This Stock Market Signal Has Only Been Flashed 3 Times In Last 25 Years
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- Опубликовано: 21 дек 2023
- The stock market generated an extremely rare signal in December. What does it tell us about the sustainability of the stock market rally and the outlook over the next five years?
This is the one of the very few guys I still listen to on RUclips regarding stocks
Yep.
I've been following him for 6+ years, and he manages some of my money now
Allstarcharts are also good.
@@peterpayne2219 he manages mine too. He just doesn't know it 😂
@@shayjohnson5830 agree. And he had a bad 22 . But its not dire. This is so top down that its helpful in managing long only positions. I can't do this. I can't pay for it. If u know a good contrarian analysis let's go! I try to approach this week and every week with a .... 🤣🤣 !
With the rally we saw in stocks December continue this January ? Both speculative and defensive assets are also on the rise. If yes what assets, instruments might those be?
The market need several strong performances over the next couple of weeks before we can agree to the narrative that the bear market is over. For now its just FOMO.
Its unclear which stocks and sectors will lead the market in the next uptrend. Stay away from the stock market if you do not have guidance from a plannner and investment strategist. My finances have been in order since I got a wealth planner like Monica working with/for me.
Some experts will say don’t underestimate performance chasing, others focus on bond yields not Monica, your financial goals come first as priority then you figure out what plan works best for you for the next 5years.
Who is this Monica you speak about? I have been searching for an advisor who can direct us on where the economy is headed next?
Monica Mary Strigle just do your own research you’d find details.
How can I reach her directly and what are the upfront fees?
To say that Chris 'simply regurgitates weekly market sentiment' is short sighted and misses the significant amount of work that goes into his analysis. It's easy after the fact to say these disingenuous statements, but there were many investors who were concerned about the technicals around the late October period. I wasn't, in fact one of my better trades this year was made in October. Much of this is because Chris's take on the primary trend did not waver since the October, 2022 lows, which he considered to be the bottom of the most recent bear market. My very best trades this year took place after the SVB/FR collapses when shares dropped pretty significantly as well. Chris respects the market and shares valuable insights at no cost to us. I'm not a client of his, for my own personal reasons, however, I really appreciate all of the excellent analysis he has shared over the years.
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Agreed !
Ciovacco Capital has been right about these last two years. I remember watching in 2022 about "THE Low" being in. And as of now it seems it really is. Fantastic work.
I feel bad for anyone buying this. The yield curve is inverted folks. That's the only chart you need right now. This "rare indicator" stuff is just ridiculous.
Yup, the yield curve will probably revert sometime in 2024. This means prices wont be this high again for another 5-10 years. More risk to downside.
I have been watching your videos for a few years. I love them, I feel like I am getting real information from a real professional. There are far to many RUclips channels with under qualified people giving advice. Thank you for the videos
Thank you for your detailed analysis on the market, your time and effort compiling all this data just to share for free is very much appreciated.🎄
His Longterm trend analysis is the best on RUclips
Thank you for the detailed and excellent information. Happy holidays 🎄
Magnificent analysis. Thank you so much
Thank you for sharing your analysis
Thank you Chris for your calm and reasonable analysis of our markets. Your message is a voice of sanity in the times we live in today. Have a very merry Christmas and a happy new year.
Thank you!
Thank you for sharing your knowledge..Very Impressive Analysis..Lower Interest rates should give companies access to capital at lower interest rates and increase profits of the 493 stocks in the S&P 500..
Excellent work! Happy Holidays!
Thank you Chris and Kathy for dedication, knowledge and being willing to share it with us. Wishing you a merry Christmas.
Great video. Thank you for your time and happy holidays.
This doesn’t take into account the inverted yield curve and coming reverse and rate cuts ( talking statistics of rate cuts leading to a crash average 6 months from first cut )
This time is basically flipped reverse where we’ve had aggressive rate hikes. Highest debt levels. Lowest savings rates. Pretty high P/E that would be pushed up with gains. Along with market share being eaten up with a few companies funneling more money into a concentrated portfolio
AKA we’re setup for a run when the “crash didn’t happen yet” ?????
Good video this week nice data points let’s go bulls $$$
Excellent. Totally relevant analysis, and totally clear explanation. Beautiful! 👍👍👍👍👍
Awesome analysis! Thanks Chris!!
Very nice TY for sharing your work .. 🎄 Merry Christmas
Again, I watch Every. Single. Week. Great analysis.
Thanks again for this EXCELLENT content!
Happy Holiday's Chris and Kathy! Thank you.
I've been watching you for about 4 months now. Since I came across this channel. Find what you do very interesting keep it up. I would love to see a brief mention of maybe yield curve inversions. Got to say you call things the way they are. And your market analysis is definitely an edge
You articulate things very well. Earned my sub.
Just the best analysis on the market
What a way to finish the year positive chart assessment. Merry Xmas 🤶 happy new year 👍🇦🇺
Merry Xmas Chris and Kathy. Thanks for your wonderful guidance and smarts throughout yet another year. Cheers from downunder
Will set a reminder to check this in 12 months.
I just want to thank you for the invaluable information you provide for free on your channel. I want you to be my mentor❤❤❤
Thanks for sharing your analysis, Chris. You share insights that I never see discussed anywhere else and it's another perspective that helps explain that big picture. Merry Christmas to you and your family.
In your decade of unprecedented upward movement starting in 2009 also included QE and other unprecedented events... namely ZIRP and Trillions of additional dollars of indebtedness.
Thanks!
Nice Chris - thanks
Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are very well informed and equipped. I've seen folks amass up to $800K amid crisis, and even pull it off easily in a favorable economy. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich.
