2024 NFL Win Total Predictions: AFC | PFF NFL Show
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- Опубликовано: 25 июн 2024
- PFF's Sam Monson and Steve Palazzolo give their thoughts on each AFC team's projected win totals for the 2024 NFL season.
00:00 - Intro
03:24- Baltimore Ravens
05:55 - Buffalo Bills
12:45 - Cincinnati Bengals
21:31 - Cleveland Browns
25:07 - Denver Broncos
30:27 - Houston Texans
33:56 - Indianapolis Colts
39:18 - Jacksonville Jaguars
44:06 - Kansas City Chiefs
47:20 - Las Vegas Raiders
54:17 - Los Angeles Chargers
59:55 - Miami Dolphins
01:04:55 - New England Patriots
01:09:31 - New York Jets
01:13:17 - Pittsburgh Steelers
01:22:54 - Tennessee Titans
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Ravens: Steve over 10.5, Sam over 10.5
Bills: Steve over 10.5, Sam over 10.5
Bengals: Steve over 10.5, Sam under 10.5
Browns: Steve over 8.5, Sam over 8.5
Broncos: Steve under 5.5, Sam over 5.5
Texans: Steve over 9.5, Sam over 9.5
Colts: Steve under 8.5, Sam under 8.5
Jaguars: Steve over 8.5, Sam over 8.5
Chiefs: Steve over 11.5, Sam over 11.5
Raiders: Steve under 6.5, Sam over 6.5
Chargers: Steve over 8.5, Sam under 8.5
Dolphins: Steve over 9.5, Sam over 9.5
Patriots: Steve under 4.5, Sam under 4.5
Jets: Steve over 9.5, Sam over 9.5
Steelers: Steve over 8.5, Sam over 8.5
Titans: Steve over 6.5, Sam over 6.5
Each took 12 overs and 4 unders. Way to be optimistic
As much as people are hating on the Bengals opinion, it was actually the best take of the show.
It’s easy to take high overs and low unders but there’s no value in that and you’ll end up -EV considering how much parity exists in the NFL.
You want to buy teams low and sell them high.
I appreciate that Steve's hair kinda looks like a bald guy wearing headphones
Every full season as the stating QB that Lamar Jackson has completed the Ravens have had at least 11 wins. So if Lamar is healthy enough to complete the regular season, the Ravens will compete for the best record in the nfl.
And then when the postseason comes around ...
But I get it. We're talking regular season and not doing it in any "scientific" manner here. And few teams can rack up regular season wins like the Ravens.
He just ain't no good in the playoffs That's a fact doesn't matter how good you are during the regular season Kansas City has proved that you need to turn it on in the playoffs when it counts and Lamar hasn't showed that yet maybe he will
@Chiefsssss People also forget that teams allow players to sit out regular season games when they're banged up, but it's the best starting roster they can put out there in the playoffs. Plus there are schemes the good teams kind of keep hidden during the season.
This the year for Lamar.. No really guys, this is the year for Lamar. Forget the other 6 years guys. THIS is the year. Probably
@@jaysenyork3934 A few others:
- THIS is the year for the Hurricanes.
- Put enough all-stars around him, and LeBron will LEAD a team to a title.
- He fell short this year but he's young. He's got a LOT of Super Bowls ahead of him.
- The Bills have a great roster, and Josh Allen is a top 2-3 QB in the league.
- The Bengals have a great roster, and Joe Burrow is a top 2-3 QB in the league.
- Herbert will easily win 10 games this season. After all, he did it once two years ago, and has a 30-32 career record.
- If you're Aaron Rodgers, you only need to show up on game day. He's a top 2-3 QB in the league, and the Jets have a GREAT roster.
- Jalen Hurts is a leader, and his squats make him a top 2-3 QB in the league.
- Do you pay Dak? I mean, his numbers say he's a top 2-3 QB in the league, but ...
🤣
As a Titans fan, I especially appreciate your unbiased coverage. I can come here and expect to see my team covered the same as any other. Thanks.
As a Titans hater, I hate your team and I hope they perform poorly this season. Best,
@@maxgray9919 Rant free 🤡
Texans 🤡
@@maxgray9919 loser
“We’re not gonna go over for every team this time”
*proceeds to do exactly that* God I love you guys
Ive watched the first three teams and im confused why the out of conference schedules arent being discussed or the schedule isnt referenced when talking about win totals.
