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Russia tries to add 147,000 troops 6 months too late with little training, while Ukraine had 1 million units doing 6 months of training. Yeah. Its way too little to late. Now if Ukraine could convince Biden to LOAN 700 Abrams pulled from Reservist unit storage (plus logistics and repair gear), then war will end fast.
Don't forget about "MacNamara's 100,000" -- drafting troops who normally wouldn't be accepted into the service due to low IQ during the Vietnam War. It was a disaster.
Not a single person has been sent to jail in Russia for criticising the war. Even people who were caught funding the UAF were only "publicly shamed" on TV but not jailed. 2 people are on trail both are senior politicians and career anti Putin activists. Unlike in the EU where 15 people have been jailed for sentences of up to 12years for "supporting the enemy"
As someone who works in electronics manufacturing, I can say it would unfortunately be very hard to cut off a supply of these high tech components to Russia. Most of these parts are widely available for civilian use, and as Chris pointed out, they are traded like commodities through many different hands with no way of tracking. The best you can hope for, is that it becomes expensive and slower for them to get the parts.
Russia has a large, experienced gray market that is very integrated into the larger economy. That can't be stopped, but slowing it and making it cost more means an undersupplied Russian military is hurting even more.
Artillery requires very little. Russia's army consists of people and artillery. Lots and lots of artillery. NATO's army is one of weapons and few people. You do the math.
The Wagner officer said literally "The war is heavy, nothing like Afghanistan or Chechnya". That shows that the Russians are aware of their problems when discussing internally, even in front of new recruits, only downplaying it on TV for propaganda purposes, so that the general population thousands of kilometers away from the war zone doesn't freak out and become troublesome.
The Ukrainians are making no new inroads. Their offensive has petered out after taking staggering losses . Now winter comes and they have Nato weapons ( their original Soviet weapons have been destroyed ) not suitable for winter conditions They are also in wide open areas with no fortifications . Very vulnerable
@@trevorcrook5753 It would be very unusual for the Russians to regain momentum. Where do they get the microchips from? Where do they get the money? They are still selling energy resources to Asian states, but countries like China are ripping them off, knowing that the European customers who have the big money and were willing to pay it are gone. If you think that Ukraine lost more of the momentum than Russia, you are going to be negatively surprised.
@@trevorcrook5753 Oh come on, that was the same line with Kharkiv offensive. You russian bots are returning to the old excuses? Anyway, my response is the same. Come back here a month after and we'll see how wrong you are. Proved every russian bot wrong everytime since the BS Russia will take kyiv "in 3 days" from the start of the war
The best part of that prison recruitment video is that you're not allowed to retreat or become POW. If you get captured, you have 2 grenades for that situation.
@@stupidburp lmao. Won’t work. Few Russians are being taken as POWs. Lefties always accuse their enemies of what they themselves do, there are plenty of unmarked mass graves to be found after this is all settled 😉
It's funny that throughout my military career from 1983 to 1999. It wasn't unusual for the old 60's-70's era senior NCO's and mid level Officers who were previous enlisted to have been go to war go to jail or let in if the recruiter's ocould swing a misdemeanor and suspended sentence with immediate enlistment. Hell I was one of those. An as--- old cop took an interest in me when he stopped me. Made me get my GED. I had breakfast with him once a week at 6AM for 6 months. He said I had potential and dont waste it. He saved my life.
That's something that definitely seemed to have died out. I went delayed entry program in 1996 then off to boot camp in 1998. For me it was poor choice in friends upon getting in trouble we all were about to be pretty fucked. That is until the cop who was a retired Marine decided to get creative. Told my friends he was going to walk back to his car get something and walk back. All the alcohol better be disposed when he came back upon which time THEY would be written up for curfew violation and I didn't exist. That my friends should thank me for saving thier sorry asses. And for me was told this is the first time and probably not the last time MY ass got saved by the United States Marine Corps... He knew when my shipout date was and God wouldn't even be able to help me if I wasn't gone. To make sure I understood he had me drop and do 50 push-ups then said if I wasn't gone I'd be front lean and rest until HE got tired then sent us on our way. Life doing what life does apparently thought this was too funny to not milk some more. The day I was to ship out we were running late my mom decided her 30ish years of having a perfect record should give some leeway and makes an illegal left turn. Seconds later cop lights, I see a familiar face walking up to the car. I say absolutely nothing cop asks why she did that and she tells him I was off to bootcamp. He says mam I'm not writing you up just see he doesn't miss his bus, then Son when you're 21 you owe the Corpse many drinks...
I was an infantryman in the ‘hollow army’, 1975-1980. The recruiters would go to the courthouse and be given the choice, go to the army or go to jail. A few found a home in the army and were awesome troops. Most were misfits who left with over a dozen Article 15’s ( no joke. Knew a guy with 17! Then wanted to re-enlist! Army said no.)
Happened to my uncle during Desert Storm. No one believes me but I was there. Remember the guys in the K car driving him away to the base. After he returned from service he told me, "jail would have been a smarter choice."
Really? I served in the Army 75-99 as a tanker. Heard about the guys given the choice but never met one. You should have stayed longer. 1980 was the start of a great builded up.
@@rogerwarner7825 I retired in 2004. Half of my anti tank platoon would March down to the orderly room on Monday morning for their weekly Article 15. While we would joke about that, it was not far from the truth. Drugs were rampant as was racial violence. Germany and Korea got a lot of these misfits as nobody wanted them in the US.
As you are pardoned after 6 months no matter how long your original sentence you're far more likely to get mass murderers who are in prison for life compared who's only in prison for a few years for drug possession. Another year in prison is better than 6 months at war.
I've heard that the time they'll have to serve will be different based on their crime. Apparently the worst criminals will have to serve twice or thrice that amount from what I've heard.
the same thing happend in germany, WW2, disciplinary batalions, worst of the worst scumbags they would find, all knew they are for the meat grinder, few survived, read the books wrote by Sven Hassel
Government : Throws you in the gulag for some BS pissing the prisoners off. Also Government : Lets you out and gives you military weapons to fight the enemy. Prisoner: You are my enemy.
Was a M1 tank crew member back in the day. We were out in the field training (typical temporary razor wire perimeters, tanks in columns with gun tubes over the side for line of fire). I was a gunner at the time and had just got done pulling guard and switched with the driver (the driver hole is comfortable, the gunner seat not so much). The driver went to sleep on the back deck (still warm from idling the tank) after his guard. TC announced refueling, which means we needed to put the gun tube over the front so the fuel truck can squeeze between the column. My Tank commander was a butter bar straight from school. I hated him from day one. The guy was dumb enough for me to question how he even gained entry to the Army. A M1 tank turret uses a joystick in both the TC and gunner seats, and can swing it very fast. SOP is to alert soldiers in the vicinity BEFORE rapidly swinging it because it can literally chop a thinner tree right in half, or take your head off, or worse. My TC swung the tube fast without warning, catching our driver's legs in the back rack, pinning them against the turret and ripping both almost off completely. I heard the screaming in the driver's hole while wearing a CVC helmet. The driver was a young kid straight from basic. Needless to say, he went home. My TC was moved, leaving just me and my loader. Had to qualify with a new TC and driver. One stupid but preventable mistake nearly made a tank non effective. Technically a loader can drive and a gunner can load and shoot, but quite slowly and poorly, making it useless. Russia has worse training. Imagine what I described happening but on a much more massive scale. If you can't trust the man next to you in war, you are both good as dead.
Geez...parhaps another reason for no backracks in Russian tanks... but yep I'd imagine stupid stuff is happening all over the place. I did medevac flights years ago in Africa and it was very evident that a large proportion of casualties in war zones were not actually related to combat.
Well said but the jailbird volunteers will be cannon fodder, poormans infantry. More scared of their pistol toting NCOs and officers than the enemy. Freeing his best troops to be re-equipped with his best newly procured weapon systems. It's the foreign "volunteers" Putin can secure with Desperation Deals that worry me. How many men and materials, would Iran supply in exchange for nuclear warheads and advanced missile technology? What would China do for access to Russia's most advanced military technology and their vast Siberian natural resources? What would the CCP ask for, to supply Russia with the products of their massive manufacturing capability? Then there is North Korea, what would they provide Putin for food aid and high tech weapons supplied by a compliant Chinese industry? Remember, Putin and his close comrades are the product of KGB/STASI training. I don't know if you served during the Cold War but those people were masters of manipulation, evil subterfuge, double dealing and doing the unexpected. Things Putin was very good at being one of the youngest loyal Colonels and a high flyer when the USSR went tits-up. Look how quickly he took control of Russia. Superrich Oligarchs, Russian Mafia, endless corruption and all. Do you think he is going to worry about nuclear proliferation or more likely, consider the destabilisation of the world as a bonus. Iran firing nuclear missiles at Israel, would be right up his street! I know he will attempt all of the above before releasing tactical nukes to his army generals. Things he hinted at with his poorly translated "winds changing direction speech." Those winds were political rather than fallout laden.
The United States suffered more casualties training for D-Day than they did on D-Day itself. For the exact reason described above. Green soldiers with only minimal training and no experience, commanded by "90-Day Wonders," rehearsing very complicated amphibious assaults with unproven equipment, sometimes in live-fire conditions. Take all of that confusion and throw in Russian prisoner mercenaries, with near zero training, lacking decent equipment, with decisions coming only from the highest levels, and you have a total shit-show. They may end up killing more of their own guys than they do Ukrainians. The only way it could be made worse is throwing in a bunch of robot North Korean slaves who don't even speak Russian.
The Wagner Group cannot be 100% combat people. They need support just like any military. So if they are not supporting themselves, then the Russian military has to be supporting them. One way or another they are getting support.
They are just using a corporate lingo. They are 50 percent fighters, 50 percent support. So they split into "Wagner Group ltd." and "Wagner Support ltd." and then they claim they are 100 per cent fighters.
I agree. Like SF or AB, they don't use heavy equipment, thus a smaller logistic train. Depend on other units to provide artillery support. Like other contractors, they are seen with suspicion by the offical Russian Army.
I am not a vet but, could each unit have a few guys to bandage some equipment? Maybe Chris means in a over all, capable, unit dedicated to maintenace? supples?
During the Vietnam war, it was 2 months of basic training and 2 months of advanced training for infantry, artillery, and military police. I was a draftee and had both artillery and military police training. When I arrived in Vietnam it had been almost 5 months since I had received artillery training. No, big deal. When I was sent out to the field, because of the rotational system, the majority of the people in an artillery battery were experienced. This allowed the newcomers to get up to speed without affecting the fighting capabilities of the battery and it doesn't take long to get up to speed, exponentially faster than even a year of training could provide.
This channel has taken a deep breath, gotten serious about itself, and has improved in depth, analysis, and detail, in a very noticeable way. Another great episode!
I remember at the beginning of the war he literally took his sources from channels like RT and claimed Kyiv would be taken over by Russia within a week. Now he actually studies his material and stops with the cheap jokes. He has gotten serious and I applaud that.
Ex British Army (24 Yrs) I am now over 50. I can't move for about 3 days after running about with my Granddaughter for a few hours. How the hell are these guys going to fight at my age? Thanks for your uploads very entertaining. By the way "can't move" is British for a bit stiff using muscles I not used to using. I'm thinking in the case of starting as a soldier from the start. I can see older gents with past training in sangers, stores, guard duty and driving. Not in urban assault teams.
