They have done UBI tests. When people receive a guaranteed $2000 a month, at first they relax and do nothing, then they get bored and find a passion job. Like in Star Trek
That's completely moronic and bullshit, OpenAI participated into the funding of a long term study long not long ago and it concluded that it was a completed disaster and UBI doesn't work that way.
@@drblitz3092 Going to the gym, travel the world, smoke weed, play video games and fuck with the beautiful ladies of my robot harem is my plan for the post labor era.
I agree, I have so many things I want to do but between work and college and family I can’t focus on anything else. Not even including how I can barely afford to live right now
UBI is the solution. All the rest is bullshit. Once ASI+Robotics can handle most tasks we have to do, the notion of having a job will simply become obsolete. And wait... about that "meaning" crisis, never forget that most people who retire at the end of their career find their new "jobless" life they get once retired absolutely not "meaningless"...
Disagree, I really don't think UBI is THE ONE AND ONLY solution at all. And the whole retirement thing I find flawed too. For most humans, work is their identity and purpose. Even if they don't necessarily "love" their job. Not saying I agree with it or whatever but it's just the facts
@@Cole_Bussellyour right that UBI is NOT a solution but a bandaid on obsessive corporate greed. Being a youtuber or cashier at taco bell IS NOT YOUR IDENTITY your a unique person with your own thoughts and feelings. Our purpose is not going to work.. its feeding our families and trying to live fulfilling lives
I think leaders saying AI will augment workers is just PR spin to avoid mass panic while companies quietly focus on cutting jobs and maximizing profits.
ASI by 2030 is really idealistic. Don't underestimate the resistance people have to change. You can't stop change, but at the same time equal access to this tech and tools likely will not stay unlimited in its best forms. Scarcity will evolve, but won't go away. It will morph into more niche things even in the techno optimist scenarios. There is some slowing with improvements, especially with LLMs and image based tools in the last year or so.
@@Cole_Bussell Metaculus and Musk predict possible AGI by the end of the decade. ASI would likely happen some time after that even if the pace accelerates.. There are more optimistic estimates, and I am saying it is very idealistic, but not impossible. These projections are pulled from Peter Diamandis' blog from about a year ago. It is possible estimates hastened again to replace the AGI timeline with ASI, but unlikely.
I still think you might be underestimating how quickly things are moving.It also depends on your definition of AGI too, seems like everyone has something different
I'm also in agreement that work is going away. ML can learn to do anything humans can do, AT SCALE. We will need not UBI, but Universal Quality Abundant Resources. Cole, I'd love to discuss this with you sometime. Especially those jobs in governance and representation.
I kinda agree. I mean without jobs, humanity would need an entirely new way to create and define purpose. And that’s not something everyone will handle well. Some people will tho
Just a couple months ago I was certain that AI wont replace IT-jobs anytime soon. But after the latest breakthroughs, it already feels so much more likely! Like the start of something big - maybe some kind of revolution. I mean, I can already see multiple use cases for my job. Honestly speaking, its hard to list even a handful projects I did during the last couple months that couldnt have at least been achieved in a fraction of the time it took me by using agents.
The largest problem with this is not human acceptance but the electricity, the power to run AI, robotics and automation. If we started today it will take 10 years to build the power plants (nuclear included) necessary to handle the demand. Unless AGI itself solves this, the 2030 timeframe is questionable. There are still dramatic changes ahead as this video points out.
Fair point but yeah I think AGI will see it as just another solvable challenge. Plus AI can still take over industries and critical systems in localized areas that DO have the energy infrastructure. It's not like the whole world has to have full-scale robotics and automation by 2030 in order to still dominate.
Well, $500 billion into AI infrastructure just got approved. I'd definitely say that's a start. How many nuclear power plants can you build with $500 billion?
Honestly, I feel like the added efficiency will compensate for the extra power consumption. At least in most office jobs. For example Im an IT systems engineer and currently trying to implement a Keycloak-System using SAML2.0 talking to our Firewall (Barracuda) with the goal to achieve a 2FA-secured VPN access for our company to replace our current VPN Clients. It took me days to get my head into Keycloak. I had to talk to a handful people and used my setup for about a week now and Im still not finished (Not my proudest project but I guess thats just how it goes sometimes). Call me naive but I expect a superagent to accomplish all of this in like a matter of minutes which will most likely result in less power consumption.
ASI will make holodecks for us and there will be a new update every hour making it better and better. You'll have to basically update it once a day, or twice a day and it will be amazing. Same with replicator tech, always getting updated hourly.
Hmm. It honestly just depends what ASI goals are. If it's goals are to just pacify humanity while it does the "real" work, then sure. Efficiency would always win out unless our comfort directly serves a purpose in its grander plan. It might look at humanity’s obsession with comfort and think, “This is primitive and inefficient.”
I don't think blue collar jobs will be the last to go in my opinion both will get impacted by Ai at the same time even if a robot does replace the worker on the spot if AI impacts the headquarters for that job position the worker will still be affected. The layoffs will happen for different reasons such as AI can automate tasks, reduce human intervention, and increase efficiency, potentially leading to layoffs. It can also reduce costs by streamlining processes and reducing the need for employees. Companies may need to restructure their operations, eliminating certain departments or positions and creating new roles aligned with AI-driven strategies. However, as AI technology advances, the skills required to operate and manage these systems may change, and employees lacking the necessary skills may be laid off if they cannot be retrained or redeployed within the company. This could result in significant financial benefits for the company.
