Not true sir, People did vote for BJP in Maharashtra. The prepoll alliance is the only factor that is responsible for current shiv Sena govt. People gave a mandate to the bjp in mahrashtra
@subhadeep mandal OBC, Dalit votebanks wtf??? People are over with this kind of politics. Which world are you living in? Media does these assessment just for their narratives. I pity if politics in your area is like that.
When NDA came to power in 2014, they didn't stall any infrastructure project or even economic policies of previous government. In fact they give a big push to it. May be they changed the name of few. It doesn't matter who rules states but they should not stop infrastructure projects just because of their personal enmity. What Reddy in Andhra and now what Uddhav in Maharashtra is doing is not goood.
The previous state governments are also at fault, like in my state the former govt used to give infrastructure tenders about a year or two before assembly elections and those projects were near to impossible to complete in 1 year. Its a deliberate move to garner votes. Well, the new govt is also at fault for scrapping the previous tenders, but we all know why it happens, corruption ofc.
I don't know why media manipulates statements by politicians. Uddhav said he will not cut down the Aarey. But that doesn't mean he will completely stop the metro. He said he will try to figure out other routes to build the metro. It's not related to personal enmity or any bullshit. You will see Shiv Sena and BJP form a coalition in 2024 lok sabha.
@@nandandesai6524 Brother, what is wrong in the aarey colony metro shed. ? Mumbai needs more public infrastructure very badly. Aarey colony protests was nothing more than publicity stunt.
@@nandandesai6524 Large projects are planned years in advance. Changing anything wl take the Metro Project back by several years. Thn implementation wl take time. *So what is Udhav Thakeray planning - a delay of 3-4 years at the minimum? Add to it the multi- core doubling of cost for redoing the work already done. Is that a good decision?* His inexperience is evident
Indian inflation rate is actually low under Modi. But no media will highlight it. Check link below. www.statista.com/statistics/271322/inflation-rate-in-india/
With two terms up do what may bjp will loose next election. But it is going to be hung parliament after next election with a hell lot of uncertainties. The parties will have to allow the allies to loot. Then the next election it is going to be modi s Thumping victory again. So 15 years out of 20 years.
Karthik KM Silly tamil, GDP numbers don't mean anything to BJP voters in rural areas. In 2004, BJP learned its lessons that GDP is NOT the deciding factor when it comes to elections
Hindutua plank of BJP will get diluted after the Ayodya verdict.May be this will allow a secularized BJP 2.0 to evolve out of this . For Modijis vision of Sabka Saath Sabaka Viswaas to eventuate BJP will have to smoothen its edges of its current Ideology and create a bigger tent.
@@mdfarhanahmed4829 For sake of argument and trying to be optimistic about the country lets hope what you mentioned does not happen. BJP will double down on Nationalism agenda and HIndutua taking back seat ,again this depends on how serious they will pursue sabka vishwas moto.
I don’t know why everytime MR.Modi has to pass so called “AGNIPARIKSHA”...on the other hand congress takes moral victory even on defeat(Gujarat)...hypocrisy or something else???
Its really stupid to stall an important project like Mumbai metro 3.Today you are celebrating that you have saved Aarey but what about tomorrow?? If we don't build metro's on priority basis traffic will become hell. More traffic means more pollution.And then we will have to inevitably expand our road networks by cutting trees in Aarey. Its wrong to cut down a forest but if it is a project of such local importance I feel we need to make an exception for this.
A humble request to please read complete affairs of Indian pollution crisis, development and politics around it... In short before you read the details - "Living in a developed India, technologically with pollution crisis at high in each and every state, is of no use; when we don't have breathable air to live in a BJP promised 5 trillion dollar Indian economy. That being said, Maharashtra state is in an urgent need to build eco-friendly sources to generate power(electricity), otherwise pollution will keep increasing; post launch of Mumbai Metro projects will multiple it, as this are power hungry transports" "An analysis done by the Indian Institute of Technology-Bombay (IIT-B) has revealed that the 11.4 km-long Versova-Andheri-Ghatkopar Metro line, which now carries around 3,12,000 passengers daily has helped reduced 22.7 tonnes of CO2 emissions a day because commuters have shifted from buses and other road vehicles. But the Metro’s operation releases 75.6 tonnes of CO2 every day - though these emissions are at the place where the electricity is generated." - Hindustan Times (www.hindustantimes.com/mumbai-news/life-after-a-metro-less-traffic-but-more-co2/story-ExZqP7aSGJLDHKTanA0pOJ.html) Another article about Delhi Metro (www.livemint.com/Opinion/JBtfVsnXClns09xhskzsSM/Did-the-Metro-help-reduce-air-pollution-in-Delhi.html), which was launched in 2002, but still Delhi's air pollution is the worst (en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_pollution_in_Delhi) 1,552 trees to be cut, 2,022 to be transplanted for Metro 2A, 2B: RTI - www.hindustantimes.com/mumbai-news/1-552-trees-to-be-cut-2-022-to-be-transplanted-for-metro-2a-2b-rti/story-4g7lSx0fg9eDop4kOBA2HK.html Mumbai's Air Quality Index hits 'unhealthy' mark - mumbaimirror.indiatimes.com/mumbai/other/mumbais-air-quality-index-hits-unhealthy-mark/articleshow/72178862.cms Much shocking fact about pollution crisis in India, even Varanasi - Air Quality Index (AQI) is facing air pollution crisis - ruclips.net/video/IQcM2BzQUi8/видео.html | economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/varanasis-air-quality-deteriorating-delhi-victim-of-negligence-report/articleshow/68809954.cms | aqicn.org/city/india/varanasi/ardhali-bazar/ P.S. I pray & hope whoever reads this will understand, that let any political party be in rule to develop India to a better future; should also align development with the health index of India, otherwise other countries will be living in an eco-friendly environment.
@@agadre856 that's easier said than done! We all know Mumbai is a land starved city. The depot requires a large land parcel. Only two other options are Kanjurmarg and Reclaiming land from sea. The latter will have even more environmental implications than Aarey . The former is locked in a dispute.
Why are we not deliberating on underground railways like that of Kolkatta. Though it may be expensive, there's nothing to beat an underground network for a city like Mumbai. This will release the traffic as well as no impact to trees, no impact to traffic (or limited) while construction etc.,
Will you speak about Priyanka Reddy Rape case in Hyderabad. Hypocrisy of the The Print is clearly seen by your priority of your channel and Shekar Gupta.
In my telangana those who voted to trs(kcr) in assembly they voted for bjp in parliament in my constituency still modi wave is there jai modi-shah, jai hind #justice for priyankareddy
Gupta, in Indira's time most of the Indians were illiterate and there was no internet/social media. Take these factors into account. You are comparing apples with oranges. Come out of nostalgia.
The shrinking is temporary. Governments in MP , Rajasthan was bound to change sooner or later. In Maharashtra, BJP and SS did win the election comfortably. The outcome is a strange mix of parties. Congress as the minority partner can't really last for long. Overall, the country is leaning towards hindutva idealogy. Rahul Gandhi has been removed because he couldn't understand this. It doesn't really matter who is in power if the idealogy is essentially the same.
So true. This really is reflecting in RSSes non involvement in Maharashtra government formation or mediation.They are happy with the general situation with scrapping of 370, Triple Talaq, Reservation for EBC, Ram Mandir, Sabarimala issue. What remains is the temple going out of government control which may also happen. It is not keen on expanding the BJP footprint. Now only way BJP can come back is thru economic reforms. Massive change is needed better economy will help it win elections. The opposition is not raking 'Pro Hindutva' issues because it feels it can connect better on the state of the economy rather than Rafale, UCC and other issues. RSS also by its core is Socialist in it's economic ideology it doesn't care much as to who rules as long as its socialist way of doing things is implemented. The Amravati cancellation issue, Lulu withdrawal, Metro withdrawal, Bullet train cancellation is somewhat good for them. We may soon have a situation where other parties who are rightof centre may court RSS.
Maharashtra govt has not stopped the Metro project. We have to beware ourselves from half baked information these days. It has ordered a stay on just using Aarey as the location of one of its car sheds.
