Myanmar is currently at high risk. Right now a coalition of regional powers are on the verge of finally defeating the ruling junta. However, there's really no plan at the moment for what comes after the junta is gone and no indication that any one group would have the resources to seize power. Either they figure out a fair multi-ethnic democratic system or the country will splinter.
@@anti-mate407 a federal structure like India should help. A country as diverse as India from the north to South, east to west, managed to survive for 75 years and is still going strong. Just leave the regions alone and hope they all have a similar goal to develop and progress.
Yeah, the list of African countries at risk of fracturing is a long one. Somalia effectively already is fractured and Sudan is fighting a major civil war as we speak. Nigeria, Ethiopia, Cameroon, Mali, Niger, and DRC all have major internal divisions just to name a few.
Spain has something many others lack, it has been historically strong military power and its also a major cultural power. I guess Catalonian independence movement and the one in Basque country have been strongly represented in the media, I've known about them since I was a child. Similarly like Israel and N. Ireland ...
2:19 as a Libyan and a Federalist I can tell you that if Libya will be split it in the future it will split in two not in three because the region of fezzan are very lean and similar to Tripolitania, and it's not just about the modern conflicts but there's a long history that divide the two regions, specially people here in Cyrenaica believe that they used to have Independence and they will seek to gain it again, not all Cyrenaicans but a big fraction of them
If the people are ethnically same arab, and same regional identity too as North African arab or Libyan identity, then why is there a seperatism? So is it a non-ethic political civil war?
@@MaskedSandman it's just history politics and economic and cultural aspects, if we go with your arguments then Austria and Germany should be unified Romania and Moldova should be unified, but that's not the case because there is difference history and a different culture, people in Cyrenaica believe that they used to have their independence and they want to gain it back
Most of the countries in Africa. The borders were all drawn up without any consideration for the people who live in the land, often putting peoples that hate each other in the same country.
Would love to see him do a video on redrawing the African Borders to help improve the situation and to improve safety and bringing a more stable peace.
@@tannerwilson4843 Redrawing borders into larger units like the East African Federation will shift political focus away from small ethnic entities in the current individual countries and focus on the larger state. Though we all know balkanization favors local political elites interests than the people so its a more likely outcome.
Thats a nice way of putting it. Or you could just say there are a lot of corrupt governments that don't share or represent their people fairly. Heh, that too
If that happened you would increase the number of countries by 3 or 4 fold and those ethnic groups overlap each other. The amount of war and level of savagery would even appall the balkans.
Same idea for those that want a "one" "state" "solution" for Israel-Palestine. Look at all those glorious one-state solutions in action in Africa! No. It will be a two-state solution.
@@Fisharecool69420 the big Answer is NO and most Pakistanis don't support this because it will also led to instability in whole region, poverty some extremist exist but now they're not getting support from people it was a past thing when a lot of people wanted independence because of Race
Copy pasting my reply... "You don't even know how to say the name of regions in Pakistan bro!😂 You think you are passing real knowledge? And ur line of "for whatever reason". This must be an Indian making this through AI who spread this shit everyday last 75years. For this argument, even USA wanted to have 2 parts in civil war... stfu mate. And u didn't even mention India with 7 regions with independence movements so you are biased like shit is shit."
Reason to Baluchistan : On the Independence of India and Pakistan all states and regions had the option of joining the 2 nations or stay independent. Baluchistan couldn't join India due to geographic issues so chose independence. But despite promises from Pakistan it was annexed by them within an year of independence. Hence the 70+ year long issue
Balochistan was forcefully annexed on gunpoint at Khan of Kalat's palace, from 11 August 47" to 27 March 48" they were independent with their independent flag and embassy in Karachi, it was all peaceful and insrument of accession not signed yet. But poor paxtani army arrived at his palace and he signed without his will and also without prior consultations from baloch tribal sardaars. Thats why there were 5 insurgencies took place since 1947 till 2023. And its on boil again paxtan continue to loose more soldiers and FC's than ever.
Balochistan was partitioned into four princely states: Kalat, Kharan, Las Bela, and Makaran. Out of this 4, all 3 wanted to join with the union republic of India except only 1 which was Las Bela princely state. But these 3 and other the commissioned area of Balochistan ( excluding the pashtun balochistan part commissioned British region ) wanted to join India
@@marlondavis1230 due to internal 'enemies'. An interesting fact in march 1948', leaders like Ghausbaksh besenjo and Khair baksh marri, went to Delhi with few delegates. They Had planned a secret meeting with Nehru and Abdul Kalam Azad, but ironically when Nehru and Azad understood a Baloch delegation coming here, Nehru turn down their offer and said "Balochistan is too far and had no prior cultural linkages with India", meanwhile Azad said language will become a barrier as few or no speaker understand Balochi here in India. Sadly, both leader went empty handed and no meeting took place. Sources from PTI leaked this news and in days reached capital Karachi's office. The next morning Jinnah sent a paxtan army and 'invaded' Balochistan.
07:41 You have overlooked Chechnya, which is around 96% Chechen and has fought a war in independence in the past. All it would take is for Russia to lose in Ukraine for Kadyrov to seize on Russia's hour of weakness to try for independence again. After that it could embolden other republics where Russians are not the majority to follow suit, such as Dagestan and Kalmykia.
I suspect that if there is a negotiated settlement at the end of their war with Ukraine, Russia will be required to withdraw from some of the places that they have taken over recently (like Crimea, South Ossetia, Transnistria, Kaliningrad). Not sure if that qualifies as Balkanization, depends on how you define the term.
@@rzeczpospolita508not even Germans asked for returning Kaliningrad. But would be interesting to make Kaliningrad some special territory of Russia like Portoriko is to USA
@@leoprg5330 For what reason should Kaliningrad change its status at all? Spaniards and non-US citizens live in Puerto Rico, and ethnic Russians with full citizenship live in Kaliningrad. There is no reason to change the status of this region, except for the wishes of nations offended by Russia. You might as well push for Gibraltar to become Spanish. Spoiler alert - the people of Gibraltar are against it. Why should it be different in Kaliningrad?
It’s possible, tho I could just as easily see a situation where, were Russia to ‘Balkanize’, Ossetia would prefer to join South Ossetia and unify with Georgia rather than become an independent nation, given it would provide economic benefits. If could go either way. The reality is these so-called independence movements are being driven almost wholly by Moscow as a way to undermine and put pressure on Georgia to not get closer to the West and/or join NATO nor the EU.
@@rebeccawinter472 You have some kind of logic problem. Why should North Ossetia with a population of 700k join a country with a population of 250k? Why would Ossetians suddenly join Georgians? Ossetians have not forgotten how Georgians killed them. I am partly Ossetian, and the statement that Ossetians want to return to Georgia is very idiotic.
@@rzeczpospolita508 given your first hand experience I definitely defer to you. But if you take Russia out of the picture completely (if one can imagine that), then Georgia likely quickly joins the EU - and with if there are economic benefits that would come with that. People often (but always) make decisions based on economics - so that was my thinking. But yes, given the history - that likely would negate the likelihood of it happening. Thanks, and didn’t mean to cause offence.
From the time of its inception 80 years ago, Indonesia has always been predicted by everyone to break up at one point, to balkanize even long before Balkan balkanized. I mean everyone.. Academics, diplomats, foreign journos, it's neighbours, the west, the east, the communist, the liberals, even my Australian childhood penpal wrote to me about this potential. Its somewhat comforting that it doesn't even featured in this video. That tells me that at least we can manage our mind boggling diversity quite successfully up to this point. The improbable nation carries on.
There's NO WAY Russia or China are going to break up because they still have strong central powers and a militairy who would interfere immidiately, if one region even thinks about indipendece. Just remember Tibet and Grosny...
Do you have any video talking about those different ethnic groups in Russia ? If u do have not that's an video I'd like to see in the future, how they make the union what bound they together and what are those groups ethnic and culturally. Thank you my friend I love your videos
My opinion from increasing chance to least likely but still possible: Somalia, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea, Afghanistan, Libya, Sudan, Yemen, Iran, DRC, Mali, Iraq, UK, Russia, Uzbekistan, Nigeria, Pakistan, Lebanon, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Indonesia, Turkey, China, Spain.
Reording and categorizing your list to make more sense Done Deal (almost split already): Somalia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Yemen Chance: Myanmar, Libya, Belgium, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, UK, Sudan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Uzbekistan, DRC No Chance (very unrealistic): Iran, Turkey, China, Indonesia, Lebanon, Russia, Spain
@@zararianrock Now on second thought upon considering your order:- Myanmar is basically a done deal, the new states already functioning like countries and some even have talks with India, China and Thailand. PNG is also a done deal with a contract on when Bougainville at the very least separates. I would move Russia up to chance, because as much as I hate to admit it, the Russia Ukraine war has reduced Russia into a Chinese economic vassal state. Afghanistan I think is highly likely, because the North of the country is facing huge ISIS problem and relationship with Tajiks and Iran. Agree with Bosnia going up. I would add Moldova, Georgia also into the done deal.
@@xijinpig8982why Indonesia? I live here and these people are all crazy nationalistic. Except in Maluku and Papua, but those parts are colonized by Indonesia. Every resistance is faced with military force
@@Tr786hala I put Indonesia very low on the list because I know its near impossible. I guess why I put it is due to owning regions like West Papua, and Timor Leste had gained independence previously due to western involvement. Historically Indonesia as we see today had never been united like this. Nevertheless I put it very low, near impossible.