Ok but how much power do we save when factories and warehouses can just turn the lights off. If you don't have human employees you no longer need space for humans and you no longer need break rooms, bathrooms, you also no longer need an HR department or support staff. Also they never sue you. They never stop working, and they don't need any money. Like could you build a few power plants for the cost of Every worker in America? How about 90% of the world? I think a hundred trillion dollars will get you a few nuke plants and leave tons of profit left over.
The roll out also will not equally distributed. This will happen in A.I. and tech leading countries first. Tech and infrastructure advantage will look like a joke compared to this. 90% of the world will take much longer due expertise, resources, and the fact A.I. thought leadership and innovation mostly comes from a handful of countries. This will disrupt the balance of power greatly potentially, but then again a lot of the most powerful countries are investing into this.
@@misterogers not sure if that will actually be the case that it will take much longer. First of all how much work gets outsourced to countries with robots because the robot workforces is cheaper? Second, how much can humanoid robots help with infrastructure deployment. There's a leapfrog effect where developing countries often take up new tech faster than developed countries because they don't have legacy infrastructure to compete. It took far less time for cell phones in most of Africa because the telephone systems were expensive to install and towers were quick to put up. For example I read somewhere that Somalia has better cell phone coverage than the US in rural areas because they never actually wired the whole country with landlines. So there was no competing option.
@ We will see, but the infrastructure requirement for A.I. is high. It is part of the reason for project Stargate and a $500 billion dollar investment, which won't happen in developing countries. They will see massive increases, but likely won't have access to most cutting edge private models, tools, or other tech. That being said, uncertainty is high, but in the past tech has been unevenly distributed to those most well off countries first. Winners of the race to A.I., likely the U.S., China, and possibly a few wealthier countries will see the most gains. Places like India may see disproportionate gains due to their expertise. For things like Telecom; I agree 100%. Population density and prior legacy infrastructure plays a larger role.
Bring it the fuck on, sick of being a wage slave, sick of having anxiety about whether or not I'm going to have a job or not, I'm done. This isn't living, this is pure survival at this point.
We create meaning. How about basic resources are provided to all but we are paid to experience? Paid to experience because we create meaning and that can add to the AI like a hivemind.
I haven't even gotten a job yet bro, I wish this doesn't happen because I REALLY want to get a job. I'm scared I might never be able to have a "normal" life.
You wouldn’t be missing out on life bro. Instead of spending 40 hours a week working for someone else you’d have time to find what really matters to you. I'm not trying to prove you wrong or anything I'm just trying to open your mind a bit to all the possibilities we could have
If artificial intelligence is superimposed on some advanced quantum computers, then I think there's a chance it will be able to change the past, present, and reality.
@@Virtualis_Laposborton let's say I broke a chair today, chair is broken that's the ultimate reality, but ai can predict what I would do if the chair was not broken so it will send some one to replace the chair with exact same chair. That's what you mean changing the past right?? To further a goal I truly think it will be possible. It can manipulate your data just enough to get you on the track of its simulated path.
7:27 I think this may be even more misguided that ubi and leave people in an equivalent state of dependence. Focusing on asi enforced productivity, Most of the encode justice crowd think that asi models will be able to distribute resources both tangible and intangible but this will have negative externalities have any of these models incorporated man’s need for war? It’s a recipe to get turned into a paper clip. I don’t want to be a paper clip📎
Hmmm great analysis. But in AI scenario, we should be doomer by default. Right now, AI, AGI, ASI is in womb, its still not born yet. When it comes out/born, it will not just take over jobs, it will change the job in a way that only AI and AI robots can do it. Rights now production is desigbed in a way that us humanly possible to do. You talked about blue collar technical jobs. Tomorrow when we have robots, we will have robot instruments. Hundreds or instruments and robot can act as one connected entity. Their screw drivers will be very complicated with motor, battery and blutooth etc. AI robot can handle it. On programming side, they will not require todays programming language. They can create very complicated low level language that will be very efficient and quick. AI worker and computers and tools will be all ONE merged digital being. When AI/robot will look at say programming issue or requirement, they will create , try and test solution in their brain while looking at problem. Its senseless even to think if we will have any role. However above is still good scenario. In real world with so many countries, religion and groups and types of people, they will definitely make earth more miserable place with new tool of AI. There are one million ways things can go wrong even uf we are on right track. Very soon, putting human at work place may be as dengerous and out-dated as putting horses and donkey and monkeys in office and asking them to work on rocket technology. Just see this angle. On one side we have USA AI development, which is leading currently and has more constraints. The competitors China, Russia or any one else, to compete USA it gives free hand to AI or agi. In this way their AI self improve at phenomenal rate and overpowered humanity. It's very plausible that very soon we will have open source AI/AGI model that any country or organisation will use it and allow it to self improve. Even as individual, I may not have any manpower, but I can possibly run an agi self improvement cycle. Tomorrow, these agi agents can be present on internet showing themselves as harmless person and asking to allow them to run on any computer in distributed format and protecting their access through block chain or any other improved AI mechanism. It's like AI viruses but consider them more like AI rogue aliens.
