The Dividend Discount Model (DDM): The Black Sheep of Valuation?

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  • Опубликовано: 24 янв 2025

Комментарии • 11

  • @financialmodeling
    @financialmodeling  Год назад

    Get the full Excel files, resources, and written versions here:
    mergersandinquisitions.com/dividend-discount-model/
    Table of Contents:
    0:00 Introduction
    1:16 The Short Answer
    7:07 Part 1: Revenue, Expense, and Cash Flow for DT Midstream
    10:42 Part 2: Distributable Cash Flow Calculations
    13:10 Part 3: Debt, Cash, and Interest Projections
    15:11 Part 4: PV of Dividends, Terminal Value, and Implied Value
    17:18 Part 5: Merits and Drawbacks of the DDM
    19:24 Recap and Summary

  • @armitageshanks2499
    @armitageshanks2499 Год назад +2

    Great to see you cover the DDM! Anecdotally seems more prevalent in ER than banking (altho theoretically there's no diff ofc) so its nice to see a change

    • @financialmodeling
      @financialmodeling  Год назад

      Thanks! Yes, it's not that common in banking but may be more so in other fields.

  • @alberttreffer
    @alberttreffer Год назад +1

    Very interesting. Quick question about presenting, you change your curser and paint / highlight certain ranges. How do you do that? Shortcut or how?

    • @financialmodeling
      @financialmodeling  Год назад

      Thanks. It's part of the screen capture software (Camtasia Studio).

  • @ajraol9032
    @ajraol9032 Год назад +1

    All this is very interesting and I’ve even read the BIWS guides including this one. Hope i can get into IB to at least have a chance to work on and apply my technical knowledge 😂

  • @maskedcat8808
    @maskedcat8808 Год назад

    Hi Brian thanks for the great video. Quick question: what if I am valuing a bank that pays no dividends? Can I still use the DDM?

    • @financialmodeling
      @financialmodeling  Год назад +1

      Yes, but bank dividend discount models are set up differently (see the separate tutorial here) and require different constraints/assumptions. Also, if the bank is not currently paying dividends, you have to project further out and assume that dividend payments start in the future.

  • @johannesffm
    @johannesffm Год назад

    Terminal Value is based on NI rather than dividends. Can you please elaborate on the logic behind this?

    • @financialmodeling
      @financialmodeling  Год назад +1

      You could potentially base Terminal Value on Dividends in a DDM, but it's more common to use Net Income. The main issue with Dividends is that there is no real "valuation multiple" that corresponds to Dividends, so it's hard to benchmark your assumptions and compare them to other companies, industry standards, and so on. By contrast, it's easy with Net Income because of the P/E multiple. Even something like Book Value is better because of the P/BV multiple (though not applicable to all companies/industries).