The Fine Margins Of Football…
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- Опубликовано: 1 окт 2024
- While there’s still one game to go, it might well be the fine margins that decide this Premier League title…
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James B's videos deliver weekly analysis on Arsenal and many football clubs in the Premier League including Man Utd, Man City, Tottenham, Chelsea & Liverpool. Subscribe for insight, breakdowns, reaction and more!
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What’s the biggest moment that impacted the title race?
I would say the 3-1 win over Liverpool. That moment on, people started to really believe in the team again. Pulled us back from the brink, so to speak.
Jurrien Timber's injury
Arsenal had a dip midseason.
There is a price that comes with having a better defence. Rice just can’t play progressive passes like Partey would do. And as a team, we stopped playing such a high line as we did last season in exchange for a better defence.
When Partey was injured, we have no solution playing against teams that park the bus. We are forever passing between Rice and our defenders.
Especially if we can’t play Zinchenko as well, the situation gets even worse. The quality of our possession, buildup play, ball progression and chance creation were nonexistent.
Except for Haaland, it is very clear that ManCity players are so much more skillful on the ball than Arsenal players. ManCity is clearly better than Arsenal. But what Arsenal do, doing things the right way, is what I respect them for. We can be proud that we are the best team in England among the clubs that didn’t breach FFP.
It might be yet to come??⚽⚽
Our game with west ham..that we just couldn't find a way despite the performance..and Aston villa..that's what cost us
genually crazy. So many “what ifs” in football that’s so tight. You can be as good as you want but big moments can decide things
also that Thumbnail is killing me man, so annoying 😭
Compared to last season, I don’t really have any what ifs. I couldn’t be more proud of the side this year. Before Arteta started, we couldn’t get into Europe. Now it’s expected to qualify and we’re pushing Liverpool and city right to the last games of the season! We’re doing good James. And so are you btw you have a way of making extremely complex insight look simples 🎉
Good comment! ...I think we really have improved from last season because - like you said - this time it's really difficult to find any what ifs from our point of view ... I can only think of one single really disappointing performance this season in the league and that was away at Fulham - that's 1 game out of 38 ... The team deserves a lot of credit for this season
Arsenal have won 47 of 51 points since the restart in January. And that might not get them the title. That’s mental.
Fine margins, indeed.
Now you feel how Klopp and us Liverpool fans been going through for the past 5 years innit
46 points, draw against city and defeat against villa,, city didn't lost a single game this year,, the Christmas period was vere we lost in my opinion
@@shadankhan4145yeah we lost at our own home
The period before January also counts towards the title. Arteta made few mistakes this year. Playing Partey at Right back, Gabriel on bench when we drew against Fulham and playing Havertz in midfield while Partey and Jorginho were on bench against Villa. To be honest our best chance was last year when were miles ahead of City.
@@itachiuchiha108 5years? Liverpool only finished behind city twice in last 5years. So I think u mean now Arsenal know how it feels to finish behind city twice. Honestly this false narrative of Liverpool and City, Pep and Klopp going back and forth for the last 5-6 years. Because in that time Man United and now Arsenal have both finished 2nd twice to city.
Couldn’t agree more. People say get rid of Arteta cause he can’t get us across the line. How can get rid of someone when the line between winning and losing is so minuscule.
Nothing but Pride for our Club, Our players and especially are Managers who deserves it more than anyone.
Thank you Mikel Arteta and The Arsenal for an excellent season (statistically our best ever).
You did everything you could and you don’t need that trophy to be winners in my eyes.
Few years ago:
Stones clearence of the goal line vs Liverpool decided the title.
It was litterally millimeters.
Liverpool came second with 97 points.
What you all don't know is that every little change in past events will have affected the very next one.
A good result against Newcastle away may result in arsenal not being serious enough to be on the very good run in 2024.
The reality of the past five months won't remain the same if anything 6 month ago changes
Well said
People often confuse progress with achievement. Arsenal made big progress compared last season to this season.
1. If Arsenal wins against Everton, they they will reach 89 points, which 5 more points than last year. By the way, the city won the league 89 points last season.
