Every model showing something in Gulf next week from TS to Cat 4/5 monster, is whats important right now. Never turn your back on the Gulf during peak season.
Thank you dear Mitch. Prayers lifted up. Things are getting bumpy and I'm not used to this. Insurance has declined a normal visit. Asking for prayers for safety, health and calm please. Thank you.
Happy Thursday ya’ll from the Eastern Shore of Mobile Bay in Fairhope, Alabama! God bless you, Mitch, and as always thank you for your thorough and understandable (James Spann-esque)!
Watching everything lurking in the Caribbean from the Florida Panhandle. Just wanted to say thank you for all you do. Blessings to you and your family.
I live in south Louisiana. There's no way to predict strength or direction this far out. Look at Francine. That storm's track changed a lot in the last days.
I know how you feel. Ian was supposed to hit Tampa Bay. Suddenly it made a turn. We didn’t get flooding like Ft Myers but got the dirty side in Englewood. Devasting.
Just wanna thank you for a comment. I heard you say you don’t hear this very much on TV about praying for people thank you so much for lifting up the glory of our father Jesus Christ.
Thank you for offering to pray for my husband and myself I have a temporary job and my husband is still looking for w I work. Please pray Laura and John both find good paying and permanent jobs very soon. Thank you and God you bless you ❤
Happy Thursday Mitch and everyone! It’s still summertime up here in Pure Michigan, waiting for some cool fall weather and colors. Have a great day everyone
00Z GFS run turns the storm NE towards FL after stalling it. Most recent 06Z GFS run shows same NE turn. Also, still more than a week away, and hasn't even formed. Thanks, but I'll hold the doomerisn for when it actually forms and planes start flying into it. Any model run after 3 days is conjecture and tossing spaghetti.
I’ve never asked before but am now.. please pray for my family we are in an awful financial situation and can’t seem to get ahead with anything. No food and bills aren’t paid.. it’s extremely stressful for us 😢
Sorry to hear you’re having trouble Stephanie, I’ll pray for you and your family to receive blessings from our Lord and Savior. Keep positive and have a great day.
I hear ya there. We had some rain on Tuesday but for the past few months we have had more of the same. Dry, warm, and sunny and it is getting old. I want the cool rainy fall days already
My daughter needs prayer for her health, her 11 month baby.. our whole family. Personal things completely over whelming .. we can't handle a hurricane right now.
👍Excellent presentation, Mitch! Thanks for your commitment to all of us.👍 ✝GOD bless you, the family, and all the brothers and sisters everywhere in the name of ✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
I have a bad feeling about this one there is one bird that tends to stand out in storms and I saw it twice yesterday I see it warning of a bad storm coming (I may just be crazy)
@@NUMNUM3 mm looks like tampa will have a bad day of some type soon. was worried with ian for awhile that it will hit tampa just right with surge.. i seen a run recently that showed that perfect impact. keep an eye on that bird and pay attention to surrounding areas with that bird
Mitch, you’re a great person. You tend to ramble too much! When you don’t know what’s going happen don’t speculate. Just wait till it makes sense. Thanks
I do admit I ramble. But all the other stuff you’re saying I don’t agree with. If you’re watching, then you are obviously looking for an answer. You won’t find your answer anywhere this far out. Maybe you’re not understanding what I’m doing here. And I mean that respectfully. Either way, if you want to wait until we are closer to time & have a better idea, then tune in next week. But what I do here is go over model guidance with the audience & I see nothing wrong with that. I can’t control the way the viewer takes in the info, all I can do is say countless times that this isn’t a final solution (which I do) & continue to breakdown what we are seeing out there. The truth is, we never know what’s gonna happen until it does. Thanks
The cag coming into the gulf which that water hasnt been churned up for quite sometime so even the lower depths are warmer than avg. Which Can add addional fuel to this storm or the next one. Some of those models showing above cat 3 wouldnt surprise me. With s low steering currents what develops could be a real flood potential..thank you for the details you provide.👍. Another hot one near 90° as the record days in a row above 80 continues here in northern IL. Have a safe blessed day to you and the family.🌎🎛🐈 Btw you said rocket fuel 🐈⬛🚀🤣
The storm names are rotated every six years m or f..if it is devastating with loss of life or very costly that name is retired .as some like Katrina will never b used again🌎🎛 be safe
