One small diction mistake you keep making. You wish to say "significant NUMBER" not "significant AMOUNT". That is a common diction mistake made by English speakers who incorrectly conflate "number" and "amount". Amount pertains to price: "The amount is $4.69." Number pertains to countable items, "Can you tell me the number of patriot missiles the U.S. is using daily?"
@gijonlirYes, Paul did a lot of research. Our website has a link which shows the certificate of origin. It isn't in Europe because it was sold out in Ukraine.. a portion of the remaining stock is being shipped back to the EU... From USA, because that is only place it was not sold out. Japan also sold out it's stock btw. Happy to answer all inquiries and challenges. Find our email on website
The US lifting all sanctions changes everything. It isolates the European Union. Basically the USA have bailed out Russia and Hungary defeated Ukraine.
Everyone with 2 neurons firing knows that "critical components" for shahed drones for both Russia and Iran come from China. This vid is absolute top derangement. Same goes for the goddamn Ukraine, it is absolutely incapable to do anything on its own, Chinese components in everything. Oil flow can't be fixed with escorts, there was failure to do this even against Houthis, the flow resumed only after there was an agreement. No agreement with Iran, no oil flow. One needs to control the entire Iranian coast to secure transport.
Thank you, Paul, for your excellent online presentation--as a real person, not AI. FYI, I am a speech teacher, and I have given a link to this video to my students to see a great demonstration of gestures, eye contact, clear content and a sincere, educated voice.
You stated that media is choosing to focus on Russia's perspective much more than the lessons from WW2, Let's face it. Here's why you have this job : 1) Society fails to teach critical thinking adequately until (most) undergrad studies 2) Society inadequately teaches that history repeats and also what history tells us or how to take lessons out of the facts You do well at both of these
@keatomicyoure an idiot. Liberals are not revising history. They are teaching the true history because history was revised by governments. People were taught lies about wars and land grabs and now that liberals are teaching the truth you are upset because you were lied to and don't want to admit it.
@keatomic right, people like Trump or Putin (both right-extremists) are so good at understanding history and advocate so much for critical thinking. go consume your fox news slop.
I feel bad for being such a contrarian on this channel because Im a huge supporter of Ukraine. I think it pays to be aware that every single video Paul posts is a positive update about the Ukraine War regardless of what is happening. It's good to be an optimist but there are ebs and flows of every war and I want to advocate for hearing a more balanced view of what is happening. Continued civil unrest in Iran and the possibility that sanctions wont be enforced for some time might favor Russia in the medium term. I hope Im wrong.
@mattd6200 I hope so too. Because as time goes by, Ukraine are able to successfully strike more and more Russian oil production capabilities (& will certainly refuse to allow Russians in to fix that Druzhba pipeline). Even if the buyers of Putin’s oil would be willing to pay a higher price, or some countries become new customers willing to take the risk of getting caught buying sanctioned oil, Putin may not be able to produce the amounts required to earn a good profit.
I’m not just an optimist for the sake of being an optimist. I’m an optimist because the evidence backs it. And so far, everything I’ve said about the Ukraine War that has had enough time to come true has indeed come true. I hate patting myself on the back, but it’s quite a track record, and I mention it because I know a lot of people rely on what I say, and I take it quite seriously.
@hrhdmk5845 I honestly think that the Russian economy is in deep trouble long term, but it will take time. The more pressing concern is Ukrainian manpower. While Russia is losing more men, Ukraine might be losing more men per capita when accounting for casualties, AWOL and desertions. These numbers are hidden from the public but they are undoubtedly high. It is a troubling concern that Paul has ignored thus far for some reason.
Thank you, again. Brilliant analysis. Also very important to have someone talk in a peaceful, calm manner without shouting and screaming. Solid logic and rhetoric. Appreciated as ever.
And one of the few RUclipsrs who doesn't think they have to add background "music" to make the video worth listening to. They are so wrong, just your voice is enough, Paul.
I hope you’re right, Paul. I have friends in Ukraine, and the last several months have become increasingly difficult for them. They really need a break.
The simple truth is now the sun is on the side of Ukraine and less energy will be spent on heating through the very harsh cold and solar energy is viable source again
Hi Paul! As a Ukrainian who regularly watches your videos on Ukraine and hardly comments on any videos, today I felt the need to finally do it. My native city in Ukraine is suffering under missiles' and shacheds' attacks nearly every day. My parents, other relatives, and many friends still live there and it is hard to read all the news about damages and lost lives. It's had to the point where I sometimes feel desperate. However, you're one of the few people who gives me hope. Lack of analysis in the news or straight propaganda make the picture look black and white. You, on the other hand, try to give a thorough analysis and show that there're still possibilities to survive. Thank you for supporting Ukraine and Ukrainian businesses as well! Lots of love to you and your family. Stay safe and healthy.
@Zolotou2604well I think the rest of the news really underplay the kind of craphole Russia is in right now. It can 100% lead to Russia finally agreeing to a reasonable peace agreement
Here in FRANCE we see many Ukrainian young people driving around in UA registered cars. Apparently they have decided to leave Ukraine until the civil war ends. We pray that day can not be far away. We must rely on President TRUMP to get this conflict sorted out by making some concessions on territory for Russian-Ukrainian separatists in DONBAS. However the leader of UKRAINE seems reluctant to do so at this stage even after 4 years of war. Pity.
I love your channel. Aside from presenting clearly well researched, salient analyses, you don't use any AI or cheesy production tactics, you just look at the camera and calmly and clearly speak. I also respect your plug in this video for the Ukrainian winery. Very well done.
@georgewashington3555 Do you have any links to back this claim? I looked and found none. If you can't put them here can you tell where you saw them please? Did you mean Ruthless Talent?
It is not only the interceptor drone. It's the software, the layering of defences , and the daily development -adaptation to swift changes that characterize drone warfare. UA updates daily, real-time. Russians too. And thats it. Even Russia is slower. Procurements , testing, tenders bureaucracy have been minimized in UA. This brings crazy flexible business approach that will be hard to match in the West, where 1 UA day takes 8-10months in the West. UA won't sell drones to Quatar, UAE or US, they will sell service contracts, full package. Send teams,, not hardware. More added value here.
Selling only the drones to anybody would not make much sense. Those things need trained and experienced pilots and there are only 2 nations today, that have them.
Exactly. Also, today UA has shot down the first Shaheed drone-carrier of FPV drones for example. And there were already Shaheeds with anti-air missiles mounted on them. The development is crazy fast
Such a thoughtful commentary. I particularly loved the reminder that many nations endured constant bombardment during WW2 & had entire cities wiped out but didn’t buckle because of it. 17:18 That’s a potent historical example of the resilience the human spirit is capable of, which Ukraine role models so powerfully today. Another great reminder is that staying focused on long-term outcomes can help us weather even the worst short-term storms. Really a great, calm-inducing (😊) roundup. Thank you for all you do for a nation so many around the world have taken into their heart. Slava Ukraini🇺🇦
they don’t need to be fired all the time, they just have to hold onto and use enough to be a deterrent for russian fighter jets flying over Ukrainian cities
@Bobba-s5k NASAMS can usually handle that task just fine. It's the Russian ballistic missiles that are the problem. Patriot is one of the very few air defence systems that can handle those and none of the other alternatives are available in anything near the quantities Ukraine needs.
