How Russia Opened a New Front
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- Опубликовано: 1 июн 2024
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On the morning of May 10th, Russian forces launched a ground assault against Ukraine in the northern Kharkiv region. I want to examine if this is a diversion tactic or are they planning to assault the city center? How will Ukraine respond? And What strategic reasons are driving the battle here for both sides? Im your average infantryman chris cappy Lets find out.
Behind me is a live conflict map that constantly updates the location of front line positions across the country. This icon indicates Russian troops are assaulting across roughly two dozen different towns on the border. So far Russia claims to have captured 5 villages within an area known as the contested grey zone although Ukraine contests that. This might seem like a surprise, but For the past 2 weeks we’ve actually seen reports that Russia was creating an operational significant northern grouping by moving between 35,000 and 50,000 of their troops to this region. On May 5th this report stated several units had been taken off the front lines in Zaporizhia and moved to form a new grouping near Kharkiv. The Ukrainian general staff had warned that Russia was massing troops along the northern border in recent weeks and could push for Kharkiv as an opener to a big summer offensive. Originally they anticipated the attack might even include an 2nd attempt at invading the city of Sumy as well. Much like during the first invasion attempt when we saw the Z symbol on many Russian vehicles we’re now seeing a new more complicated looking symbol associated specifically with the operational north grouping attacking near Kharkiv. Don’t ask me if it’s a celtic symbol, a letter of some unknown alphabet or a graphic design, I have no idea.
Many of these signs were first identified by a Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets who on May 5th reported that Russian forces were pretending to unload troops and equipment at railway stations in Kursk Oblast to come off the frontline for rest. They were trying to hide their troop movements because they then marched on foot to deployment points in Belgorod Oblast near the border. Russian troops moved to a staging area preparing for the assault while trying to avoid detection.
The city of Kharkiv itself is Ukraine’s second largest city, home to over 1.3 million people, and they have steadfastly resisted capture since the start of the invasion despite being located just 25 miles from the Russian border. Kharkiv has been rationing their electricity in the face of attacks on their energy infrastructure and they’ve reportedly been hit by glide bombs on a daily basis. There are some potential reasons for the strategic importance of this region to both sides. Pro-Ukranian all Russian forces launched several retaliatory cross border raids from the Kharkiv region into the Russian city of Belgorod in March 2024. That basically means Russian forces who are loyal to Ukraine launched actual ground assaults inside Russian territory near here. Then Russia claims Ukraine has been hitting Belgorod with artillery and drone strikes for months. Directly following this in March the Kremlin stated they would create what they called a quote unquote “sanitary zone” or a buffer zone inside Ukraine that was big enough to prevent these kind of strikes on Russian cities in the future. These lines of reasoning from Moscow might not be their true intentions, it could be disinformation designed to keep Russia’s true intentions hidden… but it’s important to note them. For example, Ukraine has already demonstrated its ability to hit deep inside Russian territory with domestically produced drones striking oil refineries all the way in Bashkortostan 1,300 miles from the front lines. And the United States just sent Ukraine a longer range ATACM missile with a range of 300 km. A ten kilometer buffer zone might not make a major difference as widespread tube artillery shelling of Belgorod was not occuring.
The Ukrainian military leadership now has a decision to make. How much reinforcements do they want to divert to Kharkiv. Ukraine has already devoted reserve forces to be engaged in the Donbass to stop Russia’s grinding advance after taking the city of Avdiivka in February. According to this ISW assessment This might be Russian planners' goal to force Ukraine to move manpower and materials off their lines in the Donbas to protect Kharkiv. The reason they make this assessment is because they believe 35,000 to 50,000 Russian troops would not be enough to take the city of Kharkiv which would require drives across open terrain on a scale Russia has not conducted since the start of the full scale invasion. Although if Russia chooses to reinforce this direction of attack further in the future that assessment could change.
#UKRAINE #WAR #NEWS
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Love the cope the Yankees haha another war lost ay 🤡🤡🤡🤡
You also failed to mention 16 civilians were killed in a Ukrainian missile strike on the apartment building in Belgorod
It’s called a FEINT!
@ 1:07 is it me or do all the AI generated Russians like like Ted Bundy @ 1:07
@@Av-vd3wk no its just called the banderites lost
Those 6-fingered Russians are from the Chernobyl Battalion
The cope in this video is amazing 😂😂😂😂😂This guy is good at making videos. Go look at his video about Ukraines counter offensive. He was 100% wrong about all his predictions
@@RUTHLESSambition5 if so , at least he realized the truth - they're doomed .
We knew they were from there because their faces were smoshed in.
Cringe
@@konstantinzdorovtsev3513 he is still full of cope. This was a Ukraine puff piece😁😁😁Ukraine hasn't admitted Avdivka fell. Russia raised its flag in 12 villages with video evidence. It was no grey zone on Ukraines awful country offensive
Wake up babe, new front just opened up.
not really
sus
😂
Lol "It's been 84 years...a few more years and we'll take the Donbas"
@@tedmihalca Ukrops will never win. Muricans can't save them.
