Steve Kornacki and Chuck Todd give an early look at the 2024 Senate map
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- Опубликовано: 19 апр 2023
- NBC News National Political Correspondent Steve Kornacki joins Chuck Todd at the big board to detail how the presidential election gives clear inferences on who retains control of Congress in 2024.
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#NBCNews #SteveKornacki #Senate
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![Senate What If?: ‘50/50 … [Is] Democrats’ Best-Case Scenario’](/img/tr.png)
If Dems win the House and the GOP win the Senate in 2024, we can officially declare ourselves the Musical Chairs of America.
😅😅😅😅😅😅😅
LOL. CLOWN. Your ignorance is astounding.
It would be also the flipside of 2010 when the Republicans scored extremely well in House races but largely washed out in the Senate cycle. Races they had in the bag in Nevada and Delaware were botched by inept Tea Party candidates. The strange thing now is that polarizing Republican candidates are doing better than terrible in the Senate cycle but often getting their clocks cleaned in the House. Congressional districts are smaller and you would think more ideological but they've proven surprisingly resilient against this Stop the Steal rhetoric.
Stomp the GOP out of politics, they have the Court, please let us not give them Congress and the White House
@disgruntledpelican5660 Lol. Libs are going to cry.
More Steve Kornacki! We don't want to wait 1.5 years to see him again
Steve's looking jacked these days.
i’m not a fan of msnbc but steve is iconic
@@John-ym9ic And he's hot
We'll probably see him some time Tuesday for the KY Primaries and January when the 2024 Primaries start up
And in 2023 gubernational elections
Kansas voting against the abortion ban is a harbinger of things to come for the GOP.
Kansas is still a red state despite a majority voting against the abortion ban.
Besides. The party lied to us on abortion anyway. Not surprisingly. We’ll say anything we’re so democratic now days.🙄
In Kansas most people vote for GOP out of custom. In the same year as abortion referendum, Republican candidate was elected with 60% of the vote.
It’s interesting how some Republican states voted to keep Roe v Wade, yet they vote for the same folks who want to ban it. Never underestimate American stupidity.
@@Cubus-zapasowy Gen Z is standing back and standing by.
The GOP is already dead.
California, with 40 million people, has the same number of senators as Wyoming, with only half million. Absolute insanity is what that is.
We aren’t a democracy, that’s why it doesn’t make sense to you. We are a constitutional REPUBLIC.
Not really. If you understand our system of government. They get their huge influence in the House of Representatives. The Senate. Was meant for common sense. Equal Representation of each member of the union. With a super majority needed to change laws for the whole. Not just a simple majoirty. That would leave our country rapidly and dramatically changing. As the different parties won majorities in each branch or institution. Constantly swinging dramatically one way, and back the other over time.
But California gets 52 seats in the house and Wyoming has one.
Electoral votes. California, if flipped, dooms Democrats.
Texas and Florida has the same number of senators as Vermont or Delawere.
It goes both ways.
Didn't they predicted a massive red wave in 2022? How did that actually turned out?
Womens right to choose blocked the red wave
it was a massive sprinkle
It didn't happen, because Republicans nominated several extreme election deniers for candidates in key races.
Best example is Georgia - Herschel Walker lost a senate election, when Brian Kemp comfortably won governor election by 7,5%.
@@Cubus-zapasowy Also because of lack of funding from the GOP, mitch and lindsay gotta go
@@anthonynosike Lol. Check the finances of Republican and Democrat branches in these states
Way way too early.
How
@@decathreat6194because like he said it’s still 500 days away, anything can happen, incumbents may consider not running which changes up the way people vote, there could be a major political swing in either direction, and depending on who the nominees are for president, could determine split ticketing
@@seanslawson98 ya but no harm looking at it
Definitely not voting G uns O ver P eople
Yes. Definitely vote democRAT.
@@Reaper-cm4jr why , they are ruining usa . Can't you see it , why are lying to yourself
@@Reaper-cm4jr What’s wrong with rats? You’re missing out on all the Ratatouille!
