The Accelerated Bitcoin Cycle - Everything You Need To Know
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- Опубликовано: 11 мар 2024
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My thoughts on a left-translated Bitcoin cycle, featuring Halving analysis, Macro Diagonal analysis, and lengthening cycles beyond old All Time High resistances.
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This cycle will be shorter
What if it's not accelerated, but the last top was suppressed. If we had gone to 100k like everyone was expecting, 73k wouldn't be that interesting.
Loving this channel!! Thanks for your great work 👏
Great thoughts on dollar cost averaging out , thanks for sharing
Just play it safe and treat yourself for Christmas by cashing out 🤑
Thanks!
It is a nice theory to keep in mind for sure. I think the mechanics & law behind the halving trump all price action. The chart you show clearly tells us back in 2016 we had a ATH before a halving & the cycle played out normally with a lot of gains once bitcoin got darkweb exposure & 2016 was when we started seeing physical bitcoin atms (adoption). Now it has real world exposure, I think I'm going with the supercycle theory before the shortened bull cycle theory. Bitcoin halvings, leap years, elections, the global market all has an effect on this. The only thing supporting your shortened cycle theory is literally only ATH levels, completely ignoring the halving (and if you exclude 2016 bull run)
Thanks for the info! Pull out in March 2025.
The narrative last 2 cycles was "this time is different, mass adoption, institutions are buying".... this cycle people are 'it's just another 4 year cycle, sell in 2025"...this will definitely shorten the bull run. Just my 2 cents.
I agree that Halving is no longer the pivotal point. It could be one, but not the main point anymore.
Hello brother...love your videos!
Can you check something interesting : historically when BTC breaks the top line of Bitcoin Top indicator ...how many days left till the Top of the market ;) Thanks!
Think this will be probably also useful
You are a brilliant person and my main source of Bitcoin cycle analysis. Thank you for posting 😊
Could it just be because the last cycle didn't get as high as eepxteced due to macro factors then we would still break the old ath that we expected last cycle after the halving. Most people were epexctrd $150-200k last time
Surely it's just a function of exponential price discovery? Hence you wouldn't expect the number of days post-halving to remain constant
Is there a reason BTC hit all time highs early? If the answer is "yes", would BTC have hit all time highs early with out that reason? The point: there could be another reason BTC hit all time highs early besides the start of an early cycle.
Always have an in and out strategy. Don't get caught up in the FOMO.
The mistake everyone makes is calling the second peak in 2021 the top, when on-chain metrics clearly show that the first peak was the actual top. The second was an over-hyped correction
Can someone explain to me why everyone thinks this cycle will end way faster? Maybe I miss something, but dont anyone think because of the bitcoin spot etf the cycle could even be expanded?
👍
Can you compare this cycle with the first cycle.
Maybe every 3 cycles we reset to no 1
There are many similarities that you cant ignore.
I've been here for a couple cycles now and every cycle people try to rationalize the length of the cycle being different but it's always pretty much the same length. All these ETFs aren't here just to tank the price of Bitcoin prematurely. They're here to pump my fucking bags to the moon
My best guess is Bitcoin will slow down and go sideways or down for a while to get back in line with the rate of previous cycles. Then when everybody is bored of Bitcoin and is losing hope for the bull market, it'll launch and by the time it peaks the length of the bull market will be just about the same as any other.
Me gusta
we prob have 3-4 months left in bitcoin before it turns over and moves into bear market territory
Who else thinking of front running everyone else late summer?
It might not be accelerated to be honest. I think the ETFs are pushing the prices up with their extreme demand and almost unlimited funds. The cycle might be extremely strong and brutal with BTCs easily topping 200k.
Everyone and their mother is calling for a shortened cycle or a left translated cycle right now
Exactly, a period of underperformance may need to happen as mean reversion
DCA sell early Nov thru Jan 2025
The #Bitcoin top is in.
BTC LONG TERM TOP WILL BE IN APRIL. 2024
If the accelerated cycle theory is playing out, the halving retrace is irrelevant because the halving reference point is now irrelevant. Also stop posting the same content over and over again
Please compare this cycle with the 2013 cycle. Its literally identical. Youre welcome sir 🫡