@@xijinpig8982Yes its true western involvement contributed to it. But Timor gained independence mainly because of Asian 1997 financial crises which led to Indonesia instability period until 2004 where Aceh and Timor rebelled with many unrest accros the nation, we were labelled as failed state at that time, a pariah nation, predicted to be balkanized yet we endured.
I adore your videos. I have been obsessed with the study of countries since I was given an atlas when I was 6 years old. Can we come up with a word for the study of countries, nation states etc. Patriology? Matriology? Geography isn't specific enough. Khorology? I'm using ancient terms for the word country plus study of.
I think it's a misconception that a nation-state needs to be per definition mono-ethnic, mono-religious or uni-ligual. If that was the case, Countries like Switzerland, Hungary, etc also needed to be in this list. As long as there aren't any human right violations or persecutions when someone wants to express their culture within a country, there shouldn't be any reason to split off. In the case of Belgium (as A Belgian), it's just a state structure issue that is self-inflicted due to too many compromises in the past. It made room for setting up a self-fulfilling prophecy so that regional politicians can get more power by giving other the blame in stead of actually doing something (which is an issue on all sides of the country). But the existence of Belgium as a union makes historically a lot of sense. Even before Burgundian times. Saying that both parts of the country have nothing doesn't know history very well. (or was tough a very narrowed down version of it)
Given the Middle Eastern factor Iran is the biggest candidate for a balkanization, it might become the 2nd Yugoslavia with Azerbaijanis, Balochs, Kurds, and Ahwaz Arabs getting independence from the Persian majority
Countries that will not fail are those that have a fair share of distance between EU,US and them.And a massive military.So,China,North Korea,Iran,Russia out of the question.
Iran Is Not Federal State Iran Is United All ethnic groups have migrated in Iran, for example, many Kurds have migrated to the regions of Azerbaijan, many Persians are in Ahvaz, almost half of Baluchis in Iran are in Golestan province on the shores of the Caspian. Such a thing will not happen in Iran, and the majority of Iranians are neither racist nor religious. In Turkey, Iraq, Syria and even Lebanon, where there is a lot of racism and extreme religion, such things seem more realistic
On the contrary, India would welcome those countries because there are already have multigenerational Sindis and Pashtun (Pathan) ethnicities living in India. PLUS, It would have open land routes to Afghanistan and Iran and cornering its archnemisis Pakistan in the process.
So you reckon India will welcome Sindh and Punjab despite the religious difference on account that these peoples already have large presence in India? What would the demarcation of the border be then, the mountains west of the Indus?
@@siddharthatalukdar4227 As you say, I have little to no knowledge about that region. Although I doubt that ALL Sindhi and Panjabi are radicals, there are quite a lot of them.
@@orthodox-mp6hv The power in Sindh is controlled by landlords, so if Sindh becomes independent it will be again be too feudal and anti-India unless there is a mature democratic government
You have no clue about Spain. Cantabria, Asturias, Aragon, and Andalucia are NOT separatist regions. They are fiercely Spanish. Also in Galicia the independence movement is a very small percentage. You are Portuguese, right? You always have bias against Spain every time you mention it. Research your information better please.
Well, As a Pakistani I can say that if Pakistan had to break then it would've happened long ago almost sometime after the Birth of Pakistan. But there were many other times too after that when Pakistan was at a risk of breaking specially in the conditions when Balochistan was highly undeveloped or when the Talibani attacks began to raise in Western Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, specifically Waziristan, and then there was possibility in the recent economic crisis, but as we know, nothing happened at all
the "Ch" is Balochistan is pronounced as you pronounce Chair. In Asia, and specifically in the Indian subcontinent, all "Ch"s are pronounced as I mentioned. Please note this. It is respectful that way.
French v. British Canada? Would Belgium balkanize into separate countries or would Wallonia join France and Flanders join the Netherlands (with that small bit going to Germany)?
Quebec has tried twice to leave, but aren’t getting anywhere with it. New Brunswick, the only other province with a significant French-speaking population, has never expressed interest in leaving. Even if Quebec did leave, it wouldn’t be balkanization, because only one new country would form
🖕🤡💩 ETHIOPIA has 3000 years of history ,civilization , existence ,it was never conolised Balkans doesn't have history , conolised by ottomans , Yugoslavia was crated after 2 world war🤯🤯🤯
Suppose we could add the United states as a potential country that could balkanize. We already have some "states" acting counter to the federal government as opposed to in tandem like they're supposed to. Though it seems like its going the way Rome did, infrastructure gradually decaying as the centralized governments power wanes. Everything has a size at which it's no longer possible to maintain and must fall apart after all.
The UKs nuclear submarine fleet is based in scotland, as is a lot of our early detection systems, Scotland might leave the UK, but the UK wont be leaving Scotland.
Is this something to do with a certain football tournament in Germany where a certain country has threatened to pull out because a certain country changed things about them?
Another country which could split up is Vietnam. Basically the North, the Old Tonkin Kingdom is in control and that created a lot of resentment in the Centre and South
The examples he chose all seem to be based on pre-existing ethnic divisions or national identities. Any balkanization of the U.S. would be based more on emerging political divisions, and then only after a long and bloody conflict where opposing ideologies vie for dominance over the whole country, but fail to achieve it once the fighting settles into a protracted stalemate. As polarized as the country is at the moment, I think the majority of people still want to avoid that outcome.
@@d.b.4671That is not how I see it. I feel the US is weak and overextended and that losing a war to China along with an economic collapse would result in the country breaking up like Russia did after it's collapse. America would be the core country but the "United States" concept would break apart.
no i don't believe Pakistan could not be break up as punjab and sindh are more developed and integrated parts in terms of economy and military same can be say for KPK as it is more close Islamabad and big politicians and military generals due to this KPK is also very developed but FATA and Baluchistan were neglected and all attacks are only these two places
Countries in general are much less likely to break up than they used to be as the most powerful international organizations prefer sheer status quo over any liberation or unification movements, Whatever the world's borders are at present most organizations are trying to prevent them from changing as much as possible to reduce overall chaos and unpredictability Even when perhaps a natural collapse should be permitted for a reorganization This isn't to say it never happens at all in fact borders do change all the time but there active resources and groups trying to prevent it especially on larger scales. If smaller wars get support and backing it is in the name of preventing larger wars
I would include the US, Canada, and Mexico. Mexico is already a medieval-esque country with different interests running certain parts of it like fiefdoms. And eventually they moght split off. And as for the US, the differences between say, West Texas and Seattle are so vast they might as well be foreign countries.
It's very surprising (and sweet) that my country Indonesia won't get Balkanized (atleast in the near future). A country that's as big as the US and Continental Europe with 280 Million people mostly Muslims. Not only that, the 5 big islands are separated by the ocean and each of them contains their own cultures and languages. We're talking about a country that's like combining every single European country into one and didn't dissolve like Yugoslavia did. The fact that back in 1998, the Western world was preparing for us to get Balkanized after massive instability and protest but we never did, in fact we're getting stronger and stronger each year and managed to be in the G20 and a regional power that will become a major player in Asia and the world soon. Indonesia is not perfect but we strive to become one, Go Indonesia 🇮🇩
That was the one good thing the British Empire did for India, they united it into a single, powerful country. They wanted a self standing entity big enough to serve as a counterbalance to Russia and China in Asia. Or so the story goes. If it breaks back up into little pieces they will just be gobbled up by its neighbors. Which would have happened by now anyway.
There is no way pakistan splits. Idk why people are so worried about it. Its just some small no of extremists. Those areas are too poor and dependent on Punjab to leave lol.
It's pretty stable compared to Myanmar and Philippines. The separatists other than Papuans are relatively dormant, with local leaders sucking trillions of Rupiahs from the central government without proper accountability to keep them satisfied for the time being. Just ask Aceh
@@General.Knowledge your linguistic map of china is very wrong. it overemphasis minority elements in an area and colours largely deserted no man's land as having a language eg the taklamakan, gobi, hoh xil and western Tibet etc inner Mongolia is majority han, most of the southern provinces are majority han, Xinjiang is almost 50% Han. but the map erroneously over emphasized minority areas, so for example if a region has 50% han and 35% uighur, 15% mongol, the map Colours the area as Uighur and colours it as mongol if the mongols had the 35% in that sinerio. wrong map? wrong interpretation.
I think you are not right about Russia. The most southern regions of Russia, the northen Caucasus, has a really little Russian population and there was strong independence movements in recent times in Dagestan and especially Chechmia, which was in fact independent from the collaps of USSR to 1999.
Independent movement in Northern Ireland is pretty small? I'm not sure anyone wants Northern Ireland to become independent. But almost half of the population want NI to reunite with the Republic of Ireland - including a majority of MPs and a majority of MLAs. So I would call that a pretty enormous movement.