@@RealJackHQ yeah, a bunch of French people died from who knows what diseases at the end of that movie
@@idkwhatsgoingon4584 Did you not see the giant steam washing machine that all the rats like Emil entered? The patrons will be fine.
Susan Collins won by agreeing with her Democratic challenger on every issue and even dressing like her so that the only choice was whether to keep seniority or not
yeah, it's sad how many voters (particularly older ones) can be fooled by cosplaying someone in the opposite party. Trump looked just barely enough like President JFK in 2016 to take advantage of this. The guy helping Kevin Mccarthy out in his press conferences right now is trying *very hard* to look like Harry Truman.
Susan Collins voting to not confirm Amy Coney Barrett is the only thing that saved her job as a US Senator from Maine
@@straightopoint any more conservative and she would not have won election. She only won the election by pretending to be a RINO
@@straightopointcope
@@straightopointsenators are not bound to their parties. If she's a RINO, then she should be an independent
All democrats have to do is have their incumbents win Montana & Ohio.... the Montana democrat has a 58% approval (5th most popular Senator in the nation) in that deep-red state. The ohio democrat is very popular too; honestly wish he'd run for President (Sherrod Brown). So that leaves Nevada which is a literal tossup where the democrat is the incumbent, and maybe Pennsylvania where the incumbent is a Democrat. Democrats more likely to lose Nevada than the other three, in my opinion.
They already had the senate race in Nevada in 2022 and the democrat won. I’m I missing something
The fact that Brown is popular doesn't mean he would win.
J.D. Vance was a bad candidate and Tim Ryan was a pretty strong candidate, and Vance still won by 6%. Ohio has gone too much to the right in last years for Brown to prevail.
Tester can prevail, because he's fairly moderate, but it mostly depends on who Republican candidate would be.
ur delusional bc dems won nevada in a R+2 environment and montana and ohio and west virginia are very polarized
@@tracymorgan5386 Democrats won the Senate race in Nevada, but on the same day lost Governor race in Nevada. Both elections were decided by less than 1%
@@luvv4kevv Based on what do you think environment was R+2?
Don't think any democrat would shed a tear if Manchin lost his seat.
I feel the same. But there is always hope that a better Democratic candidate from his state takes over the office he held with a better perspective. He may not like it. Too Bad!!
@@annem.parent8580 I doubt it
I don't like him, but I still want to Dem hold the Senate. Even that means have to Manchin in it
@@lukescribner9100 I'm not for vote blue no matter who. Him and Sinema only care about their corporate donors.
@@DimeDoppler Sinema think will lose the primary. But I do think Dem keep Arizona.
Susan Collins voting to not confirm Amy Coney Barrett is the only thing that saved her job as a US Senator from Maine
It didn’t even matter. The Republicans didn’t need her vote to confirm Amy Coney Barrett. She and Mitch McConnell knew this. They knew her no vote on Justice Barrett would help her get re-elected. If her vote was actually needed, she would have voted to confirm.
That blowfish makes me sick.
“Our ‘ *friend* ’ Susan Collins in Maine” 🤮
The red part of that map is called "American Carnage."
Why? all the hauls from Ca, NY, Illinois, etc parked there?
💯, a big red flag 😂
No, the RED is red state pregnant women/girls bleeding out from forced births of the deformed fetuses of their rapists & the blood, pulverized organs & splintered bone of American citizens massacred in red state schools, shopping centers, churches, parks, etc, etc…✌️✌️🙄✌️👍🌊🇺🇸
Just the opposite
Texas I feel is one to watch for, because it has been gradually moving towards the center, especially with how many businesses are forcing people from blue states to move there (and yes, many who are moving to Texas aren't doing so because they want to, it's because it's for their job). So yeah, Texas may very well be shooting itself in the foot while bragging about getting people from California. Florida is iffy due to how although it's been gradually going more Red, DeSantis has been causing a lot of problems to the point it may very well be pushing people to move away from the Republican party.
