Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2024 - Will It Be Hyper Active?
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- Опубликовано: 21 май 2024
- This upcoming Atlantic Hurricane Season will likely be very active to perhaps hyperactive due to a developing La Nina in the eastern Pacific with a near-record warm Atlantic basin. So, in today's video, I'll show you why this hurricane season will be busy.
Video Chapters:
0:00 - Intro
0:19 - Very Warm SST's
1:55 - Record Breaking OHC
8:24 - Climate Model Guidance
13:22 - The MJO
14:37 - My Forecast
16:57 - CSU Hurricane Forecast
19:01 - What Will I Provide?
20:48 - Outro/Promotion
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Развлечения
I have a feeling this will be a hybrid of 2005 and 2017. Extremely damaging season possible.
Mixed with 2004
Id say a mix of 2004 and 2017
That’s what everyone says every year no need to overhype
@@Froblackistani better to be over prepared than under prepared
There are so many variables that can strengthen/weaken a hurricane. Scary prediction videos are big money makers, but in reality we don’t know.
Way back in the 50’s when ask about the weather, my uncle would always say. “ Fair & warmer with a hell of a storm on the ocean.”
I always think of him around hurricane season. 😂❤
Loved your humor Uncle Art.
LMAO. I've been living along the Gulf Coast for years, and I have yet to see a season where forecasters say, "nothing much to worry about this year, folks! It'll be slow!" No, every season has the potential to be catastrophic. All it takes is a single Cat 4 or 5 to hit your area, and you are done. The 1992 season was not "active" in terms of number of storms. But it included Andrew, and everyone knows how that turned out.
I live in South Carolina love this info. I'm definitely getting house insurance asap. This is terrifying.
You can get a cheap 100 watt glass solar panel and wire up a 12 volt DC car charger USB terminal to it and not worry about charging phones, flashlights, batteries and power bricks at your home for years as long as it`s daytime. These still supply about 8 watts even on very cloudy days and that`s plenty for a 5w light or fan and charging many devices.
Get lots of high winds this winter in N. S.
@@emilymorrison9510 We got a storm last June here in Louisiana that woke me up at just before 2am with thunder. Then I turned on my pocket sized AM/FM/NOAA radio and heard, "80 mph winds...take cover...mobile homes will be destroyed." I live in a camper. Then just after 2am I heard a roar to my southeast that sounded exactly like a tornado. Two minutes later...tornado warning...and the radio is naming my area. The high winds hit 45 minutes later but not as bad as they predicted but the power was out until after midnight the next night and the drought and heat emergency lasting until October started. Plus we were hit by two hurricanes in 2020 with almost three weeks with no power, cell phone signals, home phones or local radio.
Thank you for your forecast was complete and so beneficial to us. You are a excellent weather man Blessing, 😊😊😊❤❤❤
I like you and mark Sudduth because both of you go in depth about how each season is going to play out.
thanks so much, me and mark try our best that is.
OK…Bottomline…can you tell us if we can expect more category 3, 4,or 5s in 2024 for Florida east and/or gulf coast? Yellows, red, orange, pink poked dot….🤷♂️Concerning yes…but how concerning to Florida? Give us layman something we can prepared for…🤦♂️
Thank you sir,for the accurate predictions,some of us are gifted with clairvoyance,to know exactly what the future will be.I sincerely think you.
Survived Ian in 2022. THAT WAS VERY SCARY ..We are more prepared this time.
Excellent forecast TY
your welcome
I think New York City is going to get tropical storm this year.
Thanks for the hurricane forecast David. What's the spring and summer forecast for the west??
I agree with your assessment David. Awesome video
Thanks
2 hours of rain today in red gal ring area Kingston 10 Jamaica, yeah man 🇯🇲🇯🇲
It’s informative and I can easily understand it.
Not in anticipation of the damages, but i do hope the gulf gets a couple just for the rain alone. We really need it down here
Hypothetical category 6 has sustained winds of 192mph, and only five have winds that high
Ok that ocean heat content is absolutely terrifying
Hey David good to see you again, Miami princess
I understand that it's much warmer than normal but I believe since it's not uniformly warm and has cooler areas that will create some wind shear that will try to destroy anything that starts or keep it well offshore.
Wow! I live 18 miles (as the bird flies) from the Gulf of Mexico in the panhandle of Florida - I guess I'll have to take the flag down from the flagpole several times this hurricane season...! Now, that I've have seen this video - I may have to replace the flagpole...! 😢 😭 😿 😢
Emergency management experts in Florida expect potentially 4 hurricane landfills in Florida.
