WARNING: Since we are growing, there are increased levels of scammers impersonating our channel and that create fake accounts. The only thing we offer is our software and our patreon/discord community. The only place we send people to get access is: patreon.com/everythingmoney The real links to our content are located in the description of the video. We never give out WhatsApp numbers and we are never involved in cryptocurrency related things! BE CAREFUL to not call WhatsApp or click fake links. This is happening across the RUclips platform on many channels.
Hi ROIC and ROE plus modest multiple. Defense contractors are technically oligopoly meaning high barriers to entry and low competition. Moat around the business. Look at consistent high ROIC of LMT, this will not be possible without a moat.
Two main reasons of losses in equity trading; stop loss, putting in more than 5% in one stock. first is the outcome of fear, second is the outcome of greed. we need to control both to become a successful trader.
The trading market is constantly evolving with new features, trading opportunities, financial swings with sudden surprises around every corner. The best thing is to stay in shape and don’t let anything catch you on the wrong foot.
@@brunohart9744 I was really into stocks but i met this coach who advised me to give the crypto market a try, my first buy was $LTC, $XTZ, $BNB with initial capital of $35k i hodl hald and traded half which grew to $95k in 5 months.
@@robinelise2886 My consultant is *Jessica Meador Jones* I found her on a CNBC interview where she was featured and reached out to her afterwards. She has since provide entry and exit points on the trades I focus on. You can look her up online if you care supervision. I basically follow her trade pattern and haven’t regretted doing so.
I know generally you guys stay away from covering commidities or miners, but I would love to see a video analysis on Vale S.A. (VALE). Love this channel, keep up the amazing work guys!
@@inflation5196 I disagree their backlog is insane and aircraft are going nowhere. Space is the future and Raytheon will be doing great business over the years.
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I’m with Paul on being conservative with our estimates when valuing a stock, it’s the safest way to protect your capital, but this is slightly too conservative in my opinion!
Thanks Hakem. Lockheed is a good stock however we prefer to be cautious especially in this crazy market. Our system is the same and we to need to conservative in our estimations in every analyse for our followers. You, if you prefer, can always change the assumptions utilising the software (or any other framework you utilise) . If you want to be part of our amazing community see the link in the description section - 👍 GC
Great review...I have LMT in my dividend portfolio for few year's now..I really enjoy watching your reviews .think you have reviewed my entire portfolio now...
It's definitely time to buy, because I'm several % down on it. I do like NOC better (and I'm up on that one), but I think both are pretty solid companies in the defense/security area.
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What is the "employee trader series" that is mentioned in the video? I've gone to your website but you must be having issues. It locks up my phone every time I click on something. And it scrambles the content making it unreadable. And I didn't get a notification of this video today. Stumbled upon it accidentally
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@@EverythingMoney : Please add dividend yield in your calculation. I am also value investor and it is sad to see this piece is missed. I am watching your channel daily and I have investments in similar stocks.
Paul calculation is technically correct for non-dividend paying stock. For dividend paying stock he misses dividend yield. The correct equation is V (of stock) = Div yield + Growth in EPS. He captures EPS growth piece, but he misses dividend yield. Missing 3% dividend yield will make many dividend paying stocks looking expensive. He did the same with Verizon, paying 5% dividend.
@@janlukaseyer2477 There are several ways to value stocks and FCF is one of them. In this particular way total return of the stock is equal to Dividend yield + Plus price appreciation from EPS growth (coming from money retained in the business and reinvested in either M&A or Organic growth initiatives). Since Dividends are paid and not retained to get more growth we effectively, reduce the growth rate of the business, but in the same time we do not account that share holders can get the money and reinvest them. Hopefully this make sense.
@@Tippix3 Total returns = Capital gains + Dividends. Capital gain increases as EPS * Multiple increase. Distribution of dividend decreases growth by EPS (capital gain). Growth rate of EPS = ROE * (1- Distribution rate (dividends ) )
@@georgivankov8366 Distribution of Dividends has no effect on EPS. (EPS*Payoutratio=Dividend) A Stock is EPS*Multiple+Cash. If a Stock pays a Dividend of 1$ the Stock price decreases by 1$.
