The End of Moore’s Law?! (Shrinking The Transistor To 1nm)

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  • Опубликовано: 12 дек 2024

Комментарии • 1 тыс.

  • @OptimisticFuturology
    @OptimisticFuturology  6 лет назад +39

    Want to learn more about the Technological Revolution? Watch our playlist here: ruclips.net/video/ENWsoWjzJTQ/видео.html
    - ALSO - Become a RUclips member for many exclusive perks from exclusive posts, bonus content, shoutouts and more! subscribe.futurology.earthone.io/member - AND - Join our Discord server for much better community discussions! subscribe.futurology.earthone.io/discord

    • @uurbannssoundss2751
      @uurbannssoundss2751 6 лет назад

      What's the theme song?

    • @railfanningstuff8333
      @railfanningstuff8333 6 лет назад

      there going to stack silicon CPU dies on top of each other just like HMB memory is

    • @railfanningstuff8333
      @railfanningstuff8333 6 лет назад

      Also as eh side note cosmic rays have been know to reap havoc on silicon chips with transistors smaller then 45nm creating currents in the electronic pathways that short out ships !

    • @azza009
      @azza009 6 лет назад

      I love learning about ICs and electronics specifically CPUs because they are the cutting edge. And I've pondered since 22nm what are we going to do when we get to 1nm great video, please SLOW DOWN YOUR VOICE.

    • @mugendono23
      @mugendono23 6 лет назад

      Aaron ball 1nm is impossible. Once you get to 4nm quantum tunnelling becomes a issue.

  • @ozzyg82
    @ozzyg82 6 лет назад +385

    It’s like housing in a dense city area. When there’s no room left on the ground, you start building up with high rise...

    • @justicewarrior9187
      @justicewarrior9187 6 лет назад +12

      Stupid!
      Just build bigger chips then!
      It's like buying more land in your analogy

    • @d1oftwins
      @d1oftwins 6 лет назад +37

      @@justicewarrior9187
      Problem is that that "more land" is more expansive than building skyscrapers.

    • @d1oftwins
      @d1oftwins 6 лет назад +23

      @
      Not sure if you didn't get my analogy, what I meant is that it is cheaper to build more layers and thus needing less area for one chip on a waver than using less layers and taking up more area on a waver. The greater the area of your chip the less chips you get out of a waver, which means they will be more expensive and your margins are dwindling.

    • @ghost_ship_supreme
      @ghost_ship_supreme 6 лет назад +3

      That's kinda what threadripper is

    • @zZrEtRiBuTiOnZz
      @zZrEtRiBuTiOnZz 6 лет назад +4

      Yup. 3D chips are way past due.

  • @samevans515
    @samevans515 6 лет назад +479

    Reads the news - Intel is having trouble with their 10nm process.
    While AMD is already gearing up for a 7nm release in 2019.
    Poor boi Intel

    • @shibnathmaji2675
      @shibnathmaji2675 6 лет назад +35

      And it launched just yesterday.

    • @grischu8277
      @grischu8277 6 лет назад +9

      And this Video is one year old, sooooo... yea

    • @MyNameIsPetch
      @MyNameIsPetch 6 лет назад +37

      They're not really comparable, Intel's 14nm was equivalent to everyone else's 10nm

    • @AnotherLotte
      @AnotherLotte 6 лет назад +34

      @@MyNameIsPetch That is true, but the 7nm TSMC node is slightly more dense than Intel's 10nm node. The last thing I've heard is that Intel is reducing the density to try and improve yields, but at the same time, news outlets have been stating that the node is basically dead. So idk?

    • @ryuuseiboi950
      @ryuuseiboi950 6 лет назад +16

      @@MyNameIsPetch They sacrifice multi-core power draw for single core performance. Now that AMD has released their 7nm chips everyone will see through Intel's shit chips.

  • @erobwen
    @erobwen 6 лет назад +245

    I remember how everyone talked about the end of moores law 20 years ago.

    • @cryingwater
      @cryingwater 5 лет назад +14

      I guess we'll stop using a flat sheet as a place to store transistors but use tubes that can run liquid cooling through them

    • @squamish4244
      @squamish4244 5 лет назад +9

      How many more iterations do you think we could get if we wrote better software? (Or designed programs to write better software.)

    • @painzrt7928
      @painzrt7928 4 года назад +2

      But its for real now.

    • @jeffwads
      @jeffwads 3 года назад +1

      There is an old Byte magazine cover blabbering that the limit was 250 Mhz....yeah.

    • @23william90
      @23william90 3 года назад +2

      Little did he know 5nm ended up coming out in 2021

  • @afinafina
    @afinafina 6 лет назад +102

    How are you not insanely popular!? Proud early subscriber

  • @miguelpereira9859
    @miguelpereira9859 5 лет назад +57

    Man I really admire all those engineers and researchers who come up with all this technology. 300IQ

    • @deathbydeviceable
      @deathbydeviceable 3 года назад +3

      No, not really. A tech junky knows as much of his profession as a drug dealer knows his but neither wouldn't understand each other's

    • @miguelpereira9859
      @miguelpereira9859 3 года назад +2

      @@deathbydeviceable What do you mean "not really". Are you saying I DON'T admire them? Lol

    • @deathbydeviceable
      @deathbydeviceable 3 года назад +2

      @@miguelpereira9859 just because a person can create tech doesn't make them 300iq. If you put those professionals in another environment they wouldn't know what to do. That's what I mean.
      Take elon musk as an example. Put him in Jeff bezos shoes and vise versa then watch both companies crumble

    • @jessicalloyd2330
      @jessicalloyd2330 2 года назад

      @@miguelpereira9859 Lol this guy doesn't believe you actually admire them I guess

    • @JV3Player
      @JV3Player Год назад

      ​@@jessicalloyd2330 hahahaha

  • @ghostl337
    @ghostl337 6 лет назад +241

    I can understand him clearly, you guys need to overclock.