So what your actual saying is people and businesses are moving to red states cause they are better runned states ,
@@stephenflood5374 You mean lower taxes
Plus Cruz is up for reelection. He barely won last time. But i honestly don't see it flipping
@@tomrogue13 He also has a very popular Democrat Colin Allred running against him. He’s a former football player who won his congressional seat in a red district against a Republican who had held that seat for 20 years.
@@waylonbeasley1477 just read an article about that. We'll see how the primary goes cuz i think there's a few Dems looking to get in
Love me some Steve kornacki.
Steve hasn't changed his clothes since the Trump election lol
WHO CARES? ID DRINK HIM DRY LOL
I was thinking if we changed how we vote. The person or the issues…Promoting issue-oriented democracy requires a combination of structural changes and citizen engagement. Here are a few ideas that could help make democracy more focused on issues:
1. Enhanced public education: Invest in civic education to ensure citizens have a solid understanding of key issues, policies, and their implications. This will enable voters to make informed decisions based on the substance of the issues at hand.
2. Transparent campaign financing: Implement stricter regulations on campaign financing, ensuring transparency and reducing the influence of special interests. This can help prevent the distortion of issues and keep the focus on the merits of the policies being proposed.
3. Issue-based political campaigns: Encourage political parties and candidates to prioritize issue-based campaigns, where they outline their positions on key policy areas and present their plans for addressing those issues. This approach would help voters evaluate candidates based on their stance on important matters rather than their personal attributes.
4. Accessible information platforms: Establish user-friendly platforms that provide unbiased information on various issues, including pros and cons, potential consequences, and expert opinions. Such platforms could assist voters in understanding complex topics and making more informed choices.
5. Open dialogues and debates: Foster a culture of open dialogues and substantive debates among candidates, policymakers, and citizens. Encourage discussions that delve into the details of different proposals, allowing for contrasting viewpoints and critical analysis.
6. Participatory democracy: Explore mechanisms to enhance citizen participation in decision-making processes, such as public consultations, deliberative forums, and citizen juries. This can give individuals a direct say in shaping policies and ensure that their concerns and preferences are taken into account.
By combining these approaches, we can shift the focus of democracy towards issues rather than personal attributes, empowering citizens to make choices based on their alignment with policy positions and the potential impact on society.
A simpler solution would be ranked voting.
All very simple and obvious until you give it some thought. One person's "education" is someone else's "indoctrination". The ideas listed are exactly a recipe for disaster.
#5 is the biggest challenge proponents for change use adaptive Marxist techniques (when change is considered warfare from oppression, any tactic is justified).
You're asking for too much there lol
Did you use ChatGPT for this lol
Is that Steve Kornacki without a piece of paper in his hand???
Blah blah blah blah… all these media outlets are now massive failures when it comes to forecasting🤷🏻♂️ just wait for people to vote. Mind conditioning these days isn’t that effective, unless you’re from the extreme “right”🤭
Republicans have a very favorable Senate map in 2024.
We heard all of that about the last election.
Exactly, and there was no red wave.
In last election Republicans nominated several extreme candidates in key races. Now they know it was stupid and would not do this again.
Mastriano (who lost Pennsylvania governor election by more than 10%) want to run for Senate this year, but this would be so bad, that even Trump wants to prevent it.
@@Cubus-zapasowy I get where you're coming from, but that party is run by it´s extremes, and as is the case in the past, they have not learned their lesson. They will run a bunch of clowns. The tail is wagging the dog.
@@Cubus-zapasowy he could run as a more moderate candidate this time
@@idkwhatsgoingon4584 Why would he?
Don't underestimate the Democrats in 2024. This is going to be a very very different election than what these clowns are trying to predict.