My guess is drugs they pump them full of stuff we never heard of no one cares for the long haul one mission one firefight thats enough these old dudes are literal cannon fodder
I was very irritated when the Canadian preper referred to you as a court jester because of your interpretation of how the war is going, he is very pro Russian. I find it quite refreshing that you present clear and well researched information.
@@Taskandpurpose Indeed and often, more than any others, the jesters had the king's ears These were court players, not just clowns Poets, musicians, comedians, masters of intrigue and even spies
Im not pro Russian or pro USSA im Anti entanglements as Our US Constitution says we should be.Do lots of world wide research before you cast your Lot with either side A or B as America is way more corrupt than any other country on earth and it brings tears to my eyes.
Bruuhhh if they can't even properly maintain most of their guns and engines on their flagship navy vessels then how you expect them to have functional neckband bombs? They'd be the most impressive part of their logistics if they actually work when detonated.
Don’t forget that every adult of age in Russia has already completed (on almost all cases) their minimum COMPULSORY military service. Recruiting out of prisons is just re-recruiting
This is untrue. Though Russia conscripts, and every male age 18 to 27 is eligible barring those who are granted exemption such as medically unfit, the number actually inducted is much smaller than the available pool. About 1.2 million men are eligible to be drafted each year, but only about 250,000 to 300,000 actually end up serving. There are two call ups annually, spring and autumn. The spring 2021 call up had 134,650 inducted. Autumn 2021 saw 127,500 inductees. Spring 2022 had 134,500 Russians sent to the ranks of the armed forces. After their mandatory period is finished they are offered the opportunity to become contract personnel
@@kadincetanner5080 quit watching p0rn and downloading questionable files and you won’t have viruses and your shit won’t crash. My dell runs flawlessly.
@@Default012 dells fucking garbage, Full of bloatware and all sorts of other shit, I'm happy for cappy for the sponsor but I'd never recommend buying the shit
Dell is about the only gizmo company that will treat you worse than Apple If it weren't for General Services Adminstration contracts, they would have been RIP well over a decade ago
The cost of 20-25% of the Soviet economy being military? The entire civilian sector was completely hampered. Rampant shortages of civilian consumer goods Americans and westerners would consider common.
@@milotura6828 Planned economies… to ensure labor every sale had three lines, one to check the inventory for the product, one to pay for the product a third to get the product. Every long distance train was loaded with the few consumer goods as people took days and long range trips to gather them at the major cities where they congregated.
No matter how powerful the military, you have to make your citizens happy or else they will rebel. The US goverment does just enough to keep their citizens in check and stable unlike Russia where most are poor
The Korean war didn't just involve the United States. We may have led the effort but it was a true United Nations vs North Korea/China war. The soldiers from other nations totaled as many casualties as the Americans for a total of 120,000 allied dead.
North Korea is recently looking for more support from Russia, either energy or military (economic support I don't think is possible). After all, it is closer to Beijing and further away from Moscow, so Russia will be more supportive than China.
I love his reports for entertainment and learning about weapon systems and tactics. But as far as up to date information on the war in the Donbas and Crimea, not so much. It's just the same DoD and WH bs that the media regurgitate. Not accurate at all. Ask any ham radio operator 🤣
I'm very much appreciating the level of research and detail that have been going into all of your recent videos! Y'all have been a blessing as a resource the longer the fighting goes on!
I can totally imagine north Korea Joining the war, sending over troops, and then all those troops defecting the second they cross the ukraine border and are safely far away from north Korea lol.
North Korea has already sent thousands of workers in countries like Poland, Russia or Kazakhstan who are doing mainly construction work. To be eligible for such a Job, which can earn you a little bit more than the average at home, you need to be married with a kid. If you run away, they will kill your family -> So no-one runs away. I would assume that they would do something similar with their 100.000 soldiers.
Those prisoners are most likely cannon fodder meant to exhaust the Ukrainian army but they’re gonna be a liability due to Russia’s supply issues. A additional 100K troops might sound like a huge boost but remember that you have to feed them. Like the Chechens in Ukraine, shooting at traffic lights do nothing but waste ammo.
Supply might not be as much as an issue with the amt Urkaine has pushed russia back though except for kherson because supply route got cut by ukraine’s attack in kharkiv
@@s2wuolf508 yeah but the objective of the russian army isnt to just hold the little territory that they have left but to take all of ukraine, that requires logistics that they simply don't have
I'll throw in. - How about Supply problems with now added Discipline, and morale issues? Convicted rapist, fighting under Russian banner who was just released from Max Sec Penal Colony, given about 3 magazines and maybe grenade or two. Then without any real fire or medical support sent towards the enemy's general direction. Someone might ask "What could go wrong?" Putin's Ministry reply? "I don't see a problem there!"
I've verified with a Russian friend that in some rural areas, they are indeed enlisting 60 year old people and offering 3-6 month contracts to fight in Ukraine after 1-2 weeks of 'basic training'. If sending grandpa off to war after a week in Reception Battalion seems like a bad idea...that's because it is. One can make the argument that this does more harm than good. These are more bodies to cloth, equip and feed. It's also more 'units' that generals have to maintain command/control over. It's also units that you can't rely upon at all to do what they are supposed to do. I remember in Iraq saying that I'd rather roll short-handed with guys that I trusted as opposed to full strength with guys I didn't. Why? Because everyone's role in combat is vital. If you can't trust someone to do their job, then they are a huge liability. It's a whole sector that is theoretically covered, but not really. The real question to me is why are these short-term soldiers being sent to Ukraine? Why not rotate them to Eastern Russia (which still has some of Russia's strongest combat formations) and move the trained, equipped combat formations to fight in Ukraine? It says to me that Russia's 'friendship without limits' with China isn't as strong as they want the west to think, since many of those elite Russian formations have been there since the Soviet-era to deter the Chinese. Still, if I were a Russian general, I'd be sending the untrained volunteers to eastern Russia to get some training and bringing my trained combat formations to fight in the war. Of course, given corruption issues, 'trained' might be a bit of a relative term for the Russian army.
You assume they're sending 60 year olds right to the front line with a gun? Russia is probably short on logistics people working in the rear. He'll be driving a truck, not fighting in the trenches. You seem to miss that simple point which makes what you said kind of moot.
you cant send "reservist" with 1 month training to equip ballistic missile units or special forces or navy vessels, but you can send them in trenches in ukraine, that's why
didnt ukraine say this to? Banning 18-60 aged men to leave? It's sad both sides seems to be getting Desperate but so far im Suprised and happy in how well ukraine is doing with what they have againt Russia.
I think this and the Armenian conflict have given us a glimpse of the use of cheap drones in future wars. The Iranian drones are exactly that. Basically it doesn't need to be super successful all the time, especially if it's role is literally loiter near a battlefield until a target is selected and then just fly into it.
Love the way you work subtle and not so subtle humor into these interesting and informative videos. Keep up the good work Cappy and may your spare parts supply never run dry!
So I've been following you for some time and i gotta say the depth of info in your videos has increased by a great deal. Kudos for all the research that goes into it. At the same time though, you make sure to keep it as amusing and interesting as ever. Thanks for your work, all the best and keep them coming! Slava Ukraini!
This was a very well researched and delivered video. Provided a lot of insights that I haven't seen in most channels on this particular subject of the Ukraine war.
You know how the number of young, fertile Soviet men that died during ww2 still affects their population curve majorly and is one of the biggest reasons why Russia's economy stalled? This war might not be as extreme but since Russians today are older, more free to leave the country and informed about hardships coupled with already low birth rates, they're not recovering a healthy demography in this century without mass migration.
There was also a 90's demographics crisis when after the fall of soviet union due to uncertanty in the future there were born much less people than usual. And right now those low numbers of people that were born in those times (20-30 years old basically) are getting trown into the meat grinder. Russia is soooooo screwed.
I've got a request for a future story! I hear all the time how important defensive fortifications are in the war in Ukraine, but I never see a story about them. I know there's more to it than just digging a trench, but I don't know what. I'm sure that there are thick manuals on how to build fortifications, and that lots of specific training for it. I'm sure others are curious also. Please please please?
You're talking about bunkers mostly. Are the Russians digging bunkers, I'd assum,e they are, since they are going to need a whole lot of them if they have any hope of holding on to their stolen Ukrainian real estate. And the Ukrainians have them for sure, they've been digging in since 2014 if not longer! But they are probably NOT eager to show off what they've built for obvious reasons.
Russia has alot of old tanks and parts in storage. Their relatively simple design makes them fast to repair. Old tanks are useful for supporting infantry. It is why both sides use T-55's.
An amazing analysis that boils down a very complicated geopolitical situation so that an average civilian can almost comprehend. Thank you for the work your teams put into these presentations.
*Somebody* has to provide the tail to those Wagner mercenaries. They can't operate in a vacuum, still need food, ammo, other supplies, transport, intel, medical support, etc., etc. If they are all "tooth", that just means all the rest of the stuff has to be provided by someone else. Or they simply won't be able to function.
@@Ulfcytel Was going to say this. If there's no tail, there's no bullets, no food, no fuel. If they're claiming all Wagner members are riflemen, then it means they have civilian contractors embedded all the way up to the front, doing the non-combat jobs.
Professionals of the other side usually disrupt logistics... and then the only thing that matters is tactics. ))) That's why American Army couldn't pass the minefields on the way to Berlin, and were stopped by Zigfried line which was an empty shell, as Gen Patton (I think) put it.
@@elchinpirbabayev5757 The Western Allies stopped at the border of Germant in 1944 because a) most of all, their logistics from Normandy were overstretched (having failed to open Antwerp); b) the River Rhine is a significant natural barrier; c) The winter of 1944-45 was particularly severe; d) the Westwall was no 'empty shell', as witnessed by the ferocity of the battles in the Hurtgen Forest and at Aachen..
The US calls Saudi Arabia our "regional strategic partner" because calling them an ally would be unsavory to say the least. China and Russia aren't allies, they're strategic partners.. With benefits
@@jamesbondoo81 The words I used to describe his familial conduct are apparently not allowed on RUclips, but Brandon is a strategic partner of Russia too.
The Chinese won't suffer one bit to support their Russian friends. Whatever support they might provide, it comes with the expectation of benefiting China.
The 3rd Corps suffered heavy losses during the Ukrainian attack on Izyum. It was the 4th Guards Tank Division, a major part of 3rd Corps, that got trashed at Izyum, left their equipment and ran. All those tanks, including at least 1 T-90M, were destroyed or captured by Ukraine. The current status of the remainder of 3rd Corps is unknown.
The 4th guard tank division belongs to the 1st Guards Tank army and is a very established unit, not a new one. They have been in the fighting since the start, first around Kharkiv then at Izym. The embartrassment here is that this is a supposed elite formation that had to cut and run.
@@TeamJY Have you checked the internet recently? Ukraine has scored over 130 tanks, a couple hundred BMPs and BTRs, artillery systems, TORs, etc. Do a little research.
The conflict in Ukraine is starting to remind me of the Spanish Civil War. Lots of partisan groups backing one faction or the other for geopolitical advantage and to gain technical experience. The US gets to field test its weapons systems against a modern rival and gains another ally on the Black Sea. China get to reinforce its stance against the US, possibly at the expense of another rival. North Korea gets troops with actual combat experience, something that they haven't seen since the '50s. About the only people who don't win here is the Russians, and maybe India.
