You Won't Believe My Shocking Palantir Stock Prediction for 2030 | PLTR Stock Prediction

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  • Опубликовано: 23 мар 2024
  • Palantir is expected to rapidly expand earnings per share over several years.
    Fool.com contributor and finance professor Parkev Tatevosian projects where Palantir's stock price could be in 2030.
    A portion of this video is sponsored by The Motley Fool.
    Visit fool.com/parkev to get access to my special offer.
    The Motley Fool Stock Advisor returns are 545% as of 01/18/2024 and measured against the S&P 500 returns of 138% as of 01/18/2024. Past performance is not an indicator of future results. All investing involves a risk of loss. Individual investment results may vary, not all Motley Fool Stock Advisor picks have performed as well.
    DISCLAIMER:
    All content on this channel is for entertainment and should not be taken as professional financial advice.
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Комментарии • 81

  • @richarddamien4654
    @richarddamien4654 2 месяца назад +17

    great analysis Parkev👍. good video. Investing in AI-driven companies like NVDA and PLTR has proven lucrative. I will continue to keep an eye out for AI growth opportunities.

    • @patrickjones1392
      @patrickjones1392 2 месяца назад +6

      that's right. tech giants like microsoft and meta platforms are also beneficiaries from AI integration w/ azure computing and reels rspctvly.

    • @christeng142
      @christeng142 2 месяца назад +4

      The AI boom is reshaping revenue streams, urging adaptation. we all lose our jobs and as a civilization, are ‘fracked’ according to my son lol.

    • @rosalopez5574
      @rosalopez5574 2 месяца назад +4

      AI isn't job-stealing but simplifying work, especially if you are a creator with entrepreneurial spirit.

    • @clarisse2096
      @clarisse2096 2 месяца назад +3

      I am considering averaging down on PLTR's doubled stock; is it still a good buy or are we going to witness a dump?

    • @christeng142
      @christeng142 2 месяца назад +5

      insider insights from mentors like tom lee, danielle martino booth or in my case monica Mary Strigle, are essential for navigating the market in this day and time. I am 372.8% up in the past 2 years.

  • @Kevin-se1oe
    @Kevin-se1oe 2 месяца назад +9

    This is going to be like the guy who predicted Bitcoin back in 2013......🚀

  • @gurdavbains3361
    @gurdavbains3361 2 месяца назад +2

    Thanks for updating

  • @user-xy3cg9wi6r
    @user-xy3cg9wi6r 2 месяца назад +5

    Thanks for the video!
    My early adapter Korean friends believe PLTR is the next NVDA. 🤷‍♀️

  • @frankcolliton10
    @frankcolliton10 2 месяца назад +3

    PLTR has partners including MSFT & IBM. Buy it & hold it. Don't worry about day to day or week to week price fluctuations. 😊

  • @dougtrvl888
    @dougtrvl888 2 месяца назад +5

    Good Analysis Parkev ,
    Your keeping us on the ground with this logical analysis.
    Still my target for 2030 is at least 120 dollars 💵 & I am long 3500 shares from 9 dollars average . No profit taking for me until 100 dollars & I will sell half then
    ( taking profits on others like Cava & Soundhound etc )

  • @brunastockett1220
    @brunastockett1220 2 месяца назад

    Hi Parkev, what you think about ZTS?

  • @johnny10gunz19
    @johnny10gunz19 2 месяца назад +2

    The thing is you just don't know what new software they we create and deliver in the future or vice versa. What new niche they could carve out. So it's difficult to predict a price 5 or 6 years down the line.

  • @De-Centralized
    @De-Centralized 2 месяца назад +1

    I'll take that $78/share from my $9.60 dca, 8X return sounds excellent to me. Anything beyond that would just be gravy and maybe a beach house. But, I'd honestly be ecstatic with a 5X, sitting around a 2.5X already.