Yep, these last few years alone is getting a lot of young voters worried and in turn pushing them to start being a lot more proactive in fighting the Republican party so as to retain rights we all should have. I can honestly see more gen z and the start of gen alpha showing up in droves and pushing back along with a decent chunk of millennials.
😂
Dems have done nothing to help workers. Trump could very well win re election because of how bad Biden is.
@@roshandinesh6701 Well, it will be funny.....win Republicans lose in 2024........🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🗳🌊🇺🇸💙🥊💯
That’s a very scary situation.
Yay we love Steve
Steve Kornacki!
West Virginia is gone. I believe that by now, Jim Justice is more popular even among Democrats than Joe Manchin. The only way for Dems to get something out of West Virginia is for Manchin to run for governor again instead of senate.
However, Montana and Ohio are a different story I think. Jon Tester is still highly popular, and Montana is less then half as republican as West Virginia. People tend to see both as solid republican states, but there is roughly an equal gap between Montana and Michigan as there is between Montana and West Virginia. (20 points one way or the other). And in Ohio, although Tim Ryan didn't win in 2022, there was arguably a lot of ticket splitting between the governors and senate race, with Ryan losing by 6 points and Whaley by 25.
One last one that I'm (relatively) optimistic about is Missouri. Of course Josh Hawley is the clear favourite, but I still see a path to that becoming competitive. Politics can be about one image, and if used relentlessly and continuously by the right candidate, that image of Hawley running through congress halls could do some damage.
Texas and Florida on the other hand, I'd be less optimistic about. Since that one upset with Beto, democrats haven't really succeeded in making Texas competitive, and now the republicans guard is fully up there. And democrats suffered historic losses only a few months ago in Florida.
Manchin can't run for Governor again. He is term limited there.
We never know it's a freefall when I don't do their online polls
Did y'al say Biden to win in 2024? Seriously?
i guarantee ohio is going red and joe manchin is petrified of losing west virginia
Ohio is a maybe but Manchin is DOA
I think Ohio stays blue in the senate but West Virginia goes red. As a democrat i don’t really care if Manchin wins or loses.
@@Mikestamper04 I agree Ohio is staying blue and West Virginia is going red
Ohio is gone dude it’s a full boar maga state
@@jimbobjicckup5994 ohio is trump country THANK GOD
How many of those red states are gerrymandered 😂
All of them they are run by redudlicans!
Senate races are state wide. House races are in districts which is why the GOP holds the house despite having a social minority.
I live in Florida and I know that De-Santis did just that to win. Hillsborough and Pinellas Counties were always blue till he rewrote the maps. The DOJ told him he couldn't do that, but he did anyway!!!
Wisconsin is a good example of a gerrymandered state. Democrats & Republicans have roughly equal the same amount of voters...yet the districts are divided so Republicans win 8 seats and Dems only win 4 seats... and on the state-house & state-senate level, Republicans have super-majorities because it is so gerrymandered by republicans.
Gerrymandering doesn't matter for statewide contests like the Senate.
Things I trust more than NBC News:
Gas station sushi.
Ex Con babysitters.
Kim Jong Un.
Drug addicts.
Steve Kornacki, the genius behind the 2016 analysis. Like bringing back Arnold Rothstein to umpire the World Series.
Well he got 2020 right.
@@neilbruce123rigged election obviously
@@francescofranchetti3856 U THINK...DUH
@@francescofranchetti3856true trump did try and rig it
@@christianauldridge1264Obama 2008 got 10 million less votes than Biden in 2020
10 million! I’m not a statistician but that’s rigged
Nothing like a good 2024 election breakdown 2 years out.
Did they post this in November, 2022? No.
Desperate to fill the 24 news cycle!!.❤️🇺🇲🇺🇦
Blue Wave a coming in 2024😉👌👍 🇺🇸
You cannot go by polls because voters are unpredictable.
How are you doing 😘
You people heard them so let's prove them wrong. If we all get out and vote will win almost the entire map.
Abortion. Abortion. Abortion. Human rights.
