The 2 biggest concerns investors have right now!
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- Опубликовано: 10 фев 2025
- Markets thrive on confidence, but uncertainty can shake things up. Right now, investors are worried about tariffs and sky-high valuations-but I believe only one of these is a real concern. Tariffs? Ignore them. Companies adapt, and at the end of the day, the consumer bears the cost. The real issue is valuations. The stock market is historically overvalued by over 116%, with metrics like the stock market GDP ratio and the 10-year CAPE screaming danger. This level of overvaluation has preceded periods of weak returns, and I believe we’re heading toward a rough decade for stocks. The solution? Focus on buying great companies at great prices, stick to low-cost ETFs, and embrace dollar-cost averaging.
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Stocks market extended their year-to-date rally following the CPI report, with the S&P 500 last up 0.8% in trading. but I don't know if stocks will quickly rebound, continue to pull back or move sideways for a few weeks, or if conditions will rapidly deteriorate. I am under pressure to grow my reserve
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I don’t know. Countries will reevaluate their trust in us as we attack them with tariffs and threats to leave global organization. As our goodwill perishes so will stock valuations.
Nice one - GC
@@EverythingMoney nice
Paul was doing so well initially and I was proud of him. Then all of sudden he was factory reset. Pulled out the stock market to GDP indicator and made fun of people who say that stocks are not as international as you think. OK, Paul. Let's check it. Last time I checked this was the international portion of Mag7 revenue: Amazon: 31%, Microsoft 49%, Alphabet 51%, Meta 63%, Apple 63%, Nvidia 55%, Tesla 51%. Stop making fun of others and start exercising some humility maybe.
Tariffs will increase costs of finished goods and components used throughout US manufacturing. This will be an immediate and huge hike in inflation. To fight inflation the Fed will have to hike interest rates which will be wonderful for the billionaires but possibly take away the middle class. Inflation is so high that consumers are literally taking debt for basic life necessities. Collapse has indeed begun..
The U.S. economy relies on ongoing credit and debt generation for sustenance. The Federal Reserve is expected to increase the money supply, leading to further debt accumulation for the average American. So how exactly can we guard against the coming financial reset Like what are really the best strategies to make our portfolio recession proof against the incoming financial reset? I'm very worried about my $310k stock portfolio.
Accurate asset allocation is crucial with an Experts guidance. I have 850k in equity, 75 cash earning 5.25 interest, 685k in roth ira, 120k in 401k, Gold and silver bars. age is 48. My advisr helped me realign my portfolio to my risk tolerance and it boomed shortly.
Can you share details of your advisor? I want to invest my increased cash flow in stocks and alternative assets to achieve financial goals.
‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy'' is the licensed advisor I use and i'm just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
I’m excited to hear how this is all Obama’s fault.
You mean Biden
@@Chris-vz2kv Clinton too and DEI, Woke, Drag Queens, Immigrants, Trans people for sure, all the libs, the War on Christmas RIP to all those lost, Let's not forget the Deep State and George Soros.
both
I think it's DEI really. Seriously though, corporate greed wins and consumers pay for the increased tariff on goods coming into our country.
it’s always everybody blames each other.AP
White House unpredictability is the most significant risk. I expect stumbles, mistakes, and the occasional disaster in the next four years, which will certainly result in a stressed market.
But you had no problem with the past 4yrs? Look at what inflation did.
@@13Bravo77Inflation was a world problem & the USA handled it better than any other country in the world
I guess you haven’t been grocery shopping in a while. Or don’t have to insure an auto.
Same as ever then - GC
@@13Bravo77 1. From Trump's mismanagement of covid. Also, what policy did bidens admin implement that negatively impact inflation? I'll wait 🤡
Automation and robotics largely invalidates this argument
Palantir. 80x sales 600 pe 250fwd pe. Who thought this was possible? 😂
No one just pure bets .AP
Trumps been in the WH for three weeks! The sht show has just begun!?
Trump is a total idiot. Can't stand the guy. I could care less about being like many others. Being a tariffs king does nothing for America or the world.
Good stuff - GC
@@jeffreywang7527 Also the King of deficit spending.
We are taxed over 60% by our own. You literally work 6 months without wages
Death and taxes... - GC
I’m new at this and I have just invested in 2 etfs, VOO & SCHD. Any thoughts that if this is still a good or bad investment? Or should I worried when the market opens on Monday?
That’s great dca into it and don’t stop.AP
Paul... You can't circle data on one screen that we can't see the circled data on the main screen that you are displaying to us. This has been driving me crazy lately. HA Other than that your videos are great.
