How RUSSIA Plays with the WEST? - VisualPolitik EN
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- Опубликовано: 10 сен 2024
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How is it possible that Russian companies have amassed an impressive fortune? To what extent is Russia circumventing sanctions? What else is the Kremlin doing to dodge Western punishment? In today's episode we will answer all these questions.
#Putin #Russia #Ukraine
The funniest thing is when Germany says it is no longer buying gas from Russia, but is buying gas from Spain and Belgium, those 2 countries are importing gas from Russia.
The share however is tiny. Especially because Russia has little LNG capacity. Germany only imports a few percent of its gas from Russia via Belgian LNG.
@@tobiwan001 And its former industry have a way less demand now as they moved production to China and other countries. Looks like the "Freedom molecules" in the US LNG are quite expensive...
@@doublehelix7880Blabla nonsense. Germany still has a high share of industry, but most production moved outside Germany long ago. Very few of these sectors are energy intensive and it has very little impact on cost. Germany‘s companies are the most globalised and that’s why they quickly feel the impact of falling demand elsewhere.
India as well...
😭😭😭🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
It's not sanctions for Russia, it's sanctions for own companies for not to do profits from Russia.
Sorry sanction did not work that what is saw in my recent visit to Moscow .
21% chance of going into a recession and 5% inflation rate. While the EU is already in recession and grappling with 7%+ inflation. I would say Russia is doing pretty well. Here in the USA our inflation is higher than they report and we’re slated to go into recession early next year.
Yes you seem like an esteemed economist 😂 recession? You really have NO IDEA lol
"International Community " 😂😂
basically NATO & few lapdogs
Sanctions rarely work and slowly phase in over decades, nobody notices and only affects the poor. The 1000 Boeing fleet is still flying and get serviced abroad, chips are traded through third countries just like crude oil. When national companies pull out they are replaced by internal ones, people still eat burgers whether it's McDonald's or not.
Let's look at your examples:
*Buying blackmarket parts and using third party mechanics to service their jets cost significantly more than just buying parts from the manufacturer.
*Buying washing machines to get computer chips means Russia has to pay a cut to a shady middleman and they have to buy an entire washing machine just for a single part. That means every chip they need costs way more money.
Sanctions don't stop trade, but they make it ridiculously expensive.
@@badluck5647sanctions do work, that's why most countries are submitted to the sanctioning hegemon. Russia is simply an exception.
@@1wun1 It depends on the goal.
Are sanctions designed to get Russia to pull out?
That has failed.
Is it to reduce Russian oil revenue and to increase the cost of their military production?
Yes, Russia is discounting their oil and spending 30% more to produce military equipment than without sanctions.
@@badluck5647 Sure. NATO and allies are far stronger, in the end Russia will most likely feel it.
You are right in some extent about sanctions but they don't usually work. If anything, they get the aggrieved party to double down on what they do since they don't really have an alternative anymore, or find other ways to circumvent sanctions. Both are factors on why sanctions rarely work
Bad analysis. ie. unemployment is low because 5mln people from Central Asia didn't came there to work. plus if young russian guy will go to register as unemployed he will get drafted to military. IMHO this makes this data not that relevant.
If you belive in Russian inflation data, that's also sad. Rossstat reports that price of chickens rose 110% and food 3%. Sure, that's add's up. Maybe they report lower inflation because 40% of population lives from social transfers, that are corected each year by inflation? So if you report lower inflation you can "save" more cash in a budget.
Also, why would central bank keep rates at 12% if inflation is under 5%?
Indeed. Unemployment doesn't take into account people not looking for work. Considering that the MOD is issuing draft notices to places of employment, that is an incentive by Russian men to NOT hold a steady job.
Analyst often do not consider the that country always evolve over time and adapt to changing circumstances. The condition of a state particularly with such immense capacity as Russia, they will always find innovative ways to solve some of these problems with time.
Delusional talk. Unemployment is low because of record demand.Russia now has to hire hundred of thousand of foreign workers to meet the demand. Lol, Russia does not force people to join it's army.