@@scott2726 I kind of disagree on that I disagree on that because models feel like they have gotten worse over the last couple of years especially on the track of the storms where it will be oh it's in the Gulf of Mexico know it's going to be at the East Coast go guess what it goes south to Panama and it goes out to the Pacific yes the intensity has gotten better with the storm predictions but the track it feels like they don't know where it's going to go like a day or two out
@@RuinNationGaming they do keep records of these and all models. Models are based on the info we get back from weather balloons 92 are launched here in the USA and its territories 7am then at 7pm and over 1800 world wide. We have 122 NWS here. Sometimes more during severe weather. Also you have several aircrafts for hurricanes one does the perimeters and upper air. Others go into it with dropsondes... back to the weather balloons.. can reach altitudes of 20 miles and travel over 100 miles for 2 hours. The data collected from weather balloons are critical for weather model performance and accuracy. Other data is collected from airplanes and many city observations in real time. 1 to 3 day forcast track errors have been reduced by 75% over the past 30 years..as you saw Francine was in the cone of uncertainty very excellent on that track..notice the cone wasnt east to FLA or west to TX.. theres stats on TS and other areas are logged. These stats can be found at NHC the last 5 years the cone has been 67% accurate ot to 5 days of course earlier the percentages go up. Remember the affects can be felt hundreds of miles away from the cone. Cone only repesents where the center is forcasted not surgers or rainfall. Or tornado watch boxes. Now just your 3 day forcast ..(not hurricanes)is about 97% and a 1 day about 98%. .your 5day is 90% 7 day is 80 10 day is 70%.. weather is definatley a huge challenge its all connected world wide..we have 122 NWS here they are 24-7..365 operational..hopefully these articles have helped a bit... theres so much more involved than this..take care 🌎🎛
You never know our last day as each one of us our life maybe cut short as accidents happen whether intentional or unintentional including our President Biden.🙏🇺🇲🕊
Every model showing something in Gulf next week from TS to Cat 4/5 monster, is whats important right now.
Never turn your back on the Gulf during peak season.
Great vid Mitch. I’m with you on this one. Not much hindering it from going under RI but we shall see. Once we get that closed low it’s game on.
Thank you dear Mitch. Prayers lifted up. Things are getting bumpy and I'm not used to this. Insurance has declined a normal visit. Asking for prayers for safety, health and calm please. Thank you.
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Praying that your situation improves.
Thank you Mitch. Prayers and blessings
NOLA here,can't beleive this could hit LA again,after what,two weeks,what are the odds?
@suzannecermy3700 That would be like when Laura & Delta hit Lake Charles/Sulphur back to back. I'm in Lafayette. All we can do is pray.
Good morning Mitch, watching from Nola, we just had Francine, always watching!!!
Happy Thursday ya’ll from the Eastern Shore of Mobile Bay in Fairhope, Alabama! God bless you, Mitch, and as always thank you for your thorough and understandable (James Spann-esque)!
West Mobile here watching as well
Watching everything lurking in the Caribbean from the Florida Panhandle. Just wanted to say thank you for all you do. Blessings to you and your family.
Thank you Mitch. 🙏🏻
I live in south Louisiana. There's no way to predict strength or direction this far out. Look at Francine. That storm's track changed a lot in the last days.
I know how you feel. Ian was supposed to hit Tampa Bay. Suddenly it made a turn. We didn’t get flooding like Ft Myers but got the dirty side in Englewood. Devasting.
Thanks, watching from South East Louisiana
Monday morning should be a good day to review my plan of action. I"m sure this will change a dozen times (direction) by then.
Thanks for the info. I'm in North Florida so I'm definitely watching this.
Same. Just start preparations now in case.
I can’t believe they used the name Issac again. We had a cat 2-3 hurricane Issac in Houma in 2012.
Just wanna thank you for a comment. I heard you say you don’t hear this very much on TV about praying for people thank you so much for lifting up the glory of our father Jesus Christ.
Thank you for offering to pray for my husband and myself I have a temporary job and my husband is still looking for w I work. Please pray Laura and John both find good paying and permanent jobs very soon. Thank you and God you bless you ❤
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Praying for success finding good jobs and more for finding happiness in the Lord at all times . Much love.
Praying in Jesus name
Praying!
Happy Thursday Mitch and everyone! It’s still summertime up here in Pure Michigan, waiting for some cool fall weather and colors. Have a great day everyone
00Z GFS run turns the storm NE towards FL after stalling it. Most recent 06Z GFS run shows same NE turn. Also, still more than a week away, and hasn't even formed. Thanks, but I'll hold the doomerisn for when it actually forms and planes start flying into it. Any model run after 3 days is conjecture and tossing spaghetti.