Crime. The Wisconsin democrat judge who just won had the majority of her tv commercials be about NOT being soft on crime.
Vote for human rights. Save the babies :)
Need a kleenex?? Maybe a case??
1Abortion right, 2 Gun control,3 economy, and 4 foreign affairs. I see Dem win back the Senate, but it's going to be close. I see a lot younger voters going to Dem in Red states.
Young voters are very small group of voters and are becoming smaller and smaller with each election, because people don;t want to have kids.
I support abortion as its only bottom feeder democrats getting them, and we need less of those...
Lol naw
Vocal minority there will never be enough to form a significant bloc to outweigh old republican voters
In what universe is Minnesota a battleground state? 😂
Clinton barely won it in 2016, plus rural voters are shifting away from Dems (See how they ousted Collin Peterson in 2020) and suburban voters are a swing (see how they ousted two republicans representatives in 2018) plus a near even parison lean.
Steve dress code is same every day!Like it
That's my next Halloween costume.
Naah too conservative
Kornaki never changes his clothes.
Too early for these predictions!
Love both these guys
Why they are a one sided media, America needs a independent news
@@stephenflood5374 i agree but they are both numbers guys and numbers are fun
there he is
And the stalemate continues. Throw them ALL out.
God after this last house chaos, the speaker would have to commit giving up 1st borns to the crazies. Can't even imagine if all 3 are republican in its current state. Is it too much to ask no matter if blue or red that they are 'normal' in some respect?
I don't know if I agree with the sentiments here. Trying to generalize Senate races in states that have completely different circumstances and contexts might not be the best analysis. West Virginia and Montana shouldn't be compared to one another like it's apples to apples
With Trump on the ticket, don't see how any state he carries can elect a Democrat senator.
The republican candidates running against Tester (Rosendale and Zinke) are some of the worst candidates Republicans could put. Zinke won by just 3 points in a solidly republican house district and Rosendale already lost to Tester in 2018. I could see Tester winning the senate race in Montana if either of them are the nominees.
@@Mdebacle I think people think Tester is an adult and will actually sit and listen to his constituents. Montana seems to have some really bizarre Republicans.
@@AnthonyJMurph The same was true of Bullock in 2020, but Trump was on the ballot.
3:04 That is not Missouri LOL
Well, that's depressing...
Politics are hard to follow, even more when two people talk over each other.
It wasn't bad at all. They were great together - they seem like they enjoy talking to each to other. It was fun to see them so excited in their discussion!
What about abortion though
Still being done every day. What about it.
It wasn’t just Maine where they had split ticket voting. It was Georgia too. At least on election night, before the runoff.
So best case scenario for Dems:
Democratic President, House Democratic control and Senate Republican control
Best case scenario for Republicans:
Republicans control the House, Senate, and Presidency.
That said, Manchin could win reelection and Trump Republicans seem to have a bad track record in swing states. Nothing is concrete. It all depends on the candidates.
I’m staunchly conservative, but generally like Chuck Todd. Informed, smart guy.
Thanks, Chuck & Steve. God, what a horror story.
PA has a very good chance of being one, with trump and casey winning
I don’t believe you can predict it this far out
How is that even possible? Have Americans learnt nothing? I'm just....shocked watching from Europe
We have a bias elctral map towards Republicans, the founding fathers fuct our democracy.
Trump will more than likely be the Republican nominee again and he will lose again in the general election. A third of Americans (die hard Trump supporters) refuse to let him go. It’s sick.
@Will Guess you didnt enjoy the freat 4 years we had under Trump. Better keep voting Democrat because thats working for the state of the country
@@Dyrtybyrdie trump got 74 million people to vote for him and dems can’t even raise the minimum wage.
You probably have guaranteed healthcare. Americans have an economy shaped around the military industrial complex.
I don understand two things:
1) why are there still so many people that don’t vote. 2) why are there so many people that still vote Republican after all of what they’ve done.
people are delusional
@@planetary2180 BEYOND DELUSIONAL, BYE BYE RIGHTS. DON'T SAY WE DIDN'T TELL YOU SO.
