When idiots following the ETF, then a centralized bitcoin born! and now manipolating the market and idiots not believing yet!!! They are now control on when pump/dump
Given the high correlation of BTC price with growth in M2, I suspect the very long period of Central Banks coordinating on high rates and other restrictive measures has resulted in a delayed bull market. M2 is starting to grow, so the future looks bright.
I think these ETFs have convoluted the understanding of the importance of Bitcoin. I think people are confused. They are clinging to the old system. But they don’t take the time to understand why they shouldn’t. It’s frustrating as hell. Just be patient, people. Markets are nothing more than human psychology, on a large scale.
BTC is an enigma to the majority of the planet. Misunderstood and mistrusted by many . If BTC is going to truly multiply tenfold then we may have to wait for an upcoming generation who have been born into it . Let’s see what transpires !
The thing is multi million dollar companies can´t simply buy bitcoin of exchanges due to legal issues, thats why ETFs open the doors to so many big new players in the game. Like plan B said, bitcoin will pump when bitcoin is ready for it. Patience for it is an inevitable self fullfilling prophecy
So are we still early? Yes we are. Once people start realizing that acquiring Bitcoin instead of the ETFs by understanding it's white paper and how it works, then we will exponentially see the adopting curve go higher and faster. Price? You get the idea lol
Retail is skint, they don't have the disposable income, or access to cheap debt that they had in every other cycle. Bitcoin depends on retail buyers jumping in after the halving and FOMO in as the price go up. Their completely absent this cycle
The man in the street will jump very soon.with interest rates coming down and liquidity flowing, cheap credit and more jobs are right around the corner.
You just stated my thesis. And no one online is talking about it. We have NEVER had a bull run trying to start in a low liquidity, ‘high’ interest rate environment. 2-3% rates 2013-2022 is WAY different than 6% today.
OTC has 410K BTC. This is a big amount considering where we are and what this looked like as little as 6 months ago - the ETF buying it all narrative isn't fully accurate.
I've been following you since 2020 and I still believe in you. I always follow smarter than me mentors . You are just that. Keep learning and innovating. Looking forward to our next pump .,
Thanks for this. Didn’t the first October video have the average at $500K, with low at $250K and high at $1M for this cycle? What happened to that prediction?
I think the halving event is overrated when it comes to BTC price action. monetary policy for example is underrated, liquidity cycles, M2 global money supply...
Building a base takes time. The longer the base takes to build, the higher the consequent rise in price, This we can see in the history of BTC price movement, which you have well described in this video. Thankyou for sharing your model with us.
Absolutely agreed, just when everyone thinks that btc will never pump it will hopefully shock some people.. wouldn’t hurt to see another country or two take on some btc in their treasury
Would be bad for everything, including Bitcoin. That lady is worse than a plague, she is a dumb person with initiative. Never dismiss the destructive power of that kind of people.
Because Harris lies will gladly take your rights and bitcoin away. When trump was elected he fulfilled his promises and did everything he could to make it happen. I’ll take trump word over lying Harris
It's not weird at all. A relatively speculative asset like bitcoin bleeds to assets far lower on the risk spectrum like index funds during times of high interest rates. Stock to flow models never account for demand so it's impossible to predict stagnations/bear markets during high-interest rates phases of the economy. Once the fed cuts another 100-200 basis points AND the fed resumes QE, we can assume that the market will naturally trend higher and outperform lower-risk assets.
Hi PlanB, Thanks for all your insights. Was your model updated since the last bullmarket? Since your predictions were quite of from market developments
If it can’t not always go up (consolidation etc) and it’s not going to go down. It’s just doing what it should, going sideways. Btc is on a bull flag pattern and we had a good September, the best September and that predecedes three very good next months.
I pretty much agree that : 1. There is no cause for alarm over the prolonged sideways price action. It does seem normal to me, too. 2. Rumours regarding price manipulation are unfounded; we experienced an unprecedented new ath just before the most recent halving, remember, and the market is probably still seeking to regain equilibrium. The next ath will be in 2025, not this year, I wager. Having said that, I'd keep a close eye on btc balances on exchanges, as the etfs have been gobbling up (OTC?) supply like there's no tomorrow. What happens when BNY Mellon and other banks start offering BTC custody to their clients? NGL, My Spidey sense is tingling, folks....