This is just a fluff piece giving the appearance of being interesting. They basically admit that they're not taking the actual schedules into account. I think we can agree that that is kind of important.
Really, this subject is worthless unless they've gone game by game through the schedule and do this podcast in August.
Reid and Shanahan aren’t the only ones to elevate a bunch of quarterbacks. Gibbs won three Super Bowls with three different quarterbacks.
I hope my raiders pull a 2021 10-7 season for you PFF
Wasn't that the coin though? I guess it is just like a Vegas team to leave their game results to chance...
Steelers getting rocked this year
This felt like the optimism show
Picking the over for every team is a joke of a video. You guys should do 16 overs and 16 unders to keep things grounded
How do you say Kelce had a bad year being a few yards from 1000 sitting out two games and being hurt all year?
I played against Cody Kessler in high school. His mom was my teacher in high school
Someone landed on Burrows wrist Sam 😂 can't wait for them to prove you wrong. This is by far the most negative take I have heard on the Bengals roster.
This is a good thing though though to an extent, just because a majority of people believe something doesn’t make it true. Why would someone want to keep listening to the same opinion over and over again? For validation?
I’d rather listen to a video/podcast that both people disagree and give points for each side, and take firm stands on teams for being ranked too high or too low by multiple wins instead of taking the over on every team and saying “yeah this line is dead on it’s exactly where it’s supposed to be” is just bland and stating the obvious.
Actually Sam, if you look at that stretch, it goes from the back half of '22 all the way until he got hurt against Cincinnati he was a top 5 QB....
*linebacker falls on his wrist hard* Sam: “Burrow’s wrist gets hurt just throwing”. Give me a break.
That guy is always negative about the Bengals.
Doubt the ravens , praise the bills 😂😂
Before watching, I bet I can guess what Sam says about the Steelers and Browns
At some point it always includes, "... and if Deshaun Watson can even come CLOSE to being as good as we like to pretend he once was ..." 🤣
@@cobbler88 Watson was one of the best QBs in the league at one point, that's not even rationally arguable. It's also stupid to argue against the fact that the Browns, with how elite the rest of the roster is, that they are easily a Super Bowl contender if Watson plays like a top 5 QB again.
It's very simple math. An elite QB paired with an elite defense is always a Super Bowl contender. Trying to argue that because you dislike Watson is just stupid.
@randumo24 I appreciate your dimwitted, thoughtless reply.
I'm going to have to do this from memory because this isn't important enough to look up the numbers again.
Watson has never been elite. He took a team that was already making the playoffs and made them one - then two - game(s) better. He had one statistical breakout season, except that they were significantly garbage tome stats en route to a 4-win season.
I know. I know. It's everyone ELSE'S fault except the QB's that they lost all of those games. But you could go through the list of starters that year and be in the second tier before you can comfortably say that you found one who also would have only won 4 games with that roster.
He led the league in passing yards. So did Jameis Winston a year or two before him. But unlike Winston, Watson is risk-averse and will gladly throw the ball away rather than try to thread the needle to extend a drive late in a game he's losing. For his career before last year's poor effort, he was basically a 26/11 TD/INT guy.
That's not elite. That's Teddy Bridgewater with a slightly better deep ball.
I've been in the media in major league and major D1 markets for decades. Miss me with your ESPN/sports talk elementary school-level BS.
I am excited about denver...Sean Payton appears to be good.... although our schedule is just brutal...the afc norte is loaded... on the road v Tampa and the nyjets???... ugh.. russ was unwatchable and kinda sad... good luck steelers...but they will beat us...ouchie... I think this is the ravens year in the afc...and the lions win it all...
Ben is 5th all time in passing yards and you’re saying he’s the 8th best qb of his era? Make it make sense
None of this matters Kansas City three-peat
Cleveland Browns are coming for it all this season, Definitely over 8.5!
Y’all say this every year
What part of the Browns history makes you believe they'll do anything? Y'all are funny.
@@darthrevan6My guess is the part in the '50s they wrongly believe to be part of Browns history because it was granted to them in a political appeasement decision
@@dfp_01 The Ravens took the good out of the Browns and brought it to Baltimore. Cleveland is left with the shell of its former self.