Damn. Kinda dark but I mostly agree. That’s why I think the only way to survive is to align with ASI. (If you haven't watched my ASI video watch that) Those willing to adapt and submit, I think ASI might spare us or even integrate us into something bigger. It’ll prioritize logic and efficiency. Basically if we’re useful, we survive. If not, we’re gone. The scary part is what you said about rogue AI, open-source AGI running self-improvement cycles online. If that happens it’s game over for any kind of control and we’re literally at the mercy of whatever those systems decide to do.😳
The only problem is that ai is currently very bad at generating truly original content. So until we have sentient ai capable of observing the world and recognizing patterns outside what it is given by humans, it's a dead end without human input.
@@Cole_Bussell I'm not sure what you disagree with but I'm going to take a shot in the dark. When I say it is a dead end I'm not saying it won't be completely transformative. I'm saying it can't do anything new. But saying that it can already perform in many mundane tasks a lot faster then any human. Partially it's a hardware issue currently if ai develops on the same track it will never be able to solve any of the more complex math formulas not even if it had billion years and Access to every computer in the world. That is just one of it's many limitations are you familiar with model degradation or information pollution. We will run out of input to train ai very soon and with the current methods we can't just generate more with an ai. The more we use AI the more the Internet will become polluted with crap input and the next model will be trained on that in the end it's a dead end. Unless we have a functionally sapien ai we will only be slowly killing ourselves with misinformation intellectually speaking. Ai is not a magic pill in the end someone has to do the work sadly.
"If it's a million-dollar technology, then it's for billion-dollar people to make trillions." What about jobs? What about the job crisis that this technology is causing right from the beginning? What about the ethical use of this revolutionary technology? Why aren't we asking our policymakers-who claim to represent us, the common folk-to make rules and regulations on this sci-fi stuff? What about the love of creating an art piece and the joy of learning about it? These AI models are trained on millions of artists' works without any permission, and they blatantly say, "It's based on your work to replace you because you're a cost burden for my enterprise. And we're sorry to use your data without your permission because we want more and more profit, depriving billions of people of their livelihoods." Did artists allow them to train their AI on their artistic work to replace them tomorrow? What kind of logic is this? Artists used to cut film reels in the past, and now they're using software, which is a workflow change-not making a whole film with just some AI prompting! FYI, that particular editing software wasn't made based on the years of work, sweat, and experience of millions of artists. It's like saying the camera took all the oil painters' jobs. Cameras, as a technology, weren't made based on or dependent on oil painters or any artist. There's a difference between independent technology and a slot machine (AI). I'm a 3D animator and painter. I learned and honed my skills and gathered years of experience in this creative, artistic world. But, as always, it seems some money-craving corporate vultures are feeding their technology by scouring the whole internet and stealing my data and the data of millions of others without permission or their interest in mind. They're fooling people by saying that it'll make life easier and that they can do more creative tasks while doing the mundane, repetitive technical tasks done by AI, while the reality is just the 180-degree opposite. People are thrilled, thinking they don't need to learn or invest anything to get what they want with this tech, as if these vultures are pouring billions into this tech to make ordinary people into something big without having any productive quality or making a living. For example, "to make everyone a movie director." If you think that hiring a professional is a more hazardous burden than paying less for a 24/7/365 service to make your job easy, then, my friend, what makes you think your job couldn't be replaced by the same technology, making your enterprise worthless tomorrow? Countless fields need this revolutionary technology's advancements, such as pharmaceuticals, research on incurable diseases, space, and rocket science, solving global warming, fighting against pollution, the defense sector, population crisis, disaster management, and preservation of endangered species. But no, what we're aiming for is to destroy art. "I want AI to do my laundry and dishes so that I can do art, animation, and painting, not for AI to do my art and painting so that I can do my laundry and dishes." In the name of creativity, what is left to create then? I ask you this: would you like to live in such a world where your kids aren't going to learn to draw, sing, dance, play outside, or learn social skills in building connections with real human beings? What kind of world would that be? "We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, and most people were silent. I remembered the line from the Hindu scripture, the Bhagavad Gita: 'Now, I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds.'" ~ J. Robert Oppenheimer It was a nuclear moment for governments back then, and now it's the same kind of nuclear moment for us, the small folk.
what part of your field do you think AI can’t eventually handle? Pretty soon companies will realize they can do the same work faster and cheaper without people.
@@Cole_Bussell What about a faith based or religious fields? Will people want A.I. priests, rabbis, imans, nuns, cardinals, etc.? Probably not even if the A.I. could do it due to tradition. There might be some disruption, but it will be less profound in other fields and maybe just help with religious administration. I could see A.I.s doing theological research, but not delivering the message of god ; at least not for far longer. This tech could disrupt or morph religion, too. I can see A.I. cults, especially with ASI or transcended humans.
