Why Hurricane Paths Are WEIRD
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- Опубликовано: 11 июн 2024
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Hurricane path prediction seems straightforward, until it is not - that’s because hurricanes can encounter atmospheric effects that turn their paths into erratic nonsense.
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To learn more about this topic, start your googling with these keywords:
- Fujiwhara effect: a phenomenon that occurs when two nearby cyclonic vortices move around each other and close the distance between the circulations of their corresponding low-pressure areas.
- Tropical Cyclone: a localized, very intense low-pressure wind system, forming over tropical oceans and with winds of hurricane force.
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CREDITS
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Cameron Duke | Script Writer, Narrator and Director
Arcadi Garcia i Ruis | Illustration, Video Editing and Animation
Nathaniel Schroeder | Music
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REFERENCES
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Ashcroft, John, et al. “The Impact of Weak Environmental Steering Flow on Tropical Cyclone Track Predictability.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 147, no. 741, 1 Oct. 2021, pp. 4122-4142, doi.org/10.1002/qj.4171
“Current Wind Direction and Layer Mean Wind Steering «2023 Hurricane Season - Track the Tropics - Spaghetti Models”, www.trackthetropics.com/curre...
Fujiwhara, S. “The Natural Tendency towards Symmetry of Motion and Its Application as a Principle in Meteorology.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 47, no. 200, Oct. 1921, pp. 287-292, doi.org/10.1002/qj.49704720010
“Hurricanes: Science and Society: Hurricane Movement”, hurricanescience.org/science/...
Pasch, Richard, et al. “HURRICANE MARIA.” 4 Jan. 2023.
Shellito, Lucinda. “Hurricane Chat.” Received by Cameron Duke.
Tropical Cyclone Motion.“Tropical Cyclone Steering | METEO 3: Introductory Meteorology.” www.e-education.psu.edu/meteo...
“Typhoon Parma.” Earthobservatory.nasa.gov, 4 Oct. 2009, earthobservatory.nasa.gov/ima...
“Typhoon Parma Trajectory.” Wikipedia, 30 Oct. 2023, commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi...
US Department of Commerce, NOAA. “Fujiwhara Effect.” www.weather.gov/news/fujiwhar... 
Наука
I love these weather related videos and the whole 'things are not as simple as they seem'. Great work guys, hope you reach 3M subs soon 🌏🌏🌏❤️❤️❤️
Agreed! Earth's weather is so fascinating!
I hope they reach 4M subs soon m8, who's the real fan???
Maybe "merge into a superstorm" wasn't the best way to put it, since it might make people think the storms actually benefit from the merge (which they really don't), but great video regardless
What do you mean by the storms dont benefit?
@@xanderberg3653 Since they're both rotating in the same direction, it's going to be far more likely that their vortexes will compete with each other and cancel out than it will be that they add together. So two hurricanes combining tends to produce a weaker storm
@@z-beeblebroxThey did mention both options. The sentence immediately before was "the storms could just fizzle out"...
It's technically correct. The best kind of correct.
This comment have made me realized my severe lack of understanding of vortex because i have no idea what "completing" the vortex even mean
Just in case nobody from the Philippines knows typhoon "Parma", it's called Pepeng here, as we almost never use the international names except to look up what everyone else is calling it...
Like wtf is everyone calling this typhoon Haiyan when we call it Yolanda... sometimes there is a disconnect between the local and international names.
I'm from the Philippines and was a victim to Typhoon Sendong from 2011, but internationally it's called Washi. I often retell my experience to my foreigner friends and haven't wondered if they actually got what typhoon I was referring to until today.
@@BuizelCreamfriendly note: Washi/Sendong was a Tropical Storm
That hurricane said f Philippines 💀💀
Dang they freaking hate us
As a Filipino, I'm generally convinced we just chose hard mode in the nature setting. 😅
God hates jollibees💀
Other cases of weird tropical cyclone tracks:
1. John 1994 / Freddy 2023: Steering currents caused the storm to go through warm waters for so long that they broke longevity records. John peaked as a Category 5 south of Hawaii before moving up north, ACTUALLY going into the western pacific and becoming a typhoon before turning extratropical completely. Freddy started out as a tropical depression NW of Australia before crossing the entirety of the Indian Ocean, peaking also as a Category 5 near Mauritius. Freddy then made landfall in Madagascar and Mozambique, before going back out into the ocean, reforming, and making its final landfall in northern Mozambique.
2. Lenny 1999: Lenny is the only storm in the Atlantic to move eastward, and it also peaked as a Category 4 Major, striking the Lesser Antilles in November. It was retired and was replaced by Lee, which became a Category 5 hurricane this year.
