Why Is NVIDIA CRASHING?! | GREAT Time To BUY? | NVDA Stock Analysis! |
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- Опубликовано: 19 апр 2024
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In this video we will analyse NVIDIA (NVDA) stock using our 4 valuations methods to get to our intrinsic value. We will then apply a margin of safety to get to our acceptable buy price.
We will also take a look at the dividend safety and other key financial metrics. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
I am not a financial advisor or licensed professional. Nothing I say or produce on RUclips or anywhere else, should be considered as advice. All content is for educational purposes only. I am not responsible for any financial losses or gains. Invest and trade at your own risk.
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I agree that many people are considering NVDA as the "Stock of the year." However, I'm curious about which stocks could potentially become the next META in terms of growth over the next decade. I've allocated $200k for investment, aiming to retire comfortably.
I think the next big thing will be A.I. For enduring growth akin to META, it's vital to avoid impulsive decisions driven by short-term fluctuations. Prioritize patience and a long-term perspective consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
Facing a similar situation, I sought advice from an invęstment advisęr. Through portfolio restructuring and diversification with good ETFs, S&P 500 and growth stocks, I've turned my portfolio around from $200k to over $800k in a few years.
It appears that your investment advisor is highly skilled. Could you please let me know if you are still in contact with this advisor and, if so, how?
She goes by ‘’Colleen Rose Mccaffery’ I suggest you look her up. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
Thank you for sharing, I must say, Colleen’’ appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call
Bought some under 800...Its been going up way too fast so it makes sense to have a correction and that's healthy better than going straight up then crash like crazy
NVIDIA will be $1,200 minimum by end of the year. Nothing has changed. They will still have revenue of almost $26 Billion for Q1 (May 22) with Gross Margins of 76% and Net Margins of 55% (AMD is 10%).
Nvidia hasn't even started yet, I think someone just tries to frighten some small investors to sell off. That broad market sell has no any meaningful explanation. Especially for Nvidia, people think Nvidia has only recently shown up, on some presumed "AI hype".... Nvidia is one of the reasons generative AI exists.
@@Slav4o911 -- Good post!
I believe market knows the earnings will be solid and sold to re-buy it cheaper Cheers
@@Slav4o911 Yeah...I owned 500 shares since 2020 and then last week had to go and get cute and put my kids trust in there(he had ~50 shares from 2020 so about 200 now, got in after the 2-1 split, not before).
But I decided to buy another 500 at 822 and 250 in his at 818. Goddamn am I kicking myself. 759 would have been SOOO much nicer! And now I could see a bottom of 700. I still see it hitting 1000 by this year(~200 after the split).
Nothing has change, yet the structure is colapsing. It will continue to $600 at minimum and there will be the bottom for another run.
I am very confident that nvdia will go back up. Cant say the same for smci tho
Fully agree SMCI cashflows just don't up. It simply got caught in the AI hype, as do all the other stocks except that they have actual cash flows to back it up. Got me some AVGO and NVDA last night at bargain prices.
The last few months Nvidia was the carry beast of my portfolio (along Broadcom). Sure, such a huge drop hurts…but given that I was like 70% in the green with both, before this crash…I think that this „little“ drop is ok, as long as it won’t continue bleeding long term. Given both companies are market leaders I’m confident in both. If they should drop below my buy price by any chance, I’d actually buy more of both. Esp. Broadcom due to the very nice dividend.
Thanks for this video btw! It felt really weird to see the drop on Friday (and overall see Nvidia bleed for a few weeks), so I was scratching my head…this video helped me to restore my confidence 😊
That dividend is 🔥🔥🔥
NVDA is just getting warmed up
For downwards?
then all in now
@@FreaksSpeaksmoron it has no real competition
It was completely overvalued
Started investing in FSELX ETF last summer, wish I went in when it’s down but holding anyway. I’m in this for the long run!
I think it's important to stick to stocks that are immune to economic policies. I'm looking at NVIDIA and other AI stocks. It seems AI is the trajectory most companies are taking, including even established FAANG companies. Maybe there are other recommendations?
I bought into NVIDIA around September because my financial advisor recommended it to me. She said the company is selling shovels in a gold rush. It accounted for almost 80% of my market return this year.
@@MaryJennings-oh9gi That's a great analogy and I love the insight. Professionals could make a really big difference in investing, and I think everyone should have one. There are aspects of market trends that are difficult for the untrained eyes to see.
@@ChadLujan One of my goals is to employ the service of one this year. I've seen some off LinkedIn but wasn't able to get a response. Would you recommend who it is you work with?
@@muhammedaliyu991 'Victoria Carmen Santaella' is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’ll find the necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@@ChadLujan Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible.
It was rotation selling
What do you think about ARM? It crashed more than 40%
If it hits $50 I’ll start buying.
completely a fraud like SMCI, bubble
It crashed that much because it had an unreasonably high P/E.