I maintain that the Kharkiv offensive is what is called in Chess a "gambit." I don't think the offensive has a goal yet other than to force Ukraine to make some difficult choices. Reports currently suggest that a large portion (possibly 90%) of the Russian troops in this group are held in reserve. If this is accurate, the goal is to force Ukraine to decide what sort of troop allocation to devote to resisting the attack. The goal is to then deliver a major blow somewhere to stretch the defenses past the breaking point.
It remains to be seen whether this will be successful, but I htink the goal is to achieve a breakthrough somewhere (anywhere) that can be leveraged to disrupt Ukrainian defense and start to provide near total freedom of movement for the Russian army into deep Ukrainian territory.
I think you’re very likely correct
The wildly different things being reported by sources troubles me. If you look at pro-Ukrainian sources they will claim that Ukraine inflicted heavy casualties on a hapless, but massive, Russian attack, and halted them after they "only" took hundreds of square kilometers. This is somehow supposed to be a good thing. Pro-Russian, and most neutral (from what I can find) sources say that Russia only committed a relatively small force and a vast majority of its forces near Kharkiv are untouched. Some of the attacking forces lost some men, yes, but >5000 men in exchange for about 1/20th of the second largest country in Europe seems like one of the best deals ever.
The disturbing implication once you look at all the sources, is that Russia only had to commit a couple thousand men to take over a massive chunk of Ukraine, with seemingly little to no resistance. If this is how badly Ukrainian forces have degraded in one of the most important fronts of the war, then that means that potentially the ENTIRE Ukrainian front is about to collapse.
>open "new" front
>look inside
>kharkiv
>get annihilated by fpv drone
@@HansTheDeutscheMenschlich.nice pfp
@@HansTheDeutscheMenschlich.
>Gets hit by Russian shovel
> Unalived
In Russia, ChatGPT asks the questions.
It’s not AI. Those were just the troops previously stationed at Chernobyl.
It was AI.
A
Lol for some reason this sounds really funny😅😅😅
@@braddavison1289 LOLOL!!! You made me blow snot (just a little) hahahaha
It COULD be as simple as Russia, who vastly outnumbers Ukraine, can afford to spread out their troops more. Since they can do this, they are attempting to force Ukraine to have to spread out their forces as well. This thinning and weakening the Ukrainian defensive line across the entire front. Including spreading out the limited number of western weapons. This would make their war of attrition move along a bit faster.
This is what I was thinking as well. Russia wins when Ukraine’s manpower shortages catch up with them. The strain is already there. They just need to play it out
And if by any means, the front collapses in the Karkhiv-area, they would probably pull in there all the reserves they may have.
Indeed, I wouldn`t be surprised if the next news we get from Ukraine is that rusian troops are launching an "offensive" at Kherson, just in order to thin the ukranian defense line even more.......
Yep, soviet doctrine is to probe and probe and probe, looking for a hole. When that hole is found, the BMPs race in like water that has found a hole in a swimming pool. The enormous size of the front (ukraine is the size of france) is being used against them.
And zelensky thinks recruiting the public many who are reluctant to fight, have minimal training and shoving a rifle into their hands and a couple of f16s will turn the tide.everyone scoffed at mearsheimer, Doug McGregor, Ritter, mcgovern and others and now their predictions are coming true. Macro, the German greens , baltics proposals will lead to direct war with russia but ignore russian manpower and totality of rusian production. Minsk is now off the table. Ukraine is russias mexico and you don't need much imagination to see how usa would act if china pulled a coup amd pulled mexico into a military alliance on usas border.
They know that Ukraine have virtually run out of troops. It says a lot that Azov simply don't take orders from Zelensky. A lot of white flags going up too.
This is the type of warfare that happens when air dominance fails.
Fail? More like Parity with AA defenses. That is changing.
The same with iraq iran war it was fast at first with low losses until the 2 countries air forces stoped supporting the troops and the war stalmated for 7 years stright until iran got exhausted and iraq bought new weapons and gained air superiority in the end of the war that it startsd to get fast but 2 armies were exhausted so they stoped the war after al fao battle when both sides lost crazy losses
@@ali-haider5788 I read about the Iran-Iraq war. Saddam used chemical weapons on Iranians. That's how the U.S fell out with Saddam. I'm conflicted because he was cruel to his own people, but he was honest and stopped producing new chemical weapons as per the treaty they signed after we defeated them in Kuwait. I just hope the Iraqis shave off the current rampant corruption and become a wealthy nation.