    • @nickbuddy1787
      @nickbuddy1787 6 лет назад +5

      🤣😂😂😂🤣

    • @marverickbin
      @marverickbin 5 лет назад +8

      I'm not native speaker.
      I downclocked to. 75 speed and got everything.

    • @fatmagamal3701
      @fatmagamal3701 5 лет назад +1

      i think its because of the hideous annoying music in the back ground

    • @eduardovieira5292
      @eduardovieira5292 4 года назад

      OK, For native speakers is easy... kkkk

    • @maxmin5272
      @maxmin5272 4 года назад

      @@littlerussianmax5831 I could understand the French and Japanese clearly unlike the narrator.

  • @palfers1
    @palfers1 6 лет назад +399

    Speed is OK for me but not for many others - so slow it down. Also, you should inflect more, else your flat, robotic tone (sorry) will repel people. Great job on the content! Subbed!

    • @wu1ming9shi
      @wu1ming9shi 6 лет назад +20

      Yeah, i think the constant montonous tone is throwing me off a bit. It would be fine for a 5 minute long vid but not 10.

    • @entiretwix1480
      @entiretwix1480 6 лет назад +6

      This is a wholesome comment

    • @b3at2
      @b3at2 6 лет назад

      Andrew Palfreyman no he sounds fine

    • @shiskeyoffles
      @shiskeyoffles 6 лет назад +4

      I actually listened at x1.25 lol

    • @HElSENBERG
      @HElSENBERG 6 лет назад +2

      Andrew Palfreyman there is an option on RUclips to slow down the speed of a video. Btw i am not native in English but have no problems following the video

  • @ThumperJunkie
    @ThumperJunkie 6 лет назад

    Ignore what everyone is saying about talking to fast, this video was the perfect pace and you can always rewind/scrub the video if you missed something. To be honest this video was a perfect refresher on the topic and I greatly appreciated the work that went into it.

  • @eliubfj
    @eliubfj 6 лет назад +132

    To those complaining about the fast narration, Adjust your setting to 0.25 playback, Goodbye

    • @SineDeus
      @SineDeus 6 лет назад +8

      lfe is to short to adjust settings

    • @TheTimmy4745
      @TheTimmy4745 6 лет назад +3

      @@SineDeus life is too short to complain about trivial stuff. it would take longer to complain about the voice speed than it would to just change the speed.

    • @SineDeus
      @SineDeus 6 лет назад +1

      @@TheTimmy4745 did I complained about the video? Don't think so

    • @camerica7400
      @camerica7400 6 лет назад +6

      I just watched it at 1.5x because I realized 2x was too fast haha

    • @probably_seohyun
      @probably_seohyun 6 лет назад +2

      @@camerica7400
      Just put it on 0.75x much better.

  • @edwinmburu7278
    @edwinmburu7278 3 года назад +26

    watching this 4 years later ibm announces a 2nm chip

    • @nlrman
      @nlrman 3 года назад

      Hmmm many companies can announce nano1 or even omstrom(tech beyond nano) but only 2 companies in the world that can make chips with nano7 and beyond, SS and TSMC. AT nano5 and competing for nano3. Samsung anniunced that they have nano3 with GAA feasible and will start producing q1 of 2022. TSMC looks last in GAA tech and will stick with finfett. My point is, they can announce all they want but wont be available until some companies are capable of nano3 tech.

    • @lucianogutierrez7676
      @lucianogutierrez7676 Год назад +3

      2 years later we have AGI almost here..

    • @adaywithoutconscious7407
      @adaywithoutconscious7407 8 месяцев назад

      We here bro

    • @siwexwot8994
      @siwexwot8994 6 месяцев назад

      with worse specifications than its 5nm...

  • @jordanbennett6461
    @jordanbennett6461 6 лет назад +7

    This video prompted me to go and learn how transistors work and come back. Great video and holy cow my mind is blown. Very appreciative of the scientists amd engineers that have made this all possible

  • @moonmanvic
    @moonmanvic 6 лет назад +147

    Why does this seem like a Cold Fusion Vid...🤔

  • @freeman2399
    @freeman2399 6 лет назад +41

    To bad RAM prices haven't come down in accordance with moors law.

    • @mariagabrielamorillozambra4258
      @mariagabrielamorillozambra4258 4 года назад +1

      Ye,idk wh6 people dont want ram,q
      Why not even server owners,as i server owner and gamer.For .y .inecraft server i use corsair ripjawas ram,for all of my servers together,160 sticks.

    • @garyr7027
      @garyr7027 4 года назад +1

      It has indeed come down, 12 years ago 512 mb of PC 133 cost me $139.00 dollars and that was the going rate. Now I can buy 16 gigs of DDR4 3200 for around $100.00 give or take a few bucks. You new to computers?

    • @freeman2399
      @freeman2399 4 года назад +2

      @@garyr7027 Yes now it's cheap. Two years ago it wasn't.

    • @garyr7027
      @garyr7027 4 года назад +1

      @@freeman2399 compared to 12 years ago, it still was. If the prices back then was still the same rate today per meg, 16 gigs would cost over $1100.00 dollars. At that rate, many would still be using a gig or less.

    • @heberorozco182
      @heberorozco182 4 года назад

      Lol ur an idiot...

  • @dorgodorato
    @dorgodorato 6 лет назад

    This kind of presentation is the stuff we all dreaded doing in high school, and now RUclips is packed end to end with these kinds of videos with way more effort than could be expected.

  • @harshbarj
    @harshbarj 6 лет назад +53

    The death of Moore’s Law? I have been hearing this for 20+ years. It's unlikely to happen anytime soon. Even when we hit the limit for transistor size we likely will just start layering them as we do with flash.

    • @ericksanchez8760
      @ericksanchez8760 6 лет назад +12

      dont froget graphene
      processors

    • @mikimouse3001
      @mikimouse3001 6 лет назад +2

      How about heat dissipation?