3. Hillary 2023: Hillary is the first tropical storm to actually strike California since 1939.
4. Nadine 2012: Hurricane Nadine formed between the Lesser Antilles and Cape Verde on September 10, and did a regular hurricane track by getting blown northeastward, before doing a series of loops and dissipating by October 3. Nadine remains as the 4th longest Atlantic Hurricane.
5. Catarina 2004: Catarina was an unusual storm that hit Brazil in February 2004. It started out as a LPA inside of Brazil, before moving out of the coast and veering back on a trajectory towards Brazil towards Santa Catarina. (which is where the storm gets its name) It intensified into an extremely rare Category 2 Hurricane before striking it with full strength.
There are many more weird tropical cyclone paths but those 5 are the most interesting to me.
I started tracking tropical cyclones and got interested in weather in general last year and I've learned a lot of different things, but right now, it's not exactly "college professor" level yet.
I still remember Hurricane Sandy here in NJ in 2012. You think normal Hurricane tracks are weird? Sandy went the opposite direction of the westerlies and made a left hand turn right into NJ.
Tropical Cyclones are weird creatures man lol
It’s crazy to me how the turn made its impacts even worse because of the landfall angle.
@jj6148 it’s mainly because of the geography of NY and NJ. The Long Island sound and the NY Bite allowed the wind to really funnel the water right into Manhattan. And the left hand turn allowed a Northeast wind to be more consistent increasing the Storm Surge.
I remember that hurricane. At the time I really wanted to go outside during the storm so I could "fight the wind". Then we lost power for days. I'm not sure if Long Island made the storm surges less effective but if it did then I thank them and NJ for preventing at least some of the damage in Connecticuts coast. It still was awful though.
Just what I need!! I'm doing tropical cyclones in my geography classes! ^.^
I think parma was commanded by greystillplays 😂
*Graystillplays
literally
I was in Florida when hurricane Genie hit sometime in the late 2000s. Category 2, not a huge deal right? Stalled right in the middle of the state, then made a literal loop right in the middle of central Florida and crawled away. It rained for three to four days straight.
There is no hurricanes that struck florida in the late 2000s that meet your description
so i think you're lying here, unless you're confusing it with another hurricane
@@herisuryadi6885 It's Hurricane Jeanne, in 2004. There's something called forgetting the date
@@2003LN6 eh, i guess that's right
but hurricane jeanne seems to not be the hurricane that was describe by the commenter
@@herisuryadi6885 True, but it's the closest one we've got. This comment may be fabricated
@@2003LN6 Yeah, I agree
A question I just asked myself:
Do cyclones always spin in the same direction?
If yes: why is that?
If no: does the behaviour/ reaction to the influence change/differ with spin direction?
I think that would be a cool topic for a video!
Yes, but the spin direction is contained within the two hemispheres - the Coriolis effect makes storms swirl clockwise in the Southern hemisphere and counterclockwise in the Northern Hemisphere.
"Imagine wind near the equator flowing to the north. That wind starts with a certain speed due to Earth’s rotation. As the wind travels north toward the North Pole, it moves over parts of Earth that are rotating progressively more slowly. Since the wind retains its angular momentum, it keeps moving from west to east, overtaking the part of Earth turning more slowly below it. This is the Coriolis Effect in action."
In order for a system to possibly change spin, it would need to cross to the other hemisphere and its birthplace in the intertropical convergence zone. The ITCZ is where winds and Coriolis effect would be strongest to repel any and all systems back.
Coriolis effect
Yes, by definition (in practice, on Earth in the year 2023CE.) A cyclone isn't considered a cyclone until it's powerful enough for us to care (i.e. being affected by the higher-up air currents mentioned in the video, a.k.a. the dominant en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prevailing_winds ). And due to the configuration of land masses on Earth in the present day, we have very predictable and uniform dominant prevailing winds over most of the Earth's surface, that force smaller storms into a certain spin direction as they form into cyclones.
On another planet, or on Earth in e.g. the Paleozoic era when all the oceans were contiguous (forming the "Panthalassa" ocean), the system of prevailing winds would be much more chaotic, and storms would form into cyclones with a more seemingly-random spin-direction. (Though these wouldn't be literally random; there would likely still be particular spots of ocean where cyclones that form _above that spot_ always have a known spin. Those spots would just be a small patchwork, rather than occupying entire hemispheres of the planet.)
All that being said, forecasted "Cones of Uncertainty" are getting narrower every year. the "Unpredictable-ness" is getting more Predictable.
Hear about typhoon goring 2023 ( right after the flooding typhoon egay and before typhoon hanna which had pretty heavy raining in Philippines while in taiwan) looped in the pacific right next to cagayan then going through batanes causing heaving raining even during the loop.
I don't think they're even aware of our local names.
*Philippines:* OH NO! WHY PARMA!?"
*Prama:* Because screw you, thats why!