Artwine home page -'20,000 bottles were exported to the United States'. Paul - 'Just before Bakhmut fell some extremely brave men smuggled out several hundred thousand bottles of Artwine' - So, how many bottles is it in this rare collection?
@jeezopeez iran is missing air defense. You know they are ahead of the United States in terms of hypersonic. If they leave them alone they will fabricate better than F35.
It's amazing. Half say that war with Iran would be a failure for Russia, a loss of an ally, etc. The other half says that the war is a huge win because of the long-term rise in oil prices, and also because instability in the Middle East and the subsequent rise in instability in other regions will ultimately make the war in Ukraine irrelevant for the US.
The fact that Europe is selling them to Ukraine should be the big red flag. What is the markup, what is the other deal that is going on there. Europe is the one that wanted the US to do more and more. That we needed to do "something" do "anything" about Russia. Except anything meant anything but solve the issue.
@bernardvc5820I’m so sorry that your obsession makes you unable to assess things rationally. I hope you are healed some day, rather than spend your life thinking about your boyfriend 24/7.
Dear Paul ! I thank you so much for bringing the information about war in Ukraine. And I really appreciate your support and effort to help Ukrainian businesses. Before 2014 I lived Donetsk, which is the same region as Bakhmut. I’ve been there, in that winery “Art.Wine”. Back in 2005 there used to do excursions to this place. It was a wonderful experience. In 2019, wines from Artwinery were entered in the London Wine Competition, where their sparkling wines ranked highly and entered the top-10 wines in the world in that competition category. Ans it hurts me on physical level that the winery is destroyed. Thanks again. 🙏
The Patriot missile systems significantly deter Russia from obtaining air superiority because they are very effective against aircraft and moderately effective against ballistic missile systems.
There are many systems that can shoot down comparatively large military jets, land-based systems like IRIS-T, air-to-air missiles and MANPADs. Patriots systems can cover a larger area but hopefully the Patriot radar system should still be able to detect these aircraft and direct other resources towards them.
When this war ends, a nonnegotiable demand would be Iran gives a permanent lease of a defendable naval base at Hormoz. Thus no matter the new government, Iran will never be able to cut off oil commerce.
America has no land there to give them though? Oh, you think that Iran is losing? I mean, it's not like they will be in a position to counter attack or anything, but I don't see them losing this. They will hold everyone at bay while they continue to kill their own people and it's way too unpopular to send a hundred thousand Americans there to get shot and blown up, so they just have to hold on until Trump gives up. Which looks like soon.
It’s not only Ukraine that is getting notice on affordability and equipment that is made to counter a larger opponent. Sweden is getting a lot of interest in their fighter jet system, (also by Ukraine, who understands this better than everyone else), and their doctrine. Sweden has also been a staunch supporter of Ukraine, and the collaboration is growing fast, with drone tech flowing to Sweden, and IFV and other vehicle tech flowing to Ukraine. Sweden also trains pilots and officers for Ukraine, and are ofc getting drone pilot training in return. I see this war and immediately think the European countries could build up their own Shahed-like drone stockpile to put in storage for a rainy day. The industrial capacity is there to pump this out en masse.
Paul, we are heading into an asymmetric conflict where Iran guerilla can block the Hormuz strait with mines for an unlimited time. It would be more suitable to support emancipation from fossil fuels, to buy EVs and to use renewable energy than to lull us in saying that all be well after a few weeks or months. It won't.
Putin went into Ukraine pretending the intention was to demilitarise it and it's now a far stronger military on Russia's doorstep than it ever was before the invasion. Way to go, Vlad!
Not to mention now Finland and Sweden are in NATO drastically increasing the territory Russia has to man with defenses, etc to avoid being invaded since they seem to think a defensive alliance is intended for offensive use. NATO was never going to attack Russia, we enjoyed doing business with them and everyone winning, but now? I mean I know the Polish, Baltic, and Finnish governments would rather do the invading then be the invaded watching the atrocities Russia is committing.
Yep! This is the EXACT paradox that happened after the Iran Iraq war. Iraq came out of that war in massive debt and exhausted, but with a military FIVE times the size, rated as the 4th most powerful military in the world, which emboldened him to invade Kuwait. Iran came out of that war the same - at the start, the Ayatollah was battling internal factions for control, but the was unified the Iranians around the Ayatollah, the exact opposite of Saddam's goal to bring down the Ayatollah.
@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket On top of that, the war gave Trump what he needed to twist arms in Europe to massively increase NATO countries' military spending. France is going to increase its nuclear shield. Germany is looking to start producing nuclear power again. Countries are finding alternatives to Russian energy, and these structural changes are long term, if not permanent. Russia's customer base will be diminished, even after the war.
@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusketNone of those countries want to invade Russia they’re not the US, they know what is at stake you have highly educated people in Finland and Sweden only stupid people launch an invasion when they haven’t been attacked.
Finally, you provided an explanation I was seeking. I was puzzled by Ukraine's ready agreement to help counter the Iranian Shaheeds by sending help to that area. When I heard that announced, they did not report if Ukraine asked for anything specific in return, they only reported Zelenskyy's generic phrase that "we help those who help us". So one was left with the impression that maybe Ukraine was only making another demonstration of goodwill. I kept thinking that this was an opportunity for Zelenskyy to drive a harder bargain and get something valuable in exchange. I heard for the first time in this video that they actually asked for Patriot missiles. I hope it's true and that they get them.
Zero chance they get them as stock piled will be low for at least another year meaning we can't even give them to are allies in the middle let alone Ukraine
Also, the US developed clones of the Iranian Shahed drones, known as the Low-Cost Uncrewed Combat Attack System (LUCAS), in addition to the anti-drone Merops system.
Drones are different in another important aspect. Unlike traditional Soviet or American weapon systems launched from the rear, drones are a front line multiplier as well as a cheap defensive backstop. The multiplier is increased in part due to Ukraine’s expertise in the many ways to best leverage and adapt them to the battlefield. Rapid innovation. So, drone sales are best upsold with consulting expertise creating more value for the Buyer. This reinforces the partnership relationship.
What situation that they treat their women the same as men in America treat their women Look on the internet how many men kill their wives and people encourage them to do that
There is a US company that is building drone interceptors similar to the ones the Ukrainians make. But due to cost of living differences, they will cost more. Also, the gulf states being hit by Iran will buy from Ukraine, since they are already being built in bulk. The US company will still need to ramp up. In the big scheme of things, most people rarely take time in account.