My guess is that btc will pump a bit and hit $80k’s end of November or December.. time will tell friends.. easy to think the 4 yr cycles is broken, but I think 2025 may show us otherwise..
usually you get all time high around 6 months after halving. so i think by the end of october we might have 74k and by end of november 80k btc price. but this halving should be much shorter, it might end in march. good luck to everyone
Thank you Plan B. We've all lived the cycles before, but, its still nice to get that little bit of reassurance because sometimes a little bit of panic does comes out
@@frankverhoeven3195 i am not sure in what reality you living. 8 months ago was february. Just check tradingview BTC price. What are you talking about 15k ? 😄 maybe you lost 15k in trade?. LOL
Yeah. Like the last cycle. Just he forgot to take under consideration one fact and all his predictions were dogshit and people lost milions. This guy is a idiot.
Judging by the length of prior red dot bull runs and the long length of current red dot sideways bull run, we are almost out of months left for a real upward bull run. This is turning dangerous and a lot of retail investors could bail in next 4 months.
Just like the CME futures impact. ETFs will do the same. Institutions buying up everything the retail dumps, so they can own market share. Also BTC ran from 15k to 70k in a year. 5x. I would say that’s a good pump leading into ETF and Halving. Institutional buying = stability. BTC 125k Nov 2025
its over bro. people had enough time to get rich from this. now its done ans they will just move to the next big thing where they can milk stupid people's money
He is talking about the first plot. Yeah I wohld like to know this as well. What kind of information is used for the color. Sure he doesn‘t have to share his formulas, but at least tell us what is being used for it. :)
Bitcoin and crypto have had a lot of disruptive events and foundational changes over the last five years. It wouldn't surprise me to say that the cycle broke in 2021. I'm also surprised there hasn't been more influence from the Saudi's.
Past results does not mean future results will be the same also you have to keep mind that in the past we have very low interest rate less than 1% which mean cheap money 💰 today that is not the same history also inflation and gas price is higher today but mostly the fed has to cut the interest rate more and no war also .War affect bitcoin as well
You hear this every cycle again and again BTC is dead etc. The ETF only brings more buying pressure, while since the halving the BTC being mined is now only 0.8% per year. Fyi BTC ETF demand is now at 4% per year. Add non ETF inflows and BTC being lost + its supply scarcity (the amount of BTC actually being tradeable) and BTC is in a very good position longterm.
The trigger for the next uptrend is the same catalized externalization as GameStop AMC era, once derivative options based on ETFs are ready. That’s why investing 1 $ on options where bullish as 10$ in GameStop AMC. And this low volatility and stability will make the other type of investors use this products.
👉Pls SUBSCRIBE for timely updates in volatile markets!
Done.
@@PlanB_Bitcoin awesome video, thanks 🙏🏻
When idiots following the ETF, then a centralized bitcoin born! and now manipolating the market and idiots not believing yet!!!
They are now control on when pump/dump
Always good content.
@@jaker7223 excellent
Given the high correlation of BTC price with growth in M2, I suspect the very long period of Central Banks coordinating on high rates and other restrictive measures has resulted in a delayed bull market. M2 is starting to grow, so the future looks bright.
100% agree with this comment
It’s going to be absolutely wild. When M2 money supply hits, we won’t even be thinking of this time when every little dip looked scary.
Zoom out.
correct 😂
Great point, if Fed easing was earlier this year it could be different. We have wars going on too so all that can affect it short term.
liquidity and leverage... that's my two sats
Just imagine going back to 2012 or 13 and telling them that bitcoin would be stuck in a eight month range in the Low $60,000 😮
😅😅😅
OP is finding stability around its $1.48 support, but potential resistance lies ahead.
A breakout past crucial levels could drive it to $3.72
People did not trust BTC back then so its not relevant
@@icyganovagreed.
@@ianandrews8773 People don't trust BTC today either
Plan B not as consistent with the first of the month vids lately...I might have to consider Plan C.
Nice to see you again….!
Thank you for keeping it up for so many years
That’s what sh* ****
That’s what she said
@@nickc789 ha I said this and RUclips deleted my comment, I guess you’re a better person than me ha
I literally have a small team in a you tube office somewhere that spend the day deleting me off everything… I wish I was being paranoid 🖕
Said the actress to the bishop
I like this guy he keeps the comments section on👍
Waiting for the november prediction…..
I think these ETFs have convoluted the understanding of the importance of Bitcoin. I think people are confused. They are clinging to the old system. But they don’t take the time to understand why they shouldn’t. It’s frustrating as hell. Just be patient, people. Markets are nothing more than human psychology, on a large scale.