It is very similar, with one very important difference, this is not a civil war. It's an invasion, a very important distinction. Admittedly the Nazis did test out their blitzkrieg at request of Franco, so comparison to Russia checks out.
@@RaptorJesus Yeah, if this war continues through 2023, Russia's military will be dropped from the top #25 rankings for sure. Heck, Ukraine's was #23 before this and they are now stronger and better equipped after fighting on the winning side for seven months.
Ukrainian civilians suffer and don't win above all even if their country prevails, especially give the Russian empire recidivist position that they don't even exist which they use to justify their atrocities against them.
I am retired and spend a lot of my time watching YT videos and Chris, yours have become my favorite. They are informative, interesting and never drag. Keep up the good work!
I don't know where he got such a figure about the loss of 40 thousand soldiers. Officially, Ukraine lost 10-12 thousand dead. So as a source of information it is unreliable. And his experience of serving in the US Army does not make him an analyst in this field. and in general, his pro-russian position is very disturbing, it is he who praises the actions of russia and shames everything that Ukraine opposes
@@vovchikdesu1552 huh? Shames everything that Ukraine opposes… so he praises and shames Russia? Cappy consistently repeats western media talking points and information. So he is absolutely NOT pro Russia. He tries to tell reality though. It’s just hard for partisan citizens to appreciate anything their ‘assigned’ enemy does. That’s you
@@destroytheboxes "Cappy constantly repeats the Western media" "He tries to tell about reality" these sentences oppose each other. "appreciate everything that their "designated" enemy does" sorry, but Ukraine does not suffer from Stockholm syndrome. To bury the truth, you need to see the truth from the original source, if so, why isn't it on the boundary of separation, and doesn't show how you say "the truth"? but he just switches channels at home on the couch and notes something down for the next video of the same type. It's you
1980s Red Dawn "Well who is on our side (against the Russians)?" "Six hundred million screaming Chinamen" "I thought there were a billion?" 🔥🔥"There were" 😳
Wow you guys did a great job laying that out in a way that common person can understand thank you very much and please keep up the good work...you guys are more information and direct to the point then most news outlets I have a feeling your channel will grow fast 👍👍👍
@@huwhitecavebeast1972 If you think what Chris has said is propaganda on whose side is he speaking about. From what I heard it was a balanced overview of the war. You must be a Russian sympathiser to have that opinion. Maybe you should switch to a Russian You tuber. it will make you so much happier than having to listen to the truth.🇦🇺
@@huwhitecavebeast1972 I’ve seen a bunch of comments saying that Chris is “spouting propaganda” but they never back up their claims with evidence. I’m willing to look at your evidence but if you don’t have any than you’re just spouting nonsense.
This guy gives more info than if watched mainstream media 24-27 for a month in 20 minutes. If i was zelnensky or putin i would subscribe to this channel to see how things are going
I don’t think North Korea wants to send their soldiers outside their borders. One, because there’s a decent chance that many of them will just escape to freedom. Plus having thousands of soldiers not return home, either because they defected or died, would be kinda hard even for them to fully hide. Two, because the last time the world got to examine their soldiers was when a border guard, who should have been the best of the best, tried to cross the Demilitarized Zone. He died, but managed to drag himself to the South Korean side before expiring. During the autopsy, they found that he was horribly malnourished and filled with parasites; likely as a result of eating crops grown in human excrement and not properly cleaned. This one guy provided a massive amount of intel and told a tale of a country stuck in the Middle Ages. Imagine what thousands of living soldiers could tell of their incapabilities.
Millions of North Korea are working in Foreign countries. They will send ones least likely to escape , the one who has families that can be punished if they desert
@@sorryi6685 Yeah, but isn't the rumor that NK was gonna send 100,000 soldiers? If a single dead guard can reveal so much, what would even a handful of soldiers from presumably a variety of sectors be able to tell? It'd be a huge risk.
Interesting side note on US contractors- the figure T&P cites comes from a worker’s comp program that the government uses to track insurance costs for any work done for the US overseas. This would cover construction, food services, interpretation and security work. About 23% of contractor deaths were American according to a 2007 paper that attempted to dissect the casualties. The highest losses came from Titan- telecom and translation lost 323. Supreme- a logistics company lost 169 and Compass Security lost 159.
How long does is take to train a good NCO or junior officer? Answer: Several years. Junior officers and NCOs are the guys that make a military work. They have the training, skills, and authority to hold small units together on the battlefield. They have the technical combat skills to know what to do when their unit comes under fire or encounters unexpected opposition. Junior officers and NCOs are often the most vulnerable to casualties in combat operations. And they are the hardest to replace. Training one takes years. Not weeks or months.
Right you are, and historically though, Russian armies do not rely on a well-trained cadre of NCO's, (the kind every other army in the world finds indispensable). They have a whole lot of officers instead, with "senior soldiers" just soldiers who have been in longer, to carry a lot of what NCO's would do in other armies. To the question of Does this system even work, I think the results are only too apparent in Ukraine right now.
he knows, he just cant say anything that will make them look strong ... he didnt mention the commander warned the prisoners against drinking alcohol or talking to local women at all
I do think they care. If they join, they join to get out of prison. Doing anything prohibited will probably land thrm back in prison, which defeats the purpose of joining.
My grandpa joined the army in the late 20s. He served a few years then got out. Then he had too much fun and WWII happened. He could go to jail, go to California or go to the Army. He retired from the army in the late 60s, the too much fun of youth long forgotten.
I joined with GED waiver... 19years later I love my Army... way more so seeing foreign military ... erhm... (standards) ... I'd never discourage a Soldier based on where they have been. I train them based on where they could go.
but by contrast, your army gives you at least 6 months (as per cappy's statement) to get your boys up to speed, and not 4 weeks... And while I don't know the US forces very well, I'd assume that anyone that is part of the spearhead, receives much more than the 6 months, and probably he already starts in a better place to begin with. But, I agree, never stop the enemy, when he is in the process of making a mistake. That said, the unnecessary loss of life pains me either way.
And they weren't taking murderers rofl. Honestly there's a lot of off stuff with this guy or at best lack of complete explanation. Yeah man taking those with weed possession which had you banned previously is toats the same as what Russia is doing here lol....
@@christopherreid4798 And all I am referring to is your motto of (paraphrasing) "it doesn't matter where you've been, it matters where you're going" - if the allotted time to achieve the "going" is 6 months, you can get somewhere, whereas with 4 weeks you really can't. And that is IMO pretty universal, with or without high school diploma, and with or without criminal record. I would even bet that if you have to train top university graduates, they too will be incompetent after one month of training (for what you want them to do specifically) - despite the fact that they've already been "places" and probably do bring a lot of knowledge and perhaps even skill to the table.
One thing I haven't seen mentioned much outside of Perun's brilliant military analysis channel (shout out to Perun everyone should check out his channel)- the reason for Russia's manpower struggles is entirely endemic to how they run their military. Their higher quality contracted, volunteer troops maintain a low-strength peacetime force. Upon declaration of war, the conscripts are called in to fill in the ranks of less specialized rolls like infantry grunts. The volunteer troops get the conscripts up to speed and get them kicking doors and banging heads. Russia HAS NOT declared war and CANNOT legally call upon conscripts to fill these basic rolls. Because of that, Russia has relied on sending column after column of essentially unsupported armored vehicles to the slaughter. They're exhausting their training staff, drivers, commanders, gunners, pilots, spotters, sappers, elite infantry units, etc because there is nobody else to fill in the lines. That's why Russia is relying on Wagner, Chechnya, DPR and LPR conscripts, prisoner volunteers, and so forth to make up for the lack of actual conscripted Russians. But getting all of their highly trained specialists killed is going to completely kneecap their lethality for years to come. That's not to mention the volume of now-irreplacable technological pieces being destroyed or smart ordinance stockpiles being exhausted. Russia could still theoretically declare war, train up a few conscript waves, and completely saturate Ukraine with guys with AK-74s. A second invasion might have to be done with BTR-60s, T-62s, and steel helmets Afghanistan style, but they could still bring a huge force to bear. Very unlikely since Russia has been activating their training battalions for active duty, but it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility. Ukraine isn't messing around though and has been taking thorough notes from western military doctrines.
@@mormacil that isn't the issue. Sure, the T-62s would probably get smoked in tank combat, but the Ukrainians would no longer have the luxury of engaging unsupported armored vehicles. The Russians wouldn't even have to give them the opportunity. They'd actually be able to use tanks as stand off fire support while the infantry gets to work instead of parking tanks in the middle of ambush zones like the Syrians. That's the #1 reason why Ukraine has been able hold the lines and reverse course so well- there just isn't enough Russian infantry in the fight. Russian units have seemingly been fighting somewhere between 0 and 50% strength when it comes to dismount infantry. Think of all the videos we've seen, countless IFVs and APCs everywhere, but none of them ever actually have infantry squads in them.
@@mormacil and I don't mean a literal wave of people and tanks like it's the Fulda Gap in 1970. I'm just referring to actually utilizing infantry per their own doctrine. Ukraine still fights with similar offensive doctrine and is proving it effective when done properly.
@@jurassicturtle3666 They also get smoked outside of tank combat. Sure the unsupported Russian tanks would stop showing up but Ukraine has also moved on from the first weeks of the war with just piles of manpads.
@@mormacil it's a lot harder to ambush tanks and get shots off with anti tank weapons when there's an actual screening force, which is my point. It's not like the Taliban and Iraqis didn't have plenty of RPGs. The US just didn't send columns of Abrams and Bradleys into city centers to be ambushed
Remember too that Russia's own population has declined or been stagnant for a significant period in the last 20 years--not as many young people to pick from. You are correct on the moral waivers. I was a Battalion XO and had to do an Art 32 on a guy who stabbed a fellow trainee (who was later not convicted in a court martial. They obviously never consulted my Art 32). I discovered the Soldier had a moral waiver--he'd been convicted of assault on his own brother only 18 months prior. Groovy. Even better--these records and even the fact moral waivers were being used was NOT common knowledge--my Brigade Commander didn't even know. The waiver was on record at the REPLACEMENT COMPANY, and not transferred to the training battalion. Even more groovy.
Like with the Gulf War. An easy majority of the forces were American. Most of the other countries sent their soldiers for show and sent specific units that America requested. Usually airborne and calvary units.
i chuckled at the ali express mig 29 since i know exactly what that is. its a freewing models mig 29 which is a remote control electric ducted fan jet for hobby purposes but normally is priced around $500 so being $90 or so is obviously a scam.
The problem with using all these different groups is first, a lack of cohesion, secondly other than money they lack motivation and third, you can’t spend the money if your dead
That's a pretty common saying here in the US as well. We probably stole it from you guys, LoL. 😆 I'd be curious if it's used in Ukraine or Russia as well or if they have some strange equivalent.
Last major fight the Wagner group had was with the United States Airforce in Syria, whom sent 500 of them back home in a single ziploc bag. The AF hit them so hard they had to be ID'd by dna testing, there wasn't even enough left to do dental records. That's the best Russia has, children trying to play soldiers.
I doubt American contractors without air support and adequate AA systems would have faired any better in exposed terrain and an opponent with unfettered resources and aerial dominance.
@@MarxAlex That's the difference. American anything comes with unfettered resources and aerial dominance. Russians are just deadmeat against anything with real teeth.