You can see daily videos of Russian store.The only thing that saw inflation are electronic that are imported.Russia itself produces everyday items whose price have almost stayed same.
@@j.k.1239 Put down the vodka, Private Conscriptovich, you are so drunk you are hallucinating.
Have you forgotten the mass exodus of Russian men to avoid the conscription (ie Putin's draft order)?
There was some good information I was not aware. Like increased oil exports from Russia to some European countries. From Greece and shipping I am not really surprised.
Isnt china and india and middle eastern countries investing intensively into Russia? Literally 3-5000 companies are investing from china
Russia dropped many if not all capital controls last year. Putin has just reinstated some capital controls about 3 days ago.
There is a real problem in Russia now , with many new plants and factories there is not enough work forces .
says someone watching cnn from the west
@@briant5685 Yes , I said to these who watching CNN to let them know some reality about Russia.
@@briant5685😂😂😂😂 nailed it
Like putin is now dying
@@martinmart481 dude wake up 😂😂😂
Yes, They are running short on labour because of record demand.
The problem with this video and "what we can do about it?" question is that the author lives in the West-centric world which is already gone. The reality is that sanctions are imposed not by "the international community" but by G7 group (with some other less significant countries). And the total share of all G7 countries combined in the world GDP now is just 30% and falling more with each passing year. With 70% of the world dont giving a rat arse about all those "sanctions" the most obvious answer to the question "what we can do about it?" is "cope and seethe".
The dogs bark, but the caravan goes on ! 🇷🇺 💪
Make.me.sick those pro analysis like you😂😂
Russia will out perform all of Europe combined and China will contain the USA. Together these two Giants will strangle the arrogant west.😂
China and India paid no heed to the price caps, and the only countries that worried about the price cap were the ones that came up with it
Thenx to Russia 🇷🇺 for fighting against America and Europe hegemony
They dont fight that
They fight for the annexstion of ukraine
But the world bank and IMF predicts Russia will grow by 2.5 % next year. Just asking, what figures are you using to support that their oil and gas revenues have declined? Oil cap failed and Russian LNG to Europe on the rise. OPEC Plus cuts only benefits Russia.
Western media what did you expect
But the last time you said ...Russia's economy will crumble....now what are you analysing.
The Sanctions and the Oil price cap should be abolished, it makes the EU the laughing stock of the World.
We Always say Your Enemy is My friend
Is Russia really circumventing sanctions or is the west allowing Russia to circumvent sanctions, trade with Russia has never really stopped.
The point isn't to stop it completely, but to make it onerous and burdensome. When the cost of your favorite soda doubles, that becomes quite noticeable.
Sanctions block front doors. Russia have trode thru back doors. They have to pay more for all they buy. And they get less paid for all they sell. Sanctions don't kill their economy. But sanctions harm their economy. Giving less money to spend on war. Which deescalates the war.
When you have 4/5 of the world not giving a flying F about the sanctions, it is really irrelevant what exactly the intentions of the collective West are. The rest of the world just does business as usual with Russia.
@@davidford3115😂😂😂 yeah
@@davidford3115 Beer only here.
Why not just confiscate/nationalize those refineries in the Netherlands?
Lets say they confiscate the refineries, .and then what? where will the oil come from? You need oil to run the refineries. Govt can not just ignore the need of their civilians until an alternative oil source comes up. Or do you think people in Netherlands are ready to suffer for their friends in Ukraine.
@@MrCoolRibhu They have oil, and refineries have some amount of oil in storage - this can be confiscated too. So for a while they will run on that storage with big profit, and then just switch to usual oil just like all othe other refineries.
Russia, however, will need to get their oil somewhere - and it will still sell cheap under the price cap as imposed by sanctions. This is where the oil will come from.
@@MrCoolRibhu"Govt can not just ignore the need of their civilians"
I smell russian troll.
@@ArchonLicht Governments who seize private assets invariably destroy them. Or have you forgotten what Hugo Chavez did in Venezuela?
@@davidford3115 You're seriously comparing The Netherlands to Venezuela? Come on.