I don't think anything will affect or hit Southeastern or Southwestern Florida. So I'm not worried.
There is a possibility of another hurricane category which is now a hypothetical category 6
real
*Patricia flashbacks have entered me*
David, would you say this season will; be more like 2005, 2017 or 2020??
I think both sides of Florida getting hit this year
Yea, I was previously wondering what high heat on hurricane alley and El Niño changing to La Niña just as the ocean is the warmest could mean...
Loads of hurricanes are likely coming in this season. Brace yourself.
A strong High-Pressure system is supposed to form in the Eastern Atlantic. This will prevent storms from hooking away from the States.
Steering storms away from Southwest Florida and into the Mobile / New Orleans area. Yeah, I'm not preparing or evacuating.
No major storm today hitting Florida. Don’t worry folks.
I would call the DS control forecast the DS control Max forecast since there’s a large amount of snow name, storms
I live in the lower east coast & the locals that lived here their whole life says that most hurricanes 🌀 travel from Africa over here and makes landfall. Last year was dry with very little rain, this year in 2024 we had rain every week once or more since January
I like this video when are making your next video and can we do a Collab and I’m your biggest fan and supporter. I’ve watched all your videos and I think that we should talk about the hurricane season and make videos together and talk about the hurricane season and future stuff.
if you want to get in touch with me you can contact me via discord @davidschlotthauer
@@WeatherForce2024 I don’t have discord but I do have twitter
Why don't they drag giant icebergs to the southern area waters to cool it
Do you want 'The Day After Tomorrow' to happen?
Maybe 🤔 this happens for a reason !
This is not good. With temperatures like this we could see hurricanes in areas that have never seen them before. This is very concerning.
Not true but alright 👌
Agreed
@WeatherForce2024 perhaps my understanding of how hurricanes work are incorrect. I was taught they like warmer icean temperatures, and thus, i figured this would provide a new track for them.I've come here to watch the video, and listen to your opinions. But if my knowledge is incorrect. What a great opportunity for me to learn, and gather the proper information. Please, educate me
@@danielfox2635 I just now noticed you said “could” lol
I live in Romania.I have never experienced a hurricane/tornado
Every year it's supposed to be very active
Yes, as of recently. The only year that didn't produce a major hurricane since 2010 was 2013. I know it doesn't feel like its active because not some of major hurricanes don't make landfall but it happens a lot!
ADHD. Absolutely Destructive Hurricane Days (I couldnt think of snything good for the last d
Will Trinidad be at risk for storms this year?
Yes. This year will be worse than 2020 because the ocean heat is wayy hotter than 2020 and 2020 was the most active season.🙏
I know you can’t predict this, but do you think Florida will get hit by any tropical disturbance in May? Or even at all? I’m flying down in mid May for vacation
I live in Florida. Officially hurricane season starts June 1st. We never had major storms until very last week of May. Good luck 🍀
@@AnnaS.Cross.Stitch Didn't you guys get hit a week ago? I am watching Florida, I live in Oklahoma my in laws are going to vacation in Florida tomorrow watching the weather.
I watched some hypothetical 2024 hurricane season videos and they do not look good, some getting to V storm 'Valerie' and some getting to the I storm in the Alternative list
The fact that the Northwestern Pacific is losing it's activity while the Atlantic is hyping in activity is just shocking and I also feel very disappointed for the Northwestern Pacific😅
Day late and a Dollar Short, I wonder if there will be any Eclipse Hurricanes this fall?
2023: Tropical Storm Sanvu was the last cyclone to experience a solar eclipse.
GODS WRATH MUHA
short answer: maybe, but probably not. its a el nino this year so the atlantic won't see as much activity. the pacific might be hyperactive though, but I'll need to check the long term models and nhs forecasts
El nino but they are predicting an La nina summer basically El nino is giving hurricane season a push start for the season because by the beginning of the hurricane season, La nina will be in effect again.
No, The El Niño will flip into a La Niña causing less sheer and higher temps.
U got it wrong it is the other way around.
What does this means for Trinidad and Tobago?
It mens a higher chance of tropical activity.
What happened to fahrenheit?
They measure in C and flip it to F
2017 with Hurricane Harvey here in Corpus Christi-Rockport and elsewhere ( Houston) was NOT FUN. Please go somewhere else. We don’t need that much excitement.
You were alarming us last year & I don’t remember there being many hurricanes.
entire Atlantic almost had 9 hurricanes. Harold and Ophelia were slightly below the category.
7 hurricanes, 3 majors.