Interesting to see reports of people trying to book flights out or Russia this evening before the rumored Putin Speech. It's currently $1000-1500 for a coach flight from Moscow to Istanbul this evening
Love the content, always informative and refreshing takes, never shying away from inconvenient truths. Would you be able to link some of your sources in the description? Only if it's not too much more work ofc
Hey Cappy! Iranian follower here I was wondering if you would do a dive into the Iranian drones Russia has bought ( so far mohajer 6 and shahed 136 have been confirmed ) and wether they will make a real difference or not The information on Iranian drones is always biased with the regime overblowing their capabilities and majority of Western media undermining them Your takes are well researched and very much unbiased and I think it's interesting seeing your take on the matter
I’m creating an Iranian military / geopolitics rundown . I can’t help but be biased usually but I try to admit where I’m coming from and what I don’t know for sure . I try to stay as unbiased as possible !
@@Taskandpurpose oh great Just please don't pronounce the name I ran, it's pronounced like eeran. :))) And if you need help translating any Persian texts or access to the best Iranian military telegram chanels( the ones not spewing regimes propaganda ) just ask.
Iranian drones have done pretty well against Saudi defences including patriot batteries. There was a vid of a patriot missile nose diving shortly after launch. Iran also took out that refinery over a long distance with precision drone strikes. I think the detractors will be in the same position as the ww2 pilots who denigrated the zero and then found their Brewster Buffalo was deficient against it.
Another challenge with rebuilding lost vehicles and missiles is that even if you can source the parts locally, there's a limited number of companies actually building those weapons and they can only build so many per year. Well why not just build more plants so you can build more tanks and missiles? Modern weapons and vehicles are too advanced - it's not like WWII where you could easily retool an auto plant to make planes or tanks and you certainly can't retool ANYTHING to make advance, guided missiles. As such, it takes anywhere from months to years to construct these plants, mostly due to the problem of the machines used to construct the components being specialized, thus requiring you to wait for the machine to make the part to be built before you can start making the parts to build the actual weapon/vehicle. Thus you're talking anywhere from months to years to be able to increase production while you're currently chewing through a year's worth of production of a particular weapon/vehicle inside of a month. This is why the world's militaries have huge stockpiles of various weapons, vehicles, parts, etc - not because they intend to fire five thousand missiles on the first day of battle, but because they know that they can only replace those missiles at a rate of one hundred a month and they estimate they'll be using four hundred a month.
> it's not like WWII where you could easily retool an auto plant to make planes or tanks and you certainly can't retool ANYTHING to make advance, guided missiles. Yep, the days of World War II where Soviet Russia could just retask factories to crank out loads of T-34s instead of e.g. tractors to beat the enemy by sheer numbers are definitely over. And that's why Russia is currently fighting a war - excuse me, "special military operation" - which it not only can't and won't win, but which will ultimately have dire long-term consequences for the country in general.
@@drops2cents260 While Putin invading Ukraine is unquestionably a money pit, long term, he MIGHT actually benefit. Recall that after WWI Germany was limited in what it could do with its military, thus resulting in them focusing on quality over quantity. If Putin is smart AND Russia has access to the proper resources, then this could prove to be a blessing to him as it could result in him using Russia's limited resources to focus on quality instead of quantity for its new military. Mind you, that's a huge IF as Putin is pretty old school and thus might be stuck in his ways and thus feel that a zerg is the way to go, but there is a chance he might be smart.
Our older politicians that lived during the red scare greatly contributed to that image. One's perception is one's reality, so if you grew up during the cold war or at the height of the USSR, Russia will always be the "big bad".
Time 3:35. Wrong. Russia has been decisively shifting back to State Owned Enterprises due to high failure of private companies. This is especially true in military industry.
Thanks for the video, very informative. Unfortunately, just hours after you posted it, Putin has gone and answered the question of how they're going to make this military expansion by declaring partial mobilisation. So now we need you to make a video explaining that. 😅
That's a very dicey prospect for Mr Putin, until now the Russian people had very little skin in Putin's game in Ukraine now their butts will be on the front line and for what? Some more land in Ukraine? WTF does the Average Russian gain from more land? More to the point a bunch of under trained, under equipped and poorly motivated soldiers are not going to change anything on the ground especially since their very presence will only spike the logistical issues that have dogged this War effort on the Russians end from day one.
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frist
Russia tries to add 147,000 troops 6 months too late with little training, while Ukraine had 1 million units doing 6 months of training. Yeah. Its way too little to late. Now if Ukraine could convince Biden to LOAN 700 Abrams pulled from Reservist unit storage (plus logistics and repair gear), then war will end fast.
dell? More like cringe
Dude, you got a Dell. (I'll see myself out now...)
Yo cappy I know you're reading this! Have a good day!
Don't forget about "MacNamara's 100,000" -- drafting troops who normally wouldn't be accepted into the service due to low IQ during the Vietnam War. It was a disaster.
Don't stop them from making a mistake.
Forest Gump.
But who's gonna get Bubba?
@@acctsys A RUclips comment is going to stop Putin from going all in. And those forced volunteers will be cut down like wheat.
@@swaghauler8334 BIeq people.
"Deployment to war zone - Welcome to NJ" had me cracking up
Same lmao glad someone else noticed
A woman from Jersey saw an alligator in S. Carolina and tried to make it into a handbag ... It didn't end well.
Coming from an NJ resident, spot on.
I appreciate him for not making the usual joke about Chicago 👏🏼
Imagine you go to prison for being anti war and criticizing the "Special Military Operation" then Putin pulled you into the damn war.
I'd make it my goal in whatever was left of my life, to sabotage the effort as much as I could.
Well yeah you join and then immediately surrender to the Ukrainians when you get a chance lol.
Not a single person has been sent to jail in Russia for criticising the war. Even people who were caught funding the UAF were only "publicly shamed" on TV but not jailed. 2 people are on trail both are senior politicians and career anti Putin activists.
Unlike in the EU where 15 people have been jailed for sentences of up to 12years for "supporting the enemy"
Well, they would know who to turn their weapon towards then the moment they get it. Those two grenades they get would also come in handy for this.
Ah good old Penal Batallion XD
As someone who works in electronics manufacturing, I can say it would unfortunately be very hard to cut off a supply of these high tech components to Russia. Most of these parts are widely available for civilian use, and as Chris pointed out, they are traded like commodities through many different hands with no way of tracking. The best you can hope for, is that it becomes expensive and slower for them to get the parts.
Russians also tend to use off the shelf components for that very reason.
Russia has a large, experienced gray market that is very integrated into the larger economy. That can't be stopped, but slowing it and making it cost more means an undersupplied Russian military is hurting even more.
Artillery requires very little. Russia's army consists of people and artillery. Lots and lots of artillery. NATO's army is one of weapons and few people. You do the math.
Well, Russian trade has opened up since the invasion, so whatever critical supply links they needed have likely been expanded.
Astronaut Lev from Armageddon(1998) smashing valve on crumbling Russian space station: Russian Parts! American Parts! ALL made in Taiwan ! 🙂
The Wagner officer said literally "The war is heavy, nothing like Afghanistan or Chechnya". That shows that the Russians are aware of their problems when discussing internally, even in front of new recruits, only downplaying it on TV for propaganda purposes, so that the general population thousands of kilometers away from the war zone doesn't freak out and become troublesome.
No because both sides have high tech weapons
The Ukrainians are making no new inroads. Their offensive has petered out after taking staggering losses . Now winter comes and they have Nato weapons ( their original Soviet weapons have been destroyed ) not suitable for winter conditions
They are also in wide open areas with no fortifications . Very vulnerable
@@trevorcrook5753 It would be very unusual for the Russians to regain momentum. Where do they get the microchips from? Where do they get the money? They are still selling energy resources to Asian states, but countries like China are ripping them off, knowing that the European customers who have the big money and were willing to pay it are gone. If you think that Ukraine lost more of the momentum than Russia, you are going to be negatively surprised.
@@trevorcrook5753 Oh come on, that was the same line with Kharkiv offensive. You russian bots are returning to the old excuses? Anyway, my response is the same. Come back here a month after and we'll see how wrong you are. Proved every russian bot wrong everytime since the BS Russia will take kyiv "in 3 days" from the start of the war
@@trevorcrook5753 russian bot spotted
The best part of that prison recruitment video is that you're not allowed to retreat or become POW. If you get captured, you have 2 grenades for that situation.
How do they enforce this?
Hands weapons to Ukrainian soldiers and surrenders, asking for refugee status.
@@aaronbaker2186 they have fanatical officers in the back of course. no literally
Russia also just amended their laws on surrendering, back to Stalin's times. If you surrender you get 10 year prison sentence.
@@stupidburp lmao. Won’t work. Few Russians are being taken as POWs. Lefties always accuse their enemies of what they themselves do, there are plenty of unmarked mass graves to be found after this is all settled 😉
It's funny that throughout my military career from 1983 to 1999. It wasn't unusual for the old 60's-70's era senior NCO's and mid level Officers who were previous enlisted to have been go to war go to jail or let in if the recruiter's ocould swing a misdemeanor and suspended sentence with immediate enlistment.
Hell I was one of those. An as--- old cop took an interest in me when he stopped me. Made me get my GED. I had breakfast with him once a week at 6AM for 6 months. He said I had potential and dont waste it. He saved my life.
I Also remember this. Several guys I know made this choice.
I think I speak for a lot of people when I say thanks for sharing that story
That's something that definitely seemed to have died out. I went delayed entry program in 1996 then off to boot camp in 1998. For me it was poor choice in friends upon getting in trouble we all were about to be pretty fucked.
That is until the cop who was a retired Marine decided to get creative. Told my friends he was going to walk back to his car get something and walk back. All the alcohol better be disposed when he came back upon which time THEY would be written up for curfew violation and I didn't exist. That my friends should thank me for saving thier sorry asses. And for me was told this is the first time and probably not the last time MY ass got saved by the United States Marine Corps... He knew when my shipout date was and God wouldn't even be able to help me if I wasn't gone. To make sure I understood he had me drop and do 50 push-ups then said if I wasn't gone I'd be front lean and rest until HE got tired then sent us on our way.
Life doing what life does apparently thought this was too funny to not milk some more. The day I was to ship out we were running late my mom decided her 30ish years of having a perfect record should give some leeway and makes an illegal left turn. Seconds later cop lights, I see a familiar face walking up to the car. I say absolutely nothing cop asks why she did that and she tells him I was off to bootcamp. He says mam I'm not writing you up just see he doesn't miss his bus, then Son when you're 21 you owe the Corpse many drinks...
I was an infantryman in the ‘hollow army’, 1975-1980. The recruiters would go to the courthouse and be given the choice, go to the army or go to jail. A few found a home in the army and were awesome troops. Most were misfits who left with over a dozen Article 15’s ( no joke. Knew a guy with 17! Then wanted to re-enlist! Army said no.)
Happened to my uncle during Desert Storm. No one believes me but I was there. Remember the guys in the K car driving him away to the base. After he returned from service he told me, "jail would have been a smarter choice."
Really? I served in the Army 75-99 as a tanker. Heard about the guys given the choice but never met one. You should have stayed longer. 1980 was the start of a great builded up.
@@rogerwarner7825 I retired in 2004. Half of my anti tank platoon would March down to the orderly room on Monday morning for their weekly Article 15. While we would joke about that, it was not far from the truth. Drugs were rampant as was racial violence. Germany and Korea got a lot of these misfits as nobody wanted them in the US.
What kind of crimes did they allow?
