On top of that there is a poll that has been a 100% indicator who has was gonna win or not. When the direction of country is greater than -20 the incumbent party always loses. When the direction of country is less than -15 the incumbent party always wins. Right now the direction of country is -36. You do the math of who should win based on that. BTW this has been a thing since the 1980 election
Well this is one statistic even more accurate than Lichman's keys. When direction of country is >20 for wrong direction than incumbent party loses every time. When direction of country is
I agree with Silver. I think Lichtman’s method is solid, but I don’t think he has accurately evaluated his own keys. I see six of the 13 keys that go against Harris, and that doesn’t even touch the economic keys. Trump should win.
Silver is a joke. Lichtman is a boss. It’s like comparing the Detroit Red Wings to little Joey’s pee wee hockey team. Nate Silver doesn’t even belong on tv or in the media.
Hello everyone! I wanted to share an important message with you: your contribution to the right to vote is essential. Talk to friends and family, and if necessary, offer your support to accompany them to the polls if they are unable to go on their own. This decision is not about being Republican or Democratic; it’s about voting for freedom, against fascism and inequality. It’s a battle for women's rights, to combat poverty, and to ensure healthcare for all. Let’s not allow our country, today and tomorrow, to sink into darkness. Let’s shine a light on our future: vote for Kamala Harris - Tim Walz! Copy and paste this message and share it on all your social media!
Nate Silver looks like he simply borrowed from some of Prof. Lichtman’s 13 keys and just saying “gut feeling” already invalidates his own analysis and prediction.
Professor Lichtman doesn't change his mind with the wind like Nate, and always seems substantially more confident while being humble enough to admit he could be wrong.
the fact that there are still voters voting democrat n harris is certainly a sign that america is puked !!! even a dog will have votes not mentioning a laughing hyena ...
Or how about the fact that your a fu*kin idiot racist loser who is gonna be pissed off when your worse nightmare is realized and you wake up after this election is all over and done with in whatever trailer park your living in and learn that the White House has gone BLACK AGAIN!😮😢
You’re a bot for the clerk Silver or just ignorant in how to do research..? Dr Lichtman has a 100% accuracy since 1984, with 10/10 accurate predictions. Silver is a flip flopping fool.
Nate has the guesses, Allan has the History and knowledge to predict a presidential candidate’s win, Allan has defined the keys very good and detailed and of course it is his keys so he determines them of how he created it so Allan Lichtman is much more accurate not because Nate silver is bad but because Allan’s method is much more secure than Nate Silver’s method
Trump's margin of error is a negative for him. For him to win, he needs at least a 5% overall positive. Harris will win both pop and electoral but barely.
Lichtman turned most of the keys in the wrong direction! He has no idea what's coming for his prediction tomorrow!
That's the truth. He is being paid to predict Harris, and it's obvious.
On top of that there is a poll that has been a 100% indicator who has was gonna win or not. When the direction of country is greater than -20 the incumbent party always loses. When the direction of country is less than -15 the incumbent party always wins. Right now the direction of country is -36. You do the math of who should win based on that. BTW this has been a thing since the 1980 election
Let's get both of these experts to discuss the election results on Wednesday.
"Gut feeling" isn't a science. In that sense Lichtman is more right.
we'll see ...
Doomed if he's right.
Well this is one statistic even more accurate than Lichman's keys. When direction of country is >20 for wrong direction than incumbent party loses every time. When direction of country is
I agree with Silver. I think Lichtman’s method is solid, but I don’t think he has accurately evaluated his own keys. I see six of the 13 keys that go against Harris, and that doesn’t even touch the economic keys. Trump should win.
Nate Silver is 5% right, while Allen Litchman 95% well see.
we'll see ...
Silver is a joke. Lichtman is a boss. It’s like comparing the Detroit Red Wings to little Joey’s pee wee hockey team. Nate Silver doesn’t even belong on tv or in the media.
@ *FREE PALESTINE 🇵🇸✊*
@@israelshallbefree *Free Israel of what?*
@@chrisulmer694... palestinian squatters !!!
I'm very agree with the Professor Allan Lichtman Ms Kamala Harish will be the next President of United States of America🇺🇸❤
No human can predict anything but God
Anyone can predict, but may not be accurate
Hello everyone!
I wanted to share an important message with you: your contribution to the right to vote is essential. Talk to friends and family, and if necessary, offer your support to accompany them to the polls if they are unable to go on their own.
This decision is not about being Republican or Democratic; it’s about voting for freedom, against fascism and inequality. It’s a battle for women's rights, to combat poverty, and to ensure healthcare for all.
Let’s not allow our country, today and tomorrow, to sink into darkness. Let’s shine a light on our future: vote for Kamala Harris - Tim Walz!
Copy and paste this message and share it on all your social media!
Nate Silver looks like he simply borrowed from some of Prof. Lichtman’s 13 keys and just saying “gut feeling” already invalidates his own analysis and prediction.
Alright Allan we got this!
Professor Lichtman doesn't change his mind with the wind like Nate, and always seems substantially more confident while being humble enough to admit he could be wrong.
he's wrong.
He's also very, very biased.
Congratulations madame president!🎉
... yep ... president for the aged ...
2016 all over again tomorrow
the fact that there are still voters voting democrat n harris is certainly a sign that america is puked !!! even a dog will have votes not mentioning a laughing hyena ...
Sofa king we Todd did
You are sofa king we Todd did
Coming from a generation of nothing but PUKE the dipshit knows of what they speak
Wish it were so. Unfortunately, he still commands a huge following among men.
Or how about the fact that your a fu*kin idiot racist loser who is gonna be pissed off when your worse nightmare is realized and you wake up after this election is all over and done with in whatever trailer park your living in and learn that the White House has gone BLACK AGAIN!😮😢
Allan has it hands down
The agenda of madness will continue
God help us
I got great odds on Harris to win by 300 - 329 electoral votes.
you meant to say trump
@@relaxingoceansoundsNo he spoke correctly
You are right. I think she'll have 320 electoral votes.
Nate has the numbers!
You’re a bot for the clerk Silver or just ignorant in how to do research..? Dr Lichtman has a 100% accuracy since 1984, with 10/10 accurate predictions. Silver is a flip flopping fool.
Nate is wrong sorry
Nate has the guesses, Allan has the History and knowledge to predict a presidential candidate’s win, Allan has defined the keys very good and detailed and of course it is his keys so he determines them of how he created it so Allan Lichtman is much more accurate not because Nate silver is bad but because Allan’s method is much more secure than Nate Silver’s method
Nate is wrong. I was following Allan for about 12 years.
But this Nate chap has been wrong several times..
Trump's margin of error is a negative for him. For him to win, he needs at least a 5% overall positive. Harris will win both pop and electoral but barely.
I predicted a trump Win in July during the primary. I only need the primary elections to predict the US election winner
Why? Primary only for the party itself.
TRUMP 100% 2024 . FROM SOUTH AFRICA
Trump is concerned about you!
Are you guys from South Africa looking for a green card. There are lot of illegal aliena from South Africa.
Your opinion doesn’t count in USA ✌🏼😂
We don’t care what you think. You aren’t able to vote in this country and Trump is a liar and rapist
of course, Alan Litchman is correct. Remember Nate Silver told us in 2016 that Hillary had a 95% chance of winning.
This shouldn’t even be a question. It’s like asking who would win between the Los Angeles Dodgers (Lichtman) and little Mikey’s pee wee team (Silver.)
Good analogy considering how the Dodgers have won 2 times in the last 12 to 15 years they've been in the playoffs. Anything can happen
VOTE ❤HARRIS ^^