@@sanchitkhatavkar4462 aarey is the last project other parts of project are already build if they stop car shed for metro it is stopping the whole project
@@sanchitkhatavkar4462 that will cost 500-600 crore extra do you want somewhere else now? That cost is going to be added into cost of tickets and aarey is not forest people can just plant trees and it will grow in 6-8 years it's easy
Dear Shekar, Congress has gone through this journey from complete authority to coalition government and partnership. The new found success through absolute majority if not handled with humbleness I mean staying humble to people and their representative local parties...it is not going to be good for India. Else change the Constitution fully and become like China declare yourself as PM for next 20 years and be done with it. Some chapters of the fundamental rights be removed for they can be impediment for an autocratic journey. It is suffocating when someone practices autocracy under the garb of democracy. Are we aware that Govt has not won the hearts on their ability to take genuine actions to fix the economic situation? Actions that can show the vision and instil confidence. Can de-clutter if the issue is competency or a result of their misplaced convictions.
In todays complex world 5 years anyways is not sufficient to do any long term meaningful work for the country . Even Corporates want longer tenure fm employees to see productive work & end results . In the 5 years these Ministers esp at State Level seem to be doing just band aid work & consolidating power for vote politics . Priority action invariably seems farm loan waiver . .. any kind of compensation & appeasement related work
@@skanda7400 one big paronia for middle class Indians, who are basically less than 10% of population, is that they think India moves by a lofty ideals and a very long-term beneficiary plans. No, and majority Indians do not desire for that. So these parties can easily buy a vote by exchanging a bottle or a handful 20rupee note. Actually, India is a very poor country with lot of ignorances (even among the so-called educated), they think highly short term. Even in a week scale. And this way only progressed from a very unformatted, undeveloped state to a third largest economy.
@@anjankumarchowdhury7379 India is almost the largest country in terms of population but in terms of achieving its _potential_ in context to its population & its land India probably competes with African countries. Economy is also inward focused & highly dependent on internal consumption. India's continued overall growth is at the most sluggish since 1950s . No Govt so far has ever been able to sustain India's growth consistently over a period of time. With so many political parties emerging since mid 1970s politics is becoming increasingly more competitive. The vulnerable sections of society are an easy target for those seeking position & power. And it seems India is unlikely to change even in the next couple of decades or maybe more
Shows the leaps of logic you people are capable. Lol. For simplicity's sake, they shout Muslim Muslim, and you shout Hindu Hindu. What's the difference? Just curious. 😊
@@राहुलपांडेय्-ड2र So ideologically wise, the same huh ? Only separation is that the ultra right wing hasn't started killing people off wholesale, is that it ? The 80 or so lynched people might beg to differ there though ?
What an analysis Gupta ji, amazing. This is the reason inspite of beeing a hard core modi fan I regularly view this channel. You are absolutely right, rss and bjp have won ideological battle. If you talk to anyone, he will praise abrogation of article 370,construction of ram temple, triple talak law, Now you can see very weak opposition to population control bill, common civil code bill if it is placed. No body can dare to oppose such bills in future also. Biggest changes that have taken place is people now want the political parties to clarify their stand on secularism . Bjp and rss during last 70 years have been able to convince the masses that whatever Congress have been doing with majority community was wrong. Some people say bjp lost, I want to ask in rajasthan, mp and chatisgarh inspite of winning state elections, during Parliament elections Congress was bold out for zero. Even in maharashtra bjp SS won absolute majority with 161 seats, it was SS whose demand for cm post became the reason for this episode.
4 года назад+2
Now Shiv Sena shutting down Bullet train project. investors will think if we invest in india and same state government not win our project will canceled. that's the main reason we can't become superpower, we can't control Asia. that's why our infrastructure very poor. why we can't bring America system???? plz if you don't like center government don't stop projects.
Thoughtful- and meaningful- analysis.Kudos. So you feel RSS has won a battle of ideologies. I feel that they have gained ground.I firmly believe that India is basically middle-of-the-road and tolerant, but the screaming protagonists of secularism have spoiled their case by excesses. For instance i believe that appeasement has taken place. I believe that this should also serve as a warning for the RSS supporters not to overplay their hand. Reaction could set in, as it did against the others, but in the opposite direction.
As always, an excellent analysis Mr. Gupta. Now that the RSS can declare victory on contentious issues such as Article 370 and the Mandir, does it also mean that the ability to milk these issues for political capital is exhausted? Like Ayodhya issue lost the sting the moment the Masjid had been brought down and the BJP went on lose the state elections that ensued. May be now India can return to the basic roti, kapda, makaan, padhaai, arogya issues? Then the BJP goes on to become the first among equals that has to deliver on good governance.
8:00 "You need the PM to negotiate with the CM..." etc. etc. The whole premise of the state government is to oppose the PM and to scrap development and go back to hand-outs. Hand-outs.. make new contracts to siphon funds... what co-operative federalism are we speaking about ?
BJP was getting arrogant after all those winning streaks. It good to see them loose in few states. Results like these help to keep the power in check. P.S I voted for Modi and will again vote for him The
Agree with you. Even if any national political party other than BJP rules at the centre in the future, these idealogical victories of Modi-Shah- Art 370, Ayodhya, the Triple Talaq bill and the Uniform Civil Code will become the bench marks for decision making and strategy. In fact, half century plus of political manipulations have been solved in a flat 6 months. The fall in geographical area of BJP rule from 70% to 40% is a part of tactical retreats, which will play out in the coming months and years. Right now, if BJP can win in the economy downturn battle, then it is only a matter of time that INC et al. will have nothing but to whine endlessly in the parliament.
Nurnabi Khan You talk abt Population control law: Sikhs: No prob Bodhists: No prob Jainism: No prob Hindus: No prob Peaceful religion: How dare Gov can make this law. We oppose this law. We will not accept this. Producing kids is natural this is against Quran blah blah blah... You see live example in this coment thread. Who got provoked and who is in support 😝
The bitter truth Congress needs to admit is that a lot of people in India (mostly a part of middle class) see Gandhi the same way the Pragya Thakur sees him.
@@VipulSPanditg Well for Congress it is bitter. They need to understand it and finally shed the façade of Secularism they use to run their brand of politics.
On Maharashtra I can only say the storey is not over yet. One may still see BJP emerging. After all, the developments over the past month and half shows that, Shiv Sena had taken BJP for a big ride. If there were no pre poll alliance, BJP would have got full majority on their own. I think BJP would take this as a lesson for the future and avoid pre poll alliances. Yes, if you view the situation at this moment, it would seem BJP has lost the Govt.But if you visualise the emerging scenario, it is not so hopeless for BJP after all. One should 'stoop to conquer'
With due respect, what do you know about Amaravati and Singapore agreement? Please try to understand the reality then comment. Your statement on AP Capital is very vague.
This is what i opined three days back whn Lallontop put a map indicating declining Saffron states. Ideologically, right has won nd r more powerful thn before
Fadnavis ,Yogi Adityanath are not typical indira chief ministers They are popular locally Point taken ,Modi has to be like Nehru supporting local chief ministers
I haven't come across a caption that smacks of wishful thinking, at least in the recent times; BJP shrinking politically? From 2 seats to 300 and Cong from 190 to 54. Who is shrunk, really? Please don't use Maharashtra example; Udhav backstabbed and Sonia and Powar wanted to loot; Udhav will pay a big price. Galat aadmise panga liya Udayne; sabak sikhaya jayaga usko. Amit Shah, don't underestimate him. If Kerala and WB remain unchecked, take it, the country is heading to a civil war. Already TN is becoming a bastion of Islamic terrorism. Terrorism has a religion. Ek aur 26/11 tho honahihe; tabi Udhav ko samajmein aayega.
Very true statement that these three contentious issues were finally put to rest. This is one of the many that Modi Govt have been doing. Another major one I can say is with regard to the GST implementation, as this was long pending impediment in the taxation. By giving simplified tax structure it helped a lot to business men.
Wikipedia page says BJP's vote share in Haryana increased by 3.29%. Congress did better because INLD went down, not because BJP went down. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Haryana_Legislative_Assembly_election
What an analysis. Always a pleasure to watch shekher ji and his knowledge of the NE states is really commendable. One person in mainland india journalism whose knowledge of the seven sisters is in par with any local NE leader or even more 😅
one respectful thing about Shekhar sir is that He presents facts with every inferrance from every side inspite of him being self confessed liberal. He doesn't try to shut down any ideology or opinion. Respect sir.
