The only reason the market is going up is because no one wants to hold debased dollars that are losing value every day and are buying stocks with them. Gresham's Law: bad money drives out good.
The opposite is true. High interest rates means more dollars that need a home; when governments run deficits there are more dollars that need a home; eventually all those dollars find their way into bidding up the prices of assets, backed by earnings. We're early in the credit cycle. It's a shame more people don't understand basic monetary operations.
Have we considered that USA don't want enter into a recession and it will going to do the impossible to keep a good market for them. They still have a big chunk of interest rate to lower if needed
discretionary spending has dried up - cars, phones etc aren't getting consumed - the inflation numbers were high for real estate but deflationary for everything else - the market is trying to whistle past the graveyard right now
Agree 💯.. have a family member in the reno-bin business, didn’t graduate high school telling me about his recent nvda pick-up and asked if I want him to manage my money for me 😳
@@cathode5115 Markets can still keep pumping higher, the RSI over long periods such as weekly/monthly showing a RSI divergence across the spectrum is a precursor for a large market drawdown. I even asked ChatGPT since I may just be eyeing it wrong, but this divergence is about as extreme as they come. In regards to the RSI.
@@cathode5115 The point is, this divergence on the weekly/monthly is a precursor for a large drawdown in the future. The markets can still rally in the short-mid term but we're heading for a cliff.
Well presented, again appreciate your neutrality showing respect for both possibilities, the why and most importantly the support, and the background,..then spending a little time on your current position and why / what you are waiting for to confirm your hypothesis
@@loganmurray6081 it could be BTC would in that case go for a "fast" pump with high volatility or fomo at the top making 2-3 tops at something between 80k to 120-150k and then recession with BTC going back to 30-50 K range till the end of bear market and the new consolidation market that will lead to recovery->halving 2028-> fomo pump again
All very good observations, what is your opinion on global liquidity cycle in the last century? Looks like it's about to start increasing up from bottom
We pay attention to the money supply mainly when we see outsized moves up (like Covid) that occur in response to financial events. These can predict waves of inflation. The fact that the money supply is rising again today doesn't mean much from a business cycle standpoint, M2 rising is the norm.
your totally wrong. trump have good finance so he know what to do to reduce inflation and reduce price, with elon they say it in interview, it's because usa spend more than what they earn it's why price go up with printed inflation. So if finance of usa is more well managed, price of food will go down. Kamala is same has biden, no good change.
Just crash already
Sorry but not happening in this year😂
Gold YTD better than all stock indices. A flare in the air!
The only reason the market is going up is because no one wants to hold debased dollars that are losing value every day and are buying stocks with them. Gresham's Law: bad money drives out good.
Yea this is true as well but the real reason of market going up is that there is no bad news and most of the sellers were panic sell 😂
If' it's going up, I'm happy. During correction I'm grabbing more with both hands... fire sales ftw
The opposite is true. High interest rates means more dollars that need a home; when governments run deficits there are more dollars that need a home; eventually all those dollars find their way into bidding up the prices of assets, backed by earnings. We're early in the credit cycle.
It's a shame more people don't understand basic monetary operations.
The law was originally coined by Copernicus.
Can you make a video about the bond Market? Thanks
Have we considered that USA don't want enter into a recession and it will going to do the impossible to keep a good market for them. They still have a big chunk of interest rate to lower if needed
I really enjoy this neutral and reasonable way of analysing
discretionary spending has dried up - cars, phones etc aren't getting consumed - the inflation numbers were high for real estate but deflationary for everything else - the market is trying to whistle past the graveyard right now
It will keep going up
Until it doesn't
Decentralization and Open Source - the antithesis to this dystopian tech and AI insanity
or the 'next big thing'
Aaaand its back up again
I want this ending..😂
Punishment is required in this market.
is that so you can slip in there and make a killing?
Agree 💯.. have a family member in the reno-bin business, didn’t graduate high school telling me about his recent nvda pick-up and asked if I want him to manage my money for me 😳
Amen
Meanwhile I'm over here hoping I just don't lose my tech job
Is anyone else noticing the huge bearish divergence forming on the monthly and weekly RSI charts for these Tech companies?