Hahaha thanks for the feedback.AP
50% on Canada following Trudeau's retaliation. The reasoning doesn't make sense, claiming that it is to fight against incoming drugs at borders, Canada is reportedly the one country with the lowest number/volume of seizures of all and if the US residents weren't so blatantly drug-addicts encouraging traffic there wouldn't be any. The subject is much vaster, but more likely regarding resources than drugs. It's all an unnecessary war. Higher for longer interest rates are not helping things either.
Keep those videos coming, always interesting and enjoy watching. Cheers!
yea because tariff will really affect META, GOOG, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, AMD, PLTR ..... Tariff do not increase inflation.... might increase temporary the price then supply demand is affected.
Paul is different this time, and you dont get it 😂
Always is😉 - GC
I'm pissed-----My nike stocks DUMPED---now I am down big. I think now that nike broke 70 it will go even lower. Tutes have no confidence in Nike.
Buy.
@ I have been. My avg is 72.60
@ patience then.
72.60 average is good. Nike has about 15% sales and manufacturing over in China so this fall is expected.
This was such a overreaction on something that is only in place for a short time.
They aren’t made to be there forever.
Overreaction? Paul said is not wooried about tariffs...🤔. - GC
I do miss your live stream.
We did one last week...feel free to join the next one - GC
It's a circus 🎪
We should be at the bottom of the channel on Monday. Jobs report sucked and he already said it’s his favorite word.
Nice one - GC
Crash coming since covid right? Another click bait.
True that - GC
Another day, another crash…
Paul calling for a crash. Shock!!!!!!!
"Price is what you pay. Value is what you get." - Warren Buffet
😅 Crashes happen for any and every reason when assets are OVERPRICED relative to the future Value. The future is now. Value targets have been over reached.
👨💻 Do your Googles and use AI. The stock market is 73% to 187% overvalued. Stocks like Palantir have a P/E ratio of 583. Tariffs is a cover story to justify a crash. Retail investors who keep buying are exit liquidity 🚪.
Nice one - GC
Red days in the market are beautiful-opportunity hides in the chaos.
Very well said! AP
It’s NICE that people who will suffer most VOTED for him.
Most... people voted for him... 😉 - GC
Correction. Most people that voted, voted for him.
Most people didn't.
Who is smarter for having read this ?
Lol
Sooooo looking for all those Brown and China jobs will be coming back, people in Alabama will love putting iPhones together for $8.00/each like Foxconn does.
It has been worse with Obama.AP
So, if something is at overvalued 25 year highs, would you sell it all for cash and wait for the crash to then dollar cost average back into the market? Market Timing, Time In Market vs Timing the Market?
I get yur constant discussion of when to buy... When to sell?
You can't really time the market you have to look at the specific company and see if its over valued or not based on its history. I bought stocks that kept going down for years even though they were under valued based on their past history. I will simplify it for you. If it has a peg ratio below 1 its considered undervalued. But you invest at your own risk it can keep going down more. YOu can look at peg ratios on the nasdaq. And the peg ratio is not always accurate cause a company might have a horrible year where the eps drops a lot but then is estimated to continue its growth it had in the past the following year.
Thank you for making the video! This is a great video to share with high school students!
Glad it was helpful!AP
Also, we can learn to live without widgets....
I know Obama and Joe DID IT, me the want to be King Orange with bunch of my Broligarchs did not do shit.
Im buying nike and intel...
Okay - GC
By “uncertainty”, he means Trump.
😂
You are telling people to join your community and calling other people dumb is a snake oil sales man pitch unless you are a certified Investment Advisor, RIA, Portfolio Manager, CFA, or Stockbroker.
Thanks for the comment , Shame you feel that way.AP
Absolutely! Wealth is made in bear markets. We aren’t in a bear market, but nibbling heavy red days has proven to be fruitful for me over 9 years of investing. I am at $2.25 mil. Biggest positions PLTR, TSLA, SCHD, NVDA, and now looking to build up DRGO alongside finding quality value/growth stocks to buy like TORM. I got $48k divs last year in taxable divs. Q2 taxable divs this year was $17,388 this year. Don't sell when the market is down. Having a skilled Financial counsellor has been my saving grace. Abigail Ann Ryan, she handles all my investments and puts the time in to do in-depth research that can be valuable in strategizing my portfolio.
Biggest lesson I learnt in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long-term edge
Impressive!! Also, I did read about Abigail Ann Ryan on the web, I was able to find her webpage and leave a mail. I'm willing to make consultations to improve my portfolio
I had to Google to be sure, great resume she has.
It took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learnt to go with the flow and keep it simple with discipline.
I guess you don’t hang around with the great unwashed? Everybody’s rich in your circles I guess.