@warpigs9069 Both iraq and iran used chemical weapons
Both were bad as shit
Saddam ruined everything in iraq with his war iraq was the wealthest nation in middle east and one of the wealthiest in the world
iraq population was 15m and iraq there was 8m foreign Immigrant thats more than half of the population
Until saddam started the war with iran and spent 460 billion dollars on weapons between 1982 and 1988 and lost almost 360k soldier
Then he entered kuwait and a world wide economical blockade started on iraq from 1990 until 2003
And iraq gdp went from 190B in 1990 to 0.30B in 1991 and gdp per capita went from 12k in 1990 to 340$ 1991
550k child died of hunger between 1991 to 2003 when not a single iraqi used to know what hunger is before 1990
War war never change
maybe at the start of the war... but now, man russia has the air superiority but prefers to not use it so they can stress the hell out of ukranian forces. They can do it because russians are masters of ground warfare, they just have more patience than ukraine NATO forces
Usually I agree with you. However, I can’t this time. I have family in Europe and a Ukrainian wife with a brother that her family says the western media makes it sound so good about Ukraine standing fast against the “invaders”. He said it’s BS and that they were getting the crap kicked out of them by the Russians. He said ; “they are so aggressive and between air strikes, artillery and bombs we are dying. For every one of us there are 7 of them. We have no ammunition, no anti- aircraft batteries, hardly enough food and medical supplies. The situation here is critical. Even our officers are arguing with each other.”
So who do we believe? Western information or what the real Ukrainian soldier reports? You make the call. Me, I’m going with my Brother-in-Law.
Well the US did falter in supplying aid for MONTHS thanks to the Republicans. American support can be credited heavily with how well Ukraine has done. But now that Ukrainians are low on artillery, obviously Ukrianian morale is gonna be much lower.
They could even out the odds a little bit, plenty of able-bodied Ukrainian men over here...
Did the first 100b and 80b help so the 60b would help ?
Btw its only 20b the rest goes to the us work
When ukraine had so many troops and no problems with man power and tons and tons of ammunition and equipments when they were at their highest morales and when russian commanders were doing tons of mistakes and russian soldiers had no morales at all and even with all of that
Ukraine didnt manage to do any thing
This 60b wont change any thing
Ukraine is f..ed@xdarkfuturex7922
Sad to say but all the resistance has done is line the pockets of a few old men and put a lot of young men in the cold ground. This is on the US and Boris for torpedoing the peace deal in apr 22.
@@ali-haider5788 Looks like the Ukrainians just pocketed the money and didn't build defensive fortifications, which is why the area around Kharkiv is falling so quickly.
This feels like a probe to me. Something to gauge the Ukrainian and Western response.
More likely the Russians are just pushing their advantage knowing they can pick apart the ukranians military which is already starved for manpower by pushing in different Reginald forcing the dwindling competent brigades of the Ukrainian military to split themselves and rush across the front to throw themselves into the breach
I believe their objectives are the following:
- create a buffer zone so that belgorod is no longer attacked
- surround kharkiv, they wont go in, but they want to have the villages around it so they can start bombing it to start what will be a Bahmut 2.0 (use artillery until everything is destroyed and later on go in with troops) so they want to have kharkiv in range.
- Create a new front to force ukraine to deploy resources in a longer front, and this front hasnt been mined and its way softer than the south front, and its not as complicated as the anfibious operation that taking Kherson would take.
In my opinion, based on the war pace, this is the beggining of a long battle for Kharkiv which will take easily 9-12 months and can turn into another Bahmut for Ukraine, a battle that draws too many ukrainian resources while still sending those resources there for political reasons. We have already seen Ukraine put forward the political logic before the military logic (one of the reasons why Zaluzhny is no longer in charge).
My prediction is that Kharkiv will fall at mid 2025 and peace negotiations will start at the end of 2025 as they run out of manpower and morale
EDIT: I think I was maybe to overconfident in my prediction, I think that its probably just a way for Russia to try to end the war sooner, its the second largest city of Ukraine, and if Russia threatens to really take it they might choose to go to the negotiation table instead and sign a treaty as Ukraine loses manpower and morale because of the siege. To take Kharkiv Russia would probably take 2 years or even more.
Exploiting the supply shortage before US funds resume.
@@eneas9038
Kharkiv is 20 times larger than Bakhmut and 50 times larger than Avdiivka mate. That shit is only happening in your dreams...
@@wildweasel3001 Damn they never should have stopped
Never bring $175 billion to a shovel fight!
Well said!
350*
What happened to the "russians are loosing, have no ammo, have no fuel, have no food,..." from 2y ago?? 😂😂😂
A second super power losing 500000 man power to a weak undermined neighbor who had effectively been abandoned and only given guerilla weapons by allies counts means something.
Russia has only advanced because the west has allowed it not because it's strong😂😂
@@cedriceric9730 let me guess... Hasbara paid propagandist fake account? 😂 bc noone with a brain cell can believe that nonsense.
