Football Betting: Why Your Good Start This Season Could be About to Change
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- Опубликовано: 13 янв 2024
- In this video, I revisit my pre-season predictions about the significant rule change in football - added time at the end of each half - and how it's reshaping the betting landscape. If you've enjoyed success this season, this video is crucial to understand what's coming next.
🔥 What's Inside:
Analysis of the added time impact on football betting and trading
Real-world data and insights from 5,300+ matches and markets
In-depth exploration of over/under, correct score, and match odds markets
Comparison of market dynamics across different leagues
👨🏫 Expert Insights:
Learn how more goals mean fewer draws and the implications for your betting strategies
Discover why the "lay the draw" strategy has been so effective this season
Understand the nuances of different leagues and how to adapt your approach
📊 Data-Driven Approach:
We don't just speculate; we dive into the numbers for a thorough analysis
See how the Premier League and La Liga differ in their scoring patterns
Learn how to pinpoint where the biggest opportunities lie in the markets
🛠️ Tools for Success:
Explore the powerful features of BetAngel, the game-changing trading software
Understand the "predicted goals" feature to refine your betting strategies
Join our community and forum for discussions with professional Betfair traders
💡 Key Takeaway:
This video isn't just a summary of past trends. By understanding the underlying shifts in the market, you can stay ahead of the curve and make informed, profitable decisions.
🌐 Visit www.betangel.com for more insights, tools, and community discussions. Don't forget to download BetAngel to revolutionize your trading experience!
#footballbetting #betting #betfairtrading 
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that La Liga data is strange, more goals but also more draws. more goals usually correlates with a lower draw %, but la liga is a quirky league
the 0-0 rate of 2.53% in EPL is insanely low, I'm not sure if that can continue. I doubt there are many leagues anywhere in the world with a 0-0 rate that low. Two leagues which are known for goals, Norway Eliteserien (5.37% rate last season) and Dutch 2nd division (3.32% last season) quickly confirm this. Bundesliga is 3.73% this season. VAR has definitely added to the goals column (more penalties + more added time = more goals = lower 0-0 rate).
It would be interesting to see if average injury time added in a league correlates with more goals being scored than usual, although I think this sort of data would be very difficult to get hold of. The Championship, for example, has seen an increase of .31 goals this season versus last where there has been an inordinate amount of added time in games
Brilliant video simplified a complex situation. Thank you.
Glad you enjoyed it!
Thank you Peter!
Enjoyed the video - would love to see some more in depth on this topic in the future: what are some of the best ways to understand if the markets are catching up and a strategy’s edge is being eroded etc.
Noted
I am happy to see you making another video because I thought you will stop doing it i mean you just won 1 million anyway is good to c u again cos your channel is one of the best spots betting channels in RUclips 👍
won a million ?
Thank you so much for your support I'm definitely not stopping anytime soon! That million I made at the start of my career, so it's been onwards and upwards since then.
1 million isn't very useful if it isn't backed by income. If Peter is likely to beat his return on investment using his software that say investing in index funds, then he'd still be best to deploy that capital doing what he knows. Money grants you time, but definitely not a worry free life :).
Hi Peter! On betfair can we do parlays (combinated bets) with exact scores only? Otherwise which bookmaker do you advise us ? Thanks a lot
5:51 how do you estimate these predictions for the different markets in Betangel? Poisson Law or another statistical method ? Thanks
If you ever find an automation file that makes consistent money I’m interested…otherwise these vids are no good…
This video isn't about anything aligned to that comment. Besides, lots of people have automation that makes money, but why would they share it?
Part of what you need to do is find your own edge, which is what I encourage people to do.
For correct scores, how is calculated the bookmaker's margin? I imagine that the margin is higher than the markets 1X2 and over/under. Thanks
7:45 if i understand well you mean that it's quite rather to analyze the trends by league. But which size of sample ? All seasons since 2010 or less or just the current season ? Each league has its own specificities but also each season has them too. How do you proceed exactly?
9:00 on the blog of Betangel, can we find all statistics about the trends and so on ? Thanks Peter
that seems a lot of matches at this point of the season how many matches a day is that and I take it must be all over the world games
It's across many markets as well, rather than just games. I tried to correct myself on the video.
I tend to stick to higher liquidity games, so don't tend to touch lower liquidity stuff elsewhere in the world.
@@betangeltv yea did hear you say many markets in vid and after I wrote comment did think does mount up quickly the amount of trades
If someone has been banned by sky bet paddy etc can they still use a exchange? As they are all under flutter
If you have self-excluded they you will be banned at all related entities. But if you are banned, that won't stop you using an exchange.
@betangeltv no, I haven't self excluded. But I was just thinking if a person was banned by paddy and sky bet for whatever reason, could they still use exchange as betfair is apart of the flutter entity
Different business model
@betangeltv ok, thanks mate. Going starting using an exchange. Its disgusting with sports book you can get banned or stake restricted for winning to much but they have no problem when people deposit thousands of their hard earned money.
not a big fan of ltd
when waiting for market to settle
another goal could go in
prefer dripping the unders or lthtcs instead
LTD is "only" good either if you get a very late goal, last kick, or last couple of minutes, or if the odds-on favourite takes the lead. LTD when the underdog scores is much less profitable
I've been running some profitable automation since September based on your predicted goals feature, but after watching this I'm now worried it's only been profitable because of the general value, not because of the predicated goals 😄 Time will tell, I suppose.
The predicted goals will adjust with the market, so you should be good. It's just people using 'judgement' that will not be able to see the market shift.
I actually recorded the video then added in the predicted goals after the initial final edit, as I felt it was an important pointer to be highlighted.
Style of play has a lot to do with it. How many goals have been scored in extra time compared to previous seasons? Premier league is much more open than previous seasons.
I understand this logic of playing out from the back, but it seems vastly overused now and often used when there is no gain to be had. It's odd.
I saw a stat the other day which showed an insane amount of goals being scored this season 90+. Makes sense as we are seeing lots of injury time and we know that the end state of football always contains more action as teams are pushing for a goal and there is often more space on the counter
funny enough the game today ended 0-0 Everton v Aston Villa after watching video today
Nope,didn’t learn a thing once again,just just an advert for Betangel.More goals in prem because top three or four are dominating,not so much in La Lega,no secret or surprises
I see you are still posing as an underage Thai boy to post abuse about others 'Trev': -
ruclips.net/channel/UCuWR9Iaj9E-UmwmyRcVqWUg
keep it simple, put your money in a savings account and get 5% for doing nothing
If memory serves me correctly I started with a bank of £1k when I started doing this seriously. So if I'd managed to somehow get 5% a year that would be worth £2653.30 20 years later. Instead I've recycled it through the markets as often as I can and made millions.
Of course, not everybody can do that. But just wanted to show the difference between no risk, and some measured risk.