    • @andrewscott7728
      @andrewscott7728 6 лет назад +18

      It's already happened. Intel and Nvidia have both released flagship cpu/gpus that aren't really faster than their last year counterparts for the first time.

    • @FrostEclipse21
      @FrostEclipse21 6 лет назад +3

      Andrew Scott
      That's because of greed.

    • @eriksvensson2098
      @eriksvensson2098 6 лет назад

      @@FrostEclipse21 or so we'd like to think atleast

  • @mitchellbuehler6058
    @mitchellbuehler6058 7 лет назад +69

    Fantastic video - very informative, very high quality, and very well edited. Subscribed and hope to see your channel grow!

  • @redtails
    @redtails 6 лет назад +33

    Nvidia is cheating with Moore's law. Instead of relying on making node size smaller, they simply increase die surface area. Moore's law makes an assumption that each product is of similar production costs, but this assumption is unfair. If you plot for computing power per price unit, you'll notice that the last few data points on the Moore's law graph are all outliers

    • @BenRay47
      @BenRay47 6 лет назад +1

      Exactly

    • @logiconabstractions6596
      @logiconabstractions6596 6 лет назад +6

      @Akin Khoo I agree.
      In fact you can pretty much extrapolate (see what I did there?) Moore's law to pretty much any important metric about computer power & digital performance, as he showed in the video.
      And as he said at the end, it doesn't even really matter, ultimately, that the size of the chip is going down. As long as the computing power increases, even if it's from CPU processing optimization (better planning computations so there's less overhead, basically, and compiling them in a way that avoids multiple computation when possible), we're good.
      The letter of the law may be broken, but the spirit remains true.
      No cheating in that.

    • @hyperhektor7733
      @hyperhektor7733 6 лет назад +3

      For the PC Market no one cares if the Chip is 1 inch or 5 inches big ;D
      only "smart"phone hipsters need small chips so they can carry their survailance device everywhere and look cool ;D

    • @logiconabstractions6596
      @logiconabstractions6596 6 лет назад +2

      @@hyperhektor7733 You seem half serious, but still.
      The density of computing power matters just as much a costs. You can see it as the number of operations you can perform per volume unit. Just as increasing computer density has made possible PC (which would never be possible with, say, the 70's density that could be achieved, regardless of price). Greater computing density enable applications unthinkable before.
      Of course price matter, otherwise there's not breadth to the market for computing power.
      I see price as breadth & density as depth, in a way...

    • @hyperhektor7733
      @hyperhektor7733 6 лет назад +4

      @Francis Vachon i am on Board since Windows 3.11 and the x386 Cpu :D and i installed and since then every windows version and build every PC my self (the newest midprice-cpu which was aviable at the time).
      So i can say i have a kind of overview of the topic :).
      What i see is that the cpu-power is wasted by the programmers, since they started to use more and more less efficient programming languanges(for programms and operating systems). So the hardware becomes faster but the user experince stays the same since 20 years xD.
      We already are far beyond the point where performance per volume counts. I can buy a used xenon CPU for 7$ on ebay which has 4000 Passmark points which is insane. People these days have really no clue how powerfull cpus are , they think an i7 is just good enough for websurfing lol.
      BTW, the time where you can compare cpus by Ghz or cores or cache stopped When the first Intel-cpus with ratings came up. I found the most consistent and largest database is from passmark.com. They have very old cpus and the newest so i use this as comparison since 15 years for my cpus.

  • @dittocopys
    @dittocopys 6 лет назад

    "bite-sized chunks of content" had to be the most comedic line in this video.
    do love the style, learned so much in what only felt like 10 mins.

  • @Entritarus
    @Entritarus 6 лет назад +23

    6:52 Home - Resonance...

  • @roax206
    @roax206 6 лет назад +2

    last I checked the nm size of a processor doesn't actually have much relation to the size of the transistor or even the computing power anymore. It is mainly just used to give a sense of noticeable improvement for each new process, with processes from different manufacturers with different "sizes" often being comparable to each other.

    • @andrewhenshaw4067
      @andrewhenshaw4067 Год назад +1

      I looked on youtube and found out that the 5 nm and 2nm chips actually are bigger than that but because of their design they are equal to the power of a theoretical 2nm chip
      The transistor is then marketed as a 2nm transistor even though they aren't actually that small
      Link to the video that explains it ruclips.net/video/GdLRSF5wZpE/видео.html

  • @SuperMutantSomething
    @SuperMutantSomething 7 лет назад +13

    I was waiting for the day somebody would use synthwave/vaporwave music to new technology. Love your video, sub'd!

  • @AxemanMessiah
    @AxemanMessiah 4 года назад +1

    Here I am with a 5nm iPad in 2020. In just 3 years since this post it went from 10nm to 5nm!

  • @coringavinte5105
    @coringavinte5105 7 лет назад +37

    vaporwave is strong with this one

  • @maegodragon
    @maegodragon Год назад

    Great Music, Great Graphics and Clear Fast Explanation!

  • @rahmanash9856
    @rahmanash9856 7 лет назад +15

    Hands crossed and waiting for branches of computing other than classical type

    • @OptimisticFuturology
      @OptimisticFuturology  7 лет назад

      Getting there!! Just want to run down classical computing first as a prelude!

    • @midnightowl2323
      @midnightowl2323 6 лет назад +1

      Quantum computing exists. You can uncross those arms😂

  • @ryanbigguy
    @ryanbigguy 3 года назад +1

    An updated version of this video would be really cool

  • @David_Cerkez
    @David_Cerkez 6 лет назад +166

    Intel is releasing 10 nm cpu in 2018 😂😂😂

    • @dajces94
      @dajces94 6 лет назад +8

      Nice one xD

    • @sergiosierra6849
      @sergiosierra6849 6 лет назад +8

      yeah lol'd at that

    • @macrett
      @macrett 6 лет назад +13

      14nm* also weird way to spell Shintel

    • @shiffterCL
      @shiffterCL 6 лет назад +13

      @@macrett 7nm coming from amd soon.