Anyone digesting these narratives will digest the revised coping narratives this bullshit pedler will come up with when this batch is obviated by actual outcomes. It's like the pebble that bores into a rock a few yards out into the surf. The waves crash in, but only drives the pebble further into the rock it's stuck in. The more the waves come in, the further the pebble grinds a little hole in the rock for it to sit in. The pebble will never be washed to the shore.
@justinfleming5119Keep on coping that ruzzia is actually winning a war while they actually control much less territory than what they used to at the end of 22 Talking about coping LMAO
"Because people like to focus on internal speculation rather than historical precedents." Damn, Paul. This is a profound analytic statement about the value of critical thinking.
and when people try to prove a point, they completely ignore all the countervailing forces, or the adjustments. Iran is an expert in evading sanctions. We have no idea all the ways Iran has been helping to evade sanctions. A huge initiative in the US the past couple years is to produce drones while using US parts, and it's exceedingly difficult, especially because even American parts are dependant on Chinese supply chains.
@a@a2knyc Doesn’t matter if Iran can evade sanctions if their infrastructure is crippled and they can’t export anything by land or sea- which is the case right now as the U.S. has air superiority and naval superiority.
Historical precedent doesnt take into account technological advancements that can prolong the blockade. My money is on oil going materially up for months.
I don't think a convoy will work, because they're in range from Iran's coast and its drones and missiles. That's why the US fleet stays 1,000 km away from Iran.
@JamesTipton-z3n The rest of the world doesn't seem to share your view, because the ships aren't moving. Sailors died already because of strikes. But perhaps you could take the helm of a ship and sail through the strait of Hormuz and show everyone how safe it is. Would you be willing to do that? Would you entrust your life to the words of Trump?
At 16:08, Paul makes a good point: that far too many talking heads and think tank theorists ignore history. I’ll add another brilliant insight from my experience in martial arts: _When someone hits you, your first impulse is to hit. Them. Back._ The fact that no one in America’s regime or its supporters considered this does not give me any faith in their ability to successfully conclude this war.
@Ivan-c8k I'd say the Hormuz situation shows that Iran can, in fact, act on that impulse. It's not an ideal response, from their perspective, but it's certainly causing America pain.
Do you guys not know who he works with? He is part of Ruhless podcast, which has licencing deal with Fox news. He is basically fox news. who do not support ukraine.
WW2 is NOT a equivalent situation, that was British Merchant Marines, people doing military service as Crew and Officers aboard civilian ships to make shure their County survived. Secondly the closest equivalent you might have from WW2 is the Mediterranean Sea situation and no nation today have the number of ships needed to guard a convoy attacked from land much less armour that can take any sort of hit. Anyway the ships is a minimal concern when it is supremely easy to light oilfields and refineries on fire. Even just stopping production for a short while will most likely result in wells needing to be redrilled. And now that Trump is lifting the sanctions on Russia they will make money wich isn't good for Ukraine. Lastly, production capacity takes years if not decades to build up and with Europe stopping their orders of american supply it isn't a growing market for a private company to invest in.
🇺🇦 Thanks Paul, excellent update. Fire Point has a missile in final test trials, that can be fired from S-300 launchers, which have already been interfaced into Patriot radar systems. 🇺🇦
@michaelauest1532 we’re currently fielding the samp/t ng, which is equivalent to the patriot, and better missiles are in development. Just because you haven’t heard of it doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. You could inform yourself before posting something incorrectly.
One point that shouldn't be forgotten. US might be the top dog, but remember that Russia lost the naval war against a country with no navy. A couple drone well timed and the straight will be close, no matter how many bombs Americans drops on Iran. The straight is not the Pacific ocean, any ship will be a visual target with very limited time to react.
Paul, I don't know if you heard, but it seems that Iran may be mining the strait. If this is true, it seems as though it would have longer term consequences as de-mining operations would have to occur before ships could move through safely.
@tapeo1 That is why I said the risk isn't 0. They were obviously targeted though which means the odds they were free to drop their mines is also near 0.
@Whinny40SW What a joke? Russia can buy drone parts from China, 90+% of the components needed to build a drone are from China. Ukraine itself is 97% dependent on China to sell the drone parts, same with Russia and Iran.
@kevincasey6876 Kevin all your tax contributions combined from your entire life doesn't cover one interceptor what do you mean YOU paid? WE paid for those missiles, and those of us who are smart enough to understand resources are better used then kept in storage indefinitely appreciate the fact Ukraine has used the equipment they've been provided with incredible efficiency. Every cent invested in Ukraine is a dollar saved in a future conflict.
btw.: The strait was mined now by Iran. Doesn´t this change your assumptions about a soon opening? I wonder this developement isn´t mentioned in any comment
My assumption is it's not their most high priority mission right now. There's plenty of reserves to offset shortages. The navy seems to think they can make a bigger difference for the time being by focusing their assets on taking Iran's offensive capabilities offline. Less offensive capabilities = less need for escorts. If it becomes a longer term crisis, I'm sure we'll see naval escorts emerge.
The oil crisis could be more substantial than what you anticipate. There is a bunch of irrational leaders taking immediate decisions without understanding the underlying factors. It's almost impossible to argue rationally in such environment when one irrational decision is leading to the next. This is making the situation so unpredictable and dangerous.
16:00 about the russian supposedly diminishing stock of drones: since Feb 18 the Ukrainian military reported daily numbers of shot down russian UAVs in the range of 1500 (earlier it used to be around 1000). More recently, since Feb 20, that number climbed into the 1700s with occasional drops, and still more recently, in March, it climbed still higher, into the 2500s. So it does not look like their stocks are seriously impaired.
Production has only increased as they've cleared out crappy old models and have started streamlining production. The hothouse economic growth this war has provided Russia is so depressing.
a better more sensible explanation is the UA numbers of every sector of this war are fantastic numbers of fantasy . propaganda that shocks me that more people cannot see through and will not understand nor be able to accept the Ukraine loss of this war.
@stephenkevindoss1474 Yeah right 😂😂😂 And it's also Ukrainian propaganda that made russia own less territory today than what they did at the end of 2022. Mentioning the staggering amount of Ukrainian propaganda without mentioning the russian one is beyond ridiculous, doesn't hold serious scrutiny for 10 minutes.
@Géopodcalypse There is an old Russian saying from the time of the Tsars: "I don't believe in undisproven information". In Russia, it is still true. Everything is a lie over there.
The most important part of the Patriot is actually the radar. Even with limited shots available, its ability to be used for target detection and discrimination should not be understated.
Bombing cities ties up defensive capabilities meaning that ukraine cant use them where they want to. If you can force ukraine to protect lviv they cant use those assets to take back the occopied oblasts.