"Sanction by international community " should be rephrased as "Sanction by Western Hegemony"
Real question is where are you getting this information this since Russia is not being monitored by usual world economic monitoring authorities. This is definitely not reliable information. Currency has been declining that's all
Weaker ruble mean more money for Russia a it's a exporter economy.
The facts is Russia is still standing 🎉❤❤after theifing their overseas assets 3 hundred billion and counting
Actually I think you are wrong.
Russia DOES export a lot of uranium. Mainly to the US and France
Where are u getting ur employment number from ???
Putin is a STRATEGIST
Anyone paying attention would have seen this happening months and months back.
i guess they love those rupees?
I am all for the Indians taking advantage of Russia.
Shame, Ukraine western allies can't do much, nor care to at this stage. For them Ukraine is a disaster, best forgotten
Feel sorry for anyone taking these videos literally
Too much assumptions on the West hegemony, and almost nothing about Russia's skyrocketing trade increase with modern powerhouses India and China simply renders this video useless...
Russia is thriving, The sanctions arent doing shit lmao.
Really good and useful dive into the reality of the situation. Thank you!
Brilliant strategy. It is good to see someone sticking with the Russia/ Ukraine situation. Ignore the nay sayers in the comments, they are just attracted to shiny things. They will always be easily distracted.
US peoples are especially destricted. They have forgotten all about Ukraine now because of Israel
Have America stop buying Russia nuclear fuel???
Russia is no Venezuela of Cuba but the government of USA is stupid 😂😂😂
Well said 👏
Finally back
The West as UK has been ashamed
Expected Russia is in ruin, like airbus big planes are short of spare parts, German cars are short, machinery for making equipment will short of, iPhones and softwares banned, resources got no big buyer, electric and electronic equipments banned.
🤣Deluional.
Guy ! What damage do the same sanctions have on EU and NATO !? Some propaganda is very boring !!!
Thank you! Very professional video.
young entrepreneurs and minds running away, you say?!? hahahahaha
Putin is poopin
West playing with russia.russia is not playing west.
I see a lot of cold-weather oil producing areas here. What does Russia do when these wellheads inevitably freeze up? Russia has caught lucky warm weather to now. Fact is, Russia does not have its own skilled oil work force. Those people are gone. Russia better stack what it can while it can because WINTER IS COMING.
And the fact that Russia doesn't have the storage capacity. Oil can freeze in the pipes.
Unfortunately there are still oil service companies working in Russia such as Schlumberge, Halliburton and Baker Huges.
The goal needs to always be make it more and more expensive to around sanctions. This isn't hard as those who help Russia get around them, have no problem jacking up the prices every chance they get.
The INTEREST rates are at 18% in 10/28/23 -hello inflation
you are speaking very fast?
A good cover up mate, your contribution to western Copion is duly noted.
Good Boy Spot. Here's ya bone-us.
I wonder how you crushed the resource stream from Africa to Russia now that France went bye bye. I also wonder how long people will pretend Russia is fighting alone...
Parts for Boeing and Airbus Russia and even China can not produce. You have some channels here where the guys explained it very well. They still don't have that high developed technology.
Yes, even if they sell the same amount of oil, it is on discount. And transporting it with tankers costs more than through the pipe lines.
Russia had around $650 bln reserves prepared for war and sanctions. $300 bln was taken by the West. The rest Putin is spending on war, patching up the budget and saving the rouble. War costs $0.9-1 bln per day!!! So Putin had only for 1 year of war using that money, 2022 saved him with higher prices of oil. All of that money will be spent by the end of 2023.
In the 2021 Russia lost 996k people. In 2022 more than a million. Who knows how many in 2023. Highly educated people are leaving, low educated are coming to Russia. That is not the same thing!
Putin says the budget is the same. Of course it is, war machinery is now 30% of the budget. But you are not selling that product, it is destroyed in Ukraine. When you sell something to another country you gain profit.
Sanctions are for the long term!!!
European flag pfp: check
Wall of text: check
Mental gymnastics: check
Yup, it's coping time
Россия производит собственные самолёты. Скоро нам не нужны будут ни боинги, ни аэробасы.