    • @Ninja-iq2xt
      @Ninja-iq2xt 6 лет назад +15

      amd releasing 7nm soon, forget intel.

  • @aayushagarwal5638
    @aayushagarwal5638 5 лет назад +1

    (On the funny side) Are you a robot in human form to have so much information sequencetially bombarded over us to short-circuit our brains to pieces? (On a serious note) This is just mind-blowing information with never-seen-presentation-style which keeps going on and on and there is no chance of skipping any part of the video. Hats-off to you for all the hardwork.

  • @garrytalaroc
    @garrytalaroc 6 лет назад

    This video is top notch. Did a lot of research and analysis before uploading it. Thank you. Great video.

  • @luker.6967
    @luker.6967 6 лет назад +3

    While things may stall at ~3nm, cost of production will be improved, effectively further increasing performance.

  • @zone6ea404
    @zone6ea404 6 лет назад +1

    THANK YOUUUUU For listing the song names in the description 👌🏾

  • @andyy6481
    @andyy6481 3 года назад +6

    IBM just made the 2nm chip!

  • @noumankhan6762
    @noumankhan6762 6 лет назад

    Awesome bro, im so proud to be your early subscriber before you go insanely popular!

  • @lilpandaftw
    @lilpandaftw 6 лет назад +34

    Some constructive advice: slow down, and have some more inflexibility in your voice, it’s a little monotone.

    • @evanwatling3897
      @evanwatling3897 6 лет назад +5

      lilpandaftw No. his speed is fine

    • @lilpandaftw
      @lilpandaftw 6 лет назад +1

      @@evanwatling3897 Look at the comments. A lot of people don't agree with you.

    • @evanwatling3897
      @evanwatling3897 6 лет назад +3

      lilpandaftw That doesn’t mean that I’m wrong.

    • @blib3786
      @blib3786 6 лет назад +1

      Sentient2x It kinda does though.

    • @evanwatling3897
      @evanwatling3897 6 лет назад +1

      Zane Just because there’s a comment section full of flat earthers doesn’t mean that people disagreeing with them are incorrect.

  • @randomsubject4537
    @randomsubject4537 6 лет назад

    I love the video, your voice is pretty nice and the speed you narrate is perfect.

  • @klklkl427586
    @klklkl427586 6 лет назад +7

    This is a bit misleading, transistors in today's 10nm process are a lot bigger than 10nm and their smallest features are still bigger than 10nm.

    • @hihtitmamnan
      @hihtitmamnan 5 лет назад

      that's true. too bad people don't know that. he made tons of mistakes in the video because of that. 7 nm is actually something between 20-50 nm as far as i remember.

    • @Inertia888
      @Inertia888 5 лет назад +1

      Where did they come up with 10nm then? If the transistors are (twice?) that size, than what exactly IS 10nm? Is it just a made up number? A goal? If 10nm isn't 10nm then what's the point of even using a measurement? 😟 Please tell me that something in that chip is 10nm.

    • @hihtitmamnan
      @hihtitmamnan 5 лет назад

      @@Inertia888 nothing is 10 nm there, sorry...

    • @Inertia888
      @Inertia888 5 лет назад

      @@hihtitmamnanThat is a real bummer. It's a Big Fat Lie. How can I trust anything they claim?

    • @hihtitmamnan
      @hihtitmamnan 5 лет назад

      @@Inertia888 for example Intel's 10 nm process is equal in size to AMD's 7 nm. It's a lie, but the truth is that each process is getting better and I think that matters the most

  • @logiconabstractions6596
    @logiconabstractions6596 6 лет назад +1

    Solid video. All the while I was building an argument about Moore's law as the narrow definition we know coming to an end, but the overall trend in increasing in computing power holding true for likely much longer. For the reasons you said, essentially.
    When starting from transitors, which were fairly big, the low-hanging fruit was downsizing it. Once we had integrated chips, the low-hanging fruit was still downsizing because they were still huge and because those remained in effect a "first draft" - the concept was working but far from efficient and optimized space-wise.
    That means we really haven't touched in comparison things like 3d stacking of chips, instructions compilations optimizations & so on.
    Hopefully that buys us a few more years/decades of Moore's law until we can figure some sort of commercially usable quantum computer. Then we can leap again. Even if such a computer never gets to the smartphone-level of tech and remains confined to specialized, centralized data center, they would still provide huge computer power that can be distributed through networks.

    • @JohnnyBGoode-tt7yv
      @JohnnyBGoode-tt7yv 6 лет назад +1

      And all for what purpose - so we can watch more movies on our talking fridges! Will RUclips videos play any faster? All this technology for the sake of more technology is useless if it does not make any real advances in the quality of life as we know it. Does the world really need an All-seeing, All-knowing Cloud? Do we really need better video War games? Will real wars and conflicts over limited resources end? What happens to the Military Industrial Complex that runs the world - do those $Trillions get returned to the common-good? Will the AI tell us who really did 911 and how?

    • @logiconabstractions6596
      @logiconabstractions6596 6 лет назад

      @@JohnnyBGoode-tt7yv Yeah but in a sense you are talking about the by-products.
      Parallele to those by products, our ability to simulate a lot more things did lead to advances in medecine and other things. More will follow. It does, as well, improve life I would argue.

  • @Tadesan
    @Tadesan 6 лет назад +5

    Moore’s law isn’t a law.
    It was an interesting idea. The fact that it has had so much influence on this technology is completely artificial. It’s impossible to say where the industry might be had Gordon Moore not made what is essentially an economic guess.

  • @månemannmånemann
    @månemannmånemann 6 лет назад +1

    Had to watch it on vapor wave speed, music also gets better this way, everything is more chill

  • @skoojha5216
    @skoojha5216 6 лет назад +5

    What other aspects of computing should be considered before we say Moore's law may be dead by mid 2020's.

  • @ZeeJayStudio
    @ZeeJayStudio 6 лет назад +1

    Beautifully Explained.