It means you don't understand politics
@@louismora8631 george bush already took your rights to privacy so its too late
@@elennet4116 you wanna talk about that video in your channel
The performative machinations of the drizzle sh*ts done live on television. If you ever needed an example. Watch 'Schmuck' Todd and 'Khakis' Kornacki performance of "how to sell me a bridge."
People are forgetting about tennessee and what has been happening
The electoral college should be modified. The fate of the nation should not rest on a handful of states with a fraction of the population.
Modified? How about abolished?
We need a national popular vote to elect president.
@@larrysernyk6154 I lived in Idaho for years and never voted. What was the point? As a left leaning voter, your vote was never going to count there.
@@larrysernyk6154 If that is the case then Clinton would have won over Trump in 2016. Now I wished for that too as well. We would have been better off knowing what we know now. I left the GOP after 40+ years to vote against him in 2020.
@@BobPsomiadis Because the Founding Fathers weren't the geniuses we make them out to be? My idea is each state gets two senators. Each side gets to elect their own person. The power of each senator's vote is decided by how many people (percentage wise) vote Dem or Republican. So, a Democratic senator from California might have a vote of 1.3, while the Republican will have a vote of .7. Meanwhile a Democratic senator from Alabama will have a vote of 1.5, while the Dem senator will have a vote of .5.
Trump 2024
who ever can bring back great America with prosperity.. no protest... no mass shooting... No terriorism.... No drug problems... Homeless people have more presence mind and help America to be strong over and build up America to be N°1🎉🎉🎉
The Senate shows our government at its most ineffective (both the rules and the people in it)
I feel like they're expecting past turnout. The younger voters are much more likely to vote than ever before, especially when so many of their rights are being threatened in these red areas...
Every time Republicans attempt to pass a law removing rights from the MAJORITY of We the People, youth/Democrat voter registration goes up, everywhere…I think red states are about to “find out” on 11/5/2024 what the MAJORITY of We the RATIONAL People think about losing our REAL freedoms, PERMANENTLY…👍✌️🌊🇺🇸
Brad, how I hope you're right. How the entire world needs you to be right.
Stop making enemies with the youth then🤷🏾♂️
You understand that young voters are becoming a smaller and smaller group with each election because of droping birth rate?
@Cubus 211121 actually the amount of young voters has increased significantly against the republicans because of trump and abortion. The birth rate doesnt mean anything, the birth rate can fluctuate year by year.
Why do the analysts now NEVER mention Roe V Wade and the abortion issue??
It had huge impact in Kansas and Wisconsin.
I think it will impact races across the country.
because it's like what's going on in FL. Though the republican party isn't helping the state and desantis is fighting the 'woke' agenda. The state will re-election the same senator and rep even if they are the ones making and passing the bills to desantis.
@@rettbull9100 Yep. American voters are often stupid.
PS - I define "stupid" as a person who votes FOR people that ACT against that voter.
Especially when the politician openly states what they want to do.
For instance, Republicans have been openly trying to ban abortions. When they pass a law doing that, Republican women will get all upset, and THEN change vote Democrat.
I call that stupid.
My goodness how handsome is Steve Kornacki??? Lol ❤❤❤❤❤❤ Everytime I see him on TV i have to watch lol
STEVE AND LESTER...ONLY reason to watch NBC/MSNBC😊
With abortion and gun control under attack from both sides. It will be really hard to pick the next election. We don't know if both candidates will be alive by the time the election gets here. Will their running mate be a leader or a quota filler.
What! abortion and gun control under attack from Both Sides? What am I missing here? I only see one side attacking abortion rights and one side attacking any attempt at gun control. The old “both sides” argument, it’s equally bad but mostly just wrong.
@Claye I for one support abortion as only low income bottom feeding Democrats are the ones getting them and Lord knows we need less of them!