The upside of greater federalism is that none can give us the taste of Emergency, as Indira Gandhi did. But, the worrysome part is that most political parties do not manage their States prudently. Majority of the State finances are in a mess. Populism dominates in almost every State, including in the Centre. With greater autonomy, cohesiveness of India will suffer.
I dont think it is fair to draw comparision between IG and Modi as the times are quite different. As you mentioned voters are more intelligent now than earlier...Another important point is that Independent India was fully Congress to start with and it continued to be so IG got a easy ride for a quite long time...whereas BJP has just beginning to spread across...its a good time for BJP to nurture young leaders which will determine the longevity of the party.
BJP had 33% voteshare in Haryana in 2014 and now they have 36%. INLD infact lost most of its voteshare to chautala Jr and BJP and Congress especially. So how did BJP Lose. They failed to get the chautala vote. But the chautala vote was anyway not with the BJP
I agree with this video broadly. These are some phenomenal, historical, and legendary game changing achievements of the Modi government, and the BJP and the RSS have made the country glad. The losses of states are a passing phase, and have been marginal in MP and Rajasthan, and the BJP was given the mandate to form governments in Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Haryana. I wouldn't be disheartened.
Don't forget Janata party election under Ramakrishna Hegde in eighties.People voted him back even though he called afresh election thinking that mandates for Lok Sabha was a mandate is against him.This is sign of maturing democracy
4 года назад+1
Shiv Sena cheated the people of Maharashtra. Many people voted for Shiv Sena because they are coalition partner of BJP, meaning they were voting for BJP through Shiv Sena.
How many years were BJP in power in each of these states before they gave way to the opposition? How many years were in the past did Indira rule! Can Gavaskar be compared to Sachin?
Sir, Don't you think, BJP is missing person like Govindacharya, who emphasized on cast based leadership development at state level. A Non-Jat in Haryana, A Brahim(no-Maratha) in Maharastra, Thakur in UP, Rupani(Non-Patle) in Gujarat, Das(non-Tribal) in Jharkhand, don't you think not hurting BJP?. I think BJP should also learn from the mistake of congress of not developing state leadership.Now on BJP must develop state leadership with some sensitivity to cast equation. On to RSS, I think with all the 3 points achieved, RSS has lost the traction with the people and now either reinvent it or leave BJP to win election on its own without active support of RSS.
Most of the states BJP lost were due to anti incumbency. But the same states. Voted for BJP in parliamentary election. BJP is the largest party in Maharashtra, Gujarat , UP, MP, Bihar, Haryana, They are making inroads in WB, Orissa , and telengana. By the same token States need the support of center. BJP is a very strong force in Hindi heartland. Congress has given too much space to regional players . So their presence is not there in UP, Bihar ,WB AP and Telengana. By aligning with SS, NCP , it has recently lost its space in Maharashtra also. The implication is Congress can never ever form a govt of its own. It will always need regional players, who will always put their personal agenda above national interest.A good honest person like Mr. singh could not control parties like DMK , because of coalition Dharma. BJP alone is in a position to form a. Govt on its own. So , BJP should not leave the space to SS in Maharashtra and to JDU in Bihar. For BJP , staying as a single largest party in all the states of Hindi heartland or many more is more important than forming the govt. BJP should not do the hara Kiri committed by congress. Staying relevant is more important than in govt. It is not possible to rule always because of anti incumbency. But they should stay relevant to win next time around., Otherwise they will meet the same fate as congress. BJP has played its cards well in Maharashtra.. BJP is the party in Maharashtra.It is likely that they will next time. If SS breaks two third they still have a chance this time around. It is paramount for BJP thst it should not leave too much space for allies. I am not sure whether you have the habit of reading these posts. I am sorry to say that you have one track mind and tubular vision
NDA should get strengthen in Tamil nadu, Kerala, why a person like shekhar sir say congress or any non bjp party as secular, they bank on Muslim, Christian vote bank and help them for all mischievous activities.How come it is secular, and when bjp bank on hindu, jain , vote it is communal .
As usual, shekhar bhai is behind the curve. Look at the building subaltern reaction to the politics of religion and hate. This might change indian politics in a much bigger way than mandalisation.
Coalition governments, such as in Maharashtra, may succeed in defeating an apparently more popular and more effective party, but are unstable and ineffective in the long run. That was the problem PM Manmohan Singh faced - political paralysis. The Indian political system has to evolve further. Let the voters decide, not the bickering politicians of numerous small parties, as to who governs. There is a system for that - hold runoff elections between the two front runners. No more coalitions - no gathbandhans - no political paralysis. China is a good example; it made tremendous progress by avoiding conflict. I would not recommend the Chinese uniparty system to India, but let us reduce the number of ruling parties to two. In a political science class that I attended at San Francisco State University, the instructor jokingly compared a coalition government to the tail wagging the dog. Multiparty system, wisely, has never gotten a foothold in America. For better or worse, 'winner take all' is the rule. It is easier to move in one direction if there is one ruling party at a given time.
How come is it shrinking? An odd lose does not mean anything. You can't keep winning. And a lose or two is good for check and balance to prevent arrogance.
For a moment Shekhar Gupta was lost; he showed his palm to depict a glass pane, but quickly realised that he has to show a glass of water. Watch at 11:10 of video.
Its correct, today hindu vote is a factor. Earlier muslim vote, dalit vote etc etc were there. Those are also strongly present, alongside another vote bank hindu vote bank has came out strongly. Unfortunately still there are no Indian vote bank yet
I admire your political analysis but not forcast on Business standard on Sundays. Of late, I am watching your videos for quite sometime with interest. I feel at times that my attention keeps distracted momentarily by your body language, which if restricted, would enable listeners like me to keep focus undistracted from the contents of your speech. Secondly, the flow of your speech could be made still more smooth obviating the hick ups. I am not sure if your speech were extempore or read out off screen. I am also not sure if you could do both.
Shekhar Gupta ji, Watch my words, loosing Maharashtra was a good thing, just like loosing Bihar, Bengal, MP and Rajasthan, it will help build up anti-incumbency, just in time for the next General election, more importantly now they can go after the Shiv Sena as well for their wide spread corruption in local bodies. I don't think the final word is out on this saga, Just a temporary calm before the storm. With the farmer distress and lousy economy, Shiva Sena led coalition is bound to build up a lot of anti-incumbency which will reach its peak by the next General Election. BJP controlling too many state Govt's is bad for the BJP, expectations will be high and they will not be able to deliver. Now they will throttle the funds to unfriendly Govt's. Congress with Rahul Gandhi is'nt going anywhere, and they have been hungry for too long and corruption will go full steam ahead. They will end up being sitting ducks. More importantly BJP is unshackling from Shiva Sena and luckily they don't have to be Villains for the break-up, a wonderful blessing in disguise. BJP should wish that the Akali's do something similar and break up on their own and BJP will be truly on its own without being answerable for the narcotic state, family rule and corruption.
Modi has taken two roles that seem to be not easy to reconcile. On one hand he has become a election machine. On the other he carries the responsibility to unite the nation towards development. I think he was good at winning elections. But he has not won the unification challenge. With Mandir over, and development not coming through, he has an uphill task. The only saving situation for him is that the other parties are worse off than he is in terms of credibility. Voters reaction in this is the Nash equilibrium solution, keep changing.
States do not have independent leaders from RSS. Devendra Phadanvis shown himself to be one such where he also like Modiji is pole vote catcher. Some more should rise in states
India has never been a federal state like USA, so please check out Indian constitution. It clear mentions Union of states. The Constitution of India is not truly Federal in character. The basis of distribution of powers between the Union and States is that only those powers which are concerned with the regulation of local problems are vested in the States and the residue specially those which tend to maintain the economic industrial and commercial unity of the country are left to the Union. People who drafted the constitution considered federal system like US and rejected it. Iam astonished that slowly this narrative of federalism just like socialism and secularalism is been feed. Please correct yourself Mr. Gupta.