  • @victortoombs4754
    @victortoombs4754 2 месяца назад +7

    I look at PLTR in the same way as TSLA was ten years ago. TSLA was a first mover advantage in their space and then had to deal with a lot of competition as time progressed. While they did lower their prices on their cars, which affected their profit margin, they still remained as the gold standard in the EV market, and their stock flourished. I think you're being too conservative with your price prediction.

    • @IronPoorBlood
      @IronPoorBlood 2 месяца назад

      In my mind, the TAM is massive. I mostly wonder what the competition is up to. The next group of smart people have Palantir to use as their "design document." It's hard to sell lots and lots of what you have, and make it better at the same time. Moment of Silence in memory of Word Perfect.

    • @asher658
      @asher658 2 месяца назад

      not to forget the government kept tesla alive for many many years with the subsidies and credits.... and guess who is supporting/supported palantir?

  • @alaskalife5017
    @alaskalife5017 2 месяца назад

    Thank you for another great financial breakdown! For all the skeptics out there, you still need to do your company research, insider trades, potential legislation on the radar that could slow the company growth, new partnerships and buy-outs. The list is massive and even then it is still a gamble. I just find it more respectable than Vegas...very slightly. 😂

  • @dominik2325
    @dominik2325 2 месяца назад +1

    You mentioned the current Forward-P/E would likely stay the same if the earnings grew by 80% per year. But you did not change it for the scenario of 20% growth per year. Would this variable not need to be adjusted with people not willing to pay such a price for a merely slightly above average growth?

  • @jondc3568
    @jondc3568 2 месяца назад

    in your previous video, you recommended to take profit on PLTR. Why will you do that and you have this analysis?

  • @AdamHagin
    @AdamHagin 2 месяца назад +3

    Amd isn't hurting Nvidia... mmmm so Paltr will be all good 👍

  • @sammy73070
    @sammy73070 2 месяца назад +1

    It’s unpredictable what Palantir will do by 2030. They are working on many different products from what I hear on other channels. I think $1,000 is possible by 2030 based on what they’re capable of developing.
    Regardless, it’s probably best to avoid playing the “fortune teller” game and just buy the damned stock and hold for the long term.

  • @homerreagan4456
    @homerreagan4456 2 месяца назад +1

    I think your tooo conservative here. I'm unsure we know, or can even guess what this company can grow into, but your efforts certainly help build a baseline. The world wants a vendor package to use AI for the bottom line...as long as that model stays in tact...and grows other packaged offerings in the marketplace...I believe this to be a X20 company.

  • @IronPoorBlood
    @IronPoorBlood 2 месяца назад

    1. How do you estimate TAM in that problem space? Especially when much of the work is in classified settings?
    2. Alex Karp comes across as overconfident about A. Keeping a lead, and B. A lesser solution delivered today is sufficient. Upgrade later. Pride can be a weakness.
    3. War pressure from every direction, while supply lines are in great flux. A solution two years from now is way too late.
    4. The technology has to come out as fast as it goes in. Mores law indicates stuff has to be ripped out and done over at faster and faster intervals. Little digression. A great deal of equipment is probably way over built given the incredibly short time to obsolescence. AMD to benefit?
    5. DOD budgets - they lie. A. They, contractors, sell low, get in the door, entrenched, bleed the customer to death. It's like buying a car you can't afford. You and the salesman basically agree to conspire so you can take home to mom way more than you can afford. Meanwhile, the better product is not bought.
    5. Consider - operating fleets of hundreds of satellite's in low earth is very different from a few at higher orbits. How to manage?
    6. New nuke rockets, needed online yesterday. How is command, control, etc going to be done? Big big big problem space. The methods of that process it's self needs PLNTR like tools, that deploy to systems using the tools.
    7. Warding off the potential for looming global famine.
    PLNTR cannot run fast enough.
    How to estimate the TAM?
    Every cycle. Not just the first delivery.
    Help me out?
    Thanks for the Video.

  • @robc361
    @robc361 2 месяца назад

    As good as your predictions are, they are just that. Take the data you are given and react and again you do it better than the far majority. But is there a way to be ahead of the reactionary. There must be, otherwise why would we react to big gains or losses.
    How do you get ahead of the curve?