Ive been trying to find more exposure to industrials and consumer staples. Im in no rush for consumer staples because i dont see a recession coming, but the video you guys did on walgreens got me to look deeper into it and i did buy some as my main exposure to staples. Been thinking about LMT for a while since they have the largest value in contracts locked with the government. Which was my only lead, but if i know the US i know we need a huge military or our status as federal reserve currency could come into question. So i really have been wondering if its just as simple as go with government contract money for industrial exposure Good video
There’s videos on the 8 pillars maybe there you can get your answer if not bring that question over to our discord where you can get a quick answer .AP
As a dividend growth investor I love this company even if it weren't undervalued. I suspect it will join general dynamics and become a dividend aristrocrat.
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I think the Assumptions are to low. I saw this on 3 other, diffrent Dividend and Value channels( One is Learn to Invest) Always between 15 and 20% undervalued. my own calculation said 332€(around 402$). and you say 250$.
Wow you guys really do fan service and listen to the comments so impressed! I never done patron before but I’m damn tempted to see what it’s all about.
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Good entry point, with recent dividend increase of 7.7% and 5b$ more for share buybacks, I have a strong feeling it will do well in the short/medium term My position is ~345$ from 6 months ago
They are assumptions based on where you see the stock going. No one knows the future but estimating different outcomes looking at the predicated fundamentals gives you more scope. If you would like learning more feel free to join our discord - 👍GC
Once again ... I got in on this stock due to lessons learned I received from EM ! I got in at a good rate early in the game during the elections and will buy once it's dips ... I got this at a good price because the democrats and republicans favor this company... I've been in the green for over a year now and drip this investment! Thx again to EM for educating me on value investing!
This is so overlooked. The first shots in the next war will be in space. Take out the enemy’s satellites and nothing works- no guidance, no GPS, no intelligence
Hi. I'm glad you guys analyse LOCKHEED MARTINS. It's my all time favourite with INTEL. I just added some more share last week. Glad i bought the dip. Awesome !
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One thing as well is they're working to aquire Aerojet Rocketdyn which will boost many of their aerospace, hypersonic and space based projects. I'm excited to own LMT for a long time and would love to own more at the mid 200's. Thanks for your time guys, keep it up!
It didn't even hit 250 during the pandemic sell-off last March... A share price of 250 would be a P/E of ~9 based on forward earnings and a dividend yield of 4.5%. Only way stock price ever gets that low is if something happens like the F-35 getting cancelled, which at that point its not even worth buying the stock.
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@@EverythingMoney thanks, I think i might pick it up in a correction, but otherwise I'm not that keen on the stock so fear my emotions will cause me to sell inappropriately. Atleast for stocks I have conviction in, and with good fundamentals, I am more than happy to buy the dips.
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Very good video! I just bought lmt as it is slightly undervalued according to my assumptions!!! Can you guys please do a video explains the discounted free Cashflow model? I know you guys are trying to reach a wider audience, but it would be really helpful to get it all explained by you guys. You could maybe put it in a “advanced shit” playlist or smth..🙈 Love from Sweden
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@@EverythingMoney I bought my first shares at 249(at the bottom) and 300-320, so would love to add to my position. If I had more cash i'd sell puts at 250-300
WARNING: Since we are growing, there are increased levels of scammers impersonating our channel and that create fake accounts. The only thing we offer is our software and our patreon/discord community. The only place we send people to get access is: patreon.com/everythingmoney
The real links to our content are located in the description of the video. We never give out WhatsApp numbers and we are never involved in cryptocurrency related things! BE CAREFUL to not call WhatsApp or click fake links. This is happening across the RUclips platform on many channels.
I love the div growth and 6 billion in stock buy backs
Hi ROIC and ROE plus modest multiple. Defense contractors are technically oligopoly meaning high barriers to entry and low competition. Moat around the business. Look at consistent high ROIC of LMT, this will not be possible without a moat.
One thing to also look at with LMT is that they have $142 billion in backlog revenue. That revenue alone is 2 years worth based on last years numbers.
sounds locked in. haha
@@oukastoukast oooknnnknm kunnnnnomk. Ml min. Buy
Interesting buy after today’s Big Drop from earnings
Two main reasons of losses in equity trading; stop loss, putting in more than 5% in one stock. first is the outcome of fear, second is the outcome of greed. we need to control both to become a successful trader.
The trading market is constantly evolving with new features, trading opportunities, financial swings with sudden surprises around every corner. The best thing is to stay in shape and don’t let anything catch you on the wrong foot.
I hate regular stock market. Crypto is my thing.
