they'll never give him the data - none of us will ever get it, we'll just be told "Biden won" by the media, "and COPE! you lost fair and square! stop crying!" by the liberals.
@@thelonecabbage7834 I am trying to find election results on the 2 sites you linked, but neither seem to have presidential results on them. The Wisconsin website only has results data up to August for the special election, and the PA website brings me to a page on 'ELECTION AND VOTER REGISTRATION QUESTIONS' whenever I click on the show election results button. I assume this a user based problem, could you direct me further?
Awesome explanation! 👍 I just want to ask how did you get that +/-(1/2n) in the formula of confidence interval? Does it really matter in case of a large sample size?
can someone explain the upper and lower limit formula? Confidence Interval also have Std Deviation component, where in this formula it's gets incorporated??
Hello, I am doing a report on Benford's Law that has to be 12 pages for highschool. Where did you get the trasaction amounts (the 6000 numbers) from? Are those able to be sent to me or is there a place where I can find them? I want to do a similar test to prove that Benford's law works to detect fraud. Thank you!
Basically, I made up the data using random number generation then skewed it in the direction I wanted to simulate a single cashier who should be focused on.
If I was looking for election fraud I'd focus on precincts that saw a dramatic increase in turnout compared to 2016 and/or a dramatic shift in D/R vote %.
If I had the data I would actually go so far as to plot all previous vote % on each state and use that to find the standard deviation. Then apply benford to everywhere that sticks out.
What if I find an influx of votes at the rate of 119,221 in 2 hours and 22 minutes but can't really tell who they were for. Even though the max vote tabulation per 13 hour day is 104,000. This is for Maricopa county in AZ
Can Benford's law be assistive in investigating fraud cases where fraudsters misused the Covid relief funds? Is there a pattern observed in cases already investigated?
I don't think that using "=1" is effective way because every time, you entered "=1" you have to change it to "=2" and "=3" etc. which is much time-consuming. I think that using a reference of the cell is more efficient. For example, when you are calculating the COUNT for the cell with a value of 1, you just simply reference a cell where "1" is entered. Then, for the cell below, simply copy the above formula, changing automatically the above referenced cell the next reference. I tested it myself. Instead of "=1" I entered "E3". Excel formula accordingly search the reference E3 to find the value, for example, and the next formula down the row of 4, Excel searches a value in the cell E4. This way, you wouldn't need to spend time to replace 1 with 2, and with 3, and with 4, and so on.
Hey Geek! I just watched your video, amazing. Very informative and easy to follow. Many thanks.
What a detailed explanation. Loved it!!
LOL this guy should jump on that Milwaukee/Philadelphia data ASAP, cos the media _definitely_ isn't gonna do it.
they'll never give him the data - none of us will ever get it, we'll just be told "Biden won" by the media, "and COPE! you lost fair and square! stop crying!" by the liberals.
@@magicskyfairy69 You mean the data that's publicly available at elections.wi.gov and electionreturns.pa.gov? Fool.
@@thelonecabbage7834 you're going to need a hell of a lot more than that to prove wrongdoing.
@@magicskyfairy69 I don't think you understood what I posted...
@@thelonecabbage7834 I am trying to find election results on the 2 sites you linked, but neither seem to have presidential results on them. The Wisconsin website only has results data up to August for the special election, and the PA website brings me to a page on 'ELECTION AND VOTER REGISTRATION QUESTIONS' whenever I click on the show election results button. I assume this a user based problem, could you direct me further?
Awesome explanation! 👍 I just want to ask how did you get that +/-(1/2n) in the formula of confidence interval? Does it really matter in case of a large sample size?
good video and good music at the end !!
can someone explain the upper and lower limit formula?
Confidence Interval also have Std Deviation component, where in this formula it's gets incorporated??
Hello, I am doing a report on Benford's Law that has to be 12 pages for highschool. Where did you get the trasaction amounts (the 6000 numbers) from? Are those able to be sent to me or is there a place where I can find them? I want to do a similar test to prove that Benford's law works to detect fraud. Thank you!
Basically, I made up the data using random number generation then skewed it in the direction I wanted to simulate a single cashier who should be focused on.
If I was looking for election fraud I'd focus on precincts that saw a dramatic increase in turnout compared to 2016 and/or a dramatic shift in D/R vote %.
If I had the data I would actually go so far as to plot all previous vote % on each state and use that to find the standard deviation.
Then apply benford to everywhere that sticks out.
ok, cool, please do. archive.is/JzxvI
@@billyumbraskey8135 Unfortunately, I am not a whiz at computers and have no idea how to handle files of those data types.
ruclips.net/video/7uhAn19V1EY/видео.html&ab_channel=RobertA.Bonavito%2CCPA
What if I find an influx of votes at the rate of 119,221 in 2 hours and 22 minutes but can't really tell who they were for. Even though the max vote tabulation per 13 hour day is 104,000. This is for Maricopa county in AZ
Wonderful demo - would it be possible for you to share the excel template for educational purpose? Thanks
Please send an email with that request to sheettutor@gmail.com. Thanks.
Make the countif criteria dynamic, have it refer to that cell.
Can Benford's law be assistive in investigating fraud cases where fraudsters misused the Covid relief funds? Is there a pattern observed in cases already investigated?
So would a 300 mile river and a 3,000 mile river be in the same column?
Yes. The first digit is a 3 in both cases.
I don't think that using "=1" is effective way because every time, you entered "=1" you have to change it to "=2" and "=3" etc. which is much time-consuming. I think that using a reference of the cell is more efficient. For example, when you are calculating the COUNT for the cell with a value of 1, you just simply reference a cell where "1" is entered. Then, for the cell below, simply copy the above formula, changing automatically the above referenced cell the next reference. I tested it myself. Instead of "=1" I entered "E3". Excel formula accordingly search the reference E3 to find the value, for example, and the next formula down the row of 4, Excel searches a value in the cell E4. This way, you wouldn't need to spend time to replace 1 with 2, and with 3, and with 4, and so on.
Great!
Can I buy this spreadheet from you? :)
I dont have time, really..
Or share pls
Why won't RUclips let me like the video?
Same issue
SIMULATION CONFIRMED
Countif needs to be easier
I am here after Netflix documentary