  • @Feyzei
    @Feyzei 4 года назад +3

    5nm is here now

  • @yusufdomun303
    @yusufdomun303 3 года назад +5

    we're now at 2nm

  • @powdermcdust8335
    @powdermcdust8335 6 лет назад

    This channel is gold....

  • @WinArmyOfficial
    @WinArmyOfficial 6 лет назад +52

    production costs go down , market prices go up! thats how you know you are enslaved!

    • @Demon09-_-
      @Demon09-_- 6 лет назад +39

      but the price to research and figure out new tech does not go down. them figuring out and finding how to make stuff smaller and smaller but keep the same performance is not suddenly cheap

    • @W1ldSm1le
      @W1ldSm1le 6 лет назад +2

      In terms of design the low hanging fruit is gone, die shrinks represent more and more man hours, new tools and techniques. The material costs go down but the rnd budgets swell more and more.

    • @BLACKTR00PER
      @BLACKTR00PER 6 лет назад +6

      u can‘t say the production costs go down. I work at Infineon, one the biggest semiconductor company. In our Production halls there are maschines which cost over 1 million usd/euro. And u have to sell them und buy new ones every 24 months.. Just look at the Money that Siemens earns and thennat the money which Infineon earns. There are huge differents cause Infineon has a lot of production costs in there maschines

    • @FRAMEDSKATEKREW69
      @FRAMEDSKATEKREW69 6 лет назад

      Hey stupid ever heard of AMD?

    • @jhinthevirtuoso4886
      @jhinthevirtuoso4886 6 лет назад +1

      perfect example of a dumb human being

  • @ragnarokofborg
    @ragnarokofborg 6 лет назад

    Could you please add a link to the first part of the video?

  • @masar-at
    @masar-at 6 лет назад +17

    watch in 0.75x speed

    • @codeninja1832
      @codeninja1832 6 лет назад +1

      John Vatic lmao, you're right.

    • @EnjoyingEnjoyer
      @EnjoyingEnjoyer 6 лет назад

      I tought he was speaking way too slowly :/

    • @tehpwnerer6821
      @tehpwnerer6821 5 лет назад

      first thing i tried. audio is "chopped" at 0.75... speedup works fine, slowdown not

    • @jacobnunya808
      @jacobnunya808 5 лет назад

      I was watching at 2.0x. IT'S OKAY THOUGH!

    • @jacobnunya808
      @jacobnunya808 5 лет назад

      at that speed it sounds like he is telling a bedtime story.

  • @mentalplayground
    @mentalplayground 6 лет назад +4

    Some pause between sentences would be a massive improvement. Very interesting information F for delivery.

  • @Yoshi-wx8sx
    @Yoshi-wx8sx 3 года назад +3

    "Snapdragon 850 has 10nm transistors"
    Snapdragon 888: laughs in 5nm

  • @frankmathews1358
    @frankmathews1358 4 года назад

    Thank you for the free education. We love you.

  • @4touchdowns1game29
    @4touchdowns1game29 6 лет назад +5

    This isn't just happening with computers look at tons of other things. Compare a motocross bike from 1996 to 1986 huge difference. Now compare a 2006 to a 2016 not nearly as big of a difference. Same thing with cars etc. Have we hit a wall in an innovation sense?

    • @hihtitmamnan
      @hihtitmamnan 5 лет назад +1

      electrical cars are entering the normal market. we need to change silicon to something better. graphene seems to have many problems nowadays.

    • @Inertia888
      @Inertia888 5 лет назад

      I would like to see a bigger focus on efficiency, and it seems like that might be where we are headed.

    • @4touchdowns1game29
      @4touchdowns1game29 5 лет назад

      I feel the next big innovation will be based in understanding how to bridge the gap of electrical signals between machine and human. If we could understand better the electrical signals our brain receives regarding simple things like physical sensation you could theoretically mimic real life sensations while in VR.

  • @MeyerBlignaut
    @MeyerBlignaut 6 лет назад

    Subscribed.
    Keep up with the good content!
    Thanks!

  • @mrboleus8240
    @mrboleus8240 6 лет назад +15

    What if hardwade limit is at 99%
    but software optimization is at stone age with 0.000000001%.... We don't need hardware shrinkage, more likely to do software magic...

    • @gaiazoulay9
      @gaiazoulay9 6 лет назад +4

      MR BOLEUS for example apples phones are silky smooth with 2gb of ram

    • @mrboleus8240
      @mrboleus8240 6 лет назад +2

      @@gaiazoulay9 Bullseye!!!

    • @carholic-sz3qv
      @carholic-sz3qv 6 лет назад +4

      @@gaiazoulay9 no one cares there are applications that needs superpowerfull chips for super fast calculations

    • @TuskForce
      @TuskForce 6 лет назад

      @Mikasa Imagine what kinda experience we'd have if every line of code was optimized ;)

    • @wichitawwojak3786
      @wichitawwojak3786 5 лет назад

      @@carholic-sz3qv The only reason it needs a superpowerful chip is because the code sucks

  • @gkarjala
    @gkarjala 5 лет назад

    I work in the Electro polymer bziness, so it's good to learn what our customers are up to. Thx.

  •  2 года назад +3

    just bought a phone with a 4nm chip : D

  • @FelonyVideos
    @FelonyVideos 6 лет назад +1

    We are already in the singularity, and this is exactly the way I expect it to be the entire way - no one even notices. Anyone born today will never get to drive a car. They will never need a job. They will never die against their will. There will be no doctors, lawyers, experts, nothing, no careers.
    The only question is, who owns the TS? The answer determines if the future is heaven or hell.

    • @fdamoreg
      @fdamoreg 6 лет назад

      Get your head out of your ass please.

    • @kyles5751
      @kyles5751 6 лет назад +1

      @@fdamoreg The funny part is that you think he is wrong. Look at the trends.