Democratic Framework 1. Robust Democratic Institutions: Regular Elections: India has held regular, free, and fair elections since independence, fostering a sense of participation and legitimacy among its citizens. Independent Judiciary: The judiciary acts as a check on executive power, ensuring the rule of law. Free Press: A vibrant and diverse media landscape helps in holding the government accountable and keeps the public informed. 2. Federal Structure: Decentralization: The Constitution provides significant autonomy to states, allowing them to address local issues effectively. Power Sharing: Central and state governments share power, which helps in accommodating regional diversities and aspirations. Economic Reforms and Development 1. Economic Liberalization: 1991 Reforms: Economic liberalization policies initiated in 1991 opened up the economy, spurring growth and reducing poverty. Sectoral Growth: Information Technology, services, and manufacturing sectors have seen significant growth, diversifying the economic base. 2. Social Welfare Programs: MGNREGA: The Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act provides employment opportunities and social security to rural populations. Direct Benefit Transfer: Implementation of DBT schemes has reduced leakages and improved the efficiency of welfare programs. Cultural and Social Cohesion 1. Cultural Syncretism: Shared Heritage: India’s long history of cultural assimilation promotes unity in diversity. Festivals, traditions, and cultural practices are often shared across communities. National Identity: Despite regional diversities, a strong sense of Indian identity is promoted through education, media, and state institutions. 2. Civil Society and NGOs: Active Engagement: Civil society organizations play a crucial role in addressing social issues, advocating for human rights, and ensuring accountability. Community Initiatives: Numerous grassroots initiatives work towards social development, bridging gaps between different communities. Strategic Defense and Security Policies 1. Defense Capabilities: Modernization: Continuous modernization of the military ensures readiness to address external threats. Counter-terrorism: Robust counter-terrorism strategies have been implemented to combat insurgencies and terrorist activities. 2. Internal Security: Intelligence Networks: Effective intelligence gathering and coordination between agencies have been pivotal in maintaining internal security. Community Policing: Programs aimed at building trust between police and communities help in maintaining law and order. Technological and Infrastructural Advancements 1. Digital Revolution: Digital India Initiative: This initiative aims to enhance digital infrastructure, promote digital literacy, and ensure digital delivery of services. Aadhar System: The unique identification system has streamlined access to government services and subsidies. 2. Infrastructure Development: Transportation: Significant investments in road, rail, and air connectivity have improved accessibility and economic integration. Urban Development: Smart city projects and urban renewal missions aim to enhance the livability of cities. Social and Educational Initiatives 1. Educational Reforms: Right to Education: The Right to Education Act mandates free and compulsory education for children up to 14 years of age. Higher Education: Expansion of higher education institutions has increased access to quality education. 2. Health Initiatives: Ayushman Bharat: This health insurance scheme aims to provide affordable healthcare to the poor and vulnerable. Public Health Campaigns: Initiatives like Swachh Bharat (Clean India) campaign promote public health and hygiene. International Relations and Diplomacy 1. Strategic Alliances: Global Partnerships: India has developed strategic partnerships with major global powers, enhancing its economic and security prospects. Regional Cooperation: Active participation in regional organizations like SAARC and ASEAN fosters regional stability and cooperation. 2. Diaspora Influence: Remittances: The Indian diaspora contributes significantly to the economy through remittances. Soft Power: Cultural diplomacy and the global influence of the Indian diaspora strengthen India’s international standing. Challenges and Future Outlook 1. Persistent Issues: Economic Disparities: Addressing income inequality and ensuring inclusive growth remain critical challenges. Corruption: Continued efforts are needed to combat corruption and improve governance. Environmental Sustainability: Balancing development with environmental conservation is essential for sustainable growth. 2. Opportunities: Youth Demographics: Harnessing the potential of a young population through education and employment opportunities can drive future growth. Technological Innovation: Emphasizing innovation and digital transformation can propel India towards becoming a knowledge-based economy. Conclusion India’s ability to maintain its unity and stability despite its complexities can be attributed to its robust democratic institutions, economic reforms, social cohesion, strategic defense policies, technological advancements, and effective international relations. While challenges persist, the country's adaptive strategies and resilience continue to drive its progress. The Indian experience underscores the importance of inclusive governance, cultural integration, and strategic foresight in sustaining a diverse and dynamic nation.
India recognizes her diversity and states are free to pursue her policies. More diversity is in North-East where laws are different to accommodate local cultures. For example, Sangma MLA seat in Sikkim is reserved for Buddhist monks
@@siddharthatalukdar4227 Lol, Indian states have significantly less power compared to other federal countries like the USA, Canada etc. This is why India is often called a Quasi (Semi) Federal country. This system grants more power and control to the central government. For example, in other federal countries, states have more control over taxation, but in India, it is the opposite-the central government has more control. The main reason separatist movements have never been very successful in India is economics; most states were dependent on funds from the central government, and India as a whole was poor. This is expected to change in the coming decades, and India might face potential fragmentation by the end of the century due to demographic changes. For instance, South Indian states will see a significant decrease in population, while Uttar Pradesh's population is projected to surpass 400 million (more than the current population of the USA, the third most populated country in the world) by 2050. Additionally, with the rise in literacy, people tend to become less religious and more aware of their linguistic and cultural identities, which could further fuel separatist sentiments.
@albertjoseph4604 No, states were always proud of their regional identity. Eg a Marathi guy would say Jai Maharashtra but also is proud of being Indian. India was weakest in 1950s and late 1980s but no breakup happened when India is going to be much stronger
For northern Ireland i have heard that because of the rise in the RC pop that it could become part of Ireland in the 2050's -But if that isso?- whyso long?, Also how would it happan?-would a vote be done by the people of Northern Ireland to leave the UK?-Would the Goernments of the UK&Ireland have a say or role?-what would happan if northern Ireland was over 50% RC and still voted to remain in the UK?
The last part of your question is where the big conundrum is because even if the Catholic population became greater people don't actually realise that a sizeable minority of the Catholic population also want to remain part of the UK and would vote as such in a referendum. Many tend to forget that the whole of Ireland had previously been part of the UK for several centuries, a lot longer than it has ever been an independent unified sovereign country in any form. The British and Irish would both respect the result of any referendum. If it did become a unified nation, it wouldn't solve the issues there, it would simply pass the massive security costs associated with that to the ROI and EU instead. I think the only time the UK would ever get involved is if the unionist population was being attacked by IRA terrorists as was the case during the troubles. I suspect we will likely see a referendum in the next 15 years however the result will not go the way many expect.
Under the Good Friday Agreement, the UK government is obliged to call a referendum if it looks likely a majority want to unify with the rest of the Ireland. But deciding exactly what conditions trigger that is left up to the UK government. Some people would argue if Catholics became a majority that should count. But the government would probably point towards polls showing that many Catholic don't necessarily want to join Ireland and say that it's not time for a referendum yet. If they went ahead and had a referendum anyway, and they voted to remain in the UK, then they would remain in the UK. I'm sure nationalists would then keep arguing there should be another referendum. Ireland would probably also have a referendum on unification. Both would have to pass for it to happen. It seems unlikely Ireland would vote against it, but there's a chance they would reject it if the cost of supporting Northern Ireland was too high.
India, Indonesia, Philippines, Myanmar and Ethiopia are good examples especially Ethiopia since the administrative division are on ethnic lines and India too but with language groups example Tamil, Telugu and malayalam speakers
As a Tamil speaker there is no independence movement among Tamil, Telegu and Malayalam speakers. HUGE majority of us considers ourselves Indian and take pride in it.
It would have made a lot more sense if at partition the British had also created a nation for the Sikhs to live in, a Sikh Kingdom, and put it as a buffer zone between Hindustan and Pakistan.
That's the thing. Earlier and now also Sikhism, budhdhism, janism and many more are considered hindu only during border divide. So it was not possible.
@@Happy_Himalayan_Hillall of them are not considered hindu, the border divide was not between hindu & muslim it was between muslim and non muslim as jinnah requested
@@Abhisheksharma-ez6vfwrong. The muslim wanted muslim state. The devision was done between hindu and muslim in mind. The result maybe muslim and non muslim devision. Also if it were to be muslim and non muslim the Chittagong part were to be given to india then as it as indigenous religious majority back then. Also then there will not be a dispute for Andaman and nicobar as it was clearly non muslim (also non hindu)
If this video was made in 1970s and 1980s then yes,but now separatist movement have mostly died out.there are some in north eastern India but they too have also almost waned due to high presence of army and paramilitary. Kashmir is also more stable now due to abrogation of article 370 in 2019
East and West Yemen seems better than North and South Yemen. UK seems the most realistic. Maybe Spain too. China somehow seems the least realistic but interesting to speculate
To be honest, I am from the UK. Northern Ireland is the most likely to leave. Scotland especially in its current position probably won't as they'd be extremely poor and still heavily reliant on England to survive while not being allowed to join the EU. Me being Welsh however can tell you that Wales will probably never leave. Wales is actually a net loss to the UK as all the money the government puts into Wales is less than its output. Wales cannot survive on its own at all. The independence movements will probably never surface except in Northern Ireland and will gradually subside. I mean the SNP is down the gutter now so it'll hold independence back for a long time.
@@thesuperintendent4290 That is kinda true but judging from polling, the fall of the SNP has had pretty much 0 impact on how many Scots want independence. It is still essentially 50/50 for and against +/-a few points.
@@AVV_Beats Yes and Kurds have huge demographic growth while Turks are falling strongly especially in Istanbul and Ankara, which is normal. I predict that Kurds will follow suit in time, but now they've been for decade or two according to Turks 15 % and to Kurds 20-25 % of population while having 3-5 Kids per woman and Turks bellow 2. They are probably even higher in terms of percentage.
@@MeUltraNoobsDeath India has different peoples living in different provinces/states with different religion, that can turn into wanting independence fast, Germany has 16 states some of them have independence movements, and Germans are dropping in numbers in Germany, foreigners are rising in terms of %, Italy has strong north south divide and they had several independent countries prior to unification, some of them might decide to say good bye.