There was tons in the ocean. We got super lucky. Did you not see the 870mb hurricanes? We got so lucky last year. It was a wake up call to this year's.
@@ChrizardsAdventures ; it was a pretty calm year hurricane wise for the coasts. I have relatives on all the coasts.
I live 85 miles from myrtle beach. I live on the east coast. The beaches were closed down half the summer from rip currents from those hurricane 500 miles away even. My yard is sand even. I live in the Sandhills even.
They can't even get the weather right from week to week. It's all guessing.
Warmer waters is a sound indicator for more activity, as is our wacky jet streams! Many things going on like polar magnetic shift too!
weather is very complicated silly gooser
Get right with God
Prayers to all
From Florida
Amén 🙏🏽
I think it could be worse than hyperactive
I think it could be worse
Godzilla
Built a house in Cape Coral 1979 - Never got hit hard (tree damage - Yes), never structural all these years, even last year with Ian. Sold the property last November not because of the fear of the weather, in a Tropical Climate _ Expect that. However the drop in property prices, the cost of or the cancellation of Insurance, rising Taxes, some of the New Folks Moving Here, Etc . . . . Paradise Lost.
You'll be safe this season. Everything could curve more west.
David I think TSR released their updated forecast about 10 days ago very hyperactive but I cant remember if UKMET released their forecast
i saw that and there calling for 24 named storms.
No this 2024 hurricane season will be the worst of all cuz Every year is Different.
Do you think it will hit the Lafayette Louisiana area were I stay I'm worried
right now let's track a storm first then I'll tell you, but based on climate models there is cernatliy a higher chance that LA get's a least 1 or 2 landfills this season.
Hypercane
E
I'm going to say no it won't be busy at all. Saharan sand storms will keep hurricane forming regions cool.
Just because the Oceans are Warmer than expected... Doesn't mean a Major Blow out Hurricane season.... They could Start up in October, November and December... There's still dust out there and it's known to weekend Hurricane's
Believe me Saheran dust will relax by late August.
I saw hypothetical hurricane season videos for 2025, 2026,2027, and 2030 and they are worse than 2024
no way!
Those are not real forecasts
I mean I live in Houston this ain't my first hurricane rodeo. Just as long as my house doesn't get destroyed we're good 👍👍
“Last year we saved over, potentially, a million people’s lives…” when you said this, all your credibility went down the drain.
In fact’ the 1780 Atlantic hurricane season is the deadliest on record and it killed over 28,000 deaths. Please chill down, it is bad enough what is predicted to be adding fuel to the fire.
Phases 8,1,2 are really the horrible phases of the MJO that means hyperactivity. I’m praying for 4,5,6 phases
Bye EPSTIEN pedo island
Take the noseclip off your nose and wake up
WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON IN THE YEAR 2024, PLEASE I PRAY TO GOD, STOP THIS HURRICANE INSANITY MADNESS NOW
read the Bible you would know why world events are happening. we are happening to live now and not hundreds of years ago.
no
We stopped acid rain in the Atlantic buy switching to cleaner ship fuel. This had kept ocean temps about 10 degrees cooler (the salfaric clouds reflected sunlight back to space) but we didn't notice the effect until it stopped. Cleaner air but global warming did it's thing.
@@davidkelly4210 yeah that's bad...
I predict that you are wrong.
How would you know?
@@MXWeather1 well... Watching the weather predictions before winter they had it extremely wrong for my area. Calling for major snowstorms and all we got all winter was a few flakes. I do snow removal and we made sure our equipment was in good shape. never had to use it once.
Same for me but hurricanes are much more predictable imo
@@MXWeather1 we will see. I hope we don't get any being I live about a 1/8 mile from the Atlantic.
You're cooked if you live that close to the water and any flooding comes
This Is Going to be an american nightmare to lose trillions of buildings in texas, louisiana, mississippi, alabama, georiga, and florida.
I PRAY TO GOD FOR THIS.
STOP THIS UTTER MADNESS RIGHT NOW.
Don't look up.
ayyyyy
THE END IS NYE WE ARE ALL IN DEEP POOP
Quit over hyping and scaring people your not a real meteorologist
THIS IS CRAZY, THIS NEEDS TO STOP NOW
OK…Bottomline…can you tell us if we can expect more category 3, 4,or 5s in 2024 for Florida east and/or gulf coast? Yellows, red, orange, pink poked dot….🤷♂️Concerning yes…but how concerning to Florida? Give us layman something we can prepared for…🤦♂️
Do you think it will hit the Lafayette Louisiana area were I stay I'm worried