Don't forget to subscribe and to hit the like button! 👍 Time codes: 00:00 Introduction 00:56 Is Nvidia really overvalued? 03:01 Xai supercomputer with Nvidia 04:17 Is AI a bubble? 05:18 NVDA price targets updated 07:13 Our valuation of Nvidia stock
In the end of March 2024 Nvidia went from 950 to 760 A drop of 20 percent 1 month later is was back up to 950 then a week later it was 1100 Nothing goes up in a straight line Nothing has changed No target prices have been reduced in the last week
Actually I saw a post somewhere where a long time NVidia investor found some kind of pattern, where NVDA move aggressively before and after earnings, then does 15-20% pullback, comes back again and then moves up before the earnings. So it's the same patter every quarter.
You have to always ask the question...who benefits from low NVIDIA prices. The first to benefit are short sellers. They are feeding the narrative that its a bubble about to pop. It's all a big game to the short sellers. The other beneficiaries are folks like me who will keep buying at low prices. The oracle of Omaha said buy and hold. I agree.
I think at the span of 6 years we'll have so many ups and downs, that 10% move either way is not going to matter much. It's like 6 years ago you could have bought it for $20 or wait for it to go down to $18. When the (pre-split) price is $1,250, it doesn't really matter.
Competing with Nvidia is not only about building GPUs, you also need to develop your own platforms and convince software developers that their software, (which is based on Nvidia APIs that are around for the last 17 years) needs to be migrated to your new platform.
mark my words, nobody can compete with Nvidia from now on to EVER. they're so far ahead, they will take over all the sectors and all the world in no time.
You are correct, I did relative valuation, which assumes that NVDA at some point will be priced comparatively the same as the other companies (the ones I've compared to). The advantage of this valuation, is that you don't have to factor your opinion for the whole market (no need to guess interest rates in the future, for example). At some point we'll do DCF valuation for NVDA, but I'm not sure how interesting it would be - it will be a 40 minute video of me playing with numbers in Excel :)
I'm afraid the market thinks so. And calling Nvidia "graphic processor company" is like calling Apple "the phone company" - technically correct, but there's a few nuances :)
Take a look at their offerings - they have build amazing platforms for developing AI systems. Also, it's not all hype - the company is insanely profitable. Can you think about another (mostly) hardware company which have margins like NVDA does?
@@TheMarketMonkeys first of all the dont make the chips or the LLM all the have done is repeatedly say the word Ai a million time ther is no value ther just hype the are good at it but that is it
I think the real question is how long do you want to hold it. If we're talking quick swing (3-5 days), now can be a good time. Even better time would be to wait until the stock started moving up. If we're talking 6-12 months, then it doesn't really matter.
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Don't forget to subscribe and to hit the like button! 👍
Time codes:
00:00 Introduction
00:56 Is Nvidia really overvalued?
03:01 Xai supercomputer with Nvidia
04:17 Is AI a bubble?
05:18 NVDA price targets updated
07:13 Our valuation of Nvidia stock
In the end of March 2024
Nvidia went from 950 to 760
A drop of 20 percent
1 month later is was back up to 950 then a week later it was 1100
Nothing goes up in a straight line
Nothing has changed
No target prices have been reduced in the last week
Actually I saw a post somewhere where a long time NVidia investor found some kind of pattern, where NVDA move aggressively before and after earnings, then does 15-20% pullback, comes back again and then moves up before the earnings. So it's the same patter every quarter.
You have to always ask the question...who benefits from low NVIDIA prices. The first to benefit are short sellers. They are feeding the narrative that its a bubble about to pop. It's all a big game to the short sellers. The other beneficiaries are folks like me who will keep buying at low prices. The oracle of Omaha said buy and hold. I agree.
Also probably people who just sold and want to see that they have sold at the top 😊
@@TheMarketMonkeys So true haha! Mass psychology and ego at it's finest.
Just hold your position. This dip shall pass.