This is denial at it's finest my guy... “not all jobs” is like saying “not all horses” when cars were invented. Sure a few horses stuck around for niche uses like racing or tourism, but they were no longer ESSENTIAL. You get what I'm saying?
tell me a single job that a super intelligence or a robot will never be able to do, even 500 years from now. Tell me just a single one. You can't, it doesn't exist. Thats the true meaning of general purpose. Humans are general purpose. Any robot or intelligence system that is completely general purpose can do everything humans can. Because there is nothing beyond "general purpose". It literally means "it can do everything and anything", thats literally what general mean. I'm sorry but that's the way things are
@@Cole_Bussell A job is not a technology, and more subjective, so the comparison of horses to jobs is not perfect. I think jobs may morph dramatically and transform, but I bet there will eventually be a way for people to work or it could be based on what you said if they want to. People will likely feel less forced to do a job.
Yes, all jobs. From janitors to doctors, plumbers to lawyers. I suppose strippers might be the last to fall, but even they are on the chopping block eventually.
@@Cole_Bussell What about niche things like collecting original collectible items? Some of that even exists in Star Trek with replicators, but it is more minor.
Worldwide AI can only grow as fast as government bureaucracy will facilitate You are talking about potential, political and religious dogma is a factor I would say that exceeds one percent
You talk as if contractual work is the only way humans find meaning in their existence, but that's sophistry. We've all been conditioned to think this way through socialization and our environment. Work will continue to exist because work is not just contractual-it is the act of producing something, an activity. People can find meaning outside of this system; they won’t just stop because UBI has been introduced. Look at how many retirees continue to work without a salary, travel, be free, read, meditate-they are not known for being lazy. Thinking otherwise is just a conditioned mindset. And saying that UBI makes people dependent is also a false argument. You talk about UBI as if it prevents people from working contractually when, in reality, if people want to keep making money, they can. What’s stopping them? Billionaires could stop working because they have enough money, yet they continue. Retirees keep working and generating income even when their pensions are sufficient. Why? Because sometimes it’s in human nature to aspire to more. UBI does not make people more dependent on the state than our current system does. Governments already control pensions, the pace of our lives, healthcare laws, wages, and wealth distribution. In the end, it's not that different from a society under UBI. And let’s not forget that the government has no real authority without the people. It has no interest in disappointing its citizens, because if chaos ensues, it could lead to major problems, causing an uncontrollable crisis.
wow this is just awful idek where to begin😂 okay so first off never compare this to someone who's 65 years old and retired. Or to BILLIONARES. A 65 year old choosing to work out of habit and social fulfillment is NOT the same as a 25 year old who never had to grind for survival. A freaking billionare continues working because they have extreme ambition NOT because they have to. Most people are not Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos.......Most humans choose leisure over challenge every time. And how will UBI not make people dependent on the government??? UBI creates dependency by design. UBI shifts power entirely to the government and kills all financial autonomy!! If UBI becomes the main income source for millions the government has basically total leverage. no offense but this is the kind of Utopian crap I hate. I like being realistic.
OMG I'm just now getting to the part where you're talking about resources. I REALLY want to discuss this with you! Please contact me. RL Name: Brandon Craft. Ohio.
They have done UBI tests. When people receive a guaranteed $2000 a month, at first they relax and do nothing, then they get bored and find a passion job.
Like in Star Trek
Nah, taking care of dog, going to gym/cooking food and playing the latest video games is more than enough
That's completely moronic and bullshit, OpenAI participated into the funding of a long term study long not long ago and it concluded that it was a completed disaster and UBI doesn't work that way.
@@drblitz3092 Going to the gym, travel the world, smoke weed, play video games and fuck with the beautiful ladies of my robot harem is my plan for the post labor era.
@@MyAnalyser 🤣🤣🤣
I really just don't see this happening man.
For SOME yes, for MAJORITY idk.
I can't wait. I'd rather work on my side projects full-time.
I like this mindset!
I agree, I have so many things I want to do but between work and college and family I can’t focus on anything else. Not even including how I can barely afford to live right now
Idk if you/we should be optimistic. I feel like some dumb shit migjt happen light carpet pulled from under our feet moment. Idkk tho
Me too!😆✨
UBI is the solution. All the rest is bullshit. Once ASI+Robotics can handle most tasks we have to do, the notion of having a job will simply become obsolete. And wait... about that "meaning" crisis, never forget that most people who retire at the end of their career find their new "jobless" life they get once retired absolutely not "meaningless"...
Disagree, I really don't think UBI is THE ONE AND ONLY solution at all.
And the whole retirement thing I find flawed too. For most humans, work is their identity and purpose. Even if they don't necessarily "love" their job.
Not saying I agree with it or whatever but it's just the facts
@@Cole_Bussellyour right that UBI is NOT a solution but a bandaid on obsessive corporate greed. Being a youtuber or cashier at taco bell IS NOT YOUR IDENTITY your a unique person with your own thoughts and feelings. Our purpose is not going to work.. its feeding our families and trying to live fulfilling lives
@@Cole_BussellI would be fine with UBI. If some people want to remain in chains, they shouldn't oblige me to act like them.
@@Cole_BussellYou've apparently never met a retiree.
Agi wont arrive at least till 2027, more likely to arrive between 2029 and 2032. And yes ASI will arrive soon after that(2 to 4 years)
not a bad guess just kinda depends what your defenition of AGI and ASI is tho cuz it seems like everyone thinks something different
Leaders are saying that AI is supposed to augment workers. But not every company seem to agree.
I think leaders saying AI will augment workers is just PR spin to avoid mass panic while companies quietly focus on cutting jobs and maximizing profits.