Truth.
BTC is an enigma to the majority of the planet. Misunderstood and mistrusted by many . If BTC is going to truly multiply tenfold then we may have to wait for an upcoming generation who have been born into it . Let’s see what transpires !
The thing is multi million dollar companies can´t simply buy bitcoin of exchanges due to legal issues, thats why ETFs open the doors to so many big new players in the game.
Like plan B said, bitcoin will pump when bitcoin is ready for it. Patience for it is an inevitable self fullfilling prophecy
the Bitcoin is the God and is must to be worshiped every day
So are we still early? Yes we are. Once people start realizing that acquiring Bitcoin instead of the ETFs by understanding it's white paper and how it works, then we will exponentially see the adopting curve go higher and faster. Price? You get the idea lol
Beginning of the month and what can be better than a new video from PlanB. Thank you, Sir!
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for CFA online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
Hola Plan BTC,
The short was a tease.
We want your opinion, in longer form.
Retail is skint, they don't have the disposable income, or access to cheap debt that they had in every other cycle. Bitcoin depends on retail buyers jumping in after the halving and FOMO in as the price go up. Their completely absent this cycle
This time it won't be the man in the street jumping in, it will be the investors and hedge funds.
The man in the street will jump very soon.with interest rates coming down and liquidity flowing, cheap credit and more jobs are right around the corner.
@@ambienceization And you are to but at least you no it. And so am I.
You just stated my thesis. And no one online is talking about it. We have NEVER had a bull run trying to start in a low liquidity, ‘high’ interest rate environment. 2-3% rates 2013-2022 is WAY different than 6% today.
Even if the economy was better and people had money, retail doesn't move the needle anymore.
OTC has 410K BTC. This is a big amount considering where we are and what this looked like as little as 6 months ago - the ETF buying it all narrative isn't fully accurate.
Anxiously awaiting your next market update, Mr. Plan B 💪 Happy, Happy God Candle!
Been waiting for another update. Thanks PlanB
Harris will k... it!
I've been following you since 2020 and I still believe in you. I always follow smarter than me mentors . You are just that. Keep learning and innovating. Looking forward to our next pump .,
Will you be doing a post election/November update? Looking forward to your next video! Thanks!
We kindly request an update, on your opinion of this movement up.
Please
we missed you last month, nice to see you back
Your perspective is reasonable and measured. I appreciate your work! Naysyers will get werked😊
When Moon! Thanks PB only channel I need to watch for market updates. Thanks for committing to this each month
Thanks for this.
Didn’t the first October video have the average at $500K, with low at $250K and high at $1M for this cycle?
What happened to that prediction?
He was wrong😂
Then he shouldn’t just change the video. Glad I watched it again!
I think the halving event is overrated when it comes to BTC price action.
monetary policy for example is underrated, liquidity cycles, M2 global money supply...
Building a base takes time. The longer the base takes to build, the higher the consequent rise in price, This we can see in the history of BTC price movement, which you have well described in this video.
Thankyou for sharing your model with us.
this is exactly what I think is happening.
Absolutely agreed, just when everyone thinks that btc will never pump it will hopefully shock some people.. wouldn’t hurt to see another country or two take on some btc in their treasury
Wederom bedankt man,ik heb je gemist!😊🎉
PlanB. If there is one person to watch and listen to, its him.
Why would a Harris win be bad for Bitcoin? Both parties run the same policy
Would be bad for everything, including Bitcoin. That lady is worse than a plague, she is a dumb person with initiative. Never dismiss the destructive power of that kind of people.
Because Harris lies will gladly take your rights and bitcoin away. When trump was elected he fulfilled his promises and did everything he could to make it happen. I’ll take trump word over lying Harris
Even plan B sounds not certain on the crypto right now
It's not weird at all. A relatively speculative asset like bitcoin bleeds to assets far lower on the risk spectrum like index funds during times of high interest rates. Stock to flow models never account for demand so it's impossible to predict stagnations/bear markets during high-interest rates phases of the economy. Once the fed cuts another 100-200 basis points AND the fed resumes QE, we can assume that the market will naturally trend higher and outperform lower-risk assets.
So he si taking another month long brake from making videos or what?
13:33 do not ask what bitcoin can do for you, ask what you can do for your network
Bullish 🔥🔥🔥
where is the November video?
What's a bull market when the price technically spends so much time below the 2021 high (69k)? Unusual. This is not a bull market.
