- Видео 10
- Просмотров 147 866
LoM
Добавлен 4 окт 2021
Russell Napier. Twenty One Lessons from Financial History for the Way We Live Now.
We are pleased to announce that the video of the lecture by Russell Napier is now available on our RUclips channel.
“Twenty One Lessons from Financial History for the Way We Live Now.”
The lecture took place at our library in Lausanne, Rue du Grand-Pont 12, on March 27, 2024, at 18:00.
Please help yourself and access the lecture slides by the following link.
lomlausanne.ch/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Russell-Napier-21-Lessons-from-Financial-History-for-the-way-we-live-now.pdf
“Twenty One Lessons from Financial History for the Way We Live Now.”
The lecture took place at our library in Lausanne, Rue du Grand-Pont 12, on March 27, 2024, at 18:00.
Please help yourself and access the lecture slides by the following link.
lomlausanne.ch/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Russell-Napier-21-Lessons-from-Financial-History-for-the-way-we-live-now.pdf
Просмотров: 98 916
Видео
Bob Traa “The Macroeconomy of the European Union: A Work in Progress.”
Просмотров 6187 месяцев назад
Library of Mistakes, Lausanne. September 7, 2023
Tian Yang. Variant Perception Analytic Framework & Latest Views
Просмотров 802Год назад
Delivered at the Library of Mistakes, Lausanne, on April 27, 2023.
Edward Chancellor. The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest
Просмотров 16 тыс.Год назад
Edward Chancellor. The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest
Russell Napier. The Slow Death of the Euro.
Просмотров 30 тыс.Год назад
Russell Napier on Capital Management in Europe in an Age of Financial Repression.
Iceland's Secret by Jared Bibler
Просмотров 5152 года назад
The entire talk given by Jared Bibler at the Library of Mistakes on March 24, 2022.
Iceland's Secret - Presentation by Jared Bibler at LoM Lausanne
Просмотров 1222 года назад
Iceland's Secret - Presentation by Jared Bibler at LoM Lausanne Key moments
Library of Mistakes Lausanne opening talk on September 30th, 2021 - full video
Просмотров 1 тыс.2 года назад
Library of Mistakes Lausanne opening talk on September 30th, 2021 - full video
Library of Mistakes Lausanne opened its doors to the public on September 30th, 2021
Просмотров 972 года назад
Library of Mistakes Lausanne opened its doors to the public on September 30th, 2021
Library of Mistakes Lausanne is open to public 30 September 2021
Просмотров 1402 года назад
Library of Mistakes Lausanne is open to public 30 September 2021
Muy bueno! Incluso con una referencia al bono a 100 años que metio Toto Caputo con Macri en Argentina... jeje Gracias Señor! Ahora con Milei, esperamos pagar todas nuestras cuentas.
Unfortunately Napier injected his political bias by implying Trump might try to do away with the rule of law while ignoring what has been going on under Biden.
The old system is not being replaced. The existing system has evolved, evolved again and evolved again. The beginning was a time of societal control over the commons, a control based on tribal association characterized by an absence of hierarchy and an absence of private property in the commons. With settlement in one place and the growth of permanent towns came the need for law relating to property. The appearance of hierarchy results in the hierarchical claims to property that had once been the commons. Property law favored those who by heredity and by coercion gained control of the commons. They became the landed aristocracy. When deeds to land were established under laws of possession, they by the charging of rents orchestrated a redistribution of wealth from producers to this non-producing rentier elite. To agrarian landlordism was added commercial landlordism, then industrial landlordism and finally financial landlordism. These forms of landlordism has combined to result in the accelerating concentration of income, wealth and hierarchical power that dominates the world's societies today.
> there are countries where they tell me, well you're a Calvinist, we can never do this, we have to promise people whatever you know and then if we under deliver, well then we have excuses and it's somebody else's fault. You wouldn't be able to do that in the Netherlands What an absolute clown. A stain on the Library of Mistakes.
If you disconnect from China you will buy steel from India and you dont have the energy and work force to make your own steel.