According to me the main reason of BJP's setback is modi..ya he doesn't even bother to answer when people are in problem and want his reaction...he is just busy in external affairs and traveling to foreign countries...this man is may be very honest ,hard working but in an era of people questioning leaders he can't ignore local issues.
Actually issues in Central Election and State Elections are totally different. Even today if Loksabha election is held in Maharashtra, BJP will win easily.
Our constitution writer's were visionaries and also because every Indian was represented what ever be the result of an election the constitution is the soul of the country as long as it's protectors keep power in India and is kept independent. Also India can't be ruled by Delhi just look at the empires from the past it's just too vast and people don't have similar troubles or similar thoughts India should be more fedralised so that it can rise more and more globally our federal structure should be like Germany.
See mr Gupta ji I don't know why people are not understanding or they understand but don't want to accept that if you will compress a gas too long than it will find a hole come out with a greater force. The hindus of Bharat always been targeted at first by Muslims and than by English rulers and they also faced the hard truth of partition in which Muslim took a larger part of motherland it was a bad dream of hindus and Nehru's Congress was still saying everything is ok , after independence India at first declared a secular country and than Congress tried to write history as everything in the past Muslim rule was good and they acted like nothing wrong happened with hindus. Than in Indira Gandhi's period vote bank politics started the the rajniti of tustikaran started hindus were presserised and they were finding a hole to explode which they got from BJP and now if anybody really want to form government in centre they can't get it's key with Muslim votebank politics they should must take care of hindu majority also
Well, I've never seen an ideology stable enough to sustain voters in the long run. Maybe it's the populism factor taking full control now. Again, highlighting sustenance.
Seriously, I like the way you presenting the facts....so for u...USA is largest democracy in world not India....forget about USA ,even Australia, Brazil and Canada are much bigger than India...Democracy about Vote percent and MP and MLA u have not area...so i don't think BJP has reduce from 71 %to 41 percent as a happened area wise ...See no. of MLa and MP BJP has in 2017 and 2019 and hope u will get the answer
comparison with indira gandhi period is illogical. The awareness, literacy levels of electorate, freeness and fairness of election conducted, role of press / media, etc are totally different in both eras
Sometimes it is better we dont analyst too much, BJP unable to form govt in states despite almost having majority is mainly because all the parties' (ally or non-ally) just want a weaker bjp and they have udecided to gang up at first chance leaving their differences in cold storage for the moment.
Some idiots are bringing hindu muslim in this also. Well, get your facts right first. Out of the four accused, only one of them is muslim, Muhammad Pasha. The rest of the three are Naveen, Shiva and Kesavulu. These are not muslims or hindus. These are just criminals. Scumbags I'm crying from yesterday like she was one of my own. What did she do to deserve this ? How will you feel when your scared sister/wife/daughter calls you in such a situation and her phone is unreachable after a few minutes ? How scared will you be ? How scared would she have felt while being alone between these monsters ? How will you react when, god forbid, you find one of your own half burnt under some overbridge on a highway in a dustbin after being raped. Put yourself in her situation or her family's situation. Realize their pain. Then perhaps you can lift yourself from this shit debate of hindu muslim and raise your voice in demanding the justice for her Justice for Priyanka
Guptaji, political shrinking is well described by Congress the best. Your venomous tone for saffron is well known and hence expected. Bjp will lose skirmishes to win battkes. In a democracy it is healthy to have power in the states. Don't forget the fallen Karnataka, falling MP and will fall Raj. Your choice of words for bjp should equalise with others. But, how can leopards change spits! You better talk of the same"drops" vis-a-vis your anyone but bjp/Modi propagsnda. Your channel is certainly comic relief for me. Do desperate! Dukan choti ho rahi hai kya!
1st & foremost, people don't want politics of convenience; khichdi govt.s will never deliver on developmental agenda,bcoz to take bold decisions you sure need "Bahumat" ; Only BJP has delivered boldly & you can't expect the same performance from any other parties existing today bcoz they don't hv it in them. These Gandhis,Pawar, Yadavs, Thakreys will only hv interest of their families ahead of state or nation. Earlier the people realise this better for them.
What ever you say Mr. Shekhar Gupta, Modi and Shah stand exposed in their game plan For the betterment of the country and the people, no one should be given a chance of more than two terms, or else the power get into the head of the rulers and play havoc and it stands exposed in Maharashtra
Not true sir, People did vote for BJP in Maharashtra. The prepoll alliance is the only factor that is responsible for current shiv Sena govt.
People gave a mandate to the bjp in mahrashtra
Lover treching and going with another fellow in Maharashtra happened. SHIVASENA treching BJP after election teaming with khangress.
They didn't get a mandate. That would be only if they won an absolute majority and didn't need to form a coalition.
They could have won with majority if they didn't shared the seats with shiv sena. BJP has won 75% of the seats they fought for.
@subhadeep mandal OBC, Dalit votebanks wtf??? People are over with this kind of politics. Which world are you living in? Media does these assessment just for their narratives. I pity if politics in your area is like that.
@@lakshmiradhakrishnan3162 what did BJP do with a hit pawar😅
When NDA came to power in 2014, they didn't stall any infrastructure project or even economic policies of previous government. In fact they give a big push to it. May be they changed the name of few.
It doesn't matter who rules states but they should not stop infrastructure projects just because of their personal enmity. What Reddy in Andhra and now what Uddhav in Maharashtra is doing is not goood.
Stalling infrastructure projects of the previous governments is not in the interest of the nation.
The previous state governments are also at fault, like in my state the former govt used to give infrastructure tenders about a year or two before assembly elections and those projects were near to impossible to complete in 1 year. Its a deliberate move to garner votes. Well, the new govt is also at fault for scrapping the previous tenders, but we all know why it happens, corruption ofc.
I don't know why media manipulates statements by politicians. Uddhav said he will not cut down the Aarey. But that doesn't mean he will completely stop the metro. He said he will try to figure out other routes to build the metro. It's not related to personal enmity or any bullshit. You will see Shiv Sena and BJP form a coalition in 2024 lok sabha.
@@nandandesai6524
Brother, what is wrong in the aarey colony metro shed. ? Mumbai needs more public infrastructure very badly. Aarey colony protests was nothing more than publicity stunt.
@@nandandesai6524 Large projects are planned years in advance. Changing anything wl take the Metro Project back by several years. Thn implementation wl take time. *So what is Udhav Thakeray planning - a delay of 3-4 years at the minimum? Add to it the multi- core doubling of cost for redoing the work already done. Is that a good decision?* His inexperience is evident
Shivsena is a political kattappa......u can’t blame baahubali for trusting him !!
So who ordered Kattappa?
PS: Bad analogy, kattappa was a devoted soldier.. He did exactly what he was ordered to do!
@@vemmanr nobody can order anybody anything ,my friend ,there is always a choice !! And we choose
@@ananth224 That is what differs you from Kattappa.
Chutia shiv sena opposing bullet train this will really send a bad signal to foreign investers......
@@ananth224 in a fictional monarchy?
Economy..... Economy..... Economy..... The only way out for bjp.
Slow white economy growth much better than booming black economy.
Indian inflation rate is actually low under Modi. But no media will highlight it. Check link below.
www.statista.com/statistics/271322/inflation-rate-in-india/
With two terms up do what may bjp will loose next election. But it is going to be hung parliament after next election with a hell lot of uncertainties. The parties will have to allow the allies to loot. Then the next election it is going to be modi s Thumping victory again. So 15 years out of 20 years.
Karthik KM
Silly tamil, GDP numbers don't mean anything to BJP voters in rural areas. In 2004, BJP learned its lessons that GDP is NOT the deciding factor when it comes to elections
@@raghavgiridhar8387 r u dumb
Electoral bond
Rti amendment
Ssc scam directly by pmo office due to khurana retirement extension
Mr.Modi v/s All
For me that’s enough🤫
Hindutua plank of BJP will get diluted after the Ayodya verdict.May be this will allow a secularized BJP 2.0 to evolve out of this .
For Modijis vision of Sabka Saath Sabaka Viswaas to eventuate BJP will have to smoothen its edges of its current Ideology and create a bigger tent.