@@OneShadow7 India turning independent is really unlikely well maybe the muslim population is probably gonna break out but I never heard any german people want independence
When it comes to the UK there is three more independence movements within England proper there is Cornwall which is an ethnically Celtic nation then there is Yorkshire another very independent group who is also ethnically Scandinavian and then there was a movement that caused because of the covid pandemic and people seeing the differences when it comes to Northern as being treated differently which led to the Independence for Northumbria which is called the NIP party
@@abdullahnasir2882 not iran but Islamic republic. Not only baloch but Kurds lurs too ..... and now Iranian are against Islamic republic so when they overthrow Islamic republic baloch can join iran as it's our homeland..... Don't take my username seriously I'm baloch myself ... Mann wat balochiya agaan tou habbar zaneh tou mana Samjhe 😅
@@abdullahnasir2882 and if you kick out those afgan refugees in balochistan we will be 70% in balochistan as 30% will be sindhi pashtoo hazara .... plus alot of baloch are living in sindh and panjab
south africa ? not in my lifetime . worst cause scenario is a push for federalism but those dont even have the power to do so because they would need a 2 thirds majority to be able to pull that offer and guess what, none of the parties and the voting numbers to pull that off , for example the ff+(a white lead party) only has 1.5% of the vote no where near enough for a balkanization
Fr? Tell me which separatist group other than naxal and islamist in kashmir is causing india trouble? Even these two are now under control to an extent.
I doubt some of these countries would break apart unless internal civil war causes it to break apart. I can really only see the United Kingdom going the diplomatic route whereas Spain, China, Pakistan, and Russia would suppress any independence movements.
as Russian, there are not enough ethnicities no break this country into as many pieces as you want to. Unless you again invent some ethnicity like "Uraliks" or "Siberians" like you did with SouthWest Rus.
@@ccatarinajm7114 Nope. They had a referendum for Independence already. I believe it was in 1980. The people of Quebec voted no and said they wished to remain a part of Canada. Ironically the rest of Canada also got to vote in the referendum and they said they wanted to get rid of Quebec and let them have independence! However, that part of the vote was not binding.
@@johnmknox This is incorrect information. The latest referendum was held in 1995, where only residents of quebec got to vote. Quebec voted to remain as a province of canada by 50.6% of the vote
@@ccatarinajm7114They have gotten 2 referendums already. That is enough. The people has spoken, no need to have another one - just a waste of money and undemocratic to not accept the will of the people in the last referendum.
Bro is from India that's why he forgets India but mentiioned China, Pakistan also forgets Iran and others. In India (Khalistan,Kashmir,Nagaland, Manipur) whole north east want independence, In iran most of the part of the country wants independence.
Wtf you smoking? All these you mentioned is not active at all. Nagaland, Manipur ? Where did you got the information? Can you give one major independence movement in India which happened recently?
I never heard about Nagaland, manipur independence in india😂 Neither I’ve seen any voice for independence in Punjab. Only seen them in Canada😂 bcz of the obvious fact that khalistan has become a full time business for people. So Kashmir issue already solved with 370 abrogation. Remaining is the occupied part of Kashmir, military will do the job there too soon.😂 We’re sorted✌🏼😂🔥
@@Arunh9-pw7lp seems like daydream has become ur indeliable part of ur life..which not only made u blind but also superficial illeterate..... I think this must be side effect of Cowdung
Weirdly, the Netherlands. Frisia wants to go it alone, the "Bible Belt" (Drenthe, Gelderland) hates the western provinces, the Southern (Roman Catholic) provinces might like to go it alone or join Flanders, and Zeelanders just. Want. To. Be. Left. Alone.
@@arpansaxena137 I remember in 2018 there was craze in indian subreddits that modi will take Kashmir by 2022 but that time expired now i see subreddits claiming it by 2025 cause of corona🤣 you're not so different are u
@@titanvlogger7221 I also remember Pakistani minister was saying we will supply electricity to India and with cpec your economy will boom but then you guys hit the reality. Heading to a failed state.
@@arpansaxena137 Which minister said he will supply electricity to india with cpec🤣There have been many plans of supplying gas and electricity to india from central asia via Pakistan non of them actually materialize due to political tensions and instability in Afghanistan This claim isn't some far fetched idiotic statement as trying to take Kashmir until 2025
Myanmar is currently at high risk. Right now a coalition of regional powers are on the verge of finally defeating the ruling junta. However, there's really no plan at the moment for what comes after the junta is gone and no indication that any one group would have the resources to seize power. Either they figure out a fair multi-ethnic democratic system or the country will splinter.
This wasn't mentioned.
im from myanmar, hoping for multi-ethnic federal system cuz ima be real 90% of the countery's regions are not homogenous at all.
And not only that some states like Yakhine and Chin State are fighting each other and there's friction between other states as well.
@@anti-mate407 a federal structure like India should help. A country as diverse as India from the north to South, east to west, managed to survive for 75 years and is still going strong. Just leave the regions alone and hope they all have a similar goal to develop and progress.
There’s gotta be more countries, specifically in Africa because of the scramble for Africa
Yes, such was a Biafra case once and the Ambazonia now. I think even S. Africa may be a candidate.
@@ephraimbrener9143 I think the whole African continent is a candidate...
@@ccatarinajm7114 Ethiopia, Sudan and Somalia
@@ephraimbrener9143 No, we're not. Where do you get that silly idea from?
Yeah, the list of African countries at risk of fracturing is a long one. Somalia effectively already is fractured and Sudan is fighting a major civil war as we speak. Nigeria, Ethiopia, Cameroon, Mali, Niger, and DRC all have major internal divisions just to name a few.
Ah yes
General Knowledge trying not to start a bloody regional conflct with his new video challenge
Difficulty: Impossible
I know, right.
I have 0 proof but also 0 doubts this guy gets off at the idea of Spain splitting apart.
Not our proudest fap
He's Portuguese.
@@jgr7487he really wants to get that Galicia
Wonder how he'd feel about an Iberian Union?
Spain has something many others lack, it has been historically strong military power and its also a major cultural power. I guess Catalonian independence movement and the one in Basque country have been strongly represented in the media, I've known about them since I was a child. Similarly like Israel and N. Ireland ...
I like how Ireland is under the No data category on Support for European monarchies. I think there's a fair bit of data about how we feel on that one.
Is it? I can't seem to put my potato on it. 🤔
2:19 as a Libyan and a Federalist I can tell you that if Libya will be split it in the future it will split in two not in three because the region of fezzan are very lean and similar to Tripolitania, and it's not just about the modern conflicts but there's a long history that divide the two regions, specially people here in Cyrenaica believe that they used to have Independence and they will seek to gain it again, not all Cyrenaicans but a big fraction of them
Do you believe dividing Lydia would improve the lives of people living there?
If the people are ethnically same arab, and same regional identity too as North African arab or Libyan identity, then why is there a seperatism? So is it a non-ethic political civil war?
As a Libyan I hope our country stays united and haftar is removed
@@MaskedSandman it's just history politics and economic and cultural aspects, if we go with your arguments then Austria and Germany should be unified Romania and Moldova should be unified, but that's not the case because there is difference history and a different culture, people in Cyrenaica believe that they used to have their independence and they want to gain it back
@@rahabsuliman757 these nonsense and mixed up arguments, those are the things that push our country back add push it forward to be divided
Most of the countries in Africa. The borders were all drawn up without any consideration for the people who live in the land, often putting peoples that hate each other in the same country.
Would love to see him do a video on redrawing the African Borders to help improve the situation and to improve safety and bringing a more stable peace.
@@tannerwilson4843 Redrawing borders into larger units like the East African Federation will shift political focus away from small ethnic entities in the current individual countries and focus on the larger state. Though we all know balkanization favors local political elites interests than the people so its a more likely outcome.
Thats a nice way of putting it. Or you could just say there are a lot of corrupt governments that don't share or represent their people fairly. Heh, that too
If that happened you would increase the number of countries by 3 or 4 fold and those ethnic groups overlap each other. The amount of war and level of savagery would even appall the balkans.
Same idea for those that want a "one" "state" "solution" for Israel-Palestine. Look at all those glorious one-state solutions in action in Africa!
No. It will be a two-state solution.
From 🇵🇰, Your Balochistan pronunciation is wrong its Balu CH is tan not Balu kis tan
Do you support independence?
@@Fisharecool69420 the big Answer is NO and most Pakistanis don't support this because it will also led to instability in whole region, poverty some extremist exist but now they're not getting support from people it was a past thing when a lot of people wanted independence because of Race
Copy pasting my reply...
"You don't even know how to say the name of regions in Pakistan bro!😂
You think you are passing real knowledge? And ur line of "for whatever reason".
This must be an Indian making this through AI who spread this shit everyday last 75years. For this argument, even USA wanted to have 2 parts in civil war... stfu mate.
And u didn't even mention India with 7 regions with independence movements so you are biased like shit is shit."
@@itsKhaleeque Balochistan belongs to Iran only 🇮🇷
@@Nigoto_SaituriBalochistan belongs to Pakistan only 🇵🇰
Reason to Baluchistan : On the Independence of India and Pakistan all states and regions had the option of joining the 2 nations or stay independent. Baluchistan couldn't join India due to geographic issues so chose independence. But despite promises from Pakistan it was annexed by them within an year of independence. Hence the 70+ year long issue
Balochistan was forcefully annexed on gunpoint at Khan of Kalat's palace, from 11 August 47" to 27 March 48" they were independent with their independent flag and embassy in Karachi, it was all peaceful and insrument of accession not signed yet. But poor paxtani army arrived at his palace and he signed without his will and also without prior consultations from baloch tribal sardaars. Thats why there were 5 insurgencies took place since 1947 till 2023. And its on boil again paxtan continue to loose more soldiers and FC's than ever.