@@Monkechnology And you really love those dictators and autocrats around the world so much. I will never support any one of them. Ever!
@@javanava8925 Says the guy whose country is ruled by shadow cabal of oligarchs that make every important decision like starting wars without even asking people's opinion, let alone following it.
Sure but this is only short term problem. In long term, Both China and Russia are developing their own civilian jets and will be fully independent from western monopoly.
The discount Russia is offering have been very small for month now.They are now selling oil at $80+ per barrel.
Wrong again.Russia total reserves have only decreased by few billions.Keeping the ruble weak has allowed Russia to earn record money despite record spending.They are running a budget surplus.
Sanction are useless a long a China exists.
These are illogical analysis. First he said revenue from oil and gas sale increased, and second he was talking about sanctions are working and Russia are loosing money by selling cheaper.
I can sale one car for 100000$ and make 50000$ profit, or I can sale 100 cars for 80000$ and make 3 million $ profit.
❤ Russia and China 🇨🇳 ❤
Greek shipowners stance is key (it has been key for 3.600 years as a matter of fact -see Babylon and Egypt) .... however EU cannot force anything because the ships docking at Vladivostock are under Panama, Liberia and Singapore flags..... The authors of the channel cannot solve offshore-shipping schemes (or else they would be presiding the European Council's committees at this point)
I hope you realize that the sanctions are effecting the entire nation, I hope you realize it builds resentment inside the nation , I hope you realize how to deal with it later and what the outcome could look like.
Hmm, blah blah.We know how russia plays its own people( badly)and thats there own blood so what would russia do to other countries is not a guess.
One question, why Russia needs usd and euro if they can't buy or paid directly in commercial terms for goods and services and I break my head on what purpose, do you have the answer
To buy some stuff in the western countries or in neutral countries that prefer $ or €. But Russia will conduct majority of trade with BRICS counties so western currencies are already not needed as much as before.
Crumble, crumble, the Kremlin will tumble.
Just take over the business and secure that no EU or NATO country incl Turkey go round the sanctions. It is time for EU and NATO to be tough against it's members, but at the same time open a window for a peace deal.
Perhaps another point of view should be;'how special interests in the west play with their own citizens'.
Nato's expansion into Eastern Europe certainly does not make the world a more secure place, it's meant to fatten up certain interests that gain from nato member states being in a constant state of tension,and who loses? Seems like it's the taxpayers of nato member states.
Greetings from Greece, where I am swimming in my pool full of Russian oil. Let’s be factual for a minute:
- all those shipping companies are based in fiscal paradises, so not Greece jurisdiction. Everybody does the same, it just happens some Greek owners are best at it and they have the biggest fleet
- in Greece we don’t see a dime out of this, but pay the high energy prices imposed
- if you want to cover who is benefiting the most out of this war, look no further than the energy and arms industries of the major powers involved
Another day in the daily humiliation of putler putin.
Nice
I was born and live in Moscow, i have my own business ( with China) , i have my own duplex apartment without mortgage, i like visit restaurants and travel a lot ( now without Europe because it's not comfortable ). And if you go to Moscow you can see full restaurants, clubs and bars - we live usual life like before conflict. Yes there are some people who went away after beginning conflict BUT don't forget that in Russia live 146 million people and it's not important.
And other question: have economy of Russia difficulties? Yes, of course. BUT look at Germany, Germany have high inflation and recession without sanctions, and look at economy of Turkey or Argentina, it's catastrophe.
Every video on this channel you can hear about collapsing economy of Russia, but it needs a little more time 😂😂😂ok, good luck with that 😜 and my best wishes who have critical thinking and understanding that Russia cannot be defeated🤗😘
Desparete to get $, don't flatter urself 🤣. Slowly we are dumping $.
Intrnational cmminity means USA and some Western colonizing nations
CIA should sell torjan horse electronics to Armenia.
Smart 🤓
West is done….remember visual politics, you guys made a video that Russia is done at the beginning of the war and now you are realizing the west is done, ruins and miserable
Russia is done they just don't know it yet...🧠⏳
@@BurntheKremlin966 Yeah 7 out of 192 countries "sanctioned" them. Buhuhu!