No but i noticed that the MACD is curling to the upside
@@cathode5115 Markets can still keep pumping higher, the RSI over long periods such as weekly/monthly showing a RSI divergence across the spectrum is a precursor for a large market drawdown. I even asked ChatGPT since I may just be eyeing it wrong, but this divergence is about as extreme as they come. In regards to the RSI.
@@cathode5115 The point is, this divergence on the weekly/monthly is a precursor for a large drawdown in the future. The markets can still rally in the short-mid term but we're heading for a cliff.
@@TomTom-du5qv ... cliff won't happen. It's all protected.
Well presented, again appreciate your neutrality showing respect for both possibilities, the why and most importantly the support, and the background,..then spending a little time on your current position and why / what you are waiting for to confirm your hypothesis
I sure hope so. Good golly it's taking forever.
It seems more profitable to drag this stuff out and use hyperbolic media to cause the public to act quickly during distorted markets.
Trillion not billion
Trying to figure the same, it’s def trillions
Isn't he talking about the index $XLK marketcap in billions? 🤔
Crash starts after the jobs report on september the 6th.
Thanks for the quality content. Can I ask what program you use to animate the charts?
I believe Alphabet deserves a multiple of 17x forward earnings plus net assets. By that benchmark it is slightly underpriced.
how long have you been trading? what is your track record? was thinking about buying game of trades
What about SP500 equal weighted?
What goes up will come down.
Many people have been saying that for years. Even if the correction comes, those who invested are still ahead. Don't time the market.
Great video! Hoping for the covid 2020 lows. Then I'm grabbing with both hands
I don't think so.
Do you think it'll be September again? September is a really bad month for giant stock market crashes.
I think they drop rates, market pumps and we get the crash in March...the other historical crash month.
@@loganmurray6081 it could be BTC would in that case go for a "fast" pump with high volatility or fomo at the top making 2-3 tops at something between 80k to 120-150k and then recession with BTC going back to 30-50 K range till the end of bear market and the new consolidation market that will lead to recovery->halving 2028-> fomo pump again
Some people say it's 1995 now instead
SPY500 will be 1000 in 2years.
Correct
I think something is in the air. It might not be a bear market but some major correction is very likely.
Whyyy?
I feel it too! Something's percolating...
I’ll believe it when I see it .. pick a side in the meantime 😒
That's why its speculation
“Winter is coming!!”
Best technical analysis channel's!
Best financial show on RUclips! Big Twitter fan also! 👍
All very good observations, what is your opinion on global liquidity cycle in the last century? Looks like it's about to start increasing up from bottom
We pay attention to the money supply mainly when we see outsized moves up (like Covid) that occur in response to financial events. These can predict waves of inflation. The fact that the money supply is rising again today doesn't mean much from a business cycle standpoint, M2 rising is the norm.
@@gameoftrades very interesting 🤔
Stock buybacks drive the market. Destruction of the middle class since Reagan made it acceptable.yl
You rock dude 🤘🤘
Coming soon…he is coming big event
Nicely made video.
Everyone needs to chill.
Up
More risk, more reward. Or, more reward, more risk
The thing is they are not as expensive as you might think as all the politicians are betting on keeping the dominance of the US in tech sectors.
Dump it! 👤🤳
🫃
First comment
Me first!😂🎉
If trump gets elected - all hell will break loose [AGAIN] - expect the markets to drop 50%
Yup. His election win wiped out EVERY gain from the year before in the first month.
Even the market knew he was a disaster for business.
How? The market is pricing Trump in
your totally wrong. trump have good finance so he know what to do to reduce inflation and reduce price, with elon they say it in interview, it's because usa spend more than what they earn it's why price go up with printed inflation. So if finance of usa is more well managed, price of food will go down. Kamala is same has biden, no good change.
Big tech loves Trump tho
The market will crash regardless of who wins
Seasonality trends during election years - Could be an interesting September/October.