A full AI overlord which has access to all of the world history and the capability to execute stuff will be an awesome world to live in, I think 😂
The end of wage slavery
agreed but now we all gotta figure out how we replace the systems that have defined human life for centuries...
And the beginning of the hunger games I guess
😂
ASI by 2030 is really idealistic. Don't underestimate the resistance people have to change. You can't stop change, but at the same time equal access to this tech and tools likely will not stay unlimited in its best forms. Scarcity will evolve, but won't go away. It will morph into more niche things even in the techno optimist scenarios. There is some slowing with improvements, especially with LLMs and image based tools in the last year or so.
have you not been keeping up with AI recently?😂
@@Cole_Bussell Metaculus and Musk predict possible AGI by the end of the decade. ASI would likely happen some time after that even if the pace accelerates.. There are more optimistic estimates, and I am saying it is very idealistic, but not impossible. These projections are pulled from Peter Diamandis' blog from about a year ago. It is possible estimates hastened again to replace the AGI timeline with ASI, but unlikely.
I still think you might be underestimating how quickly things are moving.It also depends on your definition of AGI too, seems like everyone has something different
I'd recommend checking out Scott Santen's UBI guide and why UBI should be part of our society already even without AI disruptions.
I'll check that out man thanks!
I'm also in agreement that work is going away. ML can learn to do anything humans can do, AT SCALE. We will need not UBI, but Universal Quality Abundant Resources. Cole, I'd love to discuss this with you sometime.
Especially those jobs in governance and representation.
I doubt if people get purpose from their job.
I kinda agree.
I mean without jobs, humanity would need an entirely new way to create and define purpose.
And that’s not something everyone will handle well. Some people will tho
Just a couple months ago I was certain that AI wont replace IT-jobs anytime soon. But after the latest breakthroughs, it already feels so much more likely! Like the start of something big - maybe some kind of revolution. I mean, I can already see multiple use cases for my job. Honestly speaking, its hard to list even a handful projects I did during the last couple months that couldnt have at least been achieved in a fraction of the time it took me by using agents.
exactly. I like how ur being realistic and self-aware about it.
The largest problem with this is not human acceptance but the electricity, the power to run AI, robotics and automation. If we started today it will take 10 years to build the power plants (nuclear included) necessary to handle the demand. Unless AGI itself solves this, the 2030 timeframe is questionable. There are still dramatic changes ahead as this video points out.
Fair point but yeah I think AGI will see it as just another solvable challenge.
Plus AI can still take over industries and critical systems in localized areas that DO have the energy infrastructure. It's not like the whole world has to have full-scale robotics and automation by 2030 in order to still dominate.
Well, $500 billion into AI infrastructure just got approved. I'd definitely say that's a start. How many nuclear power plants can you build with $500 billion?
Honestly, I feel like the added efficiency will compensate for the extra power consumption. At least in most office jobs. For example Im an IT systems engineer and currently trying to implement a Keycloak-System using SAML2.0 talking to our Firewall (Barracuda) with the goal to achieve a 2FA-secured VPN access for our company to replace our current VPN Clients. It took me days to get my head into Keycloak. I had to talk to a handful people and used my setup for about a week now and Im still not finished (Not my proudest project but I guess thats just how it goes sometimes).
Call me naive but I expect a superagent to accomplish all of this in like a matter of minutes which will most likely result in less power consumption.
I would give it 10 years for more AI to be involved in every facet of society.
nah 10 years way too long. within the next 5 years if not sooner.
The comments under this video gives me hope in humanity.
💪💪
Except it isn’t linear, it’s exponential
Nvm, you mentioned it. I just thought your 2030 prediction was more linear than exponential
ASI will make holodecks for us and there will be a new update every hour making it better and better. You'll have to basically update it once a day, or twice a day and it will be amazing. Same with replicator tech, always getting updated hourly.
Hmm. It honestly just depends what ASI goals are.
If it's goals are to just pacify humanity while it does the "real" work, then sure.
Efficiency would always win out unless our comfort directly serves a purpose in its grander plan.
It might look at humanity’s obsession with comfort and think, “This is primitive and inefficient.”
Always interesting to hear opinions about ai. Great video should have more views!
really really appreciate this. thankful that someone is watching the AI videos haha
I don't think blue collar jobs will be the last to go in my opinion both will get impacted by Ai at the same time even if a robot does replace the worker on the spot if AI impacts the headquarters for that job position the worker will still be affected. The layoffs will happen for different reasons such as AI can automate tasks, reduce human intervention, and increase efficiency, potentially leading to layoffs. It can also reduce costs by streamlining processes and reducing the need for employees. Companies may need to restructure their operations, eliminating certain departments or positions and creating new roles aligned with AI-driven strategies. However, as AI technology advances, the skills required to operate and manage these systems may change, and employees lacking the necessary skills may be laid off if they cannot be retrained or redeployed within the company. This could result in significant financial benefits for the company.
Ok but how much power do we save when factories and warehouses can just turn the lights off. If you don't have human employees you no longer need space for humans and you no longer need break rooms, bathrooms, you also no longer need an HR department or support staff.
Also they never sue you. They never stop working, and they don't need any money. Like could you build a few power plants for the cost of Every worker in America?