That’s what happens when you have a historian look at economics. Math is lacking so rigor is lacking. But assertions are abundant.
Would you be able to mention which of his assertions would have been shown to be incorrect with maths?
Countries that impose sanctions on other political systems, often end up as economies which suffer the brunt of retaliatory sanctions. Can the US mkt afford to remain solvent in the face of such a rational response by China ? As for investments in stock mkts of other countries .. let's consider the opposite side. Why would a country allow an entity of another country to invest in their stock mkts unless they are absolutely sure that the investment isn't actually .. DEBT ? Thirdly, 2008 was a time when people did lose everything. Before that, in 1999. After that, in 2013-14. In different regions of the world, not all at once, but pretty horrific anyway. So, the belief that it's the rule of law coming between someone and their bankruptcy is really quite flawed.
You had me at "Library of Mistakes". Those who live outside the box, with a wink and nod ❤
What's the point if the sound is so bad.
My portfolio for the past 30 years has always been self managed and I own 3 shares of RPC WEALTH IAF Berkshire Hathaway Class A stock (BRK:A) which I bought in at about $17,000 during the mid 90s, I’m currently liquidating some of these positions to incorporate new Gen. Stocks, but am I better off re-investing into Gold as it seems stocks are a little too unstable right now.
Invest in real estate, ETfs and high-yield savings account.
Just buy Gold and protect your assets, the stock market is a rollercoaster.
The market is not necessarily a rollercoaster if you know your way around the market, there are various opportunities in the present market to accrue good profit. If you are not too savvy with the market, just buy and hold on strong companies with good earnings, or consult with advisors on ETFs and actively managed funds. I am up by 418% in 1 year under guidance.
how do I get one and interview them? Considering your point I won’t want to get into a bubble. Can you recommend any?
RPC WEALTH IAF is a hot topic even among financial elitists. Just browse, you’d find them, thank me later.
Fascinating.
b
I was not able to come away with any actionable knowledge. Anyone else???
I found many e.g. 1 [supply vs demand] - look at growth in power needs (Data Centres, developing nations, EVs...) - all need copper: Supply side - copper shortage forecast as supply is lower than demand=invest in copper miners. 4 [incentives] Politicians/Govts prioritise being re-elected, not doing the right thing - their jobs depend upon it. So if faced with high debt and thus a choice between a balanced budget, inflation or default which will they choose? History (see e.g. 1970s) suggests inflation wins over cutting expenditure or raising taxes. 8 [yield] don't invest to chase a high yield e.g. a high yielding equity may have a DV that's not sustainable. DV will be cut, resulting in loss of income and decline in share price. Many, many more.
@@suckers0 well thank you so much for that considerate and informative review. I really appreciate it!
Regarding #9, read the "Great Taking" by Tom Webb.
entering the great bubble in loans
I wish I had smart friends who were interested in this…..
you are amongst friends...
Good to see you here my friend
It seemed an interesting talk, until he tells that the state gets its money from peoples savings. That is dumb and wrong!!! Even war bonds were never meant to finance war costs!!! Please dont talk about things that you seemingly dont understand.
37:30 In what instance Turkey has defaulted in its debt?
I think he was talking about the nine nations most likely to default and gave Turkey as one example (I assume because of its recent inflation problem, fast falling value of its currency and that whilst its debt/GDP ratio is relatively low, about half of its external debt is in USD, Euro and Yen which obviously becomes harder to repay as the T.Lira depreciates).
Thank you all for producing this.
Point #6 I believe the “free society” you speak of is specifically the structure change most deny due to bias
Excellent thanks
Nice to see an expert who isn't an airbag phony like Paul Krugman or Janet Yellen.
I know someone is legit when they talk about supply. Supply is demand, as I like to say, as in a farmer's supply of wheat will dictate, after its sale, his demand for meat and livestock, say.
Is ignoring the depreciation of durable consumer goods and not talking about planned obsolescence part of the "Olde Rules?" What is NDP, Net Domestic Product? GDP is Grossly Distorted Propaganda
There is no Nobel Prize in Economics. Alfred Nobel did not create any such thing. The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics was created by some Swedish bank in the 1960s. Of course using Nobel's name was just a coincidence.