2. Arsenal beat all big six without defeat
3. Arsenal scores more goals than last season
4. Arsenal conceded fewer goals than last season
5. Arsenal has more cleansheet than last season.
6. Arsenal won 27 games out of 38 games, which was a maximum win in a single season in history.
Even if they don't win the league this season, they really deserve to celebrate like champions!
This clearly shows assnal the bottle club 😂😂 sorry it's a fact, celebrate as champion without winning league title is totally a joke, I'm still wonder arsenal best season loses to Bayern Munich worst season at CL 😢😢 they lack mentality to win the title even though they performed very good this season
@JohnKhar-zw4jj when you reach milestones towards your bigger goal, you have to celebrate your your wins. By the way, real Madrid struggle to eliminate Bayern Munich from the Champion League. Don't underrate them.
If Arsenal wanted to win they should have played to win vs City instead of playing for the draw simple
West ham will turn up, Kudus masterclass incoming
Don't get your hopes high mate. Just be proud of the team.
cry
Speaking as if the Everton pts already in the bag. Arsenal still has play as well, that game has not already been won
Calvert Lewin masterclass as well👍
@@CB-ns6syis that what your inner demons tell you every morning mate? Sad little boi
Those late 3 points won at Luton may still prove to be critical too. Fine margins indeed.
The fine margins of December got us this season, we'll be back.
I was heartbroken after the match last night, especially after Son got that chance and missed. Really glad you uploaded this today man. I didn't know I needed to hear this, till I did.
Thank you for the kind words, really glad you got a lot out of it
How about the New Castle decision that went against us!! That could be the reason we missed out 🤦♂️
And also city getting away with penalty decision at anfield
And Raya's mistakes.
@@domagojhrgovic7419what mistakes in the prem?
@@domagojhrgovic7419if I remember it correctly, none of Raya's obvious mistakes cost us points - quite luckily for him ...
@@Amsn9393 I remember that back then we were all really happy that that game ended in a draw and the penalty wasn't given ... Shows how perspectives can change quickly... Anyway, if City would have lost that game against Liverpool they still would be 1 point ahead of us now
So true. That Son 1 v 1 miss was exact dejavu of his 1 v 1 at Emirates. Difference is, Ortega stepped up and cover defender’s mistake. Son buried it when he had that exact chance against Arsenal.
What if Declan didn't get those 2 late winners against United and Luton? What if Kai didn't get those 2 game winners against Brentford? Dont be Narrow minded. Rival and Arsenal fans will say we lost the league at Fulham or West ham , Or because Spurs are shite. City is just City. But thank God our Future ahead is looking bright...COYG! 🔴⚪️
We've brought back Arsenal FC's standards and mindset and mentality. We should not give this to anyone from now on. There are lots of ways to make our team better, but let's talk about that later. Let's warmly welcome our players on Sunday regardless we finished 1st or 2nd. Next season, We will bring the UCL home. We are not coming back home without the UCL trophy in our hand. Either you die there or come back alive.
Would be really funny if at the end of it all West ham draw with city on Sunday... and we beat Everton with some serious number of goals.
3 pts for Arsenal and a draw for City is a guaranteed league title for Arsenal
Not hopeful but we can only dream 😅😅
A draw for City and a win for us guarantees us the title as we lead them by 1 GD
@@joakimjeppsson1443i hope y'all lose or draw to Everton.
I'm one of the few people who believe that even if we beat villa, city will still find a way to win the title.
Guradiola really needs to get gone.
I agree with u James
I dont see this happening, but after All the rubbish online after that spurs city game, them cheering on a loss, saying we bottled it again…. it would be poetic if West Ham got a result and we won the league anyway.
Saka mistake vs fulham earlier in season....
Very good point. Zinchenko also gave the ball away at the very end which Fulham equalized from corner. That was the easiest 2 points we threw away this season that could have gotten us over the line
Arsenal losses around Christmas. Why did they look so tired and no fight about them before going to Dubai?