Nope....but most are working hard to get rich - GC
If a RUclipsr thought he was so smart about the economy he wouldn't be a RUclipsr😂
What would you do if you get so rich? Stay in your basement ?😅
@SirAnderr a man should never tell another man how he should enjoy his wealth. The enemies of wealth will always use their morality to pull you down into hell where they live.
Search him up he’s not a RUclipsr .AP
You've been calling for a crash since 2023 lol
You buying the Google dip?
Tariffs won't affect me at all. I don't eat avacados and I don't buy canadian maple syrup.
But i bet you have many 'made in China' products.... 😉- GC
If you have a car parts will go up significantly
@@EverythingMoney Does local Chinese food count?
This is such a narrow and uniformed comment. 😂
Small taxes can affect investment decisions such as whether to choose tax-free municipal bonds over taxable bonds or do a Roth IRA conversion. I’ve been sitting on over $745K equity from a home sale and I want to invest on the stock market, how do I achieve this without being taxed twice?
There’s more benefit to holding fixed-income assets in tax-deferred retirement accounts as opposed to taxable accounts. If you're not who understands strategies to invest in the market, seek a Financial advisor to guide you.
Indeed, I did make use of a financial counselor. As I get closer to retirement, their advice has been really helpful. I thought compound interest on index funds wouldn't be sufficient because I started late. It's amusing how I've done better than colleagues who have more years of investment experience. I've profited more than $886k tax free.
Hope you don't mind if I ask you to recommend this particular professional you use their service?
Jessica Dawn Walters is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up on google, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Great video Paul. You are one of the few who do these and let us know what an unusual market we are living in. Thanks
Glad you enjoyed it.AP
Good advice for once
Glad you think so! - GC
Great video! 📊 Seeing market trends visually makes a huge difference. On my channel, I create dynamic charts to track market movements in real time. 🚀
Paul the real earnings of the companies behind the S&P are increasing way more than the GDP. The forward PE is overvalued by maybe 25% but not by over 100%.
Tx for the note - GC
Valuations are all that matter in the long run…. Discounted cash flow. This time is no difference. What happens to the ten year return *every* time valuations are here? Tariffs make no difference. They just strengthen the usd. Tariffs were a way of life before 1913.
Wheres Moe? Is he still on the shiw?
Yeap...feel free to join our community - GC
Great Report and Analysis!!!
Much appreciated.AP
The 2017 "tax cut" has been instrumental in propping up the economy and markets while blowing huge holes in the federal debt year after year. We can't afford another global crisis of any kind with the quality of people currently in charge. The beef with Canada, our most loyal ally is just disgusting and disappointing. The damage has already been done. I've been moving to cash and cash equivalents the last 2 weeks.
“Most loyal ally”….are you kidding?
Canada was providing the Chinese military with cold weather training during Trump’s first term. There’s nothing loyal about that. The only thing that is happening now is that Trump is telling Canada to act like the ally they claim to be.
💎📈✅🥇
What happened to nike???
Buy.
Any reason why Nike stock has fallen yesterday sharply?
Downgrade from Citi bank
@@shevierramsamuj3261 Thank you, but is it justified?
@@monster32991they said they talk to the CEO and they said this Year won't be good. Valuations to high for another down year according to citi
@@monster32991 according to Citi the valuation is to high for another down year after talking to the CEO
@@monster32991probably, they’re earnings have been pretty bad. Regardless, I’m still buying the stock
What would the PE ratio look like if the Magnificent 7 were removed
Interesting question maybe we should do a video about it.AP
You should do an analysis on Uber. It's a cash flow machine.
Noted thanks!AP
Why do you keep ignoring that domestic producers raise their prices to near-tariff premiums because there is no foreign competition forcing prices down?
I thought trump paused these tariffs on Canada and Mexico.
Only for a month ...China is in place - GC
you are looking at the market as something isolated and now as an alternative of investment worldwide
money flows to wherever it feels safer
Trump 2024 The King Is Back !!!
Lol we forget about how our consuption will drop for some stuff. If everything gets more expensive, demand drops. So tariffs in such large scale doesnt really help anyone
You might be right we will see how this affects us.AP
I like Paul. He is MAGA and a rational thinker. He has been predicting the market crash for the past four years and I believe him.
Yawn
Minimum wage earns more than rest Of the world😂😂 laughing hard from Norway😉
There are many countries where they make more money and have a higher living standard.
America is up there tho
But great video as always👍🫡
YThanks for following us mate - GC
We grow avocados in the US also.
but do u want to grow them do u need these kinds of jobs for americans. who would want to work like a slave on a farm, for no money
Whos going to pick them?
@@1LORENZOUTUBE cheap labor from other countries where they can live of of that
True...not as much though - GC