@@brunohart9744 I was really into stocks but i met this coach who advised me to give the crypto market a try, my first buy was $LTC, $XTZ, $BNB with initial capital of $35k i hodl hald and traded half which grew to $95k in 5 months.
@@franceslynn3257 This is a good one I have a keen interest in day trading and does this advisor/manager offer long term service for retirement?
@@robinelise2886 My consultant is *Jessica Meador Jones* I found her on a CNBC interview where she was featured and reached out to her afterwards. She has since provide entry and exit points on the trades I focus on. You can look her up online if you care supervision. I basically follow her trade pattern and haven’t regretted doing so.
I know generally you guys stay away from covering commidities or miners, but I would love to see a video analysis on Vale S.A. (VALE). Love this channel, keep up the amazing work guys!
*commodities lol
Agreed!
Yes do a minning company!
We will! AP
I asked for SID months ago and never got them to look at it…
Paul the type of guy to turn down the 1803 Louisiana purchase, because “the P/E ratio is above 15”.
This made me laugh! Have an awesome day, Motivation Factory. -Nate
Can you guys look into Raytheon Technologies?
2nd this!
Shure added to our list .AP
@@inflation5196 I disagree their backlog is insane and aircraft are going nowhere. Space is the future and Raytheon will be doing great business over the years.
Straight analysis without going in circles. Liked it. Pls provide trial version of stock analyzer tool.
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➕①⑧⓪③⑥⑦④⓪⑤①⑤...
love what you guys are doing! seriously considering signing up. maybe soon!
Please do a video on MU. Dying to know your guys thoughts
Pleaseee🙏
Been on our list .AP
In this episode, I particularly enjoy your polka-dot shirt Seth. Such a beautiful man!
I did a DFC and got a fair value of $415. 8.5% required rate of return, and 6% growth.
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➕①⑧⓪③⑥⑦④⓪⑤①⑤.
I’m with Paul on being conservative with our estimates when valuing a stock, it’s the safest way to protect your capital, but this is slightly too conservative in my opinion!
Thanks Hakem.
Lockheed is a good stock however we prefer to be cautious especially in this crazy market. Our system is the same and we to need to conservative in our estimations in every analyse for our followers. You, if you prefer, can always change the assumptions utilising the software (or any other framework you utilise) .
If you want to be part of our amazing community see the link in the description section - 👍 GC
I completely agree. I always start with a discount of 20% for many of my dcfs
@@hansschotterradler3772 sure it can, the only floor attached to a stocks price is $0. But LMT at $350 is good value, at $290 is excellent value.
@@hansschotterradler3772 stock prices can go anywhere. If you think you can predict it, you're probably wrong.
LOCKHEED - Done. Next one has to be their rival Textron!! Both down selected for a huge 100 billion dollar contract!!
I beyond love this channel.
Making me blush .AP
@@EverythingMoney in a non-creepy sort of way.
Great review...I have LMT in my dividend portfolio for few year's now..I really enjoy watching your reviews .think you have reviewed my entire portfolio now...
Great to hear!
If you want to be part of our amazing community see the link in the description section - 👍 GC
It's definitely time to buy, because I'm several % down on it.
I do like NOC better (and I'm up on that one), but I think both are pretty solid companies in the defense/security area.
Thanks for sharing .AP
Been wondering about this stock.
You got it! AP
U guys are brilliant! Any chance you guys would look at an analysis of west Fraser timber.
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A multiple of 20x free cash flow seems high for a mature company like Lockheed Martin. In my opinion 15x would be more appropriate.
What formula does your software use for ROIC?
30% of sales come from their F-35 programs. Very strong moat. Great company.
Can’t go wrong with big egos and wars .AP
Thumbs up I agree.
Hi paul could you do an analysis on Novo Nordisk (NVO) ?
Love your videos they opened my mind
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➕①⑧⓪③⑥⑦④⓪⑤①⑤.
Can u make a video on “qualcomm” please
What is the "employee trader series" that is mentioned in the video? I've gone to your website but you must be having issues. It locks up my phone every time I click on something. And it scrambles the content making it unreadable. And I didn't get a notification of this video today. Stumbled upon it accidentally
question for seth: sony canon or nikon ??? i have a sony a7rii
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Great video! Can you guys do HII? Another defense company that seems even cheaper than LMT
Sure....coming soon -👍 GC
Would love to see HII
@@EverythingMoney : Please add dividend yield in your calculation. I am also value investor and it is sad to see this piece is missed. I am watching your channel daily and I have investments in similar stocks.