@@cedriceric9730 weak country supported by nato... and still loosing. you only talk about infos that you enjoy... The fact that nato support Ukraine and still loosing makes your comment laughable...
@@ZlPPENHAFTsupported by a tiny fraction of what nato is capable of. 1.26 trillion of military spending per year and sending 60billion (4%) of that to ukraine is forcing russia to make a move before the help arrives lmao
@@SiirCartierr Most nato countries dont spend enough for their own security....
Ah you know, in Eastern Europe nobody needs to explicitly say that Soviet union doesn't mean just Russia, cos you know, the region actually experienced it. So if Putin wasn't talking to ignorant western audiences, it's normal not to point it out explicitly.
Russian Empire == Soviet Union == Russian Federation. It's always Russia.
Actually, it isn’t. Russians like to attribute a bunch of achievements to themselves, forgetting the contributions of other nations or even claiming them as “Russian”. This is the whole point of this war - denying the existence of a separate nation just because the Russians decided so.
I suggest you watch the documentary Roses have thorns: Odessa massacre. Why do I not have the link here? Well, your democratic media won’t let anyone share it.
Good job on bridges, very interesting talk
Good report. You get almost nothing like this from mainstream media news. Well done.
maybe not, but same exact opinions they want you to have
this is pro zionist content, the founder of task & purpose is board member of the Truman National Security Project, a DC think tank that once had good ol' crackhead hunter biden as chairman
Denys Davidov and Jake Broe are really good. Preston Stewart is good but he doesnt do daily updates and often focuses on one issue, not all the issues going on in the war on Ukraine.
@@paddington1670 lolo
@theforsakeen-9014 Tucker Carlsom is an idiot. His interview just repeats the load of bs Putin has been rambling about already
@@paddington1670I had a look… the first two are just pro Ukrainian propaganda channels… no thanks. I want to hear “un biased” material 👎
Great stuff, as always. I'm not at all an expert on military strategy, tactics, and materiel, but I can follow the storyline without a problem.
"How to make war" by James F. Dunnigan is a very good introduction to the whole thing.
Great job Cappy and crew.
Great. Thank you.
'Grey' zone is a very 'nice' way to label it
A modern day No Man's Land
@@svenrio8521 🤯
Actually border territories were the grey zone all the time. Russian and Ukrainian recon and diversion units were crossing it constantly. Now Russians try to establish control over it, but nothing special, like, no one lives there anyways and that’s just a bunch of abandoned destroyed houses. There won’t be a command hq or main forces base, and they won’t put artillery there as they didn’t put it on the border. Just tactical maneuver for dividing Ukrainian forces
'Grey zone' is terminology that has been used since the start of the war if not in previous conflicts. It's not a new term
If you want to really nail a David Cameron impression, the key is to sound nervous - as if you might quit your job and run away the moment things start to go wrong
Could Russia please do something to save uk from Cameron and his cronies.
@@causewaykayak Tories are soon to be replaced anyway, elections are coming
The UK is a full-blown Third World country and the US is a half blown Third World country heading toward absolute full-blown status. Just look at the low testosterone Richie Sunak and compare him with any sort of masculine leadership. Justin Trudeau, Emmanuel Macron and Rishi Sunak along, of course with their leader in the USA are basically female in nature and can't figure out what to do next!😂
Haha exactly, Dodgy Dave strikes again just like the buffoon Boris Johnson. Honestly I have no idea why Sunak brought Cameron back, literally no one wants him here
@@causewaykayak Может только отправить его на украину
6 fingers? Must have been the Chernobyl squads.
Chernobyl is located in Ukraine
@@banana6837 Russian troops did occupy it, though I don’t know enough to say if they still do.
@@TechPriest000 They don't, but while they did they happily dug in. In the areas where you're not supposed to go...
Their goal is to split Ukranian forces even more since they are already depleted in many areas. Not necessarily make major advances but by forcing Ukraine to split their armies by opening a new front.
A lot of people see this war in the Western sense, as in success by ground captured. I think Russia sees it by how many troops have been destroyed. They're not as concerned about taking ground if they can keep the Ukrainians sending troops into artillery pockets to be destroyed.
Russia knows it can win a attrition war.
Cappy said that Peter...
do you know what Ukraine ‘forces’ look like? Check out the documentary Roses have thorns: Odessa massacre.
@@benjamintherogue2421 Totally agree. The fact that RU has been fighting a war of attrition has been obvious for awhile. In some examples almost exactly following the strategic doctrine.
Russia could be distracting Ukraine by making them more focused on Kharkiv and less focused on the other frontlines.
You scizho
It looks like the Rusacks are back to their old tricks blowing up their own high rises from the basement up and trying to blame Ukrainians, dumb KGB’ers.
Kherson...Dnieper Flotilla Battalion has been sent there....Ukraine just removed troops from Kherson and sent them North.