  • @topdog6843
    @topdog6843 6 лет назад +16

    Amd 7nm gpu

  • @mik310s
    @mik310s 6 лет назад

    Great video dude, this is the first Ive heard off nano sheets

  • @simonmayrand5584
    @simonmayrand5584 6 лет назад +24

    please slow down a bit, great video though.

    • @jordanmoorman5024
      @jordanmoorman5024 6 лет назад +1

      Simon Mayrand you can slow down the audio on youtube, or speed it up

    • @simonmayrand5584
      @simonmayrand5584 6 лет назад

      Jordan Moorman thank you good trick😀

    • @ab7988
      @ab7988 6 лет назад +2

      Set the speed at 0,75

  • @not_aeo
    @not_aeo 5 лет назад +1

    Brain Food Spotify Playlist playing the whole video.
    Good stuff.

  • @NorthGermanic
    @NorthGermanic 6 лет назад +15

    Simply amazing info, video and narrating.
    No, don't slow down your speech. It's perfect !
    Short, concise and straight to the point, as it should be.
    Other channels should learn from you.

    • @JorgetePanete
      @JorgetePanete 6 лет назад +1

      AJ81 Number 15: Burger King Foot Lettuce...

  • @Lara__
    @Lara__ 3 года назад

    Does quantum tunnelling stop happening when a particle is being observed? Is it the same as the wave function, that collapses when observed in the double slit experiment?
    So for example, if you want to make faster CPUs under the 2nm lithography, would one solution be to observe when an electron passes via a logical gate?

  • @daisyduck8593
    @daisyduck8593 6 лет назад +8

    One atom is about 0,3 nm and they say 2 - 3 nm is the limit for transistors...

    • @daisyduck8593
      @daisyduck8593 6 лет назад +2

      On wikipedia is writen humans have build a 0,4 nm working transistor.... But ok I think for microprocess chips maybe 2 - 3 is the limit...

    • @Rams912
      @Rams912 6 лет назад +5

      At least on silicon ;)

    • @daisyduck8593
      @daisyduck8593 6 лет назад

      Microchips in our smartphones are 12 nm. For records in 8K video they will need to be 4x more powerfull, so they need to be in 3 nm !

    • @daisyduck8593
      @daisyduck8593 6 лет назад +2

      @Hernando Malinche I know :) Its the first mass production device with a 7 nm chip. My note 8 can 4k video recording with I would say a 14 nm chip.

    • @daisyduck8593
      @daisyduck8593 6 лет назад

      It gets very hot. If you have more transistors you can reduce frequency or operation times, and this reduce heat... No ?

  • @rocket6173
    @rocket6173 6 лет назад

    Here’s a quick thought. Just know I haven’t thought about any of this and as I write this I’m thinking “actually this is a shit idea because x y and z but what if we were to switch to analog in terms of input and here’s what I mean: a neurone works by these little gates for the cell for sodium and they open as a (even more) positive charge comes through like a chain reaction once one opens it triggers the opening of the sodium channel next to it. How it triggers the opening is simple, an impulse raises the charge of the local area past a threshold which indices the gate open to let sodium in (sodium raises the charge). In computers this could mean that the electrons could leak and as long as there is only a small current an output would only be 0 until the gate is opened and even more electrons would pass through and therefore the current would increase and therefore would be detected as a 1. I’m sorry if this is poorly explained and after reading this I’m thinking well how would it know sort of thing but I’m assuming this train of thought is where sci-fi (but plausible) biomechanical cyborg brains are made.

  • @sweetyd
    @sweetyd 6 лет назад +5

    Whoa! Slow down turbo, you talk a bit fast and robotic! Otherwise, great video!

  • @Princearom1
    @Princearom1 6 лет назад

    Moore's law is not ending. We've just managed to push it further back. Eventually, maybe a decade from now this new generation of transistors will hit the same bump again. Unless we develop another ingenious way to do things again. Props to the people behind this development tho.

  • @marnuvanniekerk467
    @marnuvanniekerk467 6 лет назад +6

    awesome channel
    but you talk too fast bro

  • @trenzinhodaalegria8012
    @trenzinhodaalegria8012 6 лет назад

    Not only the amount of transistors increase but also the operation frequency. Thus actually the computing power increase when the amount of transistors double is actually way over the double.

  • @ozdemirsalik
    @ozdemirsalik 6 лет назад +9

    Multiple layers on a single chip is the answer.

    • @ozdemirsalik
      @ozdemirsalik 6 лет назад +2

      Walther Penne Well, maybe a different material can solve the heating problem. I have heard that the graphene is pretty good at this.

    • @ozdemirsalik
      @ozdemirsalik 6 лет назад

      Tommy Hammernots I know, but I meant more layers, and probably with different materials.

    • @ozdemirsalik
      @ozdemirsalik 6 лет назад

      ruclips.net/video/UUO-f0kIgVU/видео.html

    • @williamforbes6919
      @williamforbes6919 6 лет назад +4

      Walther Penne I don't think you have bothered to check the current state of technology. But we already do stacked die CPUs and memory. As long as the wafers are sufficiently thin. You can just back down the frequency and voltage till you hit the peak of the efficiency curve. Cooling is a problem, but it isn't "the" problem. It has the same issues as other large die solutions, more surface area means more percentage chance that there is an error, with the added bonus of damage during the stacking and soldering the TSVs. Stacked dies will be popular outside of embedded processors not long after we have more reliable lithography and better testing equipment.

    • @kwisclubta7175
      @kwisclubta7175 6 лет назад

      @Walther Penne So what can be done to speed up the process of turning the heat in your processor into Hot Air Dude? And what happens to Hot Air Dude after his transformation? Does he fly out of your PC on the wings of a stork? I am fascinated to learn more about this Hot Air Dude.

  • @Kiyoshi_9606
    @Kiyoshi_9606 6 лет назад

    The not as obvious trend = past silicon, nothing is affordable in the consumer market. Which means that, if we can't improve battery technology very soon, Moore's law for consumer computing basically comes to a standstill.
    Great video. What do you do for a living and do you think technology or need for computing power will out pace the other?