Wicked looking forward to it I think you guys will like it
Paul calculation is technically correct for non-dividend paying stock. For dividend paying stock he misses dividend yield. The correct equation is V (of stock) = Div yield + Growth in EPS. He captures EPS growth piece, but he misses dividend yield. Missing 3% dividend yield will make many dividend paying stocks looking expensive. He did the same with Verizon, paying 5% dividend.
Then you should just focus on the FCF numbers🤷🏻♂️
@@janlukaseyer2477 There are several ways to value stocks and FCF is one of them. In this particular way total return of the stock is equal to Dividend yield + Plus price appreciation from EPS growth (coming from money retained in the business and reinvested in either M&A or Organic growth initiatives). Since Dividends are paid and not retained to get more growth we effectively, reduce the growth rate of the business, but in the same time we do not account that share holders can get the money and reinvest them. Hopefully this make sense.
The Dividend is only relevant if you use a Dividend-Discountmodell.
@@Tippix3 Total returns = Capital gains + Dividends. Capital gain increases as EPS * Multiple increase. Distribution of dividend decreases growth by EPS (capital gain). Growth rate of EPS = ROE * (1- Distribution rate (dividends ) )
@@georgivankov8366 Distribution of Dividends has no effect on EPS. (EPS*Payoutratio=Dividend)
A Stock is EPS*Multiple+Cash. If a Stock pays a Dividend of 1$ the Stock price decreases by 1$.
Ive been trying to find more exposure to industrials and consumer staples. Im in no rush for consumer staples because i dont see a recession coming, but the video you guys did on walgreens got me to look deeper into it and i did buy some as my main exposure to staples.
Been thinking about LMT for a while since they have the largest value in contracts locked with the government. Which was my only lead, but if i know the US i know we need a huge military or our status as federal reserve currency could come into question. So i really have been wondering if its just as simple as go with government contract money for industrial exposure
Good video
Can do a video on the difference between free cash flow and net income when valuing a company?
There’s videos on the 8 pillars maybe there you can get your answer if not bring that question over to our discord where you can get a quick answer .AP
As a dividend growth investor I love this company even if it weren't undervalued. I suspect it will join general dynamics and become a dividend aristrocrat.
Great point. 👍GC
Please make an episode on Zim, it’s a fundamentally superb company and I want to hear your thoughts.
Thanks for the comment , added to list .AP
Hi Everything.Can you feature McEwen mining.Tnx ❤ the show
Thanks for the comment , will add to our list .AP
Please do SMG! Great value right now, but might have some free cash flow issues
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➕①⑧⓪③⑥⑦④⓪⑤①⑤.
Would love to see a video on SWKS (Skyworks Solutions)
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Brilliant analysis 👍🏽
Thanks for the love .AP
Please do SoFI stock
Added to our list , thanks for commenting .AP
Being too conservative can cause you to miss out on a lot of opportunities.
I think the Assumptions are to low. I saw this on 3 other, diffrent Dividend and Value channels( One is Learn to Invest) Always between 15 and 20% undervalued. my own calculation said 332€(around 402$). and you say 250$.
Paul is very conservative. Is not wrong or right , its just assumptions .AP
@@EverythingMoney Garbage in, Garbage out.
@@EverythingMoney Paul needs to include dividends in his calculation.
This is what i was looking at today. Looking good!
Glad you liked it - 👍GC
Wow you guys really do fan service and listen to the comments so impressed! I never done patron before but I’m damn tempted to see what it’s all about.
Ha! Thanks. We literally work on a daily basis to improve what we deliver to our community. Saddle up partner. - Seth
I thought Paul was going to do this video with some Aviators on 😎
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Is there anyone that trades like Mo but day trading using these stochastics?
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$UL VS $PG
Next!
Idk about next but shure added .AP
bought into LMT at $337 ;)
😉
i did buy at 370$ thats my only stock that is in the red.
@@JensenDK110 dollar cost down its ........its what i did with BA .... government to reliant on these companies very small chance of them going away
Good entry point, with recent dividend increase of 7.7% and 5b$ more for share buybacks, I have a strong feeling it will do well in the short/medium term
My position is ~345$ from 6 months ago
@@Lycan3303 i have 13% of my portfolio in that stock
Wondering whats the reasoning behind having different desired returns.