@@filippocorti6760 petty theft, drugs, and most non violent crimes
As you are pardoned after 6 months no matter how long your original sentence you're far more likely to get mass murderers who are in prison for life compared who's only in prison for a few years for drug possession. Another year in prison is better than 6 months at war.
Agreed. Those will be some sadistic people being set loose in Ukraine. I'm sure the war crimes will increase as soon as they get there.
I've heard that the time they'll have to serve will be different based on their crime. Apparently the worst criminals will have to serve twice or thrice that amount from what I've heard.
@@fanta4897 seems fair actually
@@357SWAGNUM_MAGA_X Yeah, serving that long in infantry assault units in Ukraine is bordering on death sentence so I have no complaints there.
@@fanta4897 I really doubt that anyone will survive they will be used as cannon fodder
Russian prisoners: "So we're some kind of suicide squad?"
Ukraine prisoners: trust me bro it's a real fun
@@Sam-hu3cw It is for the Ukrainians they are winning
the same thing happend in germany, WW2, disciplinary batalions, worst of the worst scumbags they would find, all knew they are for the meat grinder, few survived, read the books wrote by Sven Hassel
Government : Throws you in the gulag for some BS pissing the prisoners off.
Also Government : Lets you out and gives you military weapons to fight the enemy.
Prisoner: You are my enemy.
Yes, but there are no penalties for battlefield behavior against civilians.
Was a M1 tank crew member back in the day. We were out in the field training (typical temporary razor wire perimeters, tanks in columns with gun tubes over the side for line of fire). I was a gunner at the time and had just got done pulling guard and switched with the driver (the driver hole is comfortable, the gunner seat not so much). The driver went to sleep on the back deck (still warm from idling the tank) after his guard. TC announced refueling, which means we needed to put the gun tube over the front so the fuel truck can squeeze between the column. My Tank commander was a butter bar straight from school. I hated him from day one. The guy was dumb enough for me to question how he even gained entry to the Army. A M1 tank turret uses a joystick in both the TC and gunner seats, and can swing it very fast. SOP is to alert soldiers in the vicinity BEFORE rapidly swinging it because it can literally chop a thinner tree right in half, or take your head off, or worse. My TC swung the tube fast without warning, catching our driver's legs in the back rack, pinning them against the turret and ripping both almost off completely. I heard the screaming in the driver's hole while wearing a CVC helmet. The driver was a young kid straight from basic. Needless to say, he went home. My TC was moved, leaving just me and my loader. Had to qualify with a new TC and driver. One stupid but preventable mistake nearly made a tank non effective. Technically a loader can drive and a gunner can load and shoot, but quite slowly and poorly, making it useless. Russia has worse training. Imagine what I described happening but on a much more massive scale. If you can't trust the man next to you in war, you are both good as dead.
Geez...parhaps another reason for no backracks in Russian tanks... but yep I'd imagine stupid stuff is happening all over the place. I did medevac flights years ago in Africa and it was very evident that a large proportion of casualties in war zones were not actually related to combat.
@@WhoNow283 t62 doesn’t have auto loader tho
@@WhoNow283 new ones might. old ones? probly not
Well said but the jailbird volunteers will be cannon fodder, poormans infantry. More scared of their pistol toting NCOs and officers than the enemy. Freeing his best troops to be re-equipped with his best newly procured weapon systems.
It's the foreign "volunteers" Putin can secure with Desperation Deals that worry me. How many men and materials, would Iran supply in exchange for nuclear warheads and advanced missile technology?
What would China do for access to Russia's most advanced military technology and their vast Siberian natural resources?
What would the CCP ask for, to supply Russia with the products of their massive manufacturing capability?
Then there is North Korea, what would they provide Putin for food aid and high tech weapons supplied by a compliant Chinese industry?
Remember, Putin and his close comrades are the product of KGB/STASI training. I don't know if you served during the Cold War but those people were masters of manipulation, evil subterfuge, double dealing and doing the unexpected. Things Putin was very good at being one of the youngest loyal Colonels and a high flyer when the USSR went tits-up. Look how quickly he took control of Russia. Superrich Oligarchs, Russian Mafia, endless corruption and all. Do you think he is going to worry about nuclear proliferation or more likely, consider the destabilisation of the world as a bonus. Iran firing nuclear missiles at Israel, would be right up his street!
I know he will attempt all of the above before releasing tactical nukes to his army generals. Things he hinted at with his poorly translated "winds changing direction speech." Those winds were political rather than fallout laden.
The United States suffered more casualties training for D-Day than they did on D-Day itself. For the exact reason described above. Green soldiers with only minimal training and no experience, commanded by "90-Day Wonders," rehearsing very complicated amphibious assaults with unproven equipment, sometimes in live-fire conditions.
Take all of that confusion and throw in Russian prisoner mercenaries, with near zero training, lacking decent equipment, with decisions coming only from the highest levels, and you have a total shit-show. They may end up killing more of their own guys than they do Ukrainians. The only way it could be made worse is throwing in a bunch of robot North Korean slaves who don't even speak Russian.
and ours is shrinking also. hope everyone is ready for the fun to come.
The Wagner Group cannot be 100% combat people. They need support just like any military. So if they are not supporting themselves, then the Russian military has to be supporting them. One way or another they are getting support.
Yes, but casualties Wagner group sustains doesn’t tally with casualties in Russian army. Mercenaries are cannon fodder.
They are just using a corporate lingo. They are 50 percent fighters, 50 percent support. So they split into "Wagner Group ltd." and "Wagner Support ltd." and then they claim they are 100 per cent fighters.
I agree. Like SF or AB, they don't use heavy equipment, thus a smaller logistic train. Depend on other units to provide artillery support. Like other contractors, they are seen with suspicion by the offical Russian Army.
If they move fast enough they can plunder as they go.
I am not a vet but, could each unit have a few guys to bandage some equipment? Maybe Chris means in a over all, capable, unit dedicated to maintenace? supples?
During the Vietnam war, it was 2 months of basic training and 2 months of advanced training for infantry, artillery, and military police. I was a draftee and had both artillery and military police training. When I arrived in Vietnam it had been almost 5 months since I had received artillery training. No, big deal. When I was sent out to the field, because of the rotational system, the majority of the people in an artillery battery were experienced. This allowed the newcomers to get up to speed without affecting the fighting capabilities of the battery and it doesn't take long to get up to speed, exponentially faster than even a year of training could provide.
This channel has taken a deep breath, gotten serious about itself, and has improved in depth, analysis, and detail, in a very noticeable way. Another great episode!
Not in-depth and biased
@@trevorcrook5753 Send me someone that fits your criteria for in depth and unbiased then.
No its BS.
It has got more
I remember at the beginning of the war he literally took his sources from channels like RT and claimed Kyiv would be taken over by Russia within a week. Now he actually studies his material and stops with the cheap jokes. He has gotten serious and I applaud that.
Amazing offer to help former criminals get rehabilitated is so generous. I applaud this second chance opportunity.
Ex British Army (24 Yrs) I am now over 50. I can't move for about 3 days after running about with my Granddaughter for a few hours. How the hell are these guys going to fight at my age? Thanks for your uploads very entertaining. By the way "can't move" is British for a bit stiff using muscles I not used to using. I'm thinking in the case of starting as a soldier from the start. I can see older gents with past training in sangers, stores, guard duty and driving. Not in urban assault teams.
I think the actual age limit is 42.
Lotta vodka
You can drive trucks or pack rations and supplies 😊😊
Probs going to delegate them to support roles.
My guess is drugs they pump them full of stuff we never heard of no one cares for the long haul
one mission one firefight thats enough these old dudes are literal cannon fodder
I was very irritated when the Canadian preper referred to you as a court jester because of your interpretation of how the war is going, he is very pro Russian. I find it quite refreshing that you present clear and well researched information.
Historically sometimes the court jester is one of the only person who can speak the truth
Your commenting to propaganda! 😂🤣
@@Taskandpurpose Indeed and often, more than any others, the jesters had the king's ears
These were court players, not just clowns
Poets, musicians, comedians, masters of intrigue and even spies
Im not pro Russian or pro USSA im Anti entanglements as Our US Constitution says we should be.Do lots of world wide research before you cast your Lot with either side A or B as America is way more corrupt than any other country on earth and it brings tears to my eyes.
@@laurierose970 lol You've never heard of the CCP.
Go on. Look it up.
Generals with dozens of mansions.
Go ahead.
Maybe those convict squads will have commissars or neck band detonators...
They have political officers.
Bruuhhh if they can't even properly maintain most of their guns and engines on their flagship navy vessels then how you expect them to have functional neckband bombs? They'd be the most impressive part of their logistics if they actually work when detonated.
For the emperor!
With any luck, maybe enough survivors of these penal legions will make it across hostile lines and explode
@@idunusegoogleplus They don't have to work the convicts just have to believe they do.
Don’t forget that every adult of age in Russia has already completed (on almost all cases) their minimum COMPULSORY military service. Recruiting out of prisons is just re-recruiting
This is untrue. Though Russia conscripts, and every male age 18 to 27 is eligible barring those who are granted exemption such as medically unfit, the number actually inducted is much smaller than the available pool. About 1.2 million men are eligible to be drafted each year, but only about 250,000 to 300,000 actually end up serving. There are two call ups annually, spring and autumn. The spring 2021 call up had 134,650 inducted. Autumn 2021 saw 127,500 inductees. Spring 2022 had 134,500 Russians sent to the ranks of the armed forces. After their mandatory period is finished they are offered the opportunity to become contract personnel
I don't believe even the Soviet Union had universal compulsory military service. Russia certainly does not.
Not really, most people who are eligible don't end up serving
Congrats on the sponsorship with dell man, really really impressive work you’ve been doing and it seems like it’s paying off
DELL SUCKS. EVEN OUTLOOK CRASHES ON IT. AND IT A NEW DELL!!!!
Easy to get when you shill for the western imperialism
@@kadincetanner5080 quit watching p0rn and downloading questionable files and you won’t have viruses and your shit won’t crash. My dell runs flawlessly.
@@Default012 dells fucking garbage, Full of bloatware and all sorts of other shit, I'm happy for cappy for the sponsor but I'd never recommend buying the shit
Dell is about the only gizmo company that will treat you worse than Apple
If it weren't for General Services Adminstration contracts, they would have been RIP well over a decade ago
The cost of 20-25% of the Soviet economy being military? The entire civilian sector was completely hampered. Rampant shortages of civilian consumer goods Americans and westerners would consider common.
What? Russia spends ~4.0% of their GDP on their military
the Soviet union man
@@milotura6828 Planned economies… to ensure labor every sale had three lines, one to check the inventory for the product, one to pay for the product a third to get the product.
Every long distance train was loaded with the few consumer goods as people took days and long range trips to gather them at the major cities where they congregated.
@@paydenladeroute7129 modern Russia. But Modern Russia isn’t the Soviet Union.
No matter how powerful the military, you have to make your citizens happy or else they will rebel. The US goverment does just enough to keep their citizens in check and stable unlike Russia where most are poor
At 4:00 Platoon knife guy has been upgraded to platoon machete guy. "Hey guys, Watch me spin this machete"
The Korean war didn't just involve the United States. We may have led the effort but it was a true United Nations vs North Korea/China war. The soldiers from other nations totaled as many casualties as the Americans for a total of 120,000 allied dead.
Prisoner recruits and military equipment from North Korea, what can possibly go wrong with that?
Yep. With allies like China and North Korea, who needs enemies?
Putin. Apparently.