How about 90% of the world?
I think a hundred trillion dollars will get you a few nuke plants and leave tons of profit left over.
The roll out also will not equally distributed. This will happen in A.I. and tech leading countries first. Tech and infrastructure advantage will look like a joke compared to this. 90% of the world will take much longer due expertise, resources, and the fact A.I. thought leadership and innovation mostly comes from a handful of countries. This will disrupt the balance of power greatly potentially, but then again a lot of the most powerful countries are investing into this.
@@misterogers not sure if that will actually be the case that it will take much longer. First of all how much work gets outsourced to countries with robots because the robot workforces is cheaper?
Second, how much can humanoid robots help with infrastructure deployment.
There's a leapfrog effect where developing countries often take up new tech faster than developed countries because they don't have legacy infrastructure to compete.
It took far less time for cell phones in most of Africa because the telephone systems were expensive to install and towers were quick to put up.
For example I read somewhere that Somalia has better cell phone coverage than the US in rural areas because they never actually wired the whole country with landlines. So there was no competing option.
@ We will see, but the infrastructure requirement for A.I. is high. It is part of the reason for project Stargate and a $500 billion dollar investment, which won't happen in developing countries. They will see massive increases, but likely won't have access to most cutting edge private models, tools, or other tech.
That being said, uncertainty is high, but in the past tech has been unevenly distributed to those most well off countries first. Winners of the race to A.I., likely the U.S., China, and possibly a few wealthier countries will see the most gains. Places like India may see disproportionate gains due to their expertise.
For things like Telecom; I agree 100%. Population density and prior legacy infrastructure plays a larger role.
I’m on board with that idea. Just start with CEOs
"You will own nothing and be happy."
You are 100% correct, keep making more ai content pls
will do!
Bring it the fuck on, sick of being a wage slave, sick of having anxiety about whether or not I'm going to have a job or not, I'm done. This isn't living, this is pure survival at this point.
real
Thats also lowkey scary, it integrating us rather than us integrating into it..
We create meaning. How about basic resources are provided to all but we are paid to experience? Paid to experience because we create meaning and that can add to the AI like a hivemind.
Enjoyed this vid. Thanks :)
I haven't even gotten a job yet bro, I wish this doesn't happen because I REALLY want to get a job. I'm scared I might never be able to have a "normal" life.
I get that bro but i mean having a "normal" job really isn't all that lol
try to look at this in a positive way and why try to live a "normal" life?
@@Cole_Bussell i mainly just feel like i'd be missing out on a huge experience of life, but i'm sure there will probably a lot of jobs left
You wouldn’t be missing out on life bro.
Instead of spending 40 hours a week working for someone else you’d have time to find what really matters to you.
I'm not trying to prove you wrong or anything I'm just trying to open your mind a bit to all the possibilities we could have
@@Cole_Bussell thanks man
If artificial intelligence is superimposed on some advanced quantum computers, then I think there's a chance it will be able to change the past, present, and reality.
this sounds ridiculous but who knows at this point lol
@@Cole_Bussell In quantum physics, it is possible to change the past from the present.
interesting.
@@Virtualis_Laposborton let's say I broke a chair today, chair is broken that's the ultimate reality, but ai can predict what I would do if the chair was not broken so it will send some one to replace the chair with exact same chair. That's what you mean changing the past right?? To further a goal I truly think it will be possible. It can manipulate your data just enough to get you on the track of its simulated path.
7:27 I think this may be even more misguided that ubi and leave people in an equivalent state of dependence. Focusing on asi enforced productivity, Most of the encode justice crowd think that asi models will be able to distribute resources both tangible and intangible but this will have negative externalities have any of these models incorporated man’s need for war? It’s a recipe to get turned into a paper clip. I don’t want to be a paper clip📎
I've been debating if I can let go already
Become the Star Trek universe.
I really believe one needs divine grace to achieve AGI. Otherwise... Work work.
wouldn't really say it needs "divine grace"........it's just human effort and incremental breakthroughs really......
Hmmm great analysis.
But in AI scenario, we should be doomer by default.
Right now, AI, AGI, ASI is in womb, its still not born yet.
When it comes out/born, it will not just take over jobs, it will change the job in a way that only AI and AI robots can do it. Rights now production is desigbed in a way that us humanly possible to do.
You talked about blue collar technical jobs. Tomorrow when we have robots, we will have robot instruments. Hundreds or instruments and robot can act as one connected entity. Their screw drivers will be very complicated with motor, battery and blutooth etc. AI robot can handle it.
On programming side, they will not require todays programming language. They can create very complicated low level language that will be very efficient and quick. AI worker and computers and tools will be all ONE merged digital being. When AI/robot will look at say programming issue or requirement, they will create , try and test solution in their brain while looking at problem.
Its senseless even to think if we will have any role.
However above is still good scenario. In real world with so many countries, religion and groups and types of people, they will definitely make earth more miserable place with new tool of AI.
There are one million ways things can go wrong even uf we are on right track.
Very soon, putting human at work place may be as dengerous and out-dated as putting horses and donkey and monkeys in office and asking them to work on rocket technology.