Whatever Happens come Sunday, I will remain a Proud Fan and I am Positive Next Season this squad will be competing again. FOREVER ARSENAL
The refs fixed the leagues, how many decisions went against us against Newcastle and villa. City never lost out on any decisions this season
In all honesty we had some poor decisions that went our way as well. Odegaards handball and Havertz being on the pitch against brentford.
You lost twice to Aston Villa and dropped points to Fulham in both legs,take some responsibility too
@@peternkwer odegaardd handball when he slipped was never a handball, havertz did nothing wrong against brentford
@@peternkwer to be fair the first yellow against Brentford was for a shoulder to shoulder challenge that you can see every week and no yellow is usually given. They balanced it out by not giving the second yellow that was this tim legit I reckon. Ref mistake not corruption imo
Here is some Copium🧴
You mention the City decision with Liverpool but even Arsenal were lucky with some major decisions.Thats how football works.
Where things went wrong?
4 points from 18 against Fulham, villa, west ham. Criminal.
City will have picked up 12-15 points from those games, losing only one away to villa.
A 4-7 point swing like that against City, in the same fixtures, and you have no chance of winning the league.
Nothing much big went wrong, City have been a bit more lucky - especially recently at Forest, Forest should have won that game.
Note: I don't care about the domestic Cups, we've already won the FA Cup 14 times & the League Cup should probably be scrapped with all the games now being played. The Premier League & the Champions League are where the glory is...
The Invincibles should have lost vs Portsmouth and should HAVE NOT have lost vs United... both games decided by dives (Pires and Rooney)
I think whats important is that we are on the opposite end of the spectrum when compared to Arteta's bad run, Emery and Wenger's end.
Now even expecting to do well in the Champions League is not being unrealistic.
And next season w Timber and hopefully 1-2 other players we will break more records.
And for all we know Man City will get this title stripped and it will be handed to us and I can see it in Guardiola's face when the subject is brought up, he "HOPES" that his higher ups are telling him the truth in that there is no violations but deep inside he knows there has to be something and he is scared of it.
James, rish here- big Arsenal fan from Australia! Vila 1st half was pivotal. You talk about fine margins. My thought was about Arteta’s decision to try to bring in Gabby Jesus after injury! The team had momentum with Kai as the 9 and no Jesusfor a number of weeks, but at villa arteta started havertz, Saka, Jesus, trossard- we created chances but our balance wasn’t right- trossard missed a sitter, but Jesus was terrible in front of goal - the more chances the team missed the more nervous we got and Villa gained confidence exposed us and won the game. What are your thoughts on this?
Everyone talks about “when is 2nd not enough”, ultimately it will be when players start to leave. Make hay while the sun shines, if we don’t win something in the next season, BIG players will start to leave, and the perception of the CLUB will be “they just cant get it over the line” Klopps team stayed together because of the major wins. They had blip seasons but they still won consistently together. I honestly believe an FA Cup, league challenge again and a QF in the CL is the minimum for next season. It ends the trophy talk for a little but but cements the players as “winners”
Arteta made mistake in Villa game,.. and we lost title.
The manager makes mistake but best players(world class) rescues them which we don't have.
We have to sign the players that have individual quality not system player like Havertz and Saka.
Saka is one of the best Arsenal players but he is system player. His technique and skills is very low. We need that types of players at least 2 in our front line and we don't have any.😢
Other teams have been magnificent in the past 10years as well. You've only done it in 2 seasons. Calm down!
The Villa matches...we should not have lost, but did. Though we missed, Mikel got outfoxed in those two games in segments, but he will learn from it. No point now pondering over the past. We need to get maybe another 1 or 2 world class and maybe 2 EPL proven players for the new season, while we offload a good chunk of our bench and then we go again.
The fine margin is Arteta’s stubbornness and favoritism, Period!
Its crazy that the fine margins are always in favour of Man City. They have had so much luck is unbelievable.
James don’t want to say it’s an excuse but do you think it’s harder for other teams to win the league than city because we have more rivals? city’s only rivals are united, who don’t even really see them as rivals… Liverpool are Uniteds real rivals. Arsenal have a huge rivalry with Spurs and United, as well as other London teams like Chelsea… we have at least 3 huge home and away games a season. City just have 1 home and away against United which isn’t even a huge derby. What do you think?