@@pahay8735 No it won't, infact when they sense tht they have become weak, they will find new issue
Sometime back it was Congress vs all
@@mdfarhanahmed4829 For sake of argument and trying to be optimistic about the country lets hope what you mentioned does not happen. BJP will double down on Nationalism agenda and HIndutua taking back seat ,again this depends on how serious they will pursue sabka vishwas moto.
I don’t know why everytime MR.Modi has to pass so called “AGNIPARIKSHA”...on the other hand congress takes moral victory even on defeat(Gujarat)...hypocrisy or something else???
Please don't malign the word 'secularism' by calling Congress,left etc secular.
they are Modi-fied Secular.
Name one step by these parties which aren't secular?
@@jarinwallah IMDT Act, Shah Bano Case etc..
Its really stupid to stall an important project like Mumbai metro 3.Today you are celebrating that you have saved Aarey but what about tomorrow??
If we don't build metro's on priority basis traffic will become hell. More traffic means more pollution.And then we will have to inevitably expand our road networks by cutting trees in Aarey.
Its wrong to cut down a forest but if it is a project of such local importance I feel we need to make an exception for this.
Why? We can have the metro, and save Aarey. There are sites outside the forest that can be used for the depot.
@@agadre856 Please list few of the feasible and sound locations.
A humble request to please read complete affairs of Indian pollution crisis, development and politics around it...
In short before you read the details -
"Living in a developed India, technologically with pollution crisis at high in each and every state, is of no use; when we don't have breathable air to live in a BJP promised 5 trillion dollar Indian economy.
That being said, Maharashtra state is in an urgent need to build eco-friendly sources to generate power(electricity), otherwise pollution will keep increasing; post launch of Mumbai Metro projects will multiple it, as this are power hungry transports"
"An analysis done by the Indian Institute of Technology-Bombay (IIT-B) has revealed that the 11.4 km-long Versova-Andheri-Ghatkopar Metro line, which now carries around 3,12,000 passengers daily has helped reduced 22.7 tonnes of CO2 emissions a day because commuters have shifted from buses and other road vehicles. But the Metro’s operation releases 75.6 tonnes of CO2 every day - though these emissions are at the place where the electricity is generated." - Hindustan Times (www.hindustantimes.com/mumbai-news/life-after-a-metro-less-traffic-but-more-co2/story-ExZqP7aSGJLDHKTanA0pOJ.html)
Another article about Delhi Metro (www.livemint.com/Opinion/JBtfVsnXClns09xhskzsSM/Did-the-Metro-help-reduce-air-pollution-in-Delhi.html), which was launched in 2002, but still Delhi's air pollution is the worst (en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_pollution_in_Delhi)
1,552 trees to be cut, 2,022 to be transplanted for Metro 2A, 2B: RTI - www.hindustantimes.com/mumbai-news/1-552-trees-to-be-cut-2-022-to-be-transplanted-for-metro-2a-2b-rti/story-4g7lSx0fg9eDop4kOBA2HK.html
Mumbai's Air Quality Index hits 'unhealthy' mark
- mumbaimirror.indiatimes.com/mumbai/other/mumbais-air-quality-index-hits-unhealthy-mark/articleshow/72178862.cms
Much shocking fact about pollution crisis in India, even Varanasi - Air Quality Index (AQI) is facing air pollution crisis - ruclips.net/video/IQcM2BzQUi8/видео.html | economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/varanasis-air-quality-deteriorating-delhi-victim-of-negligence-report/articleshow/68809954.cms | aqicn.org/city/india/varanasi/ardhali-bazar/
P.S. I pray & hope whoever reads this will understand, that let any political party be in rule to develop India to a better future; should also align development with the health index of India, otherwise other countries will be living in an eco-friendly environment.
@@agadre856 that's easier said than done!
We all know Mumbai is a land starved city. The depot requires a large land parcel. Only two other options are Kanjurmarg and Reclaiming land from sea. The latter will have even more environmental implications than Aarey . The former is locked in a dispute.
Why are we not deliberating on underground railways like that of Kolkatta. Though it may be expensive, there's nothing to beat an underground network for a city like Mumbai. This will release the traffic as well as no impact to trees, no impact to traffic (or limited) while construction etc.,
Give me honest and incorruptible Modi any day against corrupt bloody leeches from other parties...
Rafale ?
Sahara diaries ?
An extremely unexpected twist in the tail about RSS being a winner. Didn't see it that way at all before this. Amazing insight.
Will you speak about Priyanka Reddy Rape case in Hyderabad. Hypocrisy of the The Print is clearly seen by your priority of your channel and Shekar Gupta.
What to tell???? It's a rape, it's a heinous crime.... It's a rape like nirvaya, kathua, twinkle , priyanka, chinmayanand and so many.....
@gener8enigma you are a heartless human being. It is becoz of people like you that we donot feel safe in India.
gener8enigma What a liberal response!!
gener8enigma
Islamists defending their retarded ideology
@@souradeepdas1671 : rapes in wb don't get reported ? Why ?
In my telangana those who voted to trs(kcr) in assembly they voted for bjp in parliament in my constituency still modi wave is there
jai modi-shah, jai hind
#justice for priyankareddy
bhakt spotted😂
@@satyajitsahu2852 yes i m bhakt but u r boot licker of gandhi dynasty
@Mansoor Ahmed i also dont support kcr he is doing family politics totally he is looting state for his family
Only 1 seat for BJP in telangana, I'm also from Hyderabad
@@sudhanandtharra9621 i m speaking about mps
Not AAP fan. But mark my words, AAP going to sweep Delhi again. Simply because of absence of good BJP delhi leadership. Jokers head delhi bjp.
Yea i agree its all abt choosing the lesser evel in delhi election
But it will be a close fight.. Because people are not happy with Aap either.. Yes when compared to bjp they will pick aap
Gupta, in Indira's time most of the Indians were illiterate and there was no internet/social media. Take these factors into account. You are comparing apples with oranges. Come out of nostalgia.
Well he does mention it. Although it was for half a minute.
Yes. You are right. But there were no EVM either in Indira Gandhi time😊
@@sudhanandtharra9621 But Luddites still exists.
Upvoted for the use of 'percentage points', and not abusing the term 'percentage'.
Lost redditor
Kids Watch Amit Bhadana
Men watch TSP, TVF
Legends watch National Interest
Karan Sharma legend watch cut the clutter.
@@sanjaymahapatra7273 Ultra Legends watch cut the clutter
Plot twist:5 months later...MP goes under BJP😌
The shrinking is temporary. Governments in MP , Rajasthan was bound to change sooner or later. In Maharashtra, BJP and SS did win the election comfortably. The outcome is a strange mix of parties. Congress as the minority partner can't really last for long.
Overall, the country is leaning towards hindutva idealogy. Rahul Gandhi has been removed because he couldn't understand this. It doesn't really matter who is in power if the idealogy is essentially the same.
Yeah, country is going to be fucked up. Hope Europeans don't go the 'right' way.
BJP is not shrinking politically the chors r uniting
So true. This really is reflecting in RSSes non involvement in Maharashtra government formation or mediation.They are happy with the general situation with scrapping of 370, Triple Talaq, Reservation for EBC, Ram Mandir, Sabarimala issue. What remains is the temple going out of government control which may also happen. It is not keen on expanding the BJP footprint. Now only way BJP can come back is thru economic reforms. Massive change is needed better economy will help it win elections. The opposition is not raking 'Pro Hindutva' issues because it feels it can connect better on the state of the economy rather than Rafale, UCC and other issues. RSS also by its core is Socialist in it's economic ideology it doesn't care much as to who rules as long as its socialist way of doing things is implemented. The Amravati cancellation issue, Lulu withdrawal, Metro withdrawal, Bullet train cancellation is somewhat good for them. We may soon have a situation where other parties who are rightof centre may court RSS.
Maharashtra new gov stopped metro project... 😕 This is exactly what we don't want that's what we are getting everytime everywhere...
Maharashtra govt has not stopped the Metro project. We have to beware ourselves from half baked information these days. It has ordered a stay on just using Aarey as the location of one of its car sheds.