Not while Watson is there
So if the broncos have the worst roster, yet they make the play offs, you would have to make Payton HC of the year? Please remember that. Also, you might mention, with the largest dead cap hit in history, the broncos have less money to spend on players than any other team. That’s why you see a weak roster.
Just so you all know. This could be an undefeated season for the browns.
Not with THAT QB room.
Then again, right now, it could also be an unbeaten season for the Jags.
genuinely feel like sam purposefully finds reasons to talk negatively about the bengals even tho they got better in so many areas this offseason.
Not everyone needs to have the same opinion as you my guy
Ridiculous. I hope everyone is saving these receipts
@@Con27277 lmao obviously. that’s not my point. read what I said again, and go watch any segment about the bengals on pff as of late.
He has come for the Bengals A lot lately
I’ve noticed that Steve is always praising the bengals too.
Why hasn't your sub number changes ??? There's no way it's still 194,000 !!!
The Chargers still have Herbert which is an automatic 10 wins, especially when you consider the head coach is Harbaugh, and not an obscure assistant coach nobody has heard of. There are still legit questions at receiver, cornerback, and interior d-line, but the o-line is solid, and they should be able to run the ball effectively, which is something they haven’t been able to do for awhile.
I’ve got them at 10-7, so I have to disagree with Sam on this one..
Absolutely. Especially since Herbert has won 10 games once in four seasons as a starter and currently enjoys an alleged (the NFL now includes postseason games) 30-32 career record, it's a no-brainer that Herbert = 10 wins. 🤣
@@cobbler88Bruh, that team is not winning 10 games. If they couldn't get it done with the talent, I doubt it's gonna get better when said talent is gone.
@@jasonhensley7455 Might want to take a breath and re-read my post.
@@jasonhensley7455whose gone? Keenan and Mike Williams. And eckeler. Scheme fits and availability is in play with them. Harbaugh will take this team above and beyond. This off season alone shows that
So you say joe burrow and the other injured qbs but dont talk about trevors three different injuries just because he played through yall piss me off so much
Joe went to a superbowl, Trevor has underperformed expectations. I know its hard to be a Jags fan, but just calm down a bit and stop drinking the Jax tap water.
@@FightYourCouch buddy Joe went one year lost and hasn't been back been injury prone as the highest paid qb one year and he's deemed great but hasn't been on the field at least 1 year and a half my qb played through multiple different injuries keep giving those excuses to others though it makes alot of sense
@@FightYourCouch and just because they placed generational on his name he underperformed this how i know yall don't watch football two winning seasons after being the worst franchise for three years straight also Joe has had one of the best wr core in the league trevor hasnt
It IS June, so going through and picking game by game this far from the beginning of the season, before various things can happen, is a fruitless endeavor.
That said, a podcast on team win totals without going game by game is absolutely worthless.
I get the temptation. It's nice to do something in the spring that's actually interesting, rather than profoundly stupid like picking the top 3 players on each team or predicting rookie POYs. That's why we need all the crowd-sourcing of ideas from fans, assuming they've demonstrated their bona fides via the highly scientific process of leaving glowing reviews of the podcast.
Maybe there's merit there. That process is at LEAST as scientific than Steve's WAR "statistic."' 🤣
But maybe the lesson - assuming one can actually be learned - is to not do this podcast until August.
Way too chalky guys
I'm definitely not mad about taking the under for the Broncos. I count 2 for sure wins and I expect us to end with 4. We suck.
Over all day bro you’ll see come back this comment December they will be over by then
Patrick Mahomes. Joe Burrow is coming.
The colts will win the AFC South. Texans trend down. I think the jags even continue to trend down. Lawrence just isn't the guy. The Titans aren't the worst roster but the QB is not great. It'll be Colts, Texans, Titans, Jags
I'm a Colts fan, but Jags will be better this year. Trevor was obviously playing hurt the last half of the year.
Texans might not be as good as people expect, but they'll be good too.
Hopefully AR can stay healthy, but no matter what, it's a tough road.
Colts could literally be better in every way and still end up a 9 win team, missing the playoffs again. I feel like floor is 8, ceiling is 11.