No shit Sherlock.
Pretty sure russians generals have no glue what other doing, Putin send many to gulag cause russians shooting own soldiers
Appreciate the info 👍
The plot thickens in this war and it is, as always, horrific. Great analysis, Chris.
if you think this is horrific you should study has been done to palestine for over 75 years.
Thanks for putting out videos like these. Hard to keep up with everything going on nowadays and media is silent about most of it.
Ukraine has been shelling Belgrod for weeks now. The buffer zone reduces artillery fire as firing rockets is more expensive.
Украина после потери Авдеевки не прекращает обстрелы Белгорода. Вчера рухнул большой жилой дом.
You mean Russia has shelled belgrod for weeks now... hahaha
@KEYGETS Why would Russia shell its own city? What kind of Kool-Aid are you drinking?
Hearing Kap Man casually drop 'operationally significant northern grouping' lowkey gave me an 'operationally significant southern grouping'. if you know what i mean. lol
No clue.
You watching on the toilet?
Its the Paxton moment once again.....Game Over Man, Game over! GG WP!
Ukraine also has "safe zone" it's called Europe, UK and USA. Where weapons are produced and troops are trained.
Ukraine itself is just a battlefield, it's a war between Russia and Nato
Using a limited resource, Ukie men, I believe they now going for the boys and women as they bleed white for western "ideals" and the Neuland cookies stratagem. That battle field is a long time in paying out dividends yet.
No it's a war between Russia and a Ukraine that's getting the bare minimum of assistance just to stay in the fight due to constant russian sabre rattling lol.
If this was an actual no holds barred fight against the full might of Nato there would be nato boots on the ground and Ukraine wouldn't have a combined military budget of just 40 billion USD for 2024, compared to Russias 115 billion USD.
It did not start out that way. The Ukrainian public has, since independence, been very interested in E.U. membership, but had no interest in joining NATO before 2014. A large consensus of Ukrainian voters had a preference towards neutrality to get the most economic benefit of both the Europe and Russia.
After 2014, Ukraine was ineligible to join NATO, but public opinion has swayed towards joining in the face of Russian troops occupying part of the country.
@@augusthoglund6053 Ukraine's EU membership was never on the table. Lies about EU membership were told to motivate people to protest and overthrow the government. They were fooled, people thought that they are protesting to join EU, but in fact they were protesting to become a suicide country to die fighting Russia.
Excellent analysis as always, Chris! Thanks!
Thanks for the update!
very clear and informative, good use of maps and focused analysis...
Cappy, thanks for the breakdown and explanation!
Those CV90s are gorgeous
the addon armor and netting makes them look really nice
I appreciate the more sanguine, muted production of this one.
Great job presenting expansive information, thanks!
How "sanguine"?
@@gandydancer9710 None of his flippant jokes, until the British accent at the end
Some people like humor interspersed with war coverage, sometimes I really don't
@@Newbobdole sanguine: Cheerfully confident; optimistic.
Not quite seeing how an absence of jokiness is implied by that.
I'm not trying to be snide, but I don't think the word means exactly what you thought it meant. (Now, "sanguinary" (1) Accompanied by bloodshed. (2) Eager for bloodshed; bloodthirsty. (3) Consisting of blood." is an interesting related word.)
@@gandydancer9710 Damn son, you're right. I meant, "SANGFROID," I thought every single idiomatic expressions for 'blood' in French ALL referenced poise :/
@@gandydancer9710 okay guy who's listened to douglas macgregor say how "ukraine will collapse in 2 weeks" for the past two years
What restrictions? We saw many attacks on russian territory by ukraine, you said it yourself. Oil refineries were hit before may 3rd..
Those were with Ukrainian made drone systems. This far, the only "Russian territory" to have been struck with western missiles has been Crimea.
Western countries restrict where Ukraine can use the weapons it gets from those countries, but Ukraine can use its own domestically-built weapons wherever, and that's what they've been using to hit oil refineries in Russia
@@majorcheif1176 Storm Shadow missiles have been exploding in Belgorod for several months. What restrictions do you have in mind?
Interesting. So, those MRAPs and Humvees invading Belgorod were Ukrainian-made?
@@salciano is this a long range weapon?
Another Great Video 💯 , Thanks for Sharing 💥💥💥💥💥💥💥
What does the population of a town have to do with how difficult the town will be to defeat if the citizens have already fled?
Size. Hamlet of 20 houses is easier to take than a city of 150k
its not a rule, it's a generalization. there are no easy frames of reference for conflicts on these scales but generally skeaping larger cities usually take more forces to assault and secure. as mentioned more buildings means more places to hide and defend from. it takes longer to use artillery and air strikes to destroy defending forces in larger cities. it's just estimations, they can always be wrong.