Nvidia is falling from $135 down to $119. Now is the time to purchase more shares to add to your portfolio.
I’m waiting for $110.
Yes. You can buy NVDA at $110. Just wait until they go to 1100 and stock split 10:1
It all depends on your time horizon. How long are you planning to hold it?
@@TheMarketMonkeys
My time horizon is six years.
I think at the span of 6 years we'll have so many ups and downs, that 10% move either way is not going to matter much. It's like 6 years ago you could have bought it for $20 or wait for it to go down to $18. When the (pre-split) price is $1,250, it doesn't really matter.
Good explaination, thank you 👍
Really appreciate your comment! It helps to feel connection with the audience😊 Glad you liked it!!
is apple technically incompetent to compete with nvidia? apple silicon should be capable to train LLMs
Competing with Nvidia is not only about building GPUs, you also need to develop your own platforms and convince software developers that their software, (which is based on Nvidia APIs that are around for the last 17 years) needs to be migrated to your new platform.
mark my words, nobody can compete with Nvidia from now on to EVER. they're so far ahead, they will take over all the sectors and all the world in no time.
There are 3 analysts have nvda at $200. Rosenblatt, constellation research, and a third one I can't remember the name.
Thanks, I’ll check all the changes to the analysts expectations over the next few days when we prepare the coverage of their investors conference
хорошие сапоги - надо брать!
You compared Nvidia to its competition but you did not evaluate the company to come to a fair stock price. You just guessed based on what it is now.
You are correct, I did relative valuation, which assumes that NVDA at some point will be priced comparatively the same as the other companies (the ones I've compared to). The advantage of this valuation, is that you don't have to factor your opinion for the whole market (no need to guess interest rates in the future, for example).
At some point we'll do DCF valuation for NVDA, but I'm not sure how interesting it would be - it will be a 40 minute video of me playing with numbers in Excel :)
@@TheMarketMonkeys Just don't say you did a valuation when you didn't. You just gave your opinion.
💕
The stock price is going down..............
It would be extremely weird if it only went up 😊
Yep, stocks go up and down and up again.
You think a graphics processor company should be the most valuable in the world. You aren’t very bright
I'm afraid the market thinks so. And calling Nvidia "graphic processor company" is like calling Apple "the phone company" - technically correct, but there's a few nuances :)
Nvidia makes software too
You are not very bright to think they are just a gpu manufacturer. lol
NVIDIA is branching out fast and it has tons of profits to buy out companies or technologies that would benefit its progress in the future.
Right...And msft is a software company.
Ahh finally the algorithm loves you ;)
It's insane and we're very happy! Thanks for your advice and support, Marcos!
Boring
its not Ai its LLM you are talking about big diffrence
About what? Grok?
@@TheMarketMonkeys all of it nvidia is not ai ther is nothing Ai about ther chips that the btw dont make them selfs its 100% hype and nothing else
Take a look at their offerings - they have build amazing platforms for developing AI systems. Also, it's not all hype - the company is insanely profitable. Can you think about another (mostly) hardware company which have margins like NVDA does?
@@TheMarketMonkeys first of all the dont make the chips or the LLM all the have done is
repeatedly say the word Ai a million time ther is no value ther just hype the are good at it but that is it
hello, do you hold nvdia?
Yes, but in my "save for retirement" account
@@TheMarketMonkeys so you believe that it will go up
of course, we've talked about it in our previous NVIDIA video
The question is when to buy, it dropped massively right now so how low can it go to buy?
I think the real question is how long do you want to hold it. If we're talking quick swing (3-5 days), now can be a good time. Even better time would be to wait until the stock started moving up.
If we're talking 6-12 months, then it doesn't really matter.
@@TheMarketMonkeys when do you think it will go up:(
After the conference on the 26th this month.
Mark my words.
Probably the next time the NASDAQ will be green
What do you expect to hear there? We will definitely make the video about this conference, but it can get out with a small delay