North Korea is recently looking for more support from Russia, either energy or military (economic support I don't think is possible). After all, it is closer to Beijing and further away from Moscow, so Russia will be more supportive than China.
Keep telling yourself that.
If your a prisoner in North Korea, most likely you were a political prisoner, or miss fed and starving. Not a good individual to hand a gun to.
@@huwhitecavebeast1972 this ruclips.net/video/dNgKGL8lQck/видео.html
I love Cappy's mispronuntiations of non-english names, Harrison Oblast, Zi Jiping, Uagner Group.
Keep on rocking, Cappy!
Don't forget Kim Jong Own 13:46
@@Rain322- 😂😂😂
Tooth-to-nail.
i cant help but laugh and giggle ahahaha
When I first started watching this channel I though he was pronouncing his name as Chris Caffey.
Cappy has been on point with the News & Updates from Ukraine.
Well done and cheers to 800k!
I love his reports for entertainment and learning about weapon systems and tactics. But as far as up to date information on the war in the Donbas and Crimea, not so much. It's just the same DoD and WH bs that the media regurgitate. Not accurate at all. Ask any ham radio operator 🤣
I'm very much appreciating the level of research and detail that have been going into all of your recent videos! Y'all have been a blessing as a resource the longer the fighting goes on!
I can totally imagine north Korea
Joining the war, sending over troops, and then all those troops defecting the second they cross the ukraine border and are safely far away from north Korea lol.
North Korea is not sending soldiers.
Those North Koreans would get a rude awakening to modern war. Have they even fought since the korean war?
North Korea has already sent thousands of workers in countries like Poland, Russia or Kazakhstan who are doing mainly construction work. To be eligible for such a Job, which can earn you a little bit more than the average at home, you need to be married with a kid.
If you run away, they will kill your family -> So no-one runs away. I would assume that they would do something similar with their 100.000 soldiers.
They’ll sign up in droves once they learn Ukraine has lots of wheat and corn, but they’ll just run for the nearest grain silo instead of fighting. 😆
@The Unforgiven bro s NK SOF said they didn’t have GPS and didn’t have enough food
Those prisoners are most likely cannon fodder meant to exhaust the Ukrainian army but they’re gonna be a liability due to Russia’s supply issues. A additional 100K troops might sound like a huge boost but remember that you have to feed them. Like the Chechens in Ukraine, shooting at traffic lights do nothing but waste ammo.
Supply might not be as much as an issue with the amt Urkaine has pushed russia back though except for kherson because supply route got cut by ukraine’s attack in kharkiv
@@s2wuolf508 yeah but the objective of the russian army isnt to just hold the little territory that they have left but to take all of ukraine, that requires logistics that they simply don't have
@@carso1500 at this point it’ll be a success if they can even hold kherson with how corrupted the Army is
there's also the issue of them being convicted criminals
I'll throw in. - How about Supply problems with now added Discipline, and morale issues? Convicted rapist, fighting under Russian banner who was just released from Max Sec Penal Colony, given about 3 magazines and maybe grenade or two. Then without any real fire or medical support sent towards the enemy's general direction. Someone might ask "What could go wrong?" Putin's Ministry reply? "I don't see a problem there!"
I've verified with a Russian friend that in some rural areas, they are indeed enlisting 60 year old people and offering 3-6 month contracts to fight in Ukraine after 1-2 weeks of 'basic training'. If sending grandpa off to war after a week in Reception Battalion seems like a bad idea...that's because it is.
One can make the argument that this does more harm than good. These are more bodies to cloth, equip and feed. It's also more 'units' that generals have to maintain command/control over. It's also units that you can't rely upon at all to do what they are supposed to do. I remember in Iraq saying that I'd rather roll short-handed with guys that I trusted as opposed to full strength with guys I didn't. Why? Because everyone's role in combat is vital. If you can't trust someone to do their job, then they are a huge liability. It's a whole sector that is theoretically covered, but not really.
The real question to me is why are these short-term soldiers being sent to Ukraine? Why not rotate them to Eastern Russia (which still has some of Russia's strongest combat formations) and move the trained, equipped combat formations to fight in Ukraine? It says to me that Russia's 'friendship without limits' with China isn't as strong as they want the west to think, since many of those elite Russian formations have been there since the Soviet-era to deter the Chinese. Still, if I were a Russian general, I'd be sending the untrained volunteers to eastern Russia to get some training and bringing my trained combat formations to fight in the war. Of course, given corruption issues, 'trained' might be a bit of a relative term for the Russian army.
You assume they're sending 60 year olds right to the front line with a gun? Russia is probably short on logistics people working in the rear. He'll be driving a truck, not fighting in the trenches. You seem to miss that simple point which makes what you said kind of moot.
you cant send "reservist" with 1 month training to equip ballistic missile units or special forces or navy vessels, but you can send them in trenches in ukraine, that's why
didnt ukraine say this to? Banning 18-60 aged men to leave? It's sad both sides seems to be getting Desperate but so far im Suprised and happy in how well ukraine is doing with what they have againt Russia.
@@tommyfortress7515 defending is easier than attacking. Grandpa can sit in a trench with a gun. It's unrealistic expecting him to storm a trench.
With the shorter lifespan in Russia, even 50 is kind of getting into 'grandpa' territory.
Also those Iranian drones have been allegedly failing hard. There were multiple articles stating how they have been breaking down.
I think this and the Armenian conflict have given us a glimpse of the use of cheap drones in future wars.
The Iranian drones are exactly that. Basically it doesn't need to be super successful all the time, especially if it's role is literally loiter near a battlefield until a target is selected and then just fly into it.
Love the way you work subtle and not so subtle humor into these interesting and informative videos. Keep up the good work Cappy and may your spare parts supply never run dry!
That Chechnya leader said that Finnish army are weak. I'm a finn and I say: You're welcome to try. 82% are ready to defend.
You will have help now from NATO if they try. We are glad to have Finland and Sweden in the alliance. Greetings from Seattle, Washington USA 🇫🇮/🇸🇪/🇺🇸
82% of who? Coke-sniffing feminists and Somalians?? 😂
You wouldn't find Kadyrov daring to test that in person....
he is just a goofy talking head, he alredy proved that his tik tok fighters are just a joke
If I remember my history, a vast amount of Russians liked Finland so much they stayed (under Finland) last time they picked a fight.
Surprised Russia hasn't brought out the T34-85 yet
ruclips.net/video/yL5juYdu3wE/видео.html&ab_channel=MILITARYTUBETODAY
Its not bad until the T34-76s are deployed.
After T-62s, the T-55/54s come out then the T-34s
Everyone gansta till the Russians pull up in their BTs
Wait until tsar tanks start rolling in Ukraine
So I've been following you for some time and i gotta say the depth of info in your videos has increased by a great deal. Kudos for all the research that goes into it. At the same time though, you make sure to keep it as amusing and interesting as ever. Thanks for your work, all the best and keep them coming! Slava Ukraini!
This was a very well researched and delivered video. Provided a lot of insights that I haven't seen in most channels on this particular subject of the Ukraine war.
History Legends does it better cos there is a bit of bias in this channel
@@Xelogenic timestamp?
@@Xelogenic it is literally impossible to not have a bit of bias. no matter how hard you try.
You know how the number of young, fertile Soviet men that died during ww2 still affects their population curve majorly and is one of the biggest reasons why Russia's economy stalled?
This war might not be as extreme but since Russians today are older, more free to leave the country and informed about hardships coupled with already low birth rates, they're not recovering a healthy demography in this century without mass migration.
There was also a 90's demographics crisis when after the fall of soviet union due to uncertanty in the future there were born much less people than usual. And right now those low numbers of people that were born in those times (20-30 years old basically) are getting trown into the meat grinder. Russia is soooooo screwed.
Instead of trying to fix the demographic problem putin just decides to send more men to die
I've got a request for a future story! I hear all the time how important defensive fortifications are in the war in Ukraine, but I never see a story about them. I know there's more to it than just digging a trench, but I don't know what. I'm sure that there are thick manuals on how to build fortifications, and that lots of specific training for it. I'm sure others are curious also. Please please please?
Search for North Vietnamese tunnel systems.
You're talking about bunkers mostly. Are the Russians digging bunkers, I'd assum,e they are, since they are going to need a whole lot of them if they have any hope of holding on to their stolen Ukrainian real estate. And the Ukrainians have them for sure, they've been digging in since 2014 if not longer! But they are probably NOT eager to show off what they've built for obvious reasons.
Russia has alot of old tanks and parts in storage. Their relatively simple design makes them fast to repair.
Old tanks are useful for supporting infantry. It is why both sides use T-55's.
An amazing analysis that boils down a very complicated geopolitical situation so that an average civilian can almost comprehend. Thank you for the work your teams put into these presentations.
A 100% Tooth-to-tail ratio *sounds* scary... but I defer to General Bradley's dictum "Amateurs study tactics, Professionals study logistics"
*Somebody* has to provide the tail to those Wagner mercenaries. They can't operate in a vacuum, still need food, ammo, other supplies, transport, intel, medical support, etc., etc. If they are all "tooth", that just means all the rest of the stuff has to be provided by someone else. Or they simply won't be able to function.
@@Ulfcytel Was going to say this. If there's no tail, there's no bullets, no food, no fuel. If they're claiming all Wagner members are riflemen, then it means they have civilian contractors embedded all the way up to the front, doing the non-combat jobs.
Professionals of the other side usually disrupt logistics... and then the only thing that matters is tactics. )))
That's why American Army couldn't pass the minefields on the way to Berlin, and were stopped by Zigfried line which was an empty shell, as Gen Patton (I think) put it.
@@elchinpirbabayev5757 The Western Allies stopped at the border of Germant in 1944 because a) most of all, their logistics from Normandy were overstretched (having failed to open Antwerp); b) the River Rhine is a significant natural barrier; c) The winter of 1944-45 was particularly severe; d) the Westwall was no 'empty shell', as witnessed by the ferocity of the battles in the Hurtgen Forest and at Aachen..
Tail is probably provided by Russian military or contracted out to some other group.
The US calls Saudi Arabia our "regional strategic partner" because calling them an ally would be unsavory to say the least. China and Russia aren't allies, they're strategic partners.. With benefits
Good point
Apparently Saudi Arabia is now a strategic partner with Russia, after last week.
@@jamesbondoo81 The words I used to describe his familial conduct are apparently not allowed on RUclips, but Brandon is a strategic partner of Russia too.
The Chinese won't suffer one bit to support their Russian friends. Whatever support they might provide, it comes with the expectation of benefiting China.
Russia has the oil, China has an economy....
US Tech? NOTHING should be allowed to leave US SHORES!!!!!
The 3rd Corps suffered heavy losses during the Ukrainian attack on Izyum. It was the 4th Guards Tank Division, a major part of 3rd Corps, that got trashed at Izyum, left their equipment and ran. All those tanks, including at least 1 T-90M, were destroyed or captured by Ukraine. The current status of the remainder of 3rd Corps is unknown.
The 4th guard tank division belongs to the 1st Guards Tank army and is a very established unit, not a new one. They have been in the fighting since the start, first around Kharkiv then at Izym. The embartrassment here is that this is a supposed elite formation that had to cut and run.
according to whom?
@@TeamJY Have you checked the internet recently? Ukraine has scored over 130 tanks, a couple hundred BMPs and BTRs, artillery systems, TORs, etc. Do a little research.