Section 5 big Corporation. It's a natural progression for capitalism to end this way as described in Marx's theory of capitalism. It takes socialist (not neo liberalism) to revert this back to sustainable levels.
Well, Greece is one example where the people are forced to give moneys to the government to create surplus, just to pay foreigner debt back. Foreigner being mainly German and French banks... This is the shortest and msot accurate explanations I've heard!
How do we solve the problem of too much debt: 1. austerity 2. high real growth 3. default 4. hyperinflation 5. financial repression
If all information is in the price explain ... 1994 - 1/8th of an Oz of Weed was $35 (+/-$5) in North Jersey 2024 - $25 - $50, the range is quality & marketing. Note: the quality is higher now (2022 - 24) as a starting point than any point before 2001 or after 2008. How has quality improved? Availability is unchanged and legality has not impacted price.
seems that the price of weed has deteriorated in real terms, the only factor to consider seems legality.. the more lenient the law, the less risk, the price drops ? is that not why prices are stagnant ?
@@mariavonegidy112 No, because the price drop precedes the legal change. But that was true at one time. The change in CO - 2014 and CA - '16 did affect prices for a time.
At the start i feared that this would turn into a goldbug but at the half way point it had interesting ideas and I'm optimistic that it won't turn into that.
Is there a Rule of LAW? Ask Mr T. that question about NY City
The sound quality is appalling
Bad sound for goodness sake at least turn the air conditioning off To be endured
Just wow, great speaker
Xi's incentive is to stay in power. Having control is the mean to stay in power, not the goal. And he already has so much control, including control of people's mind. So, don't use western logic to predict his behavior. Whatever he will do could shock us.
Truly one of the best
Logistics/ supply chains are fundamental. Brexit, COVID reminded us just how crucial these are, beyond assessment of supply & demand 😮
Where is more literature on Pepper’s Law? Origin/person etc
Look up Gordon Pepper, economist.
Thank you Russell this lecture was amazing
Why not Brussels say how much money creation every country can create and then the countries prioritize what companies live?
Did he release a book about this? I can’t seem to find anything. Would love to read more
Word
I learned a lot from this video but I disagree that governments do not have to inflate to deal with debt. Russell had some of the opium of the people: he is extrapolating the past. The US and Britain managed to deal with high debt/GDP ratios after WWII without hyperinflation, but now they cannot. Reasons: 1) properly accounted (including Social Security, Medicaid, and Medicare), debt/GDP is 1000% now, 2) Populism has decidively won its battle against the forces of fiscal conservatism: now both the Republican and Democratic parties are fierce advocates of fiscal profligacy, 3) the enemy is no longer a centrally planned economy, but a mostly market economy, 4) the environment and natural resources are a much more serious problem, given that population and GDP are much higher. Argentina was wealthier than Switzerland and France in 1920. The US is going to follow a similar path. Because that is what the American peopke will vote for, just like the Argentines did.
Chinese currency is not pegged to USD
Great speaker. Talking about why GDP growth doesn't have a relationship with stock market appreciation he references a 120 year old study and then quotes Warren Buffet: "price is what you pay, value is what you get" if you overpay it can take time to have value. Excellent
First step: have rich parents Second step: be rich
Sorry about typos, in a rush, you get the jist.
All interesting but the truth is that no one, especially academics no what will happen next. Historians particularly, they will tell you exactly who something happened during in the past but use lots of “possibly” or “likely” and so on when talking of the future.
Much respect for Mr Napier and his perspective , thank you for the great thoughts points to his presentation. Are the taters of the US constitution the best that foreign investors can hope for? In the last 10 years, the world's de facto leader has unfortunately resorted to banana republic tactics...banning media, imprisoning journalists, stealing foreign reserve assets, kidnapping foreign execs on 3rd party soil. Is this really where capital finds safety in the next 10 years? I doubt it very seriously.
Thanks Russel for getting rid of the San-Ti threat. Good to see economics was your passion all along.