Insider Look: Reasons Behind Upcoming Fed Interest Rate Cut

Colin Exelby, CFP®, explains interest rate cycles and why he believes the Federal Reserve will CUT interest rates in 2024.
In all the rate hike cycles going back to the great inflation of the 1970s, the Fed has never maintained rates at the peak for more than nine months.
The Fed always seems to tighten too much… probably because of the lag. It can take six months from a rate cut to see its effects. The bond market is already anticipating rate cuts.
Some market gurus think the Fed has been able to orchestrate a soft landing without a recession. Maybe, but according to CNBC, if you go back in 1978 it takes about 15 months on average for the economy to enter a recession after the yield curve inverts.
We still have so much stimulus in the system from the Pandemic that it is taking a while to get it out of the system. But, I fully expect that as more cracks appear, we will see lower interest rates in 2024. The Fed always tightens too much, never not enough. The cracks don’t matter until they do.
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