@@mangalores-x_x You're correct but the 4th is not at Izyum for months.
I love the smell of smoke in the morning Smells like. ruclips.net/video/T-HG0Ron5FI/видео.html
The conflict in Ukraine is starting to remind me of the Spanish Civil War. Lots of partisan groups backing one faction or the other for geopolitical advantage and to gain technical experience. The US gets to field test its weapons systems against a modern rival and gains another ally on the Black Sea. China get to reinforce its stance against the US, possibly at the expense of another rival. North Korea gets troops with actual combat experience, something that they haven't seen since the '50s. About the only people who don't win here is the Russians, and maybe India.
That's actually a great compression friend
It is very similar, with one very important difference, this is not a civil war. It's an invasion, a very important distinction. Admittedly the Nazis did test out their blitzkrieg at request of Franco, so comparison to Russia checks out.
Calling Russia a "modern rival" might be giving them a bit too much credit.
@@RaptorJesus Yeah, if this war continues through 2023, Russia's military will be dropped from the top #25 rankings for sure. Heck, Ukraine's was #23 before this and they are now stronger and better equipped after fighting on the winning side for seven months.
Ukrainian civilians suffer and don't win above all even if their country prevails, especially give the Russian empire recidivist position that they don't even exist which they use to justify their atrocities against them.
I am retired and spend a lot of my time watching YT videos and Chris, yours have become my favorite. They are informative, interesting and never drag. Keep up the good work!
Haha
you're the perfect vessel for propaganda lol
The t62 isn't for the Russian Ground Forces (RGF) it's for the Luhansk and donestk separatist
Tooth to nail? Not tooth to tail? Well I guess it’s now one shot one team, one fight one kill. Oh Cappy, never change
Smh. The graphic clearly reads "tooth to tail" yet somehow "nail" slips into the voiceover. This channel is on the speary end of the point.
Glad it wasn't just me. Made my eye twitch.
@@wolfgangklotz7820 That and his pronunciation of "Chech-NEE-Yens". It's "Chechens", right?
@@whutthufug Yep. Chechens from Chechnya.
@@wolfgangklotz7820 😂 I mean at least he hasn’t used the word “irregardless”, that takes me from eye twitch to full blown seizure.
your vids are always fantastic to watch and give excellent insight into the current conflict in Ukraine keep it up Cappy!!
Lol
Wow! This presentation is packed full of incredibly important information! Well done! 💜
I don't know where he got such a figure about the loss of 40 thousand soldiers. Officially, Ukraine lost 10-12 thousand dead. So as a source of information it is unreliable. And his experience of serving in the US Army does not make him an analyst in this field.
and in general, his pro-russian position is very disturbing, it is he who praises the actions of russia and shames everything that Ukraine opposes
@@vovchikdesu1552 huh? Shames everything that Ukraine opposes… so he praises and shames Russia?
Cappy consistently repeats western media talking points and information. So he is absolutely NOT pro Russia.
He tries to tell reality though. It’s just hard for partisan citizens to appreciate anything their ‘assigned’ enemy does. That’s you
@@destroytheboxes Guy who watches Steven Crowder and Tim Pool accuses someone else of being brainwashed
@@destroytheboxes "Cappy constantly repeats the Western media" "He tries to tell about reality" these sentences oppose each other. "appreciate everything that their "designated" enemy does" sorry, but Ukraine does not suffer from Stockholm syndrome. To bury the truth, you need to see the truth from the original source, if so, why isn't it on the boundary of separation, and doesn't show how you say "the truth"? but he just switches channels at home on the couch and notes something down for the next video of the same type. It's you
Aren't the convicts simply going to disappear the first chance they get?
1980s Red Dawn
"Well who is on our side (against the Russians)?"
"Six hundred million screaming Chinamen"
"I thought there were a billion?"
🔥🔥"There were" 😳
I literally said that while walking down the street two days ago.
The fact they only train them for a month shows they dont expect them to live long, probably crewed a t62 on the tip of the spear
Best T&P to date! Keep up the good work.
A tiny country supplying fighters to a major world power is a totally different thing than a major world power supplying fighters to a tiny country.
A Dell sponsorship is insane. Congrats man.
Wow you guys did a great job laying that out in a way that common person can understand thank you very much and please keep up the good work...you guys are more information and direct to the point then most news outlets I have a feeling your channel will grow fast 👍👍👍
a 21 minute task & purpose video, day just got a ton better
There's an old saying in Mandarin: "China has no allies, only vassals." It's called "The Middle Kingdom" for a reason.
Great video Chris. You are really on your game and know your stuff. I learn more on one video of yours than 10 others. 🇦🇺
Idk, he spouted a lot propaganda. imo. Kind hard to take him seriously when he has clearly never stopped working for the pentagon.
@@huwhitecavebeast1972 ∆∆ Trump facts
A true renaissance man
@@huwhitecavebeast1972 If you think what Chris has said is propaganda on whose side is he speaking about. From what I heard it was a balanced overview of the war. You must be a Russian sympathiser to have that opinion. Maybe you should switch to a Russian You tuber. it will make you so much happier than having to listen to the truth.🇦🇺
@@huwhitecavebeast1972 I’ve seen a bunch of comments saying that Chris is “spouting propaganda” but they never back up their claims with evidence. I’m willing to look at your evidence but if you don’t have any than you’re just spouting nonsense.
This guy gives more info than if watched mainstream media 24-27 for a month in 20 minutes.
If i was zelnensky or putin i would subscribe to this channel to see how things are going
I don’t think North Korea wants to send their soldiers outside their borders.
One, because there’s a decent chance that many of them will just escape to freedom. Plus having thousands of soldiers not return home, either because they defected or died, would be kinda hard even for them to fully hide.
Two, because the last time the world got to examine their soldiers was when a border guard, who should have been the best of the best, tried to cross the Demilitarized Zone. He died, but managed to drag himself to the South Korean side before expiring. During the autopsy, they found that he was horribly malnourished and filled with parasites; likely as a result of eating crops grown in human excrement and not properly cleaned. This one guy provided a massive amount of intel and told a tale of a country stuck in the Middle Ages. Imagine what thousands of living soldiers could tell of their incapabilities.
Yeah, that’s just a rumor… they’d surrender as soon as they reach Ukrainian soil.
Millions of North Korea are working in Foreign countries. They will send ones least likely to escape , the one who has families that can be punished if they desert
@@sorryi6685 Yeah, but isn't the rumor that NK was gonna send 100,000 soldiers? If a single dead guard can reveal so much, what would even a handful of soldiers from presumably a variety of sectors be able to tell? It'd be a huge risk.
Interesting side note on US contractors- the figure T&P cites comes from a worker’s comp program that the government uses to track insurance costs for any work done for the US overseas. This would cover construction, food services, interpretation and security work. About 23% of contractor deaths were American according to a 2007 paper that attempted to dissect the casualties. The highest losses came from Titan- telecom and translation lost 323. Supreme- a logistics company lost 169 and Compass Security lost 159.
How long does is take to train a good NCO or junior officer? Answer: Several years.
Junior officers and NCOs are the guys that make a military work. They have the training, skills, and authority to hold small units together on the battlefield. They have the technical combat skills to know what to do when their unit comes under fire or encounters unexpected opposition.
Junior officers and NCOs are often the most vulnerable to casualties in combat operations. And they are the hardest to replace. Training one takes years. Not weeks or months.
It also takes other experienced NCOs to teach them. Which Russia didn't really have at the start of the war either.
Right you are, and historically though, Russian armies do not rely on a well-trained cadre of NCO's, (the kind every other army in the world finds indispensable). They have a whole lot of officers instead, with "senior soldiers" just soldiers who have been in longer, to carry a lot of what NCO's would do in other armies. To the question of Does this system even work, I think the results are only too apparent in Ukraine right now.
I’d guess that’s 60% assault troops and 40% heavy weapons. Not support and logistics 🤷♂️
he knows, he just cant say anything that will make them look strong ... he didnt mention the commander warned the prisoners against drinking alcohol or talking to local women at all
@@TsarOfRuss do you really think the people serving life in prison care about such things?
@@TsarOfRuss and? Their still prisoners dude, I’m pretty sure their mostly getting druggies too. That’s not a good recipe for success.
@@TsarOfRuss wink, wink..
I do think they care. If they join, they join to get out of prison. Doing anything prohibited will probably land thrm back in prison, which defeats the purpose of joining.
My grandpa joined the army in the late 20s. He served a few years then got out. Then he had too much fun and WWII happened. He could go to jail, go to California or go to the Army. He retired from the army in the late 60s, the too much fun of youth long forgotten.
Thank god he didn’t go to California, I wouldn’t wish that upon anyone
Non North American here... So California is worse than war?
@@scareraven9669 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
The math doesn't add up for your story.
fascinating, i had no idea, that's why i'm here! Thanks!
I joined with GED waiver... 19years later I love my Army... way more so seeing foreign military ... erhm... (standards) ... I'd never discourage a Soldier based on where they have been. I train them based on where they could go.
Well said.
but by contrast, your army gives you at least 6 months (as per cappy's statement) to get your boys up to speed, and not 4 weeks...
And while I don't know the US forces very well, I'd assume that anyone that is part of the spearhead, receives much more than the 6 months, and probably he already starts in a better place to begin with.
But, I agree, never stop the enemy, when he is in the process of making a mistake.
That said, the unnecessary loss of life pains me either way.
And they weren't taking murderers rofl. Honestly there's a lot of off stuff with this guy or at best lack of complete explanation. Yeah man taking those with weed possession which had you banned previously is toats the same as what Russia is doing here lol....
@@doyouwanttogivemelekiss3097 no army recruiters were not in san quinten offering freedom to go be cannon meat. I said I had a GED ffs.
@@christopherreid4798 And all I am referring to is your motto of (paraphrasing) "it doesn't matter where you've been, it matters where you're going" - if the allotted time to achieve the "going" is 6 months, you can get somewhere, whereas with 4 weeks you really can't.
And that is IMO pretty universal, with or without high school diploma, and with or without criminal record.
I would even bet that if you have to train top university graduates, they too will be incompetent after one month of training (for what you want them to do specifically) - despite the fact that they've already been "places" and probably do bring a lot of knowledge and perhaps even skill to the table.
I have never been this happy to see a youtuber get a sponsorship, good job man. Love the videos.
One thing I haven't seen mentioned much outside of Perun's brilliant military analysis channel (shout out to Perun everyone should check out his channel)- the reason for Russia's manpower struggles is entirely endemic to how they run their military. Their higher quality contracted, volunteer troops maintain a low-strength peacetime force. Upon declaration of war, the conscripts are called in to fill in the ranks of less specialized rolls like infantry grunts. The volunteer troops get the conscripts up to speed and get them kicking doors and banging heads.
Russia HAS NOT declared war and CANNOT legally call upon conscripts to fill these basic rolls. Because of that, Russia has relied on sending column after column of essentially unsupported armored vehicles to the slaughter. They're exhausting their training staff, drivers, commanders, gunners, pilots, spotters, sappers, elite infantry units, etc because there is nobody else to fill in the lines. That's why Russia is relying on Wagner, Chechnya, DPR and LPR conscripts, prisoner volunteers, and so forth to make up for the lack of actual conscripted Russians. But getting all of their highly trained specialists killed is going to completely kneecap their lethality for years to come. That's not to mention the volume of now-irreplacable technological pieces being destroyed or smart ordinance stockpiles being exhausted.