Great days are coming.. we'll build on it this summer and come back stronger next season
I am so excited about next season already regardless of game week 38. Arsenal are back fighting for the title. It will come
newcastle 1-0 loss away, that disgraceful refereeing costed us
Until Arsenal decide to build a better team than City, we will continue to fall short. It's got nothing to do with fine margins or luck. City is a better team than Arsenal. Arteta has not mastered the art of doing well in the league and the cups simultaneously. He seems to have a tunnel vision. The PL or nothing.
Son said some things after that may change your mind apparently..
If Gabriel had kicked the ball in the throw in against Bayern
James you have wisdom beyond your years! This was brilliant
I think we've progress so well and to loose the league to Manchester City is down to Arteta few errors and stubbornness.
What’s wrong James you seem so sad, you were so so confident that Spurs was the game that we would drop points in 😂 Maybe next season lol
Trust me, James, we are champions already. It's been written in the stars!
Mafia behind city thats why we loose. Not villa guys.
I'm not counting on west ham, I'm counting on Arsenal.
Not taking 3 points at least once from Fulham and Aston Villa cost us the title this year. Just like last season drawing twice to relegated Southampton
who scheduled that spurs game for when it was arsenals bollocks in spurs team/fans hands ! had this game been played 5 weeks ago the narrative isn't stop arsenal winning league but lets win and get top 4 !!
Arsenal fans are forgetting other clubs will strengthen and catch up like they did .. u lot never believed u will there last season.. so can other clubs transitions.. take ur chances when u can cos it might be getting harder seasons to come.. look at Liverpool curve
Tottenham will get a new buyer and they will be a Juggernaut in the next 5 years
Okay lad 🤦🏻♂️🤣
Jorginho's mistake against spurs costed us title
Arsenal are BOTTLING Job 💯 🍼🥱👀
The losing run around Christmas period cost us.
losing to a villa team at home without douglas luiz ! simple win that game weve done it also city almost have two teams lose haaland for months ok slot alvarez in,lose kdb on foden your in,
will have the same amount of wins as city this season fine margins indeed forget opposition fans will be even better next year
Spurs played better than we did against city!
Just goes to shows every team is desperate to beat arsenal so much teams raise their game to play us but city teams just let them win so opposition always rolls over for city.
Newcastle goal disallowed + 1 point
Liverpool penalty city - 1 point
Then it would be who wins by the most amount of goals on Sunday
Hmm what about Odegaard playing basketball at Anfield??
You are just picking what suits you 😂
Dont forget Bournemouth @@mezzala1014
We scored a legit goal away to A.Villa which was disallowed. +1 there too
No one talks about how we threw away leads again Fulham both home and away
Still don’t understand why arteta set up vs city to get a draw
Manchester City built a billion pounds plus squad and Arsenal about half the amount. We have only one £50m defender in White, while City have about 5 or more. And the quality showed. Probably while they have 115 charges.
Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea have a higher net spend than City,everybody says there's maximum of 2 City players in a combined 11 with Arsenal so since you have clearly better players go and retain a title or better win just one
@@DavidRegaL-lw5xz Manchester City did their big spendings over a decade. And spent over a billion pounds with Chelsea and Manchester United. Arsenal are relative new comers.
@@DavidRegaL-lw5xz Arsenal have 13 league titles compared to Manchester City's 8 and 9 if they win it this season. Sixteen EPL clubs have voted for a salary cap and Manchester City have one of the highest wages in the world.
@@Vince-ud3ek but Arsenal & Liverpool still have the best combined 11s the world has ever done. Now go and work the magic and win the lot with your superior players
@@DavidRegaL-lw5xz Like I told you, 13>8 or 9.
Looks like we going to win the league next season I hope we can still win the league
I dont wanna be that guy, but Ortega is a better shot stopper than Raya lol
Been a hell of a journey this season with Aftv and yourself in particular, onwards and upwards, and anything can happen still
Whatever is going to happen at the end of the season, whether we win it or not, it has been a great season for us and I think their is more to come. Arsenal have improved and still there are signs that next season we will go to the next level. I feel very much proud to what my club has achieved this season. I am Arsenal through and through.
