 2021

  • @shubhambiswas8627
    @shubhambiswas8627 3 года назад

    audio extremely low.

  • @tim53739
    @tim53739 11 лет назад +2

    That's his general demeanor; at least in his books. Very ireverant, prone to criticize others ect. it get's annoying at times but has value.

  • @Hammett849
    @Hammett849 6 месяцев назад

    Most said word goes to "shmucks"!

  • @aaronwimberleymbamsf5776
    @aaronwimberleymbamsf5776 3 года назад

    truly amazing=]

  • @billpalombi
    @billpalombi 3 года назад

    Taleb begins at 1:25

  • @jimcuddy7407
    @jimcuddy7407 7 лет назад +1

    resonance is funny i like it

  • @Chrisdvc26
    @Chrisdvc26 12 лет назад

    That mic sound is driving me crazy

    • @tylerbrandon460
      @tylerbrandon460 4 года назад

      Did they set up for a speech or a Latin American singer.

    • @mas1085
      @mas1085 Год назад

      The video is 12 years old old tech back then

  • @jogaleone7224
    @jogaleone7224 3 года назад

    every one of his jokes fell flat…i started feeling bad for him…i cant learn from people i feel bad for

    • @jon962-g9w
      @jon962-g9w Год назад

      No need to let the internet know you are an idiot, nobody care

  • @kinkokonko
    @kinkokonko 12 лет назад +2

    doesnt make much sense. If you need to apply the live cycle or a corporation to human life.
    Think Jimi Hendrix is going up
    Mozart is stable

  • @xveredus
    @xveredus 2 года назад

    Rules of memetical nature

  • @user-dd5kx5md5o
    @user-dd5kx5md5o 8 лет назад

    Did he mention Fat Tony at 25:08?

  • @johnbatchler8551
    @johnbatchler8551 3 года назад

    Black swan also applies to technology

  • @lostinspace5127
    @lostinspace5127 9 лет назад +1

    ok emotional Impact = blackswan events = too much noobs in the market = iam out of the game.

  • @cristianmicu
    @cristianmicu 2 года назад

    3:45 sure professor taleb by the same logic lets return to the bronze age so we can avoid the majority of black swans

    • @Mmmm-z4w3b
      @Mmmm-z4w3b 10 месяцев назад

      Jesus what troll are you, can’t even hide it

  • @timothyhilton3408
    @timothyhilton3408 4 года назад

    I have been known to read an entire book to get a few paragraphs of real wisdom, but this was unbearable.

  • @James-pyon
    @James-pyon 11 лет назад +3

    is it me or does he just rabble

  • @MRTOWELRACK
    @MRTOWELRACK 6 лет назад +3

    Taleb often boasts about himself and mocks others, but besides that tiresome insecurity, Taleb offers some gems of wisdom, albeit inefficiently so. Still, Taleb relies too heavily upon pomp and ironically enough, his own antidotes when critiquing antidotes.

    • @coven-docx
      @coven-docx 2 года назад

      thanks for saying it, haven't seen another person mention this...

  • @TimGoth
    @TimGoth 7 лет назад +1

    I guess we know who's the schmuck here!
    I started to read "Black Swan" and couldn't stand it to finish it. Now I hear him talking it's even worst. He has interesting theories that I agreed with but how can you trust a judgment of such a person?! It's all clouded with anger, hate and jealousy. He is no less ignorant than all the people who he accuse of being so. What a miserable human being! I feel sorry for him.

  • @ethanoyamawang
    @ethanoyamawang 12 лет назад +1

    lol So basically he said cnbc hosts are donkeys! lol

  • @chiaroscuro1233
    @chiaroscuro1233 5 лет назад +1

    Rewatching this as California electrical power monopoly goes into blackout

  • @CV_CA
    @CV_CA 2 года назад

    29:48 44:57 47:53 ops, hahhaha,,,,,

  • @aidawarah4698
    @aidawarah4698 8 лет назад +5

    His speech is so disorganized and full with "stuff like that" and "that stuff"' . Very disappointing for someone with a Ph.D. and what is so smart about his ideas? They are not robust themselves

    • @Deepskies1
      @Deepskies1 4 года назад +11

      there is a full chapter in the Black Swan that talks about a mindset reflected by your comment, you are illustrating it perfectly.

    • @vimalcurio
      @vimalcurio 3 года назад

      @@Deepskies1 lol

  • @mistax2k
    @mistax2k 12 лет назад

    haha

  • @cristianmicu
    @cristianmicu 2 года назад

    if hes lecturing and he cant abstain to pronounce the f. word, then he' dont have any name, hes a nobody, and will stay a nobody, that also means that he has no respect for the audience or for himself either, ergo, a paria, nobody., , no matter how many books he writes. i made my opinions more..... robust, to stand the test of time and avoid black swans like taleb lecture in today's events

  • @FigmentHF
    @FigmentHF 4 месяца назад

    I’ve heard nothing but terrible things about this man aha

  • @screenerlook
    @screenerlook 3 года назад

    You really have had to spent your whole professional life inside a university to go on a world stage with a hair like that!

  • @devotionofunion
    @devotionofunion 2 года назад

    Methods for Portfolio Robustness are at 41:30