Long-term investors know that the market and economy will recover eventually, and are well positioned for the rebound. Personally still going hard on this crazy market and I'm doing just fine. My portfolio currently up 43% right now. I am going to sit back and observe how this all plays out, adding more stocks at a time.
I prefer to seek the advice of financial consultants when making my daily investment decisions, especially since their expertise is focused on short- and long-term holdings for profit realisation and because of their specific research, it is almost difficult for them to underperform. I've been investing with my consultant for just over two years, and during that time we have already generated sizeable net profits.
That does make a lot of sense, unlike us, you seem to have the Market figured out. Who is this consultant?
Camille Anne Hector is the analyst that helps me. She has a large following and is easily found online. I am SO THANKFUL and SSO BLESSED to have met her! I’ve been Up, down, up and down a lot. Finally back up all thanks to her.
Thank you for this tip. It was easy to find your coach. Did my due diligence on her before reaching out. She seems proficient considering her resume.
Thanks a lot for your ongoing professional mentoring. If you are correct, withing 3-5 years I'll be qualified to open an account at Ciovacco.
Meanwhile I have a question: don't you think the magnificent 7 are in a bubble? For years now these are the "safe bet" that "must" be included in any account = the intrinsic value is not compatible with the price of the stock. Isn't it safer to invest in RSP or even IWM?
That’s a concern of mine too. I use TAA systems for investing but I also have about 25% of my capital invested in MSFT, GOOGL and NVDA. My dilemma is whether keep them to let the profit run or reallocate at least some of it to TAA to reduce risk of losing profit in a correction that is bound to happen at some point. For the TAA part i expect it to take care of itself in the sense of that if small caps start to outperform, monthly signals will allocate more capital to IWM.
Great content, as usual, however it'd be nice to see some detailed commentary on small caps
Happy Holidays, and best New Years wishes.
chris and kathy. i know it takes a long time to prepare these charts and the video. really appreciate you sharing these with us. wishing you abundance in every aspect of your lives.
This guy uses good data and statistics and he gets the facts right. That’s so hard to find anymore on RUclips. Thank you for all your hard work and dedication to educating all of us
My only issue with this is that none of those other big moves happened near all time highs, they were all near the lows
And yield curve had inverted
Uninverted
can the chinese market remain down or sideways as for the forseeable future, with the spy going up year after year
TQQQ
Not sure why you're BINYBT looks different than mine, and I'm using the same tool.
👍😄
Nobody can become financially successful over night. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking bold steps we need in other to reach our goals.
This market is cocked!
Like gamblers, smarter ones, I hope. We like to hear the 🎲, I mean history, is on our side.
Your chart is 2 months old
If you compare rsp with spy, they are almost identical
For this secular bull to play out you have to make the case that the Mag 7 currently worth close to $12T must double in value.
Where will this $12T of additional liquidity come from?
RSP [1W] : after #9 weeks since Oct 30 RSP closed Jan 10/18 2022 gap, on falling Vol on RSI max, and reached Jan 3 2022 fractal zone above (18,52,104) red flatbed left side. RSP might breach Oct 23 2023 close. The Dow [1W], the same bs.
Buy and don't put a stop loss, got it. Hodl season is here
Saying all this “some up” with Historical Government Debt 17-18 Trillion
This video is sort of cherry picking data to present a bullish scenario. I mean, that's interesting but I'm not betting actual money on it. You left out things like traditional stock valuation methods, earnings/earnings growth, fed policy.....you also hint at recession fears being overblown/fake which just tells me you're cut off from how the bottom 80% or so of people are living right now. I have zero idea where future money is going to come from to fuel things like consumer spending or any sort of earnings growth. We applauded mediocre earnings reports all year but there is no guarantee that will continue for another year
Too long to watch? Chris is bullish as markets make new highs based on some signal.
In the first half of the video you have a bear market thesis,. in the second half you're bullish? make up your mind.
The signals never mean anything and the predictions never pan out. Nobody knows what's going to happen even when everyone agrees something is going to happen. I was long term S&P500 and made money till I retired and changed my focus from saving to spending and wasn't long term anymore, since I got out I've been making 6% no risk. Good luck with your predictions.
Markets hit SUPER OVERBOUGHT (RSI over 80!) just the other day. Only 1 way from here! DOWN.
Fundamentals points to recession next year and that will bring -30% or more good luck everyone I’m seating this out
All worked fine 2009 to 2019 because of the global peace environment in the world ..now we have global world War environment with China taking Taiwan and North Korea on South and Iran over Israel; that's the main geopolitical change for the 2023- 2033 period and which is not considered; why? In 2009 there was only one super power in world: we USA; but now we have a number one economy power in the world: China and very close to be the first military power as well
Since 2009 the S&P has gone up 6 fold, the Nasdaq Composite 10 fold, and the NASDAQ 100 15 fold! Anybody who invests money at these levels is honestly just the type of ignorant market noob that the market makers make their billions $$ of profit from every year. Just look at the charts over the past 25 years. The risk-reward at these levels is terrible!
Disagree. RRP event is coming by March/April 2024. Debt is a VERTICAL LINE. Sorry, but I think its GOING DOWN, especially 2nd half of '24.
just started....Let me guess, this is a long term bull signal. this guy simply regurgitates weekly market sentiment
He seems to have making videos for at least 10+ years. If you look at his older videos he has some from around 2012 etc. I’m not sure I’d call it market sentiment as much as data points with signals and the results afterwards.
What else do you want to see in a daily weekly monthly uptrend? A cryptic omen pointing to an imminent apocalypse? Visions of saints and Jesus walks on Earth again?
@louistran016 ..No ..No jesus please
Then find another channel if you don’t find it useful
@@louistran016 Again?? There is no proof of this...