2 million men died at Verdun. Pre war population was 30,000
They not sheeps like ur family, fight back
@@mattsmith-ri3lp the strategic importance of different territories makes them incomparable.
Great vid Chris. Keep it up.
Don't know if you saw, but you got a mention on Perun's video yesterday. Cheers
How is this cope piece great?? We saw the Russians walk over the border during a live war and he made excuses for them not making defense's 😂😂😂man this is hard to watch. Keeps you people in the dark
just saw, was glad to see it. Perun's a really good guy, he's the GOAT of defense industry youtube
@@RUTHLESSambition5 But then why are you here?
@@madp3d ha right he just mad brother, ignore him.
@@RUTHLESSambition5 found the vatnik
Congrats on your channel my dude. You've stuck with it and are really doing something.
thanks for doing these man.
Great breakdown
Thanks Cappy.
Those shovels seem to fight well
Thank you for your service.
Thanks for sharing Cappy
50.000 troops are nowhere near enough to take Harkov, they are making a buffer zone and stretching Ukrainians thin. And as of writing this, they already took over 200 square km of territory.
He said they would need 300.000. In real Kharkiv is an industrial behemoth. They could try to encircle it with 300k. To take such a city they need well-trained 500k with the best available equipment.
@@HanSolo__ They are not even going to try, and it makes no sense to destroy such a large city if you want to own it. I'm certain that the Russians want to grind the Ukrainians down to the point where their army will collapse, something similar to what the allies did to Germany in WW1, and they will do the most of it on open fields where there is no infrastructure they will need to rebuild. War logic is cruel AF.
не обязательно брать город, даже угроза или осада с одной стороны обойдется очень дорого украине.
@@HanSolo__ The idea that the population of a city determines how many troops you need to take it is absurd.
How many troops Russia needs depends on how may Ukrainian troops they have to fight. And how many can Ukraine scare up at this point?
@@gandydancer9710 No its not. The population roughly determines the size of the city first of all. Kharkiv is almost ten times bigger then Bachmut and it took Russians 100k men and 2 months to take that city with heavy casualties. Also, Russia will have to manage the population of the city. The population will need water, electricity and food which if Russia tries to occupy the city, it will have to supply. The population will also have to be monitored by garrison troops or else Russian troops will face constant partisan attacks which will be impossible to stop since it is such a big city. In general urban combat is much more intensive and slow than any other form of combat,to take a city with a metropolitan area of 3200km2 is almost impossible with 50k men.
Thank You for your Outstanding Work. And showing us a Map! I can't figure out Crap without a Map.
Another excellent report. Thanks.
You need to look at what units were involved.
In 4 advances, you see 4 different regiments from 3 different divisions across 2 different Corps
Basic intel 101 suggests these are advanced guard probes across a multi-corps front
It is both diversion and a real attack, if the Russian faced a lot of trouble that means the Ukrainians have moved reinforcements from advika and Donbas front. So Russia will put their reserves in Donbas.
If the attack is successful, then they will continue.
@@atishayritulpatwa As the Chinese say: "win-win cooperation".
@@rh906 no as it is the same tactic that Alexander used in his Persian campaign. He spilt his left flank and moved it even more to the left, which broke enemy’s cohesion and allowed his reserve cavalry to break through the lines.
Finally a update on Ukraine from a trustable and accurate source! The lack of good Ukraine updates has been killing me
Ukraine is f...ed up they cant do much more
You’d be a great guest for Tim Pools Culture War podcast and get deeper on these conflicts. He would welcome your valuable insight. I’d be shocked if they didn’t have you on their radar of guests considering how active and prominent you’re in this space of ‘current events’ of international conflict.
Excellent report.
1:00 this here is what we call Cyber Warfare
They trying to make themselfs look shit?
Cyber Warcrimes for trying to sell this shit. They insult our intelligence 😂
@@muk204 Obviously done by some ukrainian to show as russian.
@@muk204 pre order now and get a skin for warzone
@@muk204 Yesh
Always insightful and thought out analysis.
Thanks for making this understandable for someone who was never in the military. Excellent.
Just the facts brother thank you for the straight up analysis
Lies....
@@Slimedog1963 show me on the doll where the facts touched you 😂
Task & Purpose how do you get that battle map that updates in real time?
Your content is ridiculously good and you deserve far more credit and viewership than you get. It’s legit journalism from a fresh and grounded perspective, and your opinions are consistently biased in logic and experience alone. Thank you for your efforts and commitment to deliver reality based content on the regular. You’re a beast homie, good shit. 🤘🏼🖤🤘🏼
9:17 No, I have a friend who is from Shebekino and Ukraine has been shelling that city and belgorod since September 2022 almost daily.
west media in 2023 : "Russia out of ammo and missile"
meanwhile Russia in 2024 : "Russia take over 12 village in 12 hours"
meanwhile russia 2024: 350k soldier casualties, 2500 tanks destroyed, 120 planes shot down and lost their entire navy in the black Sea to a nation without a navy, deal with it loser 😘
15:52 also funny how the russians forgot to mention that they started WW2 together with Germany as allies, as they attacked Poland together!
