Thanks Michael for your Dedicated service keeping us in about our weather in seattle. COMPARED to the rest of the USA Our weather is Mild but we need Rain 🌧🌧🌨🌧 for the Trees and Vegation 🏕🎄🌈👠💯💘🎄🎄🎄💯
I know! I was in the Bremerton area. We built igloos and snowmen and had so much fun. I love snow to this day. Except I got a new tricycle for my birthday late January and couldn't ride it outside for a couple months 😂
Awesome overview and explanation, thank you! My whole life weathermen have just kind of glossed over the "Why" and this explains it really well. Not as entertaining as when Chris Farley and John-John Mackey explained it, but still kept my attention through the whole thing.
A complex topic, will need to watch this several times to take in all the data. Liking the historic info Michael. Recalling some severe winters as no joke. Thankful for this presentation, it helps one to plan ahead.
While I am certainly not a snow lover (spent 35 years in the Midwest with lots of snow) I will trade heat for piles and piles of snow any day! Maybe one of these days, I'll even learn to snowboard! Thanks as always for your measured, informative ENSO updates Michael!
69 through 72 we’re great years as a kid living in Magnolia in Seattle. Those big hills covered with a couple of feet of snow and snow drifts to boot. It was a kids paradise. ❄️ ⛄️ ❄️
Well, well well. You have such an in-depth broadcast today, that Wikipedia deems it necessary to blah blah blah about the real causes of global warming / climate change. Keep up the good work!
Yep, the sun is the main driver of the earth's climate not human activity. "Global warming"andfv"v "climate change", have been highly politicized by the left
I hear your words but I do not understand how it applies to Calif around S. F. area and towards Lake Tahoe. You are speaking a bit more than over my head. I do not know if you were saying we will get extra rain and snow or not. I want to see lakes full again and hope that's what you were saying. Thx for reporting but wish I knew more
So, I get confused by the noise about ocean warmth and "climate change". As a retired scientist, I studied geo systems for quite some time. I know science has enhanced it's data base but has it changed that much. During my times of studying geo systems, the major contributor for oceanic warming was the sun. In all my readings, I never came across a study that suggested the atmosphere contributed to ocean warming. Am I off touch here? The earth is covered by 70+% water and most of that water is deep oceanic basins. How does the atmosphere play in this subject?
There are several connections, mainly having to do with surface salinity and the rate at which glacial ice (fresh water) is released into the surrounding oceans. So an example is polar ice. A warming atmosphere will prevent ice formation and melt ice when formed. Less polar ice means the summer arctic sun can warm the water whereas before the sunlight was reflected by solar ice. It's a self fulfilling cycle as less ice means more warming which means less ice. Another has to do with worldwide ocean currents that mix the deep ocean with the surface. As Greenland ice is melted into the North Atlantic it lowers the salinity of the water there. The North Atlantic is one of the biggest contributors to surface ice diving into the deep ocean, supporting deep water welling to the surface in other areas. Fresh water is lighter than salinated water. As the North Atlantic becomes less saline, it means less surface water diving into the deep ocean, which then affects welling up elsewhere. We don't know to what extent this desalination of the North Atlantic will affect the worldwide ocean currents, but it is entirely possible much ocean convection could stop. This could cause the deep ocean and the surface to stop trading energy which means the surface of the ocean would just keep getting warmer with sunlight rather than cycling down and getting replaced by cold deep water. This could create a self-supporting inversion much like that seen in the Black Sea where surface and deep water are entirely separate from each other.
Thanks Michael for your Dedicated service keeping us in about our weather in seattle. COMPARED to the rest of the USA Our weather is Mild but we need Rain 🌧🌧🌨🌧 for the Trees and Vegation 🏕🎄🌈👠💯💘🎄🎄🎄💯
The snow of '68-'69 was a great time to be an 8-year-old in North Seattle.
...and in Eugene, OR where we got 3 feet of snow!
In the Sierras too.
I know! I was in the Bremerton area. We built igloos and snowmen and had so much fun. I love snow to this day. Except I got a new tricycle for my birthday late January and couldn't ride it outside for a couple months 😂
I was in 4th grade in 68 69
Good evening brother 🎉
Been waiting for this video before buying my ski pass. Thanks for the good news! PNW POWDER SHOW THIS WINTER ❄️❄️❄️
Thanks for your dedication
good evening again! ☕
Awesome overview and explanation, thank you! My whole life weathermen have just kind of glossed over the "Why" and this explains it really well. Not as entertaining as when Chris Farley and John-John Mackey explained it, but still kept my attention through the whole thing.