  • @hankkingsley9183
    @hankkingsley9183 2 месяца назад +1

    It seems like that very high growth rate isn't really taking into account that many companies will pop up and eat into their market share. If there is an exponential ramp up in the ability of AI... if AGI truly happens... all models for what the future is going to look like go out the window

  • @bryanmclaughlin1048
    @bryanmclaughlin1048 2 месяца назад

    Could you analyze comcast stock?

  • @miguelcardenas263
    @miguelcardenas263 2 месяца назад +2

    Excellent video, greetings from Rochester MN, any chance you can make a video on ALSN stock, is an interesting company

  • @danielscanlon7856
    @danielscanlon7856 2 месяца назад +2

    Would love to see an update on Luminar LAZR stock

  • @user-en5is4lr9v
    @user-en5is4lr9v 2 месяца назад +2

    I think growth will be exponential. Stock will be much higher in the future.

  • @Fifamud2023
    @Fifamud2023 2 месяца назад +1

    Can we do analysis on MSFT and VISA, thanks

  • @airmasterhvac
    @airmasterhvac 2 месяца назад +2

    Adding more tomorrow morning.

  • @LHAKSS-gu7vd
    @LHAKSS-gu7vd 2 месяца назад +11

    how can you factor in the eps growth rate of 21.2% equivalent to growth rate of the revenue that is also 21.2%. Based on past 3 years data, their operating expense and COGS are some what flat while revenue increases each year, so any additional revenue would be directed straight to their net income. They made $109M in 2023, not including interest exp, So if their revenue icreases 21% next year, we are seeing a potentail netincome increase of $460M, IF opex and COGS doesnt increase. That will be an EPS growth of 400%+ on the hyper bullish side. Am i missing something or messing up my numbers lol.
    If you include the int income then it comes down to 180% eps growth.
    but by plugging in 3-4% opex growth along with keeping Gross Margin at 80%, I see a EPS growth for 2024 at 80-85%

    • @LHAKSS-gu7vd
      @LHAKSS-gu7vd 2 месяца назад +2

      @@garys.1415 lol not sure if your comment is against him or with him.

    • @riverascourtesy5
      @riverascourtesy5 Месяц назад

      You’re correct, overhead and operations will continue to decline as they scale as well as make products more turn key…

  • @riverascourtesy5
    @riverascourtesy5 Месяц назад

    S&P inclusion is not factored in, nor is oracle partnership or new AIe products… this is based off of historical progress. I see Papantir as $500 stock in 2030!

    • @SuperReyand
      @SuperReyand 29 дней назад

      i wish... but i doubt, i expect it at least at $190-200

  • @user-ov8sv9ns5l
    @user-ov8sv9ns5l 2 месяца назад

    Adding ...

  • @tonikang11
    @tonikang11 2 месяца назад +14

    Based on books, I got to the conclusion that analysts have no ability to forecast future earnings. Why do we need them? People hate uncertainty and need guidance even if the guidance is horrifying, simliar to what Joker said in the movie Batman. So I believe predicting future stock price Based on the analyst estimates is nothing but for entertainment purpose.

    • @user-ut2um9tn5t
      @user-ut2um9tn5t 2 месяца назад +3

      I trust Parkev - He is a true Professional I've ever seen...

    • @IronPoorBlood
      @IronPoorBlood 2 месяца назад

      Ya, it's a lot like estimating how long software development will take. Just a random distribution curve. Something has to hit the bull's eye. But, Parkey is a level head. Exactly what you want when under fire and everyone else is losing their heads.

    • @justinwilliams9228
      @justinwilliams9228 2 месяца назад

      Yea and no. We are looking at certain numbers

  • @lic3230
    @lic3230 2 месяца назад +1

    How about their number of outstanding shares?

    • @davidttower
      @davidttower 2 месяца назад

      They are steadily reducing SBC and have authorized buying back up to a $billion of their own stock.