@@sanchitkhatavkar4462 aarey is the last project other parts of project are already build if they stop car shed for metro it is stopping the whole project
@@TheAnkurp09 true, but the govt is suggesting alternative to Aarey, not STOPPING that project
@@sanchitkhatavkar4462 that will cost 500-600 crore extra do you want somewhere else now? That cost is going to be added into cost of tickets and aarey is not forest people can just plant trees and it will grow in 6-8 years it's easy
@@TheAnkurp09 Mumbai want mess and 500-600 tress not metro
Dear Shekar, Congress has gone through this journey from complete authority to coalition government and partnership. The new found success through absolute majority if not handled with humbleness I mean staying humble to people and their representative local parties...it is not going to be good for India. Else change the Constitution fully and become like China declare yourself as PM for next 20 years and be done with it. Some chapters of the fundamental rights be removed for they can be impediment for an autocratic journey. It is suffocating when someone practices autocracy under the garb of democracy.
Are we aware that Govt has not won the hearts on their ability to take genuine actions to fix the economic situation? Actions that can show the vision and instil confidence. Can de-clutter if the issue is competency or a result of their misplaced convictions.
In todays complex world 5 years anyways is not sufficient to do any long term meaningful work for the country . Even Corporates want longer tenure fm employees to see productive work & end results .
In the 5 years these Ministers esp at State Level seem to be doing just band aid work & consolidating power for vote politics . Priority action invariably seems farm loan waiver . .. any kind of compensation & appeasement related work
Well said!
Very accurate mature analysis mr sanjivee. . Much Appreciated
@@skanda7400 one big paronia for middle class Indians, who are basically less than 10% of population, is that they think India moves by a lofty ideals and a very long-term beneficiary plans. No, and majority Indians do not desire for that. So these parties can easily buy a vote by exchanging a bottle or a handful 20rupee note. Actually, India is a very poor country with lot of ignorances (even among the so-called educated), they think highly short term. Even in a week scale. And this way only progressed from a very unformatted, undeveloped state to a third largest economy.
@@anjankumarchowdhury7379 India is almost the largest country in terms of population but in terms of achieving its _potential_ in context to its population & its land India probably competes with African countries. Economy is also inward focused & highly dependent on internal consumption.
India's continued overall growth is at the most sluggish since 1950s . No Govt so far has ever been able to sustain India's growth consistently over a period of time.
With so many political parties emerging since mid 1970s politics is becoming increasingly more competitive. The vulnerable sections of society are an easy target for those seeking position & power.
And it seems India is unlikely to change even in the next couple of decades or maybe more
Is Al bagdadi and Osama bin laden was also part of secular forces?
Just curious 😊
@Just Dab yeah true face of muslims under secular mask .Good u expose yourself
Shows the leaps of logic you people are capable. Lol. For simplicity's sake, they shout Muslim Muslim, and you shout Hindu Hindu. What's the difference?
Just curious. 😊
@@rigormortis6481 they kill people and we don't kill people..
Hinduism doesn't ask to kill non hindu people just because they are not Hindu.
@@राहुलपांडेय्-ड2र So ideologically wise, the same huh ? Only separation is that the ultra right wing hasn't started killing people off wholesale, is that it ? The 80 or so lynched people might beg to differ there though ?
What an analysis Gupta ji, amazing. This is the reason inspite of beeing a hard core modi fan I regularly view this channel. You are absolutely right, rss and bjp have won ideological battle. If you talk to anyone, he will praise abrogation of article 370,construction of ram temple, triple talak law, Now you can see very weak opposition to population control bill, common civil code bill if it is placed. No body can dare to oppose such bills in future also. Biggest changes that have taken place is people now want the political parties to clarify their stand on secularism
. Bjp and rss during last 70 years have been able to convince the masses that whatever Congress have been doing with majority community was wrong. Some people say bjp lost, I want to ask in rajasthan, mp and chatisgarh inspite of winning state elections, during Parliament elections Congress was bold out for zero. Even in maharashtra bjp SS won absolute majority with 161 seats, it was SS whose demand for cm post became the reason for this episode.
Now Shiv Sena shutting down Bullet train project. investors will think if we invest in india and same state government not
win our project will canceled. that's the main reason we can't become superpower, we can't control Asia. that's why our
infrastructure very poor. why we can't bring America system????
plz if you don't like center government don't stop projects.
Yes Narendra Modi is not Indira Gandhi as Modi is far better person than Indira Gandhi.
I am Hindustan I am ashamed of my muslim brothers.😭
not every Gandhi follower has to be Hindu. I am also Gandhi follower.
What about sikhs in gandhi rule?? dont go like this otherwise india will be ruined.
@@SB288 *clap*clap*clap*clap* > brother
I am not ashamed
you have tried your best to prove your point.... but failed to convince
This antinational man is so happy and gleeful ,making him twist even more while narrating. Wait till MH people punish SS in next possible opportunity.
Thoughtful- and meaningful- analysis.Kudos.
So you feel RSS has won a battle of ideologies. I feel that they have gained ground.I firmly believe that India is basically middle-of-the-road and tolerant, but the screaming protagonists of secularism have spoiled their case by excesses. For instance i believe that appeasement has taken place.
I believe that this should also serve as a warning for the RSS supporters not to overplay their hand. Reaction could set in, as it did against the others, but in the opposite direction.
RSS is anti Hindu we don't support them.
RSS is secular organization, ban it
@@T13-v6g
So you are more Hindu than the RSS..Hm.
@@physicsonline8853
RSS is nationalist organization not Hindu.
It is pro India
As always, an excellent analysis Mr. Gupta. Now that the RSS
can declare victory on contentious issues such as Article 370 and the Mandir,
does it also mean that the ability to milk these issues for political capital
is exhausted? Like Ayodhya issue lost the sting the moment the Masjid had been
brought down and the BJP went on lose the state elections that ensued. May be
now India can return to the basic roti, kapda, makaan, padhaai, arogya issues? Then
the BJP goes on to become the first among equals that has to deliver on good governance.
We need Modi and BJP govt for the next 50 yrs.
8:00 "You need the PM to negotiate with the CM..." etc. etc. The whole premise of the state government is to oppose the PM and to scrap development and go back to hand-outs. Hand-outs.. make new contracts to siphon funds... what co-operative federalism are we speaking about ?
BJP was getting arrogant after all those winning streaks.
It good to see them loose in few states.
Results like these help to keep the power in check.
P.S
I voted for Modi and will again vote for him
The
Agree with you. Even if any national political party other than BJP rules at the centre in the future, these idealogical victories of Modi-Shah- Art 370, Ayodhya, the Triple Talaq bill and the Uniform Civil Code will become the bench marks for decision making and strategy. In fact, half century plus of political manipulations have been solved in a flat 6 months. The fall in geographical area of BJP rule from 70% to 40% is a part of tactical retreats, which will play out in the coming months and years. Right now, if BJP can win in the economy downturn battle, then it is only a matter of time that INC et al. will have nothing but to whine endlessly in the parliament.
Shekhar ji with due respect Sir you are half right and you have been so through out the Maharastra political drama.
Game is gonna change in next 20 years forever if BJP doesn't make Population Control Law
Wild Wolves after modi bjp will have a hard time to cross 150.
Bro what is the relation with population control law with BJP.
Nurnabi Khan what is the relation between numbers and democracy
@@nurnabikhan3308 the relation between muslim population and their anti bjp mentality.
Nurnabi Khan
You talk abt Population control law:
Sikhs: No prob
Bodhists: No prob
Jainism: No prob
Hindus: No prob
Peaceful religion:
How dare Gov can make this law. We oppose this law. We will not accept this. Producing kids is natural this is against Quran blah blah blah...
You see live example in this coment thread.
Who got provoked and who is in support 😝
The bitter truth Congress needs to admit is that a lot of people in India (mostly a part of middle class) see Gandhi the same way the Pragya Thakur sees him.
that's sweet truth not bitter
@@VipulSPanditg Well for Congress it is bitter. They need to understand it and finally shed the façade of Secularism they use to run their brand of politics.