@@memesofproduction3 You forget the secondary sanctions that get the rest in line. Your naivety is astounding.
The communists always celebrate "the fall of the barbarians". But the west is still around. What if the empire falls. Like it did in the past.
Bro all the Kremlin needs to do is print money like the west 😅 case closed.
It's now time to speak on middle east situations.
No thanks Ork!
Hummus is healthy
But in the end Russian roughness will prevail...
The Russians give out nuclear technologies and equipment 5:05
And add in deals settled in gold or cash
Let’s go 🥷🏾
no
It's funny how you mention that Armenia's exports have tripled but "forget" to mention that it is still only ~$2.5B/year, a minuscule 0.5% of Russia's pre-war imports. Very much expected to happen when Russia can't buy products anywhere. Azeri imports of natural gas in the mean time have tripled and far outpace the country's own consumption and counting in tens of billions with no mention of that. Very biased.
I am actively, though not passionately, looking for sources if throwing russian banks out of SWIFT was an effective sanction, or if it was worse than expected and we should reverse that again.
Russia's economy is barely the size of Italy. Throwing them out of Swift hurts Russia more than it does the rest of the World.
It has simply led to increase of bilateral trade between countries in their national currencies bypassing SWIFT. Due to this, the share of dollar and euro in international trade sharply dropped and Yuan replaced euro as a second world currency by the trade volume.
@@igory3789 You are grasping at straws. An economy barely the size of Italy doesn't change global trade as drastically as you claim.
@@davidford3115 First of all, nominal GDP is not correct measure of the economy size, because it is measured in one currency - USD. More comparative measure is GDP on PPP ( purchasing power parity). Russia has become 5th economy in the world on this measure, bigger than Germany, by the way. Another point- dependence of the markets on Russian goods. Russia has huge influence on most of the commodities traded worldwide and it is an energy superpower. Commodities and energy hugely impact inflation rate, therefore, impact the real income worldwide. So, only very incompetent people can compare the size and impact of Russian economy on the world trade with Italian economy.
@@igory3789 Nice gish gallop there. Big on fancy words but lacking in any depth nor actual understanding. Most of your talking points are the same ones used by the "White Monkey" shills that China's CCP regularly employs
.
Beware of Greeks shipping oil
So cool to see my home in such a video. Russia has no intention for foreing folks with printed dollars to come and buy russian assets, so f off. We have everything, you only have printing mashine
Наламанш сам себя не прогреет :) работайте, братья. Очень хочу в этой жизни услышать стук сапогов Красной Армии в Париже и Лондоне. Берлин мы уже брали :)
Париж так то тоже.
@@SHANindahouse Русская Армия, но не Красная. Но всё впереди :)
@@angobando так почему красная? Потому что всех сильней✊
Город Фашингтон забыл
FAKE.
Russians are playing all of yall 😂>> keep talking 3hl7
So many ru bots in comments, they think they are important, wow
The sunctions work, it did really work, on the countries who implemented it.
Such as germany 😂😂😂
BS!
I think before Russian economy collapses, Ukraine could lose the war. Once that happens, the west will ease sanctions because there is a tendency in general to work with the winner. Since Russia is a big energy and food exporter, Europe will likely try to have access to these two commodities.
Ukraine are a food exporter as well, and e go into green hydrogen direction.
I genuinly don't think so. russia still has no answer to Himars, no answer to storm shadow and so on. They can't producce great thermal insights (anymore), like the west has.
Russia even scaled back to producing the T-80 in Omsk, because they can't produce the newer T-90, nor the T-14.
Russia stopped producing the T-80s in the mid 90s
While russia can pump out tanks and simple artillery, they cna't pump out Aviation, Counter-Battery Radar and high tech Aird defense (like S-400 eG).
Green hydrogen? I hope that was meant ironically or you didnt go to scool?