Good morning from the pea soup foggy UP! Cool morning with the fog but I see blue skies looking straight up. Have a thankful Thursday!
Surprised you don't have a foot of snow yet. ;-) Used to live in the SE part of the lower part of the state. Moved to the gulf coast last year. Cheers
@@tc1uscg65 I’m sure it’s coming, you lived in the banana belt of Michigan!
Good Thursday morning to you, Mitch. I hope you will have a very, very blessed day and are feeling well.😊
Thank you Mitch, you're the best
I’ve never asked before but am now.. please pray for my family we are in an awful financial situation and can’t seem to get ahead with anything. No food and bills aren’t paid.. it’s extremely stressful for us 😢
Praying in Jesus name.
Sorry to hear you’re having trouble Stephanie, I’ll pray for you and your family to receive blessings from our Lord and Savior. Keep positive and have a great day.
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Thank yall so much
Praying that a financial breakthrough happens!
So the GFS, the euro, euro ai, and icon all show it in basically the same place at the end of the run. Seems like a trend to me at least across models
Tuning in to see if we have any weather coming like our local forecast says. Hot and sunny is getting old. 😂
Brunswick county NC would gladly trade you!
@@mandywescott707 haven’t had rain in at least a couple of weeks so if you have any for us, that would be great.
Now when we start to get those rainy windy days I don’t want to hear complaining!😂
I hear ya there. We had some rain on Tuesday but for the past few months we have had more of the same. Dry, warm, and sunny and it is getting old. I want the cool rainy fall days already
@@Steven-i6z it’s like you know me!
Thanks Mitch, you’re good at explaining the dynamics of weather!
This looks like another hurricane Katrina maybe a Michael
GPS has been better at forecasting tropical development this year and even where it goes compaired to the Euro
Thanks much
I need a prayer I live in a nursing home and I am trying to get hips and knee. Replacements
Praying in Jesus name
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Praying!!
Hey Mitch have a great day,thanks for the update
My daughter needs prayer for her health, her 11 month baby.. our whole family. Personal things completely over whelming .. we can't handle a hurricane right now.
I pray for your family and for your burdens. May you be blessed and may you be healed.
Praying for your family.
Praying in Jesus name.
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
I'm sorry you all are going through so much.. Praying now!
My wife and I need prayers for health reasons pray for healing
Your in our prayers🙏
@@scott2726 thank you
Praying now!
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Thanks Mitch!
Please pray for all of the residents in Houston still recovering from Beryl, and who might not have proper air conditioning as it is very hot.
Praying for them .
Pray for entire Gulf Coast!
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Praying in Jesus name.
Praying!
👍Excellent presentation, Mitch! Thanks for your commitment to all of us.👍
✝GOD bless you, the family, and all the brothers and sisters everywhere
in the name of ✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Good morning. God bless.
I have got to get out of South Louisiana 😩
Please pray for my Dad. God is a good God!
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
Amen🙏
Praying for him!
ya i watch more. yep this is bound to the THE BIG ONE of the season
I have a bad feeling about this one there is one bird that tends to stand out in storms and I saw it twice yesterday I see it warning of a bad storm coming (I may just be crazy)
You're not crazy. We have to watch these types of warnings.
where are you at? this bird could mean your in the eye wall path
@@kennycarter5682 I’m in Sarasota
@@NUMNUM3 mm looks like tampa will have a bad day of some type soon. was worried with ian for awhile that it will hit tampa just right with surge.. i seen a run recently that showed that perfect impact. keep an eye on that bird and pay attention to surrounding areas with that bird
@@kennycarter5682 will do I’m going to start minimal prep and keep a close watch for updates
When you get a flip-flop chances are it's probably going to be somewhere in the middle
Greetings from seattle
Good news. The Lord knows and He cares.