@MPX4500no but you can put AA weapons near where the fighting is happening to cover your troops rather than civs. AA being tied up in the west means it cant be deployed elsewhere
![The [At the Wake of Spring] Version Special Program](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/tMFGowIF8eA/mqdefault.jpg)
Go to www.artwine.com to get your limited bottle of Ukrainian sparkling wine, rescued from the cellars of Bakhmut.
One small diction mistake you keep making. You wish to say "significant NUMBER" not "significant AMOUNT". That is a common diction mistake made by English speakers who incorrectly conflate "number" and "amount". Amount pertains to price: "The amount is $4.69." Number pertains to countable items, "Can you tell me the number of patriot missiles the U.S. is using daily?"
@gijonlir Yes, I have confirmed with import slips. I’m in close contact with the importer.
@gijonlirYes, Paul did a lot of research. Our website has a link which shows the certificate of origin. It isn't in Europe because it was sold out in Ukraine.. a portion of the remaining stock is being shipped back to the EU... From USA, because that is only place it was not sold out. Japan also sold out it's stock btw. Happy to answer all inquiries and challenges. Find our email on website
My bottle was delivered yesterday, thanks for the link to Artwine .
The US lifting all sanctions changes everything. It isolates the European Union. Basically the USA have bailed out Russia and Hungary defeated Ukraine.
Yup, Russia loses both a supplier and customer with Iran going offline
It's basically a second front in the war.
Good.
Everyone with 2 neurons firing knows that "critical components" for shahed drones for both Russia and Iran come from China. This vid is absolute top derangement. Same goes for the goddamn Ukraine, it is absolutely incapable to do anything on its own, Chinese components in everything. Oil flow can't be fixed with escorts, there was failure to do this even against Houthis, the flow resumed only after there was an agreement. No agreement with Iran, no oil flow. One needs to control the entire Iranian coast to secure transport.
@antonlevkovsky1667 You do realize that Iran was supplying more than just drones to Russia right?
@dngleberry Russia is way less dependent on Iran than Ukraine is on the US, it hurts Ukraine more than russia.
Paul, you keep the sanity of the internet intact (if it ever existed). With my praise said, I still want to say thank you for your work. Keep it up!
Thank you, Paul, for your excellent online presentation--as a real person, not AI. FYI, I am a speech teacher, and I have given a link to this video to my students to see a great demonstration of gestures, eye contact, clear content and a sincere, educated voice.
The hands are a bit sus. Imo
You stated that media is choosing to focus on Russia's perspective much more than the lessons from WW2,
Let's face it. Here's why you have this job :
1) Society fails to teach critical thinking adequately until (most) undergrad studies
2) Society inadequately teaches that history repeats and also what history tells us or how to take lessons out of the facts
You do well at both of these
Good points. Especially about critical thinking.
To boot, you have leftists teaching revisionist history and discouraging critical thinking in students
Society does not fail in teaching critical thinking. Humans so not like to do it and pushing women into universities ruined it to 100%
@keatomicyoure an idiot. Liberals are not revising history. They are teaching the true history because history was revised by governments. People were taught lies about wars and land grabs and now that liberals are teaching the truth you are upset because you were lied to and don't want to admit it.
@keatomic right, people like Trump or Putin (both right-extremists) are so good at understanding history and advocate so much for critical thinking. go consume your fox news slop.
As one poster commented, you are rational and logical, without turbulent reactions. Thank you for well thought analysis and systematic narrative.
I feel bad for being such a contrarian on this channel because Im a huge supporter of Ukraine. I think it pays to be aware that every single video Paul posts is a positive update about the Ukraine War regardless of what is happening.
It's good to be an optimist but there are ebs and flows of every war and I want to advocate for hearing a more balanced view of what is happening. Continued civil unrest in Iran and the possibility that sanctions wont be enforced for some time might favor Russia in the medium term. I hope Im wrong.
I would not agree. Like that Russia depends on components from Iran? Then proceeds to not name exactly which parts.
what a load of bs
@mattd6200 I hope so too. Because as time goes by, Ukraine are able to successfully strike more and more Russian oil production capabilities (& will certainly refuse to allow Russians in to fix that Druzhba pipeline). Even if the buyers of Putin’s oil would be willing to pay a higher price, or some countries become new customers willing to take the risk of getting caught buying sanctioned oil, Putin may not be able to produce the amounts required to earn a good profit.
I’m not just an optimist for the sake of being an optimist. I’m an optimist because the evidence backs it. And so far, everything I’ve said about the Ukraine War that has had enough time to come true has indeed come true. I hate patting myself on the back, but it’s quite a track record, and I mention it because I know a lot of people rely on what I say, and I take it quite seriously.
@hrhdmk5845 I honestly think that the Russian economy is in deep trouble long term, but it will take time. The more pressing concern is Ukrainian manpower. While Russia is losing more men, Ukraine might be losing more men per capita when accounting for casualties, AWOL and desertions. These numbers are hidden from the public but they are undoubtedly high. It is a troubling concern that Paul has ignored thus far for some reason.
Thank you, again. Brilliant analysis. Also very important to have someone talk in a peaceful, calm manner without shouting and screaming. Solid logic and rhetoric. Appreciated as ever.
You have been my voice of reason in this war
And one of the few RUclipsrs who doesn't think they have to add background "music" to make the video worth listening to. They are so wrong, just your voice is enough, Paul.
If this chump is the voice of reason...
100% no doom and glooming for views
Very sorry for you.
How so, bro even admits to being biased
I hope you’re right, Paul. I have friends in Ukraine, and the last several months have become increasingly difficult for them. They really need a break.
The winter was tough. The energy situation has improved
@ArtwineUSAThank God for that. ❤🇺🇦🙏🙏🙏
The simple truth is now the sun is on the side of Ukraine and less energy will be spent on heating through the very harsh cold and solar energy is viable source again
"Paul" thinks that Ukraine doesn't need Patriot. I have friends in Ukraine too - both fighters and civilians. He is full of sh!t.
@linecraftman3907 Could you even find Ukraine on a map? I doubt it.
Hi Paul! As a Ukrainian who regularly watches your videos on Ukraine and hardly comments on any videos, today I felt the need to finally do it. My native city in Ukraine is suffering under missiles' and shacheds' attacks nearly every day. My parents, other relatives, and many friends still live there and it is hard to read all the news about damages and lost lives. It's had to the point where I sometimes feel desperate. However, you're one of the few people who gives me hope. Lack of analysis in the news or straight propaganda make the picture look black and white. You, on the other hand, try to give a thorough analysis and show that there're still possibilities to survive. Thank you for supporting Ukraine and Ukrainian businesses as well! Lots of love to you and your family. Stay safe and healthy.
It's not a hope, more like a cope.
Every news - Russia is over, even when prices of oil going up.
Very good analysis, Paul.