Even funnier, England forgot to mention that they used German minority in Poland to provoke a German attack on Poland. Sound familar? Like the provocation of Austria-Hungary killing its heir to the throne in 1914. Same provocation on Ukraine's Russian minority between 2014-2022.
@@ferencszathmary9689 " England forgot to mention that they used German minority in Poland to provoke a German attack on Poland." Where did you find that invented fact?
It's documented from German archives that it was Germany that used false flag operations against itself to justify their attack.
@@ferencszathmary9689 I think you lost your brain somewhere along the way, or maybe you never had one!
Thank you Cappy!
Let's just appreciate how dense the information is
How did you get david cameron to do a cameo in your video?
is that the pig porker?
Really superb analysis. 👏👏👏👏👏
Great podcast!
Great video. It would be awesome if you made a video about your go-to sources, how to vet information, etc.
he does that in every episode...I think you are commenting on the wrong channel.
What he didn't say is that Russia can put artillery in to buffer zone, stop the shelling of belgorod and also start leveling to ground Kharkov, like they did with Mariupol. It includes artillery and guided 1.5, and 3 tonns bombs
Ukraine did not have western air defence and missiles when Mariupol was leveled to ground. Russia can't do it anymore
@@minaolenella869western air defence isn't a magical solution to missile strikes. And currently Ukraine lacks them as well.
the Russians do not need to destroy Kharkov, only if the Ukrainian troops make a “fortress” out of the city - they did this with Mariupol, settling in the city, and later moving into the basements of the plant, so the city suffered greatly during urban battles.
Ты давно смотрел видео про Мариуполь? Не пускай слюни от зависти...
But MSM told me that Ukrane is winning, and R run out of missiles like 2 years ago😅
How can you be so misinformed and watching this channel, sigh.
@@edc1569 Think homie is actually being sarcastic
@@edc1569 try to get some sort of sarcasm detector. Yours seem to be broken
great analysis
The buffer zone would hinder the use of artillery which is far cheaper and numerous than missiles.
Thanks for all the great content!
Perun gave you a shout out in Sunday's video. He also called the blyatsmobiles "assault sheds."
People still watch him after two years of being wrong? Ask him what he thinks about his predictions from earlier videos.
@@Evan-iq8hd He is very biased. Failed to mention that hundreds of Ukrainians around Kharkiv are switching sides.
@@Evan-iq8hdWrong about what? He doesn't make predictions. He analyses the situation which exists at the time of his videos.
If the situation changes, his future videos reflect that change. Analysis is never perfect, but it's better than the Hoorah outlets of either side.
@@alexorehowski3387 very prolific troll
@@Evan-iq8hd he doesn’t make predictions
My first thought was that setting up behind the villages was a reverse slope thing. Then Cappy brought up the river.
jim from the office gives you the latest on what may be the most pivotal conflict of the decade
When Russia said 27 million people died during ww2 in Soviet Union, Ukraine was included. Russia did not say 27 million Russian people died in ww2. Do you get it?
Soviet Union is gone, no one wants to be close to russia any more.
He also forgot to mention the western Ukrainians collaborating with the nazis.
Well considering Ukraine basically never even existed before 34 years ago…
And before anyone quotes the attempts - attempts don’t count.
Oh right… I forgot 250k ukranians allied with the nazis during the war
@@aldovk6681 they will deliberately ignore this fact.
This guy does a fine job😊😊😊. I have so many bloggers to watch. Just not enough time...great job Chris... Just wish I could watch more...
This guy has verbal diarrhoea.
thanks cappy
14:30 Yeah, you sure nailed it, Killer...😆
Why the hell are spades, shovels and washing machines so hard to defeat?
Hello CIA , we believe you.
Beautiful photos! Great video, Taskandpurpose is imo the single best war-content creator of RUclips. And amazing how the channel is able to never come across as overtly biased/propagandistic.
If only someone did not pocket the budget for the construction of fortification in thay area.... 😂
Yeah, and maybe all the woman should actually DO something to protect their country. Not only leave and live in comfortably elsewhere.
What about equality that they cry for whenever they feel like it? Why don’t they build some fortifications?
But no, that’s dirty work.
Hard labor and dying, they leave that to the man. Equality only when it suits them…
Ukraine had all the time they needed for fortifications. They couldn't be bothered to do it.
Thank you for that concise and balanced summary.
Hope to see more.