I don't understand why Balochistan couldn't join India due to geography but Bangladesh then known as East Pakistan was included with Pakistan.
@@marlondavis1230Because the Bengali people from Bangladesh wanted to create Pakistan. (Pakistan People Party was made in Dhaka)
Balochistan was partitioned into four princely states: Kalat, Kharan, Las Bela, and Makaran. Out of this 4, all 3 wanted to join with the union republic of India except only 1 which was Las Bela princely state. But these 3 and other the commissioned area of Balochistan ( excluding the pashtun balochistan part commissioned British region ) wanted to join India
@@marlondavis1230 due to internal 'enemies'. An interesting fact in march 1948', leaders like Ghausbaksh besenjo and Khair baksh marri, went to Delhi with few delegates. They Had planned a secret meeting with Nehru and Abdul Kalam Azad, but ironically when Nehru and Azad understood a Baloch delegation coming here, Nehru turn down their offer and said "Balochistan is too far and had no prior cultural linkages with India", meanwhile Azad said language will become a barrier as few or no speaker understand Balochi here in India. Sadly, both leader went empty handed and no meeting took place.
Sources from PTI leaked this news and in days reached capital Karachi's office. The next morning Jinnah sent a paxtan army and 'invaded' Balochistan.
07:41 You have overlooked Chechnya, which is around 96% Chechen and has fought a war in independence in the past. All it would take is for Russia to lose in Ukraine for Kadyrov to seize on Russia's hour of weakness to try for independence again. After that it could embolden other republics where Russians are not the majority to follow suit, such as Dagestan and Kalmykia.
I suspect that if there is a negotiated settlement at the end of their war with Ukraine, Russia will be required to withdraw from some of the places that they have taken over recently (like Crimea, South Ossetia, Transnistria, Kaliningrad). Not sure if that qualifies as Balkanization, depends on how you define the term.
@@MyFiddlePlayer For what reason is Kaliningrad on your list?
Doesn’t look like Russia is failing in any way. Chechnya should be cool. The two wars fought there were savage!
@@rzeczpospolita508not even Germans asked for returning Kaliningrad. But would be interesting to make Kaliningrad some special territory of Russia like Portoriko is to USA
@@leoprg5330 For what reason should Kaliningrad change its status at all?
Spaniards and non-US citizens live in Puerto Rico, and ethnic Russians with full citizenship live in Kaliningrad. There is no reason to change the status of this region, except for the wishes of nations offended by Russia.
You might as well push for Gibraltar to become Spanish. Spoiler alert - the people of Gibraltar are against it. Why should it be different in Kaliningrad?
Very interesting video as always. Keep up the good work.
I second that!
Thank you very much!
As always, a really fascinating video. Continue your fantastic work.
How about Georgia with several active independence movements?
It’s possible, tho I could just as easily see a situation where, were Russia to ‘Balkanize’, Ossetia would prefer to join South Ossetia and unify with Georgia rather than become an independent nation, given it would provide economic benefits. If could go either way.
The reality is these so-called independence movements are being driven almost wholly by Moscow as a way to undermine and put pressure on Georgia to not get closer to the West and/or join NATO nor the EU.
@@rebeccawinter472 yeah that's true, still a possibility
@@rebeccawinter472 You have some kind of logic problem.
Why should North Ossetia with a population of 700k join a country with a population of 250k?
Why would Ossetians suddenly join Georgians? Ossetians have not forgotten how Georgians killed them. I am partly Ossetian, and the statement that Ossetians want to return to Georgia is very idiotic.
@@rzeczpospolita508 given your first hand experience I definitely defer to you. But if you take Russia out of the picture completely (if one can imagine that), then Georgia likely quickly joins the EU - and with if there are economic benefits that would come with that. People often (but always) make decisions based on economics - so that was my thinking.
But yes, given the history - that likely would negate the likelihood of it happening. Thanks, and didn’t mean to cause offence.
From the time of its inception 80 years ago, Indonesia has always been predicted by everyone to break up at one point, to balkanize even long before Balkan balkanized. I mean everyone.. Academics, diplomats, foreign journos, it's neighbours, the west, the east, the communist, the liberals, even my Australian childhood penpal wrote to me about this potential.
Its somewhat comforting that it doesn't even featured in this video. That tells me that at least we can manage our mind boggling diversity quite successfully up to this point.
The improbable nation carries on.
The bigger that you face is from states that want sharia law alone. Everything else you can manage.
@@yomamasohot6411You mean Aceh? Nah, they ain't gonna secede.
There's NO WAY Russia or China are going to break up because they still have strong central powers and a militairy who would interfere immidiately, if one region even thinks about indipendece. Just remember Tibet and Grosny...
There's also other independence movements in the UK coming from Cornwall, London and Kent.
Do you have any video talking about those different ethnic groups in Russia ? If u do have not that's an video I'd like to see in the future, how they make the union what bound they together and what are those groups ethnic and culturally.
Thank you my friend I love your videos
Balkane, Balkane, Balkane moj
Budi mi silan i dobro mi stoj!
My opinion from increasing chance to least likely but still possible:
Somalia, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea, Afghanistan, Libya, Sudan, Yemen, Iran, DRC, Mali, Iraq, UK, Russia, Uzbekistan, Nigeria, Pakistan, Lebanon, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Indonesia, Turkey, China, Spain.
Reording and categorizing your list to make more sense
Done Deal (almost split already): Somalia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Yemen
Chance: Myanmar, Libya, Belgium, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan, UK, Sudan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Uzbekistan, DRC
No Chance (very unrealistic): Iran, Turkey, China, Indonesia, Lebanon, Russia, Spain
@@zararianrock
Now on second thought upon considering your order:-
Myanmar is basically a done deal, the new states already functioning like countries and some even have talks with India, China and Thailand. PNG is also a done deal with a contract on when Bougainville at the very least separates. I would move Russia up to chance, because as much as I hate to admit it, the Russia Ukraine war has reduced Russia into a Chinese economic vassal state. Afghanistan I think is highly likely, because the North of the country is facing huge ISIS problem and relationship with Tajiks and Iran. Agree with Bosnia going up. I would add Moldova, Georgia also into the done deal.
@@xijinpig8982why Indonesia? I live here and these people are all crazy nationalistic. Except in Maluku and Papua, but those parts are colonized by Indonesia. Every resistance is faced with military force
@@Tr786hala
I put Indonesia very low on the list because I know its near impossible. I guess why I put it is due to owning regions like West Papua, and Timor Leste had gained independence previously due to western involvement. Historically Indonesia as we see today had never been united like this. Nevertheless I put it very low, near impossible.
@@xijinpig8982Yes its true western involvement contributed to it. But Timor gained independence mainly because of Asian 1997 financial crises which led to Indonesia instability period until 2004 where Aceh and Timor rebelled with many unrest accros the nation, we were labelled as failed state at that time, a pariah nation, predicted to be balkanized yet we endured.
If I don’t see my country in this list, it will offend me A LOT
What is your country
@@user-pe5uq4ic3vhopefully the US
@@user-pe5uq4ic3vif i would guess it i would say Mexico
@user-pe5uq4ic3v probably new Zealand
@@user-pe5uq4ic3vBelgium I think
I love your content! Great video as always 😊
I adore your videos. I have been obsessed with the study of countries since I was given an atlas when I was 6 years old. Can we come up with a word for the study of countries, nation states etc. Patriology? Matriology? Geography isn't specific enough. Khorology? I'm using ancient terms for the word country plus study of.
I think it's a misconception that a nation-state needs to be per definition mono-ethnic, mono-religious or uni-ligual. If that was the case, Countries like Switzerland, Hungary, etc also needed to be in this list. As long as there aren't any human right violations or persecutions when someone wants to express their culture within a country, there shouldn't be any reason to split off. In the case of Belgium (as A Belgian), it's just a state structure issue that is self-inflicted due to too many compromises in the past. It made room for setting up a self-fulfilling prophecy so that regional politicians can get more power by giving other the blame in stead of actually doing something (which is an issue on all sides of the country). But the existence of Belgium as a union makes historically a lot of sense. Even before Burgundian times. Saying that both parts of the country have nothing doesn't know history very well. (or was tough a very narrowed down version of it)
In the UK part you forgot the Cornishin Cornwall, and the Dependency Countries.
He also forgot the English from the British, or maybe it's better to say English from globalist Westminster
Given the Middle Eastern factor Iran is the biggest candidate for a balkanization, it might become the 2nd Yugoslavia with Azerbaijanis, Balochs, Kurds, and Ahwaz Arabs getting independence from the Persian majority
Countries that will not fail are those that have a fair share of distance between EU,US and them.And a massive military.So,China,North Korea,Iran,Russia out of the question.
Iran Is Not Federal State
Iran Is United
All ethnic groups have migrated in Iran, for example, many Kurds have migrated to the regions of Azerbaijan, many Persians are in Ahvaz, almost half of Baluchis in Iran are in Golestan province on the shores of the Caspian. Such a thing will not happen in Iran, and the majority of Iranians are neither racist nor religious. In Turkey, Iraq, Syria and even Lebanon, where there is a lot of racism and extreme religion, such things seem more realistic
some white guy from the other side of the world who has just googled Iran's ethnic group roleplays as political analysis.