There’s no guarantee we will be in title race again next season or the season after. Our best chance was last year and again this year. Few mistakes here and there costed us two titles.
@@ararsoetana1471 That is true but their is the hunger in this team that am sure in the near future in sha Allah we will win the title. I have so much hope in this team.
@@ararsoetana1471we have been in the title race 2 seasons in a row now improving on our points total and performances from last season. For what logical reason would arsenal not challenge next season???
Cityzen speaking from the USA. You are competing against the best run organization in Football history. This run City are on is unprecedented and the records show this. You lot have done well. Someone is always the bridesmaid.
If only city found not guilt of 115 changes tho
The season is done, City have won the league.
The fine margin will not be count on Sunday because we're winning it on Sunday
Okay😂
Song missed on purpose. Period.
Old adage : miss is as good as mile.
Sadly.
Nonsense. Arsenal just aren't good enough. Too many things still wrong with the squad. The manager has to been looked at here. He's too stubborn. Loyalties to players that aren't good enough has been the downfall of so many managers. Additionally, like pep once enlightened us about, PLAYERS win matches not tactics! Too much is made about tactics and Arteta is susceptible here. That's it in a nutshell. Arteta must realize this. Unfortunately, I don't think he does and that's what differentiates top managers from the rest.
Man c cheats. Cheats. Cheats.
XP = expected points
Man City maybe a 95 XP team and off days/Injuries make them 85 XP, Arsenal maybe a 90 XP team an off days/Injuries make them 80 XP. Aston Villa may be a 85 XP and on a good day at 85 XP explains why Villa could take 6pts off of Arsenal if Arsenal are on an off day.
This is why I detest the term "toe-to toe with City". The rest of the league may be 75 XP or below teams and we are just doing our job. This is why Wenger for years kept Arsenal top4, Bad days under Wenger football made Arsenal beat a lot of teams comfortably even with terrible players. To win the league Arsenal had to be more perfect to our XP than City and Partey was out for most of the season.
We go again #COYG
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣kudus
I said it after spurs game if we had a worldclass keeper or shot stopper like Ortega that saved that Son shot at Emirates, he'll even Ramsdale would have saved that, we would be champions right now. Raya can do everything else apart from saving the ball.
Whatever Happens come Sunday, I will remain a Proud Fan and I am Positive Next Season this squad will be competing again. FOREVER ARSENAL
Spurs fan here. As much as I hope you do not win the PL, Arsenal have been brilliant this season, and last season. Finishing second twice in a row against this Man City game is a huge achievement. But what do you get from the rival fans: belittling and accused of being bottlers. As a Spurs fan, I have nothing to boast about. However, we had our moments when we almost won the league (Leicester won that) and made it to the CL final. For that team, it was overachieving. But...we were only ridiculed.
Try again next season, it will be more difficult though as I expect Chelsea to challenge as well. Spurs: we'll try to get top 4 🙂
Imagine West Ham beat/draw with City on the last day. That would be priceless. 😂
We can only dream
Dream Arsenal fan, dream.
Draw at City
Actually we (Arsenal) had 2 chances, this year and last and come short. 3rd time lucky? I really don’t know, just like you we’re (AFC fans) living in hope of maybe tomorrow.
Arsenal has been superb and the world has taken notice.
Exactly!!!! That's the word 🤝🤝✅✅
Ok
Hey James, the world of football would be very different today if Muani scored against Martinez in that world cup final.
We took too many dodgy losses in December and it finally caught up on us. Wins must be wins to secure the league. Heads up for final match day. #COYG
Yes. And those defeats were on Arteta because it was clear by that point that Havertz is not a midfielder and most of the first 11 were fatigued so he needed to trust his bench a bit more.
@@ralph259 I realized the bench was hardly used in midfield and defence, first 11 is playing too many games and hopefully we get some additions. Don't want to end up like Klopp's burnout squad.