  • @WiningSwag
    @WiningSwag 7 лет назад +6

    I believe it will never end, the evidence being the universe itself will always be infinite.

    • @OptimisticFuturology
      @OptimisticFuturology  7 лет назад +3

      You may be right! There are some laws of physics limits we'll be approaching soon, however, there are also many alternatives the computing industry is beginning to shift towards. I'll be covering these in upcoming videos :) Thanks for watching!

    • @amit4rou
      @amit4rou 7 лет назад +1

      Singularity Prosperity waiting for those videos as an early suber

    • @jayesper4390
      @jayesper4390 6 лет назад +1

      ZeN The universe isn't infinite, I think that's why we all die, even the universe itself. Just imagine if there was one though!

    • @josephmoore4764
      @josephmoore4764 6 лет назад +5

      Infinitely large maybe, not small though. Atomic theory is pretty well founded, and after that size you run into the fundamental information density of the uncertainly principle

    • @NorthGermanic
      @NorthGermanic 6 лет назад

      Joseph Moore
      Uncertainty.

  • @perseverance8
    @perseverance8 6 лет назад

    Transistor count can be increased, given slice of silicon, by stacking, which is an approach with NAND flash storage "3D NAND". When I was in highschool 20 years ago, the death of Moores law was expected to arrive, at that time 180nm was still in development.

    • @andrewhenshaw4067
      @andrewhenshaw4067 Год назад

      You cant stack to much though because of heat.
      There is also a big difference between storage and the actuall processing parts

  • @call_me_anny
    @call_me_anny 6 лет назад +4

    you do know amd is on 7nm right

    • @Armand0008
      @Armand0008 6 лет назад

      That is not the limit though. The limit is closer to 3-4nm. Also, using a combination of materials might push that limit even further.

    • @RawLu.
      @RawLu. 6 лет назад

      Should do a video on how AMD is Destroying Intel? And despite AMD achieving 7NM B4 intel!?! You still only show Intel's Grossly Overpriced Crap in your video?... LOL!...

    • @sav22rem22
      @sav22rem22 6 лет назад +1

      RawLu You realize you copy and pasted this onto someone with the same opinion as you? Complete and utter moron

    • @kyles5751
      @kyles5751 6 лет назад +1

      @@sav22rem22 He put it on at least 4 others too. People are retarded.

  • @ushamasaneel1670
    @ushamasaneel1670 4 года назад +1

    What if we use two chips instead of one?

  • @breadifies2800
    @breadifies2800 6 лет назад +5

    I feel drastically smarter now... (+ 1 sub)

  • @ravikantin
    @ravikantin 6 лет назад +2

    Thanks for making such a informative video, can you please decrease the bass level. bass is high in voice.

  • @joelvercitte2892
    @joelvercitte2892 4 года назад +4

    10:33 corona virus first appear;

  • @felixcalderon7258
    @felixcalderon7258 5 лет назад

    This was a really well made video. I loved it!!

  • @illuxion
    @illuxion 6 лет назад +10

    *S Y N T H W A V E*

  • @strangelyerect3047
    @strangelyerect3047 6 лет назад

    Dude, this video is awesome!

  • @aaronmicalowe
    @aaronmicalowe 6 лет назад +3

    Quantum computers will continue the trend even if there's a delay...

    • @marcusm5127
      @marcusm5127 6 лет назад

      No they will double even faster but with bigger jumps and longer time between. Steeper curve fewer points on it.

    • @aaronmicalowe
      @aaronmicalowe 6 лет назад

      @@marcusm5127 a true quantum computer would but they are hampered because they still need to interface with the old technology - electronics. A true quantum computer doesn't run off electricity. For example, current quantum chips can be placed onto a motherboard that runs off electricity. The quanta to electric conversion introduces inefficiencies and delays. As we rely less and less on electrical computers we'll be able to do more.

  • @thatguyalex2835
    @thatguyalex2835 6 лет назад

    My CPU is 22 nm architecture (Intel i5-4200M). It would be awesome to have a CPU from the 1990s to get a retro vibe, but I like the high performance of CPUs from the 2010s decade. I'm impressed by our digital technology over the past 5, 10, 20, and 50 years. Who knows what the 2020s would bring, maybe the second generation of quantum computers such as the D-Wave...

  • @cindercinnamon2204
    @cindercinnamon2204 6 лет назад +26

    Great video. I understood perfectly I don't know if these snails got it though ;)

    • @Gabe-ch2ol
      @Gabe-ch2ol 6 лет назад +11

      r/iamverysmart

    • @MyNameIsPetch
      @MyNameIsPetch 6 лет назад

      It's comprehensible just not an enjoyable listen

    • @N3G4T3
      @N3G4T3 6 лет назад

      Yeah, us damn snails. Can't even get a simple video.

    • @TheBanjoShowOfficial
      @TheBanjoShowOfficial 6 лет назад +1

      r/iamverysmart

  • @BangMaster96
    @BangMaster96 6 лет назад

    And for that reason, Quantum Computers started, though we still haven't made one for commercial usage, i think in the future, it will be a commercial computer.

  • @nick23358
    @nick23358 3 года назад +3

    10:30 coronavirus in 2017

    • @dignes3446
      @dignes3446 3 года назад +3

      This video was sponsored by Illuminati.

    • @nick23358
      @nick23358 3 года назад +3

      💯💯

    • @TheZenytram
      @TheZenytram 3 года назад

      did you know virus existed before covid right.

    • @nick23358
      @nick23358 3 года назад +3

      @@TheZenytram yes🤡

  • @Kynareth6
    @Kynareth6 5 лет назад

    Over 8 years ago I bought a laptop for a certain price with 4 cores 8 threads and 8 GB of DRR3. Now after taking inflation into account, you can buy a similarly priced laptop with 6 cores 12 threads and 16 GB of DRR4. This isn't going as it should with Moore's Law. By now we should be at 32 cores and 256 GB of DDR6 for that price.