Iran has a coherent national identity, it is called Iran and not Persia because it is the country of Iranian peoples
@@king_vasuki2692 because the non Persians are second class citizens and hate being under their thumb.
On the contrary, India would welcome those countries because there are already have multigenerational Sindis and Pashtun (Pathan) ethnicities living in India. PLUS, It would have open land routes to Afghanistan and Iran and cornering its archnemisis Pakistan in the process.
So you reckon India will welcome Sindh and Punjab despite the religious difference on account that these peoples already have large presence in India? What would the demarcation of the border be then, the mountains west of the Indus?
It doesn't matter, Punjab and Sindh is full of radicals. Remember most of Hindu conversion happens in Sindh
@@siddharthatalukdar4227 As you say, I have little to no knowledge about that region. Although I doubt that ALL Sindhi and Panjabi are radicals, there are quite a lot of them.
@@orthodox-mp6hv The power in Sindh is controlled by landlords, so if Sindh becomes independent it will be again be too feudal and anti-India unless there is a mature democratic government
good thing the pak army has nukes.
when u said about punjab "religion differences still exist in India", great research
What about Canada? I heard Quebec wants its independence from Canada. If it does, would Canda fall apart?
its never actually going to happen, but yes, canada would most likely become more unstable. but like i said, its never happening...
You have no clue about Spain. Cantabria, Asturias, Aragon, and Andalucia are NOT separatist regions. They are fiercely Spanish. Also in Galicia the independence movement is a very small percentage. You are Portuguese, right? You always have bias against Spain every time you mention it. Research your information better please.
Well, As a Pakistani I can say that if Pakistan had to break then it would've happened long ago almost sometime after the Birth of Pakistan. But there were many other times too after that when Pakistan was at a risk of breaking specially in the conditions when Balochistan was highly undeveloped or when the Talibani attacks began to raise in Western Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, specifically Waziristan, and then there was possibility in the recent economic crisis, but as we know, nothing happened at all
Man, the world is more fucked up than at least I have been taught in school
the "Ch" is Balochistan is pronounced as you pronounce Chair. In Asia, and specifically in the Indian subcontinent, all "Ch"s are pronounced as I mentioned. Please note this. It is respectful that way.
6:44 What’s with the pause?
French v. British Canada?
Would Belgium balkanize into separate countries or would Wallonia join France and Flanders join the Netherlands (with that small bit going to Germany)?
Quebec has tried twice to leave, but aren’t getting anywhere with it. New Brunswick, the only other province with a significant French-speaking population, has never expressed interest in leaving. Even if Quebec did leave, it wouldn’t be balkanization, because only one new country would form
Flanders seems to just want to rid of Wallonia. They don’t want to join the Netherlands
Surprise me there's no my country Indonesia here, as it always predicted to balkanized since it's independence.
I think Somalia and Ethiopia are likely candidates for balkanization as well as Afghanistan.
Nah not somalia definitely ethiopia though
🖕🤡💩 ETHIOPIA has 3000 years of history ,civilization , existence ,it was never conolised Balkans doesn't have history , conolised by ottomans , Yugoslavia was crated after 2 world war🤯🤯🤯
Somalia created by dady ITALY 🤡🤡🤡💩 in1890
ETHIOPIA has 3000+ years of central government don't worry child 🇪🇹🇪🇹🇪🇹❤️❤️🔥🫡🫡🫡😎
Suppose we could add the United states as a potential country that could balkanize. We already have some "states" acting counter to the federal government as opposed to in tandem like they're supposed to. Though it seems like its going the way Rome did, infrastructure gradually decaying as the centralized governments power wanes. Everything has a size at which it's no longer possible to maintain and must fall apart after all.
Love from India ❤
The UKs nuclear submarine fleet is based in scotland, as is a lot of our early detection systems, Scotland might leave the UK, but the UK wont be leaving Scotland.
Countries with no backbones in risk of falling apart; who would have thought?
Is this something to do with a certain football tournament in Germany where a certain country has threatened to pull out because a certain country changed things about them?
Another country which could split up is Vietnam. Basically the North, the Old Tonkin Kingdom is in control and that created a lot of resentment in the Centre and South
7:40 What's that little country between Mongolia and Russia?
It is Tuva (Now a federal subject in Russia)
Tuva
a reunited ireland would be nice and i think prosperous too
It’s pronounced baloch like the ch used in Charmander
The United States could easily break apart into approximately 5 regions. No idea why this was not mentioned.
I agree, check out the fragile states index for example 😭
No... it couild NOT easily break up... enough with this neoconfederate bullshit
The examples he chose all seem to be based on pre-existing ethnic divisions or national identities. Any balkanization of the U.S. would be based more on emerging political divisions, and then only after a long and bloody conflict where opposing ideologies vie for dominance over the whole country, but fail to achieve it once the fighting settles into a protracted stalemate. As polarized as the country is at the moment, I think the majority of people still want to avoid that outcome.
@@d.b.4671That is not how I see it. I feel the US is weak and overextended and that losing a war to China along with an economic collapse would result in the country breaking up like Russia did after it's collapse. America would be the core country but the "United States" concept would break apart.
Where’s the US? They keep having race riots every year.
You missed USA splitting.
Also Canada could see west and east split.
Yes, they are countries And not Nations, That's why..!
Surprised Philippines isn't mentioned here. It's also in danger of breaking up as well.
No it's not lol, those who wanted seperation are very few and not even close to 1%.
no i don't believe Pakistan could not be break up as punjab and sindh are more developed and integrated parts in terms of economy and military same can be say for KPK as it is more close Islamabad and big politicians and military generals due to this KPK is also very developed but FATA and Baluchistan were neglected and all attacks are only these two places
Pakistan is in least stable countries list bro.
I dont think calling Pakistan developed is correct since its hdi is literally 0.544
Countries in general are much less likely to break up than they used to be as the most powerful international organizations prefer sheer status quo over any liberation or unification movements,
Whatever the world's borders are at present most organizations are trying to prevent them from changing as much as possible to reduce overall chaos and unpredictability
Even when perhaps a natural collapse should be permitted for a reorganization
This isn't to say it never happens at all in fact borders do change all the time but there active resources and groups trying to prevent it especially on larger scales.
If smaller wars get support and backing it is in the name of preventing larger wars
I would include the US, Canada, and Mexico. Mexico is already a medieval-esque country with different interests running certain parts of it like fiefdoms. And eventually they moght split off. And as for the US, the differences between say, West Texas and Seattle are so vast they might as well be foreign countries.
It's very surprising (and sweet) that my country Indonesia won't get Balkanized (atleast in the near future).
A country that's as big as the US and Continental Europe with 280 Million people mostly Muslims. Not only that, the 5 big islands are separated by the ocean and each of them contains their own cultures and languages. We're talking about a country that's like combining every single European country into one and didn't dissolve like Yugoslavia did.
The fact that back in 1998, the Western world was preparing for us to get Balkanized after massive instability and protest but we never did, in fact we're getting stronger and stronger each year and managed to be in the G20 and a regional power that will become a major player in Asia and the world soon.
Indonesia is not perfect but we strive to become one, Go Indonesia 🇮🇩
U forgot USA there is more problem, some states want to independent country.
I’m almost certain that Russia will Balkanize in the near future. ESPECIALLY in the north Caucasuses and the far east.
Why?
The USA. Have a look at what is going on. It’s usually number 2 listed after Belgium
Both Libya and Yemen seem the most likely to break up officially.
Somalia, Ethiopia, Syria, Sudan, Myanmar, Moldova
Sudan no chance
ETHIOPIA has 3000+years central governance experience don't worry child 🇪🇹🇪🇹🇪🇹❤️❤️🔥🫡🫡🫡⚔️😎
How about India breaking up in to pieces like khalistan, IIOJK, Manipur, Nagaland, Hyderabad Daccen, Tamil Nadu, Assam etc
Saar, sattu was phantastik saar ...
Meri jaan porkistan saar
That was the one good thing the British Empire did for India, they united it into a single, powerful country.
They wanted a self standing entity big enough to serve as a counterbalance to Russia and China in Asia.
Or so the story goes.
If it breaks back up into little pieces they will just be gobbled up by its neighbors. Which would have happened by now anyway.
You’re a bot.🤖 joined just 4 months ago 😂
@@Arunh9-pw7lp 🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵
@@Arunh9-pw7lp 🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵🥵
There is no way pakistan splits. Idk why people are so worried about it. Its just some small no of extremists. Those areas are too poor and dependent on Punjab to leave lol.
Well balochistan can be much more developed it it split as it have oil gas and gold and about panjab apart from 4 cities rest is poor 😊
why dont you also put Indonesia ?
is it also likely to break up?
It's pretty stable compared to Myanmar and Philippines.
The separatists other than Papuans are relatively dormant, with local leaders sucking trillions of Rupiahs from the central government without proper accountability to keep them satisfied for the time being.
Just ask Aceh
@@General.Knowledge your linguistic map of china is very wrong. it overemphasis minority elements in an area and colours largely deserted no man's land as having a language eg the taklamakan, gobi, hoh xil and western Tibet etc inner Mongolia is majority han, most of the southern provinces are majority han, Xinjiang is almost 50% Han. but the map erroneously over emphasized minority areas, so for example if a region has 50% han and 35% uighur, 15% mongol, the map Colours the area as Uighur and colours it as mongol if the mongols had the 35% in that sinerio. wrong map? wrong interpretation.