@@gineas7905 from portugal to germany, already approved the build of a hydrogen pipeline, and already several hydrogen productions powerplant projects, majority green, but nuclear energy as well, in all that 4 start nations... ;)
Wind solar nuclear, onshore and offshore.
And if we add magreb nations to use solar energy all year around, with atlantic and mediterrain water, EU will become 100% energy clean and independent in less than 20 years.
@@ricardoxavier827 no serious investment is going to be done in ukraine when the war is still going on
I think i wanna move to russia
The take home message for Europe and the USA is rather clear.
You can not stop a war that has already started by imposing economic sanctions. The lag time between political consensus, implementation and widespread effects on the lives of the constituents of a sanctioned regime (a often overlooked fact: this is the main channel of transduction of PRESSURE on a regime!) is much to long to be effective.
Winning on the battlefield is paramount. To that end maximum support in weapons, training and intelligence for the attacked entirely has to be the focus of any reaction of the West.
….economic sanctions have to be implemented decades in advance to prevent a war. Once it has started they should be kept up (to not create any benefits for the attacker), but they are not going to have a significant direct effect 🤷🏽♂️
You're oversimplifying.
Sabctions will not stop the war. But Putin will get less paid for everything he sells. And ha must pay more for everything he buys. He now has less money. Which is less money bto spend on war. Sanctions deescalate the war.
Any sanctions can achieve effect if the sanctioned country will sit and do nothing about it. But this is never the case, so all countries can work out the ways to diminish sanctions effect. Whatever sanction you impose on Russia, which has vast resources of everything, they will always have worse consequences for those who imposed them than for Russia.
I love how Russian beg for other to stop talking about them
What does that even mean? Has someone contacted you?
@@williamolekson9113 Probably has hallucinations. Might be serious, would visit a shrink.
If Putin isn't hurting, it isn't working well enough
It is hurting Europe for sure with very high inflation especially because of high fuel prices.
@@ABanRocks It may be hurting Europe, but Gas Station Putin is feeling it harder. India and China are ripping off Russia.
вообще все не так, у вас ложная информация ! приезжайте в гости в москву - сами все посмотрите
Ya- Russia is finished. Slava Mr Z wining....
Ieony, Ukrain needs oil to prosecute the war. Easiest would be from Europe which would in part be the Czech or Italian refineries which gets crude from Russia
Oil from Russia used to go through Ukraine. Me thinks that if the oil is still flowing, the Ukrainians are syphoning off a portion.
You know this is a good video when the Orks are angry in the comment section! More salt please!
Why are you angry?!
@@ncc1701218 Why are you not on the frontline dying for Putler?
Vodka! FUCK YEAH!
The king of saying nothing
Propaganda.
😂😂😂😂
Russia, stand up to the American bully! 🇷🇺
The only bully here is the country who attacked its neighbor, and started a bloody war. And yes, multiple countries all over the world stand up to this bully 😉
@@romko-romario and who slaughtered 14 thousand civilians (all Ukrainian citizens!) in Donbass from 2014 till 2021? And even has the audacity to call this "military training according to NATO standard"?
@@user-vm9mu5ul1h Russia is to blame for the deaths of these people in Donbas - for financing the separatists and giving them weapons since 2014. Russia brought war in once peaceful Ukraine. And, as for the last two years before the invasion, the conflict was frozen and almost nobody died, but Russia decided to start the full-scale war. Because of it, cities in Donbas, like Mariupol, Severodonetsk, Lysychansk, Bakhmut and others were erased, and only in months Russia killed there much more people than in the previous 8 years. That is Russian-style "liberation" - people of Donbas were liberated from their lives, relatives, homes, cities. Pity to all the victims, and glory to all who fight against the Russian plague.
@@romko-romario When Russia does that in Donbas, they are separatists but when US does that in Syria, they are revolutionaries(also remember brave Mujahidins?). Its like pot calling kettle black.
@@user-vm9mu5ul1h Funny, because the deaths of civilians are a direct result of Putin's "little Green Men" entering the Donbas. Further, the casualties quadrupled AFTER the Russian drive to Kiev. If anything, that is the Russians fault, not the Ukrainians.