We are many in Europe to support Ukraine's brave fight for independence. You show us the way. Slava Ukraini from the bottom of my heart (French here).
@Zolotou2604well I think the rest of the news really underplay the kind of craphole Russia is in right now. It can 100% lead to Russia finally agreeing to a reasonable peace agreement
Here in FRANCE we see many Ukrainian young people driving around in UA registered cars. Apparently they have decided to leave Ukraine until the civil war ends. We pray that day can not be far away. We must rely on President TRUMP to get this conflict sorted out by making some concessions on territory for Russian-Ukrainian separatists in DONBAS. However the leader of UKRAINE seems reluctant to do so at this stage even after 4 years of war. Pity.
Still from home? Get well soon and show us the beautiful nature! Anywhay, I am here for the good analyses. :D Greetings from Germany :)
Thank you for video❤ I'm Ukrainian. Each word, video that supports our fight does matter. Thank you!
Yes , it sure does , 👍
❤🇺🇦
Slava ZSU ,diakuemo za to shio zahishiaete vid orkiv tsivilizatsiyu.
@georgewashington3555 If you think Paul is anti-Ukraine, you've never watched any of his videos.
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 ! ❤ and prayers from Germany
I love your channel. Aside from presenting clearly well researched, salient analyses, you don't use any AI or cheesy production tactics, you just look at the camera and calmly and clearly speak. I also respect your plug in this video for the Ukrainian winery. Very well done.
Thanks for all your hard work, Paul
Don't foget to buy him a coffee with your shekels
Comic like and mangacribe
Yes, thank you for the lies to protect pedos.
Not a fan of vlad either.
@georgewashington3555 Do you have any links to back this claim? I looked and found none. If you can't put them here can you tell where you saw them please? Did you mean Ruthless Talent?
Once l understood value, I stopped working for money and started making money work for me 💬💰
The US just announced a temporary stop to the sanction on Russian Oil. I see this as a win for the russians.
The truth matters, Paul continue updating us!
He's not telling you the truth. The gas prices alone prove that. From 2.79 to 3.59
The gas prices in America are proof that Ukraine is fairing poorly in their war?
Explain yourself... if you can.
it's cope not truth - check oil prices
🇺🇦 🇺🇦 🔱✌️🔱 🇺🇦 🇺🇦 🖐😎
I value your analysis on this topic. Thank you and get better , we miss the natural background 👍
Striking iran is a masterful chess move. World wide implications. Started with Venezuela.
It is not only the interceptor drone. It's the software, the layering of defences , and the daily development -adaptation to swift changes that characterize drone warfare. UA updates daily, real-time. Russians too. And thats it. Even Russia is slower. Procurements , testing, tenders bureaucracy have been minimized in UA. This brings crazy flexible business approach that will be hard to match in the West, where 1 UA day takes 8-10months in the West. UA won't sell drones to Quatar, UAE or US, they will sell service contracts, full package. Send teams,, not hardware. More added value here.
Ua is corrupt
@vtecmissle Still a long way to go if they want to come even close to the Trump clan and the other government officials. Not to speak about russia.
Selling only the drones to anybody would not make much sense. Those things need trained and experienced pilots and there are only 2 nations today, that have them.
@vtecmissle Not corrupt enough to buy trump & sons.
Exactly. Also, today UA has shot down the first Shaheed drone-carrier of FPV drones for example. And there were already Shaheeds with anti-air missiles mounted on them. The development is crazy fast
Such a thoughtful commentary. I particularly loved the reminder that many nations endured constant bombardment during WW2 & had entire cities wiped out but didn’t buckle because of it. 17:18 That’s a potent historical example of the resilience the human spirit is capable of, which Ukraine role models so powerfully today. Another great reminder is that staying focused on long-term outcomes can help us weather even the worst short-term storms. Really a great, calm-inducing (😊) roundup. Thank you for all you do for a nation so many around the world have taken into their heart. Slava Ukraini🇺🇦
Thank You,
Cherished Truthteller Paul!!!
TRUTH WILL SET DEMOCRACY US FREE!!!
I've rarely seen a major event being interpreted in such different ways as the effect of the Iran war on Russia.
Ukraine has CARDS?🤣😂❤🇺🇦
I REALLY want to see Trump and Vance say thank you to Zelensky...
@bos1200 They'd better wear suits!
@TrainsDontHunt Better watch out, if you get cheeky they will jank your Starlink until you remember who is the pet and who is the master.
@metagen77i still have a modem!
_Just have to find someone with a land-line...._😊
@TrainsDontHunt Ask the russians how no Starlink works out
I totally agree with your analysis. Greetings form Poland.
Patriot missile is to expensive. This will force Ukraine to find a better and cheaper alternative sooner.
they don’t need to be fired all the time, they just have to hold onto and use enough to be a deterrent for russian fighter jets flying over Ukrainian cities
too*
@Bobba-s5k NASAMS can usually handle that task just fine. It's the Russian ballistic missiles that are the problem. Patriot is one of the very few air defence systems that can handle those and none of the other alternatives are available in anything near the quantities Ukraine needs.
EU and GB needs to develop interceptor missiles.
@michaelauest1532they can't develop anything.
They are going to talk all day and achieve nothing.
Did JD Vance say thank you to the Ukrainians?
Artwine home page -'20,000 bottles were exported to the United States'. Paul - 'Just before Bakhmut fell some extremely brave men smuggled out several hundred thousand bottles of Artwine' - So, how many bottles is it in this rare collection?
Iran had the misfortune to try to protect itself using Russian air defence - bad mistake.
It's a large country, you can't cover it at all. But they will adapt and find solutions.
and China
@munbruk lol
What else were they going to use? They already had Chinese and Russian tech. It failed against US tech and tactics. Its not misfortune, its fate.
@jeezopeez iran is missing air defense. You know they are ahead of the United States in terms of hypersonic. If they leave them alone they will fabricate better than F35.
I’m calling it now - the Iran war will directly, or indirectly lead to the end of the Russia and Ukraine war. You heard it here first
I think yes....
As Putin said to his army commanders in February 2022: “Many of you will die but it is a sacrifice that I am happy to make”
I hope you're right and US will drop their European proxy to protect their greatest ally in the middle east, thus ending the war in Ukraine
@communist754 In your dreams.
It's amazing.
Half say that war with Iran would be a failure for Russia, a loss of an ally, etc.
The other half says that the war is a huge win because of the long-term rise in oil prices, and also because instability in the Middle East and the subsequent rise in instability in other regions will ultimately make the war in Ukraine irrelevant for the US.
The USA plus partners has burned more Patriots in a week in Iran than Ukraine has in 4 years. (800 vs 600 for Ukraine)
Is that a fact? Interesting if so... But also Ukraine never really had that many to begin with
Trump's US has burned other things too. Like respect and goodwill. And all because he wants to escape jail as the kiddyfiddler he is
@ArtwineUSA Ukraine is getting those in small lots. A lot from EU countries because the US deliveries are bad.
