Mathematically Predicting The Next BTC Top

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  • Опубликовано: 11 ноя 2024

Комментарии • 44

  • @TempleSlippers
    @TempleSlippers 3 месяца назад +3

    quality analysis, thank you 🙂

  • @pedrokamann6096
    @pedrokamann6096 3 месяца назад +2

    If other parameters are considered, for example between peak and peak or between minimums and maximums, the peak would be reached in the third quarter, which would also coincide with the peak of global liquidity according to other mathematical models. With respect to the price I consider it optimistic, I do not think it will exceed 150K, although you never know. This should also be monitored with the “Puell multiple” and the “Z-MVRV”.

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад

      I agree! I may have to come up with a forecasting model that takes into account as many metrics as possible rather than just the one.

  • @splendidmite2131
    @splendidmite2131 3 месяца назад +2

    Nice work Matt! Congrats on the new partnership. 🎉

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад +1

      Thanks a lot! Exciting times ahead and we have loads of cool new stuff planned!

  • @gsingh1984
    @gsingh1984 3 месяца назад +1

    Awesome video, looking forward to more Pi Cycle Top videos

  • @Внушает
    @Внушает 3 месяца назад +2

    Спасибо, дорогой друг и боевой товарищ Matt.
    Я согласен 200-250k - это оптимистично.
    Я рад такому прогнозу и таким датам.

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад +1

      I would be very happy if this became true! Probably more optimistic than what I'm realistically expecting...

  • @PatrickJudson-vc1xe
    @PatrickJudson-vc1xe 3 месяца назад +3

    Next level analysis 👊👊

  • @patrickflood
    @patrickflood 3 месяца назад +1

    Thanks for the video. Interesting idea, let's see how it goes.

  • @imisskatelyn9517
    @imisskatelyn9517 3 месяца назад +6

    120k to 150k first or second quarter of 2025.

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад +2

      I think it depends on the macro environment but I'm half way between thinking Q1 or Q4 2025!

    • @HeartFilledHatred
      @HeartFilledHatred 3 месяца назад

      @@BitcoinMagazinePro I too would tend to think Q1/Q4 2025. But if we came close to 100, or even 106/109 by the end of 2024, the following correction would make me nervous.

  • @amiramnoamdoron
    @amiramnoamdoron 2 месяца назад +1

    love it. nice statistics.

  • @nicholaskhan-roper2429
    @nicholaskhan-roper2429 3 месяца назад +1

    Brilliant data as usual

  • @alextivonenko1080
    @alextivonenko1080 3 месяца назад +1

    Good luck with this prediction

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад

      The chances of everything playing out like this prediction are probably quite slim! I'll probably revisit this idea in a couple months to see what the data then is pointing towards.

  •  3 месяца назад

    In every past cycle, analysts over-predicted the top. This is how retail investors became exit liquidity a 69k...

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад +2

      In 2017 it seemed to me that everyone thought $10k would be the top and we nearly doubled that! Not saying I think $200k is likely, but with bitcoin you never know!

  • @CASMR-jp2no
    @CASMR-jp2no 3 месяца назад +1

    Nice one!

  • @Doug-bi4fv
    @Doug-bi4fv 3 месяца назад +1

    Nice work

  • @runningrock124
    @runningrock124 3 месяца назад +1

    it's very misleading to say this indicator has "called" every bull cycle peak at 1:10
    it was developed after the 2017 cycle top in 2018/2019
    it is a convergence solution of two moving averages that were FIT to three previous past bull cycle peaks
    it has only correctly predicted (future event) one bull cycle peak, the 2021 peak, since it's creation
    while it was impressive in 2021 with its prediction,
    that is a data set 1/1 and so many people say it has predicted each top - which is inaccurate

    • @runningrock124
      @runningrock124 3 месяца назад +2

      and to throw my skin in the game
      i think April 2025 is too early for bull cycle peak
      my (worthless) date prediction is Oct 2025 for a cycle peak
      not so much worried on price - it will be what it will be

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад +2

      Fair points. I also think April 2025 is too early, and think Q4 2025 is more likely!

  • @p.m.8316
    @p.m.8316 3 месяца назад +1

    LookintoBTC did a rebrand?

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад +1

      Yes! We've partnered with Bitcoin Magazine and have now become Bitcoin Magazine Pro!

    • @gnome2024
      @gnome2024 3 месяца назад

      @@BitcoinMagazinePro Congrats!

  • @jarrodking3671
    @jarrodking3671 3 месяца назад

    Can someone summarize when and at what price?

    • @HeartFilledHatred
      @HeartFilledHatred 3 месяца назад +2

      22nd April 2025 350DMAx2 is at 193K but watch the entire video👍🏻

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад +3

      It's a 12 minute video not a 2 hour lecture 😉

  • @Rico_MC
    @Rico_MC 3 месяца назад

    Hi 👍

  • @andy-ec8xv
    @andy-ec8xv 3 месяца назад +2

    Cancelling my subscription out of principle. Don’t want to support that company.

    • @VeryOnBrend
      @VeryOnBrend 3 месяца назад +1

      Elaborate

    • @C6ZR1
      @C6ZR1 3 месяца назад +3

      This is not an airport, you do not have to announce your departure. Also BYE Felicia

    • @BitcoinMagazinePro
      @BitcoinMagazinePro  3 месяца назад

      All the best 👍