On Maharashtra I can only say the storey is not over yet. One may still see BJP emerging. After all, the developments over the past month and half shows that, Shiv Sena had taken BJP for a big ride. If there were no pre poll alliance, BJP would have got full majority on their own. I think BJP would take this as a lesson for the future and avoid pre poll alliances.
Yes, if you view the situation at this moment, it would seem BJP has lost the Govt.But if you visualise the emerging scenario, it is not so hopeless for BJP after all. One should 'stoop to conquer'
With due respect, what do you know about Amaravati and Singapore agreement? Please try to understand the reality then comment. Your statement on AP Capital is very vague.
This is what i opined three days back whn Lallontop put a map indicating declining Saffron states. Ideologically, right has won nd r more powerful thn before
Fadnavis ,Yogi Adityanath are not typical indira chief ministers
They are popular locally
Point taken ,Modi has to be like Nehru supporting local chief ministers
I haven't come across a caption that smacks of wishful thinking, at least in the recent times; BJP shrinking politically? From 2 seats to 300 and Cong from 190 to 54. Who is shrunk, really? Please don't use Maharashtra example; Udhav backstabbed and Sonia and Powar wanted to loot; Udhav will pay a big price. Galat aadmise panga liya Udayne; sabak sikhaya jayaga usko. Amit Shah, don't underestimate him. If Kerala and WB remain unchecked, take it, the country is heading to a civil war. Already TN is becoming a bastion of Islamic terrorism. Terrorism has a religion. Ek aur 26/11 tho honahihe; tabi Udhav ko samajmein aayega.
Very true statement that these three contentious issues were finally put to rest. This is one of the many that Modi Govt have been doing. Another major one I can say is with regard to the GST implementation, as this was long pending impediment in the taxation. By giving simplified tax structure it helped a lot to business men.
For a change you are right Shekhar Gupta about ideological success of BJP.
Wikipedia page says BJP's vote share in Haryana increased by 3.29%. Congress did better because INLD went down, not because BJP went down.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Haryana_Legislative_Assembly_election
What an analysis. Always a pleasure to watch shekher ji and his knowledge of the NE states is really commendable. One person in mainland india journalism whose knowledge of the seven sisters is in par with any local NE leader or even more 😅
one respectful thing about Shekhar sir is that He presents facts with every inferrance from every side inspite of him being self confessed liberal. He doesn't try to shut down any ideology or opinion.
Respect sir.
The upside of greater federalism is that none can give us the taste of Emergency, as Indira Gandhi did. But, the worrysome part is that most political parties do not manage their States prudently. Majority of the State finances are in a mess. Populism dominates in almost every State, including in the Centre. With greater autonomy, cohesiveness of India will suffer.
Your fear is just. But I fear a strong central authority more than I fear federal autonomy.
I dont think it is fair to draw comparision between IG and Modi as the times are quite different. As you mentioned voters are more intelligent now than earlier...Another important point is that Independent India was fully Congress to start with and it continued to be so IG got a easy ride for a quite long time...whereas BJP has just beginning to spread across...its a good time for BJP to nurture young leaders which will determine the longevity of the party.
BJP had 33% voteshare in Haryana in 2014 and now they have 36%. INLD infact lost most of its voteshare to chautala Jr and BJP and Congress especially. So how did BJP Lose. They failed to get the chautala vote. But the chautala vote was anyway not with the BJP
Ofcos PMO should intervene with regards to the Metro shed, in no way Metro project or bullet train can be delayed
I agree with this video broadly.
These are some phenomenal, historical, and legendary game changing achievements of the Modi government, and the BJP and the RSS have made the country glad.
The losses of states are a passing phase, and have been marginal in MP and Rajasthan, and the BJP was given the mandate to form governments in Karnataka, Maharashtra, and Haryana.
I wouldn't be disheartened.
Don't forget Janata party election under Ramakrishna Hegde in eighties.People voted him back even though he called afresh election thinking that mandates for Lok Sabha was a mandate is against him.This is sign of maturing democracy
Shiv Sena cheated the people of Maharashtra. Many people voted for Shiv Sena because they are coalition partner of BJP, meaning they were voting for BJP through Shiv Sena.
We really lack infrastructure in our country and government should focus on this
How many years were BJP in power in each of these states before they gave way to the opposition? How many years were in the past did Indira rule! Can Gavaskar be compared to Sachin?
There is none who can challenge Modi to-day.Reason is obvious.He is a fiery nationalist and for him Nation is first and everything else comes next!
Sir, Don't you think, BJP is missing person like Govindacharya, who emphasized on cast based leadership development at state level. A Non-Jat in Haryana, A Brahim(no-Maratha) in Maharastra, Thakur in UP, Rupani(Non-Patle) in Gujarat, Das(non-Tribal) in Jharkhand, don't you think not hurting BJP?. I think BJP should also learn from the mistake of congress of not developing state leadership.Now on BJP must develop state leadership with some sensitivity to cast equation.
On to RSS, I think with all the 3 points achieved, RSS has lost the traction with the people and now either reinvent it or leave BJP to win election on its own without active support of RSS.
Most of the states BJP lost were due to anti incumbency.
But the same states. Voted for BJP in parliamentary election.
BJP is the largest party in Maharashtra, Gujarat , UP, MP, Bihar, Haryana,
They are making inroads in WB, Orissa , and telengana.
By the same token States need the support of center.
BJP is a very strong force in Hindi heartland.
Congress has given too much space to regional players .
So their presence is not there in UP, Bihar ,WB AP and Telengana.
By aligning with SS, NCP , it has recently lost its space in Maharashtra also.
The implication is
Congress can never ever form a govt of its own. It will always need regional players, who will always put their personal agenda above national interest.A good honest person like Mr. singh could not control parties like DMK , because of coalition Dharma.
BJP alone is in a position to form a. Govt on its own.
So , BJP should not leave the space to SS in Maharashtra and to JDU in Bihar.
For BJP , staying as a single largest party in all the states of Hindi heartland or many more is more important than forming the govt.
BJP should not do the hara Kiri committed by congress.
Staying relevant is more important than in govt.
It is not possible to rule always because of anti incumbency.
But they should stay relevant to win next time around., Otherwise they will meet the same fate as congress.
BJP has played its cards well in Maharashtra..
BJP is the party in Maharashtra.It is likely that they will next time.
If SS breaks two third they still have a chance this time around.
It is paramount for BJP thst it should not leave too much space for allies.
I am not sure whether you have the habit of reading these posts.
I am sorry to say that you have one track mind and tubular vision
NDA should get strengthen in Tamil nadu, Kerala, why a person like shekhar sir say congress or any non bjp party as secular, they bank on Muslim, Christian vote bank and help them for all mischievous activities.How come it is secular, and when bjp bank on hindu, jain , vote it is communal .
As usual, shekhar bhai is behind the curve. Look at the building subaltern reaction to the politics of religion and hate. This might change indian politics in a much bigger way than mandalisation.
My theory is the more aggressive ideology push is coz of BJP shrinking in the states as an attempt on BJP's part to revive itself.
Coalition governments, such as in Maharashtra, may succeed in defeating an apparently more popular and more effective party, but are unstable and ineffective in the long run. That was the problem PM Manmohan Singh faced - political paralysis.
The Indian political system has to evolve further. Let the voters decide, not the bickering politicians of numerous small parties, as to who governs. There is a system for that - hold runoff elections between the two front runners. No more coalitions - no gathbandhans - no political paralysis. China is a good example; it made tremendous progress by avoiding conflict. I would not recommend the Chinese uniparty system to India, but let us reduce the number of ruling parties to two.
In a political science class that I attended at San Francisco State University, the instructor jokingly compared a coalition government to the tail wagging the dog. Multiparty system, wisely, has never gotten a foothold in America. For better or worse, 'winner take all' is the rule. It is easier to move in one direction if there is one ruling party at a given time.
How come is it shrinking? An odd lose does not mean anything. You can't keep winning. And a lose or two is good for check and balance to prevent arrogance.
For a moment Shekhar Gupta was lost; he showed his palm to depict a glass pane, but quickly realised that he has to show a glass of water. Watch at 11:10 of video.
Maharashtra BJP Sena got mejority,
But Sena betrayed that different story..