The fact that Europe is selling them to Ukraine should be the big red flag. What is the markup, what is the other deal that is going on there. Europe is the one that wanted the US to do more and more. That we needed to do "something" do "anything" about Russia. Except anything meant anything but solve the issue.
@bernardvc5820I’m so sorry that your obsession makes you unable to assess things rationally. I hope you are healed some day, rather than spend your life thinking about your boyfriend 24/7.
My compliments for making geopolitics clearer. 😊
Dear Paul ! I thank you so much for bringing the information about war in Ukraine. And I really appreciate your support and effort to help Ukrainian businesses. Before 2014 I lived Donetsk, which is the same region as Bakhmut. I’ve been there, in that winery “Art.Wine”. Back in 2005 there used to do excursions to this place. It was a wonderful experience. In 2019, wines from Artwinery were entered in the London Wine Competition, where their sparkling wines ranked highly and entered the top-10 wines in the world in that competition category. Ans it hurts me on physical level that the winery is destroyed. Thanks again. 🙏
The Patriot missile systems significantly deter Russia from obtaining air superiority because they are very effective against aircraft and moderately effective against ballistic missile systems.
Russia doesn't have enough aircraft in theatre to have air superiority
@seeingeyegod Many have been shot down and they are smart enough not to get within range of the Patriot missile systems.
@KyleN-t4xdeterrence is a great way to blunt enemy capabilities without causing full damage to them.
@seeingeyegod Really ? How many are required ? Perhaps it depends on the type.
There are many systems that can shoot down comparatively large military jets, land-based systems like IRIS-T, air-to-air missiles and MANPADs. Patriots systems can cover a larger area but hopefully the Patriot radar system should still be able to detect these aircraft and direct other resources towards them.
Many of your ‘when’s’ should be ‘if’s’. Makes all the difference.
When this war ends, a nonnegotiable demand would be Iran gives a permanent lease of a defendable naval base at Hormoz. Thus no matter the new government, Iran will never be able to cut off oil commerce.
America has no land there to give them though? Oh, you think that Iran is losing?
I mean, it's not like they will be in a position to counter attack or anything, but I don't see them losing this. They will hold everyone at bay while they continue to kill their own people and it's way too unpopular to send a hundred thousand Americans there to get shot and blown up, so they just have to hold on until Trump gives up. Which looks like soon.
Thanks Paul, PHEW! Really excellent analysis again.
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Artwine may be the first time I've ever gotten emotional over an ad read!
It’s not only Ukraine that is getting notice on affordability and equipment that is made to counter a larger opponent. Sweden is getting a lot of interest in their fighter jet system, (also by Ukraine, who understands this better than everyone else), and their doctrine.
Sweden has also been a staunch supporter of Ukraine, and the collaboration is growing fast, with drone tech flowing to Sweden, and IFV and other vehicle tech flowing to Ukraine. Sweden also trains pilots and officers for Ukraine, and are ofc getting drone pilot training in return.
I see this war and immediately think the European countries could build up their own Shahed-like drone stockpile to put in storage for a rainy day. The industrial capacity is there to pump this out en masse.
Props for your last take on oil, pure professional take, which became true
Excellent comments Paul warbug so glory to Ukraine from New Zealand
Paul, we are heading into an asymmetric conflict where Iran guerilla can block the Hormuz strait with mines for an unlimited time. It would be more suitable to support emancipation from fossil fuels, to buy EVs and to use renewable energy than to lull us in saying that all be well after a few weeks or months. It won't.
Convincing arguments, good work !
Thanks!
Really appreciate your analysis and point of view. Greetings from the United Kingdom 🇬🇧✌🏼😊
Putin went into Ukraine pretending the intention was to demilitarise it and it's now a far stronger military on Russia's doorstep than it ever was before the invasion. Way to go, Vlad!
Not to mention now Finland and Sweden are in NATO drastically increasing the territory Russia has to man with defenses, etc to avoid being invaded since they seem to think a defensive alliance is intended for offensive use.
NATO was never going to attack Russia, we enjoyed doing business with them and everyone winning, but now? I mean I know the Polish, Baltic, and Finnish governments would rather do the invading then be the invaded watching the atrocities Russia is committing.
Yep! This is the EXACT paradox that happened after the Iran Iraq war. Iraq came out of that war in massive debt and exhausted, but with a military FIVE times the size, rated as the 4th most powerful military in the world, which emboldened him to invade Kuwait. Iran came out of that war the same - at the start, the Ayatollah was battling internal factions for control, but the was unified the Iranians around the Ayatollah, the exact opposite of Saddam's goal to bring down the Ayatollah.
@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket I can assure you that no one has mentioned the idea of attacking Russia in my country that's one of your mentioned ones
@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket On top of that, the war gave Trump what he needed to twist arms in Europe to massively increase NATO countries' military spending. France is going to increase its nuclear shield. Germany is looking to start producing nuclear power again. Countries are finding alternatives to Russian energy, and these structural changes are long term, if not permanent. Russia's customer base will be diminished, even after the war.
@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusketNone of those countries want to invade Russia they’re not the US, they know what is at stake you have highly educated people in Finland and Sweden only stupid people launch an invasion when they haven’t been attacked.
5:20 the missile debate also affects the sale of all American interceptors to Europe.
Diehl and MBDA are probably thrilled.
Finally, you provided an explanation I was seeking. I was puzzled by Ukraine's ready agreement to help counter the Iranian Shaheeds by sending help to that area. When I heard that announced, they did not report if Ukraine asked for anything specific in return, they only reported Zelenskyy's generic phrase that "we help those who help us". So one was left with the impression that maybe Ukraine was only making another demonstration of goodwill. I kept thinking that this was an opportunity for Zelenskyy to drive a harder bargain and get something valuable in exchange. I heard for the first time in this video that they actually asked for Patriot missiles. I hope it's true and that they get them.
Zero chance they get them as stock piled will be low for at least another year meaning we can't even give them to are allies in the middle let alone Ukraine
The US uses their allies like weapons systems laboratory. Israel, Ukraine.
Also, the US developed clones of the Iranian Shahed drones, known as the Low-Cost Uncrewed Combat Attack System (LUCAS), in addition to the anti-drone Merops system.
I'd prefer Russia end the war in Ukraine for an oil deal to the EU.
@robertblack6630 your father, DT already gave them patriot system.
Holy hell an indoor shot? I thought you just lived in the wilderness. Never seen you near a house before.
Scary moose outside
Why is Putin worried. He's rolling Oil $$$
Thanks for keeping us informed in a not sensationalistic way like media does...
Thank you, Paul - excellent analysis as always
💖💖💖💖💖
I really appreciate your perspective and delivery without becoming rabidly partisan. Well done.