  • @saltyowl3229
    @saltyowl3229 6 лет назад +5

    >intel releasing 10nm in 2018

    • @RawLu.
      @RawLu. 6 лет назад +1

      Should do a video on how AMD is Destroying Intel? And despite AMD achieving 7NM B4 intel!?! You still only show Intel's Grossly Overpriced Crap in your video?... LOL!...

    • @ememvladislav7521
      @ememvladislav7521 5 лет назад +1

      @@RawLu. intel make their own die, amd and nvidia dont

  • @tamer27antepli
    @tamer27antepli 6 лет назад

    Was gonna switch to other video, nope, stayed here for HOME

  • @gl7011
    @gl7011 6 лет назад +9

    You talk so fast, It seems like a computer simulated voice over. Humanize the information more. Like what's the ultimate goal here? Why the need to go to plank size? Give a useful example of something that could be made at plank size that currently can't be made at 7 nanometers. Why are 5 nanometers a useful goal? How will things change when that breakthrough is achieved?

    • @alexking1129
      @alexking1129 6 лет назад

      Did you watch the video? He it will let you fit more transistors in a chip, making it more efficient, generate less heat, etc.

    • @gl7011
      @gl7011 6 лет назад

      alt f4
      I understand that, but why isn't the current standard good enough? Again, give an example of something they want to build that they are unable to build currently. Or is it just about speed? Why is 7 nanometers too slow for a new application.

    • @qtrg5794
      @qtrg5794 6 лет назад +4

      @@gl7011 i know this is a late reply but here goes: think 50 years back. you couldve asked that same question, and no one would have been able to tell you that we need more powerful processors to run fluid dynamics simulations, finite element calculations for engineering, and the amazing CG effects we can see in cinemas today; simply because they couldnt even imagine it. even if just one step forward doesnt immediately bring about huge changes to daily life, looking back after a few decades shows just how far weve come by taking one step at a time.

    • @sentry9834
      @sentry9834 6 лет назад +2

      @@qtrg5794
      Thanks for that, I'm much more informed now than I was just 6 months ago when I posted that question. Since then more and more information about the dawn of artificial intelligence and it's potential impact on life as we know it has been written. I'm sure the area if AI will greatly benefit from these New breakthroughs. Computers will be able to perform in ways that mimic if not surpass the human brain. We live in very interesting times.

  • @scottfranco1962
    @scottfranco1962 6 лет назад

    The example here is the human brain. Although neurons are slow by silicon circuitry standards, the brain does not particularly rely on the speed of neurons, but rather massive parallel processing. To this extent, you can regard the end of Moore's law as a good thing. We are still in baby steps as far as PP goes. The reason that GPUs do so well today is that image processing and graphics are problems well suited to parallel processing.

  • @735Secure
    @735Secure 6 лет назад +4

    Slow down! You're going too fast even people with multiple EE and CE degrees. If your intention is to educate and inform slow down. If your intention is to sound cool, then just show some pretty videos and speak fast!

    • @metacube9913
      @metacube9913 6 лет назад +3

      I'm a random 17 yo dude, and I still understand what he's saying, I don't really see where's your problem.

    • @LukusMaxamus
      @LukusMaxamus 6 лет назад

      Meta Cube i think he's trying to complain about an obvious flaw with the video, while attempting to passively flex lol

  • @simeongeorgiev1107
    @simeongeorgiev1107 6 лет назад

    Hey, may I ask for the source of info used in the vid. As a student in computer systems and technologyies I am really curios to read it myself! Awesome vid.

  • @williamforbes6919
    @williamforbes6919 6 лет назад

    I think it is worth pointing out that further miniaturization won't nessicarily enable more IOT technology. The ESP8265 (not 8266) is available for pennies when ordered in bulk, and offers loads of performance in a fully integrated 5mm package. You could make an IOT ring with this and an OLED display for a jewel for less than $10. and this is on 40nm. These things are so cheap that they are disposable. They even offer capacitive touch on the chip, meaning you don't even have to pay to Integrate buttons.

  • @Pspet
    @Pspet 5 лет назад +2

    Moore's law is not a "law' it is an observation. I don't see why the end if this observation is such a huge deal to everyone.

    • @fer5839
      @fer5839 5 лет назад

      Because if we want more power we will have to use something else than silicon chips. Someday scientist will figure out to do that I hope

    • @Pspet
      @Pspet 5 лет назад

      @@fer5839 Well as time passes by, technologies evolve. It happened with vacuum tubes, it happened with floppy disks and so on. It is no surprise silicon chips wont do it anymore. Isnt quantum computing the answer to that?

    • @fer5839
      @fer5839 5 лет назад

      @@Pspet quantum is a lot harder than silicon computers was back on mid XX

  • @metacube9913
    @metacube9913 6 лет назад

    You deserve way more subs/views tbh.

  • @maximusperez6205
    @maximusperez6205 6 лет назад

    very good video man, keep it up!

  • @MrMCKlebeband
    @MrMCKlebeband 4 года назад +1

    this was 3 years ago...yall realize we are living in the future?

  • @Stefan50326
    @Stefan50326 6 лет назад

    How about multi layered CPUs or/and calculating with light?

  • @NBsTube
    @NBsTube 6 лет назад +2

    does anyone know of a good video that explains better the thing about gate transistors, how they work, why they start having problems at smaller scales, etc? this is like the third video I watch trying to get into the details of that stuff but all I get is always the same CG video with the fancy cubes that seems to be done in archicad renderer. is there any detailed, precise, non over simplified explanation out there? I mean I'm a computer scientist but I have no clue about the physics behind this problem (more than the repetead phrase "its because quantum tunneling", which doesn't explain anything). thanks!

    • @Inertia888
      @Inertia888 5 лет назад

      ruclips.net/video/RF7dDt3tVmI/видео.html
      ruclips.net/video/rtI5wRyHpTg/видео.html
      I hope these videos help explain. A person can spend years learning to understand the mechanics of this subject but this should be a good place to start.