Historical Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (CVaR) in Excel

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  • Опубликовано: 18 окт 2024

Комментарии • 42

  • @josevalencia9233
    @josevalencia9233 4 года назад +8

    I have been watching a bunch of videos of RUclips about this topic but none of them are as accurate as yours. Thank you for sharing it.

  • @giovannicolella4908
    @giovannicolella4908 3 года назад +3

    I really appreciate your video! Great work!

  • @aboyinfinland9230
    @aboyinfinland9230 2 года назад +3

    Sir, where can I kindly buy more content related to practical excel implementation (or VBA) and relating to risk ? 🙂This stuff is simply impressive, thank you so much!

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  2 года назад

      Hi, thanks for the feedback. I don't have much videos on risk modelling at the moment. Will post videos on my youtube whenever I have time after the CFA exam season is over

  • @vynguyen7578
    @vynguyen7578 2 года назад +1

    Really thanks for the video

  • @jbz2513
    @jbz2513 10 месяцев назад

    Very easy to understand explanation! Thank you for this. Question: How to now calculate 10-day, 30-day Var? Do we simply multiply the Var(p) * STDEV.S()8SQRT(10) for example to get a 10-day var?

  • @NerreraFightStories
    @NerreraFightStories 2 года назад +1

    Thanks for this video

  • @LEO-n6p8q
    @LEO-n6p8q Год назад

    Clear, concise and understandable. But if you have a portfolio with both shares and bonds how you calculate VAR?

  • @КарлИванов-з7у
    @КарлИванов-з7у Год назад +1

    Really appreciate it

  • @weijie9851
    @weijie9851 2 года назад +1

    Hi Fabian, why didn't you use the average of the first 63 ranks instead using the first 62 ranks to find the CVaR?

  • @djitymik
    @djitymik 2 года назад

    This video is too good! Thanks a lot! 😉

  • @khalidbinasad996
    @khalidbinasad996 3 года назад +1

    Very good and useful video

  • @imirosmanov2745
    @imirosmanov2745 Год назад

    Dear Mr. Fabian,
    Could you please explain how to calculate VaR for operational risk based on loss data base.

  • @christianniamke8642
    @christianniamke8642 2 года назад

    thank you for that descriptive video... i understand well how it works now. but i had a problem when i tried to exercise with the same data. i downloaded the data well, but when i convert..., it doesn't work well. i still have text data while i should have had number in my sheet. then i don't know how to have number. i tried everything uselessly.

  • @reubenbenjamin5086
    @reubenbenjamin5086 3 года назад

    Hi your video was easy to understand and concise. May I ask why did we calculate the returns using log

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  3 года назад +1

      It is to compute continuous return (which I use for smaller intervals). You can use discrete returns if you want.

  • @simfinso858
    @simfinso858 3 года назад

    As You told we can take " Average " Function straightaway in Covar calculations.

  • @harley801
    @harley801 3 года назад

    Thanks for the video. I had a question: why do you use formula "=LN(F3/F2)" for calculating returns? If for example we apply this formula to values 100 -> 50 we will receive value -0,693147181. But this is definitely should be 50% loss not 69%.
    Shouldn't we use formula: "=F3/F2-1" for calculating returns?

    • @mathiswellmann6858
      @mathiswellmann6858 3 года назад

      The natural logarithm is used to create the returns due to the cumulative properties of logarithms, which make it easier to compute continuously compounding returns, which also makes it easier to compare returns over different time horizons. In your example you would do 100*e^-0.69=50.15 which is correct. Also computing annualized returns or daily returns is much easier. E.g.: 1.01^365=37.78, and backwards you do 37.78^(1/365), which is going from daily to yearly returns and back. Hope this helps, even though it's a bit late :D

  • @jeenet2042
    @jeenet2042 2 года назад

    What if the VAR(95) is positive and CVAR(95) is negative? How to interpret the values?

  • @Im-Assmaa
    @Im-Assmaa 2 года назад

    Hi , thank you so much , this was helpful, can you post a video on how to calculate VaR and CoVaR using quantile regression proposed by Brunnermeier and Adrian (2011). Im kind of stuck PLEAASE

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri Год назад +1

      Hi, have you found the tutorials? I really need the tutorial for calculating VaR and CoVar using quantile regression for my thesis, please let me know if you could help :(

    • @Im-Assmaa
      @Im-Assmaa Год назад

      @@rivashaputri Hi, give me your email; I'll send you the method i used.

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri Год назад

      ​@@Im-Assmaa ​ Hi, thank you for replying. I can't give the email here because youtube keep deleting my comment if i write my email. Can i have your instagram? i'll give the email on the dm. Thank you in advance, i really need this and it means a lot to me.

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri Год назад

      Mine is the same as my youtube username: rivashaputri. Thank you it really means a lot.

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri Год назад

      ​@@Im-Assmaa Hi again, i'm still waiting for your dm. Thank you so much.

  • @veronicataylor5977
    @veronicataylor5977 3 года назад

    Thanks for the video. I had a question, how do we calculate HS Var when there is a rolling window of say 250 days?

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  3 года назад

      You need to calculate the daily returns, then use the function =PERCENTILE.EXC(, 0.05) for 5% HS VaR

    • @veronicataylor5977
      @veronicataylor5977 3 года назад

      Thank you very much!

    • @veronicataylor5977
      @veronicataylor5977 3 года назад

      For GARCH model, if we are given the parameters as w=0.41221, alpha=0.13434 and beta=0.85988; do we need to change the base for w to calculate daily volatility?

  • @beansm152
    @beansm152 3 года назад +1

    is this a non-parametric approach?

    • @pipevc1
      @pipevc1 8 месяцев назад

      Yes, this is just for class, in reality we model and fit distribution functions in order to capture the real volatility and weight on tails of distributions, not just rankings

  • @lmagz84
    @lmagz84 3 года назад

    Can we measure it using eviews

  • @nudratfatima1217
    @nudratfatima1217 4 года назад

    hello i need help in calculation of ΔCoVaR method?

  • @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz
    @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz 4 года назад

    Sir how to calculate Change in CoVaR?

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  4 года назад

      Change in CVaR as a result of?

    • @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz
      @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz 4 года назад +1

      @@FabianMoa change in CoVar for financial institution contribution to the financial system

    • @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz
      @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz 4 года назад

      symbolically,
      CoVaRsysji
      t;˛ CoVaRsys t;˛jRitDVaR it;˛ minus CoVaRsys t;˛jRitDmediani