Yup, technically, half a year sideways is not a bull market.
Can't wait for November video!
Thanks for this update !
Many, many thanks again PlanB🎉🎉🎉
Always love when you release a new vid! Just bounced off the 200 MA on the 4 hr, so we'll see if that holds. Enough wars already! Send it already!
Hi PlanB, Thanks for all your insights. Was your model updated since the last bullmarket? Since your predictions were quite of from market developments
0:50 how do you define/calculate each market periods? How do you know it is a bull market? Thanks.
He goes by distance from halving
Days from the halving in the traditional 4 year cycle
The dots on his charts are red lol. He doesn’t know when it’s a bull market. It’s obviously NOT a bull market right now.
@@3joez3 brother, btc went from 15k to 64k? how to u is that not a bull market? have u ever experienced a bear market/bull market?
He knows shit
Bull run that's "flat", so one might say it's an 8 month accumulation phase?
If it can’t not always go up (consolidation etc) and it’s not going to go down. It’s just doing what it should, going sideways. Btc is on a bull flag pattern and we had a good September, the best September and that predecedes three very good next months.
How are you sure about the next three good months?
Would know too :)
Great to hear from you again. Bitcoin is the future! ✌🏻✌🏻
I pretty much agree that :
1. There is no cause for alarm over the prolonged sideways price action. It does seem normal to me, too.
2. Rumours regarding price manipulation are unfounded; we experienced an unprecedented new ath just before the most recent halving, remember, and the market is probably still seeking to regain equilibrium. The next ath will be in 2025, not this year, I wager.
Having said that, I'd keep a close eye on btc balances on exchanges, as the etfs have been gobbling up (OTC?) supply like there's no tomorrow. What happens when BNY Mellon and other banks start offering BTC custody to their clients? NGL, My Spidey sense is tingling, folks....
I hope we get an ATH this year because otherwise the top will end up lower
My guess is that btc will pump a bit and hit $80k’s end of November or December.. time will tell friends.. easy to think the 4 yr cycles is broken, but I think 2025 may show us otherwise..
50 million dollars per bitcoin in my lifetime at least (im 25)
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for CFA online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
Greatings from Brazil, good job!
usually you get all time high around 6 months after halving. so i think by the end of october we might have 74k and by end of november 80k btc price. but this halving should be much shorter, it might end in march. good luck to everyone
You got it wrong, theres a 6 month lag followed by or up to a 12 month run.
You’re one year off my friend just look at the chart and count backwards.
Thanks PlanB. See you next month.
Thanks Captain ⛵, the Bitcoin sails need some wind 🌬️
Welcome Back! We pömp!
Always worth the wait 😊
@PlanB_Bitcoin, when is the next?
Thank you Plan B. We've all lived the cycles before, but, its still nice to get that little bit of reassurance because sometimes a little bit of panic does comes out
Thank you Plan B, your analysis is very accurate!!
How can you call a markes that is trending down for 8 months a bullmarket???
8 months ago bitcoin was 15k. I'm not sure in what reality you're living.
@@frankverhoeven3195 i am not sure in what reality you living. 8 months ago was february. Just check tradingview BTC price. What are you talking about 15k ? 😄 maybe you lost 15k in trade?. LOL
Well PlanB I hope your Right. Love your Videos.
Thank you for the update ❤
2023 was not boring for me
This is the best no-nonsense crypto advice on the internet.
Yeah. Like the last cycle. Just he forgot to take under consideration one fact and all his predictions were dogshit and people lost milions. This guy is a idiot.
Judging by the length of prior red dot bull runs and the long length of current red dot sideways bull run, we are almost out of months left for a real upward bull run. This is turning dangerous and a lot of retail investors could bail in next 4 months.
What do you mean? The last three bull runs all reached their peak prices in orange / yellow dots.
If you get the time please do more long form interviews. You’re a pleasure to listen to.
Thank you. Well structured talk:
Now my day is complete thanks Plan B
Agree. Nice job as always !
It looks like we are in slow bleeding bear market. I don't think there will be a pump any soon
I skipped my queue of open youtubes tabs when i saw your tweet lol
ADHD much?
Thank you @planB ❤
Dude deleted his nov video that was o line yesterday??
Essentially viewing for this Kiwi, Downunder! Thanks for the Update; Cheers
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for CFA online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
I just don’t understand now because there are institutions holding bitcoin and the price is still not moving up
Bitcoin follows money liquidity. The institutions are important for further adaptation. Just be patient.