Its correct, today hindu vote is a factor. Earlier muslim vote, dalit vote etc etc were there. Those are also strongly present, alongside another vote bank hindu vote bank has came out strongly.
Unfortunately still there are no Indian vote bank yet
Well bjp still hits majority in Karnataka and Maharashtra.. Not forming government is a different thing though..
This video became possible because the BJP did not contest all the seats in Maha independently
I admire your political analysis but not forcast on Business standard on Sundays.
Of late, I am watching your videos for quite sometime with interest.
I feel at times that my attention keeps distracted momentarily by your body language, which if restricted, would enable listeners like me to keep focus undistracted from the contents of your speech.
Secondly, the flow of your speech could be made still more smooth obviating the hick ups.
I am not sure if your speech were extempore or read out off screen.
I am also not sure if you could do both.
Shekhar Gupta ji, Watch my words, loosing Maharashtra was a good thing, just like loosing Bihar, Bengal, MP and Rajasthan, it will help build up anti-incumbency, just in time for the next General election, more importantly now they can go after the Shiv Sena as well for their wide spread corruption in local bodies. I don't think the final word is out on this saga, Just a temporary calm before the storm. With the farmer distress and lousy economy, Shiva Sena led coalition is bound to build up a lot of anti-incumbency which will reach its peak by the next General Election. BJP controlling too many state Govt's is bad for the BJP, expectations will be high and they will not be able to deliver. Now they will throttle the funds to unfriendly Govt's. Congress with Rahul Gandhi is'nt going anywhere, and they have been hungry for too long and corruption will go full steam ahead. They will end up being sitting ducks.
More importantly BJP is unshackling from Shiva Sena and luckily they don't have to be Villains for the break-up, a wonderful blessing in disguise. BJP should wish that the Akali's do something similar and break up on their own and BJP will be truly on its own without being answerable for the narcotic state, family rule and corruption.
Modi has taken two roles that seem to be not easy to reconcile. On one hand he has become a election machine. On the other he carries the responsibility to unite the nation towards development. I think he was good at winning elections. But he has not won the unification challenge. With Mandir over, and development not coming through, he has an uphill task. The only saving situation for him is that the other parties are worse off than he is in terms of credibility. Voters reaction in this is the Nash equilibrium solution, keep changing.
Ideology is inversely proportional to economy
The glass was empty actually 😂😂
States do not have independent leaders from RSS. Devendra Phadanvis shown himself to be one such where he also like Modiji is pole vote catcher. Some more should rise in states
Means people are happy with modi but not happy with state leadership of BJP.
India has never been a federal state like USA, so please check out Indian constitution. It clear mentions Union of states. The Constitution of India is not truly Federal in character. The basis of distribution of powers between the Union and States is that only those powers which are concerned with the regulation of local problems are vested in the States and the residue specially those which tend to maintain the economic industrial and commercial unity of the country are left to the Union. People who drafted the constitution considered federal system like US and rejected it. Iam astonished that slowly this narrative of federalism just like socialism and secularalism is been feed. Please correct yourself Mr. Gupta.
According to me the main reason of BJP's setback is modi..ya he doesn't even bother to answer when people are in problem and want his reaction...he is just busy in external affairs and traveling to foreign countries...this man is may be very honest ,hard working but in an era of people questioning leaders he can't ignore local issues.
Shekhar please stop flailing your arms continuously....very distracting..difficult to concentrate on what you are saying.
What is your prediction if there is a LokSabha elections now?
Jab sher 🦁2 kadam piche hota hai to woh aur bhi khatarnaak ho jaata hai...
Actually issues in Central Election and State Elections are totally different. Even today if Loksabha election is held in Maharashtra, BJP will win easily.
Electing a Central Leader to that of a State/Regional Leader is always different with its corresponding issues 🇮🇳🇮🇳
Our constitution writer's were visionaries and also because every Indian was represented what ever be the result of an election the constitution is the soul of the country as long as it's protectors keep power in India and is kept independent. Also India can't be ruled by Delhi just look at the empires from the past it's just too vast and people don't have similar troubles or similar thoughts India should be more fedralised so that it can rise more and more globally our federal structure should be like Germany.
See mr Gupta ji I don't know why people are not understanding or they understand but don't want to accept that if you will compress a gas too long than it will find a hole come out with a greater force. The hindus of Bharat always been targeted at first by Muslims and than by English rulers and they also faced the hard truth of partition in which Muslim took a larger part of motherland it was a bad dream of hindus and Nehru's Congress was still saying everything is ok , after independence India at first declared a secular country and than Congress tried to write history as everything in the past Muslim rule was good and they acted like nothing wrong happened with hindus. Than in Indira Gandhi's period vote bank politics started the the rajniti of tustikaran started hindus were presserised and they were finding a hole to explode which they got from BJP and now if anybody really want to form government in centre they can't get it's key with Muslim votebank politics they should must take care of hindu majority also
Well, I've never seen an ideology stable enough to sustain voters in the long run. Maybe it's the populism factor taking full control now. Again, highlighting sustenance.
You can Print whatever you want but you can’t print the unprintable.
Seriously, I like the way you presenting the facts....so for u...USA is largest democracy in world not India....forget about USA ,even Australia, Brazil and Canada are much bigger than India...Democracy about Vote percent and MP and MLA u have not area...so i don't think BJP has reduce from 71 %to 41 percent as a happened area wise ...See no. of MLa and MP BJP has in 2017 and 2019 and hope u will get the answer
comparison with indira gandhi period is illogical. The awareness, literacy levels of electorate, freeness and fairness of election conducted, role of press / media, etc are totally different in both eras
Sometimes it is better we dont analyst too much, BJP unable to form govt in states despite almost having majority is mainly because all the parties' (ally or non-ally) just want a weaker bjp and they have udecided to gang up at first chance leaving their differences in cold storage for the moment.
Shiv sena was a clear back-stabber.. This was a one time plunge for Shiv Sena.. it won't work ever in the future
Some idiots are bringing hindu muslim in this also. Well, get your facts right first. Out of the four accused, only one of them is muslim, Muhammad Pasha. The rest of the three are Naveen, Shiva and Kesavulu. These are not muslims or hindus. These are just criminals. Scumbags
I'm crying from yesterday like she was one of my own. What did she do to deserve this ? How will you feel when your scared sister/wife/daughter calls you in such a situation and her phone is unreachable after a few minutes ? How scared will you be ? How scared would she have felt while being alone between these monsters ? How will you react when, god forbid, you find one of your own half burnt under some overbridge on a highway in a dustbin after being raped. Put yourself in her situation or her family's situation. Realize their pain. Then perhaps you can lift yourself from this shit debate of hindu muslim and raise your voice in demanding the justice for her
Justice for Priyanka
Guptaji, political shrinking is well described by Congress the best. Your venomous tone for saffron is well known and hence expected. Bjp will lose skirmishes to win battkes. In a democracy it is healthy to have power in the states. Don't forget the fallen Karnataka, falling MP and will fall Raj. Your choice of words for bjp should equalise with others. But, how can leopards change spits! You better talk of the same"drops" vis-a-vis your anyone but bjp/Modi propagsnda. Your channel is certainly comic relief for me. Do desperate! Dukan choti ho rahi hai kya!
There are305 in Parliament , are they not from India?
..that just leaves akhand bharat for RSS to wish for.
1st & foremost, people don't want politics of convenience; khichdi govt.s will never deliver on developmental agenda,bcoz to take bold decisions you sure need "Bahumat" ; Only BJP has delivered boldly & you can't expect the same performance from any other parties existing today bcoz they don't hv it in them. These Gandhis,Pawar, Yadavs, Thakreys will only hv interest of their families ahead of state or nation. Earlier the people realise this better for them.
Our moral values as Indians have eroded by rejoicing over Article 370 and the Ayodhya judgment. We have lost.
Sahib can you please be a little brief and to the point. Or have a summary up front and the explanation after that.
What ever you say Mr. Shekhar Gupta, Modi and Shah stand exposed in their game plan
For the betterment of the country and the people, no one should be given a chance of more than two terms, or else the power get into the head of the rulers and play havoc and it stands exposed in Maharashtra
Appreciate Hindi and English versions. I am sure Hindi will exponentially increase viewership and popularity.