Is it just for margin of safety?
They are assumptions based on where you see the stock going. No one knows the future but estimating different outcomes looking at the predicated fundamentals gives you more scope.
If you would like learning more feel free to join our discord - 👍GC
@@EverythingMoney The desired returns are not assumptions. It's the annualized return you want.
Once again ... I got in on this stock due to lessons learned I received from EM !
I got in at a good rate early in the game during the elections and will buy once it's dips ... I got this at a good price because the democrats and republicans favor this company... I've been in the green for over a year now and drip this investment!
Thx again to EM for educating me on value investing!
You are so welcome James.
We believe this is a stock to keep your eyes on - 👍GC
All I’m saying is LM is on the forefront on satellites and space. Growth potential through American ambitions to dominate the orbit.
This is so overlooked. The first shots in the next war will be in space. Take out the enemy’s satellites and nothing works- no guidance, no GPS, no intelligence
Thanks for this info I love Lockheed! 💎
You are so welcome!
If you want to be part of our amazing community see the link in the description section - 👍 GC
If it was cheaper then 30$ per month i'd buy
I buy LMT..... analyze another stock COIN
Thanks for the comment , shure added to the list .AP
What is there to analyze? They just ipoed
can we get a update on when the stock screeners are coming to the software ?
Soon 👍 GC
Hi. I'm glad you guys analyse LOCKHEED MARTINS. It's my all time favourite with INTEL. I just added some more share last week. Glad i bought the dip. Awesome !
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➕①⑧⓪③⑥⑦④⓪⑤①⑤..
I like LMT just for the killer dividend.
Good stock to keep handy -👍 GC
- 12 % today !
One thing as well is they're working to aquire Aerojet Rocketdyn which will boost many of their aerospace, hypersonic and space based projects. I'm excited to own LMT for a long time and would love to own more at the mid 200's. Thanks for your time guys, keep it up!
You are so welcome.
If you want to be part of our amazing community see the link in the description section - 👍 GC
Update time ... -12% post earnings.
We actually have a LMT video coming out tonight at 7pm! - Timo
@@EverythingMoney legends.
its not going to 250, it was there at 2016 last time. 6-7% growth is more likely. plus 16 pe.
Paul was too conservative
I think its fairly valued at the current price
Never say never...seems a good stock for a deep dive - 👍GC
It didn't even hit 250 during the pandemic sell-off last March... A share price of 250 would be a P/E of ~9 based on forward earnings and a dividend yield of 4.5%. Only way stock price ever gets that low is if something happens like the F-35 getting cancelled, which at that point its not even worth buying the stock.
Analyze rio tinto
Also interested in rio tinto and vale
Mrs Jane is legit and her method works like magic I keep on earning every single week with her new strategy
Wow I' m just shock someone mentioned expert Mrs Jane I thought I' m the only one trading with her
She helped me recover what I lost trying to trade my self
I think I'm blessed because if not I wouldn't have met someone who is as spectacular as expert Mrs Jane
I think she is the best broker I ever seen
Yes I' m also a living testimony of expert Mrs Jane
The same neighbor with 10 mil in debt every episode....
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Think it will do well, just not sure I can invest directly into something that blows people up. Just not my cup of tea.
Don’t look. at what it does but on how you can profit .AP
@@EverythingMoney thanks, I think i might pick it up in a correction, but otherwise I'm not that keen on the stock so fear my emotions will cause me to sell inappropriately.
Atleast for stocks I have conviction in, and with good fundamentals, I am more than happy to buy the dips.
You guys like many others miss the massive moat and opportunities for growth in the space sector whichbthey are a big player in.
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They are so deep in politics government contracts and presence in 50 states it is one of the most fail proof stocks one could buy 😉
Very good video! I just bought lmt as it is slightly undervalued according to my assumptions!!! Can you guys please do a video explains the discounted free Cashflow model? I know you guys are trying to reach a wider audience, but it would be really helpful to get it all explained by you guys. You could maybe put it in a “advanced shit” playlist or smth..🙈
Love from Sweden
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kicking myself for not buying when it dipped to 336 a couple days ago
Wait a little....stocks always deep at some point.
Thanks for the comment - 👍GC
@@EverythingMoney I bought my first shares at 249(at the bottom) and 300-320, so would love to add to my position. If I had more cash i'd sell puts at 250-300