Arteta got it wrong in important games. The games we dropped points in featured Zinchenko at LB, Havertz in midfield and either Jesus or Knetiah upfront
When Havertz went up top, Jesus was out injured, Kiwior played LB and Jorginho played midfield we won 8 games in a row.
Arteta forgot this and went back to Zinny, Kai midfield and Jesus vs Villa and we lost
Arteta stated becoming delusional when he thought Kiwior and Jourginho would see Arsenal overcome Bayern Munich ad Aston Villa.
Agreed. Don't think that we'll stop here. We're building towards something great. Let's enjoy it!
Facts
10:11 Yes
People cannot say that this city team is weak because had they beaten us at the emirates and eithad (like they usually do), they would have had 96 points.
Even with a near perfect 2024 form despite the hardest title run-in (15 wins, 16 most likely, 1 draw, 1 loss) , we are still not winning title. All I can is that I am super proud of this team. Going up against these juggernauts, and challenging them until the very end unlike last season.
If we make few good signings this summer, sell the dead weight....I can confidently say that we will win a major trophy next season.
I always said we weren't winning this season, specially in December and after. BUT I'm 100% certain that we are winning the next one.
So many opposition fans wanting us to fail are still celebrating. Celebrating as if there isnt still a job to do! Its down to the last day ffs, football is a crazy game and i still have hope...lets just do our job and hope West Ham can shock the world, City looked nervous and sloppy yesterday, it wont be a easy game for anyone..but we cant lose hope.. because you never know, and we have been sensational this season, we deserve it over City this season..one more to 🙏🏽⚪🔴
First time I see your channel, loved the episode and pretty much agree with you on all you said.
It just really hurts this time (as an Arsenal fan for over 2 decades) because unlike many (many many) times before where we've officially "bottled it",
I truly feel that this time we really cant be accused of that.
The boys have really been fantastic this year. Not only are we unbeaten by any of the big 6; we've also scored more goals & won more matches than the INVINCIBLES!).... and we've managed to fight it out to the very last day.
The pain comes from the fact that many of these "fine margins" this year really haven't been very kind to Arsenal, so many of these came to within literally a few inches away from changing the whole final outcome and leading us to the (what would have been a fully deserved) Title.
Not to take anything away from City, if they win their next game (and thus get 30 points from their last 10 games) no one could ever say they didn't deserve to win it, they've been phenomenal.
In an ideal (parallel) universe, this remarkable season would have gone to a final playoff match between Arsenal & Manchester City to decide the winner.
I appreciate your level-headed approach to this situation, James. While I won't give up on our chances until the final whistle, I'm thankful for the ride our boys have taken us on this season. We have a bright future. #COYG!!!
Excellent analysis. This is how I like to think about it: If I were to say to you that from the New Year, we would only drop 5 points, and only 2 of those points was a draw at City, you would think I was joking. Pushing City to the last day of the season, when they themselves are undefeated this year is incredible.
Again, if you reframe it, and I were to say to you in January 2024, after those defeats to Fulham and West Ham, that Arsenal will be second, taking it to the last day of the season, AND Man City will be on an unbeaten run in 2024, you would not believe it.
They have been on two astonishing runs of form for two seasons in a row - there is a lot the club should be proud of.
The biggest sliding doors moment we've had as a club in recent years. It hasn't gone our way. There's no glory in defeat but I take pride in how far we've come. Like you said. One day it will fall our way
Love the journey we have been on. Really really appreciate what Arteta has done to the club. There’s a great positive energy around the club.
Tottenham went out of their way to lose and do not deserve a Manager like Ange Postecoglu.
We should not have dropped points to 10 men Fulham and the 2-0 Aston Villa loss.
The other losses are fine, I do not expect us or anyone to be invincible every other season but those two hurt alot.
We are up against Good competition that’s all, in the run in they are winning all their games with good score and are not slipping up and even tho absurd but technically speaking you are supposed to be winning all or majority of your games in order to not rely on anyone to win the league.
Big up James. Level headed Arsenal fan. Can't say that about the 99% of the other Arsenal fans
A couple points from the Newcastle game would’ve really helped LOL