Great video, as usual.
Thanks
Greetings from FRANCE
That straight being blocked doesn't mean the end of Russian economy problems; America lifting sancrions against Russia, however, DOES!
Explain to me again why America is lifting Russian sanctions?
I just cannot believe how much you like hearing yourself talk
Drones are different in another important aspect. Unlike traditional Soviet or American weapon systems launched from the rear, drones are a front line multiplier as well as a cheap defensive backstop. The multiplier is increased in part due to Ukraine’s expertise in the many ways to best leverage and adapt them to the battlefield. Rapid innovation. So, drone sales are best upsold with consulting expertise creating more value for the Buyer. This reinforces the partnership relationship.
Paul, your logic, knowledge and your ability to express it well is impressive! 👍👍
Straight of Hormuz is NOT CLOSED and OIL PROCES are already dropping 😮
Good to see, that someone understands the situation.
What situation that they treat their women the same as men in America treat their women Look on the internet how many men kill their wives and people encourage them to do that
@royhorologic1732and you do?
Nah, just a US mouthpiece.
@fabiankehrer3645i would add delusional to that description.
@stephenkevindoss1474 and flat out wrong now
There is a US company that is building drone interceptors similar to the ones the Ukrainians make. But due to cost of living differences, they will cost more. Also, the gulf states being hit by Iran will buy from Ukraine, since they are already being built in bulk. The US company will still need to ramp up. In the big scheme of things, most people rarely take time in account.
Good to know about that company, thanks for sharing that.
20,000 USD is like 26,434,000,000.00 Iranian rial
I say 20k USD because its how much the lowest cost of shaheed drones are
A huge problem is that succeeding generations forget what happened to their forebears, and stumble into the same old mistakes.
Thank you for sharing your perspective, some interesting and thought provoking ways of looking at this topic.
Where is Putin "looking nervous" ??
Anyone digesting these narratives will digest the revised coping narratives this bullshit pedler will come up with when this batch is obviated by actual outcomes.
It's like the pebble that bores into a rock a few yards out into the surf. The waves crash in, but only drives the pebble further into the rock it's stuck in. The more the waves come in, the further the pebble grinds a little hole in the rock for it to sit in. The pebble will never be washed to the shore.
@justinfleming5119Amen
@justinfleming5119Keep on coping that ruzzia is actually winning a war while they actually control much less territory than what they used to at the end of 22
Talking about coping LMAO
Excellent points once again, Paul 👍 cheers
"Because people like to focus on internal speculation rather than historical precedents."
Damn, Paul. This is a profound analytic statement about the value of critical thinking.
and when people try to prove a point, they completely ignore all the countervailing forces, or the adjustments. Iran is an expert in evading sanctions. We have no idea all the ways Iran has been helping to evade sanctions. A huge initiative in the US the past couple years is to produce drones while using US parts, and it's exceedingly difficult, especially because even American parts are dependant on Chinese supply chains.
@a@a2knyc Doesn’t matter if Iran can evade sanctions if their infrastructure is crippled and they can’t export anything by land or sea- which is the case right now as the U.S. has air superiority and naval superiority.
Historical precedent doesnt take into account technological advancements that can prolong the blockade. My money is on oil going materially up for months.
@Matt_Knot going to happen. World supply will stabilize . Will Russia and China have problems. Yes.
Not much chance USwill honour its agreement
Man I love you analyses and your passion about the art wine as well as the people of Bagmuth.
Keep up the good work!
This was interesting, suddenly it doesn't all feel so dark and dystophian, from Norway
One has to abandon facts, logic, economic and battlefield realities to arrive at these conclusions in the near, medium or longterm.
Sure Ivan, tell me again how your three day "Special military operation" is going? It is clear it is you and Putin who have abandoned reality.
I don't think a convoy will work, because they're in range from Iran's coast and its drones and missiles. That's why the US fleet stays 1,000 km away from Iran.
The drones and missles are gone.
@JamesTipton-z3n The rest of the world doesn't seem to share your view, because the ships aren't moving. Sailors died already because of strikes. But perhaps you could take the helm of a ship and sail through the strait of Hormuz and show everyone how safe it is. Would you be willing to do that? Would you entrust your life to the words of Trump?
I'd suggest that among the top things that the US could do, Iran would love them to start escorting tankers.
Oil went down to $77 a barrel today
yet gas prices in my country keep going up
@snekky3415 Markets fluctuate. Whining about gas prices when one of the worst, evil nations on earth is being overturned is insanely short sighted
@kman9884 when is the last time such a US lead regime change was actually beneficial, if at all succesful?
Not for long.
@Lttlemoi Just about ALL of them. But you won't believe me, you just want to suck on anti US cope.
Hasn't Dubai found that some of th the Shahid drones with Cyrillic writings?
Could it be russian shahed drones sent to Iran?
Could be Iran marking for Russia
Thats what i was thinking. One of those large aircraft that Russians were flying in leading up to the kick off.
Yes.
Those are Iranian drones originally planned for sale to russia
What irony. We can only hope that it turns out this way.
At 16:08, Paul makes a good point: that far too many talking heads and think tank theorists ignore history. I’ll add another brilliant insight from my experience in martial arts: _When someone hits you, your first impulse is to hit. Them. Back._
The fact that no one in America’s regime or its supporters considered this does not give me any faith in their ability to successfully conclude this war.
There is a difference between having a first impulse and being able to act upon it.
@Ivan-c8k I'd say the Hormuz situation shows that Iran can, in fact, act on that impulse. It's not an ideal response, from their perspective, but it's certainly causing America pain.
Excellent episode Paul. Slava Ukraini from Canada
Do you guys not know who he works with? He is part of Ruhless podcast, which has licencing deal with Fox news. He is basically fox news. who do not support ukraine.
WW2 is NOT a equivalent situation, that was British Merchant Marines, people doing military service as Crew and Officers aboard civilian ships to make shure their County survived. Secondly the closest equivalent you might have from WW2 is the Mediterranean Sea situation and no nation today have the number of ships needed to guard a convoy attacked from land much less armour that can take any sort of hit. Anyway the ships is a minimal concern when it is supremely easy to light oilfields and refineries on fire. Even just stopping production for a short while will most likely result in wells needing to be redrilled. And now that Trump is lifting the sanctions on Russia they will make money wich isn't good for Ukraine.
Lastly, production capacity takes years if not decades to build up and with Europe stopping their orders of american supply it isn't a growing market for a private company to invest in.
🇺🇦 Thanks Paul, excellent update. Fire Point has a missile in final test trials, that can be fired from S-300 launchers, which have already been interfaced into Patriot radar systems. 🇺🇦
I don't understand wh European firms have not come up with interceptors like (maybe more cost effective) patriots.