@@claye323There's one side attacking gun rights 24/7
Sorry the young people and women are going to give Biden another term and a Democratic House and Senate.
Don’t forget the lgbtq community and the the black community probably the Asian community and anyone who has half a brain cell will all vote against the GQP. They don’t have a chance outside of the deep red states.
Why? Do you want Trump or DeSantis?
according to who ?
Plus a lot of elderly GOP voters have passed away. Throw in the Gen Z that replaces that votes and that spells disaster for the GOP which is great for America!
@@oceanshrugs9235 is it really how's the finance for Americans as inflation is at an all time high
Is that dave wallace from the office?
🙏Not we don’t need Craziness in our Government Enough is Enough
We need rank choice voting nationwide for a safer election! It's harder for the parties to cheat!
Not just cheat, but it would allow for independents and politicians to stray away from each party's dogmatic positions that they feel they must currently run on or not criticize.
Yep. Everyone wins if we implement that.
Parties? You mean democrats
@@markwesselmann9237 Your own judges determined that Biden won fair and square, dude. Get over it.
@@markwesselmann9237 I mean anyone. Yes. This time it was Republicans who did the cheating, but we need to change the way elections work to keep anyone from doing it in the future.
I would throw Missouri in there as one to watch, I understand that Schmidt won in 2022 with 55% and Hawley narrowly won in 2018 with 51%, but Hawley v Lucas Kunce (hopefully he wins the Dem. Primary) could be considered a close race with how unlikable Hawley is in Missouri, of course he’ll have his core voters but I can’t imagine many moderates or independents likening him enough to vote for Hawley again, idk just my opinion/optimism I guess
The Presidential race could also influence the senate race
Trump v Biden it could be a closer Senate Race
If it’s DeSantis v Biden, I think Hawley safely wins reelection
Hawley was against a Dem incumbent back in 2018, it's not gonna be anywhere near as close now that he's the one defending his seat against a relative unknown. Popularity doesn't mean that much in a safe state either, otherwise Mitch McConnell would be long gone. Closest seat the dems can hope for is Texas since it's becoming more of a swing state and Cruz was almost beaten last time.
2018 was a blue wave and Hawley was against an incumbent
Nobody has ranked Missouri as competitive. The only Republican held seat that might not be safe is Texas that's it.
@@dvferyance and Florida
@@stevenplayzzz172 Given the 2022 results I doubt that. Florida is gone for the Democrats.
Omg. So sad!!!
I refuse to vote for Manchin so much I'll stay home lol.
Suprised they mentioned Manchin and not Sinema, cause she could potentially be a bigger powder keg if she runs again. If she does run, and stays independent than she will split the ticket between her and the democrat in the general and more than likely give Arizona to the Republicans
Frankly, imo many Americans wonder why the Electoral College still exists. Voters are disenfranchised when millions more vote for one candidate, then the Electoral College choses the other. How is equal representation 2 Senators per State, when states like Wyoming have like 10 people who live there, and California has 40 million. That must change. We're a grown up country now. These rules were made in our infancy, and are so obsolete. I demand equal representation.
Agreed
The electoral college is objectively the better mechanism though
@@cjoliver7871 you almost made me unleash my rant but hey people who think the electoral college is best dont really ever listen so
@@OrangeMan.19 Well, odds are all the reasons you have wouldn't matter in terms of how the country was set up anyway.
California has 52 Representatives, while Wyoming only has 1.
Chuck Todd’s voice = nails on a chalkboard.
"I'd throw in Minnesota" pff imagine
Cant say whats gonna happen!! They havnt been right yet!!
I don't believe Republican is going the Senate in 2024 this guy he is lying
If Mr. Trump is the normany of the republican party the complete chat will be blue 💙 👍. Republicans unite and get rid of that, sure Tom👍 bandaid.
Listin to this and be warned.
Tester is always listed as vulnerable but he always wins.