As long as no more tropical systems come to Southport nc.. we can't handle anymore
Hi
Mitch, you’re a great person. You tend to ramble too much! When you don’t know what’s going happen don’t speculate. Just wait till it makes sense. Thanks
I do admit I ramble. But all the other stuff you’re saying I don’t agree with. If you’re watching, then you are obviously looking for an answer. You won’t find your answer anywhere this far out. Maybe you’re not understanding what I’m doing here. And I mean that respectfully. Either way, if you want to wait until we are closer to time & have a better idea, then tune in next week. But what I do here is go over model guidance with the audience & I see nothing wrong with that. I can’t control the way the viewer takes in the info, all I can do is say countless times that this isn’t a final solution (which I do) & continue to breakdown what we are seeing out there. The truth is, we never know what’s gonna happen until it does. Thanks
I get what you’re saying. I’ll tune in next week when things come together better. Thanks, and have a good day !
@@RichardBond-n2d sounds good man! I appreciate you! You too!
“Just tell us what is going to happen.” 🤣🤣🤣🤦🏻♂️. Pray for those folks.
The cag coming into the gulf which that water hasnt been churned up for quite sometime so even the lower depths are warmer than avg. Which Can add addional fuel to this storm or the next one. Some of those models showing above cat 3 wouldnt surprise me. With s low steering currents what develops could be a real flood potential..thank you for the details you provide.👍. Another hot one near 90° as the record days in a row above 80 continues here in northern IL. Have a safe blessed day to you and the family.🌎🎛🐈 Btw you said rocket fuel 🐈⬛🚀🤣
Lol ole Rocket fuel!
I thought Isaac was a retired name
The storm names are rotated every six years m or f..if it is devastating with loss of life or very costly that name is retired .as some like Katrina will never b used again🌎🎛 be safe
I’m in fl should I be concerned?
Me too. I’m keeping a close watch from the SW coast.
Me too,
Bonita Springs
You should be aware.
Amazing video! What do you use to draw on your screen like a telestrator?
How is dry air looking for this potential system? Remember Francine
Hopefully there will be no dry air.
@@markpalavosvrahotes5575 Bro💀💀💀💀
Hard to know because we don't know how aggressive the trough (if there is one) is going to be to the North.
🌞❤️🙏
i wish we had better models
We come along way from just a decade ago😊
@@scott2726 I kind of disagree on that I disagree on that because models feel like they have gotten worse over the last couple of years especially on the track of the storms where it will be oh it's in the Gulf of Mexico know it's going to be at the East Coast go guess what it goes south to Panama and it goes out to the Pacific yes the intensity has gotten better with the storm predictions but the track it feels like they don't know where it's going to go like a day or two out
@@RuinNationGaming they do keep records of these and all models. Models are based on the info we get back from weather balloons 92 are launched here in the USA and its territories 7am then at 7pm and over 1800 world wide. We have 122 NWS here. Sometimes more during severe weather. Also you have several aircrafts for hurricanes one does the perimeters and upper air. Others go into it with dropsondes... back to the weather balloons.. can reach altitudes of 20 miles and travel over 100 miles for 2 hours. The data collected from weather balloons are critical for weather model performance and accuracy. Other data is collected from airplanes and many city observations in real time. 1 to 3 day forcast track errors have been reduced by 75% over the past 30 years..as you saw Francine was in the cone of uncertainty very excellent on that track..notice the cone wasnt east to FLA or west to TX.. theres stats on TS and other areas are logged. These stats can be found at NHC the last 5 years the cone has been 67% accurate ot to 5 days of course earlier the percentages go up. Remember the affects can be felt hundreds of miles away from the cone. Cone only repesents where the center is forcasted not surgers or rainfall. Or tornado watch boxes. Now just your 3 day forcast ..(not hurricanes)is about 97% and a 1 day about 98%. .your 5day is 90% 7 day is 80 10 day is 70%.. weather is definatley a huge challenge its all connected world wide..we have 122 NWS here they are 24-7..365 operational..hopefully these articles have helped a bit... theres so much more involved than this..take care 🌎🎛
It must me dog days if we are trying to predict storms 2 weeks out. And not just you but all weather tubers
Awesome. Thanks for watching.
Prayers for our president Trump, he’s putting his life on the line for us everyday. He’s a brave man and I’d hate to see anything happen to him.
🙏🏾praying in the name of
✝Yeshua Ha Mashiach/Jesus Christ✝
You never know our last day as each one of us our life maybe cut short as accidents happen whether intentional or unintentional including our President Biden.🙏🇺🇲🕊
🕊💞👍☺️
✋️🇵🇷
this is bound to be a major. the ? is will it be helene or isaac?
Depends on if something takes the Helene name further out in the Atlantic which is possible.
@@MitchWestWeather it is very possible. hence i have the ? if it will be helene or isaac