As well as ukraine, usa, uk, bosia&herzegovina, a lot of many others, including poland and romania
Indonesia also could potentially split
How
No
Still waiting...
I think you are not right about Russia. The most southern regions of Russia, the northen Caucasus, has a really little Russian population and there was strong independence movements in recent times in Dagestan and especially Chechmia, which was in fact independent from the collaps of USSR to 1999.
It is bold of this man to assume that Yemen and Libya even count as countries at this point
Independent movement in Northern Ireland is pretty small? I'm not sure anyone wants Northern Ireland to become independent. But almost half of the population want NI to reunite with the Republic of Ireland - including a majority of MPs and a majority of MLAs. So I would call that a pretty enormous movement.
Surprised India isnt on the list considering its states are truly divided based on shared language and culture of the regions
Ignorant Westerners should refrain from commenting on things like this without having any proper knowledge of the whole situation
Democratic Framework
1. Robust Democratic Institutions:
Regular Elections: India has held regular, free, and fair elections since independence, fostering a sense of participation and legitimacy among its citizens.
Independent Judiciary: The judiciary acts as a check on executive power, ensuring the rule of law.
Free Press: A vibrant and diverse media landscape helps in holding the government accountable and keeps the public informed.
2. Federal Structure:
Decentralization: The Constitution provides significant autonomy to states, allowing them to address local issues effectively.
Power Sharing: Central and state governments share power, which helps in accommodating regional diversities and aspirations.
Economic Reforms and Development
1. Economic Liberalization:
1991 Reforms: Economic liberalization policies initiated in 1991 opened up the economy, spurring growth and reducing poverty.
Sectoral Growth: Information Technology, services, and manufacturing sectors have seen significant growth, diversifying the economic base.
2. Social Welfare Programs:
MGNREGA: The Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act provides employment opportunities and social security to rural populations.
Direct Benefit Transfer: Implementation of DBT schemes has reduced leakages and improved the efficiency of welfare programs.
Cultural and Social Cohesion
1. Cultural Syncretism:
Shared Heritage: India’s long history of cultural assimilation promotes unity in diversity. Festivals, traditions, and cultural practices are often shared across communities.
National Identity: Despite regional diversities, a strong sense of Indian identity is promoted through education, media, and state institutions.
2. Civil Society and NGOs:
Active Engagement: Civil society organizations play a crucial role in addressing social issues, advocating for human rights, and ensuring accountability.
Community Initiatives: Numerous grassroots initiatives work towards social development, bridging gaps between different communities.
Strategic Defense and Security Policies
1. Defense Capabilities:
Modernization: Continuous modernization of the military ensures readiness to address external threats.
Counter-terrorism: Robust counter-terrorism strategies have been implemented to combat insurgencies and terrorist activities.
2. Internal Security:
Intelligence Networks: Effective intelligence gathering and coordination between agencies have been pivotal in maintaining internal security.
Community Policing: Programs aimed at building trust between police and communities help in maintaining law and order.
Technological and Infrastructural Advancements
1. Digital Revolution:
Digital India Initiative: This initiative aims to enhance digital infrastructure, promote digital literacy, and ensure digital delivery of services.
Aadhar System: The unique identification system has streamlined access to government services and subsidies.
2. Infrastructure Development:
Transportation: Significant investments in road, rail, and air connectivity have improved accessibility and economic integration.
Urban Development: Smart city projects and urban renewal missions aim to enhance the livability of cities.
Social and Educational Initiatives
1. Educational Reforms:
Right to Education: The Right to Education Act mandates free and compulsory education for children up to 14 years of age.
Higher Education: Expansion of higher education institutions has increased access to quality education.
2. Health Initiatives:
Ayushman Bharat: This health insurance scheme aims to provide affordable healthcare to the poor and vulnerable.
Public Health Campaigns: Initiatives like Swachh Bharat (Clean India) campaign promote public health and hygiene.
International Relations and Diplomacy
1. Strategic Alliances:
Global Partnerships: India has developed strategic partnerships with major global powers, enhancing its economic and security prospects.
Regional Cooperation: Active participation in regional organizations like SAARC and ASEAN fosters regional stability and cooperation.
2. Diaspora Influence:
Remittances: The Indian diaspora contributes significantly to the economy through remittances.
Soft Power: Cultural diplomacy and the global influence of the Indian diaspora strengthen India’s international standing.
Challenges and Future Outlook
1. Persistent Issues:
Economic Disparities: Addressing income inequality and ensuring inclusive growth remain critical challenges.
Corruption: Continued efforts are needed to combat corruption and improve governance.
Environmental Sustainability: Balancing development with environmental conservation is essential for sustainable growth.
2. Opportunities:
Youth Demographics: Harnessing the potential of a young population through education and employment opportunities can drive future growth.
Technological Innovation: Emphasizing innovation and digital transformation can propel India towards becoming a knowledge-based economy.
Conclusion
India’s ability to maintain its unity and stability despite its complexities can be attributed to its robust democratic institutions, economic reforms, social cohesion, strategic defense policies, technological advancements, and effective international relations. While challenges persist, the country's adaptive strategies and resilience continue to drive its progress. The Indian experience underscores the importance of inclusive governance, cultural integration, and strategic foresight in sustaining a diverse and dynamic nation.
India recognizes her diversity and states are free to pursue her policies. More diversity is in North-East where laws are different to accommodate local cultures. For example, Sangma MLA seat in Sikkim is reserved for Buddhist monks
@@siddharthatalukdar4227
Lol,
Indian states have significantly less power compared to other federal countries like the USA, Canada etc. This is why India is often called a Quasi (Semi) Federal country. This system grants more power and control to the central government. For example, in other federal countries, states have more control over taxation, but in India, it is the opposite-the central government has more control.
The main reason separatist movements have never been very successful in India is economics; most states were dependent on funds from the central government, and India as a whole was poor. This is expected to change in the coming decades, and India might face potential fragmentation by the end of the century due to demographic changes. For instance, South Indian states will see a significant decrease in population, while Uttar Pradesh's population is projected to surpass 400 million (more than the current population of the USA, the third most populated country in the world) by 2050.
Additionally, with the rise in literacy, people tend to become less religious and more aware of their linguistic and cultural identities, which could further fuel separatist sentiments.
@albertjoseph4604 No, states were always proud of their regional identity. Eg a Marathi guy would say Jai Maharashtra but also is proud of being Indian. India was weakest in 1950s and late 1980s but no breakup happened when India is going to be much stronger
For northern Ireland i have heard that because of the rise in the RC pop that it could become part of Ireland in the 2050's -But if that isso?- whyso long?, Also how would it happan?-would a vote be done by the people of Northern Ireland to leave the UK?-Would the Goernments of the UK&Ireland have a say or role?-what would happan if northern Ireland was over 50% RC and still voted to remain in the UK?
The last part of your question is where the big conundrum is because even if the Catholic population became greater people don't actually realise that a sizeable minority of the Catholic population also want to remain part of the UK and would vote as such in a referendum. Many tend to forget that the whole of Ireland had previously been part of the UK for several centuries, a lot longer than it has ever been an independent unified sovereign country in any form. The British and Irish would both respect the result of any referendum. If it did become a unified nation, it wouldn't solve the issues there, it would simply pass the massive security costs associated with that to the ROI and EU instead. I think the only time the UK would ever get involved is if the unionist population was being attacked by IRA terrorists as was the case during the troubles. I suspect we will likely see a referendum in the next 15 years however the result will not go the way many expect.
Under the Good Friday Agreement, the UK government is obliged to call a referendum if it looks likely a majority want to unify with the rest of the Ireland. But deciding exactly what conditions trigger that is left up to the UK government.
Some people would argue if Catholics became a majority that should count. But the government would probably point towards polls showing that many Catholic don't necessarily want to join Ireland and say that it's not time for a referendum yet. If they went ahead and had a referendum anyway, and they voted to remain in the UK, then they would remain in the UK. I'm sure nationalists would then keep arguing there should be another referendum.
Ireland would probably also have a referendum on unification. Both would have to pass for it to happen. It seems unlikely Ireland would vote against it, but there's a chance they would reject it if the cost of supporting Northern Ireland was too high.
Next video : Countries that could “Israeled”
Philippines. Mindanao ( or at least Davao) allegedly wants to break away
India, Indonesia, Philippines, Myanmar and Ethiopia are good examples especially Ethiopia since the administrative division are on ethnic lines and India too but with language groups example Tamil, Telugu and malayalam speakers
There's no independence movements in Telugu, Tamil lands. It's peaceful here - and united
As a Tamil speaker there is no independence movement among Tamil, Telegu and Malayalam speakers. HUGE majority of us considers ourselves Indian and take pride in it.
As an Indonesian. No, we have really strong national identity here. I could say that for our philippines brother aswell.
It would have made a lot more sense if at partition the British had also created a nation for the Sikhs to live in, a Sikh Kingdom, and put it as a buffer zone between Hindustan and Pakistan.
That's the thing. Earlier and now also Sikhism, budhdhism, janism and many more are considered hindu only during border divide. So it was not possible.