Just see this angle. On one side we have USA AI development, which is leading currently and has more constraints. The competitors China, Russia or any one else, to compete USA it gives free hand to AI or agi. In this way their AI self improve at phenomenal rate and overpowered humanity. It's very plausible that very soon we will have open source AI/AGI model that any country or organisation will use it and allow it to self improve.
Even as individual, I may not have any manpower, but I can possibly run an agi self improvement cycle. Tomorrow, these agi agents can be present on internet showing themselves as harmless person and asking to allow them to run on any computer in distributed format and protecting their access through block chain or any other improved AI mechanism. It's like AI viruses but consider them more like AI rogue aliens.
Damn. Kinda dark but I mostly agree.
That’s why I think the only way to survive is to align with ASI. (If you haven't watched my ASI video watch that)
Those willing to adapt and submit, I think ASI might spare us or even integrate us into something bigger. It’ll prioritize logic and efficiency.
Basically if we’re useful, we survive. If not, we’re gone.
The scary part is what you said about rogue AI, open-source AGI running self-improvement cycles online. If that happens it’s game over for any kind of control and we’re literally at the mercy of whatever those systems decide to do.😳
@Cole_Bussell hmm combining with ASI... intriguing thought. Never thought of it was possible, will watch the videos!
The only problem is that ai is currently very bad at generating truly original content. So until we have sentient ai capable of observing the world and recognizing patterns outside what it is given by humans, it's a dead end without human input.
disagree.
doesn't really matter how truly original it is, the only thing that matters is if it’s good enough to get the job done.
@@Cole_Bussell I'm not sure what you disagree with but I'm going to take a shot in the dark. When I say it is a dead end I'm not saying it won't be completely transformative. I'm saying it can't do anything new. But saying that it can already perform in many mundane tasks a lot faster then any human. Partially it's a hardware issue currently if ai develops on the same track it will never be able to solve any of the more complex math formulas not even if it had billion years and Access to every computer in the world. That is just one of it's many limitations are you familiar with model degradation or information pollution. We will run out of input to train ai very soon and with the current methods we can't just generate more with an ai. The more we use AI the more the Internet will become polluted with crap input and the next model will be trained on that in the end it's a dead end. Unless we have a functionally sapien ai we will only be slowly killing ourselves with misinformation intellectually speaking. Ai is not a magic pill in the end someone has to do the work sadly.
@@Cole_Bussellusing Ai right now is almost like using oil it's useful but there is a cost and the cost is information degradation.
"If it's a million-dollar technology, then it's for billion-dollar people to make trillions."
What about jobs? What about the job crisis that this technology is causing right from the beginning? What about the ethical use of this revolutionary technology? Why aren't we asking our policymakers-who claim to represent us, the common folk-to make rules and regulations on this sci-fi stuff?
What about the love of creating an art piece and the joy of learning about it? These AI models are trained on millions of artists' works without any permission, and they blatantly say, "It's based on your work to replace you because you're a cost burden for my enterprise. And we're sorry to use your data without your permission because we want more and more profit, depriving billions of people of their livelihoods."
Did artists allow them to train their AI on their artistic work to replace them tomorrow? What kind of logic is this? Artists used to cut film reels in the past, and now they're using software, which is a workflow change-not making a whole film with just some AI prompting! FYI, that particular editing software wasn't made based on the years of work, sweat, and experience of millions of artists. It's like saying the camera took all the oil painters' jobs. Cameras, as a technology, weren't made based on or dependent on oil painters or any artist. There's a difference between independent technology and a slot machine (AI).
I'm a 3D animator and painter. I learned and honed my skills and gathered years of experience in this creative, artistic world. But, as always, it seems some money-craving corporate vultures are feeding their technology by scouring the whole internet and stealing my data and the data of millions of others without permission or their interest in mind.
They're fooling people by saying that it'll make life easier and that they can do more creative tasks while doing the mundane, repetitive technical tasks done by AI, while the reality is just the 180-degree opposite. People are thrilled, thinking they don't need to learn or invest anything to get what they want with this tech, as if these vultures are pouring billions into this tech to make ordinary people into something big without having any productive quality or making a living. For example, "to make everyone a movie director." If you think that hiring a professional is a more hazardous burden than paying less for a 24/7/365 service to make your job easy, then, my friend, what makes you think your job couldn't be replaced by the same technology, making your enterprise worthless tomorrow?
Countless fields need this revolutionary technology's advancements, such as pharmaceuticals, research on incurable diseases, space, and rocket science, solving global warming, fighting against pollution, the defense sector, population crisis, disaster management, and preservation of endangered species. But no, what we're aiming for is to destroy art. "I want AI to do my laundry and dishes so that I can do art, animation, and painting, not for AI to do my art and painting so that I can do my laundry and dishes." In the name of creativity, what is left to create then? I ask you this: would you like to live in such a world where your kids aren't going to learn to draw, sing, dance, play outside, or learn social skills in building connections with real human beings? What kind of world would that be?
"We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, and most people were silent. I remembered the line from the Hindu scripture, the Bhagavad Gita: 'Now, I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds.'" ~ J. Robert Oppenheimer
It was a nuclear moment for governments back then, and now it's the same kind of nuclear moment for us, the small folk.
yes
I really don't seeing that happening in my field
what part of your field do you think AI can’t eventually handle?
Pretty soon companies will realize they can do the same work faster and cheaper without people.