I put my whole Roth in NVDA at 966, hopefully it recovers long term!
It will. I am extremely confident it will go much higher than $1000 and then maybe a split.
😂😂
🥴🥴🥴🥴🥴🥴
Don’t worry bro I am with u same 959 my stock
@@punjabpunjab2536 I would be worrying if NVIdia was meme clown company like Tesla, but it is not
Average is 94%, but we're going with a more conservative 24%, and if you feel that's too high.... Sounds like some value investors can't get their heads around growth stocks and what Nvidia is doing.
Made a couple of options play on NVDA. I made 13K but been buying again and I have lost. Missed Fridays big leg down should have paid attention to my charts would have made 20K easily. I guess I will buy on Monday depending what my charts tell me if a Call or Put but I'm ready. Thanks for the insight!!!
Lets add each other and make a group chat with other stockers
Your 📉📈... hahaha 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
@@Yungcumlordno way Jose with a guy named CumLord.
very good video. very informative. thank you.
Thank you my friend, glad you enjoyed it! 😊
what is the website you were using at 12:00 ?
I’ve just released a free weekly newsletter where I run through every single one of the resources I use on my analysis (link in pinned comment)
Could you evaluate KREF stock please
Great video man! I have a quick question that I hope you can kindly provide with some clarity. Why do investors tend to value stocks using fundamental valuation techniques such as PE ratio or DCF as opposed to simply just using technical analysis (on the monthly time frame) to get a more pin-point entry/buy price like a long term trader?
Thanks! Different investors will have different approaches to investing. I like to find high quality companies, and then analyse if they are undervalued and use a certain margin of safety. Other investors will purely use a technical approach. What is your approach to investing?
@@DividendTalks yh so I like to use fundamental analysis to analyse and assess a companies financial health and growth prospects. I like to see companies with strong fundamentals (just like yourself). However, where I tend to refrain/differ from using fundamentals is during the valuation process, I dont seem to understand why investors tend to use fundamental approaches to value a stock e.g using DCF or PE ratio etc as opposed to using technical analysis to determine a buying point. Do you know why such is the case? Imo I think technical analysis gives better timing to buy/sell a stock as opposed to fundamental valuations which is largely subjective
DIAMOND HANDS BABY 💎👐
Fantastic thank you 👏🏾
You are very welcome my friend! 😊
Thanks!
Maybe I've got this wrong but you do realise all these ai chips are for companies to create algorithms that produce an output. The output can be ran by any computer so not really sure why this will continue to go up. Once the companies have all these big servers in place it's finished. The likes of AMD and Intel are closing in so the margins will be destroyed as competition increases.
I could be totally wrong and we might see a use case that requires everyone to have these chips in their computers but at the moment I don't see it.
I wouldn't touch this personally till it goes near $500 which I'm predicting we will see within 2 years.
Sure but it won’t be this few years. Chips will get better and llm require exponential curve
you do realize those same companies will continue upgrading with every new chip right? Do you even know how data centers work? You don't just finish building one, its constantly being built out, it never ends
China builds their own chips now and their performance is better in many cases. Since the US government tried to stop China from buying chips they decided to make their own. China makes up 20% of NVIDIAs sales. So yes this is an issue for NVIDIA
This is the correction,
buying the dip and even more in SMH etf shares
What about Smci ?
Dating Site 😂😂😂😂😂😂
A dedicated episode is coming today 😊
Smci is being used as some sort of bellwether for nvda. But personally I wouldn't buy it, it is projecting fantastic growth but has no moat and margins aren't great for the premium its commanding
Great sharing!
Thanks, glad you enjoyed the episode! 😊
Will buy more NVDA at this price. Once in a life time opportunity. SMCI I won t touch. But will add to AMZN too.
I can’t emphasise how ridiculous a sustained 30% growth YoY is for 10Y
This is so stupid. You don’t need 30% every year when they grow 100% first year
@@cristJUNlee one bad quarter is all it takes with rich targets
Thank you
You are very welcome! 😊
Very good!
Thank you very much my friend, glad you found this episode helpful! 😊
63PE. Might get in at $500. Till then this is too expensive..it’s the hype phase.
You don’t look at pe for growth stocks you look at forward pe
Did you buy call options, or are you talking trash?
@@javastream5015 I don’t do options. If I don’t like the price but I like the company I just wait for a better entry point.
$650 is more realistic ✊ I hope we all win 👊
@@javastream5015 I don’t do options. I invest when the price is right for me
Where do i find the information that this guy used in the video
This guy literally ran through all the resources he uses in his latest free weekly newsletter (link in pinned comment) 😊
Nvidia will fill more than likely fill the $660 gap first. I wouldn’t buy right now.