(this is at least how I imagine it must have happened according to the face on the hurricane in this video 😄)
We wouldn't call it Parma though. We use our local designation (Pepeng). Mostly, we aren't even aware what other countries call our typhoons as we have our own weather agency that's adapted to our local language.
You are my fav channel
I LOVE these simple explanation videos. The animations are so funny, and they explain complex things quickly.
Hurricanes have a mind of their own
Legendary 3d representation plus time dimension of the concept 😊
What an informative video!
I forget the name of the hurricane but at the time it was off the coast of, I think, Alabama; some tracks had it going to NY, a few to Niagara Falls, a few back to the Atlantic, and one that just really hated Oklahoma as it predicted the hurricane would go north a bit and just make a left turn straight to Oklahoma and just circle the middle of the state a few times.
I love this video it help me in school
In Hong Kong we had a bunch of baffling typhoon paths that veered off course in a way that made it look like someone put up a force field to deflect typhoons.
Coupled with rumours that the weather observatory was being controlled by financial instead of public safety interests, a legend arose that the richest man in Hong Kong, Li Ka-Shing, owned the typhoon-deflecting force field (called the KS Field like the AT Field of Evangelion) to ensure that the stock exchange kept running
How long could a cyclone get stuck in that loop of getting stronger over the ocean, getting blown onto land, losing intensity on land, and getting blown back out to the ocean?
until the ocean conditions get unfavourable (e.g. wind shear)
Belal in the South West Indian Ocean had a strange path this year. It moved between Réunion Island and Mauritius from West to East, something no cyclone does. It caught Mauritius by surprise
Thank you.
Thanks!
Grateful for science videos that encourage people to remember that multiple variables make things complex!
Amazing video!
My personal favorite storms for weird motions/tracks have got to be Hurricane Lenny (1999) and Hurricane Nadine (2012). Lenny went the wrong way (west to east) in the Caribbean and Nadine was drunk and looped all over the place in the North Atlantic. Cyclone Freddy from earlier in 2023 also took some odd paths between Mozambique and Madagascar (like it didn’t know which place to hit, so it hit both multiple times).
Wind stranding makes so much sense. I have been wondering for about 5 years now when there was a hurricane that stopped completely over the Bahamas. As the Bahamas isn’t known for hills and mountains to cut the storm. And I Currently don’t remember the name but was so baffled by that phenomena that it’s been bothering me ever since. Thank you.
was it hurrican Dorian back in 2019
Some cool stuff in the store, but if you cannot get it to Canada before Christmas (if I order today), sorry to say you missed out on a sale.
I love the cartoon image of the "strong cyclone"
2:23 the sign shows clockwise cyclones. All storms named in the video were north of the equator. And all depictions of storms up to this point in the video were rotating counterclockwise. This doesn’t constitute a factual error in the video, but it’s evident that rotation was considered and seemingly forgotten in this example.
Good eye on that one - the purpose of the sign is to show that two storms with the same rotation will pull toward each other, so there's nothing wrong with it other than the fact that it is kinda funny that we reversed the direction in this one place only.
@@MinuteEarthwe need that southern hemisphere representation!
Neat explanation
Cyclones are predictably unpredictable just like how the busses in my city are predictably unpredictably late
Freddy earlier this year changed course 3 times in the Mozambique channel
i honestly enjoy the music in these videos more than the actual content heh
Love it!
Ty
“Let’s twist again!”
How coincidental that i watch this after a tropical depression just finished terrorizing me and my hanged clothes
That Philippines cyclone was personal
'Because wind blow them' - Got it.
Does anyone know why this video allows miniplayer on my phone, but other videos don’t?
Marked as kids content perhaps?
(Things marked as far kids won’t allow comments/ MiniPlayer)
After learning the repeat pass possibly.. I i am now much more worried about the boosting effects of climate change
0:02 "I'm not done with you!"
0:05 " I'll make you suffer!"
0:11"Okay, okay, fine. I coming for you Vietnam!"
Big whorls have little whorls Which feed on their velocity, And little whorls have lesser whorls And so on to viscosity. -Lewis Fry Richardson
I got a notification for this video and I read the title as “why hurricane pants are weird” and had a few seconds of utter confusion
At the start you said Cy lones get blown.
In my mind, it's more accurate to say they get sucked along. (Semantics...?)
Am I just mistaken?
Ive never seen any thing more terrifying than "The hurricane could just stand in place"
Hm, I guess it was tricky that even if scientists can't even predict accurately though.
I like the presentation, however, this video makes no mention of the interactions of ridges and troughs that are mostly responsible for steering a cyclone. Also at 0:36 you said “tropical winds”, I think you meant “trade winds”?
Why would undersea geology affect a hurricane?
@@LimeyLassen while it’s true their are undersea ridges and valleys, I’m referring to atmospheric phenomena. Basically high and low pressure systems.
Wait, what? there has been a typhoon named "Parma", like my city? no way...
