- Видео 19
- Просмотров 5 291
Matthew Spaniol
Дания
Добавлен 14 окт 2016
Presentations on topics, papers, and applications of strategic foresight. To access the research papers, visit my ResearchGate profile: www.researchgate.net/profile/Matthew-Spaniol
Responsible futures practices and Karl Popper. Paper presentation by Matthew J. Spaniol
Recorded at the Finland Futures Research Conference 14 June 2024, this paper explores what Popper's theory of knowledge creation means in the context of futures and foresight science. It particularly draws on Popper's notions of conjecture and refutation as a means to generating knowledge in the fallibilistic paradigm of critical rationalism. It also features Matts' family's bunny, Guldlyn. forskning.ruc.dk/en/publications/responsible-futures-practices-and-karl-popper
Просмотров: 43
Видео
The future multiple, explained by Prof. Nicholas J. Rowland
Просмотров 1922 года назад
Prof. Nicholas J. Rowland explains his paper, The Future Multiple. The paper was published in 2015 in Foresight the journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy. Prof. Rowland explains how the paper was inspired by STS, and how the examination of experiential and observational data can get at the ontological character of the future. He speaks about the review process and links it to...
Backcasting as a strategic management tool for meeting VUCA challenges, by Kent Thorén
Просмотров 7582 года назад
Kent Thorén from the KTH Royal Institute of Technology in Sweden explains his 2018 paper, "Backcasting as a strategic management tool for meeting VUCA challenges" co-authored with Martin Vendel and published in the Journal of Strategy and Management. Originating in sustainability transition studies, Kent assesses backcasting as a tool for managing Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity ...
Corporate foresight as a microfoundation of dynamic capabilities. Explained by Jan Oliver Schwarz
Просмотров 3772 года назад
Dynamic capabilities, the means by which an organization has the ability to renew and recreate its strategy to meet the demands of a changing operational environment, is a prominent theory explaining the success of firms. In this video, Jan Oliver Schwarz explains his 2020 paper "Corporate foresight as a microfoundation of dynamic capabilities" published in Futures & Foresight science. Jan Oliv...
Forward-looking sustainability agency for developing future cruise ships - A paper by Leena Jokinen
Просмотров 362 года назад
Leena Jokinen from the Finland Futures Research Center explains her paper, "Forward-looking sustainability agency for developing future cruise ships" published in Sustainability with Tuire Palonen, Helka Kalliomäki, Oana Apostol, & Katariina Heikkilä. The paper uses social network analysis to understand an inter-organizational effort to enhance sustainability across a complex supplier network. ...
The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments
Просмотров 592 года назад
Paper presentation by Prof. Paul Goodwin, Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath. The paper was published in 2009 in the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making and addresses the research questions "do people trust forecasts from humans more than those produced by computer algorithms? and do forecasts improve when humans adjust off algorithmic forecasts? The paper can be downloaded at the l...
Multiple scenario development: Its conceptual and behavioral foundation. By Paul J. H. Schoemaker
Просмотров 2882 года назад
Paul J. H. Schoemaker served on the faculties of the University of Chicago, Cedep at Insead, and The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. He took a two year academic sabbatical with Shell’s scenario planning group in London in the 1980s where he worked closely with Kees van der Heijden. Following that, he founded Decision Strategies International, Inc. for which he served as CEO an...
Forward looking analysis: Investigating how individuals ‘do’ foresight and make sense of the future
Просмотров 1582 года назад
Stathis Tapinos, Senior Lecturer at the University of Strathclyde, presents his 2017 paper published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, co-authored with Neil Pyper. Stathis explains how the paper objectives were altered after pilot testing, how critical incident interviews informed the paper, and how sensemaking now shapes his approach to futures and foresight studies. The paper is...
A comprehensive scenario intervention typology. Paper presentation by Megan Crawford.
Просмотров 1153 года назад
Megan Crawford, Lecturer at Edinburgh Napier University, presents her 2020 paper, "A comprehensive scenario intervention typology" published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Megan talks about how the paper was sparked by a need for clearer directions in scenario planning implementation, and in particular, how a project's anticipated impact can inform the goals at the onset of the...
On applied science, prediction and contingency. Paper presentation by Patrick van der Duin
Просмотров 763 года назад
Patrick is an associate editor at Futures, the Interdisciplinary Study of Futures, Anticipation and Foresight, and is the executive director of the The Netherlands Study Centre for Technology Trends (STT), an independent non-profit foundation that carries out society-oriented technology foresight studies. In this video, Patrick presents his 2009 paper, On applied science, prediction and conting...
Command & control: Alt futures of geoengineering in an age of global weirding. John A. Sweeney
Просмотров 943 года назад
John A. Sweeney, Senior Research Fellow at Westminster International University in Tashkent and co-Founder at Superfluid Futures Initiative presents his 2014 paper published in Futures, a journal for the interdisciplinary study of futures, anticipation and foresight. He talks about the inspiration for the paper, the challenges of the review process, and how it shaped him as a futures and foresi...
Sustainable Blue Growth Challenges
Просмотров 313 года назад
Why is Sustainable Blue Growth so difficult? Matthew Spaniol offers some reasons in the Blue Growth Leadership Course.
Studying Futures Studies
Просмотров 4093 года назад
This video highlights some research papers at the interface of STS and Futures and Foresight Science (F&FS). F&FS is like any other scientific enterprise that has come under empirical scrutiny by STS. F&FS applies strategic foresight methods that produce futures in the present. The F&FS practice and scholarly literature are used as the empirical setting and data for applying STS sensitizing con...
Future of shipbuilding
Просмотров 1283 года назад
Presentation on 20 innovations that are expected to impact shipbuilding operations and practice. The innovation forecasts that cover the decade 2020-2030. Let us know in the comments: What innovations did we miss? What did we get wrong? Here is a link to a downloadable and printable version of the roadmap: ecoprodigi.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Digitalisation-Roadmap-for-Ro-Ro-and-Ro-Pax-Ship...
Thomas Joseph Spaniol Sr. September 2, 2019
Просмотров 795 лет назад
Interview with Grandpa at his 90th Birthday!
Drone applications for the ocean economy
Просмотров 645 лет назад
Drone applications for the ocean economy
Drones applications in maritime and offshore Drone applications in maritime and offshore
Просмотров 805 лет назад
Drones applications in maritime and offshore Drone applications in maritime and offshore
Defining Scenario (Short version 7 minutes) Matthew Spaniol
Просмотров 6755 лет назад
Defining Scenario (Short version 7 minutes) Matthew Spaniol
Defining Scenario (long version 12 minutes) by Matthew Spaniol
Просмотров 1,6 тыс.5 лет назад
Defining Scenario (long version 12 minutes) by Matthew Spaniol
The parallels with military planning are definitely interesting. You made a lot of military staff officers happy by dropping Clausewitz into your lesson. I wish private sector companies would spend more time using scenario based planning to help develop mid level managers. It is definitely one of the leadership training gaps I see as people try to move up the corporate ranks.
ｐｒｏｍｏｓｍ 🤣
Thank you
Schreibtischattentäter
again great work Matthew - but it does go a bit black in the end (39:05ísh - guess its a black slide) - but thanks for sharing
This is great work Matthew - it´s a bit long - but since this complex, there is no other way. I like the way you built the timeline and present the evolution... Thank you for sharing.
Thank you for your work in defining this complex word, very helpful for me!