Haha! A Democrat will NEVER get Montana! I wish they could, I wish it with all my heart but I live in rural Montana and I'm the ONLY dem that I know 😏
You have a Democratic Senator! Jon Tester
How about John Tester? Now there are two Democrats in Montana!
It starts with 1 buddy. You have to campaign hard in Montana. Vote Blue.
@@TJBellamy99 yes, I know that...I voted for him but I can't imagine that Montana would go completely blue...the people in the "cities" are more democratic but it's mostly Republicans in the rural parts and we have a lot of rural :) but I will hold out hope!
@@lockman004 lol so true :) I meant any that I know personally...I did vote for him tho, so maybe that counts ha
The orange man should be incarcerated by then.
And what exactly has he been convicted of??
Can Chuck let Steve talk? Chuck really doesn't no what he's talking about.
More laws
#tulsa #janaejavan #oklahoma look at that Red Wave!
Ohio,Montana,and West Virginia are must wins for Democrats to hold their majority and the only possible pickups are Texas and Florida.
Imagine Ted Cruz`s face if he loses in 2024. I hope he gets the boot in 2024. Also Jim Justice,Tim Sheehy, Matt Dolan&David McCormick will be the gop candidates for their respective states in 2024.
There's no way Democrats would win Florida. Scott has +8 approval rating, and Florida has gone too far to the right in last years. Last year DeSantis won it by 19% and Rubio by 16%.
And Cruz may underperform, but still there's little chance he would lose. He won even in 2018, that was a blue wave year and Democrats had a very strong candidate, and 2024 is gonna be a better environment for Republicans than 2018.
Colorado...
I think Missouri and Tennessee are possible pickups too because Hawley and Blackburn are not popular and they won by an upset in 2018
@@tylerkutschbach
Blackburn last time won by 11%, this wasn't even close. How do you expect this race now to be competitive? Especially that it looks like that in 2024 she would perform better, because:
1. She's an incumbant. Incumbants always perform better, than when they are first elected.
2. 2018 was a Blue Wave Year and many Democrats overperformed. 2024 looks like a better environment for Republicans.
The same with Howley - he defeated an incumbant (!) by a 6% in a Blue Wave year. And the next election looks better for Republicans.
And I don't know why you consider Blackburn's win an upset. Republicans has held that Senate seat for almost 30 years and Tennessee is heavily Republican. I can understand Missouri - even thought it was a Red State since 2000, there was a Democratic incumbant. But Blackburn? Nothing suggested she would lose and in the end the election was not even close.
It would be nice to have a few more options to choose from rather than just the 2 parties. Obviously you can vote for others, but they are pretty much irrelevant at the moment
We have the party system we have because of first-past-the-post voting without runoffs. That voting method is not democracy. But trashing the Democrats it when they're the best option available unless we can ever change the method of voting, is supporting the magas. If you can't or won't do the work to make the necessary change, at least support the best available alternative.
Susan Collins is NOT our friend Chuck.
I love it when republicans lose. They scream and cry about how terrible it is they lost. They never admit they were defeated because they are so shocked and upset that they were DEFEATED. I love it!
I never get tired of watching it either.
ruclips.net/video/wrWzBg475Q8/видео.html
Better than America being constantly defeated by Dems.
If it's 51-49 Murkowski will switch to independent & caucus with the D's.
unlikely
@Equal Opportunity Offender They would say what committee do you want to chair ? & that could prompt her ...
There's about as much chance of that happening as Manchin becoming a Republican.
Lol it’s the rural vs the urban all I see with this map
Ohio’s incumbent Democrat Sen. Sharron Brown voted with Joe Biden 98% of the time
Good luck winning re-election with a track record like that in this economy Sharron 👍
How did Chuck ever get this job???
at this point we need a hail Mary like Mississippi
My home state of Mississippi is a Republican state safe
EVERY DAY WE LEARN SOMETHING NEW WITH CROOKEDNOMICS
Let's have the talking heads tell us what to think some more, shall we?