An awesome time to go short this ridiculous pump and dump scheme
500 $ Nicosia!! I’m in!!
I bought more in the dip.
Two years from now she'll double her worth at $1400 at least.
Every time they dip and people cry - time to buy.
At $150 people also cried. Those who were opportunists made profit.
It was rallying until I finally bought NVIDIA…
U need to learn not to buy the best performing stocks. You should buy stocks that are crashing (but are still good). Otherwise you keep buying the peak, selling the bottom.
My AMD is down bad bad too..
The big data clouds have already purchased all the chips they need only when there is a new paradigm shift of ai will the new wave of purchases happen
500s may hold. Probably not
Now is not the time to crash and burn! You must rise higher with Hypeloot's token!
ruclips.net/video/Vo-XSMlWA7k/видео.html
I lost 700$ on friday Im considering ending it all.
I lost 6k in 4 days :)
More money you have more you lose. I’ve made about 100k on nvda but lost 30k last month. More money you have more you will lose. Just how the whole thing works. It hurts the same no matter how much you have.
@@JimMcNuttyyou still made $70k
you only lose when you sell. keep holding.
i went $2300 negative because of this cliffdrop fml
The More I watch the more I want to Short it.
You could really take a beating with shorts
It will rise again but I bought it too high at 855 USD
They pumped, now dumping. Run to hills.🤣
Hope you're wrong
@@TheSmartLawyer My view as a trader. If you are up I would sale it even little loss. I can't see the point holding bag in short term. They squeezed shorts now looking for bag holders.
I jumped off the NVDA ship wearing a life vest on Friday and taking my losses, because I'm worried about the 2024 guidance from ASML. 😊
i think ASML's orders dropped mainly because the government banned them from selling products to China, which once made up 40% of their orders. any company get banned will suffer for a while, NVDA already went though that, AMD and INTEL are going though that, they all have to cope with that, but it's an one off thing.
Then you are absolutely clueless
@@UziGameGP Why am I clueless?
Big mistake. This is the time to buy not sell.
@albertinsinger7443 I hope that you are correct and that you make some good profit.
Please do for SMCI
A dedicated episode is coming today 😊
Can you do smci?
Yes definitely, will try and release an episode soon!
Thanks for this video, please do similarly for SMCI and Palantir
SMCI was the 25% loser Friday
A dedicated episode coming later today 😊
god bless bag holders..
My ai portfolio has TANKED!!!
I keep remembering when everything crashed, like google, amzn, meta etc all below $100. Hoping we’re not going back there again!
You mean when we had a one in 100 year pandemic? you're a weak person.
stupid war and stupid hight interest rates but is just matter of time hahha
buy NVDA now
Please do SMCI
A dedicated episode to SMCI is coming today 😊
Let’s be logical here:
AI is unproven
Jim Cramer recommends this stock which means it’s at the top 🌊 of a bubble. Check back in two months lol trust me
nvda $8000 by2030!
How do you come to that?
@@rollie5579 in his dreams
I am adding to my position in NVDA on Monday
1st
Amazing! Lets goo! 💪 🔥
NVDA is down because of the Fed? Then why was the Dow up? Moving on.
SMCI
Dedicated episode is coming out today 😊
1 hit wonder. done ! no mas ! bye bye down the rabbit hole here we go
I'm new to stocks. I've been holding onto nvidia for a about a year now. Should I sell it today then buy again when the stock starts to recover?
when people see red in a stock market u should be taking a look and buying shitttttons
I suspect competition (AMD,Intel,Google, …) will catch up with their AI chips in the 1-2 years and prices from 50-100k per chip will drop a lot. If customers are oder stocked we might see this faster.
This will be the same as we see with Tesla right now.
DF. No one else will ever catch up.
How will they catch up... they are moving slower than Nvidia since forever. Nvidia doesn't sit on their laurels, they constantly iterate and innovate. No company has ever been able to beat Nvidia at their own game. Nvidia is the best GPU maker since forever, they were making good and competitive videocards since the very beginning. You should look at their history, they were always at the forefront, even their first videocards were innovative.
Intel dominated the CPU market for decades. A change in management led to their downfall.
Nvidia has at least a 5 year runway to remain dominant. If the stock drops to the $500 - $600 range it will be a screaming buy.
Thank you Captain Obvious. The whole market took a dip
It doesn't take a genius to see that.
You People are hilarious & greedy, NVDA is doing Well even if it drops $100, $200, it's a INCREDIBLE Stock, most have dropped, sell outs, Economical issues..
Ai bubble
NVDA was just like everything else in the World. Overpriced .
No, it’s not over priced compared to the other tech stocks. Now it’s a huge opportunity. I am a buyer come Monday. Forward p/e at 29 NVDA is one of the best companies on Wall Street. No debt, huge growth. Even if they grow 10% less it means it still grows astronomically.
Short earnings
Bad