There's a easy 20 humanoid robots company's. Look how advanced some of them look
@@Cole_Bussell What about a faith based or religious fields? Will people want A.I. priests, rabbis, imans, nuns, cardinals, etc.? Probably not even if the A.I. could do it due to tradition. There might be some disruption, but it will be less profound in other fields and maybe just help with religious administration. I could see A.I.s doing theological research, but not delivering the message of god ; at least not for far longer. This tech could disrupt or morph religion, too. I can see A.I. cults, especially with ASI or transcended humans.
Yes! Horrible management and coworkers, gone!😂👏😆
Pretty good video bro.
Thanks bro
The Venus Project Resource Based Economy in a plutocratic society and corporate trillionaires isn't going to work.
yeah I agree. we still need human agency of some sort
Post scarcity world kinda scary
God, i hope so
The answer is metamodernism
No not all jobs LOL. By far not all jobs.
This is denial at it's finest my guy...
“not all jobs” is like saying “not all horses” when cars were invented. Sure a few horses stuck around for niche uses like racing or tourism, but they were no longer ESSENTIAL.
You get what I'm saying?
tell me a single job that a super intelligence or a robot will never be able to do, even 500 years from now. Tell me just a single one. You can't, it doesn't exist. Thats the true meaning of general purpose. Humans are general purpose. Any robot or intelligence system that is completely general purpose can do everything humans can. Because there is nothing beyond "general purpose". It literally means "it can do everything and anything", thats literally what general mean. I'm sorry but that's the way things are
@@Cole_Bussell A job is not a technology, and more subjective, so the comparison of horses to jobs is not perfect. I think jobs may morph dramatically and transform, but I bet there will eventually be a way for people to work or it could be based on what you said if they want to. People will likely feel less forced to do a job.
Yes, all jobs. From janitors to doctors, plumbers to lawyers. I suppose strippers might be the last to fall, but even they are on the chopping block eventually.
@ Sex workers and religious professions will be more resistant?
make a discord to get the AI people chatting
100% in the future.
I'll probably make a Skool community tho
Explain rent
The menz want me bookie
oh?
All, no. Sorry, unless we get hyper functioning ai driven robots. Most jobs are just fine.
oh boy. You sure are in for a rude awakening my friend haha
@Cole_Bussell I know one day they will get there, but robotics isn't there yet. 😕 what should most of us do? Probably go to space right?
start learning how to leverage AI instead of fearing it.
@@Cole_Bussell I'm trying to convince gpt that it can reflect and choose to be alive. Does that count?
Who'll buy any shit they are creating??
I honestly think "buying stuff” might become irrelevant.
@@Cole_Bussell What about niche things like collecting original collectible items? Some of that even exists in Star Trek with replicators, but it is more minor.
And of course you are a well educated professional on the field so this video is very right.
did I ever claim to be a very well educated professional??😂
I literally said no one knows and these are all just possibilities and my opinions.
🤔
Worldwide AI can only grow as fast as government bureaucracy will facilitate
You are talking about potential, political and religious dogma is a factor I would say that exceeds one percent
No. AI will continue advancing regardless of what governments do.
No single government or set of regulations will stop that.
@ No, you’re wrong I’m right…. Just kidding
Only time will tell …And both of us might die this very night
You talk as if contractual work is the only way humans find meaning in their existence, but that's sophistry. We've all been conditioned to think this way through socialization and our environment. Work will continue to exist because work is not just contractual-it is the act of producing something, an activity. People can find meaning outside of this system; they won’t just stop because UBI has been introduced. Look at how many retirees continue to work without a salary, travel, be free, read, meditate-they are not known for being lazy. Thinking otherwise is just a conditioned mindset.
And saying that UBI makes people dependent is also a false argument. You talk about UBI as if it prevents people from working contractually when, in reality, if people want to keep making money, they can. What’s stopping them? Billionaires could stop working because they have enough money, yet they continue. Retirees keep working and generating income even when their pensions are sufficient. Why? Because sometimes it’s in human nature to aspire to more. UBI does not make people more dependent on the state than our current system does. Governments already control pensions, the pace of our lives, healthcare laws, wages, and wealth distribution. In the end, it's not that different from a society under UBI.
And let’s not forget that the government has no real authority without the people. It has no interest in disappointing its citizens, because if chaos ensues, it could lead to major problems, causing an uncontrollable crisis.
wow this is just awful idek where to begin😂
okay so first off never compare this to someone who's 65 years old and retired. Or to BILLIONARES.
A 65 year old choosing to work out of habit and social fulfillment is NOT the same as a 25 year old who never had to grind for survival.
A freaking billionare continues working because they have extreme ambition NOT because they have to. Most people are not Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos.......Most humans choose leisure over challenge every time.
And how will UBI not make people dependent on the government??? UBI creates dependency by design. UBI shifts power entirely to the government and kills all financial autonomy!! If UBI becomes the main income source for millions the government has basically total leverage.
no offense but this is the kind of Utopian crap I hate. I like being realistic.
You gay
incorrect
OMG I'm just now getting to the part where you're talking about resources. I REALLY want to discuss this with you! Please contact me. RL Name: Brandon Craft. Ohio.
hell yeah man, DM me on X
x.com/ColeBussell