@michaelauest1532they're in breakaway groups for the final stages of considering a preliminary study on the feasibility of such an option, though! 😂
@michaelauest1532 we’re currently fielding the samp/t ng, which is equivalent to the patriot, and better missiles are in development. Just because you haven’t heard of it doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. You could inform yourself before posting something incorrectly.
One point that shouldn't be forgotten. US might be the top dog, but remember that Russia lost the naval war against a country with no navy. A couple drone well timed and the straight will be close, no matter how many bombs Americans drops on Iran. The straight is not the Pacific ocean, any ship will be a visual target with very limited time to react.
any shipping is threathened by drones. I think big millitary ships have a big vulnerability...
I think your analysis of Ukraine as an arms expert and exporter is really interesting and may very well be true. Fascinating stuff.
I was astonished today after you mentioned Бахмут, where I was born. Thank you Paul!
Все буде Україна
@ArtwineUSA 🥰
@ArtwineUSAназавжди!
Paul, I don't know if you heard, but it seems that Iran may be mining the strait. If this is true, it seems as though it would have longer term consequences as de-mining operations would have to occur before ships could move through safely.
Iran lost 16 mining ships. The problem hasn't been what Iran claims it will do. It's been that the risk isn't 0.
@vasheed were the mining boats taken out before or after they laid their mines?
@tapeo1 That is why I said the risk isn't 0. They were obviously targeted though which means the odds they were free to drop their mines is also near 0.
@vasheedYou can lay mines from almost any kind of boat or ship. Iran has hundreds if not more than a thousand small vessels.
What the ships said the us navy removed their 4 mine sweepers just before shooting started
😊thanks for telling me about ArtWine😊
Ukraine are not going to sit back and let russia sell their oil.
Russia being bankrupt and losing the drone supply, could sign a peace deal for a lucrative energy deal with Europe.
It call piracy. Russia can bites too! Didnt know why Odessa port funtional until now
The fact that Ukraine will have to work harder to stop russian oil, just proves that Russia will benefit from the US Iran war.
@Whinny40SW What a joke? Russia can buy drone parts from China, 90+% of the components needed to build a drone are from China. Ukraine itself is 97% dependent on China to sell the drone parts, same with Russia and Iran.
Ukraine is getting 35 Pat missiles from Germany this week. A decent amount.
Good for about 18 incoming missiles .
@kevincasey6876 Oh then forget sending them then. Suppose you can pay for more missile to be sent, 2 to 3 Bil for 35 of them.
@kevandyh I already paid for enough of them.
@kevincasey6876 Kevin all your tax contributions combined from your entire life doesn't cover one interceptor what do you mean YOU paid?
WE paid for those missiles, and those of us who are smart enough to understand resources are better used then kept in storage indefinitely appreciate the fact Ukraine has used the equipment they've been provided with incredible efficiency.
Every cent invested in Ukraine is a dollar saved in a future conflict.
@GeorgeWashingtonLaserMusket And every cent sent to Ukraine kills it’s people.
btw.: The strait was mined now by Iran. Doesn´t this change your assumptions about a soon opening? I wonder this developement isn´t mentioned in any comment
I hope you’re right. Why is there no navy escorting the tankers?
My assumption is it's not their most high priority mission right now. There's plenty of reserves to offset shortages.
The navy seems to think they can make a bigger difference for the time being by focusing their assets on taking Iran's offensive capabilities offline. Less offensive capabilities = less need for escorts.
If it becomes a longer term crisis, I'm sure we'll see naval escorts emerge.
@PaulJWarburg thank you for your reply. I’m sure you’re right in that convoys will start to appear. I just don’t see why they’re not in place sooner.
Primarily because there are no navy in those seas.
Too risky
They would be an easy target for Iran
What could possibly be more bad news than the market value of your leading export doubling?
the US. lifting of sanctions, which was just announced.
@stephenkevindoss1474 I fail to understand how that is bad news
The oil crisis could be more substantial than what you anticipate. There is a bunch of irrational leaders taking immediate decisions without understanding the underlying factors. It's almost impossible to argue rationally in such environment when one irrational decision is leading to the next. This is making the situation so unpredictable and dangerous.
16:00 about the russian supposedly diminishing stock of drones: since Feb 18 the Ukrainian military reported daily numbers of shot down russian UAVs in the range of 1500 (earlier it used to be around 1000). More recently, since Feb 20, that number climbed into the 1700s with occasional drops, and still more recently, in March, it climbed still higher, into the 2500s. So it does not look like their stocks are seriously impaired.
Production has only increased as they've cleared out crappy old models and have started streamlining production. The hothouse economic growth this war has provided Russia is so depressing.
They are still using drones produced before the Iran conflict. There is no way they can deliver the drones to front units in less than a week.
a better more sensible explanation is the UA numbers of every sector of this war are fantastic numbers of fantasy . propaganda that shocks me that more people cannot see through and will not understand nor be able to accept the Ukraine loss of this war.
@stephenkevindoss1474 Yeah right 😂😂😂 And it's also Ukrainian propaganda that made russia own less territory today than what they did at the end of 2022.
Mentioning the staggering amount of Ukrainian propaganda without mentioning the russian one is beyond ridiculous, doesn't hold serious scrutiny for 10 minutes.
@Géopodcalypse There is an old Russian saying from the time of the Tsars: "I don't believe in undisproven information". In Russia, it is still true. Everything is a lie over there.
The will to prevail is much stronger in Ukraine.
The most important part of the Patriot is actually the radar. Even with limited shots available, its ability to be used for target detection and discrimination should not be understated.
Good analysis, hope Ukraine can retake their land soon
Thank you for this Paul.
Sweet lies.
Oh boy......this guy really mastered the art of being redundant!!
💙💛💙💛💙
I don’t think Putin thinks that Ukrainians are going to give in because he is bombing their city. I think he just enjoys bombing Ukraine. 😅
He went from claiming to liberate them, to blowing them up.
Peak jealous girlfriend behavior.
As much as Trump loves bombing Iran.
Bombing cities ties up defensive capabilities meaning that ukraine cant use them where they want to. If you can force ukraine to protect lviv they cant use those assets to take back the occopied oblasts.
@Dorfs You can't take territory with AA weapons.
@MPX4500no but you can put AA weapons near where the fighting is happening to cover your troops rather than civs.
AA being tied up in the west means it cant be deployed elsewhere
Thank you! Very important and helpful information.
Really enjoy your videos, Thanks Paul
Senile idiot Putin will do what nobody has done before - totally destroy Russia.
Glory to Ukraine! 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
Glory to Heroes! 💪💪💪
He's giving them Pervitin and sending them off to soak Ukrainian ammunition.
Just vile
Hopefully Russia turns into some western puppet state
@snekky3415the West already did that. Look what happened.
did you ever google this guys name? works with Ruheless talent, which has deal with Fox news. who do not support ukraine.
@georgewashington3555 Stop spamming the same comment over and over. What a doofus.