Russia could still theoretically declare war, train up a few conscript waves, and completely saturate Ukraine with guys with AK-74s. A second invasion might have to be done with BTR-60s, T-62s, and steel helmets Afghanistan style, but they could still bring a huge force to bear. Very unlikely since Russia has been activating their training battalions for active duty, but it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility.
Ukraine isn't messing around though and has been taking thorough notes from western military doctrines.
I'm not sure what a wave invasion will do vs modern NATO weaponry. T-62s have their uses but can they really stand up vs a handful of modern tanks?
@@mormacil that isn't the issue. Sure, the T-62s would probably get smoked in tank combat, but the Ukrainians would no longer have the luxury of engaging unsupported armored vehicles. The Russians wouldn't even have to give them the opportunity. They'd actually be able to use tanks as stand off fire support while the infantry gets to work instead of parking tanks in the middle of ambush zones like the Syrians.
That's the #1 reason why Ukraine has been able hold the lines and reverse course so well- there just isn't enough Russian infantry in the fight. Russian units have seemingly been fighting somewhere between 0 and 50% strength when it comes to dismount infantry. Think of all the videos we've seen, countless IFVs and APCs everywhere, but none of them ever actually have infantry squads in them.
@@mormacil and I don't mean a literal wave of people and tanks like it's the Fulda Gap in 1970. I'm just referring to actually utilizing infantry per their own doctrine. Ukraine still fights with similar offensive doctrine and is proving it effective when done properly.
@@jurassicturtle3666 They also get smoked outside of tank combat. Sure the unsupported Russian tanks would stop showing up but Ukraine has also moved on from the first weeks of the war with just piles of manpads.
@@mormacil it's a lot harder to ambush tanks and get shots off with anti tank weapons when there's an actual screening force, which is my point.
It's not like the Taliban and Iraqis didn't have plenty of RPGs. The US just didn't send columns of Abrams and Bradleys into city centers to be ambushed
You and your production team are doing a professional job , I have learned so much, wish I could remember it
I saw a WW2 documentary about the US sending about 12 incarcerated soldiers of questionable repute on a mission behind enemy lines.
I'm pretty sure it was a movie.
Lol. So you are comparing America with Russia. Go read some history books kid.
Oh yeah that's happened plenty of times.
Were they dirty?
@@cjunknown1422 some people did refer to the twelve prisoners-turned commandos as such.
So much goes into each video you make, keep up the good work!
The longer your video, the better
Aiming to create a 30 min video as soon as I get the correct topic in mind !
@@Taskandpurpose you'll have a million well deserved subscribers to watch it soon as well!
@@Taskandpurpose Neit 5 hours final offer! Joking aside loving your content Cappy
@@Taskandpurpose I'll watch whatever you put out, I'm just trying to make a cheesy compliment :)
If it gets that long, might as well make it a documentary!
Remember too that Russia's own population has declined or been stagnant for a significant period in the last 20 years--not as many young people to pick from.
You are correct on the moral waivers. I was a Battalion XO and had to do an Art 32 on a guy who stabbed a fellow trainee (who was later not convicted in a court martial. They obviously never consulted my Art 32). I discovered the Soldier had a moral waiver--he'd been convicted of assault on his own brother only 18 months prior. Groovy. Even better--these records and even the fact moral waivers were being used was NOT common knowledge--my Brigade Commander didn't even know. The waiver was on record at the REPLACEMENT COMPANY, and not transferred to the training battalion. Even more groovy.
Same goes to Ukraine. As a young, abled and educated people, who wants to stay in the poorest and corrupted nation in Europe.
The Korean war involved UN forces, led by the United States, not just US, near as I recall.
Like with the Gulf War. An easy majority of the forces were American. Most of the other countries sent their soldiers for show and sent specific units that America requested. Usually airborne and calvary units.
@@vyros.3234 as a Brit, I find that offensive.
@@vyros.3234 The Turks, Australians and Brits would disagree. They fought very well in Korea.
@@miguelservetus9534 theres also dudes from the Grand dutchy of Luxembourg.
@@vyros.3234 You learn too much of your history from Hollywood and guys at the bar.
i chuckled at the ali express mig 29 since i know exactly what that is. its a freewing models mig 29 which is a remote control electric ducted fan jet for hobby purposes but normally is priced around $500 so being $90 or so is obviously a scam.
thank you task and purpose for consistently making solid and enjoyable content on a regular basis!
Andrew Tucker BEST team leader ever and all around great guy this world needs more Andrews like him i miss my 3-1 1-41 days
The problem with using all these different groups is first, a lack of cohesion, secondly other than money they lack motivation and third, you can’t spend the money if your dead
As we say in the UK YOU can take the horse to the WATER but you can't make it drink
That's a pretty common saying here in the US as well. We probably stole it from you guys, LoL. 😆 I'd be curious if it's used in Ukraine or Russia as well or if they have some strange equivalent.
@@snapdragon6601 if Russian, probably ends badly for the horse!
Last major fight the Wagner group had was with the United States Airforce in Syria, whom sent 500 of them back home in a single ziploc bag. The AF hit them so hard they had to be ID'd by dna testing, there wasn't even enough left to do dental records. That's the best Russia has, children trying to play soldiers.
I doubt American contractors without air support and adequate AA systems would have faired any better in exposed terrain and an opponent with unfettered resources and aerial dominance.
@@MarxAlex That's the difference. American anything comes with unfettered resources and aerial dominance. Russians are just deadmeat against anything with real teeth.
@@MarxAlex yeah, and thank goodness America doesn't have any enemies on our level. . yet ..
Pretty sure training during Vietnam was 6 weeks. We've had our own sordid history in making recruitment numbers
Interesting to see reports of people trying to book flights out or Russia this evening before the rumored Putin Speech. It's currently $1000-1500 for a coach flight from Moscow to Istanbul this evening
Love the content, always informative and refreshing takes, never shying away from inconvenient truths. Would you be able to link some of your sources in the description? Only if it's not too much more work ofc
This is a great channel. It just keeps getting better.
I don’t even want to think about the logistical problems that will be involved in training, transporting, arming and feeding 300,000 people.
Hey Cappy!
Iranian follower here
I was wondering if you would do a dive into the Iranian drones Russia has bought ( so far mohajer 6 and shahed 136 have been confirmed ) and wether they will make a real difference or not
The information on Iranian drones is always biased with the regime overblowing their capabilities and majority of Western media undermining them
Your takes are well researched and very much unbiased and I think it's interesting seeing your take on the matter
I’m creating an Iranian military / geopolitics rundown . I can’t help but be biased usually but I try to admit where I’m coming from and what I don’t know for sure . I try to stay as unbiased as possible !
@@Taskandpurpose oh great
Just please don't pronounce the name I ran, it's pronounced like eeran. :)))
And if you need help translating any Persian texts or access to the best Iranian military telegram chanels( the ones not spewing regimes propaganda ) just ask.
Iranian drones have done pretty well against Saudi defences including patriot batteries. There was a vid of a patriot missile nose diving shortly after launch. Iran also took out that refinery over a long distance with precision drone strikes. I think the detractors will be in the same position as the ww2 pilots who denigrated the zero and then found their Brewster Buffalo was deficient against it.
Damet garm dadash montazer ye hamchi clipi boodam vali cappy dahan servic coment ham ro nemikhond😂👍
@@erfanbahrami573 bebinim chi mishe Hala :))
Another challenge with rebuilding lost vehicles and missiles is that even if you can source the parts locally, there's a limited number of companies actually building those weapons and they can only build so many per year.
Well why not just build more plants so you can build more tanks and missiles?
Modern weapons and vehicles are too advanced - it's not like WWII where you could easily retool an auto plant to make planes or tanks and you certainly can't retool ANYTHING to make advance, guided missiles.
As such, it takes anywhere from months to years to construct these plants, mostly due to the problem of the machines used to construct the components being specialized, thus requiring you to wait for the machine to make the part to be built before you can start making the parts to build the actual weapon/vehicle.
Thus you're talking anywhere from months to years to be able to increase production while you're currently chewing through a year's worth of production of a particular weapon/vehicle inside of a month.
This is why the world's militaries have huge stockpiles of various weapons, vehicles, parts, etc - not because they intend to fire five thousand missiles on the first day of battle, but because they know that they can only replace those missiles at a rate of one hundred a month and they estimate they'll be using four hundred a month.
> it's not like WWII where you could easily retool an auto plant to make planes or tanks and you certainly can't retool ANYTHING to make advance, guided missiles.
Yep, the days of World War II where Soviet Russia could just retask factories to crank out loads of T-34s instead of e.g. tractors to beat the enemy by sheer numbers are definitely over. And that's why Russia is currently fighting a war - excuse me, "special military operation" - which it not only can't and won't win, but which will ultimately have dire long-term consequences for the country in general.
@@drops2cents260 While Putin invading Ukraine is unquestionably a money pit, long term, he MIGHT actually benefit.
Recall that after WWI Germany was limited in what it could do with its military, thus resulting in them focusing on quality over quantity.
If Putin is smart AND Russia has access to the proper resources, then this could prove to be a blessing to him as it could result in him using Russia's limited resources to focus on quality instead of quantity for its new military.
Mind you, that's a huge IF as Putin is pretty old school and thus might be stuck in his ways and thus feel that a zerg is the way to go, but there is a chance he might be smart.
Think about what we thought of Russia a year back and what it actually is. Honestly, it's quite impressive how they were able to project themselves.
It is almost as if we were "gaslit".
@@JimNowotny aaaaaaaah, I see what you did there
Our older politicians that lived during the red scare greatly contributed to that image. One's perception is one's reality, so if you grew up during the cold war or at the height of the USSR, Russia will always be the "big bad".
Love this show!! Thanks for your time to make these
sadly, the whole war is a show...
Hey you pronounced Kherson correctly in this video! Good for you!
Just a small thing.......it was the UN in Korea, not just the US. 19 countires were involved.
Your content is way beyond the level of the average infantryman.
Agreed. It's almost as if he is being provided data for inclusion. Not that he needs it.
Like highly polished media propaganda? A Glowie?
He's cashing checks... Let the man read those government q-cards and pad his bank account.
@SHAK3 N ding
Translation for marines: “Russians getting older”
It wasn't the US in Korea, it was the United Nations.
Really nice job on your videos Cappy. Be safe.
Time 3:35. Wrong. Russia has been decisively shifting back to State Owned Enterprises due to high failure of private companies. This is especially true in military industry.
And with oligarchy thing in Russia, I think make the military sector private will make their military more corrupt
Thanks for the video, very informative.
Unfortunately, just hours after you posted it, Putin has gone and answered the question of how they're going to make this military expansion by declaring partial mobilisation.
So now we need you to make a video explaining that. 😅
That's a very dicey prospect for Mr Putin, until now the Russian people had very little skin in Putin's game in Ukraine now their butts will be on the front line and for what? Some more land in Ukraine? WTF does the Average Russian gain from more land? More to the point a bunch of under trained, under equipped and poorly motivated soldiers are not going to change anything on the ground especially since their very presence will only spike the logistical issues that have dogged this War effort on the Russians end from day one.
You can always get more men somehow. But new tanks and rockets don't grow on trees.
This isn't the first video I've seen that immediately became dated by that announcement
@@Yora21 don't worry comrade. Russia has tens of thousands older tanks stockpiled in Siberia and not only tanks
@@dmitryletov8138 Oh good! Maybe some T-34s will help!