A complex topic, will need to watch this several times to take in all the data. Liking the historic info Michael. Recalling some severe winters as no joke. Thankful for this presentation, it helps one to plan ahead.
Thank you very much for the updates! Have a good day
Below normal temps and above average precip for this Winter -- I like that.
Hot off the press…
While I am certainly not a snow lover (spent 35 years in the Midwest with lots of snow) I will trade heat for piles and piles of snow any day! Maybe one of these days, I'll even learn to snowboard! Thanks as always for your measured, informative ENSO updates Michael!
Here we go!
69 through 72 we’re great years as a kid living in Magnolia in Seattle. Those big hills covered with a couple of feet of snow and snow drifts to boot. It was a kids paradise. ❄️ ⛄️ ❄️
LET IT SNOW! LET IT SNOW! LET IT SNOW!!!!! 😃
It's going to be a fun winter!
Well, well well. You have such an in-depth broadcast today, that Wikipedia deems it necessary to blah blah blah about the real causes of global warming / climate change. Keep up the good work!
Yep, the sun is the main driver of the earth's climate not human activity. "Global warming"andfv"v "climate change", have been highly politicized by the left
I appreciate a more technical presentation on occasion. These ENSO posts are only once or twice a month. Please keep doing them :-)
Great video Michael!
This is a great birds' eye view of these oscillations. Thank you for the research done. May your cloud chase prove fruitful during the 20th.✌
I love la Nina because I love snow
Lexington Wa USA 🇺🇸
@@joncomte6443 Rainier Oregon, Howdy neighbor!
Thanks for more details, Michael
But seriously I hope we don't get too carried away with the snow fall this winter.
I hear your words but I do not understand how it applies to Calif around S. F. area and towards Lake Tahoe. You are speaking a bit more than over my head. I do not know if you were saying we will get extra rain and snow or not. I want to see lakes full again and hope that's what you were saying.
Thx for reporting but wish I knew more
Looks like we will be stocking up on a few more "Press To" logs so we are ready for power outages...and maybe a PNW Weather Watch hoodie to stay warm.
SNOWCHADS OUR TIME IS COMING
I was in 6th grade in 1068, and we missed an entire week of school due to the heavy snow.
Sorry I’m so late Boss, but quiz time. Does the breakdown of the AMOC have any effect on the ENSO?
So, I get confused by the noise about ocean warmth and "climate change". As a retired scientist, I studied geo systems for quite some time. I know science has enhanced it's data base but has it changed that much. During my times of studying geo systems, the major contributor for oceanic warming was the sun. In all my readings, I never came across a study that suggested the atmosphere contributed to ocean warming. Am I off touch here? The earth is covered by 70+% water and most of that water is deep oceanic basins. How does the atmosphere play in this subject?
There are several connections, mainly having to do with surface salinity and the rate at which glacial ice (fresh water) is released into the surrounding oceans.
So an example is polar ice. A warming atmosphere will prevent ice formation and melt ice when formed. Less polar ice means the summer arctic sun can warm the water whereas before the sunlight was reflected by solar ice. It's a self fulfilling cycle as less ice means more warming which means less ice.
Another has to do with worldwide ocean currents that mix the deep ocean with the surface. As Greenland ice is melted into the North Atlantic it lowers the salinity of the water there. The North Atlantic is one of the biggest contributors to surface ice diving into the deep ocean, supporting deep water welling to the surface in other areas. Fresh water is lighter than salinated water. As the North Atlantic becomes less saline, it means less surface water diving into the deep ocean, which then affects welling up elsewhere. We don't know to what extent this desalination of the North Atlantic will affect the worldwide ocean currents, but it is entirely possible much ocean convection could stop. This could cause the deep ocean and the surface to stop trading energy which means the surface of the ocean would just keep getting warmer with sunlight rather than cycling down and getting replaced by cold deep water. This could create a self-supporting inversion much like that seen in the Black Sea where surface and deep water are entirely separate from each other.
Early..😅.
Effects of Honga Tonga 🇹🇴
🍻
I'm 66 I remember 68 69 winter
It will takes a Neutral ENSO conditions by the year 2025-26, maybe Just like 2001-02, you remember El Nino Failed in 2001-02
I ended up in the weeds. Too much history is not particularly helpful.
Good thing i stscked 2 cords of wood here and have another 5 or 6 to figure out where im gonna put it....