How Long Will The Bitcoin Bull Market Last?
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- Опубликовано: 10 июн 2024
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We'll be talking about historical cycle analysis in an effort to better understand how long this Bitcoin Bull Market could last.
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My weekly video journal haha thx for the content mate
The best ! Thanks bro 🤝🏼
Great content
Thank you very much
God bless you for not gatekeeping your wisdom.
Why is every other TA RUclipsr saying this cycle is much different than others in that the current rally is occurring much sooner and is much stronger than the others. Seems like you’re the only one saying it’s similar to other cycles. And it seems like you’re not considering that this cycle could be a left translated cycle. Can you address those two issues?
Yes BTC is outperforming right now vs other cycles. But just because there are periods where price is outperforming vs history doesn't mean we'll outperform vs history at every stage in the cycle.
In a cycle, you'll have periods of under- and periods of over-performance.
For example, when BTC was re-accumulating throughout most of 2023, most were saying that BTC was underperforming by standards of history.
So for this current Pre-Halving period, I think it's clear BTC is performing stronger in the Pre-Halving period than ever before but that over-performance is not by a huge amount comparatively.
In terms of schedule, maybe BTC is rallying a little ahead of schedule, but all it takes is a slightly longer post-halving re-accumulation range or a lengthier Pre-Halving retrace to bring things back to historical baseline.
For the most part, BTC is following its historical cycles, naturally however with some differences (each cycle will always be different)
I'll prepare a video on this in the future
Hi rekt, love your work, can you please answer my question: do you think the bull market top for bitcoin and Alts is simultaneous? Or Alts run after the btc top?
Where can i get a pdf of that yellow chart ? Can you post it somewhere please.. thanks
Ty 🖤
I don’t expected bear market to rise
Yep good analysis, Sept is most of the time the worst month...good time to close almost all position.
Can anyone explain why is there this 18 month uptrend after the halving? Why are there phases? And why does it then drop?
185 k , ath? in this bull run?
Can you do one for altcoins???
Altcoins will be directly correlated with BTC. Either pumping with BTC or a little bit later if ETH is also pumping. Focus on BTC as the rest will follow BTC…
@@pabloanton4459 Yeap if you accumulate good Alt coin now or w8 for some dip doesn't matter if you hold for long term
You will make profit anyway if btc pump hard
Question is how much profit you want how you plan it out for your exit plan
Quicker moves, shorten cycle. Was thinking about that. Next video will be great to see. Would love to see you streaming again. It's a good time for it, isn't it? 😊
@RektCapital PLEASE provide an exit strategy that is not time-based but price based. From which price signal should we exit?
Beacuse the ETFs are changing the game. Most BTC was held by individuals who were panicking in masses all at once
Now the institutions might not panic-sell and there might not be or might be an earlier or later 'crypto-winter'
I dont think the history of BTC will explain this this time
From your analysis it seems like you believe we have reached the local peak. I would be delighted to see that but bob loukas has presented the idea of a left translated cycle which frightens me for the future. I feel like I can't reach my goals with a blow off top bull run followed by years of doom and gloom. I would love to hear your take on that theory. You have a lovely voice btw.
I think it'll be shorter this time around...
I feel the same way. I actually think they cycle would have changed in the last cycle if not for the black swan sickness event. It was trending that way last cycle if not for that. With the ETF's, I think it's a "white swan" and feels like this cycle will be shorter.
maybe shorter by a month or so but no more
youre only lookn at 2 cycles which didnt include a btc supplyshock due to etf approval. this halving will be like no other! its not a sell the news event!
what if this is simply a retrace? and we've topped the BTC chart already
This does not consider a left translated cycle. Which it seems that it would be.
And why would that be?
I agree with the same but so many people surprisingly talk about all the time high possibly will be happening in 2024.
I think so too by December or max feb 2025
A lot traders- youtuber waiting for pull back till 35k$. Do you think this is realistic scenario?) Thanks
Your drop already happened from 49 to 38.
woooohooooooooooo
Hi Rekt Capital, you're amazing and I love your content! Are you going to talk about how the cryptocurrency called $RNDR [Render] is currently going up? It could last beyond the Bitcoin Bull Market btw, you never know it's full potential! You're amazing btw! 😎👍
No way this goes into 2025 with all this trad-fi money and influence. Left trans for sure.
2024 is looking month by month like 2017 EXACTLY, because cycle are clean like in 2016 ( NOT COVID correction -40%). For now we going to see fast 1 month RED....that can be with Nasdaq100 little correction 8-14% and make x2 correction to BTC. This can be looking at MARCH o APRIL.
There will be no dip after halving