Just like the CME futures impact. ETFs will do the same. Institutions buying up everything the retail dumps, so they can own market share. Also BTC ran from 15k to 70k in a year. 5x. I would say that’s a good pump leading into ETF and Halving. Institutional buying = stability. BTC 125k Nov 2025
its over bro. people had enough time to get rich from this. now its done ans they will just move to the next big thing where they can milk stupid people's money
@@justthings4044, how many cycles do you have behind you all ready?
@@justthings4044 someone else said the same thing. It’s over.
Dank, de meester heeft gesproken.
My investment portfolios are Bitcoin, ETH and XAI25N
B
Naturally i mirror everything through your analysis mr B, hopefully in the future a can adress you as Plan😊
Thanks Plan B- Do you think we should just HODL until the next halving if more votes are counted for Harris in November?
Love your content, thanks for putting this out there!
What risk to bitcoin buyers?
Bitcoin doesn't care about politics.
Let’s go Plan B🥳🥳🥳
What determines the colors of the dots exactly? Are they red just because they are after the halving or is there calculations involved?
Months after the halving.
He is talking about the first plot. Yeah I wohld like to know this as well. What kind of information is used for the color. Sure he doesn‘t have to share his formulas, but at least tell us what is being used for it. :)
Thank you Plan B ❤
yess. welcome back from vacation.
"Welcome to Plan B on youtube" best accent and intro
Why does he sound like the guy from No Country for Old Men
Thanks for your Analysis! Always interesting!! Go BTC!
It's an institutional asset now, the cycle is broken.
Im starting to subscribe to this thought as well
Bitcoin and crypto have had a lot of disruptive events and foundational changes over the last five years. It wouldn't surprise me to say that the cycle broke in 2021. I'm also surprised there hasn't been more influence from the Saudi's.
Nah, be patient.
Yes, let's invest in real stuff. Pears or eggs. Or coffee
You might be right. Hope not. Let’s see.
Finally! Thank you for your insights 🙏
Definitely popping above $100k by Jan 2025
Why?
Not happening.
Easy🎉
Nope, it will never cross 80k
Thank, short and clear. I think the same.
Past results does not mean future results will be the same also you have to keep mind that in the past we have very low interest rate less than 1% which mean cheap money 💰 today that is not the same history also inflation and gas price is higher today but mostly the fed has to cut the interest rate more and no war also .War affect bitcoin as well
Exactly!
Thank you ❤ Plan B 🌠
Thanks for sharing! Bought XAI25N, expecting 10x returns! 🚀 Coinbase, Bybit, Binance to list soon.
Thank You Plan B for the update, always a pleasure to watch your episodes great content!
I don't think BTC gives a damn of who wins the election and everyone knows there will be no difference which one getts elected
Market will respond to trump getting elected, imo. But agree, 2 wings on the same bird of prey. Usa is done.
@@ItsAllApsyop we need trump to win, not only for crypto to pump but for wars and shit
@@SuperPaulo212 If Harris wins BTC will go down.. But you know what, it will also go up again! hodl.
The real are going to vote TRUMP 2024 💪
Keep stacking! Tnx for the new video!
Check the red dots, never went down like this in history. Btc isn’t the same anymore. Spot ETF changed everything.
Yes look like a big dump incoming
You hear this every cycle again and again BTC is dead etc. The ETF only brings more buying pressure, while since the halving the BTC being mined is now only 0.8% per year. Fyi BTC ETF demand is now at 4% per year. Add non ETF inflows and BTC being lost + its supply scarcity (the amount of BTC actually being tradeable) and BTC is in a very good position longterm.
@@keos99 look at his chart it’s different from all the other cycles. ETF’s brings more control to institution, which should be worrisome.
@@keos99 look at his chart it’s different from all the other cycles. ETF’s brings more control to instituation, which should be woriedsome
@@keos99 look at his chart it’s different from all the other cycles. ETF’s brings more control to instituation, which should be woriedsome
your analysis is really good, I subscribe
ETFs are the same manipulation
Plan B, thanks for coming.
He is finally back
The trigger for the next uptrend is the same catalized externalization as GameStop AMC era, once derivative options based on ETFs are ready. That’s why investing 1 $ on options where bullish as 10$ in GameStop AMC. And this low volatility and stability will make the other type of investors use this products.
BTC🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
Always good to hear your viewpoint sir :)