  • @aarondiaz1433
    @aarondiaz1433 2 месяца назад +1

    He makes a couple of silky arguments.
    He says customers will go for a cheaper inferior product .
    Customers have said no one is even close to Palantir and what they do !
    What about share price at 30% or 40 % growth ??

  • @JoseGonzalez-ig1kh
    @JoseGonzalez-ig1kh 2 месяца назад +2

    I think you got your numbers confused 78×10=780 per share that sounds about right.....

  • @axelmeierhoefer4447
    @axelmeierhoefer4447 2 месяца назад

    Interesting modeling. The things you said after you showed our numbers are out of an economics book 101 but the reality does not work that way. Hurdles to entry for a company that has a huge government customer base is hard. Look at a company like SpaceX versus all the others. Yes, they know SpaceX is the best, and they do get a few scraps here and there, but nobody is flying humans to the ISS for a premium price. To state that Palantir's offerings are easy to replicate is the same as stating that what SpaceX is doing can be copied and offered for a lower price. I think the 3x is a great return but the reasoning you used applied to a successful bakery, not into the filed of complex software or hardware

  • @riverascourtesy5
    @riverascourtesy5 Месяц назад

    If palantir makes a product similar to Nvidia, at 90% market share of Data centers, competition can’t come close… nobody has yet to take marker share from Nvidia yet…

    • @SuperReyand
      @SuperReyand 29 дней назад

      Competition is not waiting, they are here and will be keeping up with them. Speaking as PLTR shareholder.

  • @Bill-qz8jv
    @Bill-qz8jv Месяц назад

    I’m super bullish on PLTR with all the contracts and deals they’ve been securing. All their customers love them and won’t even consider their competitors. Their products are in a completely different league. Watch PLTR skyrocket after every single earnings report. When they get included in the SP500 what’s gonna happen? Holding PLTR for the long haul baby 💎🙌

  • @stockdetective4396
    @stockdetective4396 2 месяца назад

    Didn’t take into account buybacks

  • @ronmatthews2164
    @ronmatthews2164 2 месяца назад

    I think analysis on Palantir are way too high.
    In the future companies like Nvidia ,Bigbear and ? Will start to give them substantial competition.
    I think Nvidia between now and 2030 will go up more percentage wise than Palantir.
    Palantir is way too expensive.
    ❤😂🎉

  • @davidttower
    @davidttower 2 месяца назад

    You honestly believe that the competition is waiting for PLTR to be successful before they start innovating 💡 😂😂...Palantir is 20 years ahead of them. They already know that.

  • @kevn99
    @kevn99 2 месяца назад

    I’m pretty sure barring an unforeseen financial catastrophe PLTR will be over 100 bucks in 6 years…

  • @Perillo99
    @Perillo99 2 месяца назад

    Yea they laughed at bitcoin also

  • @saf00
    @saf00 2 месяца назад

    dun think can reach that level in 2030. 😅

  • @memenators9627
    @memenators9627 2 месяца назад

    Please make a prediction on Nike. They just dropped heavily

    • @tarikviaer-mcclymont5762
      @tarikviaer-mcclymont5762 2 месяца назад

      Continue to drop, people are wearing brooks, New balance,on cloud, hoka, ASICS. Etc

  • @user-ut2um9tn5t
    @user-ut2um9tn5t 2 месяца назад +3

    Apres...

  • @outworkthework
    @outworkthework 2 месяца назад +1

    I enjoy your channel however its a little early for April fools jokes. No one can predict 2030.

  • @lionheart93
    @lionheart93 2 месяца назад

    u really think anyone can compete with pltr? pltr has been in this for what 20 yrs where is the competition lol

  • @AlveeStock
    @AlveeStock 2 месяца назад

    Palantir will jump around 16 to 30 dollars in 2024. They have just bunch of government contracts and nothing special in terms of technology like NVDIA

  • @tarikviaer-mcclymont5762
    @tarikviaer-mcclymont5762 2 месяца назад

    Highly unlikely 👩 👎 lol

  • @pm6807
    @pm6807 2 месяца назад

    Maybe maybe maybe ...