@@Happy_Himalayan_Hillall of them are not considered hindu, the border divide was not between hindu & muslim it was between muslim and non muslim as jinnah requested
@@Abhisheksharma-ez6vfwrong. The muslim wanted muslim state. The devision was done between hindu and muslim in mind. The result maybe muslim and non muslim devision. Also if it were to be muslim and non muslim the Chittagong part were to be given to india then as it as indigenous religious majority back then.
Also then there will not be a dispute for Andaman and nicobar as it was clearly non muslim (also non hindu)
You missed few countries which have higher chances.
1. Ethiopia
2. DRC
3. Myanmar(low chances)
💩💩💩💩
What about Italy? It's a far more fragile state and has many ethnicities that want secession, like Venetia.
8:52 -999999 social credits
The same situation is happening today in the Dominican Republic with Haiti
Why u don't mention India?? They really have hundreds of separatists there.
Why u don’t mention india??
Bcz….
.
.
.
India is not Pakistan😂
If this video was made in 1970s and 1980s then yes,but now separatist movement have mostly died out.there are some in north eastern India but they too have also almost waned due to high presence of army and paramilitary. Kashmir is also more stable now due to abrogation of article 370 in 2019
Because......
This video likely made by indian
East and West Yemen seems better than North and South Yemen.
UK seems the most realistic. Maybe Spain too.
China somehow seems the least realistic but interesting to speculate
To be honest, I am from the UK.
Northern Ireland is the most likely to leave.
Scotland especially in its current position probably won't as they'd be extremely poor and still heavily reliant on England to survive while not being allowed to join the EU.
Me being Welsh however can tell you that Wales will probably never leave.
Wales is actually a net loss to the UK as all the money the government puts into Wales is less than its output.
Wales cannot survive on its own at all.
The independence movements will probably never surface except in Northern Ireland and will gradually subside.
I mean the SNP is down the gutter now so it'll hold independence back for a long time.
@@thesuperintendent4290 That is kinda true but judging from polling, the fall of the SNP has had pretty much 0 impact on how many Scots want independence. It is still essentially 50/50 for and against +/-a few points.
Add Canada to that list
Look up the fragile states index, NOTHING is happening to Canada 💀
Ukraine, Turkey, USA, India, Myanmar, Syria, Italy and Germany are a long shot but possible.
The only factor in Turkey's case are the Kurds. The Turks "dealt" with all the other ethnic groups a long time ago.
@@AVV_Beats Yes and Kurds have huge demographic growth while Turks are falling strongly especially in Istanbul and Ankara, which is normal. I predict that Kurds will follow suit in time, but now they've been for decade or two according to Turks 15 % and to Kurds 20-25 % of population while having 3-5 Kids per woman and Turks bellow 2. They are probably even higher in terms of percentage.
Why India, Germany and Italy?
@@MeUltraNoobsDeath India has different peoples living in different provinces/states with different religion, that can turn into wanting independence fast, Germany has 16 states some of them have independence movements, and Germans are dropping in numbers in Germany, foreigners are rising in terms of %, Italy has strong north south divide and they had several independent countries prior to unification, some of them might decide to say good bye.
@@OneShadow7 India turning independent is really unlikely well maybe the muslim population is probably gonna break out but I never heard any german people want independence
When it comes to the UK there is three more independence movements within England proper there is Cornwall which is an ethnically Celtic nation then there is Yorkshire another very independent group who is also ethnically Scandinavian and then there was a movement that caused because of the covid pandemic and people seeing the differences when it comes to Northern as being treated differently which led to the Independence for Northumbria which is called the NIP party
when you dont know something dont even try to get involved in it
Other countries will break up or not, But Balochistan need to liberated at any cost....
Baloch people will definitely get freedom...from Pakistan...
If the United States ISNT on here, I'd be beyond shocked.
Baluchistan should join other countries like Iran or India in terms of the safety from Pakistan, I think.
India 😂 nope .....
Iran is great choice as we baloch are iranic ppl but not india
@@OskarJorgenson still ancestors belong to Zoroastrianism.... shame on you live in ur country and cult kiddo
@@OskarJorgensononly 35% of Pakistani Balochistan is Balochi. And Iran treats it's Balochi population much worse.
@@abdullahnasir2882 not iran but Islamic republic. Not only baloch but Kurds lurs too ..... and now Iranian are against Islamic republic so when they overthrow Islamic republic baloch can join iran as it's our homeland.....
Don't take my username seriously I'm baloch myself ...
Mann wat balochiya agaan tou habbar zaneh tou mana Samjhe 😅
@@abdullahnasir2882 and if you kick out those afgan refugees in balochistan we will be 70% in balochistan as 30% will be sindhi pashtoo hazara .... plus alot of baloch are living in sindh and panjab
you should add congo it might break up too
Ethiopia is the biggest candidate for balkanization
You completely forgot the US, Canada, South Africa, Nigeria, Cameroon, & Indonesia
Part 2?
Yeah a part 2 might be needed. Nigeria is a good example, as well as Ethiopia, Afghanistan and maybe even the US.
@@joshuawells835 rather a "part continent" because there are so many he ought to make a series and split it up by continent
south africa ? not in my lifetime . worst cause scenario is a push for federalism but those dont even have the power to do so because they would need a 2 thirds majority to be able to pull that offer and guess what, none of the parties and the voting numbers to pull that off , for example the ff+(a white lead party) only has 1.5% of the vote no where near enough for a balkanization
Why the hell would we break up?
I'm suprised you put down Pakistan but did not put down INDIA!!
Same thing for the USA especially with the large Latino vs Anglo split
You are displaying your ignorance here ,dear westerner
Fr? Tell me which separatist group other than naxal and islamist in kashmir is causing india trouble? Even these two are now under control to an extent.
@@srikrishnak196only for now
I doubt some of these countries would break apart unless internal civil war causes it to break apart. I can really only see the United Kingdom going the diplomatic route whereas Spain, China, Pakistan, and Russia would suppress any independence movements.
Where's usa?
You forgot Canada or Indonesia
Quebec isn't going anywhere, no matter how loud and obnoxious they get. And smelly.
Look up the fragile states index. The USA is highly more likely to Balkanize than Canada.
@@groom_of_the_stoolsNor is Western Canada!
@@jimjimmers8571 I said that in another post.
Lmao both Countries are dark more stable than good ol USA
as Russian, there are not enough ethnicities no break this country into as many pieces as you want to. Unless you again invent some ethnicity like "Uraliks" or "Siberians" like you did with SouthWest Rus.
No mention of the US? Things are pretty tense over there!
You forgot Québec and Canada!
Now you got me intrigued. Is there so much tension there that they might want to split up?
@@ccatarinajm7114 Nope. They had a referendum for Independence already. I believe it was in 1980. The people of Quebec voted no and said they wished to remain a part of Canada. Ironically the rest of Canada also got to vote in the referendum and they said they wanted to get rid of Quebec and let them have independence! However, that part of the vote was not binding.
@@johnmknox This is incorrect information. The latest referendum was held in 1995, where only residents of quebec got to vote. Quebec voted to remain as a province of canada by 50.6% of the vote
@@illusion1472 Still, that was 30 years ago, times change, so maybe they ought to check again
@@ccatarinajm7114They have gotten 2 referendums already. That is enough. The people has spoken, no need to have another one - just a waste of money and undemocratic to not accept the will of the people in the last referendum.
Bro is from India that's why he forgets India but mentiioned China, Pakistan also forgets Iran and others. In India (Khalistan,Kashmir,Nagaland, Manipur) whole north east want independence, In iran most of the part of the country wants independence.
Wtf you smoking? All these you mentioned is not active at all. Nagaland, Manipur ? Where did you got the information? Can you give one major independence movement in India which happened recently?
Yeah everyone who talks bad about my country is from India 🤓🤓🤓
I never heard about Nagaland, manipur independence in india😂
Neither I’ve seen any voice for independence in Punjab. Only seen them in Canada😂 bcz of the obvious fact that khalistan has become a full time business for people. So Kashmir issue already solved with 370 abrogation. Remaining is the occupied part of Kashmir, military will do the job there too soon.😂
We’re sorted✌🏼😂🔥
@@Arunh9-pw7lp seems like daydream has become ur indeliable part of ur life..which not only made u blind but also superficial illeterate..... I think this must be side effect of Cowdung
Pretty sure he isn't from India... He's talked about his home country in other videos.
Weirdly, the Netherlands. Frisia wants to go it alone, the "Bible Belt" (Drenthe, Gelderland) hates the western provinces, the Southern (Roman Catholic) provinces might like to go it alone or join Flanders, and Zeelanders just. Want. To. Be. Left. Alone.
basic info. In Russia, Dagestan and Chechnya have the highest possibility of breaking up.
Pakistan is also occupying Jammu and Kashmir. People from J&K are also want freedom and join India.
Lol which drugs are u on Kashmiris want to join india😭🤣
@@titanvlogger7221 time will tell lul🤣🤣
@@arpansaxena137 I remember in 2018 there was craze in indian subreddits that modi will take Kashmir by 2022 but that time expired now i see subreddits claiming it by 2025 cause of corona🤣 you're not so different are u
@@titanvlogger7221 I also remember Pakistani minister was saying we will supply electricity to India and with cpec your economy will boom but then you guys hit the reality. Heading to a failed state.
@@arpansaxena137 Which minister said he will supply electricity to india with cpec🤣There have been many plans of supplying gas and electricity to india from central asia via Pakistan non of them actually materialize due to political tensions and instability in Afghanistan This claim isn't some far fetched idiotic statement as trying to take Kashmir until 2025
How about Canada?