Cyclone Ialy arriving in Tanzania and Kenya
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- Опубликовано: 26 сен 2024
- After defying forecasts for its whole life, Cyclone Ialy continues to drift northwestwards towards Kenya and has strengthened, peaking near hurricane strength a little earlier today. The storm will produce strong winds and heavy rain for the coast of northern Tanzania, Kenya, and southern Somalia in the next couple of days, with a landfall expected near Mombasa tomorrow. Ialy is by far the strongest storm seen in the area and the first since Cyclone Agathe in October 1976.
Elsewhere, an area of interest is getting better organised in the Bay of Bengal, and it's looking increasingly as though we are about to see the Northern Hemisphere finally rise. Assuming no storms form today, this will secure the northern hemisphere's latest first cyclone formation since 1927.
If the area of interest forms, the coast of Myanmar and Bangaldesh are likely to be hardest hit with strong winds and very high rainfall approaching 1000mm in some areas.
In the Western Pacific, chances are steadily increasing for another area of interest near Palau that we've been watching for over a week. The disturbance could affect the eastern islands of the Philippines before turning northeastwards, with projections that it could become a major typhoon later in the week.
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And ofc I forgot to add the percentage of formation.
Ewiniar: 87%
Remal: 92%
Maliksi: 4%
Alberto: 1%
Also estimated peak of these storms: Ewiniar 140 mph peak/927 mb Remal: 125 mph peak/938 mb
Peak of Ialy: 75 mph ‘probably’ /988 mb
Predictions of Ialy: Ialy makes landfall in Kenya and enters the equator while weakening over land. Peak before entering equator: 40/35 mph ‘its gonna be 35 mph probably’ /1001 mb.
What do you think of my predictions? Hope you like the predictions lol
Chances of Formation
Ewiniar- 65%
Remal- 50%
Maliksi- 0.5%
like if you agree
Maliksi? Why tho?
i dont agree bcoz there is a high chance that remal and ewiniar form make it higher i made a new one
@@Procyon2 yeah
i really thought ialy rapidly intensified to a category 2 or 3 before opening the video lol
due to weak coriolis forces, there can never be a system which has winds more that of cat 1 near equator
Wow Ialy!
1:29
definetly something to look at there...
Thank you update
ialy has an eye!!!!!!!!!!!!1
I feel like Ialy is like Alvaro, counted as a high-end TS and had an eye. I say both them were probably 75 mph at most
Imagine if Ialy somehow hit Tanzania like Hidaya (WOW THAT WOULD BE 2 TANZANIA TC)
Possibly storm ewiniar and remal
Ialy is now near Kenya and about to make landfall
Wpac 2❤❤
What is the latitude and longitude of Ialy?
Wpac🎉🎉🎉
Chances of formation:
Ewiniar = 74%
Remal = 53%
Maliksi = 44%
Aletta = 22%
Alberto - 16%
Jeremy = 5%
In the next, how much in time?
@@ZaynGaming780 Ewiniar and Jeremy have been upgraded by 1%, and Remal has been upgraded to 60%. Aletta has skipped almost all percentages and became a 30mph TD.
This is just my analysis. It’s okay if you have a different prediction.
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