It’s the End of Moore’s Law as We Know It | John Hennessy | Google Zeitgeist

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  • Опубликовано: 11 дек 2024

Комментарии • 53

  • @delatroy
    @delatroy 4 года назад +20

    Jim Keller disagrees

    • @winsomehax
      @winsomehax 4 года назад +1

      Yep... my favourite story was Jim Keller attending a talk by a guy from Google at which ends that Moore's law is dead. So he was going to ask to do a talk at Google titled, Search Is Dead. Keller's talks on this are instructive - his story about asking his team at Intel to map a path to 100x shrink. They came back after two weeks saying they could only get to 50x. So he asked them to try for a few more weeks. There's a lot more capacity and improvements all up and down the stack of technology used to make semiconductors. The improvements bundled up as 'Moore's law' aren't at an end, and won't be ending soon.

    • @delatroy
      @delatroy 4 года назад

      @@winsomehax yes I saw the same talk

    • @_____case
      @_____case Год назад

      Keller said that it has probably 10 years left.
      The software companies that treat Moore's Law as dead today will be most prepared to continue to achieve performance gains when that day finally comes.

  • @entitylast4907
    @entitylast4907 6 лет назад +30

    at 12:50 he said the AI for self driving cars can be trained to recognized bi cyclists, but what about fully gay cyclists, will they be targets for collisions?

    • @peterutman9754
      @peterutman9754 6 лет назад

      Lol

    • @TxRxAxP
      @TxRxAxP 5 лет назад +2

      people like you make humor great

    • @shoulderescape
      @shoulderescape 5 лет назад

      Im subscribing to you, brilliant joke

    • @Halo3Matalix
      @Halo3Matalix 3 года назад

      I would recommend getting a vehicle you can drive, not a vehicle that drives you. Thats what i told my car salesman and he was shocked

  • @dirtysaint5324
    @dirtysaint5324 6 лет назад +18

    ~ takes a hit ~
    "So we should do something like TED talks ... but with couches!"

    • @maw9406
      @maw9406 5 лет назад +2

      Dirty Saint lol nice one mate

    • @MrBlue-km8qv
      @MrBlue-km8qv 4 года назад

      Sounds like you got a plan. You could just make an online chat room, remember the good old days of AOL chat rooms something like that would suffice or AIM chat (AOL Instant Messenger from the 1990's.)but AIM was way too much like FB Messenger which has sh*tty security. last year FB account was hacked and 100+ space alien net articles were posted on my FB wall. After hacker did a number on my reputation with the space alien article nonsense, he deleted them all 15 minutes before my wife came home. she knew it was very unlike me to spam space alien articles on FB. The fact that the hacker deleted them 15 minutes before my wife came home meant the hacker was cyber was a cyber stalker and knew my wife's work schedule. So i told my wife to delete my FB account. i had it deleted to protect her, my friends and elderly mother from a cyber stalker, cyber bully hacker jerk.

    • @filmerd
      @filmerd 4 года назад

      ***Checks recommendations*** "why you will marry the wrong person" I'll pass on that one. Thanks Google.

  • @romandzhadan5546
    @romandzhadan5546 3 года назад +2

    great talk, thank you

    • @byronbenicio5268
      @byronbenicio5268 3 года назад

      sorry to be so off topic but does any of you know of a trick to log back into an instagram account?
      I was stupid lost my password. I would love any tips you can give me

    • @kamryneverett7184
      @kamryneverett7184 3 года назад

      @Byron Benicio instablaster :)

    • @byronbenicio5268
      @byronbenicio5268 3 года назад

      @Kamryn Everett Thanks for your reply. I found the site thru google and Im trying it out now.
      Seems to take a while so I will get back to you later with my results.

    • @byronbenicio5268
      @byronbenicio5268 3 года назад

      @Kamryn Everett It worked and I now got access to my account again. I'm so happy!
      Thank you so much, you saved my account :D

    • @kamryneverett7184
      @kamryneverett7184 3 года назад

      @Byron Benicio No problem :D

  • @robertcormia7970
    @robertcormia7970 2 года назад

    @Convolver - instead of the AI silicon area, what about instructions per unit of silicon area per unit time? That might be the product of two power curves.

  • @aguy1470
    @aguy1470 5 лет назад +4

    That lots of training comes from captcha codas.....

  • @LucidTactics
    @LucidTactics 4 года назад +1

    The log graph he shows is basically flat (aka exponential growth at the same rate) since 1985. Definitely flat since 2000. So Moore's prediction of doubling every 2 years wasn't exactly right, that doesn't mean the exponential growth is slowing down.....

    • @Kynareth6
      @Kynareth6 4 года назад

      Total number of transistors per chip is now about 40 billion but density is much lower than it should be. Intel 4004 was 12 mm², current processors are 800 mm².

    • @Halo3Matalix
      @Halo3Matalix 3 года назад

      your exactly right!

  • @Halo3Matalix
    @Halo3Matalix 3 года назад +1

    not sure an ai that plays 44 mil games in one day can be called the best when a human will never come anywhere near that amount of game in a lifetime

  • @kilner79
    @kilner79 4 года назад +1

    you cant teach an old dog new tricks when they are stuck with a design in there head they cant look at doing it any otherway and now they say its dead

  • @aks9545
    @aks9545 4 года назад

    Amazing talk.

    • @fpgamadeeasy
      @fpgamadeeasy 4 года назад

      Dear Electronic engineer, please subscribe to my channel.

  • @remember1536
    @remember1536 5 лет назад

    What a way to tell people that Moores law doesnt exist... Well it does and its real law

  • @ML-hd3md
    @ML-hd3md 5 лет назад +1

    How do we utilize AI in aging society: assisting elderly in mobility, daily lives?

    • @fpgamadeeasy
      @fpgamadeeasy 4 года назад

      Dear Electronic engineer, please subscribe to my channel.

  • @kokomanation
    @kokomanation 3 года назад

    they can still increase the die

    • @_____case
      @_____case Год назад

      That comes at a cost.

  • @manners7483
    @manners7483 5 лет назад +7

    I didn't see anything that looks like learning or intelligence...

  • @cfcreative1
    @cfcreative1 5 лет назад +4

    People are all hoo haa about AI seems like they were in the 50s too and probably will be again in 50 years. Automation logic and sensors does not equal AI.

    • @Halo3Matalix
      @Halo3Matalix 3 года назад

      i will never trust a car that drives me. I want a car i can drive!

  • @Specsy
    @Specsy 6 лет назад

    Just COMMENTing ,hi

  • @jimnielsen6667
    @jimnielsen6667 5 лет назад +1

    We're doomed.

  • @Kage1128
    @Kage1128 4 года назад

    It's not the end of moore's law

    • @fpgamadeeasy
      @fpgamadeeasy 4 года назад

      Dear Electronic engineer, please subscribe to my channel.

  • @IronMan-fi3xz
    @IronMan-fi3xz 4 года назад

    Military will utilize AI in their own way anyway.

  • @gouachecesar3748
    @gouachecesar3748 5 лет назад

    info j les gars

  • @Halo3Matalix
    @Halo3Matalix 3 года назад

    elephant!

  • @raulfernandezg
    @raulfernandezg 5 лет назад

    girl in front row at 5:12 has massive calves...