Whats the name of the map whete you got the live updates
I think it's called DeepStateMAP
@@goodgameproductions3039 thanks
He also showed LiveUAmap
DeepState, a pro-ukranian western funded mapper. Yet updates are true but delayed if its in the favour of Russia :D
@@goodgameproductions3039deep State is pro Ukraine
Great 👍 video
The Bri'ish accent killed me
People to this day still believe the Ukraine counter offensive started last year was successful
Literally no one thinks that, even the most enthusiastic Ukrainian supporters.
And yet they liberated more territory in that failed counteroffensive than Russia occupied since.
@@edc1569jokes and political comment aside he is unfortunately correct.
If you don't actually bother to follow this, you skim the headlines. And the administration's narrative has always been either victory is at hand or if you don't pass the next Bill All is Lost.
Russia and Ukraine are at war, but the average person in the United States is at Costco
@@edc1569 You and I both know many do. Look at the comment above me 😂
@@sogerc1 Thats such a False statement that’s it’s crazy reading it.
Hell in April alone Russia took 1.4-1.6x times more territory then Ukraine managed in the counter offensive
it remains to be seen whether this is a full offensive or not. at the very least this causes ukraine to divert resources away from the dnipro front.. not like that has been going well, anyway.
i could be wrong but i dont think Russia has enough manpower to take Kharkiv which is Ukraine’s 2nd largest city. this could be a distraction for them to take Chasiv Yar which the Russians have been struggling to take.
@@doodsrem you MAY be right about the distraction but trust me: Russia HAS the manpower to take Kharkiv.
@@cloke3076 The question is if that manpower is willing. Patriotism in Ukraine seems to be going strong, after all, fighting a defensive war tends to do that. Meanwhile in Moscow you just hear on and on of the protests, and sometimes riots. So what comes first Kharkiv to the Russians, or Moscow to the riots
@@doodsrem I have to remind people like you that Kharkiv population right now is different from 2 years ago. I am not surprise if Russia quickly captured it.
@@simpleviewer1334 Ha! What delusion are you living?
@Task & Purpose: Can you tell us where that updated war map can be found?
thank you so much
There's no way Russia can take Kharkov city a huge urban place, the closest they got was two years ago when they got within just a couple of km's of the city, before being driven back by the first or second Ukrainian counter offensive.
That was when the Ukrainians outnumbered the Russians by a significant number. The Russians went in with 200 thousand troops for the entire offensive across Ukraine. The Ukranians had about the same amount of soldiers before they even called for nationwide mass mobilization.
@@Warren_Peace They would probably been able to do it had they invaded in 2014 before Ukraine received all that training and weapons from NATO. As it stands right now Russia has lost much of its offensive capabilities and exhausted its ability to make sweeping gains. Ukrainians fought really hard at the beginning and gave them a real bloody nose. I think the opening of this new "front" likely serves more as a diversion.
@@IronWarrior86 Probably, but as the previous two years have proven, NATO doctrine did not really fare well in modern warfare, hence why both Ukrainians and Russians are using Soviet-era deep battle doctrine instead.
@@Warren_PeaceNATO doctrine works when you have air force and navy at same quality with NATO. Sadly Ukraine and Russia doesnt have one.
@@stalker1759 In other words, NATO doctrine only works when NATO has total advantage over their opponents. Against a peer or near pear adversary, it is useless.
Zelensky trying to find Steiner for the counter attack.
Remember when everyone thought the war would be over by now back in 2022? Yah I do too.
I would love to follow the link to your appearance on Piers Morgan... Does anyone else feel like anytime they go to look for a link in a video description it isn't there?
hey brosef good appearance on the bridges podcast!
thanks it was great meeting Destiny he's a smart dude , knows his stuff
@@Taskandpurpose I didn't know this channel collaborates with known pedophiles like Destiny.
Just an important correction:
6:35, you are wrong as the package only contains 14 billion dollars of weaponry and 15 billion dollars of training.
20 billion are pledged to replenish Us army stockpiles and 8 billion are sent as financial assistance to Ukraine
Just another important correction:
An unknown but substantial amount of that aid will be skimmed, pocketed and sold off onto the black market by ukrainian generals and politicians.
this guy is wrong about most everything...@13:55 he states Ukraine isnt allowed to attack inside Russia....except that Belgorod gets shelled every week....hundreds of reports of drone and missile attacks inside Russia from Ukraine...total Ukraine con man here. What about ships that get attacked in Sevastopol???
He is coping hard....
@@Slimedog1963 he's been coping hard for a long time now
@@Slimedog1963 And you don't even try to hear him correctly. Using "Western-Supplied arms", keyword here.
These are mostly referring to long ranged guided weapons above Ukraine's own technology capabilities. Nobody is sure if Ukraine broke these rules, but al least most reported attempts are concluded to be Ukraine natively developed weapons.
@@zmajooov And I bet you didn't even watch the video yourself, just blinding agreeing to people framing the claim here.
Tsar shovels don't give a damn.
Uncle Vanya's got a 30 year-old AK now, it seems