1:00 2:22 2:37 left swirling cyclones. That's wrong direction for most of us. Join us and swirl in the right direction
Cool
I really hope AI can study the vast amounts of data collected in our atmospheres and figure out some way to precisely predict storm tracks…soon. You’d think there are ways to very accurately predict storm tracks based on other things happening in our atmosphere, but these patterns might be so subtle or unknown to us right now that only a computer processing way more data than a human can will be able to put it all together.
they already computer models though i think they haven't use AI
Pov: the sun
Us: it's worldwide hurricane solar
But why can it be pushed by wind as a singular object in the first place? If the top of the top and bottom get different winds, why doesn't it fly apart?
Another way to think about cyclones is that they are pretty much floating along in rivers of air, and they can encounter currents, eddies, and whatnot. And they can be blown apart - when the higher up winds are moving too much faster than the winds below them, it's called wind shear. If there is too much wind shear, it can weaken the storm, but in most cases, it just prevents the cyclone from forming to begin with. But ultimately, all cyclones tend to move in the average direction of all the wind that hits them. If the wind currents are moving at slightly different angles, the storm's path will usually split the difference between the angles.
@@MinuteEarththat's a great way to explain it
"W....what are you doing to me, stepmother nature?"
Woah.
I'm at 34 seconds, and I guess that the reason is because cyclones form mostly in the doldrums. There are no prevailing tradewinds, so it's down to chaos theory.
Oh my god I love meteorology!
bassically cyclones/hurricane are a big beyblade
make a vid about tornados
The faces on the hurricanes are so cute (:
Why are there always typhoons in the Philippines?
TLDR: Sometimes hurricanes hate YOU S P E C I F I C L Y
0:07 ye i predicted this one i said "it will make a cool drift", im not joking.
Hola
Using Zant's instrument for this video's soundtrack creeped me out
❤❤
So hurricanes are consistently inconsistent
Asked the Mongolian soldiers in their afterlife
2:43
It's probably just spite :D
I thought they were just dizzy
There is also the chance that two gods are battling for control of the storm.
Damn the Filipinos really pissed someone off.
That 'weak' cyclone turning into 'strong' cyclone and back and forth is just like me fr fr, being shy and timid, then gaining sudden confidence, only to lose it again.
1
Basically all hurricanes are drunk
hurricane can merges?!
Hurricanes have personal beef with the Philippines lol
At 0:49, and 2:42: I love how the arrows have the colors of the rainbow🌈!
At 2:32: There is a sparkling blue butterfly or fairy that resembles Navi, a character from the Legend of Zelda franchise by Nintendo.
The butterfly may probably allude to the butterfly effect, which stated that even the flap of butterfly wings may contribute to the storm...
🤔 . . . What would happen if a Typhoon traveled from the Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean; does it become a Cyclone? And if that storm traveled up the Suez Canal & into the Mediterranean, does it become a Hurricane? And if that storm travels across the isthmus that connects North & South America, does it become a Typhoon again?
1. yes it does changed into cyclone
2. It’s called medicane if it traveled into med sea but the chances is near 0
3. No it’s still called Hurricane
Let me get it clear
Western Pacific- Typhoon
North Indian Ocean and entire Southern Hemisphere uses Cyclones
Mediterranean uses Medicane
And Eastern Pacific and North Atlantic uses Hurricane
🧐 And could you please answer the question within the question, @@HamsterWarma: how would the world react if such a storm could travel almost 360° across the globe like that?
@@nickvinsable3798
1st the name of the storm that is given is 100% going to retired
2nd more and more people will realise global climate change
Erm thats noy nice
Bit rude, innit?
Are you that "erm, actually..." kid?
@@dannybanny8322 no I'm heterosexual
Lol who else thought typhoon and hurricanes were different?
Small point -I think typhoons (southern hemisphere) and hurricanes (northern hemisphere) spin in opposite directions due to the correolis effect i.e. Earth's rotation,like cogs in contact with each other.
Typhoons are in the Northern hemisphere also
@@tornadicstorm2866 Typhoons, hurricanes and cyclones are all the same thing - tropical cyclones.
My apols.Defo opposite direction though in south.Maybe its an Atlantic/Pacific distinction?@@tornadicstorm2866
Cyclones MIGHT be in the Southern hemisphere, cause they're in the Indian ocean...
Typhoons are in Japan, and hurricanes in NA...
Cyclone paths are altered by HARP
You completely forgot that half of the planet exists lol.
On that half they move and swirl in the opposite direction.
16h ago
Turkish subtitles please
Ok, whos playing hurricane simulator?
Awesome
:) ❤
promo sm
Wow, Parma was a real jerkface!
BUFF CYCLONE.
I don't follow...
wind
I cut through your lies, the truth is that Eolo forgot he had beef with one particular person, so the huracane had to go back