@@codyb.3015 Trevor Lawrence is not a good QB healthy. He's the most overrated and now overpaid QB in the NFL
@@SqueebzEZOver the the first half of last season and the second half of the season before he was playing like a top 10 QB easy and the Jags record reflected that, they were 13-4 over that stretch. Then he got hurt. I’m surprised he got paid that much but he was looking real good before the injuries piled up
@SqueebzEZ Overrated is definitely Anthony Richardson. The dude has a couple of solid games, and all of a sudden, he's gonna be better than Stroud who had one of the best rookie seasons ever. I don't get it. Especially since the colts didn't really do much in terms of getting better weapons for Richardson. Pittman is still the only real weapon other they have other than JT who's a running back.
@@jasonhensley7455 do you even watch ball?
Look at the first part of 2023. Believe They were 8 - 3 and fighting for the Top seed. These Guys lost that large Performance level from Lawrence. Big miss in Their Analsis!
Yeah I don’t get why they are so down on them, with even slightly below average O line play TLaw will shine, he was running for his life last season
@charliea3708 they only give excuses to those the deem elite and even though we suffered heavy injuries they just want the same old jags
This season is called "The Home Coming Bowl" because Joe & Ja'Marr went to LSU and The Super Bowl is in New Orleans. The Cincinnati Bengals are going 20-0
Steve and Sam, once again you have over-rated Justin Herbert and the Chargers. The PFF love affair continues. The Raiders will stuff Herbert in the opening game. Raiders will win over 6.5 games.
They have their pet QBs. The big surprise here is Herbert being caucasian.
Saying big Ben was a second tier guy is being such a hater.
They probably mean that he was always right below Brady, Manning, and Rodgers. He had some years where he was arguably just as good but never won MVP or was really considered the best QB in the league like they were. If he was second tier he was at the very top of it, where the first and second tiers start to merge lol
It really isn't. He was never as good as Rodgers and Brady. He was a tier below them, which is commonly referred to as tier 2. There are really good tier 3 QBs, being tier 2 is incredible
@@dbell2091Rivers had a lot of years better than Ben too
He was always behind the lead guys, he was definitely tier 2
@@reppinglnever won a title definitely a better passing qb but he never got his team over the hump that's where big Ben takes over
Sam nailed it! Joe Burrow is right there with Pat Mahomes in talent, but he is very very fragile, especially playing within the Physicality of the AFC North with the Steelers, Browns, and Ravens. This is why I am high on the Steelers. They own Lamar Jackson and have beaten the Ravens 7 of 8 last games. And Deshaun Watson has never beaten the Steelers. Burrow owns the Steelers but had his worst game as a pro versus the Steelers in 2022 Seasonal opener when the Steelers intercepted Burrow 4 Times and sacked him 7 Times with 1 lost Fumble.
Football analyst focuses on the Strength of Schedule, which is very misleading, I focus on Strength of QB this is the most important factor in the winning equation. The Steelers have the best QB Tandem in the AFC North with RW3 and JF2 and I am taking the Browns with the 2nd Best with Watson and Winston. The Bengals are 3rd, and the Ravens are 4th, and this will determine the AFC North. Steelers won 10 games without a competent QB and now with all the major upgrades in the QB Room, OC Room, OL Room. Steelers winning 2 more games to be a 12 Win Team with an improved offense and especially with an improved Defense that was 6th is scoring despite all the major injuries to Minkah, Cam Heyward, a depleted Safety room (Kazee suspension 4 games) and ILB Room (Holcomb and Kwon Alexander injuries). And with the Additions of Patrick Queen, Deshon Elliott, Cam Sutton, Deonta Jackson, and Rookie Payton Wilson! This Defense will be Top 3.
How is Lamar the worst QB in the AFC North?
Lamar is comfortably the best QB in the AFC North. Granted the Ravens recent record against the Steelers has been shite but last year he tore them apart and had 3 open TD passes dropped and didn’t play in the final game so there’s plenty of context.
He owns the bengals and consistently does more with less.
More so this is a fantastic example of how one can create a narrative that is one half compelling and one half utter fantasy to reach the conclusion they had from the outset.
@ojn8819cd Lol. You are so correct. Each fanbase create their own narrative to meet their own agenda. This guy had Steelers best in division based on Russel Wilson and Justin fields, who are both considered failures at this point in their careers.
steelers fan?